 Typically the format for this podcast is I will give out three pitchers I like at the top and usually it's two studs and then one value play below $9,000 The reason I do that is in focusing on the studs is that studs are better. They have higher salaries for reasons I need strikeouts usually to get strikeouts. You got to pay the Piper for tonight None of my top three pitchers carry a salary above $9,000 like sure Corbin burns is fun. Lancelin is solid Kevin Gosman facing the Astros, you know, that's that Chris Bass has been declining Rubber ball beds not a big strikeout guy. Hosea Barrios might not start for tonight Those are the guys above $9,000 and it's easy to poke holes in all of them So for today my top three pitchers are all I believe in the 8,000 range Indeed they are so we're gonna be talking a lot about that range and talking about pitchers who may not have studs salaries but can't have stud performances Based on the strikeouts they provide welcome on into the solo shot That's right here on the fan dual podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim Sonnis. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm here to break down today's 15 game Main slate but locks ever 705 for tonight before we dive in a quick programming note There is no Q&A for today. Dr. Disrespect is taking over the fandal YouTube page at 1 p.m Eastern's make sure you swing by for that if you're a fan of the two-time defending champion Make sure you check that out today now at 1 p.m. Eastern and so no Q&A But I'll be around during the afternoon take some questions on Twitter if you want to ask over there So if things change if guys get traded, you know stuff like that feel free to hit me up And I'll take any questions over there for sure The other program we notice that I am out all of next week and half of the following week So Tom Vecchia will have you covered both for the Q&A and the solo shot next week Make sure you follow Tom on Twitter at DFS underscore Tom. It'll still be the same times the same places So check out Tom over there Austin swing will be covering me for the NASCAR podcast next week as well speaking of Austin His UFC podcast for this week is posted breaking down the Saturday card You can find that by searching for the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed Wherever you get your podcast and while you're there leave us a rating and review as well as far as tonight goes from LB DFS The blue Jays are at the Roger Center for the first time in almost two years to face the Royals So if you are noting park factors, make sure you note that they are in Toronto for the first time in a very long time That's awesome. It's so good to see the Jays back at home. The wind is blowing in at 14 miles per hour It is just 65 degrees Given the way the stadium is constructed I don't know how much the wind blowing in will affect things just because the the sides of the stadium are so high So personally, I'm not going to care too much about the winds, but the low temperature does downgrade hitters there a bit Still going to stack the Jays. Let's go Canada winds are in from left field at 14 miles per hour for the Mets and the Reds Downgrade hitters a bit there as well. So two win notes. It looks like there shouldn't be too much rain for today So should be good to play things straight up for tonight a soccer fans this season Fandal and Captain Morgan are teaming up to give you a one-of-a-kind soccer contest Introducing the Captain Morgan soccer pick them a free weekly fantasy contest that is entirely free to play the contest is simple All you have to do is make quick predictions for Saturday games this soccer season You will earn points for each correct pick you can be for a chance to win up to $3,000 in prizes every single week head over to Fandal and enter the captain Morgan soccer pick up must be 21 plus to participate for more details as a fandal.com or download the Fandal fantasy app eligibility restrictions apply and don't forget to make your game day more delicious and Sub in the captain pitching preview for this Friday main slate Corbin Burns checks in with the highest salary on Fandal He is eleven thousand two hundred dollars. He's fine I definitely am okay with burns the things we discussed with the Brewers pitching staff yesterday are weighing on my mind Because they did piggyback Peralta two starts ago and they'll probably do it to Burns or Woodruff at some point So they're gonna get dinged Every day the rest of the year until the playoffs Lance Lynn is ten seven strikeouts haven't been Quite as abundant for Lance Lynn recently still been fine So I think that you can definitely go to Lance Lynn and among the highest salary guys I might be highest on Lynn for tonight Kevin Gosman is ten two velocity has been down a bit His splitter usage went way down last time out. That's concerning to me with Gosman. We have I miss the salaries. Where did I go? Oh wrong page? Okay? Chris Bassett is ninety four hundred dollars strikeouts down a bit for him tough matchup from Breval Des is 92 Not a big strikeout guy facing a team with a bunch of righties Jose Barrios facing the Cardinals good matchup but he's on the road and Who knows if he'll start tonight? So the key range tonight is the mid-range at $8,000 Patrick Sandoval Logan Gilbert Carlos Carrasco Tukitou Sante John Gray Tarek scuba and Sonny Gray the others at $8,000 are higher and Of those