 For the first time in a long time We have got a very full 13 game main slate for NFL DFS coming up on Sunday and as a result There are a lot of pretty fun plays It's hard to decide how to prioritize those fun options where to allocate our ever so precious salary dollars If they look good lineups over our family We're gonna try to dissect this slate and tell you how to do Exactly that for today at least as best as we can so let's dive on in and get you ready for week 17 Welcome on into the heat-check fantasy podcast. That's right here on the fan dual podcast network and fan dual research My name is Jim Sonnis. I am a managing editor of digital media for a fan dual research joined here as I am every Thursday by Brandon Ghadoula He is a senior managing editor for a fan dual research Brandon. Happy holidays to you. Happy New Year's in advance. How you doing today? Happy holidays to you Happy New Year as well. That's not I'm not on to like the New Year stuff yet, so I was in practice I mean, it's in three days. So you should but it is our last chance. So what are you gonna? Yeah? I'm gonna talk to you until 2024. So, you know as we'll get you ready We make it 2025 rude I'm good. Yeah, this slate's Been giving me some fits a little bit The past day, but you know other than that can't complain. Yeah, it fits because it's hard to decide Which of the high salaried options we most want to prioritize like Christian McCaffrey rules And he's in a very good spot against Washington in general that game is pretty fun that offense is pretty fun But $11,000 on Fandals his salary and we live in a salary cap worlds wish we did not but hey You know that is the world in which we find ourselves So you have to decide how hard do we go at McCaffrey versus allocating salary elsewhere? Do we strive more for balance and take advantage of a lot of your plays in the 7,000 range both at running back and receiver? Good 6,000 range tight ends as well a lot to dissect which will do right here throughout the show for today But first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast You can get NBA DFS advice via Tom Vecchio every weekday on the daily ice So he is breaking down and be a DFS there and over on the Fandal TV plus app so you can get to Fandal TV plus by going to Fandal comm Slash watch and log in with a Fandal account or gonna fit the Fandal TV plus app on Amazon fire Apple TV Roku devices no daily ISO tomorrow because it's a company holiday and no daily ISO on Monday Thomas back with you once again Tuesday and there's a show up for Thursday as well You can find the heat check running throughout the playoffs for the NFL on the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed the Fandal YouTube page and Fandal TV plus as always there's a free play over our fandal research if you want to play NFL DFS no entry fee go to fandal comm is slash research and click the article that has a link to the free play in there Fandal comm is slash research on the home page There is an article there click into there to find the link for this week's free play Score early this NFL season with Fandal America's number one sports book right now new customers get 150 bucks in bonus bets with any winning $5 moneyline bet That's 150 bucks if your team wins if you've been thinking about joining Fandal There is no better time to get in on the action the app is so easy to use There is a wide range of betting options including spreads player props totals and more so visit Fandal It kick off the NFL season Fandal official partner of the NFL must be 21 plus and president select states Fandal is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star casino LLC first online real money wager Only $5 pregame moneyline wager required $10 first deposit required bonus issued is now a drop of bonus bets that expire seven days after a seat See terms at sportsbook. 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Hope is here for the gambling helpline MA org or call 1803 2750 50 for 24 7 supported Massachusetts or call 1807 70 hope a lie or text open Y in New York Let's dig in now to a slate breakdown here for week number 17 branded to me It comes down to prioritizations because we got to identify which of these very fun high salary plays We want to focus on for this week that includes Christian McCaffrey It includes Kyron Williams includes a lot of pretty solid wide receivers as well So that to me is the key thing is sorting through those studs and identifying which ones I feel best about Considering salary game environment matchup, etc. So that's the big thing for me What stands out to you when you dive in to this week 17 main slate? I Don't even I know I think we're on the same page and this is gonna be one of those situations where we're on the same page and sounds like we disagree and then people give us comments that Sounds like we hate each other which I mean, you know, maybe Christmas, but I don't think it's about Figuring out which studs we like the most and it's figuring out How we can get to the studs with with while feeling good like we we like Kyron a lot as a Consolation, which is a word. I remembered this week from Christian. Howdy, but We love Christian McCaffrey and would want to play him I don't think we're not really splitting hairs over which one or we're gonna get to it's To get that either of them or Tyree kill at 9,800 You have to make like you have to compromise throughout your lineup And I've been building lineups more and more Yesterday than I typically do entering a show just because I wanted to see how feasible it really is Even to play just Christian McCaffrey right with spoiler alert Lamar Jackson who is Either the QB one or QB two once you factor in salary for us he's gonna be the guy that I want to try to prioritize but You do that you plug in a defense Things get kind of sticky. Yeah, quickly. It's you're either relying on multiple value running backs which we may get or Like multiple receivers in the five thousand range just to get to Christian McCaffrey and It's that's the sort of the question is is there enough value? To play McCaffrey a lot. Hmm. I'm not sold just yet And I think we're in agreement with our main build being McCaffrey lists, which is scary Oh, yeah, but you can get back up into that seven thousand range it at running back in receiver if you're not jamming in McCaffrey and You know, it's a 13 games late There's a lot of guys who could have big games and it's not just McCaffrey I mean McCaffrey can definitely have the biggest scheme of any of them But correct, you know, again, we're coming at it from the same place, but you know, I Might be more likely to play Kyron Williams or Tyree kill even though there's not gonna be anybody I like more than Christian McCaffrey. Yeah, if we're looking as far as like salaries go on those guys McCaffrey salary is $11,000. You got Tyree kill checking in at $9,800 and then Kyron Williams 94 So that's that's kind of what we're dealing with here is all three of those guys are in really good spots Tyree killing a good game to sack against Baltimore Kyron facing the Giants and then McCaffrey facing the commanders Those are great spots to be in and that's why we're even having this discussion about whether or not they're worth it Is because all three are in awesome spots, but like you said, I was trying to build Lamar with McCaffrey a lot of yesterday and it's tough it does Require you to use like you said to value backs or potentially as many as three Low salary receivers at like $6,500 and lower which is you know, it's doable But like it's a leap of faith for sure. It is and We're kind of building those lineups with the assumption that Isaiah Pacheco would miss and we can play correct Edward Jallar If we don't get that it gets even tougher Correct, it's a McCaffrey, right and there may be some other guys who pop up as far as value goes because the injury list this week is very long But there it is still very tough for sure So that'll be our task for today so identify which those value plays are we okay with and how does that impact the rest of our lineups? Let's begin things and try to begin at this massive injury section by talking about the Jags Trevor Lawrence didn't practice Wednesday Due to his shoulder injury Lawrence is pushing to play. That's far from guaranteed a guarantee though And it is it's not like a must win game for the Jags But it's pretty dang close. Zay Jones got in limited practice seems to be on track to return from a one-game absence They're facing the Panthers this week any interest for you in the Jags if Lawrence is able to go so Yeah, their playoff odds would change pretty drastically with a loss and they'd climb up pretty high with the win So like you said, it's not a must win, but it is a very important one The next gen stats has their odds of If they win it's about 82% and if they lose it goes down to 40% so They want this one. I haven't been on Lawrence much at all this year Obviously hasn't burned me very often His efficiency has been just okay when you adjust for opponents faced you made you made this comment I had the same thought Travis ETN salaries really really high. I don't have interest there Evan Ingram is someone I've been monitoring a lot his salary is high at 7,000 again, it's It's nothing against him It's the salary. Yeah, and then with Calvin Ridley like maybe I just prefer other receivers it and like this He set his salary 7,100 so I think I'm kind of largely out But that starts to feel too dismissive for a team playing in a really impactful game Am I I don't think it's too dismissive if you if you look at it through the context 2023 because like every team is still lively. So we're not like using duds When we go elsewhere and like it's low total game Panthers defense outside of last week has played pretty well recently So I'm okay being a good amount lower on the Jags and the spot even if Lawrence plays honestly They might get cam Robinson back at left tackle. He returned to practice. I believe on Wednesday Which would be a boost for them for sure, but I'm okay being lower on them for right now CJ Stroud returned to a limited practice on Wednesday. He's missed the past two games But is expected to be cleared for this week We'll talk about the Texans with Stroud in the trend section will Levis gotten a full practice Wednesday Meaning he should be able to return after a one-game absence. He had a high ankle spring Which forced him to sit out in week 16 So we get the DGF King himself facing a secondary that just led up 16,000 yards in a single game to Amari Cooper How does Levis returning impact your view of Deandre Hopkins against a very poor Texans secondary But improves my view on Hopkins Both quarterbacks for Tennessee have been sub par But like not specifically awful with their efficiency. It's not I'm not gonna say it's good But it's also not completely dreadful. The biggest change is the a dot as you like to point out Will Levis over a ten yard a dot Tannehill still pretty solid 8.3 or 8.6 But you're gonna get more downfield he used to Deandre Hopkins, which I'm okay with you want a semblance of Safety worth like some catchable targets, but What really sells me on Hopkins this week is that the salary starts with the six Yeah, it could easily be in the 7,000 range and then I start to get a little more a little more worried but Spoiler alert, this is a range upper sixes That you're gonna be in a lot, especially if you're trying to build or into your lineups, you know, McCaffrey or Kyren or Tyreek. I Think I'm gonna have Hopkins. He's also kind of like I like this game if CJ's drop plays Please I mean do what do what you need CJ to I think he's getting you properly But it's just he's gonna go Yeah, I think a lot of concussions are like have been one week Yeah, he's had three this year though. I think only one of which was well if you look at like some conspiracy theories I'm pretty sure he said three this year. I think that's why it was not ideal Yeah, I'm just saying rest up don't rush back or anything. Yes, if you're good, you know Yeah, I would love that but yeah Hopkins He's kind of in consideration for me for like my main lineup is I guess how I could probably just sum it up I think he's in play for cash at 67 Like in play for cash main tournament lineup that salary is very low. He gets the DGF King back a