 Just six games on tonight's slate for daily fantasy baseball But that does not prevent it from being a frankly kind of bizarre slate because it feels like a blast in the past with Guys like Kyle Hendricks making his debut tonight Carlos Carrasco facing him We got Julio Tehran potentially back on the menu for tonight It's a weird slate for sure and I think that's going to lead to a Somewhat unique approach where my second favorite pitcher is actually value play which is pretty rare as you know So we're gonna break down what to do with the six game main slate I how to handle all those veterans on the bump for tonight and get you ready for some MLB DFS Welcome on into the solo shot. That's right here on the fan dual podcast network and number fire comm My name is Jim Sonness. I am a senior writer and analyst for a number fire here to break down Thursday's six game main slate What locks set for 640 p.m. Eastern for today again 640 p.m. Eastern is the lock time for tonight's slate So get those lineups in early Before the 640 p.m. Eastern lock the one weather note for tonight is that it is another great night for pitching a Wrigley field Winds are in from center at 13 miles per hour. I would downgrade hitters in a big way there I'm not gonna get to the pitchers. We'll talk about why and things to watch But downgrade offense is big time at Wrigley field effectively making one of the five games for tonight a non-factor I'm not using a pitcher. I refuse to use offense there So we effectively have a five game slate fourth night We'll dive in and outline what that means and who actually does great out well in just one second But first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast You can find us on Apple podcast Spotify stitcher Google podcast You name it you can find us there while you're there If you'd like what you hear leave us a five star rating as well If you're watching on YouTube where this show is also available hit subscribe on the Fandall YouTube page and also leave us a thumbs up We appreciate those of you who do so each and every day make a fast break to fandall during the NBA playoffs because right now New customers get a no sweat first bet up to $1,000. That's $1,000 back in bonus bets If your first bet doesn't win There's no better place to bet on the playoff action than America's number one a sportsbook fandall Official sports betting partner of the NBA must be 21 plus and president select states first online a real money wager only $10 deposit required refund issued is non withdrawal but bonus bets that expire in 14 days restrictions applies to terms at Fandall dot com slash sportsbook Fandall is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas star casino LLC gambling problem call 1-800 gambler or visit fandall dot com slash RG Arizona 1-800 next step protects next step to 533 for 2 in Connecticut 180 7777 or business easy In Indiana 1-800 9 with it in Wyoming in Kansas 1-800 522 4700 or in Kansas KS gambling health comm Louisiana is 1-877 at 770 stop in Massachusetts gambling helpline ma.org or call 800 3 2 7 50 50 for 24 7 support in Maryland MD gambling help that org and in what New York 1-8778 open wire text open Y in West Virginia go to 1-800 gambler net Pitching preview for this Thursday main slate Logan Gilbert comes in with the highest salary and fandall his salary is $10,600 father Lucas Geolito face the Tigers at 10,000 flat Aaron Nola 97 with Kyle Gibson and JP Sears as the others at $8,000 or higher. So as you can see they're pretty slim pickings and the value play I like is actually not in that list So we'll talk about that in a second. But first Gilbert is I think the no-brainer top option for today He is facing the A's. I think he's due for positive regression. I Would not be shocked if he gets that positive regression tonight. It's a plus matchup for righty here for Gilbert 89 WRC plus of the A's against righties right now in the current active roster 25% strikeout rates and the strikeouts are the aspect for Gilbert that have been there across nine stars since he added a splitter this year He has a 31% strikeout rates and he's been phenomenal Despite that his ERA is still a bit lacking at 3.81. Definitely not bad, but it's not great That could be due to the hard contact. He is loud and it's been too high but His skill interactive ERA is 3.05 his expected ERA, which doesn't count for all that hard contact is 3.09 both those numbers say he should be better than the results so far and I buy those numbers more than I buy an ERA across nine starts We have seen the upside for Gilbert. He's had nine had nine strikeouts last time out He had ten strikeouts a couple of stars before that and he had six plus in all but one start so far I have Gilbert projected for 7.6 strikeouts night. Nobody else is above 6.3 for me So I am more than happy to load up on him here and he is my top of guy for a good margin So I would say personally even accounting for salary Gilbert is an interior of his own for tonight Now among all the other pitching options across tonight's slate My second favorite pitcher as mentioned is actually value play with a salary of $7,800 so we'll talk about him here Then we'll get to my third-ranked pitcher after that the value play is Clark Schmidt of the Yankees. He's facing the Orioles night I hate that matchup. I have had a lot of fun betting the Orioles recently Especially last night and I pour not as much but like the Orioles a lot So I don't want to go at them, but I do think it makes sense to do that here Schmidt Earlier in the year was struggling mightily with hard contact and he still is to an extent But six starts ago he started to use more sinkers likely because of the bad Abolish is trying to cut back on that and it definitely has made a positive impact on Schmidt His fly ball rate in that six start sample is down to 32 percent His hard hit rate allowed is 41 percent, which is still not ideal, but it's also not a nightmare His ERA in this time is 4.70 so clearly the results have not swung his way yet but the peripherals are a lot better and Schmidt is still getting strikeouts, which we want for DFS He has a 28 percent strikeout rate in this time