 Last night was rough in MLB DFS with Jacob DeGramme's game being rained out We had a situation where there was a surefire number one pitcher who was going to be the runway favorite on the slate and there were some question marks around that game and it eventually got postponed And there was a lot of questions about whether it go and that's owner himself is tweeting Hey, we're gonna get this game in etc. etc. etc So that was rough and if it were a situation like NFL We'd have a full week to lick our wounds and dive back in for baseball We don't get that in fact we get almost an identical situation for tonight where Zach Wheeler is Definitively the number one pitcher on this slate. He is going to be the number one guy by a wide margin Unfortunately, there is rain in the forecast and wriggly for tonight. I think they're gonna play But as evidence by last night, I got no idea how the weather will break. So Unfortunately, it's deja vu all over again. We are back in the same place Let's dive on in and hopefully things break better this time around welcome on into the solo shot That's right here on the fan dual podcast network in number fire comm. My name is Jim Sonnis I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire comm here to break down Wednesday nights eight game MLB DFS main slate with Blacks after 7 0 5 4 2 night and the only weather note for today is that game at Wrigley for the Cubs and the Phillies It looks like it'll be light rain and it might not start until after the game begins It is worth monitoring If they do play wind is blowing in from center field that at 10 miles per hour Which would be a downgrade for hitters there upgrade for Wheeler, but you know, I don't know Maybe it's like a being burned one night before is lingering and make me a little bit nervous But hey, I think we should be good to go. We will see how things break there Hopefully updated in a better work weather forecast coming up later on today We'll have our Q&A as always at 4 p.m. That's on the Fandle YouTube Twitch Facebook and Twitter pages make sure you swing by there and ask your questions from MLB DFS at 4 30 Aaron Dolan will swing by break down last night's NBA game talk about game number two coming up And I think that John she ran a Fandle sports book might be joining her for today So make sure you swing by a 4 35 questions for either Aaron or John that is at 4 30 p.m. Eastern time today To talk to them and ask questions about game 2 in the NBA Hey soccer fans this season Fandle and captain Morgan are teaming up to give you a one-of-a-kind soccer contest introducing captain Morgan soccer pick them a Weekly fantasy contest that is entirely free to play the contest is simple All you have to do is make quick predictions for Saturday games this soccer season You will earn points for each correct pick and compete for a chance to win up to $3,000 in prizes every single week head over to Fandle and enter the captain Morgan soccer pick them today Must be 21 plus to participate for more details as Fandle.com or download the Fandle fantasy app eligibility restrictions apply and don't forget to make your game day more delicious and Subin the captain pitching preview for this Wednesday main slate is Zach Wheeler is the highest salary picture on the slate He checks in at $11,200. What could go wrong? Luis Garcia is $9,700 Shawn Manaya is facing Garcia $9,200 you say Kikuchi is 9,000 facing the Yankees We have 100 Ryu Alex Wood and Patrick Corbin as the other guys at $8,000 or higher and As you can hear there we're talking about Garcia and Manaya tough matchups there a tough matchup for Kikuchi And that means that Wheeler is really the no-brainer number one option for tonight He is on the road and that can be bad thing a bad thing for pitchers at times But for Wheeler, it's not a huge hindrance He still has a 29% strikeout rate when he's on the road this year Which is a high mark for this specific slate and that's his season-long number on the road But Wheeler is weirdly been getting better recently He's been cutting back on his foreseen fastball usage over his past seven starts and his strikeout rate is up to 34% in that time It's a very good number. He has still kept his hard hit rate low at 23% his fly ball rates still 25% So if you get a situation where a pitchers increasing his strikeout rates while making his batted ball numbers even better than the already Good marks they were before That's pretty enticing. It's a really gross combination in the complimentary fashion grows is very good here And that's been great. The road starts Wheeler has made him that time have been very good as well He has faced the rays Dodgers and Mets. He had 14 strikeouts against the rays Six against the Dodgers over six shutout innings and then eight against the Nets revenge game over seven shutout innings So he goes super deep into games gets a huge leash from a pitch count perspective That's all good. The Cubs not a bad offense, but definitely one we don't need to avoid a 90 WRC plus versus varieties But importantly, they have a 27% strikeout rate. That is huge for an opposing pitchers upside. So Outside of weather, I can't find any reasons not to love Wheeler. I think he's great So I want to be aggressive with him here But I also don't want to get burned like I did last night where I had a lot of Jacob deGrasse almost exclusively Jacob deGrasse So it's rough to try to bounce back in a very similar situation once again But hey, that is the car the hand we are being dealt. We'll see how things break Hopefully getting up in