 Hey guys, it's Nate, AKA The Foot Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. I don't know if you guys have noticed or not, but prices on the FIVA 23 market in the past couple of days have been falling. And what I wanna do in today's video is talk about why some of these prices are dropping, what is causing it, and is it gonna continue in the next couple of days into this week with foot birthday content still rolling strong, especially after yesterday's very surprising hero player pick SBC. So we're gonna talk about that, and of course, what to expect today on a Monday because most of the times on Mondays, the market rises at these an amount. So we're gonna take a look at that and more if this video helps you at all today, hit the thumbs up on it, and of course, subscribe if you are new. Firstly, let's do a little overview of yesterday's content because we had not one, but two very interesting SBCs yesterday, the first one I wanna talk about is Jonathan Bomba, right? First special card in a couple of years in FIFA. High, high work rates, five star skills, four star weak foot. This is a big W of an SBC. I know some of you guys might be like, Nate, this card looks pretty solid, but he doesn't quite fit my team. He's not good enough to fit my team. This is an incredible SBC if you're on a lower budget and you need some France, left wing links, left mid links in your team. I know he's got high work rates, which might bring him back to fence to be a bit more, but for 50,000 coins, five star skill moves, a very meta dribbling card, I know a little low on the composure, but still, you've got the outside foot shot with a straight flair speed dribbler. Really, really good SBC, only two squads, so easy to do and very highly upvoted on foot bin because this has been a really meta player in past FIFAs. I think this is gonna be a card that a lot of people on lower budgets will be completing and it's got me actually pretty interested in some of the France links that are out there, right? I actually bought a couple Lacazettes at 120K. He has kind of gone back up a bit, but I really feel like for players that have a low budget, this SBC is massive and a lot of people, especially with like Taliso, that could be coming out later on this week and just France links being very popular in general, this is a card that a lot of people are gonna end up completing, especially on lower budgets. So just kind of watch out for that sort of market impact there. You've already started to see some cards go up in price that are French and we've been talking about this leading up to seeing all the leaks, but like, check out this Amavi. Amavi was 38K on the weekend after specifically yesterday's SBC, he is up to 48,000 coins, so he is up a good amount per card and that again is due to the fact that we had a really solid France SBC that people need links for. So we're gonna continue to see that. We'll talk more about that in today's video as well with how the market is doing, but the big SBC yesterday was this one. It was the 87 plus FIFA World Cup or Fantasy Hero Player Pick. The rumors were true, man. I can't believe they actually did this. It surprised me big time. I mean, think about it. We have not had Team of the Year icons in any sort of upgrade packs yet. Those were out in January for Team of the Year. Fantasy Foot Heroes have been in the game for what? Since the beginning of this month, like literally the beginning of March is when these cards drop in the game and they're already inside of a player pick pack, which is pretty crazy. Some of them haven't even gotten upgraded yet. They willed this week with the Fantasy upgrades back on and ongoing, but this SBC made waves yesterday and definitely impacted the market. 350,000 coins, it's got a very high upvote percentage, but let me tell you guys, I did this SBC, I got absolute nothing, right? If you wanna watch us open some more, the video that we uploaded earlier yesterday, double upload yesterday, that's what I was mentioning a couple days ago about uploading some different types of videos. Check that video out because that will give you a good taste of what these player picks were giving out and it was not very good, but it did impact the market because of course some people were packing some pretty good cards. Actually, the most commonly packed W, I guess you could say, out of those player picks was Al Owayrun and his price shows it. He has 680,000 coins down, almost 100K from where he was yesterday. He got packed so much out of those player pick upgrades. Now, the fantasy foot hero cards, some of them were actually really, really good to trade with. Abedi Pele was down under 1.1 million coins and now he is close to 1.2, besides that undercut right there. Basically, that card is the only one that is under 1.2 million coins. So, W rebounds and a lot of these fantasy cards, Q Will had a good rebound, even Ledley King had a pretty good rebound. So those were great cards to trade with yesterday because people were panic selling them, but then it was like, oh, they're not getting packed at all. So they kind of went right back up as people went back out to the market to buy them since that SBC was not really giving them out at