 The following is a presentation of TFNN. The Power Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now toll-free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now, David White. And welcome all to another excellent edition of the Power Trading Hour. With me. And it doesn't matter where me is, as long as you are here at this time. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. So what do we have? Kind of a flat day and as I take down five points, S&P up three and a half points, Russell's up seven. Crude meandering around the $88 level. Gold was a little higher, earlier $5 higher at 801. So what do we have? Well, I think we got a little bit of a hangover coming back and that was everybody flooding back into the, probably the most oversold and highly shorted market that we've had since 2016. And it's just one of those things where you go, well, maybe a little bit too much, too fast. It could be part of it. The other part could be whether or not we're in a bear market or not. This is the way that bear markets work. You have huge retracements, as I said before, three steps back, two steps forward kind of stuff. You never know, but this could be the little point where we start everybody believing that it's back to normal and then we head back lower. The reason I think of it that way is generally markets go up the stairs and these things went up the escalator fairly quickly. And just everybody piling in at once always makes me a little nervous. Anyway, we're kind of meandering around unchanged for most of the big indexes. We've got a lot of earnings coming this week, AMD after the bell tonight. That's a company that's not restricted by demand but only supply they can create. So real hard to figure out how all those guys are gonna be doing. They came off the lows fairly well, hovering around 115 on the day. And what else we can say is just, we look at the rest of what's out there for earnings. Let's go back out here and say, PayPal, Google tonight, hard to tell on Google, but we shall see. General Motors, Government Motors, Starbucks, Gilead, Electronic Arts, and then of course in the morning, we look at DH Horton, Waste Management, Ferrari, Novartis, Boston Scientific, Pre-Holdings, Humana. So healthcare, biotech kind of strong, the bad part of this week. So it's kind of a little bit of hurry up and wait. On the earnings that we had last night and this morning, the big news is probably not big at all and that is UPS is up about 14%. I had a theory and it seemed pretty much rule out and that was if it could fly on a 747, it did well. So we saw Apple actually do well. And of course, UPS trying to get stuff around because of the continuing cluster fiasco at Long Beach that doesn't seem to get resolved. And no one really spending any time trying to get it resolved. Not sure what's there. On the downside for semiconductors, we got CRUS down about 5.6%. Let's take a quick look at that. Come on, Mr. Chart, get up here. Come on, there we go. And take a quick look at Cirrus Logic. You had kind of a big, long butterfly setup here. You pulled back a little bit to where support should be, which is about 82 bucks. You kind of got back there today. Yeah, I don't think there's a lot going on here. This thing looks like it's in a bigger trading range. Let's take a look at untied parcel here, UPS. And that is a definite breakout. You got volume. It looks good. And the harder that we push the supply chain, the more that we're gonna need things like United Parcel, FedEx, trying to get things there on time and paying up to do it. But I don't think it should be anything of a surprise. The only surprise is that we've allowed our elected leaders to not fix the problems that they probably should have fixed long ago. But I can't say much about that. 877-927-6648. Anyway, we got fun buying. We got a lot of that, I think, yesterday, a price markup. Kind of interesting not to see much of that follow through today. We'll see what the last 30 minutes of the day looks like. We were a little lower. So maybe this is just some consolidation. But of course, by Thursday morning, we're really gonna be out of the fun buying window. I wouldn't be surprised if the markup was huge this month and we don't get a lot of sales like, I mean, a lot of purchases like we have today. But whatever is out there, the rubes and the IRAs are probably gonna be paying top dollar for whatever stocks go in their funds. As a Barnum and Bailey Bailey said, suckers don't ever give a sucker an even break. But I think that of the IRAs and the funds, I always think about that since they all are stupid enough to buy at the exact same time. Don't you think they should just have kind of a odd day or two or three sprinkled around the entire month instead of trying to figure out all of them or 80% of them all buying at the same time. But isn't that part of the plan, the master plan? Anyway, not expecting a whole lot out of the market. As I said, redemptions were actually fairly strong in both December and January. So probably not a lot of cash there, but I do suspect that we're gonna see that. Now, if we look at volumes in the market, if I update this, we'll get them here. I suspect we've got about 7.3 billion shares. Volume's been falling about 500 million shares a day the last four days. So it's not like we're back up to those highs of hitting 18, 20 billion shares a day. But the amount of retail investors has been pretty high over the last four or five days. Generally, they tend to be wrong. But how many people that were swearing that if the market pounced itself, actually, so I don't think many people, they still don't believe. We'll be back in a... That's right, information. Having all the information gives us the perspective we need to place the right trades at the right time. 