 The following is a presentation of TFNN Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-445-1044. Now, David White. And welcome all to another exciting edition of the Power Trading Hour with me, your humble lovable and screasibly soft host. As always, we'd like to come to you at this time. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. What do we have going on today? Well, a little bit of sell the news, which is what I thought this morning in the newsletter, but not enough to get me interested to dish yet, but we do have a nice condition setting up which is this thrust higher. Of course, the first thing we want to do is see what happened with the volume. We got about 4.2 billion shares right now, which is not all that exciting, but at the same time, it's not three and a half billion shares. So is it tepid? Yes. Is it horrible? No. So I don't think we have the signal just yet. The rollover's been kind of slow. I also suspect a lot of people are shorting today into a thin market. Of course, with fun buying the next couple of days, my guess is that they will get squeezed out come Wednesday or maybe even Friday if they choose to hang. But is it bad? The answer is no. But man, trying to short during fun buying, trying to short during the end of the month, trying to short into a light volume into a three or four or five day weekend is kind of tough. I'll be leaving on vacation for Wednesday. Be back next week. Newsletters will continue as always. But the thing is just, do you want to get into a thin market once again? And I have a feeling a lot of people are probably a little silly if they're short more than a few hours. And I think we're going to continue to see a bunch of little short squeezes before the end of the week. But again, are we going to go break out 3,000 in the S&P 500? Certainly does not look like that today. We'd have to have some kind of deal announced that we have it. All we've had is kind of a reduction in tensions between world leaders. And that's about it. No real news coming this week. No real earnings coming this week. Lighter of volume almost guaranteed other than the fact that we've got a little bit of fun buying. And generally the big men on Wall Street are not about to ruin the party by selling a whole hog into highs during fun buying either. They want to make sure that every one of those funds is able to buy at the absolute highest price. As they say on Wall Street, never give a sucker an even break. And I think they actually said that. Bartman bailing, I think said that. But yeah, all appropriate. Appropriate it. Okay. So what else do we have? We'll look at a lot of charts today, some other stuff. But kind of weak, not much going into next week. Maybe the week after that we got at least a little financial. Some of the other ones starting to report. When we look at some of the other big indicators that I literally everybody I heard told me that the dollar was going lower come Friday's close up about 73 cents. As we speak, $96.39. And of course, as someone brought up in the den earlier in the morning, the business and the TLT may be one of the most crowded trades of all time right now. Or at least in the bonds. And you want to keep a close eye on that because it could really, really move the market. Over the weekend, we did find some news articles that said that the Saudis have now become the number one buyer of bonds. And maybe that's put a little bit of downside on the TLT today. Don't know. I wanted to bring up yet another stock that has been a good mover. I haven't made a lot of money off of it. Made some but not enough. But I remember that when the tariff issues came up, the same went down about 30 bucks. And everybody was telling me how the end of the world was coming. We'll look at that stock. Little spoiler here. The end of the world did not come. I think you're going to have a fairly clear signal when the end of the world does occur. And it won't be muted. It won't be subtle. It'll be everybody will pretty much know right off that they're stuck in these stocks at highs, but will refuse to act almost as all highs come in. What else is going on? That's about it. Let's do a little history. And then we'll get it on to some charts. PT Barnum. And it's all just a little bit of history repeating. On this day in 1997, Hong Kong reverts back to the Chinese rule and ceremony attended by British Prime Minister Tony Blair, Prince of Wales, Mr. Charles, Chinese President Zhang Ximing and Secretary of State Madeleine Albright. Boy, wouldn't she horrible. A few thousand Hong Kongers protested the turnover, which was otherwise sedulatory and peaceful. At that time, we had gotten, I think maybe 30 employees in the previous three years that has left Hong Kong to go hide out in Canada. Very good at both engineering and production. So we got a lot of very high talented folks. By 1999, 2000, they were all high tailing it back, thinking that they'd messed up. But I think if they were sitting there today, wondering what they gave their kids with China now able to, at any time, extradite anybody they want without any kind of hearing means that Hong Kong has had the giant thumb of the Chinese put on it. Of course, some protests today will do little or nothing as many of the guilty men like Tony Blair and Madeleine Albright sold the folks down the river. But they don't have a river in Hong Kong. But I'm sure they have a saying for the same thing when everybody just gave up and decided to give