 Pretty difficult slate for tonight in MLB DFS where we have one obvious picture and one obvious stack that I feel Really really good about for tonight Beyond that the depth is concerning is what I would say where there aren't a lot of like surefire options I think there are very obvious paths of failure for everything So it's one where we'll need to tread a bit lightly potentially proceed us in caution But I do think there are some plays we can get you and feel good about despite the red flags We're gonna break down those options for today Well, how I'm ranking them why they may be risky and what to do with that information to get you ready for MLB DFS for tonight Welcome on into the solo shot. That's right here on the fangirl podcast network and Numberfire.com my name is Jim saw this. I am a senior writer and analyst for a number fire You're gonna break down Monday night's seven game main slate when locks ever 7 20 p.m. Eastern for today Again lock is 7 20 p.m. Eastern. That's a good thing too because the one weather spot for today He is in that 720 game. It is the Braves and the Dodgers. There's a chance of rain in that game and it looks like Mildly concerning but not a huge concern. I think they should be good to go So I feel okay about them getting that game in but it does help we have 15 extra minutes before a lock to Get last-minute check-ins with the forecast and stuff like that. So that's the one rate concern for tonight But luckily the way the slate breaks down is in our favor with that Dodgers embrace game We're gonna break down the pitching options including one of that game get you ready for tonight's late here in just one second But first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast He'd wherever you get your podcast PGA DFS for the Charles Schwab challenge coming up tomorrow with myself and Brandon Can do a breaking down that USC for the big events via Austin Swain all that right here in this same beat So go search for the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast hit subscribe And if you like what you hear leave us a five-star rating on Apple podcast Also, check out the solo shot over on the Fandal YouTube page And if you like what you hear there leave us a thumbs up the NBA playoffs are still chugging along You can get in the action right in first tip with Fandal right now all customers get a no sweat same game Parley every weekend when you bet the NBA playoffs That's right Just place a three-plus leg same game parlay or same game parlay plus on any NBA playoff game You'll get bonus bets back if you know when there's no better place to bet on the playoff action Then America's number one sportsbook head to the fandal happening They notice what same game parlay every weekend of the NBA playoffs Fandal official sports betting partner in the NBA must be 21 plus and president select states Fandal is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino LLC Bonus issued is non-lateral but bonus bets that expire seven days after a seat We're sure to supply see terms at sportsbook dot fandal calm gambling problem call one hundred gambler or was the fandal calm slash RG in Massachusetts hope is here gambling helpline ma.org or call 800 327 50 50 for 247 support in New York 187 78 hoping wire text open Y in Arizona 1 800 next step or text next step to 5 3 3 4 2 in Connecticut 1 8 and 8 7 8 9 7 7 7 7 always a cc pg. No access chat in Indiana 1809 with it in Wyoming in Kansas 105 2 2 40 700 or in Kansas case gambling health calm Louisiana's 1 in 7 7 7 7 7 0 stop in Maryland MD gambling health that Oregon in West Virginia Go to 1 800 gambler net pitching preview for this Monday Mates like Christian Javier comes into the salary of $10,800 followed by Luis Castillo at 10 5 Bailey Ober is 10 3 with Charlie Morton at 10 1 Corbin Burns facing Javier at 97 with Michael Lorenzo and Tanner Hauke as the others at $8,000 or higher now I think that the one no-brainer here is Luis Castillo Castillo is at home face of the A's and You're not gonna find a lot to nitpick with that I am very okay putting Castillo at the top of my list the A's matchup is not as good as it is on the flip side where we Want to target their pitchers with reckless abandon and the hitting is better than that So it's not as good of a matchup as it may seem based on our perception of this team But it is still a good one they have a 25% strikeout rate against righties in the current active roster and Castillo has struggled with hard contact so far this year He's lit up six home runs in his past four starts, but he's still a lot of strikeouts and again in this match with the A's I think that is a pretty good combination Across eight starts with fewer sinkers Castillo has a 27% strikeout rate with a 3.51 skill interactive ERA and minimal walks. He also has not faced Oakland despite being a division rival in that time Which means there are no familiarity issues here in this matchup We've seen Castillo get to nine strikeouts twice this year yet eight another I haven't projected for six point nine strikeouts tonight, which is plenty enough to make it viable So I am happy to be high Castillo here And I think that at the salary ten five makes a lot of sense I can get there easily on this slate based on the hitting options available So definitely want to be high Luis Castillo for tonight as far as the second slide It's between Javier and Morton and Javier on the road against the Brewer It's not a bad spot But I kind of think I like Morton which is weird because I have not talked I don't think about Morton in the pitching section all so far this year because the age is always concerning But he also is not getting strikeouts early on. He's facing the Dodgers today So maybe odd to finally be on Morton now But I do think it is the right time because Morton has been a lot better recently As I said got out to a slow start across the three starts his strikeout totals were one six and five But in that third start a five strikeout game He finally got back to leading heavily on his curveball He threw it 49% of the time in that game versus 34% of the first two starts and Getting back to that curveball has helped Morton get into his groove Across six starts with his curves up and his sinkers down Morton has a 3.74 skill interactive ER a his strikeout rate is 27% and His hard hit rate is better It's still bad at 38% or not great at 38% But it's better than it used to be and that's even with Four of the