all. Now, SBC fodder, how did that impact get impacted by the SBC yesterday? You know guys, it's really interesting because high rated fodder stayed about the same, maybe dropped off a little bit, right? Like we mentioned in yesterday's video, the squad battle rewards we knew were gonna have a pretty big impact on the fodder market. Take a look at Lewandowski. You might think squad battle rewards are harmless, right? But when so many people are playing that mode and getting rewards, Lewandowski went from 81K. Like all of the 91 rated cards went down like four to 5,000 coins a piece and they kind of went back up, but they're still a little bit low, right? I fully expect these high rated fodders, 89, 90s and 91s to continue to do well, even 92s as well. Castamira 115 is okay, an undercut, but that's a good price for 92s, 115. Those are gonna go higher throughout the rest this week because people are still crafting the Inkuku, the Kante, the Mbappe, and the Cruyff, all of the high rated SBC squads that are out there right now. People are crafting them, but for the lower tier, middle tier fodder, you know, stuff is back down again. After it went up yesterday, it did go up. 85s like Jota, he went from 9.7K, had a quick spike because the requirements for this SBC were 85, 86, 87. No specials, no informs, nothing in particular, just straight up squads. And so we had a nice spike on fodder, but with the weak in league supply, and I honestly think that since this pack has three segments in it and not two terrible packs inside of it, a lot of people were packing some okay fodder cards even from inside of the individual segments of this SBC, if you will, right? So you've got, what do you have in here? You've got a rare mixed, you've got a prime mixed and a mixed players pack, which aren't amazing, but you know, you might hit an 85 or an 86 out of one of those three packs and that could again bring some supply to the market. So this SBC I did yesterday, I got pop in. I was, got absolutely shafted, right? I got the World Cup pop in as well. But it refreshes on Friday. So we're gonna be able to do this again. And the market's probably gonna move this Friday a lot like it did last Friday in relation to some prices dropping after content because of that big time SBC being refreshed again. Now that's a lot of talk about yesterday. How was that continuing to impact the market? And again, why is this market almost feeling like it's starting to crash? Let's talk about that because I have lost some coins. You probably have seen some cards go down in price during the day. Yesterday, even before we had the big SBC of that hero player pick dropped, prices were already starting to drop. I don't think we can point the finger at yesterday's content and say, that's what made content drop or that's what made prices drop. No, not really at all. It's been kind of a theme over the weekend. If you take a look at some prices on this game, I know Griezmann is getting directly affected by multiple things in this game right now, but this is a card that does show you a bit of an extreme drop, but how prices have been reacting over the past couple of days, right? Look at Griezmann over the past two weeks and kind of look where this drop starts, right? This drop starts on Friday, starts on Friday. Now, mostly because of the NKUKU SBC, but it just, it's kept going, right? And you've got a Griezmann card that was last week, a week ago on Monday, 590,000, 600,000 coins is right now 422,000 coins on the market. Even if you take a look at like Golden Boppe, who I picked up one of his cards yesterday like 510, because he was 550,000 before dropping off, Golden Boppe on Friday of this, like literally just past the weekend a couple of days ago was 600,000, and then like I mentioned earlier yesterday on Sunday, he was 520,000, even as low as 510, where I got mine on an open bid and Snipes at 510 is where he was. So a lot of prices have just dropped off and I think we can point it to two different things. I think there are really two reasons that are making prices on this game drop right now. The number one thing is we are seeing, wow, that's a lovely lazy sale right there in Holland. I bought that at 250. Reason number one is we are seeing so many SBCs that are draining coins. Right now we've got, as I mentioned, you've got the Nkukku, you've got the Kante, you've got those big player SBCs, but then you have so many like small ones too. Like you've got Bomba, you've got Alexandro, and they're pretty big name players that haven't had special cards this year. You could even point to Gattuso as an SBC that is draining coins. And so you've got so many different player SBCs and sort of gamble packs, right? We had the year in review player pick that we could all do like three times last week. We've got the hero player pick. Now we're gonna be able to do that again later on this week. We had the 84 plus times five last week as well. So we have so many SBCs like that that is draining coins off of this game week after week. And we're in the second week of that now. But also at the same time, I think what's helping the coin drain kind of an accelerated rate is what are we all taking from this foot birthday swaps, right? Most