 It is summer. I'm usually in a better mood in the summer. However, it puts me in an even better mood talking NFL, whether it's for teams that will or won't make the playoffs. This week we're talking about teams that won't make the playoffs. Starting with the Indianapolis Colts, you do not believe the Colts are making the playoffs this year. Why are you placing this bet? I think this number is just overly optimistic about them. I had them at 9.1 wins my wind total projections, which means that they are kind of on the fringes and you're getting plus 158 here. For me, it's kind of more on the edges of a coin flip than plus 158. They actually do make it. They are behind Tennessee and the division. They are behind the Chargers, the Dolphins and the Browns among non division winners. So they rank eighth for me in the ASC right now, which will put them the outside looking it that they've got 39% odds to miss the playoffs based on the implied mark at this number. And I think it's probably actually higher than that. Carson Wentz is an unknown here. Left tackle is an unknown given the health of the left tackle they signed Eric Fisher. So I think that there are enough unknowns here with this team where you're getting plus 138. That's more than enough for me to take the plunge here, especially now that Tennessee has been strengthened with Julio Jones being in town. Colts at plus 158 to not make the playoffs this year. The Colts were the last team into the AFC playoff picture last season.