 The following is a presentation of TFNN. Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-445-1044. Now, David White. And welcome everyone to another exciting edition of the Power Trading Hour with me. You're humble, lovable and squeezibly soft. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. And as we start to show off the S&Ps off 12, the Dow's down 87, Nasdaq's off 42, the Russell up almost 4, 376. On other things going on out there, gold's up about 10 bucks at $13.22. Still in kind of this trading range, silver a little better off a little over 1%, Platinum up 1.4%, and Mr. Copper not looking good, still under that $3 mark where you really see the bull market start in that $2.85 and 6 tenths of 1 cent. What else do we have happening? Well, just kind of a weekday pushing down so far. When we look at the volumes on the day, we're about 4.1 billion shares. So a whole lot, no, very light, no, kind of in the middle. There's a couple of ETFs and indexes that are right on the line, which is kind of what I like because you could step in there and have incredibly tight margins in a market that's very choppy. So we see a few of these things pop back in before the end of the day. That tells you one thing, they lose it. That tells you yet another. So we'll see how the end of the day comes in. I thought maybe we'd get a little bounce today. You still may get one before the end of the day. We're going into fund buying, of course, at the end of the week. You know, we'll normally get a couple of days with some push down before, like we're having today. I thought maybe we'd start leveling out the pricing of some rather large IPOs starts tomorrow night and Wednesday night. There's going to be more than a couple. So we need to see exactly how that's going to sort itself out. And that's about it. We've got kind of a quiet week. We'll look at what other earnings are coming out, but I really didn't see anything that I thought would move the market as much as some other stuff. So what do we got? Well, kind of a hurry up and wait. Have you ever been in the military? That's it. Hurry up and wait. Get ready to go. You can give me call at 877-927-6648. You can email me at pathTFNN.com. And of course, you can always leave a message in the den. First question of the day is, what do I think today's going to do? I think the S&P could end up closing flat out here. I think this is a lot of jitter, but it doesn't have, at least so far, the smell of blowing up, which I thought maybe we would have. Now, maybe that changes before the end of the day. And of course, the last 30 minutes are always the most important of the day. That's where the big volume comes in. We see what the big whales are doing, not as tiny little minnows in the great ocean. I love the fact that they named the boat in Gilligan's Island the minnow. This seems rather appropriate, doesn't it? You never know. Anyway, what else is happening? Apple is out doing their little dance on the catwalk, on the catwalk, doing their little dance on the catwalk, and releasing their new streaming service. And of course, they kind of ran it up into this and now wouldn't be surprised to sell a little bit of the news. And of course, the market getting a little weaker at the same time. So we shall see. And we'll see. Again, volume, not all that exciting. Does that mean that we couldn't move up a little bit more or down a little bit more? It could be. Dollar is right underneath that 96th level, but still in this kind of trading range, 95, 95 and a half, which is down about two tenths of a percent, 19 cents. So is there anything to really hang your hat on here? No, some of the weaker stocks continue to be sold off. And we'll kind of look at that, but a couple of them look like maybe they could bounce over the next few days. So we'll get an idea on that. And I got a request to look at Apple and some of the other stuff. So we will do that also have a request to look on Intel. And we will do that, too, in the next segment or maybe in the end of the segment. Let's get our history in for the day. And then, you know what we'll do? We'll move on. On this day in 1957, France, West Germany, Italy and the Netherlands, Belgium, Luxembourg. Got to remember Luxembourg. I walked across it about five minutes. It's that big. A treaty in Rome establishing the European economic community, also known as the Common Market, the EEC, which became an operation in January in 1958 was a major step in Europe's movement toward economic and political union. And of course, later this grew into the Euro zone. But, you know, they really wanted everybody to exact have the same laws, everything else. And I think in the end, the common currency and laws that are the exact same all over the Euro is the intimate demise because people are a lot different. The areas are a lot different and they need a different governing body or at least somebody that represents them. They used kind of destined to fail because basically what happened was whatever your local representative was supposed to do means nothing to a bunch of people that are just appointed over in Belgium and kind of destined to fail or become a giant, what would you call it? I want to say communism on a little better level, but it just seemed like no matter what happened, you were just screwing over people in one place to have another place. And of course, having the same laws in every country, always kind of tough, always marveled at the Vatican, where the age of consent is 12, never knew that the Vatican was the Alabama of Europe, but apparently it is. And on the stick, apologies to people from Alabama, I like this, I like the state. On this day in 1957, kind of the predecessor to the EU got started. When we come back, we'll look at Apple, then we'll go to Intel, just have plenty of time to call me at 877-927-6648, and then we'll get in with a lot of stocks and charts for the day. The Taz Profile Scanner is the most revolutionary piece of trading software that you will ever try. Would you like to approach the markets with confidence? As you begin your trading day, it's likely that you'll be faced with lots of decisions. In order to make the best decision, the first thing you'll need is a strategy that will help you minimize your risks. Whether we're in a bull or bear market, a good strategy is to have the tools needed to help you scan and analyze the markets before you trade. The Taz Profile Scanner instantly scans and filters over 2,500 global financial markets, such as stocks, ETFs, commodity futures, and forex. 