 The following is a presentation of TFNN. The Power Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now, toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now, David White. And welcome all to another excellent edition of the Power Trading Hour. And what do we have? The same thing every day as long as you're here at this time. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. So we've got a market up, volume's okay, 8.5 billion shares as we start the show. What is very different is the last hour and 30 minutes. We're back to FOMC meeting level pre-FOMC level volume. I think it was about 1230, we had about 7.4 billion. So this is incredibly light volume here. So just be probably advised we're probably gonna have a sharp move, more likely I think a correction to the downside, but people could all go nuts. There aren't a lot of shorts out there. Maybe the last few will be out there. I've been looking for some kind of blow off top. Don't know if we get it in our day or if we get it somewhere else, but be very advised, the markets are thin at the moment. 877-927-6648, okay, and what else? Oh, you can reach me at path at tfnn.com. For other stuff going on out here, had a lot of emails that I answered about China tariffs. Probably the biggest one is just how big were they? It was about 25%. Some other boards and that kind of stuff could come down significantly, but it's all PCB boards, printed circuit board finished assembled products and power supplies, which were not changed in over the weekend. The inverted yield curve continues to hit us and somebody in the den was nice enough to post what was it, the inversion in the two to 10 year now. Generally, those are very ominous things. Everybody's just, I think kind of acting like it's not happening, at least as far as I can tell. Many people continue to email me with, I would say Elvis sightings that the Fed is still very active and they may be, I just don't know really and haven't heard a whole lot from my sources about what they're doing. The general consensus though, and most of these folks is they did come in last night to start supporting the bonds a little bit. TLT is up a buck 18 as we speak, 130.93. We did talk about how it was testing those previous loads on lighter volume. And I thought there was a chance that you could bounce as high as 136 in this. I don't know if we get that much, but certainly you did come in there with a little lighter volume. It wasn't that much lighter, but it was light enough. Now you're back into the trading range, but the volume absolutely stinks today. Yesterday had 17.6 million shares in the TLT. Today you got about 9.8. So there isn't a whole lot out here. There's a bunch of stair step gaps, which you might say, like I said, 134, maybe as high as 136. There's a double gap at 139. I think that's kind of the long shot out here. Actually, there's a triple gap, two gaps down and one gap up, going back to the third at the beginning of the month. So just keep a close eye on it. We kind of, what do we get? Well, I'm 31.42 for the high today or in about the last hour. And I'm wondering if that didn't have something to do with the light volume that I'm seeing over the last couple of hours. Again, you can email me at path at tfnn.com. And of course you can always put a message in the den. That's it. Gaps or opportunities. Certainly we have those in the TLT. Now back to my list of stuff. After the bell tonight, also we've got Chewy, CHWI. It would be very interesting on this one is mostly because just how tough it had been for these guys with supply disruptions. I continue to see people buying stuff from them. So they're getting stuff. Energy on the way up is about the same on the way down. You did have kind of a nice test out here of the January 24th low at 3670. You got to 35.59 on just a little under 4 million shares. Back in the trading range and back up. I don't know if their supply chains issues are over, but it will be interesting to watch after the close tonight. What else did I have on my list of stuff? I think that's about it. Got all those answered. Let's do a little history and they'll just move on to straight charts. When we return. On this day in 1989, Pixar wins an Academy Award for 10 Toy, the first entirely computer animated work to win the best animated short film category. Pixar now a division of Disney continued its success. The string of shorts and first entirely computer animated feature link film, The Best Selling. I don't know if it's a best selling, best attended toy story. Of course, they sold lots of toys, so maybe it is the best selling toy story. And of course, what was it? 1994, 1996, but yeah, most of those short Pixar animated movies really got me interested in that part of the business and why I ended up getting into that in the 1990s. Of course, now pretty much a Eastern, old Eastern block business where they almost picked up entirely all of Hollywood in special effects and moved them over there because the labor rate was about 25% of what it was in Hollywood. And I always was amazed about how many people talked about how things should work and what they should be and pushing union stories and