 Hey everybody what's going on? I am Greg Salsman joined today by Jim Sanos of Fandall. What's up Jim? It is all good here Greg definitely interesting time in the time of sports But still some baseball to talk about at least for now and I think that You know, it's nice to get a little bit of a reprieve from Twitter right now and all the strange stuff going on and talks in baseball Think about happier days. How are you doing? I'm good man? It's obviously a weird time like you mentioned with sports going away for a little while But at some point there will be baseball and we will begin this season and we want to help you begin The season by telling you six breakout pitchers that are worth drafting this season Let's begin with your favorite breakout pitcher and that is Tyler Glass now who broke out last to you before getting hurt And that's kind of been a thing with him. You're nervous about him staying healthy over a full season Yeah, I think you're nervous about that with Tyler Glass now But you're nervous about that with literally everyone who throws a baseball because the injury rate at the position is so high It's hard for me to avoid a player Simply because of that. Yeah, some players are more likely to get hurt than others But are we sure the glass now is actually in that category and the way that I looked at things here may break out perspective is I wanted to pinpoint players I think are going lower this year than they will next year I think that glass now despite being just outside the top 20 of pitchers is someone who could do that just because of how good He was before that injury last year in his 12 starts yet a 3.18 skill interactive DRA his strikeout rate was 33% with a 6% walk rate And he did all that while also allowing just a 29% hard hit rate now Class now did miss a lot of time I think those injuries are legitimate concern and we didn't see him come back at the end of last year There's some other guys on this list, but looking at in the spring. He's been sharp He has struck out five of the 12 batters he has faced with just one walk So yeah, he is not super cheap But I think he is one of these players who could be going higher next year than he is this year He puts together a full season this dude like the skies the limit for him with that strikeout He being as high as it is so I think that there's some risk with glass now But that is a risk that is present everywhere else too So I'm going to take the plunge here and see if I can get him to ping a full season of health. You're right everybody is a Injury question mark, of course every pitcher specifically tired last now was absolutely fantastic last year for the raise when he pitched Hopefully that break out continues very full season here in 2020 Up next we move over to max freed a guy I really like had a nice season last year But it's the walks that are concerning if you could put those away Well, he's going to be a really nice selection on draft day looking at spring training I don't know that he's been able to now the walks have been very present in spring That is very true Greg and I think that if you're gonna worry about things during spring You should worry about strikeout rate and walk rate and those are concerns for max free but the reason I like max freeed is that he made a change last year and He showed adaptability that is encouraging for me when pitches are struggling They show the ability to change and mix up their pitch repertoire and get things on the right path Which makes me feel better about free despite the struggle specifically He started throwing a slider more often and what that gave max freed was two really good off speed pitches And he was really effective once he started to lean more on that slider over his final 16 starts last year Yet a 3.65 skill interactive y'all ray with a 27% strikeout rate and that walk rate did go down to 7% So still not super low, but also not super hot He did all that while getting a 52% ground ball rate And if you get a pitcher who can combine strikeouts with ground balls They're gonna be a pretty valuable person because it should keep down the ratios and make them more steady While still in that upside from the strikeouts as well I think that freed is especially intriguing when you compare him to his teammate Mike Soroka Who's probably not going to get those strikeouts Soroka is going about 10 positions higher Among starting pitchers then max freed in baseball drafts right now and freed is actually someone I feel better about straight up over Soroka so I think that the walks are definitely concerning and if you're gonna look at spring training stats That's one you should look at for sure But with the changes max freed made during last year which made him better as season went along I feel confident He can figure this thing out get things back on track and lock in for a full good season And if he does what he did it down the stretch last year that full season would be really really good Absolutely if you get the walks under control. He's in line for a monstrous season. His stuff is better Then Mike Soroka's even I always remember last spring Freddie Freeman being asked like who's the best You know best young starter on this staff who has the filthiest stuff and he always answered max