lot of deep balls It's revenge game. Like let us not overlook that. I know it's nobody left who was there when he was there But like I don't know how many more boxes you can check So and I can get to Hopkins in a McCaffrey plus Lamar lineup So I think that's pretty attractive for this week for sure Isaiah Pacheco didn't practice Wednesday after suffering a concussion on Monday still has time to clear But that does ding his odds of going missing practice Wednesday You'll talk about the chiefs and how to handle their backs in the trend section Jamar Chase did not practice Wednesday due to his shoulder injury. He apparently Took part in the walkthrough which implies there's at least a shot that he's able to go But official tag for him was DNP in practice chief score a luxurious need It didn't practice due to a calf injury which would boost the Bengals passing offense How are you viewing the Bengals in this spot against the chiefs with and without Chase? You know, I was kind of taking some notes on this. I don't really know what the public perception on Jake Browning really is I don't either But like he's been good once you adjust for opponents faced. Yeah. Yeah, and it's a smaller sample But he's basically been between Matthew Stafford and Jared Goff in EPA per drop-back over expectation You know, that's That's pretty nice Those two guys are magnets for each other in every aspect of life. Yeah, just inseparable But I I feel good passing on mixing. Yeah, he's just giving up a lot of high-leverage passing work to chase Brown T Higgins didn't really As you pull him up next didn't really dominate with targets last week. He had one huge play Yeah, that led to almost all of his produce. I mean, he made some good plays. He got some targets. I'm not saying it was just one play but That has really boosted his salary to 7800. There's no discount on Jamar Chase's salary at 8,300 If you look at this like there's been three games basically with Browning Chase and Higgins Nobody's above a 20% target share I guess the best I could well If there's no chase that we really need something There's like Tyler Boyd at 59. No, no What about I guess of us? Yes. Andre? Yes. Yes. I would I would happily do that I've done feel targets for him last week eight total. Yeah, and like honestly I think he's pretty fun Like if you look at like his like athletic profile like he's actually, you know kind of cool and We're talking a lot about how we need to find the way to find ways to get to McAfrey this week Like $4,900 for an athletic wide receiver who is getting volume. It has a cool name. Like you could do a lot worse than that So Yossi Vashh $4,900 if there's no Jamar Chase, I will go there not for a Like a cash game format because I'm not gonna get to McAfrey there and I just accept that already But for tournament lineups where I want to get to McAfrey plus Lamar, Yossi Vashh might be the first place I turn honestly It is appealing There's there's definitely risk, but there's also that upside and it's again This is not just one of those well if Chase is out, maybe Yossi Vashh gets like some extra run again We've seen it a little bit played a lot of browning Browning's been playing fairly well like you could do much worse and even if it was Jerry's knee plays So his focus would be on T Higgins not under Yossi Vashh So I think that regardless Yossi Vashh would be in play. So Jamar Chase rest up We'll see you in week 18. Hopefully because it would be it'd be nice to have that sour saver with the Yossi Vashh at $4900 I again, I think Chase will play so I wouldn't like get your hopes set on Yossi Vashh But like keep him in mind if Chase can't go Jalen Waddle didn't practice Wednesday due to a high ankle sprain Mike McDaniel did not rule him out But it does seem like Waddle is a long shot where he most hurt missed most of the second half last week with a knee or ankle injury He didn't practice Wednesday either We'll talk about them in the bookmaker section Zay flowers didn't practice Wednesday because of the calf issue He also missed some practice last week, but that was because of a foot So I don't know if there's a new injury or if they're tied together We'll talk about the Ravens though in the bookmaker section Josh Jacobs did not practice Wednesday due to a quad issue That's held about the past two games now Jacobs did get in a limited practice last week In their second practice, but then was a DNP on the final practice So I think it's still the shot that play but I can't get a read on his practice practice like cadence Honestly if Jacobs cannot go, how do you view Zemir white against the Colts? I Think I'd be in on him a little bit out of necessity But also like what I what I saw really good role last week 81% of the snaps 22 carries Just one target but 11 routes, which was almost half of their routes Is a 48% route, right? So I don't think that the one target Indicates that he doesn't have a passing game role. I think it was just game script related You know tons of scrimmage yards for him In that matchup as well with the 145 I'll get all rushing just because the the targets weren't there, but $6,100 salary You know, you never know if we're going to get clad Edward G lair I I would probably feel okay playing white in a main lineup cash game situation because If you can get an 80% snap rate someone who should have a path to rushing and receiving work It's hard to pass up on a slate where there's not a whole lot of that. Yeah I think that the only like pitfall of white is If they do fall behind I know that his route was good to like that wasn't a positive script If they fall behind I'd worry that Amir Abdul would be the guy there because they actually can simulate the playoffs somehow Like they have non-zero playoff odds if they were to win this week. So They're gonna push Yeah, they're losing out team. Yeah, so must win. Um I think they can keep this game close enough against Colts But like I could also see it going haywire because it's you know, it's aiden o'Connell Aiden o'Connell back in an indiana narrative Uh, he played college at Purdue. So maybe you know a little bit of that keep them in a more neutral game script I would that would probably keep him out of a a cash game line up for me the risk of falling behind and not Being on the field. Uh, but I think there's enough there to go in tournaments. He would not be like a 60% you know amazing value play, but like, you know, I could go 35 40 percent somewhere in there Kind of like what are the odds that the Raiders Are in a super positive script again. I mean not super positive but like positive enough I think that's kind of the guiding light I would use was the mere white Michael Pittman was able to log a limited practice Wednesday with his concussion. He had cleared last week But then had symptoms flare up and then was rolled out Getting in a practice Wednesday seemingly puts him on track to return Zach Moss also got a limited practice with this forearm issue How are you in the Colts here in their matchup with the Raiders? So if you look at the the splits entering week 15 and I don't I don't know Maybe with week 15 it would have checked out too because he got he was getting peppered but Over a 30 target share for Pittman 37 percent of the red zone targets But under 15 percent of the total team red zone plays just because they they run the ball a decent amount in the red zone The salary though 7700 doesn't leave you a whole lot of room For Error really I think he has one of the better roles as a receiver in football Finally because he was He did not have that in years past But I don't think that I can justify him over some other higher salaried receivers from a default standpoint And he's probably the only colt that I would have interest in Yeah, I think that JT is not like totally off the map But his role hasn't really gotten to be as good as you would really want it to be Jonathan Taylor $8400 that's high Higher than he wanted to be so He's not a cross-off, but like Probably i'm not going to get there. I can say that pretty definitively with him And with Pittman it is really about opportunity costs because like Pukinakua is 200 dollars or above him at 79 and like I would rather I would sell my soul to your favorite player in football No, I just think he's always a bit under salaried Okay, um Do you do you like him less than I do this makes me question things It just seems like you always like him more than I do and I think his salary is like fair Oh rude. Okay. It's you can be wrong. That's fine. Hater. Um, but then also below Pittman You've got DJ more at 75 brandon iuk 75 Uh chris olave 74 nico colin 73. I did not skip her. She writes on She writes I was gonna say that like there are guys who can like Torch me for not using them I'm I'm questioning that a bit with rice as far as the ceiling because like olave Collins get deep targets and rice doesn't as much. I think he's in play. Um, but like downfield work Like they can kill you and Pittman. I don't know if the ceiling in that sense is necessarily there right now Yeah They're they're a tough team to read This is a this is a big game for them in terms of their Playoff hopes again, just a big swing Uh, whether they win or lose so you would think that if he's good to go He's gonna see as much work as he can handle. Mm-hmm. I mean how many targets did he have before he left that five in like a quarter Yeah, it was like it was it was yeah I think he was tied for the team leading targets despite leaving like I think he was a quarter. Yeah So he's just one of those 11 16 13 12 is past, uh You know his game's entering that one So he's got he's got more of that volume based Upside of like 10 catches 140 yards and like a touchdown. Yeah I like him. I just don't think I like him as much as, uh Other receivers like you pointed out I agree Uh cold commitment practice with a knee injury for the bears on wednesday He got hit low on a long catch sundae did not return dg more was not listed on the injury report Which is a delight to see so he's good to go. How would you view more against the falcons? He in the event that comet cannot go for the bears Yeah, he got rolled up And then came back. I thought he was gonna because I played him against you in our head-to-head, which again didn't go well for me but uh The fact that he didn't have a huge game and hasn't had a you know a huge game in two straight weeks His lower to salary to a point where you know, this is something I talk about not as much as I could or should but I also just don't want to You know hammer this and Beaver's Alts chasey But you want to look like a t higgins his salary is up to 7800 after a huge game Yeah, with what you know really one play but again, you know That's not fair to t exactly but dg more hasn't had a his salary is coming down This is when you want to buy back in on players And just sort of be more receptive to these ebbs and flows We know that dg more when he's if he's healthy, which if he's not on the injury report great I think more needs to get more attention from me as like Someone that I view as a true priority and he's just another reason if you can build around like dg more and just take your pick between these other 7 000 Range receivers same thing at running back. Yeah, there are enough of these guys where it at least gives you some I say this on thursday It makes me feel okay not playing christin mccaffrey is like my default right that's where we're at right now that you know could change but A big part of the reason why I agree with you is because these guys in the mid-range are really rock solid for this week The patriot's place for montry stevenson on injured reserve ending his season Which means zeke elliott will remain the lead back as they face the bills this week What's with you zeke at 60 400 dollars? Definitely passed just plugging him in and assuming the best he's played 91 86 and 82 percent of the snaps the past three games He's got 15 carries and eight targets per game. So it's a 28 percent target share, which is Absolutely wild to think about for zeke elliott um Oh, no What I just realized his comp And that makes me so sad He's reshawed white in the worst offense. That's what his usage is right now Like not efficient running but getting tons of passing game work And like part of the reason we like reshawed white is because his