 The following is a presentation of TFNN. The Power Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now, David White. And welcome all to another excellent edition of the Power Trading Hour. And of course, we just had Fed mean minutes out. A lot of people tried to front run it thinking that there wouldn't be any bad news in it. And as much as they're trying to put some lipstick on this pig. Let's put some lipstick on this pig. There's nothing in it that makes you think in the longer term that either interest rates won't be higher and that equity prices won't be lower. But we have a lot of people out here that think that things are just gonna get better. There's no chance of any lower pricing. We still didn't have people shorting yesterday. We're still having a problem getting any kind of a lot of people shorting or anything today. I don't think we probably have a low until we see some people decide that it's time to go short. Certainly on the daily chart, as we talked yesterday I was really thinking that we had some problems right here in River City. And that was because of these double repo patterns opening up. Unfortunately, they weren't as clear as I would have liked them to be but they were there nonetheless. And that is 10 or 15 days above a three by three, a close below, close above. And generally you get a couple of days but this one closed lower yesterday. So I sat on my hands and getting paid handsomely to do so. But if you look at the VIX or everything else should be extremely higher if we actually had anybody that was bearish or had enough people that were bearish. Let me put it that way. I think a handful of people are. But we continue to see bad signals in the market, bad patterns developing. And even when I look at the options out here they show a low or a possible low of 4,400 before the end of the week. Now that doesn't mean we're gonna get down there but I think we get down there at a minimum by Thursday next week. This was a little bit of a smash and grab because of course next week from this Friday we're off for the Easter holidays. So expiration's on Thursday of next week, a week from tomorrow. So sometimes these things happen a little bit more. So I think maybe the pattern we have in Microsoft and Apple and others of impending doom just kind of get us back to the others. But these are the patterns that if I wanted to get anything across to you that you wanna be looking at. And that is, I like the three by three because it moves a little bit faster and it also gives you an idea where these prices should be if the trend continues. But you had the same thing. You have one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, 10, 11, 12, 12 days above the three by three. You get one day below it, one day above it. Yesterday you close it below it and then you gap down. And as we said yesterday, the gap down is the proof in the pudding because when these things fail, this is the way they fail. They don't give you an opportunity to get back out. And a lot of people are stuck. Also, as I said before, the immense amount of bullishness in this market although interest rates going higher. So I continue to be rather bearish. As I said, we could close 4,400 a day and it would not surprise me. Maybe it takes until Friday to get us down there. But that's at least for this week kind of the low end of the range. As we look into May, they are thinking or at least option market makers are selling as many calls as they can thinking that the market actually will go back down and retest the 4107 or 4115. I think I've seen both that we have not tested on that high volume low. Anyway, 877-927-6648. Ask for Smokey, the bear. And of course you can always email me at path at tfnn.com. I'm most of the time not bearish. Although Steve calls me polar bear, that's for the path of lease resistance not because I'm always bearish in the market. But what can you say? Anyway, we gap down. We're gonna have decent volume almost all these stocks. Yeah, are we gonna bounce around a little bit for a while as people digest the Fed news? I think we will. But for the most part, we're going lower. We've gotten some very good signals with these double repo patterns that I went through yesterday and on Monday that we're setting up. And generally when these things fail, they mean that they're gonna go right back to where they started from. The last time they were above or closed above the three by three in which case your target on Apple would be 160 which is a mere $10 below where we're at now. Now, again, these companies can buy back shares but when they're not doing well, and as I say, when Apple and Microsoft get it cold, the rest of the market gets Ebola. And what else can you say? Okay, someone mentioned TLT out here. And I think I've got a couple of emails already about it. In the hopper, you can email me at path at TFNN.com. Do I, am I still looking at 122? Yes, even though you had a little bounce out here, I don't think it's gonna last very long. You had volume on the way down downtown yesterday. And when you read these Fed minutes, I had to do it fairly quickly at the top of the hour. They're ready for a 50 point interest rate hike. They've got a monthly cap, but that cap can change on how much money they're pulling out of the market. But I think we've got to the tipping point