on the weather and we are going to manifest good weather in Chicago for today So we can get Zach Wheeler a full go for today the second pitcher is hard to pick and You know that that does go to the point of why we are so high on Zach Wheeler But it's also like tough to find alternatives here There are no obvious contenders for the second slot Everyone else has a healthy amount of risk for one reason or another or just a bad ceiling too The two guys who I like the most despite their imperfections are Alex Wood and Chris Paddock in that order So let's start here with the wood at $83.00. He is at home, which is always good. It's a cooler park in the 50s tonight So it's a great park for pitching. He's facing the Cardinals and they're better against lefties than righties But not a team we need to avoid necessarily. They have a 99 WRC plus versus lefties so about league average whereas about 86 versus righties and I think that that's that's fine. Not a ton of power either for the Cardinals Wood himself has been up and down all year started off really really impressive with a lot of strikeouts Good bad at ball data good pitch counts. He had a great first month Then he started to cut back on his slider usage and the performance went backward and it wasn't good But we did see wood go back to the slider a bit more as most recent timeout He had a 34% usage on that pitch as most recent starts his swinging strike rate there was 12.2% So I'm hoping that he sticks with this plan of increasing the slider usage once again The most relevant sample on wood is his past four starts with less movement on his sinker He has a 31% strikeout rate in those four starts his skill interactive era is 3.31 He has at least seven strikeouts and three of those four games. So those are all good numbers That's why I'm willing to consider Alex wood for today But $83 you'd think that if I can get a guy with you know, seven or so strikeouts I'd be pretty jazzed especially in a good park But the reason not higher is hard contact wood is letting up a 54% hard hit rate in that time and the Cardinals have some individual batters who can bob So that's why I am so adamant in saying Wheeler is number one by a wide margin and I can't get super jazzed about wood I think he's second for sure number two in the slate for me, but it's not enough for me to Be super enthused about him. So to me it is definitely Wheeler one would two and then Chris Paddock is third and third is Hi for Paddock considering that he recently burned us I used him two starts ago against Arizona and he promptly let up five runs across two and a third innings I can't even blame it on him being on the road. He was at home So the floor for Paddock is not very good But he does have a ceiling Paddock has had less movement on his forcing basketball over his past four outings And he has a 30% strikeout rate in that time and that does include the wretched start against that bad Arizona team That's because we saw Paddock at a couple of pop games in this sample He had nine strikeouts against the Mets and 11 against the Reds His swinging strike rate was at least 20% in both those games Then he had the rough start against Arizona. That was rough But the next time that he faced Billy and he lasted seven innings and got a quality start So he's not consistent. He's maddening honestly though the one bad start in there came against Arizona because sure Why not? I am fine with inconsistency if it includes a path to a big game and Paddock does have that as he showed in those Mets and The the Mets and the Reds starts He also gives you salary flexibility if you want to stack the blue jays, which I would love to do first night So there are things to like here. I would note again would and Paddock do not have good floors Wheeler does so assuming the weather lets him play so for cash games Go Zach Wheeler for tournaments I think you have wiggle room there to go Wood and Paddock at times as being the next two on your list But the grand majority of your exposure should be to Wheeler just because he is so far away the top guy in the slate and Importantly, I actually think there are a couple stacks that fit well with him from a salary perspective And I would expect them to go over look for today the one stack I do not expect you overlooked is the blue jays. They're facing that Harvey So, you know people will be on this and I just I feel bad for Matt Harvey This is the third time he has faced the blue jays in his past four starts The other one was against the astros. He did really well there. I mean relatively, you know, uh, he did well enough So That's interesting. He's had He's had a rough schedule for sure and he's navigated okay in the two starts He's had against the jays Harvey has gone 10 innings. He's allowed seven earned runs with just six strikeout That's why we are here for today. He let up two home runs in the second start against them So we talked about this last time but seeing that success that jays have had against Harvey is key because There are righty heavy lineup and Harvey does better against righties than lefties Just hasn't mattered the blue jays. They are good enough to overcome that if we Zoom out and don't focus just on that one start with the blue jays Or the two starts with the blue jays Harvey's forcing fastball movement has been down over his past six starts his skill interactive era is 5.20 He has a 14 strikeout rate So he's letting up a lot of balls in play and the blue jays Have a 188 iso against righties despite how righty heavy they are So I find no reason not