guys, I like Logan Gilbert most I will say the Mariners website does not officially list Gilbert as a starting pitcher They don't have anyone listed and Gilbert is not listed on Saturday I have not seen anywhere else that'll be anyone other than Gilbert So I'm assuming it will be him, but I will say right now if you listen to this afternoon go to Number fire go to somewhere else See who the Mariners probable pitcher is I think it's Gilbert, but they have not said so we'll see But I think it will be Gilbert for tonight under that assumption It's a good spot because the Rangers just traded away Logan or Joey Gallo They were not that good of an offense to begin with so I think they're gonna be a plum target for starting pitchers going forward Which is good for Gilbert. It's not just the matchup the matchup's great I mean Texas had an 85 WRC plus versus righties even before subtracting Gallo Their strikeout rate will go down, but it'll still be around 24 percent, which is high But Gilbert's is higher. He did struggle a bit when he first got to the big leagues But over the past seven starts he has increased his forcing fastball usage And it seems to have steadied him out in that time Gilbert has a 32 percent strikeout rate His walk rate is 4% that gives him a 2.93 skill interactive ERA Which is the lowest on the slate and the best among any pitcher With more than two starts in their most relevant sample. That's awesome. We'll take that for sure It hasn't led to any massive single game blow ups or DFS yet his maximum number of strikeouts is nine But he does have the pitch count to get there They let him go over a hundred pitches three times that nine strikeout game that he had was on the road Which is where he will be tonight So I've seen enough with Gilbert to believe that he's legit you put that in a plus matchup and I'm in Gilbert even on a 15 game slaying is very deserving. Assuming he is a starter I will have him at the top of my list for tonight. He's tremendous matchup. Very good So let's ride with Logan Gilbert again assuming the Mariners officially nuts as a starter check back on that later on For our second pitcher, it's actually a guy at the exact same salary So what you can do is duplicate the line up put Gilbert in one and put Patrick Sandoval in the other And it might feel a bit point-chasing to go to Patrick Sandoval tonight because he was Absolutely dominant over the weekend. He almost no hit the Twins. He had 13 strikeouts there He's facing the ace tonight. They just added starling Marta who is very skilled against lefties I am still on board with Sandoval at $8,800 and part of it is that Sandoval's explosion to me was not a fluke It was predictable I used him on that slate because there were a lot of things saying hey this guy's getting strikeouts He's been on the ascent for a bit He has been leaning more on his slider over his past five starts and it's a good pitch And it gives him a second pitch that he has that generates a lot of widths His change up being the other the whiff rate on his slider is 40% according to baseball savants The whiff rate on his change up is 54% and not shockingly Having two disgusting pitches has led to a ton of strikeouts. Who knew strange world his strikeout rate in that time is 32% That ranks second on the slate behind just Gilbert. He's letting up hard contact is 27% of the time Sandoval does walk a few too many guys, but that's kind of the one flaw. We've got here This is very much, you know, not a match-up base play I'm hesitant to use lefties against EA's especially with Marte in the fold now But I just think that Sandoval is legit and I want to be high on him for tonight So he's my number two behind just Gilbert the advantage that Sandoval has is he's at home But the match-up being as good as it is for Gilbert Sways me and puts Gilbert comfortably first Sandoval comfortably second for me for the third slot I will go to key to science. You can make a strong case for Corbin burns other side here But two keys at home better match-up and he's dealing right now. So it's hard for me to ignore him He's made just two starts in the big leagues, which is a very small sample But he was getting strikeouts in triple A as well Which makes it easier for me to buy in to what he has done in those two starts in the big leagues Tukey has a 2.88 skill interactive ER a with a 29% strikeout rate and just a 4% walk rate a key thing that he's doing outside of the strikeouts that he's keeping the ball on the ground and that's Important because he is letting up a lot of hard contact. That is an issue that he had last year as well But Tucson has a different repertoire this year. He has reattended a sinker that he kind of put in his back pocket last year He's throwing that pitch 48% of the time and it does seem to be killing some worms It did that in triple A to so bad at ball data takes longer to stabilize than strikeout rates But we did see both the strikeouts and the bad at ball data be there when he was in the minors as well The Brewers are not really at offense. We have to fear right now. They have a 90 WRC plus versus righties They 25% strikeout rate. So that's the good with Tukey I think the two best arguments against Tucson and why he's not higher on this list are the weather and the pitch count It is very warm in Atlanta. That's good for hitting and Tucson has not topped 90 pitches yet this year. He did hit 90 