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TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV. Live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern. For free, each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at tfnn.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be. TFNN, educating investors. Toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. On this day in 1982, the Intel 8026 processor is introduced in six and eight megahertz versions. Wow. Talk about a speed, Damon. It was employed for the IBM PCAT introduced in 1984 and then widely used in most PCAT compatible computers until the early 1990s. The 286 as it was known, most commonly paved the way for the PC and the wonderful math coprocessor. Pretty amazing that we used such stuff. But cutting edge at the time, now we're, what? 100 times faster than that? Is that right? Yeah. So, 100 times? How about 1000 times faster? Pretty big. Anyway, AMD after the bell tonight, it's all about how much they can ship. We'll see what that is, but it's kind of a tough question to ask. Somebody in the den was talking about Microsoft down on a little bit of volume today, 25 million chairs so far compared to 46 million chairs on the upside. And maybe you get 33, 35 million chairs at the end of the day. That certainly would be going back into a candle with almost 50 million chairs on the upside. The one thing you do have out here that you wanna watch for is this double gap. We've chronicled how many times those double caps do get tested. If a regular gap is gonna get tested, I suspect that a double gap is about four more times likely to be retested. And that sets you in there at about 293, 295-ish area. But yeah, could you pull back to that area and would it do anything bad? Not really. It would just be a bigger consolidation going off from that 276 low. Nothing really changing in what they're doing. But somebody brought up what about multiple compression and it could be a thing. Micron, which was one of the bigger companies out here running into a lot of problems also, mostly with the whole chip shortage thing slowing everything down all around the world. You came back, you tested a gap. That gap was a gap higher back on November 19th with 47 million chairs came in with AFTHAT. So you got a fairly decent low out here. The only problem I have is if the whole market starts selling off again, this will be it. And we went through all the stocks with massively shorted, short sell numbers on the bi-monthly numbers from the exchanges. And it's just, they didn't do much and that generally tells me something. Every other time when we pulled back, those highly shorted stocks did get run. But that isn't it. I mean, even in gold, which MUX is really highly shorted again, you got a little bit of bounce out here. You just don't have much in the way of volume on the Q and mining. You do have a nice looking bottom out here in this one though. It did test that 80 cent low for, yeah, that had a little over four million shares back on December 15th with less than half the volume. So look fairly good. You got a gap up today, but just you know, you got to do 1.2 million shares. So it doesn't look bad, but highly shorted. But not a real run. What else do we have out here? Question about NVIDIA. Little pullback, I suspect that, you know, you look at the semis and everything else. It's just this bounce so far, why it was sharp over a couple of days, doesn't generally the light bulb that burns twice is bright turns burns half as long as the old saying. And you know, you got higher today, volume's about half of what it was yesterday. You continue to have a lot of short sellers in it. Short sellers in AMD. So if they do have some good numbers, AMD probably gonna rip the face off of some shorts. NVIDIA kind of a high on that level too, but even things like Apple continue to short the Jesus out of all day long, which I don't understand. You go, you short week stocks, not strong stocks for the most part. Anyway, you got almost no volume today compared to yesterday. We're doing all about 50%, a little less than 50% of the volume we had yesterday in Apple. So not any kind of signal quite yet on that one. Got a question here about Spotify. Do I think the Joe Rogan thing is gonna do anything? No. It was just a punching bag for the techno fascists who don't like free speech. And my guess is that we heard a little bit about it yesterday. My guess is we'll hear next to nothing about it today, maybe one or two mentions. And by this weekend, no one will remember about what it was all about anyway. But certainly it wasn't about the truth. It was about the truth and people probably would be looking another way. But if a doctor gets 17,000 people to say other doctors to sign up with him, I probably wanna hear what he has to say. I wonder what these people are so afraid of for a doctor who's actual real doctor, practicing doctor, opposed to when they talk about 300 doctors, which