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Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. And as we... First thing we want to look is Apple. Kind of a sell the news, I think, and of course a little bit of the weakness in the general markets. I don't think that there's that much to be had in Apple. I've said this for two years and they've tried, you know, the video streaming service and didn't get any spin. Apple absolutely destroyed the music business and they kind of act like they didn't. Now, maybe someone else is going to come along, but Apple used its position to screw over a lot of folks. And for the last two years, maybe even three years, as Apple's tried to get into the video business, most of those people that were screwed over took ads out in Variety Magazine, which is kind of the magazine of Hollywood. And the music people got their licks in. You like that? Let's see what I did there. Anyway, they got their licks in and warned everybody in Hollywood about... I can't say that. A lot of things I'd like to say, just couldn't get them by the sensors, I don't think. But, you know, basically saying these guys screwed us over, they screwed us over on music, they changed everything and they destroyed the business. We're making about one-tenth the money we made in 2006 before the iPhone really came out. iPod was okay, but as soon as they got the phone and everybody had one device, that was it. They absolutely... Instead of selling an album for 15 bucks, you sold one song and you got 99 cents. The artist may have gotten a quarter. So there just wasn't any money to be made. You buy somebody's album, then maybe you're going to go to the concert, everything else. So the whole ripple thing was a ripple down or trickle down thing was horrific for the music business. Much less the incredibly poor way that everybody in that industry was treated. So this is like the third time Apple's come around and tried to make a streaming service. They've had Apple TV for a while and of course they're trying to push a credit card, which is like the second or third time around. On that one, man, what's called the third time around. So you got kind of all those issues coming back into it. Man, that's about it. Anyway, that's it for Apple. Support comes back in at about 184. But I think there was a lot of sell the sizzle, not the steak. You got the steak today, and I think a lot of people, especially over the weekend, I saw some of those ads targeting anybody that wanted to do business with Apple and warning them of the dreadnought that would crush them if they let it be. Okay. Next, we go on to our question from Pete in San Francisco that wanted to look at Intel, INTC. As I said, in the very short term, there was a bounce coming in to Intel because they got a CFO to become a CEO, something I desperately hate in the long term. In the short term, it always means the stock probably hangs out and goes sideways. Sometimes investors like that in a way that they can get out and hopefully sell their shares to the bigger fool that comes along. Intel, not a bad company, not going out of business. Just think of 2005 to 2013 or 14 of Microsoft just going sideways. They had somebody who really wanted to do something with a company. I liked the direction he was taking. They dredged up something 10 years ago, and the CEO in almost a game of thrones-like position actually did crush the CEO for something that happened 10 years ago and got him tossed out, and then got appointed temporarily and now permanently. Weasels like that. Just know eventually all comes crashing down. I was barely bullish on Intel for a while, but their decision to have poor leadership and in fact they couldn't even find somebody else to take the job because everybody was afraid that exactly the same thing would happen to them and that would be they'd find anything they could to get this guy to get a new CEO thrown out and a new one put in that was probably the same guy that's there now. If you love boardroom controversy, maybe this is a stock for you. If you want to think this thing's going to 75, man, they got a lot of neat products, but this guy is killing off the ones that would probably do well. I just say that until they get rid of the current CEO and replace him with somebody that is a tech-savvy risk taker, the chance of it going up significantly, probably not huge. Weasels are a popular farm animal. I didn't know that. I always thought that they were vermin-like, but they never know. Everybody's got to fair it now. I know that. Is that fair to Weasel? I don't think so, is it? Yeah, we'll find out. Okay, so we got Intel. We got that for Pete, again, not a big fan. Well, we're kind of continuing to slide and I got some stocks that probably should have been down back to their previous lows, and they are not. We'll have to wait and see what happens at the end of the day, but certainly we continue to slide and another point there, 2785 on the S&P cash. So what else do we have? I wanted to go look at some scans from last week. Take a quick