people are taking 85 times 10, 84 times 40, right? And you're getting a lot of fodder. And when you get that fodder, you're getting a lot of the 84s, 85s, 86s, right? You get a couple of high ratings and you feel like you can undertake the big task of doing it in Kunku, doing a Kante, of doing one of those bigger squads. A lot of people, I'm sure you guys maybe are crafting right now and working your way through a squad of in Kunku or Kante or whatever, right? Maybe it's the hero player pick. You're crafting, right? And those swaps packs help, but they make people go and buy more fodder out of pocket to finish the SBCs. We talk about this a lot, but it's so true. People hate leaving SBCs unfinished. You know, I remember that I left Player of the Month, Ben Yetter's final SBC squad unfinished and it like haunts me to this day that I left an SBC halfway done or two thirds of the way done sitting there and I didn't finish it, right? So that sort of thing, a lot of people are doing SBCs right now and that just drains coins from this game. And when you couple that with the fact that we're in April now and that sets off like, I think triggers in some minds of people that play FIFA, it's like, oh man, we're in April now. You know what April means, right? Team of the Season, I tweeted that. Literally yesterday, I was like, hey guys, it's April. It's Tots month, you know, we were thinking about some of our, you know, most overpowered Tots cards of all times, right? And I think that that FIFA 19 Ronaldo is definitely up there. But I think that's also kind of in the back of people's minds and do I think the market's gonna like keep crashing throughout this entire week? That's another conversation that I wanna have. I mean, the short answer is no. I don't think that it's gonna continue to see this big drop off. We've had just a load of content this past weekend. It was really big. I do feel like it prices could go up a little bit today on Monday, I feel like prices are gonna stay. Maybe if it's stagnant, have a couple more drop offs throughout the rest of this week. But it really depends on what the next promo is like for the market in the short term. Like if we're gonna see an L promo this next two weeks after this, because there's gonna be something between now and team in the season, right? We are not on the doorstep of team in the season right now. I'm not telling you have to panic sell at the moment. I'm just saying that there's a little bit of a risk rewards, you know, if you sell right now some of the cards from your team, you might feel like you're selling in a very, very low point because prices have started to go down. But again, I'll use this example like we did last or two weeks ago at the beginning of foot birthday. Guys like this Captavia are still up a lot in price. I know that he was, you know, 830, 840,000 coins and right now he's about 750. But like, I mean, this guy when he was in packs was like 275, 300. Is he gonna go back low during team in season? That low, maybe not. But I still do believe there are some price drops to be had on this game, right? We didn't see the huge market crash that we thought we were gonna see on some of the most top tier and meta cards during foot birthday because the foot birthday stat upgrades weren't as game changing, right? Remember this, Lucio was 26. He went all the way down to 2.1. And look, during foot birthday he's gone all the way back up to 2.4. Now, after this weekend, we're back down to the 2.2s. This is a bit of an undercut but you can see like during this weekend he has dropped back off into the low 2.2s but still there is more drops to come on cards like this because team in season will 100% raise the power curve. It's not just gonna be like small plus ones and plus twos in a lot of these cards. It's gonna be some pretty big upgrades. So that's kind of something to keep in mind. Again, it really depends on the rest of this week. Yes, I'm expecting good content but next week and the week after that whenever we start to get team of the season news really is when we're gonna start to see more panic as well. So if you have tradable cards in your team just keep in mind that that's there. And I'm not saying that you have to panic sell right now, I'm just trying to explain what is going on in this market at the moment. You're still gonna see fluctuations in prices throughout this week as well, right? What are we expecting today? Let's talk about that because I'm looking at some France cards once again because we've got a big SVC coming today. Now this SVC is absolutely confirmed. Well, okay, we can't say that but pretty much confirmed. I shouted it yesterday because it was kind of like the timeline of leaks, right? We were looking for Robbio but actually today makes the most sense and if I would have done a little bit of extra digging I probably would have found this but a lot of you guys in the stream notified me yesterday that Robbio's birthday is today. Happy birthday to Robbio. But what do we see with Conte? What do we see with, I forget who else it was last week that had their birthday on the day that the SVC was released but today's Robbio's birthday makes sense for him to get the SVC in foot. So that's