then instantly moving everything offshore because it was much cheaper. And of course, there's two people in Hollywood. There's people that actually have the cash and the people that want the cash to make movies and the people that have the cash always win. But that's part of it. Anyway, that's kind of it. Let's take a look, see anything else go back to this. Is it possible all these mutual funds are chasing each other performance return for the quarter driving prices up till the end of the quarter on Thursday? It is, but I don't think that there's much out here. I think everybody, if the feds are not lying, if they haven't and not gonna throw $30 million or $30 million back into the bonds, I don't know how even if money's coming up, we'll be back in a minute. Are you grinding in the market but seeing little to no return or are you a successful trader simply looking to make your job a little easier? Learn to take the path of least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter. David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades. Support and resistance define the ranges in which stocks trade. By understanding these trading ranges, David White is able to find a path of least resistance. 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From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, tfnn. Educating investors. Free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. As we return a question in the den, $1,000 for Tesla by Friday. Well, they've come right into the previous high right now. You got about 18 million shares compared to 33 on the previous 1208 high and 25 million on the previous 1243 high. And so, you know, is the energy all that great? It's been pretty good for the last, you know, as gas was going up. Of course, a lot of the gap from yesterday and a little bit of what today is, is them talking about splitting the stock. Now, generally there's two things if you're a big Wall Street tycoon and you have your own fund or you work at Goldman Sachs or whatever, you like very high price stocks like Amazon and Tesla. The reason is that a lot of people don't short it and it becomes harder to beat it down. So, and of course, when people do start shorting it, it's fairly easy to buy a few shares and drive it because it's fairly expensive. So, if you got some deep pockets, it's fairly easy to go after. We are in at the very top of a downtrend in Tesla, but generally what happens is you get the gap, everybody's all excited, you get the split going. Historically, when you've had these big stocks like, well, Amazon hadn't quite done it yet, Tesla will, once you get the split, the character of trading actually changes quite a bit. And in the past, when we've seen rather big splits, it generally, I would say 80% of the time ends up being a spot where the big guys, there isn't a lot of destruction right off the top, but the big guys use the retail trader who's thinking he's gonna come back in and clean up. Now that the splits out here, the stock's only 200 bucks now compared to 1,000, so it's gotta be much better even if there are five times as many shares. Well, the big guys on the street almost always, like I said, 80, I'm gonna say 80% or more, use it to distribute the stock. So I would be very careful about anything higher, but at the same time, at the same time, we probably cleaned out anybody that was short on Tesla over the last couple of days, but it's still interesting nonetheless. I will say this. The light volume is not something that you like as a follow up, but I think if it's gonna fail, if you're looking for a lower, it's gonna fail on the next day. If it's not headed down lower by tomorrow, then it could hang up. The problem is that everybody thinks that splits are a panacea and it will bring the retail trader back in. It certainly does, but they tend to be much weaker hands than the big guys on Wall Street. And if anything I could say about Amazon or Tesla, all of the businesses and the management is wildly different, I suspect that these stocks are set up for mass distribution maybe over 10 years, maybe more. Tesla, I don't think it's gonna last that long. Competition will come on. They'll probably get their factories in China eventually attached by the communists and lose everything they have over there. I'm just figuring that things are not gonna get better with China and us, but you know what, you see others. But anyway, splits kind of inoculate a stock for a little while. So I'm not looking for a whole lot out here, but if the market decides to turn, like I said, this is scary low volume over the last two hours. This is the kind of stuff you see right before the Fed meeting. And we're here, it's gonna be interesting, but we shall see. I've been waiting for some kind of blow off top just on the internals of the market and it's unclear whether or not we're gonna get that fairly soon. But you know what? I think this is a gift and I've added to some short positions. To, to, to, okay. He only wants 999. A thousand is not it, but that's it. Rivian's up 16%, we'll take a look at that. UV market. Yeah, I think Rivian was pretty massively shorted. To see what we have here. Yeah, 