offense is efficient enough but like Because I was pretty low on zeke and then kind of looked at the passing game use and it's like, oh man I should probably be higher on him I was a little because I I talked about zeke with you before the show And it seemed like maybe I was higher on him than you were but like I'm not going to sit here and say that I would play Like zeke ceh and zimmy or white if like everything works out that way Right things cleared up But at a certain point The reason that we never or historically don't play these value backs is they don't have great roles Yeah, the the main issue for elliott right now isn't the role Yeah, he's still playing above 82 like 80 percent of the snaps each week. He's getting a ton of targets and Yeah, you you know He hurtled someone to score that stuff sticks with people But the fact that he can do that still is telling so I think i'm higher on zeke than you. I just I don't know if he's Some of them sort of plugging in as a no-brainer, but I am pretty high on on zeke. I guess compared to you I'm becoming higher on him the more I think about it, which is upsetting um so Six thousand rangers or running backs who could be in play include zimir white Gus edwards zeke elliott clad edwards elair dependent on uh The status of pecheco and then devin singletary at six six hundred dollars Maybe chuba hubbard 68. I think he had a hamstring. He's limited on wednesday the hamstring injury, which is new um, but So keep tabs on him, but that's not terrible I just don't want to use I think the main downside of these guys is ceiling like The odds that they get me 25 aren't super high Um, and so like do I want to occupy two spots in one lineup where i'm saying Their best case scenario is like 18 fandal points. I 18 is not going to kill you But it's also not going to catapult you towards the top way at this salary These aren't the mistake erasers. They help you get to the mistake erasers. Correct With that in mind if we have C. E. H. Zeke zimir You mentioned gus. Maybe we can talk about him more in the bookmaker section, but It goes back to macaffery and two true value backs Or Like a james cook were shot white Someone else kind of three running back rotation. Right It there's really no right answer. Yeah, it depends on that the It depends on the the contest you're entering and everything. Yeah, um But i'm higher on zeke now than I was entering the show Um, just based on the passing image and stuff and like I think I still want to get some bills in there So like maybe as a bring-back option he grades out pretty well Jukobi percent will start for the commanders in place of sam howell this week Brian robinson got back to a limited practice on wednesday with this hamstring injury chris rodriguez did not practice We'll talk about the commanders in the bookmaker section not because of the commanders I want to make that clear. It's because of the 49ers The Broncos are benching russell wilson for jared stidham this week jared stidham the grim raper of backup quarter max Cortland Sutton also did not practice due to a concussion They're facing the chargers rough defense. Will you go at anybody here with stidham starting for the broncos? I mean if they lose they're out, but I don't think they care about that clearly Uh, I don't really want to Invest bankroll into a team that's making decisions like this I didn't want to use anybody when it was ross and like ross wasn't perfect, but he's probably better than stidham. So i'm out Yeah, okay, tyron taylor will start in place of tommy divito this week Giants are facing the rams whose defense is not elite, but you know not a great offense for the giants regardless But we did see the the spread tightened by a point the total went up two points So does tyron taylor starting impact your view of the giants here against the rams? Uh, so you could epa numbers on 16 drop backs last week, but a low success rate So could be a little bit fluky and he had that earlier this year too is the same thing where he had some really big plays um that weren't What I would call sustainable That's the problem with smaller samples I know that it's going to be easier to get hyped up on someone who at least did that compared to what they had I think the I was going to say the only giant that I'd be interested in is seikwan But I don't know if that's necessarily the case seikwan salary of 7800 keeps him on the map Um, especially if we're considering like a three running back build in the 7 000 range I don't know if you have thoughts in seikwan because i'm going to ask you about someone else within this offense I don't know if you want to stick with seikwan first though Yeah, I think that this does help seikwan because I do think that tyron taylor is a better player than tommy divito Yes, so like I think it helps him in that regard and also like you alluded to the salaries come down a lot for seikwan 7800 dollars if we look at the games he's played without daniel jones, whether it be taylor or divito He's at 91 yards from scrimmage per game and I care more about the yards here than the Carries or targets because like we know they'll be inefficient because this offense is bad So 91 yards per game that is nearly identical to or shot whites um who's at 92 yards per game in his full sample And seikwan has a 57 red zone share They got to get there for it to matter. So like, you know, that's that's important to consider. Um, but I would say I cannot tell you the last time I used seikwan in a on a full like a main slate I might get there this week as a result of the salary and with taylor starting and especially because i'm going to have Rams on the opposing side. So I'm going to get to seikwan. Who was the other giant you wanted to ask about? Do you have any guesses? Uh, derrius slayton because he's kind of your guy Daren waller Oh, what's the salary? I've not looked at 59 No, he's right in there. Goddard Well, we have Goddard and likely. Yeah, um, I am unlikely to use waller Boo. Okay fair enough Nothing You don't want to sell me on him? No, I'm not gonna anyway. I know that All right, cool. Um, I prefer I prefer likely and Goddard as well, but cool. We'll take that Marquis brown didn't practice wednesday due to his heel injury Even without him last week it didn't matter the cardinals pass catchers did nothing But they do get a good match up here against the eagles this week We'll talk about the cardinals and the bookmaker exception again Not because of them both josh will palmer and keen analysis practice wednesday They seem likely to sit this week the chargers facing the broncos and gerrit sit him Can we cross them off here? Only thing I'll notice that jero whatever it has eight targets and three straight games and his salary is 5300 for those lineups We're not care less. Okay Literally could not care less So let's dive in now to our bookmaker section for week number 17 Start things off for the most traditional game stack of the week That is the dolphins at the ravens right now The total is 46 and a half down a half tick from where it was yesterday and the spread is the ravens minus three and a half Some definite question marks here. Uh, jillian waddles banged up both the events are playing well So what's your view of this game right now from a stacking perspective? Stacking perspective I like it although it is pretty narrow. Uh-huh Um, I think lemar I would say lemar's qb2 for me. I'd prefer to play jaylin herds, but I don't think that's very feasible So is he above is he in his own tier above the other guys behind herds like Yeah, okay so I'm probably gonna play everything as if lemar's my qb1 Just because I need to from from a salary standpoint, but I don't want to lose the fact that I do prefer herds but with that in mind lemar's got that sub eight thousand dollar salary Presumably zay flowers is good to go but uh, really really nice salary for him at 6300 and if the in the event that he can't go It would ding the offense, but this offense can still move the ball I think without him and that would just probably make isaiya likely a virtual lock Yeah, I don't know why they don't involve him in the offense with mark andrew's there like Oh likely Yeah, no, he's very involved Like not as much in the well not as much as andrew's but like right in the four games without andrew's He has a 19 target share uh 22 of the deep targets So he's actually getting like downfield work with a 21 red zone share. So like it's not andrew's but like We're also not I mean, I don't know why they don't involve isaiya likely when mark andrew's is healthy. Oh, I got you. He's good Instead of nelson aglor, although that's weird to me nelson aglor has played pretty well this year. So sorry nelson I know you're a huge all I'm saying is I I think isaiya likely's Good and I think that if he had to be their number one option for like a game It would go pretty well. So yeah, I love that On the flip side though I think you have to take a long look at tyrie kill Not that he's going to sneak up on anybody, right? But the salary of 9800 makes it a little tricky It's a tough on paper matchup baltimore Is the toughest pass defense by yards per target allowed on downfield passes. So passes traveling at least 10 yards They have the lowest yards per target uh number allowed That doesn't necessarily scare me off of tyrie kill He needs what like 324 yards to break the record Something like that. Yeah, he wants 2000 which is a bit above that too. So yeah, I don't think he's getting to 2000 but no I mean, well, yeah, I mean But he so like he bounced back with a 14 target game with the ankle I think that he's gonna see a ton of pass volume, which again, it's like It's it's obvious, but it's also one of those If you're kind of penciling in tyrie kill for like 12 targets in a game that we like That Is very much deserving of attention and and if like where he most certain devon hian are kind of banged up I don't know what their status is going to be like. Yeah Tyrie can get some creative looks get some handoffs that kind of stuff. So He's going to be hard to sort of say. Yeah, I'm building my lattice around tyrie kill this week But yeah, you might deserve that kind of look at least where do you view him in terms of Relative to macafe like we said macafe or probably looking in 30 percent or so you know How does he'll fit into that? Outlook I think he's about the same But I might end up with more tyrie kill because he's You know his salary is 1200 lower. Yeah, and I'm going to be playing lamar a good amount And tyrie frankly is the the dolphin that I want the most exposure to So I'll probably wind up with more hill. I'm like just to make it very very clear I think christian macaferi is one of the best plays of the year But the salary like the salary that it takes to get there. I don't know if there's an if it's justifiable to I don't say punt But there's not enough value as a thursday morning to just plug in macaferi and go from there. Yeah I would need like three lineups to get to macaferi. I think is where i'm at right now And I might need four to five to get to tyrie just because like I don't know I'm not as enthused about this game as I thought I might be honestly. Um, it like I respect the defenses Haven't had a ton of blow-ups recently from these guys. Um on both sides So I think it could be a bit lower scoring than we want which is annoying I will say though. I do want to talk briefly about the potential for ifrahimoster can't go just because like He wanted to get back in that game last week But they kind of held him out and then didn't practice wednesday He hasn't practiced many wednesdays, but it's always labeled as rest this time It was actually knee slash ankles like there's least a chance if he can't go Uh divani chan didn't practice wednesday with his toe injury, but he did that last week too Limited limited on thursday friday and then off the injured report. We get a similar cadence. How do you feel about han? It's 6900 dollars this week I think I just play him a ton. I agree. I don't if we get One of them without the other with their salaries coming down. I think that's where you get aggressive han didn't do a whole lot in that game, but he played a lot of snaps And he's 6900 dollars. We saw macaferi have some open holes from a running perspective against the ravens So I would be very invested