why I'm watching the tail Hernandez, right? Because that would be a card that would directly link to this that people were like, oh, I'm gonna link this to the Robbio that's about to be dropped or maybe Upa McConnell who's a card that's getting upgraded. We'll talk about financing foot cards here a little bit more at the end of the video because there was some interesting movements with those but I would expect to see this SVC as a part of Conte today because now it makes sense because it's birthdays today, right? So we saw a bomb yesterday. Today is probably gonna be this Robbio card and again, we just had Genduzzi dropped in the game yesterday. We didn't really include that and talk about yesterday's content but be very careful with this Genduzzi card. If you were on the stream yesterday we bought this guy, I actually didn't but a lot of you guys in the chat I didn't have coins, that's the reasoning. This guy was about 540K. He went all the way to 630 and now he's back down to 590. I think there's a little bit more of a bounce left in him but watch his price heading into the Conte drop today. I would not be surprised if the five star skills and the five star weak version of this card do end up dropping down because people are, I guess, worried about a Robbio that would probably come out with pretty similar stats to this card. Genduzzi might be a little bit better because think about how EA would want it to work. They would want a little bit better of a card to be in packs in the store on the market than via NSBC. So just kind of keep that in mind. I've already played against this Genduzzi. He's absolutely cracked. I played against the five star weak version and he was disgustingly good at the midfield. So yeah, this was always going to be an insane card but if you are chasing Genduzzi he is now available to dual potential mini release right with Genduzzi, Mala and Pesina are all out. Now that was a part of yesterday's content as well. So watch out for Robbio today and then yesterday EA dropped the provisions pack back in the store. So that has a lot of people thinking, yo, should I be investing in gold commons? Because hey, you know what? They're probably going to be required in player picks once again. And yes, the short answer is yes. 300, 350 for gold commons is pretty much zero risk especially if you get some higher rated ones, top five leagues. We're still getting the token SBCs that can make those cards go up. Market matchups can potentially make those cards go up. So I think that is a very good opportunity still heading into today. I'm going to go ahead and probably stock my club with some of those to get ready for some upgrade packs. But again, don't always shy away from gold rares either. Stock some of these at 650 because they could also go up for SBCs, top five leagues, top nine nations. And you know, EA has been allowing us to make profit off of those gold commons like every week for the past, I don't know how many weeks it's been like three or four, right? With player picks or packs that just require mostly commons, maybe they're going to switch it up but I honestly, it doesn't seem like they're going through. So invest in gold commons every week on the weekend at minimum price and then sell them for like 650 to 700 during the week until EA changed the requirements. So upgrade packs though today, 100% coming out as usual. You know, what do we have last week, the 80 plus? If we just get the 80 plus player pick again EA, please. Like that was a fantastic upgrade SBC. Obviously I got best from it. So many of you guys packed for birthdays and it was just like fodder for days. So we would absolutely love that. If that SBC dropped again, so watch out for an upgrade pack today. And then remember last week as well, we had the year in review player pick that dropped on Monday. I would kind of expect something else along those lines to come out during foot birthday as well, right? Cause foot birthday is always kind of like the party bag promo where there's a lot of that sort of stuff going on. So definitely keep an eye out for another SBC like that today. So maybe you stock up on some 84s still. I mean, 84s guys are still dirt cheap. It's crazy how cheap some of these 84s, 85s are. I did a club stock of 85s yesterday, which I ended up putting into the hero player pick SBC, but these guys down here again at 9.5K, pretty cheap. So if you want to risk it, 83s to 86s I think look pretty good for a potential investment for a short term, hopefully for them to rise with more upgrade packs and SBCs going on this week. But again, those are the same cards that are supplied so much through the fodder packs and through player picks that they're just not in demand as much as some of the higher rated fodder. Objectives really quick. A lot of people, myself included, kind of switched their focus from the weekend league to the foot birthday cup. And I know it's been, this is like really sweaty and a lot of people are not trying to do this. My advice to you would be at least try to get the two wins. I know you have five games a day. Get the two wins, play eight. Really you don't have to go any further than this, but I'm probably gonna try to win 10, get all the fodder