freed I always kept that in the back of my mind when max freed guy I'm excited to draft him on draft day Up next it's been a breakout picture for many years now It's Julio Urias for the Los Angeles Dodgers getting a chance to be in the starting rotation Although you do know those Dodgers are a little bit tricky and I'll probably pull them and put them back and pull them again I'm not sure what to do with that innings limit, but Urias certainly has the talent Yeah, the town is there the question with Urias has always been about the workload and part of that's been self-inflicted because he was Suspended 20 games after being arrested for domestic batteries, so it's not just Injuries it's not just bad luck. It's been self-inflicted as well with the Dodgers I'm a bit less concerned about the workload this year with the injured list being up to 15 days That gives them a bit less leeway to play around a pitcher's time because that means they're missing two starts rather than missing Just one that's a good thing There's also less depth in that rotation now than there was last year with guys like Kenta Maeda and Rich Hill being gone The thing that's also beneficial for everyone in this rotation and Urias I think would benefit as well He made eight starts last year. It was only 30 in a third inning, so it wasn't a super big sample It's not like he was going six innings per start But in that time he had a 29% strikeout rates his walk rate was 6% So did flash talent then when he was a starter back in 2016 as well He had a 25% strikeout rates So I think that that's all that all bodes well for Matt for Julio Urias The good thing too is that he's also on a good team So even if the ratios may not be that great You know that you're probably gonna get wins out of this guy because the Dodgers offense is so good Gives you a bit of a better floor with Julio Urias. The strikeout should be there He's not a super high walk guy. The stuff is there And I think the safety around the workload is higher now than it has been in previous years Specifically with this Dodgers team due to the changes in the IL and the changes in the depth their rotation So Urias definitely has some red flags around him for sure But I think given that the certainty that he's in this rotation and given the upside that he has and the fact That he's not all that expensive right now. He is still someone I wanted to take when his ADP comes up Absolutely, and again the talent is there you're right You did it at 20 games suspension last season and there have been some question marks about the makeup But the stuff is really really good. I do worry about the carousel with the Los Angeles Dodgers It's been a very frustrating to own Dodger starters in the past. Hopefully this year it's different Especially especially with Urias Jose Urquidi next on your list of breakout potential starters and it's funny because in Houston We've been waiting for far as Whitley for a long time and I'll get it down to your last year But he's always been the guy and Jose Urquidi kind of came out of nowhere. That was solid about spectacular season Why is this year going to be his breakout? Yeah? I think it's really interesting because a lot of times we're talking breakout pitches We're talking younger guys and most younger guys have issues with control. They walk players and that makes them a concern that's kind of the strength of Jose Urquidi is avoiding walks because He had a 4% walk rate overall last year in the majors, which is nuts. It was 6% in triple A So not even a small sample size thing This dude just peppers his own and that's beneficial and it's not like he's just you know Serving up meatballs either because it is seven starts in the majors a 26% strikeout rate to go with that 4% walk rates and that means that he does have upside in the strikeouts too And that 26% could go up his strikeout rate was 32% in triple A So I think that's all beneficial now the one downside with Urquidi is that His bad at ball numbers over a small sample did show some signs of potential concern down the road Maybe we have a Shane Bieber type situation back in the past when Bieber really struggled with hard contact I could do that being a thing for Urquidi That's my one concern that I have with him right now But he's probably gonna be in this rotation seems like pretty much a lock at this point And he doesn't have the one big red flag that most guys in a breakout type category would have with that low walk Rate so he's got a lot of the components you want to try to pinpoint a picture with high upside I definitely like that. So even though I still am at least monitoring the bad at ball numbers around Urquidi I'm willing to take that risk because the cost item is not all that high and the upside definitely is Upside could be there in Urquidi Like you said not your typical guy that you would think of as a breakout candidate But right now he is that kind of player. So consider putting him in into your into your roster onto your rosters Rather on draft day Let's continue on and find more breakout candidates and up next for us It's Luke Weaver another almost post-hype guy when he when he came up with the st. Louis Cardinals He was really good and broke out or so we thought he was ready to break out and well