in han if that were to happen Yeah, I mean it's it feels like a year ago at this point Whenever he felt like oh my this is the guy like this is the running back this year You know, I know he's he's banged up Especially like foot injuries for someone that fast. Yeah, it can't be ideal But the salary below 7 000 when we need players in that range would absolutely love that If there's no most dirt But there's also no isiah pacheco I would probably go clad in words elare Over han, but not by a huge amount. What? It's just crazy because like I pointed out han was like No one can stop this guy and then there's clad Edwards elare who You know, I'm sure he's a nice guy, but he's healthy That's the main thing. Honestly, he's healthy. It's just it's wild to go ceh over like it makes sense Do you agree or not? I think I agree, but I this is this though And I think this is what i'm what i'm really getting at If we get han we get ceh we get zeke We get zimeer white That's the kind of stuff that's gonna. Yeah, let me say you know what let me just get to christian macaferi Yeah I have two value backs with like clear clear paths that I can play alongside him right Yeah, I agree. So that that's that's what I think is starting to unlock a little bit in my brain Let's talk about gus edward 6300 dollars We saw them for the first game of nokeet and mitchell and gus's role I would say is underwhelming. Uh, they were in a positive script the entire game and played less than half the snaps nine carries one target and The yard was okay, but it's because he had like this fluke long reception, which I'm not exactly projecting gus edwards to have a lot of Uh personally So I thought it was an underwhelming role Honestly, even like in the games if you look at the games where Hitler's been fully healthy But they haven't had mitchell be like a major factor in the game Edwards is at 78.5 yards scrimmage per game and a 22.5 red zone share like That's pretty underwhelming so even with like In theory a good role. I don't think I'll get to gus this week. Will you uh, am I missing something with Just as hill Now he's good to go, right? He's not on an injury report He put 71 in the first half snaps last week and edwards was at 34 percent. Yeah I like I was I was I know where you're coming at like coming from with gus, but I said I wasn't gonna use him But like you will you mentioned when you were listing off a couple minutes ago backs down here you mentioned gus Yeah, because I think people will be interested in him. I'm not really that much, but Are you interested in justice hill at 55 instead? Okay Uh hill in that same sample I mentioned where he's healthy And there's no mitchell 48.8 yards scrimmage per game 13.8 red zone share So no, he's like Antonio Gibson basically. I don't think I'd ever play a ravens running back until things really change But I would honestly probably be more likely to play hill Yep, let's talk about the uh, the ravens pass catchers zay flowers salary 63 as you alluded to didn't practice on wednesday with a foot injury Still think you'd be good to go but not totally convinced there Odell 58 or shot bateman 53 and then of course, asia likely Checking in at $6,000. How do you view those guys in the context of the slate because to me Both likely in flowers are standalone viable plays Um, I'd use them even when I'm not using lamar jackson. How do you feel about them? And then what's your interest level in odell and bateman? Not super high with odell and bateman. I agree Unless zay's out, but I'm kind of assuming zay is going to be good to go Same here in that case at salary zay might be He's at least a top three receiver Sure, I think I think likely is a top two tight end this week when you consider salary Can't say a whole lot more than that in terms of like how I feel about them. So With lamar being under salary now, I guess Before we kind of move on from this you mentioned you're not necessarily as high on this game as you thought you would be Yeah, these two teams do play at a slower pace Sure This is in a very important game for the top seed in the conference This one could be methodical Yeah That doesn't necessarily change my view on on flowers and likely because their salaries are low. Yeah Does it move what make you like downplay lamar at all? I think it more so impacts tyreek Because lamar's lamar is similar to likely and zay where the salary is kind of low Whereas tyreek, that's not the case. So it's more so like it decreases the odds I have a bring back which would feel weird to like have Lamar in a fun game with no bring back But I think once I think about because like if waddled doesn't go. I'm not going to use cedric wilson I'm not using it's basically a hill or a chan or bust so I think the best I think the best thing that could happen for us In terms of just from a pure dfs standpoint is that flowers is is full Yeah, and most are it sits and then right you get some lower lower salary exposure to this game I think that helps alleviate some concerns. I agree that anything else you want to touch it on I guess I would say Well, you mentioned odell and bateman. Yeah odell I will If I wind up being high on the mar or uh, yeah high high on the mar which I will be I will have a non-zero number of odell launch because like he can have a spike game as we've seen Even though his targets have gone down the past two games The snap rate has still been about the same as it was in the game where he went off against the rams Overall in the games without andrew's 17 target share and 39 percent the deep targets like it's fine I don't know. Um, I wouldn't want to be super high on him. I prefer zay by a wide margin and likely by a wide margin, but like I'm If I have enough flow mar lineups, I'll I'll be okay with having odell tied to one or two of them I won't argue that but I think we're on the same page Okay, let's dig in now and talk about our second game then that is the 49ers at the commanders and the 49ers have a massive Implied total in this game because they are 12 and a half point favorites taking on the commanders total in this game Is 49 and a half, which is the highest on the slate as of right now Pretty good injury news I'd say for the 49ers on Wednesday because brock purdy got into full practice with his left shoulder injury Trent williams was limited in practice as well So he should be good to go So I want to ask you in this matchup, uh, they're facing jacobo set Which could keep the game a bit closer potentially for longer How much of a priority are the 49ers at their loft lofty salaries and will you run it back with any commanders in this game Well, we already talked a lot about macafrey. He's sort of the leadoff point here. I think we're in agreement where Like there's no debate that he's the best play in a vacuum against this This defense in a game that matters for for san francisco where their quarterback's not maybe a hundred percent They might want to get christian macafrey a stronger mvp case I kind of i'm starting to hope that we just get some some running back value cleared up so I can Prioritize macafrey and and like my main lineup. That's how that's how much I like him, but I don't think we need to spend too much more time on him Sure, what what else jumps out to me is that debo samio salary A bit high He's got the potential to make us regret not using him But once again talking about someone like dj more coming off of like some down games Brandon a uke salaries down He's coming off 113 yard game But hasn't scored in three straight after a four game streak With the touchdowns to increase the salary. I'm still high on him Yeah, and you plug him into a matchup this good I should probably be higher on on iu can consider him as like Just as good if not the best play in this range I love chris elave always just because I feel like his path to dominant target shares and areas is just clear With an iu who can be the fourth option on his team And then we have george kittle Like him a ton 6700 is a bit high, but boy. He looked good On Monday, I was sweating that from from a From a season-long standpoint I know we had like 70 yards like 71 yards I think in the first like on the first drive or whatever, but so not as not as much after that but Uh, if they can if you think like purdy's not gonna be able to Have his full Range, maybe we get some more kittle targets underneath or something and he's always a threat to run after the catch So I like all four of them. Yeah, probably lowest on debo just because the salary is where it is Sure Where are you with the 49ers? Uh, the same and I think I want to be aggressive with this team part of why I was okay being a bit lower on Raven's dolphins because I knew that I wanted to to jack up this game um specifically on the the 49ers side, obviously, um, but like You you look at the games where they've been fully healthy So admitting the the stretch in the middle of the year where debo is banged up So weeks two one and two and then since they're bi-week Uh debos at 86.7 yards since we're much per game I use an 83.9 and like that's really close like now Debo's red zone share is double Iukes if you count the carries that he gets so That's important, but like Iuk is really good. He is facing the worst past defense in football It's $7,500 He is a prime consideration for my main lineup The hard question is always, you know, Iuk or olave And olave at $7,400 Nico Collin 73, they're all in good matchups and they're all really good players and Two or two of them are in pretty efficient passing offenses But olave is good despite that. Um I think I might like Iuk more than those guys Even with the fact that I love them. So I think I Iuk is like a prime consideration for my main lineup. I would say I think I kind of I think that kind of clicked for me just now uh, you make the good you make a really good point with Just the offensive efficiency the odds that they convert on their implied team total so long as, you know, Brock Curtis just There's no setbacks or anything And the the other thing With this team is They have no real incentive to take the foot off the gas Like they they could have their fourth quarter just hang out on the sideline But that's only after they they put this game on ice because this is a very important game for them uh The new york times playoff simulator gives them about an 80 chance to be the one seed Right now, but with a win it goes up to like 92 percent This game matters. So I don't think there's the blowout risk is lessened Yeah, I think I Iuk deserves a lot of attention. I just I don't know if I can get the kiddle sure I don't know if I need to Because we have some other I would like to at times, but I would like to so He's just another name that it feels I'm probably not going to have the salary to get there. So I think what I would say is in my main lineup Like if I'm building one lineup, if I can't get to mccaffrey, I want to have a yuker kiddle in there instead I want to make sure I have a 49er in my primary lineup. I think that makes sense The odds that they have a a dud game here Very minimal. Yeah So let's talk about the opposing side here. It could be percent is starting for the commanders and Not very high salaries for the commanders guys. Maclaurin is 66 Samuel 57 jahan dotson 55 and the Logan thomas checks into 51 Any bringbacks for you or will it be standalone? 