Which ranks second behind Gilbert on the main slate and each guy's most relevant sample as mentioned don't like the matchup Orioles have a 107 WRC plus against righties. They don't strike out a whole lot either This is really about Schmidt and what he's doing The hope is that if he pitches well the Yankees will let him go deeper in the game They've done that a couple times so far in a 97 pitch outing in a 93 pitch outing So he does have shorter ones, but hopefully if he's effective they'll let him stay out there a bit longer Especially given what happened. I think it was right to take Cortez out last night But the bullpen definitely did not do themselves any favors. I have Schmidt projected for 6.3 strikeouts tonight That is also second behind Gilbert there His salary is $7,800 which means you can do whatever you want at hitter. I like that a lot I'm gonna like rank him second behind Gilbert So to me even account or after coming for salary I would go Gilbert one Schmidt two for tonight the third pitch is Lucas Geolito who I like pretty equally to Schmidt But Geolito's salary is $10,000 whereas Schmidt's is $78 So that's why Geolito is third, but I do like him a decent amount I think there is some upside here for sure. He gets the Tigers tonight, which definitely helps matters They have an 83 WRC plus against righties. They have no power in this lineup right now an average strikeout rate It's a very good spot for a righty I think Geolito as mentioned could be on the verge of an uptick here because six starts ago He increases slaughter usage and since then his strike area is actually down from where it was before that But his swinging strike rates is 13.1 percent. It's a very nice number and he's had some spike games in there, too That's something he's done while facing the rays twice along with the twins in the same stretch Not a lot of fun matchups in there and is he already at 3.26 So the results are already there, but I think the peripherals may look even better here in the very near future That's the pitch in favor of Geolito We maybe have not seen his best stuff as of yet and even without his fully realized potential He's still been getting good results. So I think he's a rock solid option. I'm very okay being high in him I just prefer Schmidt over him. So top-pitching options for tonight Gilbert one Schmidt two Geolito three We'll talk about the Wrigley game in things to watch before that though Let's talk about some stacks and Julio Tehran back in our lives Unofficially first night. They've not officially announced him because I don't think they sign to a majorly deal But I think he has to pass this physical still so this could change but as of right now expectation is it's Tehran starting for Against the Brewers or they're starting for the Brewers tonight against the Giants So I want to stack the Giants for tonight the Brewers kind of need length They are in a long stretch where they have no off days. So it's kind of hard to justify a bullpen day there And you know, it's still Tehran or Tehran We saw him last in the majors back in 2020 Things didn't go all that well back then 10.05 ERA across 31 and one-third innings Haven't seen the big league since then but he has been in triple a so far this year's and triple at the Padres He had an opt-out clause in his contract He took that opt-out clause and the Brewers signed him for depth But Tehran opted out despite struggling quite a bit in triple a across eight starts He had a 5.63 ERA his exit was 5.32 He was getting strikeouts, but the rest of the data was pretty concerning again based on what we saw from Tehran Last time he was in the majors this probably shouldn't be a huge shock So that leads to stacking the Giants here the Giants are a good offense once you take them out of San Francisco They have a 113 WRC plus against righties and a 192 ISO despite playing half those games in a black hole for offense So I am very high on the Giants for tonight I think they are at the top stack by a good margin feel great about them and I do want to Be very very central focused on them for tonight I think the lefties benefit most for a couple reasons the first one is Tehran is always struggled against lefties But also they get the biggest park factor upgrade and leaving San Francisco So Lamont Way Jr. Michael Conforto, Mike Yastremsky all get big boosts here if Blake Sable plays too I could see being okay with that. So I Think in general feeling pretty good about this Giants team, especially the lefties But everyone in this lineup looks pretty good. So Giants to me top stack of the main slate Number two is a Phillies who have not been good against lefties so far this year They're WRC plus is 79 but their ISO is 171 and that is a number that stabilizes more quickly So I think we can feel good about going with the Phillies for tonight They're facing Dylan Dodd is coming back up again for the braze and he's struggled in both the minors and the majors thus far In three starts in the big leagues his skill interactive. He already is 5.73 in triple a his ex-fib is 4.85 He hasn't been ending a lot of strikeouts and not getting enough ground balls Now Dodd and Farron is still in his age 25 season. He's turning 25 next month So he has a lot of time to turn this around But we're talking about just tonight. So they don't think he's there just yet And some of those struggles were Dodd have come against low-level teams He faced the Marlins last week and they had just one strikeout across 28 batters faced So the Phillies I think should be able to up their numbers against lefties and that may begin tonight So the Phillies to me are a good stack not a great stack like the Giants But a good stack and one I feel pretty solid about here personally It also does help that a lot of their lefties can get lefties Kyle Schwerber strikes out way too much against lefties But when he makes contact that thing goes a long ways Bryce Harper making really good contact right now He's always been fine against lefties only two and run so far, but he's running His batted ball numbers are great So I think we can feel good about those two even against a lefty and then the righties get a boost to Alec