28% short yesterday for the FINRA data. 29% the day before, 30% the day before. Yeah, you had a lot of people short this thing, I would imagine. And you know, getting a nice pop out of here, not too bad. The big problem they have is they've got an interesting product. They've alienated a lot of their buyers and run them off. I don't know if they care because they probably had 10 orders for every one car. So if the alienated five of them, they probably still have five. They raised their prices extensively before the pre-order. And I think it's, I want to say $16,000 more than it was when they did the pre-order. There's probably some reasons that we are well aware of on why everything's gone up. Rivian, of course, was gonna be bought out by Ford. And now Ford's got its own pickup truck. A lot of good ideas in the Rivian thing. It's like a lot of stuff and technology that come up with a lot of good ideas and everybody else just copies them. And I wonder just, you know, at what point do these guys have to sell out to somebody else? They use a lot of Ford running gear. So the question is, can anybody but Ford actually buy them? And I think that decision makes it very tough to go after them. Give me call today, 877-927-6648. If you have any deep and burning questions, there's ointments and lotions for those. I'll be more than glad to tell you how to do it. Yeah, good day to give me a big call. As I said, I'm waiting for the volume to come in. I think it will before the end of the day. But the very light volume here makes it very susceptible to moves either way, at least in the 10, 15 minute range. But we'll see how it does. See if there's anything else out here and check our email and see. Okay. Question about work day. One of my favorite companies, not necessarily the stock. You're certainly going back into the 6.6 million chair, March 3rd high. What do you got today about a million chairs? That's kind of it. Where would you short hood? Well, we're gonna run out of time here. But when we come back, we will feel all as inquiring minds on top. Having fun trading the markets, but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with, become an apex predator in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den Trading Room only at tfnn.com. 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As we come back and the question was about where were we short Robin Hood, I will answer that in a second. Had another one that I forgot to answer earlier, which is Microsoft. Yeah, you're testing the 314 high, that's the February 2nd high, had 46 million shares with 16.9, what's called 17 million shares. So that's telling you a lot. You also have a kind of a hanging man out here for a doji today. You did go through both of these gaps. You had a little bit more of all you yesterday, 20, well it's called 30 million. You still needed something in that neighborhood of 45 or 50 million shares. It's really signaling you're gonna go. I wouldn't be shorting this one, but there are a lot out here that look rather similar. Which is a very light volume. Now in Robin Hood, as I said, three, four days out here on the mid 20% for FINRA data shorting. And that's it, very light volume out here. So yeah, tough. Oh, we wanted to go to Hood, which is what I was talking about the shorting, which I did not go. You got, I don't know, where would I short Robin Hood? 40 bucks. I don't short stocks below 30 bucks. Your chances of getting your head handed to you, pretty high. You got a nice gap there. You got a nice bounce here. I just, you know, if you're gonna be short overnight in these things, or if you're not gonna have your finger on a mouse, I'm not one of these guys that would short a $17 stock. The law of numbers, big numbers and small numbers, you're just fighting. But I'd need 40 bucks before I'd even consider shorting Robin Hood yet again. Lots of questions about fund buying. I don't think that there's a lot gonna happen. Now, the Fed could be lying to us. They could dump out as much cash. Everybody could be right about that. And they could just be totally lying to us. But I don't know how you ever listen to them ever again. At least they're in the past when they've folded, they've said something. But this'll be interesting. But yeah, I mean, we're up here with very, very light volume in some of these leaders. In fact, let's go look at Apple and see how it's doing. You're back up into this. Got about what, 60? 