to like them here that one start against the astros was indoors that definitely does help things also um You know, it wasn't like the best start from a peripheral perspective Not a ton of strikeouts a lot of two runs across four and a third So it's not going to scare me off a stack in the jays for tonight I think they are the no brainer top option for today And I will treat them as such with that said there's not a ton of value here If you're trying to get to zack wheeler So they might be hard to stack unless you have a second value stack which we'll talk about two in a second But uh, kavin bizio is a fun exception to that thought process He is $2,800 he hits lefty So that's good against harvey and bizio has a 172 iso versus righties with a 42 fly ball rate Put that in balthamore and very good things can happen. So bizio himself has a ton of upside I like him as being a key part of a stack and also Let's say hypothetically you can't stack the blue jays with wheeler I think that bizio is a really solid one off to get exposure to that team Without totally breaking the banks the jays to me definitively the top option for today Now one way you can get more blue jays is by having a value second stack And I think we can get some of that value in this exact same game by stacking the orioles only In tournaments because they're facing hungen re you and it may be very stupid to stack against re you It may if it sound very stupid it possibly is stupid But I think it's worth the risk exclusively in tournaments re you has been kind of weird as past four starts he has been leaning more in his forcing fastball and The velocity on that forcing fastball is up But despite the increased velocity re you was just getting knocked around He has a 5.44 skill interactive era in that time with a 12 strikeout rate. He's walking more guys He's letting up hard contact 46 percent of the time And interestingly enough two of those starts came against his balthamore team Which means that they've seen him very recently re you did go deep in both those games but He let up foreign runs in the second one. He had just three strikeouts across 28 batters faced He also let up two homers against the yankees and the mariners in this time. So I'm not sure what's up with re you. It could be the sticky stuff discussion for sure So, you know True for everyone at this point, but it could be something else But he doesn't seem to be his usual self right now and plus the orioles pretty good against leptis A 107 w rc plus for them with a 163 iso and they had seen him twice in the past couple weeks So I can work with that. There are also plenty of low salary guys here So I think we should be willing to use the orioles and tournaments As long as you're okay with risk. There is a lot of risk here. I don't want to overlook that There's a lot of risk, but I do think they are worth it for me for today one of the big values here is austin haze He's not like the biggest power guy, but he does have a 154 iso against leptis high enough We could feel okay about him his strikeout rate is 14% So a lot of balls in play and 39% of those balls in play are fly balls haze will likely at second That's really enticing for me for just $2,700. So I like haze a lot ryan mount castles $2,900. He's got power two Obviously, you'd want to get to train mancini and cedric mullins if you can mullins actually very good versus leptis too. He's a lepti, but like he's very good versus leptis So I think the orioles despite the fact that they are very risky Are a great stack for today and one that I will use in order to increase my exposure to the blue jays When using zack wheeler as my pitcher The other out for saving salary comes from the mariners and That's probably not going to be a very popular route people go for today because they're facing domingo irman and irman Is generally I think regardless being good pitcher um I guess yankee sands might not be in that same boat, but like he's not someone we tend to stack against I got questions about him last week on the q and a from a pitching perspective So I think that I wouldn't guess the mariners wound up caring a lot of popularity for today but irman Hasn't pitched well Since june started and i'm not sure why there obviously are several theories as to why that could be the case but There was a change in his approach as well in this time in the first start in june Irman started throwing more forcing fastballs and that's pretty weird because It's not a good pitch for him the xwoba against that is 421 The two off speed pitches for irman are both under 300 So very good off speed pitches really bad forcing fastball Which means that using more forcing fastballs is not a good thing for domingo irman and it has not worked out He has a 4.94 skill interactive ira in that time with an 18 strikeout rate His hard hit rates up to 40 with a 43 fly ball rate The the peripherals are bad the results also have not been very good He's a 7.2 70 ira in this time. He's led up three runs and five of the six starts He led up seven in one of them and most of those did come against very good offenses So keep that in mind for sure the mariners are not a very good offense But they also aren't like actively bad. I wouldn't say so I'm into it. I don't expect the mariners again to be very popular tonight. Their implied total is 4.15 I don't expect people to be here. Uh, but to me I think they are a great tournament stack alongside the orioles as a consideration for a single entry So a couple of teams that I think will probably not be super popular