up and capitulate on this day in 1997. Okay, everybody's having a little fun at my end of the world. It's just, man, it's been the last two weeks. I've just been trying to talk to about half the people in America who are literally convinced that the end is nigh. But, man, what can you say? Selling fear, I guess, works, but not right now. You're darn near at the highs of the stock market and you can't, well, certainly didn't get slammed down. You didn't have a massive rejection of higher price. I think you had a lot of people that just sold the news today, but that's about it. In the meantime, we're going to go to break when we come back. I'm looking for your phone call. At 877-927-6648, you should hear the music, but I don't. There it is. Okay, I'll be back in a minute. The Taz Profile Scanner is the most revolutionary piece of trading software that you will ever try. Wouldn't you like to approach the markets with confidence? As you begin your trading day, it's likely that you'll be faced with lots of decisions. In order to make the best decision, the first thing you'll need is a strategy that will help you minimize your risks. 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When we look at a question about gold, I haven't really been paying that much to it. Everybody seems to be embroiled with it. So I haven't spent a lot of time. You got a pullback of about 25 bucks today. 13.50, kind of looks like that would be support. The way I look at it, which is fairly decent pullback off the highs, but it's tough to see right now. I'm looking at some stocks that are doing fairly well and more on the tech side of stuff. So I haven't spent a lot of time on those. Okay, what else do we have? Okay, I think we're through all those. I went through the first ones. Okay, want to look at a handful of stocks today to see if there's anything going on with them advanced auto parts. This thing had been finding support at about 149. Very nice spike today up to about 158.45 gave a little of that back. Again, as we said, a lot of these stocks are just in more triangle patterns of lower highs and higher lows. I'm looking or will be looking tonight for those stocks that broke out higher out of that range and possibly did it on lighter volume and pull back into the trading range. Generally, stocks that have been going sideways like that for a while first to break out to the wrong side before they break out before they show the true path of least resistance. Let's see if there's anything else out in here. AdTran, we talked about this one last week, still looks rather interesting from a just a pure chart perspective. AdTN is up on, was that April 18th with 2 million shares. Got back in to that candle, very base of it on Friday with 258,000 shares. Today, just 170,000 shares. So not a lot of selling pressure in that one. AMAT also on my list of things. This has gone back into this huge gap down from, what is that, July 18th, no August 18th, try it one more time, August 17th of 2018, down on 52 and a half million shares that day. Got into it with 10 million shares on April 25th, went back into that gap today, pretty much filled it and came out. And if you're thinking that the SMHs are right for selling off, I don't know if you can make that case. I think you can make a case though, that certainly the upside is extremely limited for stocks like applied material with all the people that had been going long into that, that basically have spent a lot of time in the desert wandering like Moses. I got my Moses reference in today. That'll be an extra $5. APO, Apollo Global Management. This one just ticked over the second high of 3423. That had 3 million shares, doing it today with 1.3 million shares so far. See, there's anything else on my list here that I wanted to take a look at. CZZ. Cossan Limited, CZZ is the symbol on this one up on March 21st of $13.18 with 2 million shares. Up with 600,000 shares looks like it's going to close back in the trading range. Diebold, we talked about this one being one of the better looking stocks in the market last week, testing its 2.5 million share low from May 2nd. That was $8.70 with 2.5 million shares. Test it with 1.5 million shares. Close back into the trading range. Nice little pop today. I don't know if it's a change in trend. Certainly looked like it exhausted the move lower. Stocks that really are starting to kind of break out here today and you watch closely. Electronic Arts back above the $100 mark just hanging out. Not a lot of juice so far. You've got about 2 million shares. The last time you had a huge move was on May 8th with 17.5 million shares. March 21st, 9.5 million shares at 105. So you're back into the pretty high highs here without a lot of juice. Now with light volume, you want to make sure that all the shorts are out. And that means that you're looking for probably an intermediate spike of about five bucks in Electronic Arts to run them. If that spikes gives it all up, then maybe you have an opportunity where the weak-handed shorts are out of it may give you a chance if you're thinking if you're a little froggy on that one and thinking that it's going south. What else did we have? Fizz kind of came to mind. This one, let's do this here. I need my little music. I'm not exactly sure why. It doesn't seem like it likes that one. Nope. All right. See if that was it. Put that back up and see. Okay. Now we go back to this and get it reset. There we go. National Beverage Company. $44.60 