were really 50 doctors. And a lot of the other people were just imbeciles along for the ride in news propaganda. So yeah, I don't think much happens. You got somebody talking his own book with trying to sell his high fidelity system for audio, which is really what, I wanna see Neil Simon, but it didn't, was really pushing. He only makes about 50 or 75 bucks a month, people screaming his song. So it's not a lot of money. Almost nobody makes any money as far as artists on Spotify. It's the first thing you need to know. The labels will gobble up about 75% or 80% of it. And even then, they don't make that much money. So it was kind of a, not a big deal. But if you had songs out in the 60s, you have a different setup than you have if you came in after 1970. I think it's 1974 is the split time where you have to opt into the big deal that everybody else opted into. But if you're before 1974, a much different scale for selling your music. Now, I mean, Spotify has its own problems. It's just one of the reasons I didn't face it. It had its problems since it was public. But it's more about the structure than the company. So we'll be back in a minute. You having fun trading the markets, but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with? Become an Apex creditor in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den Trading Room only at dfnn.com. The Tiger's Den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas. Join the den and surround yourself with the sharpest minds in the trading world. Subscribers to the Tiger's Den are also the first to have their questions answered live on air and can privately chat with our TFNN hosts live during their shows. Interact with other Tigers and Tigerses as they share trading ideas, news analysis, and discuss the market action all trading day. Subscribe to the Tiger's Den risk-free with our 30-day money-back guarantee and become part of the TFNN Trading Community, TFNN. Educating investors. 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A lot of stocks that looked good about a month ago kind of failed. And we're still not seeing much of a significant bounce out of it. Anyway, AT&T, just a thought out here because I hear it every time the market pulls back and that is I'm gonna buy some company with a big dividend like AT&T and they'll pay me to wait. I always found that story to be something that just costs people loads of cash because guess what? Companies like AT&T, hey, you wanted your silly dividend. We're not giving it to you. Suck it. And of course it gaps down and not only have you lost your dividend, you've lost some of the money of your equity too. I just, when things get bad, they cut the dividends and the whole idea of hiding in this stuff it does never seem to pan out at least as far as I can see. But another one out here when you look at it of cutting dividends and people thinking that they're sank or sank, they are not, had earnings from NXPI kind of was all over the place in after hours, doing a whole lot of nothing today. And of course, you gotta think that if all their business was just smartphones, they would have probably done a lot better. But really their problem is 50% of their business is cars, automobile related, manufacturing and the cutback and supply problems and that led to kind of a fairly decent pullback that I don't think much else happens out here. Automobile manufacturing and supply chain crisis have to get better before that's gonna change. We looked at MU question about PLTR. I mean, this thing looked fairly good around 17 bucks. As soon as it started to crack, I was out of it. But you've come back up here to 1437. I don't think that there's much out here to bring up other than this is one of those black box companies that's gonna have to produce some earnings fairly soon. Question about the SMHs. Come out here and then the TLT. You had a nice bounce, but it's kind of like two days. You got a lot of volume at the lows that has not been tested. So do you have a chance of that retest of the 249.36 low you do, but I don't see anything other than very light volume and a little slightly higher high out here. But we'll see. Again, probably a lot more about what AMD does tonight is it is a fairly big hunk of those SMHs. Let's go back and look at the bonds. The Fed has not quit buying. They're slowing it down though a little bit. We are getting back into this gap back up from the 27th and starting to fill it. Our volume's just a little lighter out here, but yeah, I think we're gonna continue down. Now remember, this is the month when they said that they're gonna quit buying bonds. So I can't imagine that this thing goes up at worst, I mean, at best, maybe it holds around this level. I think it's been working for a while to go back and test about 137 to 139. So we shall see. I think the Fed probably gonna pull the Band-Aid off all at once, probably gonna make it a little bit tougher through the March for us to figure out when the cork has been pulled out of the giant cask of free money, but continuing to be problematic. Question about work day. This one actually had a fairly decent test of a seven, almost eight million share low back at 220. That spike back on July 27th, that had 7.7 million shares. You only had about 2.4, is that right? Yeah, maybe 2.6 million shares. So there wasn't a lot, but I think you got the lion's share. Almost