49ers when you do go their direction Will we ever see a world where terry mccormen has a salary below 6500? No Okay, I just feel like if we haven't seen it yet. We won't see it I think it's in his like in a contract somewhere It just never goes down enough I like terry mcclaurin as a talent. I think the real question then becomes How much of an improvement for this offense is jacobi reset to you because you're you're much more in tune with quarterback play than I am I don't think I think it's pretty neutral Okay, like because I think I think that's not necessarily the prevailing perception Yeah, I think people look at what presets done in limited time in some garbage time Right and to say boy, this guy's got it. Yeah, I don't think it'd be much worse or anything But like you said, I think it's fairly neutral Maybe maybe fewer sacks and maybe fewer ruined drives, but this also is not an easy match up I think the most likely play for me and potentially the only bringback is kurta. Samuel at a salary of 5700. Yeah, buddy He's your guy. I know But he's got some decent Some decent overall metrics good red zone workload overall can he's not a stranger to A red zone carry here or there, but he's got single game target shares of 27 percent 23 percent 27 percent and 19 percent over the past four games In a game where they're going to have to throw it Samuel plus mccaffrey helps offset some things too He's the he's the one name that I'm keying in on same Samuel even if you look at like if you like zoom out and not look at the just the past four games If you look at the games where you omit Injuries omits ejections, you know omit in early leading stuff like that He has a 20 target share this year in those games Charlie and just the corn at 22.5 percent and Samuel has a 33 red zone target share in that time He had a red zone carry last week because We're back, baby So I think that that makes Samuel pretty attractive 57 He is not in play for a cash game lineup, but if I want to use mccaffrey in tournaments I am pretty likely to use Samuel as a bring back to help offset that salary And he's probably my favorite receiver playing the 5000 range I think I think he has to be right by default. I don't know who else would be the option there. So yeah, I think so Uh Yeah, we're over. I'm over josh down. You've you've never been with josh downs never been down down zindola Downs and dola Uh tyler boy jackson speth and jigba. I think is at least on my radar You like Odell more than I do I don't like him more than Samuel though Yeah It's it's just a crime that demarcus robins is not down here, but I know Why is he's not Also, my guy, right? She should be should be down here too. Let's be realistic with this one So, yeah, I think Samuel was the name plus again goes back to the stack ability here Even if you're even if you're not getting to mccaffrey to use that like Use Samuel it helps you get to like iuk or kiddle like go up from another tight end to kiddle That's appealing. So I think Samuel deserves some attention Yeah, um And I also think the fact that all their running backs are banged up does help the Viability of those guys as well any final thoughts for you on this game Think we're all All squared away. All right, let's then talk about our final bookmaker game Which is between the cardinals and the eagles right now fan dual sports book The eagles are 10 and a half point favorites total in this game is 48 Which means the eagles have the second highest implied total on this late at 29.25 trailing just the 49ers Great matchup at home for the eagles kind of need a good get right game once again How you viewing the eagles and will you run it back with any cardinals in this game? So This is another Like important game Even though there's a big spread you know The eagles are planned for seating And now the cardinals are 30 second and adjusted past defense according To number fires metrics. They they overtook washington there Um, but herts is playing only one team worse than 23rd and adjusted past defense That was the commanders twice and he had 319 yards exactly in each of those games He had four touchdowns in one two touchdowns in the other You know, I know that this this eagles team is kind of Reeling which is a little bit probably overstated for a team playing Good football overall just kind of losing some games they I think they had a lot of luck in one score games early on but um Cardinals are 29th and adjusted And rushing yards over expectation per carry allowed to quarterbacks this year according to next gen stats Like everything points to herts I we've been asking like hey is it a mistake not to prioritize mccafrey Is it a mistake not to just prioritize jalen herts over like lamar jackson in a game that could get a little ugly or Be a little bit low scoring or that they the clock just keeps moving Yeah, I think the salary is high enough where it's like Not he's it makes him that's why it's at least a question um Yeah, I think that's the main deterrent for me Because like we love the touch pushes and it's led to a really high floor this year, but also like He hasn't had a lot of like if you didn't use him at at 92 you're burned kind of games So I think he's my quarterback two behind lamar right now But that's also why i'm receptive to considering other guys is like i'm okay with lamar in that game Okay with herts given how high the salary is i'm like thinking about some josh allen pivot lineups against the patriots stuff like that I think my homes is in play You know, I I gave some thought to brock perty. I'm not gonna lie I'm like I just I think quarterback is pretty is a bit open this week is what I would say Yeah, I want to make sure I get to some herds though. Yeah. Oh, yeah And I think it's a fear that I don't Get out of my way to get herds. So yeah, I think that he's worth that I think part of the reason why I want to get herds is because I was slacking yesterday I was like, ah, this feels like kind of slate, you know where you get some things right and you have good lines But then aj brown goes out there and hangs six receptions 120 yards and three touchdowns on you You're like, oh Maybe I should just use aj brown then if i'm that afraid of him torturing me if you look at the games they played Uh with dallas goddard healthy aj brown a 33 target share He has a 48 deep target share and 27 percent inside the red zone Second half of that game last week against the giants. He started to get cooking once again Uh seemed like the vibes were getting a little bit better So I think that brown is pretty fun And I think as a result of that I want to be there in like If I if you give me one herds lineup, I want to tie it to aj brown It does force me to to shove in some value plays elsewhere, but I think it's a worthwhile endeavor given the kind of feeling games he can have Yeah, I'm very interested. It's just hard. Like you said to get there This is not a direct stack, of course So it's not necessarily fair and I don't know how the salaries quite line up But you're more likely to have hurt like if you're kind of going like with a I'm going out of my way to to get upside here Are you going out of your way to get jaylin herds and aj brown or lemar entire week? um Because there's the game stack there. It's not I know it's not a qb to Yeah to receiver, but I guess I'd probably be more likely to go lemar and tireke But I think they're in the those two stacks are in a similar tier If that makes sense They are and I mean you don't want to overlook aj brown the reality is you and you make a good point There's going to be some guys who just have erupting games. It's a big main slate. This is going to happen There are a lot of players who can have big games That is another reason to be receptive Two lineups without macafri though. Yeah I know I keep going back and forth, but that's what I'm going to do that all the whole week till sunday Just it is what it is. So I think the the combination of What brown I mean all those double digit targets there he's this matchup couldn't be better right now. Yeah I should try to prioritize him, but uh, what other What other eagles are you interested in so the one downside with brown is that I could the eagles have been a bit more Run heavy recently, which they should be honestly like they're pretty effective with it. So like I get it um And like that should put me on deandre swift, but his salary is $7600. He Is legally not allowed to score touchdowns. I know he scored last week, but like I think he's been tackled up the one more than any player in football this year If I had to guess and then jillan herds takes it like I think because he doesn't get a lot of passing game like yardage Like he gets some work there but not like creative good targets In order for him to kill you he probably needs two touchdowns And I think his odds of two touchdowns are pretty low Especially at 76 so like he could go for 120 in the touchdown and be good at 76 But he's not going to make me regret not using him So I think I should be here because of the match because of the the Skiw towards the run they've had recently But I don't think I'm going to get there regardless. Uh, what about you? Yeah, it's hard to to allocate that much salary to a player who Just loses, you know Goal line work or Goal to go situations How many like aside from The one or two times that they've done like a sweep or something out of the brotherly shove What percentage of their like Like one yard to go plays have actually been the brotherly shove So I think I saw the staff from rich rebar. I believe it was Hertz has outcarried swift in Uh from one or two yards outside the goal line 14 to 1 this year. I believe that's correct and I think that was Um, so apologize if that's wrong, but I'm pretty sure that was sad. I saw Okay, so basically every time which it feels like it and it should be with how high that success rate is but yet I see the case for swift. I'm just not going to get there personally, especially with James cook at the same salary. We're shot white at a similar salary. I prefer white. I prefer barkley. I prefer cook Yeah Yeah, uh, other eagles are davante smith and dallas goddard I think the goddard is a firm priority on this late at $5,800 given that You know, he's just low salary exposure to a very good offense Looking at the gains where he has been good to go Goddard's target share is scrolling scrolling 20% he has a 27 red zone share as well equal to a j brown there davante smith 22 that time 29 deep target share six percent inside the red zone. So between those two guys I have a firm priority a firm preference for goddard. Uh, what about you goddard and davante smith? Yeah, when we talk about goddard you want to look at What's this five straight games without a touchdown as well? I know that this team is like the hardest team to like from a red zone standpoint because jailen herch is just is a vacuum But not every play they run is from the one yard line or two yard line. So um And he's got single game target shares of 30 percent and 25 percent his past two games He was a little bit limited in his return, but it's still 15 percent um really good match up so goddard No issues, I think I'm gonna have a hard time deciding between goddard and likely uh t ko on uh youtube said six times a charm I agree six times a charm for dalis goddard. Uh, I know that's sarcasm, but I think it's funny. Um, I agree goddard is a firm priority smith is like fine. Um, if you give me Ten jillan herds lineups. I probably got six a j brown Uh three divante smith and I've got goddard intermingled among all those basically um, because you want to target tight ends to Uh game stacks. Let's talk about the opposing side here in the cardinals Um, I think mc brides probably the only guy I really want to use 68 It is a high salary, but like yeah, he's getting a lot of targets I know he didn't do well last week, but like getting a lot of targets Pretty good match up against the eagles with their poor linebacker play. So I think mc brides the one bring back here anything different for you I agree. He's still the biggest touchdown regression candidate among tight ends should have about three more than he does Uh goddard does have he's he's like top five as well for the main slate. So just Six times a charm, but it actually might might pan out for once, but I think it's just mc bride and honestly at that salary. I don't For see myself playing him a lot. I'm fine playing playing the eagles without any bring backs if I need to I would agree with that. Okay. Let's dive in now to our transaction for week number 17 We spent a lot of time in bookmakers. We can kind of buzz on through the transaction for this week Because it's not it's the the offensive. We're prioritizing. We've already discussed. Let's talk about your first trend Which is the can city chiefs, uh, because they're in a really good match up against the Bengals So they're at least worth touching on what'd you see when you dug into the chiefs when they've had good match ups this year Yeah, easy to kind of overlook the chiefs. I think after what they did on Christmas, but Playing the Bengals who are 26 and adjusted past defense according to number fires metrics The average past defense that my homes has faced this year has been about 18th Um, if you look at all of his