though his last time out So I think he could go longer. We haven't seen it quite yet That's why I'm willing to use him here, but I do have to dig him a bit as a result of pitch count and weather So I'm into Tukey here, but I do think he is a decent chunk behind Gilbert and Sandoval for tonight So to me pitching is all about the mid-range. It is Gilbert one Sandoval two Tukey Tucson three and We'll be lower on the the top end which is always kind of scary Especially given there are some guys with low potential there But I think that given the way the slate breaks down given some of the red flags around those studs I do think this is the correct way to play things Let's move now to stacks and the good thing the benefit of using mid-range pitchers as we can splurge at our stacks And I would love to do so with the Toronto Blue Jays despite the Underwhelming weather for hitting for tonight in Toronto. I love stacking them against pretty much any non Solid lefty. They're facing Daniel Lynch tonight and he has promise But I do think this is a spot to stack against him and the part of the reason he has promises Not just the prospect pedigree, but because he was fantastic last time out He came back up after having spent the previous couple months in triple a and he held the Tigers scoreless for eight innings And they're hitting the ball really well. So that's very impressive I don't think that should scare us off here though The first thing is that he did have a lot of batted ball luck in that game Lynch did he had just four strikeout So clearly Babak was in his favor, but he wasn't Stifling with the balls he in play he did allow eight of 24 were hard hit which is 33% that's better than league average So kudos to him there But it's not like an outlier and not enough to totally like push me off The one change I would expect to carry is that he did get some ground balls Lynch was doing that in triple a as well So I think that will likely translate But in the minors before he got the call-up Lynch did still have some rocky outings He led up seven runs and eight runs in two of his July starts It's possible. He has figured everything out because he's got lots of talent. So I would not be shocked I just haven't seen enough to believe that yet even with last week start going so well I will adjust that if he does well again here given how tough the matchup is but for tonight Give me the J stacks once again We are happy to be back in Canada with the blue J's the guy who gets the biggest bump against the lefty is Taos car Hernandez his ISO against them is 356 That's about 200 points higher than it is against righties and his strikeout rate is 19% So I think taos car is a focal point for tonight And I would love to be aggressive with him Lorde's Gouriel bit banged up didn't play yesterday, but Sounds like he could play I also do think he gets a bump up with the platoon advantage his splits are not that drastic versus righty versus lefty But I do think that he does deserve a bump up as well So taos car the big benefactor Gouriel the secondary benefactor then the stack The Philly standard are facing will crow who is coming off a nine strikeout game against the Giants which is a super impressive outing and He hasn't had many blow-ups recently But I still think it's worthwhile to stack against him here The interesting thing about the Giants game is that it came with decreased fastball velocity He was at 93.3 miles per hour in that game It was his fourth straight start under his season-long garage of 94 miles per hour So it wasn't just San Francisco in cold weather. He's been down a bit recently And he's had a swing and strike rate at be at least 11% each of those starts so it's possible that Crow has changed something up here getting increased movement because velocity is not everything and you know Maybe he's getting more movement. So we could see crow turn a corner But I'm still interested in stacking against him here crow has not been flawless in this stretch His walk rate is 11% his fly ball rate is 47% and that's a recipe for beginnings when you pair walks and fly balls together We have not seen those all that often against crow recently But he did let up four runs against the Mets including a pair of home runs So I am okay stacking here even if crow has been making strides of late Technically righties have performed much better against crow than lefties this year and his strikeout rate is lower against righties But he does let up a higher hard hit rates and fly ball rate to lefties So I'm fine treating righties and lefties relatively even here Which is good because affiliates have a solid mix of both guys So I am good going back to the guys are the best numbers against righties overall and going from there Bryce Harper Reese Hoskins are both banged up I am good to stack if just Hoskins sits if it's just one that's fine I can deal with that but if both he and Harper are out they will get bumped down for me So keep an eye on the lineup for the Phillies if there's no Bryce no Hoskins that will change things for sure So keep an eye on who they do want to playing for today Our third stack is a team that has been unkind to us this week That's the white socks I have stacked them a couple times this week against lefties no less and it didn't go all that well They get a righty tonight, but I am willing to give them a shot once again. They're facing JC Mejia He's been lining