everything looks about like this on the move higher. And that is just, you went a little higher today, volume's fairly light and a lot of these stocks. So it could easily pull back to 242, I think you could, or get a retest of the 223 back out here. But you had a lot of instant short covering. This wasn't that bad, but I think most of the shorts are out. It's more about who will buy it now than something else. Question about Adobe, A-D-B-E, A-D, if I can type it, we can. 877-927-6648, man, just like everything else out here. This one rolling right into a gap lower, that gap was on the 5th of January. Ooh, yeah, 5th of January, came down with 7.4 million shares in it today with 1.4 million shares. So yeah, I think probably the easy money in Adobe's over two. What else do we have out here? Question about, has the IBB finally bottomed? I don't know, everything looks about the same. The only difference is this hasn't hit resistance quite yet. You got a doji out here. It could be the halfway move higher. If this opens up tomorrow higher, then I would say that that's probably the halfway move. So yeah, could you get back up to 140, which is the top of this gap down from the 18th? You could. You got decent volume today, 2.7 million shares. So not bad. Could be worse, could be better. Anything about the XMEs? Keep them coming, pathtfnn.com. We had a nice gap higher in the metals today, a lot of volume. What I dislike is that you really didn't test the previous low on lighter volume, but good news is good news. Up decent volume, I wouldn't say enough. Really want the kind of volume you had in the down candle. That was 8.8 million shares. Got five million shares, so in the exit, we'll be back. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area, including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa and Clearwater markets? Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay Area. 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China A shares in either direction. Visit DirectionInvestments.com today. An investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the direction shares carefully before investing. The prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares. To obtain a prospectus or summary prospectus, please contact Direction Shares at 866-476-7523. The prospectus or summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing. An investment in the funds is subject to risk, including the possible loss of principal. The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor For Side Fund Services, LLC. Don't forget, you can listen to TFNN live on your mobile device 24 hours per day. Go to TFNN.com and hit Watch Tiger TV. That's TFNN.com and hit Watch Tiger TV. I don't know what this symbol is here, K-R-B-N. Global Carbon Strategy Fund, that's interesting. This is going sideways just a big triangle pattern. Lower highs, higher lows. So, and carbon credits. What a scam. But what can you say? There's a sucker born every day. Yeah, it could be a trade. It's also a scam. I mean, the company. You know, it reminds me of, I had a theology class in high school. I wasn't Catholic, but I thought it was absolutely insane that you could buy, what was it? Indulgences in the Catholic Church. So if you wanted to send all you, it was okay as long as you threw a bunch of money at them, which I always thought was kind of the exact same thing as this and just a stupid. But that's me. Okay. Okay. Do that. Okay. Netflix, NFLX, is Einhorn buying this, actually changing anything. And I think you just bought it for a trade. It was kind of a little oversold. You're back up to one of the double gaps that existed. So the easy money's done here. I'm thinking maybe 470, 475 is probably where this thing's gonna top out. But, you know, before this even came into earnings, I was very skeptical about it just on the fundamentals, which is 600 scripted shows now in English. Man, could you think about finding one that you even like just looking through the list, much less actually watching any of them? There is far too much content and there's far too much churn out here from one, you know, going from one system to another system. And I don't know if you can say anything. It did get through that little double gap, which generally means you could go a little higher, but I'm thinking 470-ish. You could fill about three quarters of that gap down, but you got a high volume lows out here that really haven't been tested. So, you know, my guess is that after it takes this bounce, Einhorn takes this cash. Yeah, could you see a 360, 370-ish low out here for retest on lighter volume again? Don't think that there's a problem. And two, this isn't gonna change in a hurry. Everything that they're paying for, all the movies, the scripts, the actors, it's becoming a bidding war for talent in Hollywood. If you wanna know more about this, there's a couple of newspapers and magazines, one's called Variety, but you can keep an eye on it. I'm not a big fan of ever being in this business, mostly because I was around it. And I know that eventually, just about everybody in it goes bankrupt. So, it hadn't been it. Far away eyes. Ha ha ha ha. Okay. Yeah, yeah, yeah. 877-927-6648. Get back to some of the other emails in here. Okay. And we answered that. Okay. Those taken care of. Okay. What else do we wanna look at out here? Okay. With earnings coming up