on May 31st. We went down to $40.05 on Thursday last week. It's back into the trading range. We were talking about this one and whether or not it could hold this $42 range. Let's go ahead and load back up my scans. We can go back through them. Let's see what else is on the list. Fizzled away. Okay. We're talking about net gear. We're going to go to break. Anyway, I'm having internet issues. Hopefully they'll be gone when we come back. What do we got here as we go to break? Yeah, up 11.5 points on the SBK. in his Path of Lease Resistance newsletter. Using a combination of equity trades along with options, David keeps his subscribers up to date with all pertinent market information with intraday afternoon updates when warranted. Don't miss out on this great chance to get a 30-day free trial to David's daily newsletter, the Path of Lease Resistance, with no obligation to pay anything. David has been delivering solid recommendations for his subscribers recently, and if you'd like to see the type of newsletter he delivers every morning, then visit the front page of TFNN, and you'll find the Path of Lease Resistance under Trading Newsletters. For all the details and to start your 30-day free trial today, log on to TFNN.com now. Hi, folks. Tom O'Brien here. If you'd like to get my daily newsletter and market insights, then now is a great time to sign up for a 30-day free trial. 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Markets go higher, markets go lower. And I think when you get focused on one side, the bull or the bear side too much, not saying that you did, just saying that many people in the media have. And you probably had a lot of people going short, going into Friday, thinking that all hell was going to come loose. And at the same time today, you've got a lot of people going, well, why didn't it go to the moon because they were euphoric? And anything, any sell-off is verboten. But I think if we just calm down, especially into this longer weekend, we're going to start seeing a trend develop. And we'll see something more of it. I didn't see any evidence that the stock was going to, the market was going to blow out the 3,000 today. Nor did I see a lot of evidence that was going to blow out 2,900 today before it started. And I'm not one to play five or 10 minutes or 20 minute charts. I'm more thinking days to two weeks and months. But you just don't, as far as I can tell, you don't have a lot of signals. And it seems like the less signals there are, the more people yell on TV and in the media about what everything means. And like Sigmund Freud said, sometimes a cigar is just a cigar. It's just the market. Don't get too wound up on everything else. But I think a lot of people are, let me put it that way. I think a lot of people are looking at the market going higher and say, it's high, so it's only going to go higher. And everybody else is saying that the short is just dying for any kind of pullback in the market saying it's a victory. And neither one of them really, if we want to look at the difference from Friday, if we had zero news today would think anything about it. Everybody wants to put meaning into something that a lot of time has no meaning whatsoever. T-Mobile getting ready to launch their 5G system around many places, not here in Pinellas County quite yet. They've got a much bigger system planned here. But I think five or six major cities are ready. Did T-Mobile did test the May 31st low, that was $73.28 with 5 million shares on Thursday with 4.4 million shares, not a huge pullback. Got a little pop out today with no volume at all either. And of course, more volume on the way down off that June 30th. And again, everything isn't going to the moon and everything isn't going to hell in a hand basket. There are enough stocks to tell you normally what I see, which is more than anything else, a sector rotation. Probably going to see new leadership develop between now and Christmas. And it's only generally stocks will out before the market, maybe two, maybe three years. And then they revert to the mean. And I think what you should be looking at today and in the coming months is just that. Where are the new stock leaderships going to be? Is it still just going to be Microsoft and Amazon and the rest? My theory is that many issues including legal and political issues will come into play for the biggest stocks. People will start moving their money elsewhere. And you'll find that. We were talking about tractor supply on Friday going into the close of the show, April 25th, 10798. And that had 3.8 million shares. I wanted to see what it did today. Did break through the high 573,000 shares. So not a rousing endorsement. Even on Friday at 1.2 million shares. But the last kind of major highs out here were a million. Again, we're not seeing a lot of blowouts to the upside nor to the downside. But not uncommon in the summer without a lot of earnings coming in the next few weeks and without a lot of financial data to move the market either. I think we could see a lot of these false breaks to the upside and the downside in various stocks. Okay. And Amazon is up a little bit. I thought this thing could probably get back up on a real trade deal to 2050, which is that September 4th high. It certainly looks like it's going after it right now. You have about the same energy on the way up on the same as the energy on the way down. So your next level here is May 3rd high of 1964 with 6 million shares. Today we're