here where everybody's gonna get the idea that they're not kidding anymore, that as many times as Powell has folded like a $5 suitcase, they're doubling down on the message of higher interest rates. And I think that's very tough to avoid. I know how everybody talks about how it's different this time. And of course, I always love John Templeton because his saying of the most important thing in the market is when people start saying it's different this time because it hasn't been because people have speculated since time immemorial. And human nature doesn't change. We may have better technology, better technicals, but just remember candlestick charting was invented by the Chinese to end Japanese, I think, to look at the grain market, I either raised the market over 500 years. Nothing new under the sun back then. Are you grinding in the market? 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At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority in technical market analysis, and it's not just dry tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern for free. Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, TFNN, educating investors. At 1-877-927-6648, internationally, at 727-873-7618. The bloodletting began off 70, what's up, eight? Off 74 points on the S&P cash. As I said, if you're looking for a low, you might want to think about 4,400 on the S&P cash because I think that's where we're headed this week and I think we're headed much lower next week but we'll wait and see how 4,400 comes in to see whether I take any kind of cash. Again, I want to see people starting to at least worry and I think the Fed does too and they're gonna keep the pressure up until they do. 877-927-6648, question already about the XBI. Right now, you don't have a signal. This is, it didn't bounce much but at the same time, it's just come back to what should be support. So not as bad as the rest. Of course, the other ones had been going straight up like a bottle rocket but I don't see much in the way here. You close below the three by three and then I'll start thinking about getting more but volume is not all that exciting so far although you had a little bit more volume on the way down. I think some of these sectors that didn't do well are probably gonna go sideways a little bit. The ones that had gone way beyond what they should have with higher interest rates are gonna pay the price. They're gonna pay the piper. And who's a piper and why are you paying? I'm unsure of that. Okay, what else do we have going on here? And a couple other things. Another one about UNG. This one is very interesting because you're testing the previous high on half the volume, well, a little more than half the volume. October 5th, high $22.10 with 20 million shares, you're into it with 12 and rolled off of it. So maybe you're ready for the summer doldrums for UNG to come back. I would suspect that if this is a top that 18 bucks is where this thing is gonna headed in the medium term, let's say over the summer, you should look at it. You got a nice double gap there and that's where you should find some fairly interesting support. Even in summertime, if U.S. administration policies toward energy continue to be back-crap crazy. 877-927-6648. Okay, what are we, we're off to 70 points on the S&P cash down, 68. We'll see what happens out here. Maybe that's just the last push. I'd much rather be trying to go long now than going long earlier in the day, but I don't see much in here to do either one. We looked at TLT already. Was there something else that someone wanted to look at? We looked at Microsoft and Apple and I think those are the most important ones, really because they set up with that double repo pattern. The gap down today, which confirms it and you've got significant lower sides on both of them. Question on GDXJ. Again, these things are a little lower today, but you're still in a channel out here but I don't see a lot going on either way. Question on Semi's from Nancy and what do you have? You got a doji forming down at the very bottom of this gap up that gap up that happened on 35 million shares on the 16th of March. You don't have a bunch of juice down here, but I'd still wanna see this thing test 68-34. News is still bad coming out of Taiwan and China for silicon wafers and without those, you're not gonna make anything else. So we'll have to see it. Prices are up, which really means that the people on the very end of the spectrum, i.e. car manufacturers, people that are making low expensive stuff are gonna have problems. But we shall see. Volume is not that much on Micron. Let's go look at some of the others out here in that space. And then we'll get some other stuff out here. Okay. Gap down today. Not a lot of volume. You need to retest, even if all it does is retest 237-32, that's the March 14th low. So we should get back and try that, I think. Maybe that's what we're gonna get to this week. Maybe that's next week, but we shall see. Okay, we looked at Apple. Did we look at NVIDIA? I don't think so. NVIDIA, we'll go to the usual suspects. Big gap down. You didn't get a real good sign on NVIDIA, but you have a lot of juice. What'd you have? On the way up on the 16th, you had 67 million shares, you got 47. So maybe one more move. The soonest I would look for a low is 232. That gap came up on the 16th with 67 million shares. So you still have a little bit farther to go. You get one more gap down tomorrow, though, and that means you have two gaps and you're probably waiting for the third to find a low in NVIDIA. Let's take a quick look at AMD. It's already down toward its lows. It's got some fairly decent volume. 