on DH Horton, what do you think is the high end? And I think, yeah, you can easily say that. You got a high volume low that spiked through the previous low. Now you're back up of it again, but higher interest rates are never gonna help housing. Is it the end? No, could you go sideways? Could they do a little bit better? There is kind of that kind of anomaly in housing where when everybody sees interest rates actually going up, it does for a little while kind of push sales. So could they still do well enough to hold the price they could? I don't know what they're gonna say. Long-term though, if people start asking their opinions and interest rates are a percent or two higher, I think that's just the death knell for any of these. But that's it, far away eyes. Okay, what else do we have? Waste management? Wouldn't the Sopranos in waste management? I think that was a big deal. They've come off their highs back in retested low again with higher volume. So there's a lot of stocks out here that really need to retest these lows or at least retest them on lighter volume. So you've got to bounce out here. This one didn't get that high and you're going into earnings, which is never a good sign. To what else do we have? On Friday. Question to the biotechs, how are these things gonna do? That's Friday, right? That's that. That's this Friday. Bristol Meyer, Squibb. Man, they are really doing whatever they can to push these vaccines again, even the two year olds, which if you believe the data, they're five times more likely to die in a car accident. So it's not something that has a high priority, not exactly sure why they're trying to push vaccine on kids. But I think that a lot of this is gonna probably switch. I don't think a lot of parents want their three year old inoculated for something that's not gonna really hurt them. And whatever the chance is, it's much higher than what's gonna happen either way. But now, I think this whole thing seems to be rather burned out. I would love to see, I mean, it's up there. It's not backing off. It's not like a lot of these other ones. So maybe there's more to Bristol Meyer, Squibb, than I think about. Yep, it is. Okay, anything else? Also, Regeneron, as we look at the vast industrial vaccine complex. Man, it's just going sideways out here on this one, isn't it? This is very interesting. It's building steam for something. Generally, you get some fairly big moves out of the ones that are this tightly wrapped going into earnings. But, I question everything. What's less that? Yeah, Neil Young. Southern man that need him around anyhow. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis, and it's not just dry, tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern for free. 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The investment is for four years, paying 7% per year or $7,000 per a $100,000 invested. Your investment is secured by high-value real estate in St. Petersburg, Florida. Your investment can be anywhere from $100,000 to $500,000. You wanna make $1,000 per year on $100,000 invested or $7,000 per year on a secured Tiger First Mortgage. The Tiger First Mortgage Program may be just the program for you. The Tiger First Mortgage Program pays 7% per year, paid monthly. For more information, you can call 877-518-9190. That's 877-518-9190. Catch Tom O'Brien, Professional Trader and Educator, founder of TFNN. Also a special guest on CNBC. Tom will bisect and dissect the markets. The Tom O'Brien Show, next on TFNN. As we get ready in the show, kind of just quiet day, as I said, kind of waiting for earnings here. I think we've kind of got the markup for a fund buying in. Probably gonna meet Andrew around for a couple of days. When fund buying's off, probably on Thursday, I think we're probably gonna have a much better view of what's really lies beneath this. I am fairly bearish, but we haven't gotten any signal that says pull the ripcord quite yet. But just about everything, including this one, we have a request to look at STEM, S-T-E-M. All this stuff has high volume lows. We're back up on lighter volume today. Now, do we actually have to go down there and hit 1042 on it? No, but I think you're probably gonna get at least 50% retraces in a lot of these. So I don't see any reason to be buying anything here right now. If you're long stuff, you got the bounce. I think you just put in a trailing stop and let the trailing stop take you out. I don't think you decide that this market can't turn around on you in a New York second and come after you. But right now we're waiting on earnings after the bell and tomorrow morning. Little hard to actually tell because it's all about how much could someone manufacture. And that one's kind of a hard one to actually say. If you've got a company that can sell everything it makes, you always have to wonder. But you've got a fairly decent discount in some of these like NVIDIA and AMD based on Intel coming out and talking about basically the equivalent of price wars. We haven't looked at Intel here today. The big thing would be whether or not AMD in the commentary tonight talks about the acting to Intel's desktop stuff and video cards being aggressively priced. I don't know about it. Not a lot of volume today, but kind of just hanging out at 49 level. So when you can, not when you have to, we will see you here tomorrow. Same bat channel, same bat time.