Boem has no power against righties, but does have something against lefties stuff like that So I actually probably want to build around the lefties personally here in Schwerber and Harper, but The righties do get a boost here given the matchup with Dodd Finally one more night the Mariners are in play. I know it's gone Well two of the Knights, but you're probably still sick of stacking them. So, you know This one personally for stacking the Mariners is more about the bullpen They'll face than the previous ones were those ones were solid. I thought because of the starting pitching I Still think they're a good play despite facing a better pitcher for today that pitchers JP Sears who I think is pretty good He has a 25 percent strikeout right this year with a 12.3 percent swinging strike rate And that means the strike area probably will stay where it's at Sears doesn't walk guys. So his skill interactive era is 4.01 and I don't think that number is fully off base But he still has a 4.99 era with a 4.57 expected the array The reason those numbers are high is mostly because he lets up a ton of fly balls Sears this fly ball right allowed this year is 57 percent and there is enough hard contact in there, too for it to be an issue so the Mariners can score runs against him and They can obviously score against this bullpen. So I think it makes a lot of sense You may be sick of stacking them for the fourth consecutive night But I think they're in the top three for me once again for a reason. So the Mariners Because of the A's bullpen are in the stacking discussion once again for today I talked about this at the end yesterday's show, but I wanted to emphasize it here I think clear Rodriguez is about to go on an epic kind of tear because since they moved him out of the lead-off spot He has a 66 percent hard hit rates with a 35 balls in play. His barrel rate is 11.5 percent Now that has not turned into power as of yet So I called a double dong last night and yet I think two singles. So not quite the same thing But I want to be high at him and I think that this will turn into power here very soon So I want to be high Rodriguez both in the short term and the long term I think he's a focal point once again for tonight given that he can't steal bases, too So Julia Rodriguez, I think destined to go in a tear here really soon Gonna keep on banging that drum until it eventually does wind up happening Things to watch for today the weather Wrigley has mentioned great for pitching But I don't think either pitcher is suited for DFS right now Carlos Grasco just one start for him since coming off the aisle 80 pitches there I'm projecting him for 90 tonight, which is not quite enough to draw me in given the profile He has had recently on this side is Kyle Hendricks, which is fun to see him back But didn't get a ton of pitch length and his rehab starts. I think as long as was Like 59 or so so I've got a projective for 70 pitches So I can't really get there. So weather perspective great for pitching I don't think these two guys are conducive to it themselves. So to me We'll stick with those top three of Gilbert Schmidt and Geolito I think the Yankees are right up there with the top three for stacking They're facing Kyle Gibson who has been trimming back in his slider usage recently Which is going to lead to more balls-and-play and the Yankees offense has been hitting the ball much better recently I like them quite a bit in this spot I think that they are in the same tier as the Phillies and the Mariners for stackings or for stacking The White Sox the other team I'd consider stacking and I'd be pretty high on them personally They're facing Alex Fayedo who pitched well in the minors and has depressed hard contact in a small sample in the majors But lots of fly balls not a ton of strikeouts So if you're facing a more high upside offense when they had more legit power I'd be higher on the White Sox But I think given the Yankees probably have higher upside the Phillies the Mariners probably do too That's why they're down here. The match itself is pretty good But the White Sox still a team I'm willing to go to for tonight Let's finish up here with the Dinger calls for Thursday night And we're gonna begin things in the boring section of the guide I'm pretty sure I've not had this section yet and that's been a bummer But Bryce Harper two home runs so far this year coming off that elbow injury Two home runs 83 or so played appearance is not the best rate But his hard contact is still there still barrel in the ball He's just walking a lot and that makes it hard to hit Dingers, but facing a lefty first night I like the lefty-on-lefty matchup. It's just kind of fun to me So we'll go Bryce Harper as the boring home run call for today The fun one I want to go to Lamont Wade Really was kind of surprised pulling up his profile to see how much hard contact he has made this year But it makes sense. He's playing in San Francisco that can kind of mute a lot of Or mask a lot of good bad at ball data Mike looking forward to the same thing But I do think that Wade is pretty fun So we're gonna go with Bryce Harper and Lamont Wade jr. As the home run calls for today That's all we got here on the solo shot for this Thursday slight again a little bit Unique slate effectively if I games late despite there being six games on it I like a value play which is pretty odd. I think the stacks are kind of fun too So I'm excited about tonight's like spite being effectively just a five game offering Do not forget to subscribe to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast or subscribe Over on the fandal YouTube page. We appreciate those you have done so already and again If you like what you hear leave us a thumbs up on YouTube or a five-star rating wherever you get your podcasts If you've got any questions for me, I am on Twitter at Jim Sonnis J-i-m-s-a-n-n-e-s you can also follow the fandal podcast network at fandal podcast I want to thank you all for tuning in for today. Good luck to you with your MLB DFS Lydons for tonight. We'll talk to you once again tomorrow for a robust Friday slate This has been the solo shot right here on the fandal podcast network