61 million shares. You had a top up there, 153 million shares. The last one on February 9th came with 90 million shares. It may do 75, so you're gonna be a little light. Again, maybe these things just trip all the way to the top. And you could get that in the next couple of days, but we'll see you today. I think today is gonna give you a question whether everybody decides to sell the move and we see some kind of top, or maybe we do just stumble up into earnings and get yet another kind of wicked move higher. But from looking at Apple and Microsoft, all these are fairly light in volume. Let's take a look at Google. We don't talk about that much. Google's up today on to do just under a million, well, 9.3 million, I won't even say that, 930,000 shares. Yesterday had 1.8 million shares, so again, fairly light. Do you get back up to this gap? That'd be another 100 points higher. Man, that's a tough one. These guys got a lot of problems coming ahead and one of the old executives, Schmidt, is maybe facing some action for some of the stuff that he did, but we do not know at the moment. Question from Metamucil, from Ron. You've bounced back up here. You're back up to the gap down, which really goes back to February 11th. On that one, you got just light volume. If you were gonna short this thing, you got a double gap, 260, and that's where I'd have to look. I can't see being short this thing now. It may not get there, but if you were looking for any kind of decent spot for a bigger ABC on the way down, yeah, 260-ish right there, that double gap comes in. And of course, that takes you back to this huge gap down on earnings from the 3rd of February, where everybody's gonna be wanting to try to get out if they've held through this mass all the way down to 185. See what else we have. Restoration hardware may be one of the most overpriced stocks of all time. They were able, through Hook and Crook, to get it up to those highs. I'd want 500 bucks to short it, there's a gap there. Do you go back and retest 320-81 first? You could if the market doesn't get moving. And higher, this thing's gonna have to have a lot of help from the general market. But interest rates, all that stuff, really blowing, it's got the wind in its face, not at its back. Another one about Lululemon, let's go through that. Oh, I've got, for some reason, everything quit moving here. I thought nobody was typing anything in the den. Okay, let's see if we have anything else out here. I got a lot of stuff. Okay. But this time it's different, okay. Through here, do I have anything? Okay, don't think so. Okay, so we looked at Lululemon here. Lululemon's testing, it's previous high. Didn't hold it. We got a doji on February 2nd with 2.25 million shares. You're into it today. Not really holding it with 1.7 million shares. So the volume isn't as bad as you would think. That one's kind of probably sideways. I think now that it's hit that high, it may need to build some steam before it can get any higher. But those are that. We'll be back in a minute. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area, including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa and Clearwater markets? Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay Area. 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You had about 16 million shares on that. You got about seven million shares as it went through that gap and then reversed today. So you got your first signs of a fairly decent support level here. You also have one gap underneath it. That gap had 18 million shares. So you got 18 million and then 16 million. So I would have liked to seen a little less in the way of volume yesterday. You're getting that finally today. And you could be basing out here for a nice run. My guess though is it's problematic. I think the rest of the markets too coming in here, but gold's price is not just telling you something about gold. I think it's telling you something about the general markets too. What else do we have here? Let me go back and look. Okay. The usual suspects in technology. AMD's got a little doji at here. The volume's not all that exciting. 92, 93 million shares yesterday, 74 million shares today. You're going back into a little bit of a high on the 28th of February. That had 124 million shares. So a little bit light on that. Take a look at NVDA. We'll go to the SMHs. NVDA, a little better off mostly because it had its dog and pony that we highlighted last week during the show. As I said, incredibly impressive stuff. What you don't have is a lot of follow through. You're in the third day. Volumes kind of decreased on each one and it hadn't really gone higher. Today, 35, 36 million shares compared to that huge day up on 87. Back into the trading range. Again, I'm not going to short this thing, but my guess is this thing looks like it wants to go back into the trading range. It may need a little bit more consolidation out of that. To okay, let's take a look at the SMHs. And you get bound back on the 10th of February. You did so on 8.3 million shares in the SMHs. You got a little dojiat here today on 4.7 million shares so far. But yeah, you got 10 million, 8.3 million. Today, just not a lot of confidence. Energy off the lows, about 20% lighter. Not the end of the world, but you had more volume on the way down, which suggests that this is going to be weak for a little while. You also did not have a light volume low as many other stocks did. 27, excuse me, 237.33, he said, 32, yeah. That's the March 14th low, so that is still open up here with 13 million shares. And there's a lot of reasons why it could come back. Let's take a quick look at Micron. This one again, kind of a little hanging man out here on the doji scale. You're up, you got better volume. This is still probably the class of the straight play in technology. Yeah, volume's not all that bad, but it doesn't look like a breakout or