his drop backs almost a 50 success rate, which is great Plus 0.06 passing that expected points per drop back, which is number fires epa metric Um, you'd expect that to be zero if you adjust everything to opponent level So those are good numbers, especially the passing success rate But in five matchups against teams 24th or worse and adjusted past defense My home's is averaging just under 20 fando points per game 280 passing yards 1.6 touchdowns 51 percent passing success rate plus 30 rushing yards per game Um, but the Bengals aren't just a bad past defense. They're just a bad overall defense They let up big plays they let up downfield volume 32nd and average depth of target allowed Just 20th and pressure rate 29th and completion percentage over expectation allowed while also not being good against the rush Uh, they've been torched by george pickins jordan adison like michael pitman Um, this this is this is a good beatable matchup Um, and in five games against teams outside the top 20 and pressure rate in my home's Is it almost uh, 23 and a half fando points per game over 300 yards 2.4 touchdowns per game It's possible that he's just becoming a little bit matchup dependent because of how teams play him and how teams With good defenses can scheme against him and just sort of shut things down because frankly, he doesn't have a whole lot of help I like rishi rice a lot travis kelsey Might be a little hurt. He looks a little slower or something. I don't want to Uh, project that or anything, but it doesn't seem quite quite like kelsey of old Um, but his salary's down to with my home is the salary's down to 8 000 And again, he's just been a little bit dependent on the matchups Now travis kelsey's salary remains high at 7800 But since 90s 30 second and yards per out run allowed to tight ends 30th and target per out rate So they've effectively funneled targets to the position in mid bad at defending them Um, and he's uh, uh, kelsey's averaging over 110 yards in his four matchups against teams 24th or worse and adjusted past defense Rishi rice since his breakout 28 target share for 10 targets per game Um, there's nothing else from the past catchers, but rishi rice firmly in that conversation in the 7 000 range like you said but Also, like you said, maybe some guys with higher upside From a down from a downfield target standpoint like rice is 8. It's not particularly high It doesn't get as much downfield work is as you would want because teams just continue to play Um, you know the chiefs in a way that they got to throw it underneath My home's is like screen rate is like 12 percent this year. It's it's sad Uh, but what we might get is value at running back here as well. Isaiah Pacheco Sustained a concussion in monday's loss jerk mckinnons on ir clad edwards. He layer at a 40 snap rate monday four carries three targets but He was the guy he's going to be the guy if if if there's no pacheco The salary of 6500 is very very very appealing. I think ceh without pacheco is There's no such thing as a free space, but I think the process is very much there in a match up this good I'm not saying my homes is by qb1 or even like my top two qbs, but I think there's a case to be made that this team needs to win They're finally facing a defense that can give stuff up and can't really stop them I'm kind of high on the chiefs this week probably higher than most which is weird to say because it's the chiefs Where are you with Kansas City this week? Really good single entry team because I don't think people will be there. Uh, despite a good match up. Um, so I think they're pretty fun and like if you use my homes with Kelsey because our salaries are down from where they had been before You can still get to those mid-range guys So I think that's pretty interesting this week. Uh, Kelsey has not scored in like Well on the football field in a while. So it's like, um, it's been a bit for Travis Kelsey I think that's pretty good in 78. Yeah five games I don't mind that. Um So I would say they're a fun single entry team because a lot of people won't be there It's a pivot off of ceh. I like ceh. I think he's a great player like you said Uh, but I also do think it's a spot where you could pivot to the passing game as well. So I want to be on the chiefs. Um And then I can get exposure to the eagles via goddard if I go with my homes and rishi rice I can get exposure to 49ers via brandon iuk I can still get exposure to the fun offenses while using them. I think that's part of why I think they're attractive Yeah, kelsey I would not be surprised if he scores twice. He's due for touchdown regression Which usually is not the case for him. He's usually overperforming there, but right And you would think like the one thing that would still be there If he had lost like some juice would be the touchdowns because like he's just a big human um, but Yeah, I agree with you there. It's a fun spot to go at the cheese for this week My first trend is about the saints and their passing game usage because they're in a must win game this week against the bucks and michael thomas confirmed not back this week So I wanted to dig into their target shares to see what to expect and a plus match up here They have only three games with thomas out where both rishi chahid and chris olave were healthy But those guys have gotten good shares in those three games in those games olave at 27 overall target share 35 percent of the deep work rishi chahid is at 20 percent with a 19 percent deep target share And then juan johnson 15 percent target share with 19 percent deep and all three guys have a 20 red zone share on a red zone target share On 10 red zone targets the raw targets for olave are nine and nine and 13 in those games He has averaged three deep targets per game Salary is $7400. I think that olave's in play if it's a one-off at 74 But also as a mini stack if you want to pair him with rishad white or chris god When on the opposing side or even by kevins Chahid is not a true value at 62 He does have nine five and nine targets in those games I'm receptive to him It would be only game stacks and I kind of wish the salary were a bit lower at then 62 juan johnson salary is 52 That's too close to goddard for me to go there. He's not totally off the map But i'm not going to use myself personally It is worth touching on alvin chimera as well with vita vea back the bucks are a tough rushing matchup But chimera's salary is down to 7500 He's at 6.7 targets per game since jimal williams returned He has 34 of the red zone chances in that span as well, which is okay, but not great So olave to me is a priority chimera We're thinking into a lot of some chahid and game stacks here But how are you viewing the saints in this match up with the bucks? As usual, I prefer olave the most um He so I went back and watched the tape. No, um Of that first match up Yeah, well, I mean it's a good on paper matchup, but some people might look I don't know how much credence people give to First time around matchups, but they'll see six targets one catch four yards he had Let me get this right. I think it was a 38 percent A minus 38 percent completion percentage over expectation for him in that matchup with 148 air yards, but just four yards He got kind of air mailed or under thrown He looked good. I think if people look at that and say well, maybe they just played him well Wasn't really the case and he's a double digit vandal points in six straight games The volume's there. He's good He's got yardage upside and touchdown equity That's why I like olave always Other than that, I'm not I'm just not sold enough on I don't think I have to play Shahid I don't think chimera has enough for me to want to get there. I think it's just olave And you look at olave and like you'll see like oh, he hasn't broken 20 vandal points in a while But it's because the touchdowns have not come in the games where he had yardage He's had 110 or more yards in three games the three of his past four games No touchdowns in any of them So like If the touchdowns have matched up you'd be looking at like a 24 point game and stuff like that. So he's got a really good ceiling We talked about mistake erasers before olave does fit that and at 74. That's pretty attractive I like him more than nicocollins. We'll talk about in a second here. We're talking about the texans I keep going back and forth between him and iyuk I still want to go iyuk because I like that passing offense so much but like The fact that i'm considering olave over iyuk does I think that should tell you how high I'm on olave Just because like I do like iyuk a lot Yeah, it's just again olave's the number one iyuk could be the fourth option in this game And he could still go for 115 yards because how efficient they are right like he had won something on Monday even though he was like the third option there behind mcaffery and kiddo I think it was 113 on Yeah seven targets. He's pretty good Okay, let's move now to your second trend and talk about another good offense on the los angeles rams they are taking on the giants and We talked about the cowboys when they went outdoors to take on the buffalo bills and they didn't play well there So I think it's worth digging into you're gonna talk about the rams when they play outdoors and what they've done Is they get set to face the giants Yeah, one thing you do a better job than I do is is tracking like teams indoor teams going outdoors that kind of stuff So I want to get better with that but the rams outdoors don't have a huge sample, which is to be expected Just four games this season outdoors And brett rip and started one of them, which I don't remember Uh It's right before they're by Stafford I'm I'm injury. I think Yeah, I don't remember that one. So really three games to look at In this sample, but cooper cut missed the first two of them in weeks one and three So just keep that in mind. But in these three games again cup missed missing two of them Stafford had 297.3 yards 1.3 touchdowns per game 0.15 passing that expected points per drop back Which is really good from a Over expectations standpoint is at a 0.12 again, you would expect that to be zero if you just played to the level of the defense This includes a 294 yard three touchdown game against the top two adjusted past defense In an overtime loss to balsamore recently That's fun. And that's enough for me to want to buy in to this offense um You know, it's hard to look at this team at least for me in terms of like what Which like sample I like because kairan's been out cup missed some time, of course You know stafford missing some games But if you look just most recently and try to get hyper relevant with the marcus robinson playing an elevated role entire higby back Is a two game sample, but I think there's enough to make me feel like I know what what to expect here Cup his salary is 8,000 puke nakua's 79 Into marcus robinson 64. They've all run at least 90 of the routes in those games Clubs have a 31 target share with nakua at 30 percent and robinson at 14 percent In that span nakua has nine downfield targets for a 38 percent air yard share Robinson has six downfield targets for 28 percent, which is pretty viable for What should be a value receiver, but he's not um I think I still think you could do worse than robinson with his role right now But I don't think I'll get there at 64 and then cups though instead of getting the downfield work cups getting red zone work He's got a 50 red zone target share on seven red zone targets for him over these past two games I like all of them to varying degrees I think as you said nakua is very fun I'm Going to play nakua over cup just consistently for the downfield work, which is more bankable than red zone work But in the backfield kiran williams I think kiran's still one of the keys to the slate Or a potential key He just had such a good role And we want to play macaferi because he's got a great role And he's in a good offense and he's really good But all of those to some degree also apply to kiran williams uh since returning in week 13 Um 23.8 carries four targets per game 121 scrimmage yards 83 percent of the red zone rushes 48 percent of the overall red zone plays have gone to kiran williams salary of 9400 it's very reasonable and You know the reasons that we're playing macaferi a lot of those apply to kiran williams too So I