look at them. We'll go through some of these. I wanted to see if some of these stocks started to bottom. Applied Optoelectronics AOI going below the previous February 26 low, $12.90. Got into that with one million shares, so about a little more than fourth of the volume on Friday today down with 577,000 shares. This is a business that's always feast or famine, and right now it's famine. I'll see about other ones out here that we want to look at. I'll go through them as much as I could. Again, we're kind of thinking that we get a bounce before the end of the day. We shall see. And maybe we close up there at 2,800. Just kind of feels like they're kind of trying to push out these trades now. I don't see the volume of the energy behind it. It's not like it's vapor. I'm going to say it's 100% chance of a bounce, but it just seems kind of that way. Maybe this is where it starts. We're right around that 230 area where the ramp for the end of the day and a few of the buy orders could come in. So we'll keep an eye on. We'll come back. We'll look at a bunch more stocks. I hear the music. Oh, the beautiful music. We'll be back. David keeps his subscribers up to date with all pertinent market information with intraday afternoon updates when warranted. Don't miss out on this great chance to get a 30-day free trial to David's daily newsletter, The Path of Lease Resistance, with no obligation to pay anything. 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Half points the Dow, let's update that, now down $85, down $44, and the Russell up $1.4. So, still the strongest of them all. Again, I suspect this is a little jitters going into what we have in the next few days, which is IPO pricing. And then, of course, we get to Friday, we get to fund buying started. So, kind of a little bit of a washout. Questions going to be what happens, I think, next week after we get the IPOs out, whether or not we, how far we get back up into the highs. But I do think now that we've got at least the economic conditions to run back up in the highs. The Fed kind of out of the way. There are going to be some wind in our sails. The political intrigue of the nothing burger that came out over the weekend. So, really, we have one thing, and that's the trade issues going forward. And of course, the political issues in the rear view mirror make that trade issue actually probably become a lot more probable than the cloud that's been over our heads for a while. You know, if I was in China, I'd probably do the same thing, which is wait, not really negotiate. And maybe things, maybe the ball bounces our way. We get a weaker president or something. I mean, if you're reading the headlines in your Chinese, maybe that's the way you think. Now they can't think that way. They know they're going to have to deal with somebody or face eventual tariffs and a much stronger bargaining position today. So the question is, how long does it take to get this deal done? Probably a lot less than it did a couple of days ago. And so we'll see. Anyway, we are right at levels like I said that make this kind of a do or die in a few of these indexes. So I think today we close at 2,800 or a little above on the S&P cash. I think we've got just a little push each day, but it's not uncommon for the stock, for at least the people in the stock market, the big men of Wall Street to save a lot of cash to gin up the market into IPO fever, especially when they have huge IPOs. They make more money off of mergers and acquisitions and IPOs than they do on everything else, which is the dirty little secret. Their business is not to make you rich. They're businesses to sell paper or put companies together and get a big conk out of it for themselves and other things. Now back to the charts already in progress. Over most of TFNN. And we're back up to 27.90 and a half. Wanted to look at Accenture. Again, I know how weak these run-ups from December 26th have been. We should have probably had some significant closes. We should have seen some volume come in. We have not seen that, which suggests that you at least get yet another bite at the Apple, not Apple computer, but just an Apple. In Accenture, I suspect maybe you get one more chance at that December 4th high. That's 168.37. That came in with three million shares. You test it with two million shares. It kind of came down on Friday a little bit today, but not much juice so far. So the question is whether or not you can get some volume the next time up through 168. It may not. Most of these companies are stalling out at these levels, by the way. Same thing with Amazon. When we look at it a couple of times into 170, or no, 1780, 1778, which is the December 3rd high, but there was one, a couple, about four bucks lower that with the same volume on November 8th. So you went through it without a sign of strength, i.e. big candle and some volume over the last four days. On Friday, it was down on about the same volume today. A little lower, 3.7 million shares so far. So you're not getting a lot of clues, but certainly not a lot of technical damage yet today. Got a question. What happened on Friday? Why the sell-off? There were a lot of people running around planting rumors, and a lot of people were spooked when the news came out that the Mueller report had been delivered. Everybody saw a boogeyman under the covers. I think that was partly it. We'll know if the market shrugs it all off in a day or so. Kay from Maryland. I want to short the stock. What do you know about it? SHOP. Well, a few things. Shopify is a company. A company that actually TFNN uses. They're kind of a back-in for a lot of websites that want to sell stuff. And you know what? So far, good is that they're easy to move your company into. The bad is that they're not probably as configurable as a custom