packs through the foot birthday player pack. The first one that we opened yesterday was in Chanko. That was a bit of a surprise. The weight on those is obviously not that great though, but that's gonna be the focus and the draft objectives will be the focus of this week. A lot of gameplay to grind, which is nice. We take that as we kind of head through the second week of this foot birthday promo. Now, last thing I wanna talk about is live cards because there were some surprises and I also wanna clear up some confusion with some of these fantasy foot cards. Ed and Hazard. Real Madrid won six nil yesterday and this guy got playing time. Not only did he get playing time, he had an assist. Ed and Hazard had an assist. So a card that a lot of people would thought was only gonna get a plus one, maybe a plus two, is now in the running for a plus three if he's able to get one more assist and is able to appear in two more matches in their next five games. Cause they've only played, actually that might be false. I think they've played two games so far and he's appeared in one. So that's why Hazard's card is up big. Now, when are some of these other cards getting upgraded because with like the Byron win over the weekend that Hazard's gonna get a plus one as well because they won. But I picked up an Upmakano at 440 yesterday because his price went down a bit, right? He was like 470. So I picked him up. A lot of people doing in cunku. French links of course, very in demand at the moment. And you know, this card and these cards that are due upgrades, Rubin Diaz as well. These guys are probably gonna get upgraded on Wednesday, right? There's still games happening today and the last time that EA upgraded fantasy cards it was early Wednesday. So watch out for that. The plus ones, the stuff that is due. I don't know if there's any plus twos that are in due here but if you go on footbin to the tracker, do you see how I did that there? The players tab down dynamic over to fantasy. You can see that EA, not EA footbin has been updating some of these already for who's getting upgrades. One thing to note, Newcastle, yes they did win yesterday against Manchester United. It was a big win, right? Esauq does not get an upgrade for that win. I think a lot of people are confused at the moment that Esauq is not getting upgraded for that win. He already got his one win upgrade, right? These are the criteria here. He's already gotten two goals. He's already gotten one win. Yes, he is one appearance away from getting another upgrade but all he has to do in the West Ham versus Newcastle game which is in two days. So that's coming up pretty close. I get that. All he has to do from now till then is just play and if he plays, he gets another upgrade but of course, the more that they win, yes, they do progress along the path of avoiding defeat which would get him a plus four in total. So all the way up to a 93 but no plus one as it sits right now for Esauq's card on this Wednesday when they would most likely do the upgrades. That's just one thing I wanted to point out because I think some people were confused with that DePye was supposedly injured. He didn't appear in the second game, the game against Real Batiste. That was some news that I heard floating around. So just be careful with that one. Alja Bears, SBC is still available and they have not lost yet, which is a W. We chatted out Ed and Hazard and Rubid Diaz. You can go through this list and check out who's getting upgraded. Ben Rahma is an interesting card to look at because he's gonna get a plus one for their winning against Southampton and he is an 89 rated card but going to a 90. Nineties right now are all 60, they were like 60 what, for 65,000 coins I think before their prices started to drop, I know some people that are speculatively investing for the potential of Ben Rahma going up and then of course becoming 90 rated and then of course Fodder being in that higher tier price range right now. I think that's a decent investment, just have to be careful. But yeah, do a little bit of research. There's more games today, right? Spurs are playing today, Ledley King potential for him to upgrade with a win because Spurs have not won yet. So yes, if they win against Everton today then, you know, he might get an upgrade, he would go to an 89. So just kinda stuff to watch around those cards in this game but like I said again, Wednesday is when we'll look at those cards again for the upgrade. So I'm gonna probably trade with a few things today. I bought this Nunez yesterday, trying to make some coins on it. It just did not do well for me but I'm trying to sell it right now so that I can get back on the market, maybe make a few positive plays on some cards before we see a nice market rise into today on Monday on some of the most meta and popular cards. So we will just have to see how that all goes down today on this game. But if you enjoyed today's video and if you're excited for what's going on at football birthday right now and if you're enjoying the videos on the channel, hit the thumbs up, comment down below if you have any questions. And of course, subscribe if you are new. It's been Nathan from Accountant, I'll catch you guys later. Peace out.