up tons of runs recently He's led up four plus runs in four straight starts and five this past six his ERA overall starter is 8.58 Part of that's because he's faced some super tough teams Bunch of Houston starts in their 10th Bay But there are also issues in his profile Although Mejia does get some ground balls his hard hit rate is 48 percent That's well above average and that means when it's not on the ground It's gonna be a problem. Mejia led up three home runs his last time out against the race Now this matchup is not as bad for him as the one against the race because they have a bunch of lefties Their best hitters are lefties and he really struggles against lefties the white socks their best guys and Anderson the Bray you are righties so it's not a must act spot and It does it does get us into a situation where we can bump them down But I do still like them here and I'd bump with the lefties quite a bit within the stack Primarily that means you all Moncada Gavin sheets and Brian Goodwin assuming they all play It also does help say so Hernandez as well. He has a 150 ISO against righties That's not high. I prefer Hernandez versus lefties But it's high enough for me to use it because that ISO is actually not too far behind Moncada So see which lefties cracked the lineup. I'd be very willing to use them here I'm not saying gloss over a Bray you and Anderson. This means they're able to play But I do think we bump up Moncada sheets Goodwin Hernandez as a result of how much Mejia has struggled against lefties so far this year Let's move now to things to watch a couple guys are scheduled to start now But might wind up getting traded those guys are Jose Barrios and John Gray It sounds like Gray might not get traded that is the report this morning So we can make plans around him against the Padres. He's been good But that's a tough match up as far as Barrios seems more likely he goes So check on the twins starter later on there might be some wiggle room there to stack the cardinals I also don't mind stacking the twins on the other side of that game They're facing Wade LeBlanc and over his pass for starts LeBlanc has seen his bad at ball data We're really going to climb his strike area to 15% with a 5.51 skill interactive ER race We can stack against him right now Josh Donaldson probably not gonna get traded because his contract is a bit too hefty or a palanquin likely to stick Brent Rucker won't be going anywhere though They don't a DH for this game that could squeeze him out of the lineup Would be shocked to be plays over Trevor Larnack, but Keeping on that and then Mitch Garver would be great if he can play through a hand injury But if he can't play Ryan Jeffers is sweet, too So the twins overall a team I am willing to stack so I don't think we'll lose too many guys from that team at the deadline Finally, I would love to tell you to stack the Cubs because it seems likely they will face John Lester tonight That's not confirmed revenge game for John Lester, but a great match for the Cubs if that happens I just don't know what they're gonna look like tonight because They could trade Javi Baez they could trade Chris Bryant if those guys aren't there like yeah, you know Maybe you can go Wilson Contreras Patrick wisdom David Bode for for righties and one to use here I just don't know who else to be there beyond that's maybe the Cubs for one off so they keep an eye on them But don't use bad players in order to stack a team in a plus matchup That is what I would say it was it pertains to the Cubs for today Let's finish up with the Dinger calls forward to night one boring one and one a fun one The boring one is going to be Bryce Harper hoping that he plays facing will crow a guy who has led up a bunch of flyballs recently I think this is a good spot for Bryce didn't have back spasm So not a lock to play, but if he does I will be very happy to use Bryce Harper for tonight So Harper is number one The more fun play and I'm gonna Dean this one is being fun because again We get to make up the rules here because I'm glossing over Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Because I'm glossing over George Springer Marcus Semi in Boba Shet I'm okay putting Teoscar Hernandez in the fun tier Teoscar Hernandez Disgusting against lefties so might be cheating to put him in the fun tier as opposed to the boring tier But you know again, it's Friday. I don't care. We're gonna have some fun So the homerun calls for today Bryce Harper and Teoscar Hernandez That is all that we have here for today once again a reminder Make sure you follow Tom Vecchio on Twitter at DFS underscore Tom They'll be filling in for me next week both for the solo shot and the Q&A Also your reminder no Q&A today because doctor disrespect taking over the Fandall YouTube page at 1 p.m That will be a blast to watch while I'm watching feel free hitting up questions on Twitter at Jim Sonnis J I M S A N N E S If you have any questions about tonight's DFS slate as things change due to the trade deadline Also make sure you follow the Fandall podcast network at Fandall podcast big Thank you to everyone for tuning in for today. Enjoy the trade deadline Hopefully things go well for your teams and hopefully go things go well for you tonight in DFS We'll talk to you once again in like almost two weeks be fun. We'll talk to you later This has been the solo shot right here on the Fandall podcast network