74 million shares are already. Volume has been kind of decreasing, but you want less than 100 million today, and that's still problematic out here. And Spokane, Bob in the den brings up that the safe haven stocks are looking good. Walmart up and beyond the last two major highs. The problem is this one doesn't have any volume to speak of August 18th, 2021, 152 is 57 with 17 million shares today. You're up with about six million shares. Still better than the rest, but you always have to worry about them coming back into the trading range. Okay, MCD. Okay. You really don't have a lot to hang your hat on. On this one, you're up on light volume back into this down day of the 23rd of February. Three and a half million shares. You got 1.6 million shares today. So yeah, most of these things are running into resistance, even though they may be the best house in the bad crack neighborhood. Okay, email me at path at tfnn.com. I think we've got a couple more here. See what we have. Keep them coming guys. Keep them coming. Okay. Well, work day for Sam in Gattown. Single Gatt, support comes in at 2.23, so you still have time to go to test that out. 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We are so confident that you're gonna love this new charting software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money-back guarantee. Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of The Art of Timing the Trade charts today by visiting tfnn.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com. Yes, Tom just emailed me. I'll have an update before the day is out, but yes. I don't see any reason to cover my short or bearish positions yet. Again, generally, if you're short and you're on the right side of the trade, generally, until people quit saying they wanna buy the lows or try to go higher, when they get depressed a little bit, then you cover. But generally, a market that's had no or few shorts in it as we've chronicled over the last three days has gone straight up, there aren't a lot of people to buy. So you should expect more downside, not a lot of people diving in to catch a falling knife. So we'll see. We had news yesterday that kind of accelerated this. I thought it would take, we'd probably go down a little slower, but I don't think the news was any better today than anybody else thought it was gonna be. Just another reason to buy on a downtrend like many people do. Okay, question about CCJ from Gerald. Thanks, Gerald. You're new to the Power Trading Hour fan club. I appreciate it. Kamiko, down on fairly light volume, not a lot going on here. It kind of tested high with kind of the same thing. Support probably comes in around 28 bucks and what are you at here, 27, 84. But you don't have a lot of volume. It's probably one of the better ones to hold up on. PLTR. Again, when you get, one of the nice things about the three by three compared to the nine day is it tends to move a lot quicker and therefore it's a little easier to see it staying above a line, but this is the same thing. You had one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15. Now, can you get another little move up here and wiggle on the way down? Yeah, but when you get that many days above these things, it's in your trader, not an investor, it's this smart to take your cash and run. There's not a whole lot out here. Question about Tesla. Again, this is one of those companies gonna have problems getting parts that already is. If you wanna buy one today, your seat is not gonna go forward or back. There's a few other things that they're delivering cars without other companies doing the same. We chronicled over a year ago that Ford was delivering pickups with analog gauges in it because, guess what, they couldn't get the chips. No different now for some of this stuff. They are delivering the vehicles, but if you were looking for a pullback back to about a thousand bucks, I think you'd get it. The news out of China isn't any better. They're continuing to close factories, electric parts for these cars that have to come in at a budget price are not coming in. As we said before, silicon wafers, which are what everything is drawn, etched, and created on are hard to get. It's going to be an ongoing problem and generally isn't solved in a week or a month, but we're talking about a quarter. So the SMH is probably under fire. Okay, question about Intel. Do I see anything going on with them? The only thing I see is that they've said that they're going to get quite price competitive, especially in the low end. And the one thing that the stock market does not like, and I learned it very early on, even before I was a stock trader, when they threw Steve Jobs out of Apple and he wanted to turn Apple much more into the kind of company that Microsoft was where they sold the operating system and licensed the hardware designs, much like Nvidia does now, where they make the chips and they make a prototype and this is the kind of the standard bearer. And then you can modify it if