He didn't he got hurt and then got traded the Arizona Diamondbacks and Wasn't on anyone's radar last year until he pitched pretty well now. He's back Jim. Who is the real Luke Weaver? Yeah, Luke Weaver breakout number three incoming here, hopefully because why not? Let's do it once again, but I think that he's really intriguing compared to his teammate Zach Gallin We're talking about freed compared to Soroka Zach Gallin is going 17 starting pitcher slots ahead of Luke Weaver right now in fantasy pros And I get it. I love Zach Gallin. He's awesome But it seems like Luke Weaver is more of a lock to make this rotation I think that that's valuable and he was also really good last year before he got hurt He made 11 starts before the injury and in those 11 starts Luke Weaver had a 27% strikeout rate with a 6% walk rate combining for a 3.83 skill interactive Y'all right now Weaver did miss a lot of time last and that's a concern But the thing that I love about what Luke Weaver did last year is that he came back at the end of the season People forget that he actually did make a start at the end of the year Which means he technically ended 2020 healthy and had a full bill of health a clean bill of health But this is a tire offseason. I value that a lot It makes it feel really good about Luke Weaver's health heading into this year now He's kind of like Max Freed where the spring training numbers for Luke Weaver have not been super sharp But there's still some time to go and I think that what we saw last year is pretty legit again I'm not off of Zach Gallin. I'm actually very much in line with his ADP with where I have my starting pitcher rank It's not saying not to drive Zach Gallin But I think we shouldn't allow our adoration of Gallin to have us overlook Luke Weaver who is actually going below him in drafts I like both. I'm okay with having both of my roster for sure But I think between the two relative to cost. I'm gonna go Luke Weaver with break out number three coming up this spring Let's get that final break out from Luke Weaver. Let's make it real Let's make him someone that can anchor our teams and hopefully this is the year with a sneaky diamondbacks team Luke Weaver doesn't cost you all that much in drafts, but couldn't pay off in huge dividends on draft day One final pitcher to get to and I'm super high on this guy you question nothing in drafts And that's Dylan Cease a Dalhalla type of player, but somebody that has top prospect pedigree We talked before with Max Fried about walks the same for Dylan Cease We saw Lucas Geolito's a year ago make this jump. I was really happy with Ronaldo Lopez Maybe Dylan Cease can do it along with his teammate Michael Kopeck Yeah, you'll still on a White Sox pitcher names there Greg and I think that's actually that's a good thing No, that's a good thing. I agree with that because we've got Yasmini Grandala there this year And I think that that's I mean it's been talked up a good amount how Grandala's a really good framer But that actually is a legitimately good thing to have for such a young staff that occasionally does struggle with walks So that 10% walk rate last year for Dylan Cease if that comes down there are a lot of good things in his profile He made 14 starts in the big leagues last year with a 24% strikeout rate and a 46% ground ball rate And it's kind of a small sample to look at ground ball rate But that ground ball rate was also high throughout the minors too So I think that is a skill that Dylan Cease has the strikeouts not that bad at 25% And I definitely think that's intriguing. He had more strikeouts when he was down in double A So I think the strikeout upside is there and if Yasmini Grandala can get these guys a couple extra strikes That could make a pretty big difference for everyone on this team So even though Rinaldo Lopez as you mentioned hasn't put it all together. I am okay taking stabs at him I'm okay with Kopeck and his like 115 mile per hour fastball. That's totally cool by me But Dylan Cease doesn't have the same workload concerns as a guy like Kopeck does He is going later in drafts on him and I think that he has similar upsides So Dylan Cease like you said basically free right now if you want him You can get him with your last pick in a draft and I think I am inclined to do so There is upside with this entire staff with Yasmini Grandala being there Dylan Cease has some of the components you need to be a really good pitcher And I think once you add that all up, it's pretty easy to fall in love with him He didn't take me long. He didn't take me nearly as long as that statement there Jim I'm all in on Dylan Cease and this White Sox team I think they were good bets have a really nice season and it all stems from that pitching staff And the hitting like Johan Locata and Tim Anderson and Eloy Jimenez and Luis Robert And Winner Cronacion. Yeah, I like the White Sox this year That's going to do it for us here on the Fandall Hurryup Jim we appreciate the time stay safe and we'll see you soon Thank you Greg same to you as well stay safe everybody out there be smart And hopefully we get to talk some men will be soon but once the time is appropriate for sure Absolutely true. All right, I'm Jim Sanis. I'm Greg Suspin. We'll be back here tomorrow We hope