solution, but that kind of makes sense, right? You've got something that works for a lot of people, but they may not have just the kind of features that you want. But if you want to have something set up that's fairly easy and for them to take care of most of the work of doing stuff, not a bad company. I'm not exactly sure why you want to go short. Maybe another email would tell me that. What you're looking for in this one, if you want to go short, would be a close back above a nine-day or three-by-three-displace-moving average. Let's do that so you can see the same thing. You've got your close below the three-by-three, right? One day above it, then the next day below it would be the trigger. The problem is that you've got about 15 bucks to the downside, which is about 86 bucks. I don't see that much in the way of massive downside. I think there are a lot of stocks that are worse off, but yeah, could you get to 186? I think you could on Shopify, but that's it. Let's go to, thanks Kay for Marilyn. Although I think she's moving to North Carolina, she said last week, let's get through a lot. Let's get through some of these migrations. Okay. And yes, Apple became a bank. I'm watching a few of these things run across the headlines. Okay. Let's go to the next one here. Aristonetworks, another one that rang the bell, and that was the 4 million share high of August 24th. That was $313 on that day with, like I said, 4 million shares. Got into it with 1.66 million shares. Pulled back the next day on just 460,000 shares today. Got about the same thing, 460,000 shares. Now you're just back into the trend line on the way back up. So not a lot has happened yet. Let's turn that off here. And you would really want to think this thing, friends. My guess is if you really bearish, we get one more push up here over the next week or so, and then the market falls apart. Now, I think that a lot of the tax selling, oh. If you're in the CD market and looking for a secure investment, the Tiger First mortgage program may work for you. The security for these first mortgages are building lots in the tax opportunity zone in St. Petersburg, Florida. The Tax Act of 2018 set up tax-free zones across the country where you can build and hold for 10 years and pay no tax on the profits, which makes these lots valuable. The investment is anywhere from $30,000 to $75,000. The interest paid is 7% yearly paid on a monthly basis. 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The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor, Four Side Fund Services, LLC. And we're slowly climbing back up. Like I said, I kind of just felt like the sink's going to close around 2800 on the day. We'll see how the last 30 minutes come in because, of course, that's when the pros do their market-on-close orders, but it just doesn't seem like they go trying to press pricing on these IPOs if they thought the market was going to be closed. They'd put it off a week or two weeks or whatever. And certainly, everything I read says that this is still coming down the line. So, you know, get rid of all the weak hands in the market that you can, which is normally what they'll do. And then, of course, you get a lot of people short. You just kind of move the market up for a little bit. Shorts cover. Everybody feels like, you know, there's a lot of people that don't know what to do. Shorts cover. Everybody feels like it's happy days are here again. They price the IPO. Sometimes it sucks all the air out, and then you want to short. But until I hear some better information, it still looks like it could be four days or five days at any point from the start of a move higher that we could be back up at those 2950 levels if they push hard enough. Now, maybe, like we said, maybe you get up there and there's nothing, but maybe you get up there and all the volume comes in, trade deal comes on. And everybody does start singing happy days are here again. Aspen Technologies, AZPN. We see January 24th, 103, 48, one and a half million shares. Got into that on March 21st with 550,000 shares. So about a third back into the trading range. Not a lot of volume on the downside on Friday. Today, 336,000 shares so far. There is a thing I learned from Tim Ord, though, early on, and that is that the longer stocks hold up at previous highs, the more likely they're going to want to do things. One, gap up and away, or two, at least go up there one more time and spike and have a big interday candle that closes lower and gives you the signal that everything is going to fall apart. I do not see that. Got some questions about what's going on and Boeing. You know, you've had a fairly decent run back down here to 360, mostly on the crash news. And some people asked me why and emailed me over the weekend about why I'm not so much thinking that this is the end of the world for a Boeing company. One, they've got an excellent safety record. When we think about how many people have died in jet crashes compared to even 20 years ago, it's like a fourth. And are they responsible for this? They can be. They can't be. There's about four times as many flight hours as the ones in the United States that are then compared to the ones in third world countries. But basically we've got both plane accidents in third world countries where a lot of the options for safety equipment would the airlines would not pay for. So Boeing didn't put it on. A lot of that safety stuff is what they call an angle of attack indicator that's probably the problem here, which tells you how fast and hard at what angle you're flying in to the wind on. All the ones in the United States have two angle attack. And if they don't both agree, the system for stopping stalls turns off automatically. So you may have five seconds or so in the United States of one having, but