 So for those who aren't aware Nintendo has a 20 million unit fiscal year goal for Nintendo switch which runs through March of 2019 And they were well short of that goal after the end of the first quarter and even the second quarter and we are in the midst of their third quarter, which runs through December through the end of this month and Decent this quarter is actually very very important for a Nintendo to see if they even have a shot at hitting 20 million Reggie Fizeme actually spoke out in a Forbes article about his confidence behind it And here's what he had to say we're feeling confident in our momentum, and it's not just a stellar launch of Pokemon It's not just what appears to be a stellar launch of Super Smash Bros. Ultimate that black Friday through cyber Monday time frame Was critically important to us the remaining shopping days now through Christmas are critically important to us more days Right after Christmas as consumers receive gift cards or take unwanted gifts and monetize into things like Nintendo switch are Important to us So this is going to be an ongoing effort to make sure that we drive our business Forward through the balance of this holiday season, but also the first calendar quarter as well Now obviously Forbes wasn't just gonna you know take ready to work for it They went to an industry analyst person. They chose Michael Pachter who has been Infamously always down on Nintendo it feels like and here's what he had to say the share price tells you that the market doesn't Expect them to hit 20 million. However, if they sell 15 million per year They're in good shape, and they shouldn't see a disruption in their momentum So at least Michael Pachter saying that hey look even if they don't hit their goal as long as it's 15 million or more It's still momentum like the switch is still doing fine And I think that's obviously him kind of backtracking on some prior comment to me because Pokemon and smash are just blowing up even bigger than I think most people's wildest expectations were No regardless of hype like hype is what it is but hype hasn't always led to astronomical sales and That seems to be the case at least so far between Pokemon and smash So yeah, I I honestly I talked about this before I put up a video about how there is a clear path for Nintendo to hit 20 million and obviously it started with Pokemon and smash and with smash already exceeding my expectations It even put some further on the path, but also, you know releases next year I think this isn't taught to what enough and new Super Mario Brothers U Deluxe comes out in January early January That is an intentional placement for those gift cards for Those returned presents over, you know over the holiday break and into the new year I mean seriously new Super Mario Brothers U Deluxe I don't know if it's gonna outsell Super Mario Odyssey But what I do know is that 2d side-scrolling Mario games have Traditionally performed better than their 3d, you know open-world-esque counterparts and I don't know that a port of the Wii U one's going to do that But then again a lot of people picking up switch might have remembered playing new Super Mario Brothers U On the DS or maybe even back on the Wii and like oh, this is the new latest and greatest version of that And I've already bought the switch for other reasons man I'm gonna go pick up that game So it's possible that like that becomes actually a system seller as well in January or if not a system seller in its own Right a momentum sustainer and I we also know like Nintendo's got a lot of games jam-packed for 2019 It's possible the Yoshi game comes out still in this financial, you know, fiscal quarter fiscal year and It's even possible another game drops such as Fire Element 3 houses And if that drops in March, I mean you forget about it Nintendo's gonna hit 20 million because that's gonna carry them for the extra couple million They might need to get to that mark by the end of March at least in my opinion Of course a lot of things could change right now fire emblem is not slated for anything But early 2019 which could be anything it could be anywhere You know it could be January February March could be April could be May all that would still count as early 2019 or at least in the first half of 2019. I Honestly am really really looking forward to this stuff. Oh, by the way, Damon X machina is also slated for early in 2019 Maybe that's a February game. I'm gonna remember Nintendo has such a packed 2019 I don't be interested to see what they release in the For you know last quarter of it of the current fiscal year the first quarter for the United States fiscal year Just to just to see if they can hit their sales target. I'm they might hit their sales target regardless I mean it's possible smash and Pokemon are just that big and Switch is gonna hit 20 million anyways, but we haven't seen updated sales from Japan yet showing the total sales of switch And obviously we're not gonna hear us numbers unless announced by Nintendo Until next month from the NPD and even then they don't give exact numbers They would just give comparisons because for some reason Nintendo doesn't want to report exact numbers or doesn't want the exact numbers made public That being said I am very very happy to kind of see this back and forth You have Michael Patrick who's trying to basically give a dose of reality and this is Interesting coming from Patrick who's usually on the negative side with Nintendo, but he's he's saying like look He doesn't think it's gonna hit 20, but that doesn't mean it's not gonna be a successful year And I think that's the realest look at Nintendo right now. It's a hey look. Yeah, Nintendo's got momentum Nintendo's doing great even if they don't hit their numbers. It still doesn't mean it's a bad year And then you have Reggie being like hey look man like I have the data. I'm looking at the data I'm looking at smash. I'm looking at Pokemon. I'm looking at the cyber You know the black Friday through cyber Monday sales I'm thinking about that new Super Mario Brothers you deluxe coming out in January I'm looking at all this stuff and I'm like man. Oh man. I got numbers Michael Patrick ain't got and my numbers are saying 20 mil. Yeah. Yeah, we're gonna hit 20 mil. Our momentum is Sky Rockets in flight Afternoon delight Oh Afternoon delight At least I think that's what Reggie's doing in his office with his master sword and his Metroid pin and The lights going out from doom being updated today. Anyways folks You guys let me know what you think about this stuff down in the council Do you think Nintendo has a realistic shot? Are you surprised at the way the sales went and has been going even though we knew salesman was gonna pick up Is it picked up more than maybe you expected do you think Michael Patrick's more realistic outlook of hey look It's okay. If it doesn't hit it probably won't but you know, it still could be a good year Let me know what you think about this down in the comments below I am the thing you're able to dance from Nintendo Prime be sure to enter our Nintendo switch Super Smash Bros. Ultimate bundle giveaway down in the description doesn't matter if you even have one already you have the bundle You have the game. It makes a good gift for somebody else. It makes Whatever, maybe you just want to maybe you don't have this the special edition Switch and you would like to have the special edition switch and then give away the digital code Maybe you don't have the game or the system and you just hoping to get your hands on it without spending any money One of you lucky people will be able to get it once we hit 50,000 subscribers Anyways, thank you for tuning in like the video subscribe for more content and I'll catch you in the next one