due to the matchups They've got it being you know big name pitchers and irman and ryu. I like them I think that they work for today for both the orioles and the mariners as far as the mariners go We got some high upside value plays here Mitch Hanneger and Kyle seager are not value plays at 3400 and 3000 But like they're great. The one guy I love here is jake fraily. He's been Torching balls. He's 2700 dollars has some stolen base upside too. He's tremendous I I adore him louis torrens if he catches tonight, which he might not because he's caught the past two days He's got some power. He's 2700 dollars if he's in there be willing to use him Dillon more taylor chamele They have upside if they hit high enough in the order wouldn't expect that necessarily But with jake fraily seager hanneger got a really good core here that is easy to get to so I do think that the Mariners despite the fact they're not going to grade out well from a bookmaking perspective or a team that We should be high on for today in terms of stacking if we want to get to zack wheeler Let's move now to things to watch for today got a three different bullpen games today We got the marlins and the dodgers going to the bullpen game and the diamond backs as I think to potentially They're facing umberto or they're pitching umberto castellanos who did start in triple a but I don't think he's fully stretched out anymore. Either way, uh, the marlins and dodgers very good bullpens I like some of their long relievers. Plus it's in miami, which is not a great park So I'm okay Being lower on those two offenses. Arizona is facing colorado for castellanos It's a terrible offense, especially on the road and the roof will be shut today at chase field So it's not the best park factor either. I am fine being lower on all these situations So although the marlins dodgers and diamond backs are having bullpen gains I'm not super jazzed about stacking against those teams for tonight If you want another stack to consider I check out the giants against the ohan oviedo It is a terrible park factor here. It's uh, it's you mentioned before with talking about wood 59 degrees Not a great park in general. That's tough. It is a great matchup Um for the giants and they're very good offense despite their park though Oviedo has a 5.39 skill interactive era across his past four stars with fewer sliders His strike out rate is 13 percent the Giants have scored double digit runs at home four times this year So they have upside to despite the really bad park factor. That's enough to justify checking them out I think the giants are number four for me tonight in terms of stacking Finally, I do want to note that the fillies will not be super high on my list for tonight Assuming that game plays They're facing alec mills and mills has always been someone who's gotten a lot of ground balls Traditionally, that's like his his mo is getting ground balls last time out We saw mills get a lot of strikeouts as well The fillies have been hitting well the past two nights, but the weather here is drastically different mills Should limit some of the up their upside as well. So I think that's enough where I'm okay Being lower on the fillies for today just because mills might be better than perception and the weather Not breaking in their favor this time around let's finish up with our dinger calls for today One boring one and one fun one the boring one was going to be from the blue jays I feel like vladimir guerrero junior is too boring. So we'll go george springer I had talked before about how I was wary of springer when he came off the angel list I no longer wary. He's been great since he came off. So george springer to me is my boring Home run call for tonight out at baltimore. The fun one is jake fraily talked about him before stolen base upside Got some dingers too a lot of fly balls Not the best park by any means but still a good situation for him So home run calls for today on the solo shot george springer and jake fraily be sure if you're tuning in for the q&a today Get your home run calls lined up as well as our fun to read through. So Feel free to swing back once again today at 4 p.m. Eastern the fandal youtube twitch facebook and twitter pages Make sure you're subscribed there as well Also, check out the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcasts our pga podcast for this week I already posted that is the john dear classic That's with myself and brandon gedula breaking down our favorite pga dfs plays on fan dual for this week at tpc Dear run the open is next week. We'll be recording our podcast of that on monday On the fandal youtube page and on the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed other stuff this week here on the number fire Dfs feed we've got austin swain going to be breaking down the big ufc slate this week with the connor greger fights Also have nascar from atlanta coming up both those on friday fantasy friday back once again This week here on the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed make sure you're subscribed and also if you like what you hear Leave us a rating and review if you have questions for me before 4 p.m I am on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a m and es you can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcast Big thank you to everyone for tuning in for today. Good luck to you with your dfs lot of sure tonight Let's pray for some better weather in chicago for today. We'll talk to you once again tomorrow This has been the solo shot right here on the fan dual podcast network