doing about 2.4 million shares. But again, you're getting back in or very close to the start of the fall season. Christmas and all that stuff. I don't think you're going to see a lot of people dumping Amazon, even though maybe it's probably a good time to do so. So when you cannot, when you have to. Walmart, another little pop today. Again, probably thinking that at least with no more tariffs, there's not a lot of new news. But basically back to flat on Friday. What else do we have? Wanted to look at this one and I can't remember why. Realogy holdings and didn't really do anything, did it? Take a quick look at Microsoft MSFT. It had a nice bounce this morning, although nothing really changed for them. Them and China do next to nothing in business. You did gap higher with 13.7 million shares so far. Gave a lot of that back. You're just back into this big candle down that came down with 33 million shares on the 25th. So up on 13 million down with 33. Again, more than likely, you're either hit a high or we've hit some kind of trading range in a lot of these stocks. Take a quick look at the stocks. Okay, S O X X. Well, you just touched this gap down from May 7th today. That was on a million shares. You got a million today. But you did give most of it back. You gapped right through almost all of this gap down from the 13th of May that had 1.6 million shares. So again, you know, 1.1 now could you get 1.6? Good. And not a lot going on. And again, those funds that have been waiting to buy, probably not going to see those shares roll in till about 330 today. I don't think I'd want to get short and then hold it till 330. I think more than likely, you're probably going to see some of that cash come in for the end of the day. I don't know if it'll be a great deal. But either later today or tomorrow, we'll probably see that fund money starting to find a home. We'll be back in just a minute. If you're in the CD market and looking for a secure investment, the Tiger First mortgage program may work for you. The security for these first mortgages are building lots in the tax opportunity zone in St. Petersburg, Florida. The Tax Act of 2018 set up tax-free zones across the country where you can build and hold for 10 years and pay no tax on the profits, which makes these lots valuable. The investment is anywhere from $30,000 to $75,000. The interest paid is 7% yearly paid on a monthly basis. According to bankrate.com, the best rate for a four-year CD in the country as of February 20 is 3.1%. A $50,000 investment at a normal four-year CD rate of 3.1% would give you income of $1,550 per year or $6,200 over the four-year period. 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The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor, Four Side Fund Services, LLC. In your mobile device, 24 hours per day, go to tfnn.com and hit Watch Tiger TV. That's tfnn.com and hit Watch Tiger TV for the latest market information. And if you didn't catch it, Boeing news kind of leaking out. I don't think we'll only put it out, but it eventually did get out that the software issues that they've been having may have been part of a cost-reduce reducing scenario where they off-assured that software to India. And the market just didn't, you know, for what we had, it just wasn't wanting to hear any more bad news from this company. But, you know, you've, you're, it could be worse. Let me put it that way. Not a lot of juice on the downside so far today. 4.8 million shares. That's compared to the 9.2 million shares up on the 18th in this price range too. But again, the whole thing is going to be, when it's finally put to bed, we'll probably have about six months maybe, a half life of about six months until everybody moves on. But again, software, probably not something you want to be outsourcing on an airplane. You get too many cooks in the soup. Too many people that don't talk to each other or even speak the same language becomes problematic. Okay. First solar. Got a question about that. Okay. You did spike this, and this is what I'm talking about looking for in these reversals at these highs. 820,000 shares so far, going through a 4.5 million share, I think, or May 3rd, giving most of it back out here. You do need to close probably below 63.82, which is that May 3rd high. You know, you had some decent volume of 1.7 million shares going into it, but especially with these stocks that tend to be fairly heavily shorted, you're looking for that. You're looking for something that spikes, doesn't last long, and then by the end of the day or the next day closes back into the trading range. These companies, any of the solar cell companies, as far as I'm concerned, don't exist, but at the largest of government agencies willing to give them money, solar cells are still somewhere between three and a half or four times more expensive than buying electricity from coal or natural gas. So it isn't a good deal. You buy it for 10 years, and they kind of make it look good, but without local and federal subsidies. And of course, a lot of these companies around the world, including Germany, which was on the forefront, have given up going after these solar cell contracts and giving cash away to the solar cell manufacturers because the cost really hasn't appreciably dropped in the last few years of throwing all the cash at this market. Again, I think a lot of these could, like in first solar, drop in half in price, and I wouldn't be surprised to see 35 bucks or 36 bucks