apparently there wasn't a lot of discussion. And one of the reasons why there wasn't a lot of discussion in third world is they didn't want to tell pilots, hey, we weren't going to pay for all these new safety devices. And so there we got kind of a stripped down model that got the rubber floor mats. Doesn't have carpet roll up and down windows. It's not that bad, but that's kind of everything I've read so far. That's kind of the homing in. And of course they've got new software that they thoroughly check that comes in, I think on April 10th. So we're not that far away from it. Certainly we're back to this big gap up that goes back to the 30th of January, which is about almost 13 million shares. Now you came down on heavy volume of about 34 million shares, but since then it's been pretty light today. Again, an opportunity to blow out the lows. You had 10 million shares on Friday today is 5.6 million shares. So certainly had the ability to blow through these and if the market tanks, you could probably say that Boeing could take the next ladder down. But I think right now, unless the market does tank, we start closing, well we're at 2794 and a half now. If we get up that 2800 level, I suspect that Boeing, while you may not want to buy it yet, probably is faced the worst of its storm. As long as the market's with it, I think it's okay to do what else do we have? Okay, get a free French dip sandwich at Arby's. I don't know how that got into this email. That's it. Okay, good enough. I need to forward that to somebody. Give me call it 877-927-6648. Anyway, we had Boeing. Let's go to BPR, which is Brookfield Property Reets. Certainly, these are looking a lot better over the last two or three weeks. These looked horrible. They didn't fall apart like I thought they would, mostly because the Fed outpushing this. February 12th, though, $20.37, 3.14159. I almost remembered all that from pie. Million shares were called 3.14 pie shares. Back into it went above it on March 21st with 2.67 million shares. So a little light, but a pullback. And again, today, so far, doji and not a lot of juice. So again, we had the opportunity for everybody to come back from a week where everybody had the jitters going into Friday and possible overthrowing of the government and the storm that did not come. Now, here's one that I find kind of interesting, and that is that you've had a couple of gaps down in the Brazil Bull 3x shares. This is BRZU. Had a gap down on Thursday. Friday, he came down, still had more volume. Today, though, a little bit less. You've got a gap at about 26, so you still have a little bit of damage that could still come out there. But not a lot of follow-through today, which is kind of interesting with the push down earlier in the day. $27.93 on the S&P catch. Okay, so what else do we have? Oh, keep an eye on that one. BCD. Brasilia, another Brasilia stock, actually coming back to support levels. This is back to the gaps back higher on the 10th of January. 868,000 shares back then. Got into it with 1.39 million shares. So you have to kind of watch out. Still, I don't know that about Brazil right now, but it's probably all about commodity pricing, which is what it's always is in Brazil. Continental building products at a 4,100... There we go. We'll be back in just a second. We'll close this show out with a few more. I'm certain you are or strive to be one of the best of the best at everything you do in life. It's the most common trait that we tigers and tigers share. If you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money, let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done, which is how to time the markets. I'm Steve Rhodes, author of Mastering Probability, and for the last 12 months, Timer Digest has been tracking my newsletter signals, which have earned me the ranking as their number one market timer in the nation for the S&P 500 for the last 12, 6, and 3 months. Timer Digest also ranks me as the number one market timer for gold as well. 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And I want to get to talking in just a couple of minutes we've got down here about earnings, which I haven't gotten to yet, so we want to do that. Okay. To Red Hat, which is, of course, being bought out by IBM, so I don't know if there's a lot there after the bell tonight. We'll get into tomorrow morning its carnival cruise lines. Right before the bell fax, that research. Again, none of these going to move the market. Probably more interesting to me is after the bell. And that is KB Homes on Tuesday. Shoe carnival. I never thought that a carnival and shoes went together, but apparently that is a thing. I've been into them. It's got like kind of a huckster thing going on. Wednesday morning we've got LaNar Homes at Home Group, Paychecks. That pretty much is a great deal of it. Lu Lu Mon after the bell on Wednesday. Thursday we get to Accenture. I think that's about it before the bell and after the bell a whole lot of nothing. Friday morning we get into Blackberry if you remember that company. CarMax on Friday. So again, not a lot happening this week that I think is going to move the market. Certainly not any of the big stocks. As we said before the break, we were looking at Microsoft did go over the previous high of 70 million chairs with 29 million chairs back into the trading range. But here's where you wanted to see this thing back in and some volume today. You have not gotten it. This is where the rubber meets the road and you didn't have much rubber or road either one. Not a big fan of shorting Microsoft. I do think eventually you get it back at 100 bucks though. But that may be a while. Maybe a long while. In the meantime, sell when you can, not when you have to. We will be back. I shall return tomorrow. Same bat channel. Same bat.