want to make sure that i'm receptive to kiran in my main lineup Again, I viewed him as a consolation last week to macaferi I'm a little bit higher on that in this matchup and in a game that really matters for this team so what are your thoughts on the rams and One thing we haven't talked about is Someone like matthew stafford like or can you consider going away from lamar herts ma homes? Justin fields if you can see jay more like josh allen is anyone like that in consideration for you? Um stafford. No, I was I used him in that game against commanders But that was more slate specific where there weren't a lot of upside quarterbacks And I think that's different for this week So it's a fair question to ask and I did look at him Gave him some thought but I don't think I can get there with how many like You know tortures there are on this slate Especially with ma homes potentially running more. I think that's that's the key thing that pushes me away from stafford But I as we talked about a door puka nakua This week and he's part of why I want to like if I could ideally have two guys in that seven thousand ranger receiver That'd be great because I don't want to like pick and like have just one of nakua olave iuk, etc So that's another reason why i'm okay Not having macaferi if I you have just like one lineup Um So Nakua to me is like a firm priority and a guy like a lot this week I have been a bit too low on cooper cup. I know you'll be shocked to hear that But like he's actually getting a good role Uh, so the sample I looked at was the three games with uh, demarcus robinson playing a lot of snaps Uh, so slightly different sample because I don't care about tyler higby. I think he's the worst. Um, but like In those games, it's a 29 share for cup with a 46 red zone share So that's worth it. Um, I should probably split it more close to down the middle between him and nakua But I agree that you were like it's the downfield stuff's too hard to pass up. So You know, I I think they're both like really really fun this week personally I think the case against cup at least is that while his red zone share His red zone target share is good His overall red zone roll is a little bit A little tiny bit dampen because they give it to kairan a lot too. So if you want to talk yourself out of cup, that's probably the reason Yeah, okay Let's dig in now to my second trend here on top of the texans because cj stroud was back at practice wednesday Sounds like he'll be able to return this week and assuming he is cleared He returned to face the 25th rank past defense by number fires metrics So worth remembering just how good stroud was before the injury He is averaging 0.16 passing that expected points per drop back this year The average tends to be around 0.07 and stroud ranks seventh among all quarterbacks with at least 100 drop backs this year A lot of that did come with a healthy tanked out But in two games with del either out or hurt early Stroud is at 0.13 passing an np per drop back that excludes a jets game where stroud left early One of those games against the saints who are a much tougher past defense than the titans So I think the texans should be able to move the ball pretty efficiently here That won't get me to stroud because I think the rushing will be muted or should be muted like kind of protect this guy Maybe uh, but it could get me to the past catchers They've had two games this year with del out and both nico collins and dalton schultz active schultz say 25 target share in those games Noah brown is at 17 percent But both brown and collins are at two deep targets per game in those games Collins at 80 yards in the first game of that sample and he's shown. I think it's actually 180 yards I don't know. He's 80 either way. He's had a lot of yards upside this year I'm very okay with Collins 73. I prefer a lava and I prefer a uke But like this is part of why I want to be in this range of law. It's kind of like nico as well Noah brown is 6500 He's similar to shaheed in that he's a guy to consider in spots, but not a priority Schultz is 62. I prefer goddard and likely over him not off of schultz But I don't expect to get there personally But with those receivers deandre hopkins could be a bring back as we discussed earlier on as a guy would love us being back so I might like hopkins more than any receiver in the 6000 range How are you viewing collins and brown here and what's your interest level in hopkins? Uh, whether a standalone play is or as a bring back Yeah, I always feel a little low on Niko for some reason probably just because he's not tankdale. Yeah, which isn't fair to him, but he's really good um I'm struggling a little bit with Noah brown like it's weird because I This is making me high on this offense to a degree, but I still prefer deandre hopkins if I'm playing a one-off in this game Oh, yeah. Yeah, so I don't know if I need to force a bring back I feel like cg strad can kind of just spread the ball out in a very efficient way I'm still considering brown. I'm still considering niko, but I wouldn't put them necessarily At such a high place that they are Like priorities like yeah I'm I'm finding an extra hundred to get to chris alave. Yeah So let me phrase it this way We've talked a lot about like secondary considerations in the chiefs the rams the saints and the texans all those Offenses that aren't like the big three or whatever for this week Which one do you like most of the four trends we did which offense are you highest on? considering salary considering alternative stuff like that Probably the chiefs because I'm considering the quarterback there. Yeah And potentially three plays depending on which running like what running back situation we get Like which which these offense are you more likely to go out of your way to use because I think it's a chiefs for me too chiefs then the rams I Well, I guess niku is like a one-off maybe more but like I think I like I like Kyron a lot. So oh true. Okay. So yeah It's either rams and then cheese or then or cheese and then rams Yes, but I I think I will squeeze in some texan stuff Like my FOMO alinas might be texans based like niko with a hopkins bring back kind of thing Well, I was going to ask if you if that meant shroud for you, which you said probably not so no I think it's it'd be more so the receivers What about a true mid-range Like where are you with no around? I guess I should let me ask that um Because it's very easy to plug him in in a lineup with hopkins I don't know if I'm that high on that I think the question is would you rather have godwin or rather have Noah brown to be a game stack with hopkins or go chris godwin is a non-game stack because godwin is 67 as well godwin I'd rank them hopkins godwin brown pretty definitively Noah brown or de marcus robinson Noah brown Noah brown or ze flowers ze He's the easing that he's there, but yeah, okay Weather for this weekend weirdly for december is not bad Only one game has wind speeds currently in excess of 10 miles per hour That is in chicago for the bears and the falcons 11 miles per hour right now there not a huge concern honestly, but Could make it easier to decide between dj more and some of the other wide receivers in that range Other game at 10 is the chiefs and bengal. So check back on the wind speed for that one later But let's go now into our positional place week number 17 starting off at quarterback brandon Who are you turning to on a fan duel this week? uh jaylen hurts I I know he's got a high salary But this matchup is now the best in football according to number fires metrics in terms of uh adjusted past defense You smirking at me noz No, okay They're also really bad against rushing quarterbacks And if you look at I mean, I know I said all this already, but like If you look at hurts He has not had a lot of easy matchups just You know one opponent but two games against the commanders In terms of teams 23rd or worse and adjusted past defense and he's Actually had efficient passing in those games 319 yards in each which is just quirky, but um That oh that jaylen hurts, um, and then four touchdowns and one and two touchdowns in the other He's got the rushing potential again This game matters. He can scramble more. Um It's really easy To like yeah, yeah, but I can't get there Could be worth it eventually for an eruption spot whenever the passing and the rushing clicks Which it has really hasn't yet you mentioned that for a lava It could happen for hurts eventually here, uh, but the most likely quarterback I'm playing Islamar Jackson who's my second love at a salary of 7900 I'm with you where it's very easy to say that this is the best game of the week Just play it like play them play everybody, um It could be a little bit lower scoring if the pace You know shakes out that way if baltimore can keep Running the clock in miami first fun as they are offensively. They're pretty slow So that that that is an issue, but Dolphins also fifth and adjusted past the offense Matchup itself could be easier. I'm saying I'm loving lamar, but I'm trying to like sell myself on not loving him And I don't think I can quite do that. But again, it's slow It is a tough defense He has uh four matchups with top 10 adjusted past the offenses this year 221 yards is a passer 1.3 touchdowns, but almost 40 rushing yards Um two touchdowns over those four games on the ground but he's had 22.58 and 28.14 in those four games So he still has some upside and a salary itself is low This game matters a ton. I don't think that there's any scenario where the where baltimore just Takes their foot off the gas and that I think is ultimately what I keep coming back to is Whether they're winning or trailing lamar is going to be doing stuff And lamar is a florida native. So Uh, I know it's in baltimore, but a little homecoming narrative there for lamar That's the only reason to keep my loves is because of the homecoming narrative It's very specifically not a homecoming narrative um home Like growing up team favorite team narrative. Can we uh, was he a dolphins fan? Sure So let's say he was Let's pretend he was can we photoshop, uh, baby lamar jackson in like a dan marino jersey I don't know who work on it. Um, was he a lie when dan marino was slinging it? I don't know. Um, but i'm going to keep lamar as my One of my loves this week. It's it's just a low salary for guy with his juice The rushing yard has been very good for lamar, but hasn't that a rushing touchdown since october 22nd? We're now past christmas. It's been two months. Um, so like rushing touchdown regression is in his future I would assume it is a high total. It's a tight spread. I don't want to overthink it with lamar specifically I think it's more so Talking or lowering me on the dolphin side of things is where I get to with this game My second love I'm going to go patrick mahomes because like let's say I just showed you a blank resume of a guy who ran 10 times for 53 yards last week He is at home. He is facing a defense that has been really really bad this year It's an important game for them because they want to lock up the division if he checked all those boxes We'd be pretty high on that player. I think that blank resume So I think we want to be high on patrick mahomes as a result saturdays $8,000. I don't people will be there So I want to be there not like If you give me one line up and probably go on lamar, but I do think I want to get to Some patrick mahomes as well again low salary easy stack and it's a good match up. I think that that is pretty attractive to me Yeah, I think I have lamar 4.4 rushing touchdowns under expectation Which is wild yeah But I think my homes is probably the qb3 sure for a lot of reasons I will get to some josh allen like I know we even talked about him and I don't want to keep my quarterback pool large, but like I think the allen is worth looking at $8,800 Yeah, but I mean if you're if your qb pool is Jalen hurts josh, I often use for and like he'd be my qb4 like I know you don't do any but like I'm okay with using for and that's my max But like I'll get to a fourth one And just I know we're it's a long show, but for anyone who's like wow great Way to go out on limb guys When you have this many qbs in like upside spots and they put up 30 You're not going to make up a whole lot of ground if like staffer gets you Like 18 or