you want to some extent. But Intel is, especially on the low end, is going after AMD because AMD is really just stolen from its lunch when it comes to inexpensive laptops and that kind of stuff. Like I said, you're down pretty much on AMD. There's nothing that I see that is bullish at all in the SMH is as long as they're going to have problems with probably the most critical part, which is what you start with, which is silicon wafers because you don't even get the contracts until you get to silicon wafers. And then you need all the other components that go along with it. But yeah, the whole Xenon thing and other things, probably not as one-tenth the problem that getting silicon to make these chips on is. 877-927-6648. We'll keep a close eye on the markets. Well, we got a nice little bounce here. Let's see if that can hold. No, I wouldn't change much of anything. And the reason why is you need to close above 45, 11-ish, 45, 15-ish today. Yeah, could you? You might. I don't think so. But you'd have to close above that. We did crash through what should have been support. We broke through it, and we're probably gonna have some decent volume on the day nonetheless. Xenon or neon, I think it's Xenon. 2K, and what else do we have out here? Now, man, when you get ticks at 10 points on the S&P cash in 30 seconds, I think that shows a lot about what's going on inside the market, a lot of indeterminate folks out there pulling on a stroke. Okay, question on ARQQ. I think just a lot of people are taking the money and running if you need any kind of money. Now, the volume is nothing, which I love, but you still have to wait for probably a test to somewhere around 13 bucks. There is a 12.66 low for March 11th, and that actually would look fairly good, especially on the extremely low volume you have out here. You're basically into some candles with a lot of volume on the upside. So could this be it? It might be. Got a little doji out here, but I'd sure think, especially in a market that I am fairly bearish on, I'd want, this is where you want the test of the lows, and you really don't want to be taking risks unless the stocks test the lows on lighter volume, but absolutely brilliant at the moment. So, yeah, 2K, we took a look at AMD, we took it back, we took it to that. No, we looked at the other. Let's take a quick look at the IBB. It's really a different index than the rest, but it's kind of saying the exact same thing, which is you're right on this level. So it may be holding off better than the rest. I suspect just because it's gone sideways, why the rest, and so as you pull back today, it's not as bad as we would be support, probably at 130, or I'd even get it, and then it could be up in a, back. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area, including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa, and Clearwater markets? Tiger Real Estate, LLC, is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay area. Whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value, or you're in the market for a second home or investment property, Tiger Realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the Tampa Bay area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels. 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And even if you want to try playing the pops, I would wait until you get some kind of extreme reading. Now, you had a very nice low out here at 66 million shares on February 18th. You came into that with about seven million shares. So you had a nice test on lighter volume. You went back up to the highs, but you needed nine million shares. You got six million shares. So now you're back down with five million shares today. Do you get to 102 or 100 bucks? I think there's this gap here at 101 and that's where I'd want that thing to pull back on very light volume. But again, I'm gonna have to wait and change my opinion if things change. But I'm thinking that, like I said, that maybe we get a little bit a couple of days of bounce, not this week, maybe the first part of next week and then we sell off into the three-day weekend. And then probably the real destruction starts into the first week or so of May. If you're in a downtrend and you get to the first of May, generally the first five or six trading days of that are pretty horrific. And even the last couple of days of April can be in a down market. So just keep an eye on that. I remember, what was it? I wanna say May 5th was the day that everything fell apart in 2008. That's when all the broker dealers had retested previous highs on half volume. I mean, everyone, Goldman, Sachs, those, the rest. And it took until March of 2009 to find some kind of low. But I do digress. 