anything. There isn't significant volume. Let's take a quick look at Taiwan Semi-conductor. Now this came off, everybody's still worried about China invading while we're distracted with Russia. I'm sure they think it's a good time. 224, the February 24th we gapped down with 27.5 million shares. We're back into those candles today with 8.6 million shares. So yeah, that's still, we're really huffing on volume right now. 9.3 billion shares. And that was having about seven and a half billion shares right after lunch. So it's been incredibly quiet for that time. So just keep an eye out here on possible fast action before the bell closes as the volume remains that light. Okay, okay. And CCJ for Robert. Yeah, this came back into the trading range and you never liked that when it busts out. It never really had the volume that you wanted. You wanted something like this 28 million share high on September 13th of 2021. You did kind of work against it. You did have about 17, 18 million shares on the 21st of March. So you had that good day. You really didn't have any follow-through days. They all sold off. You're back into this area. But again, for some reason, I think people will keep trading this like you're trading oil. And maybe it's just because it's part of some ETFs that do that. But my guess is that eventually this thing's gonna break away from the trend in oil or crude and get back into what it should trade in and on is its own supply and demand. But that's a little different. Crude oils down a buck, 104, 94. Of course, that went down earlier in the day to what was that? Yeah. And 90, what is that, the low out here? The 95.04 was, well, that's not today. Come on, we've had around here. Ah, come on. Let's go to the daily. Just quit looking at it. Okay. There we go. 99.33 is the low. Did I show, did I have a lower one? 99.95, 99.33. So we're back up 100. So 100 is kind of holding on crude, but that's it. Joby, someone mentions in the den. Interesting company. I don't think that they make it. I wrote a fairly in-depth piece of how it's gonna be probably three to five years before they have paying customers in their vehicles unless the FAA just doesn't do anything. But they don't have any of the regulations or anything really done yet. They crashed their primary vehicle, which is one of the reasons why this thing is kind of down here at the low. Again, big push going above the February 16th high that had 18 million steers. We've got about a little less than 10 right now. We'll be back in a minute. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority in technical market analysis, and it's not just dry, tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern for free. Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. 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Your investment can be anywhere from $100,000 to $500,000. You wanna make $1,000 per year on $100,000 invested or $7,000 per year on a secured Tiger First Mortgage. The Tiger First Mortgage Program may be just the program for you. The Tiger First Mortgage Program pays 7% per year, paid monthly. For more information, you can call 877-518-9190. That's 877-518-9190. Catch Tom O'Brien, professional trader and educator, founder of TFNN. Also a special guest on CNBC. Tom will bisect and dissect the markets. The Tom O'Brien Show, next on TFNN. And Tom in the Den made me think about Joby. One of the reasons I'm not hot on it is that the FAA requires that you have, depending on what it is, 30, 45-minute reserve. For this, they need a 45-minute reserve is what the FAA would say, probably for the first five years of the flight till they get some data back on what's going on in these. So 45 minutes from an hour and 30 minutes only means that you got 45 minutes of range. That's the same exact problem that electric trainers have. If you're just gonna stay in the pattern around the airport, that's fine. But you can't really go more than about 10 minutes away and not bust the FAA minimums for 45 minutes. So are they gonna void that? I don't think so. Another problem that Joby has is they're trying to thread the needle. And I don't think the FAA is gonna let them have it either way. They wanna use half the regulations as an aircraft and half the regulations as a helicopter. And I don't think they're gonna get away with that either, but that's what they're pushing for in the documentation for them going public and everything. Is there basically have this idea that they're gonna be able to get the FAA to do whatever they want? It's not been the history that new companies like this get that. But, and I said, like I said already, the first unit that they had already crashed and they won't tell anybody why it crashed or what it looks like now, only that they're flying version two at the moment. But yeah, maybe places other than the United States, but it's very tough to sell aircraft that aren't US approved or EU approved. Either one, you just never get the kind of volume you want. So when you can, not when you have to, we'll see you buying the light volume here in the last hour of the day. Buying the items, so when you can, not when you have to, we'll see you here tomorrow.