again in the next year or so and for solar, depending on when this thing does roll over. But a lot of that green money from government is over in 2020. And I think there's been very little talk about it. Okay. Check on IBM real quick. Again, that's kind of what you're looking for. You've got light volume up off the May 31st low. You come back into the gap that had 12.5 million shares down. You spiked it today with 2 million. You gave it all up. So again, this is a good time to start separating the wheat from the chaff in the market. You want to keep an eye on it. Okay. Let's see it here. Still up 12.5 points on the S&P cash. Dow's 37. Nasdaq's still at 59. Russell's off three and four. And of course, Russell's probably going to be down just a little bit because Russell's really the play on higher tariffs and more production at home. And a little bit of the tensions being released, not surprising to see a little of the money coming out of that Russell 2000. Okay. Question about the SMH's. See if they look any different than the socks. Kind of the same thing. One of the things that kind of bothers me is that you have kind of two really nice gaps open and you could almost count the third at 107. And today being the end of that gap, but you certainly got back in to some days that had an 1112 million shares down today with about 7.4 million shares so far. But you hit resistance and it is going to be diminishing returns going long until we break through the 12071 high. Let's take a quick look at AMD real quick. Then we'll look at Nvidia. Again, a little brush, but not much in the way of volume. 50 million shares so far in AMD. They've been, a lot of the people in the tech blogs have been flogging this. Mostly they're just ticked off at Intel and are using their bully pulp puts to beat on Intel. Probably deservedly. Intel finally went through this gap that was down on almost 60 million shares on the 9th of May. It's into that with 17 million shares. Gave it all back and reversed back out 4925. Again, I am not a fan of this until they get a new CEO. But did it go from 43 bucks to 49? Yes. I just think that there were a lot better stocks out there. Let's take a look at Nvidia. A lot of new stuff going on in them probably won't hit till September. But again, a lot of things micron some of the other stocks actually doing better. We'll look at micron in a minute. Same kind of thing. You had a gap up. Gave most of it back so far. Then it was called 14 million shares against a 16 million share down day on the 13th of May. You could probably get into that with 16 million shares. Not a bad volume day, but again, gave a great deal of that back. The market's just kind of flat here. Not much to say on that. Let me look through some of these other ones. I got a question about restoration hardware on that. Only one day of window dressing left? No. That is incorrect. Last two days of the month, first three days of the next month is what about 80% of the charters are. So expect fund buying to go through Wednesday. And since we're going into it, you may even have it trickle out till Friday. So it's last trading days of the month and first three trading days of the next month. Just to be sure, that's about 80% of the charters if you look in the ETFs and the other funds that do it. We'll be back in a minute. If you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money, let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done, which is how to time the markets. I'm Steve Rhodes, author of Mastering Probability, and for the last 12 months, Timer Digest has been tracking my newsletter signals, which have earned me the ranking as their number one market timer in the nation for the S&P 500 for the last 12, 6, and 3 months. 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A bull market begins on pessimism, grows on skepticism, matures on optimism and dies on euphoria. And I guess earlier in the show what I was trying to get to was there just isn't any euphoria on CNBC. I watched a little bit of it this morning. There are a lot of people saying the end of the world. And I would think a lot more about the end of the world if they weren't saying the end of the world. I always try to be fearful when everybody's euphoric and kind of euphoric when everybody's fearful. I wouldn't say it's outright into the world stuff, but I hear a great deal of it. And it makes me think when I hear a great deal of it, the opposite is just true. Kind of like a micron just before earnings and everybody on fast money was telling you to sell it. And then when it popped, they told you to sell it again. There's just a lot of that. Tesla motors just banging you up against this 240 area. Like I said, you want to probably be above that gap into the 245 area. But again, I think this thing could go sideways three, six months before the next big leg down leg happens that'll bore you out for a while. Let's take a look at that micron again. Another good gap and you're keeping a great deal of it, which is probably it. You have two major gaps. And again, I think a lot more on selling this thing on the next big gap higher. You got two of the three gaps in a three gap play probably happening. And that could take you up to 44 bucks or 45. And that would be pretty stiff resistance at the same time. So if you were along, I'd probably hang on to it. That being said, sell when you can and not when you have to. And I'll see you here tomorrow. Same bat channel. Same bat time.