877-927-6648. Remember, I control the vertical and I control the horizontal. So just sit back. Tutu, path at tfnn.com. Keep them coming, folks. Okay, what else do we have here? Tutu, okay. Did Tesla, I got that one. DLR. Well, sometimes things hold up in real estate. You're just back up to what really is gonna be resistance on this. But it's hard to say that if you're holding real estate for in key positions in cities, that this is gonna be the worst hit. I thought it would be early on, but it's proven me wrong over time. So you have to admit it and move on to what else do we have out here? Question about the XLE. After my question on that, you're just going sideways out here. If you're along this thing, I don't see any reason. Then you bought it at a good price. You've been in it for a while and more of an investor than on a single trade. Right now, I wouldn't be in this for a trade. But yeah, you're sitting at highs. You just never got the kind of volume to bust through that $80 and 22 cent high. But an economy pulling back may be the only thing that's holding fuel prices lower. So you gotta think about that. Okay, question to look at a gold stock. You used to like this one. You played it a few times. McEwen mining. Again, this thing kind of looks like it wants to go back and say hello to its little friends. Back here on March 3rd, maybe on the 4th too. You're kind of in that already. What'd you have on that? You had five million shares. You're kind of back into it today with 78. The real reason I like this particular stock at the time was that it had a monstrous amount of short interest in it that I could never figure out and see what it is now. Still five days to cover. So everybody's always short this thing. I think this is one that I'd wanna see back at 75 cents and gold moving higher and that would be it. But actually not a bad looking chart. You are pulling back on lighter volume back to where you kind of busted out on. So maybe it takes another week or so. As I said yesterday, gold, tins, the first couple of weeks in a downtrend or a bear market everything gets started to the lower side. You can spend a week or two or three just going sideways as the market goes lower and it'll hang out there fairly well generally. But then about two weeks people actually start getting worried and they start buying gold. And I think the two things that are missing right now is any real fear by shown by either equity shorting or by shorting in the inputs. Just the incredible low sector. As soon as we start seeing people get into that level and start buying it, my guess is gold will do well. But unfortunately you may just have to sit on your hands. It may not go down, but it may not be the rocket ship that you've looked for. To do what else do we have? We looked at that, we looked at that. Question on the socks, S-O-X-S. And we're off 45, 46 points. Okay, just checking. Yeah. I mean, if you're in this thing, I don't see any reason to get out to the, okay. We looked at Intel, looked at Nvidia, looked at Walmart, did not look at Costco. Again, problematic even in the best house in a bad neighborhood. March 31st, you had 3.44 million shares. That was 586. You didn't quite get there, I don't think. Now you got 585. So you're butt below the high with 1.6 million shares. So you're what, 40% of the volume? So yeah, that's saying that you are in the best house in a bad neighborhood and you got to watch it. We got LX, we got the, okay, EDZ, one of my fan favorites. If the big economies are headed lower, you want to take a look at this one, it is up with some decent volume. And yeah, about where you'd want to be, 10 bucks is probably, the close above that was probably the buy signal. Could this go a little sideways, I could. And again, these companies or these countries are almost all driven by kind of a big push for either oil or natural resources. So if crew does kind of go sideways for a while, really need for this one to move, you really need a pullback and all the other stuff. All the other metals, iron ore, all that kind of stuff. But yeah, 14 bucks would be my target, it's up to capital, back capital. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. 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We get ready to wrap up the end of the day. I had somebody ask about Qualcomm, so we'll do that. And you're just, whoop, come on. Mr. Qualcomm, did I not get you? There we go. You are testing the previous low, you got more volume. Again, all these semiconductors have a problem, and that is that they need wafers. They don't have wafers. Gotta have wafers down with more volume. I'm waiting for a gap down. Maybe get lighter volume tomorrow in a lower price, but I see absolutely no reason to go and start thinking opposite on that. 43, what are we off? 43, is that right? 39 on the S&P cash. People are throwing money at this market left and right. So anyway. Yeah, we've gotta be up actually about 40 points to turn this around, and I'm not thinking that happens before the end of the day. And I'd still like one more big gap lower to set a low. I don't think we've seen anything in here that makes me think that anybody is at least, the least bit despondent. Question on, what was it? LNG, which has just been gone, kind of going sideways. So I don't see a whole lot to yell about in that one, five days of sideways. What I was gonna bring up, and I never got to him because there were so many of them yesterday, was these charts in the, and these transportation of liquid natural gas, Golar, it had been another one that had been up on a trend to actually close lower today. So start watching for that. See if any of those come back. I think there was another one. There were about three in that sec. I can't find it now. So when you can, not when you have to, we will return tomorrow. Oh, I won't. I'll be gone tomorrow. I may be gone on Friday. So when you can, not when you have to, we'll see you at least on Monday.