something. Yeah, that's what we always are fearful of when it comes to quarterback All right, let's go to running back what you turn into there I'm sticking with kiren I think I might want to get out of my way Go out of my way to get to kiren. Um, I mentioned like maybe doing that with christian mccaffrey But I think I can just as easily do it with kiren williams. Um, they're not eliminated Um with a loss yet their their odd shift Drastically with a win to make the playoffs this game matters a ton Since returning he's played 61 in the snaps than 94 89 77 and 79 percent Even if you factor in that game where he had a lower snap rate than normal 22 carries 4.4 targets for 137 scrimmage yards per game Almost half. He's got 48 of the red zone work Um giants are not a particularly good rush defense, you know specifically against running backs I think I think this whole thing about mccaffrey is very justified But I think kiren williams deserves a lot of attention. It's a lot easier to get to in terms of salary as well second love for probably the What 17th week in a row were shod white uh salary of 7900. He is gettable. Uh, especially with some value um, you know with another value running back plugged in Or occurred to samu in particular or just not necessarily getting up to another tight end who's you know above 6000 but 20 carries seven target game for for 77 yards last week, but seven red zone carries and one red zone target 80 uh 79 snap rate on the full season for him His 68 and a half percent snap rate was the lowest all year last week in the in the game where the bucks were up 20 to nothing at halftime His role is really good and the salary is reasonable third love is I'm gonna have clad edwards. You layer here With the assumption just that isaac pacheco cannot play I would be receptive to ezequalia though. Same year white as well um, all of your loves are or guys. I like to but 40 snap rate last week after pacheco had already played 56 of the the snaps with pacheco out in weeks 14 and 15 Edwardsy larry played 48 and 61 of the snaps and that was with jerrick mckinnon active Um across these three games while in a timeshare to some degree Uh ceh's average 9.3 carries 3.7 targets for 72 scrimmage yards a decent 18 red zone share I'm high on this offense that role should get better He's been with his team for a long time. So he's probably gonna get relied on I think that if there's no pacheco ceh is The guy I will just play 100 of and see what happens from there Yeah, I think I'll be a whichever cheese back we get here basically Um, and they just don't really have a lot of depth and that's a good thing In this matchup My first love is also rachad white to guy you alluded to as your second love He finally had a down game from a yard's perspective last week But he had 20 carries seven targets like you said and it's a big game for them They can lock up a playoff spot lock up the nxc south here against the the saints in the saints Areing 25th against the rush based on number fires metrics. So it's a good spot for rachad white And I'll happily go back there once again for 7900 dollars My second love this week is going to be james cook and he's had Touchdown issues and those will not go away. They will stick those are sticky. It's going to be bad always but In the games with joe brady as offensive coordinator cook is averaging 126.8 yards from scrimmage per game His red zone sure is 23.3 percent, which is pretty bad for running back. Um, we would obviously love that to be in the 40s but It's not zero Like it's not as if his touchdown expectation is nothing and he can turn in long touchdowns as well so james cook is At home facing the patriots again the bills do need to win And I don't think a lot of people will go there because last week did kind of cool off finally But sour came down a bit as well. So james cook to me really fun play I mentioned josh allen as being a guy i want to get to i'm more likely to get to james cook just because He's 7600 dollars a good spot for him And I do think that It lines up well enough to make him a really fun play My third love will be devon single terry once again He does get cj strow back this week, which should keep the texans in a better script Single terry is 89.4 yards to skirmish per game as the teams lead back and he's shown single game upside as well so we talked before about mistake erasers and The viability of those we don't get a lot of those are running back in this range And single terry really isn't that typically but he has had games where he's had like the building blocks for that So I think all of the value plays other than cgh ch is a better play So I should state that definitively ch is a better player. There's no pacheco I would say single terries number two above is zemir white with no josh jacob's above guess edwards, obviously The one guy would go above him would be devon han ifra. He most dirt can't play wide receiver. What's your turn into you there? i'm gonna pivot from tyreek although I just there's one stat I want to mention for tyreek in his favor The ravens have faced a league high 39 end zone targets to receivers No other teams had his faced at least 33, but they've let up seven scores on them Which is 18 percent and the league average rate is 37 percent That's probably a scale, but I think there could be some I think tyreek hill could have a huge game I'm just going to simplify it and go with brandon iuk though Because I think that the salary is great the matchup couldn't be much better In games with the big four active. He's at a 24 target share 4.6 downfield targets per game which remains 10 plus yards downfield With a third of the end zone targets specifically I think he's due for some touchdowns, but either way feel really good about iuk And he's easier to get to than tyreek, of course A second love is chris olave not going to talk me out of him. Um, nobody is He's just sort of one of the guys that that I love 13 targets 123 yards last week six of them at least 10 yards downfield The bucks are 30th in yards per out run allowed to receivers. I mentioned that game that first matchup A negative 38.2 percent catch rate over expectation 148 air yards, but just the one catch for four yards could have been huge and like you pointed out He's got multiple. He's got the touchdown equity. He's got the yardage It just hasn't put it all together this week definitely could in a very very important game For the saints third love Say flowers. I'm assuming he's good to go 6300 is that salary back on track last week in terms of targets after a down week in week 15 when he had an 8.7 team target share last week 38.2 percent 13 targets for 72 yards in a touchdown. It is a tough sort of overall matchup but Miami is kind of quietly 28th and catch rate over expectation allowed to receivers I think the salary within this game is just too hard to pass up Yep, I agree. I think that He's one of the better receiver plays relative to salary on the entire slate My first level receiver is pukin akua. Not a surprise You've been listening throughout the show for today because I don't think Sony nine hundred dollars high enough for a guy This good He's at a 27 percent target sharing games with demarcus robinson snaps being up with 27 percent of the deep targets He gets some rushing attempts as well and has lots of yardage upside Due to the way he is used they're facing the giants and You know, it's a bad defense the game could get better with therod taylor starting as well So I think a lot of things line up well to make pukin akua a really fun play and a guy I want to get to at 7900 dollars My second level is going to be deandre hopkins they're going to face the texans and I'm going to use them as a bring back as well hopkins Great options of standalone play too will leavens is back at practice this past Wednesday He's a guy who loves to chuck it deep and often does so to deandre hopkins But also riot tangles efficient enough Uh to be good should he want to be in the starter hopkins this year 28 percent overall target share 41 percent of the deep work and 38 percent inside the red zone It's six seven hundred dollars in a dome against a very bad secondary That's way too good to pass up. So love hopkins for this week My third love is going to be kurtis samuel. Uh, just because of the salary I I got to save somewhere He has a 33 red zone share in the games everybody's fully good to go He gets carries inside the red zone too He's shown yardage upside at times and it helps offset the salary of christian mccaffery brennan iuk Debo kid or whoever it may be and I'll need that for sure So samuel a guy I like in the 5000 range, which is not super common at wide receiver tight end What you turn into there Uh, the I think there's a clear top two this week. Uh, as a likely being one, um at a side of 6000 Miami's been kind of middling against tight ends this year Uh, since taking over is the full-time tight end 18 target share 62 yards and 0.5 touchdowns per game kind of low a dot but still getting 1.8 Downfield targets per game. So kind of a mix of targets It seems like they have some plays designed to get him the ball which you always love to see Uh, second love then dallas goddard at 5800 Um against the cardinals again great matchup against tight ends arizona's 29th and eight aren't allowed 20th and yards per route Run and 29th and adjusted fantasy points per target according to my numbers Um 30 target share last week or two games ago and then 25 last week Uh with also 50 of the team's end zone targets in that three weeks span since his return Yeah, i'm going to keep the same two as well I got azalea likely and dallas goddard is my two loves the tight end likely a 19 percent target share in games that know andrew's 22 percent deep target share and 21 percent inside the red zone. It is low salad exposure to Uh, a fun stack and a good pairing with labar. So very high on azalea likely dallas goddard 20 percent target share in games where he has been full this year 27 percent inside the red zone He had 71 yards on monday and he's shown even more upside than that in other games So for 5800 dollars like him a lot I would probably have likely as like my default guy for a cash game But if I need to save 200 very okay going down to goddard instead. Let's finish up here at defense. What's you like there? I prefer yours. I'm gonna once again Run my head into a wall with the panthers. I did that i'm at 30 34 they they're not they don't generate a lot of pressure. They don't get a lot of sacks But trevor lorenz has been just okay I think that they're still I think he can make some mistakes as well Seems like he's ripe for that But I prefer yours. I even prefer the the stealers in broncos as well if I can get there maybe If we're trying to still stay in the low sour range. Yeah, I've got the falcons is mine I don't think they should be 3. Underdogs in this game personally their defense has been underrated this entire year Uh 12th against the past third against the rush and now get to play outdoors as opposed to indoors Justin fields is a very fun quarterback, but he will make mistakes. So for 36 hundred dollars. I like the falcons I will use the panthers as well And the other ones you mentioned also fine by me any final thoughts for you branding before we close up shop for week number 17 I think we covered Everything we needed to cover. It's it's extra games on the slate takes a little bit longer Also just positional scarcity conversations and a lot of guess work with some of the injuries. So got to talk through some extra stuff So, uh, thanks everyone for sticking around. Yeah, stay tuned to the news as things will change throughout the week We'll try to if you have questions for us on twitter, feel free to hit us up there We'll try to address how we things have changed for us Since that time speaking to which brand if people have questions for you on twitter, where can they find you there? I'm on twitter at good old 13 gdu la 13 and I am on twitter at jim saunas You can find me on threads at jim dot saunas You can find fan dual research on twitter at fan dual research. Happy new year to all you listening and be safe Have a fantastic weekend. We'll talk to you once again next week for a glorious week 18 main slate This is about the heat check fantasy podcast right here on the fan dual podcast network