six starts coming on the road whereas Morton has typically been a guy with pretty extreme home road splits So he's been good despite being away from home. He's now at home for tonight He is facing the Dodgers 221 ISO against righties. So it's objectively a very bad matchup But I've got Morton projected for 7.1 strikeouts. That is actually a hair above Castillo It's above Javier as well. So I'm okay giving him a ride there are concerns for sure But I think the Morton deserves to be in the two slot because Castillo's like the cash game guy Morton is a a tournament guy with upside. I think that does make a lot of sense. So for me It's Castillo one Morton two Javier three as far as the value play goes Your options in my eyes at least are a guy with a 7.09 ER a and a guy pitching at course field Those options Brady singer with a bad ER a Edward Cabrera at course field Cabrera also had a blister in his last star, which is not ideal But I think I am gonna go with him that might tell you how much I how good I feel about the value plays but I Think he has upside it will require some white knuckling for sure But you know he could pitch well He's facing the Rockies here Which does help ease the course burden of it because they have an 88 WRC plus against righties 140 ISO despite playing half their games a course field the WRC plus accounts for that the ISO does not it's low Even though they play out their games here And Cabrera, I kind of think might be on the verge of a breakout because is he already this year is 5.13 but over his past four starts he started throwing a sinker more often again and That's helped him trip back on his walk rate It's still 12% this time which is high But it's not 16% which is his full season mark and he also say 39% strikeout rate in that four-start sample with a 24% fly ball rate those numbers are good. He still has massive flaws hard contact is too high walk rate is too high Has had bad results But he had 12 strikeouts in one game and eight in another which means he is capable of a ceiling game And not everyone could do that so I would not blame you for going singer over Cabrera Singers a very good matchup. There's stability in his pitch count. He's at home, but He's kind of I kind of like the volatility in Cabrera. It could be good. So I Don't blame you if you don't want to go there. I don't want to go there myself But I think as far as the value plays. He's my favorite guy, which again I think says more about the value plays and it does about Cabrera for tonight But he has a path to upside. I will take that for sure. But to me it is Castillo one Uh Javier no Javier three and I forgot who the second person was it was Charlie Wharton. So Castillo one Wharton two Javier three the pitching options for today with I guess Cabrera the top value on the slate The one obvious stacking option is back in that Seattle game It's gonna be the Mariners and that's despite the fact They have not gone off to a great start against lefty so far this year The WRC plus is just 90 on the current active roster, but They've got dudes like they've got guys who can match lefties even if they haven't done so so far this year So I think we can have faith in the Mariners and stack them here. They're facing Kyle Muller who so who is a lefty So that's what we're talking about the lefties there But we also get the addition of the A's bullpen, which is always a plus The Muller part is appealing on its own though so far this year Muller has a 5.33 skill interactive ERA with a 15% strikeout rate and a 10% walk rate He's letting up a ton of hard contact. So The results are actually worse than the peripherals even though its peripherals are not great Is he already 7.71? He's let up five plus earned runs in three consecutive games and in five this past or five as nine starts so far this year So no the Mariners have not hit lefty as well. And yes, the A's bullpen is a massive edge for us, but I Kind of the other stuff just Muller against the Mariners in general is enough for us to be very high in here So I feel great about the Mariners here I think they're the kind of one no-brainer stack and I do feel good enough about them He's very high on them for tonight. It also does help that The salaries and their big pieces are low tail scar nanda's $2,800 a ohetia Suarez 29 Julio Rodriguez 35 He will steal against lefties as well AJ Pollock has gotten out to a rough start, but he's $2,600 So if you want to use Castillo, you can still stack them in the Mariners very easily. So to me the two no-brainer situation today are Castillo pitcher Mariners and hitter I think the rest is where things get pretty dicey which means our second stack is not going to be as fun But let's talk about that here. It's gonna be the angels. They're facing Tanner. Howke who Has some solid elements in his peripherals because he's getting wish and he's getting some grounders But he's not turning the wisdom to strikeouts and he's not turning the ground balls into outs So he's facing the angels for tonight I think that they are a quality stack here The main issue for howke is that he's letting up too much hard contact He scaled back on this forcing fastball six starts ago and in that time his hard hit rate allowed is 41% Which negates a lot of the good that you get via his grow ball rate Howke has let up four plus runs and two of the past three starts and those are both at home He now goes on the road will face the angels. They have a 108 WRC plus against righties with a 178 iso They're getting a bit healthier right now, too So I'm not in love with stacking against howke Because I do think he's due for some positive regression But on this specific slate, I do think it works So to me the angels are a good stack against howke despite some concerns here does not quite on the Mariners level Howke does tend to struggle a lot with lefties So you might not think of the merit or the angels being like a good team to target With the opposing pitch of struggles against lefties is basically Shohei Otani But they did get Jared Walsh back and Nikki Moniac has looked pretty good so far Moniac may not play He's kind of protruding with Taylor Ward, but Walsh should play and Walsh Seemed to be seeing the ball really well on his rehab stint He had a 576 Woba across 33 plate appearances and I've always like Walsh quite a bit had a good year a couple years ago So I'm okay with him Moniac if he plays Has looked awesome to so far. He will slide some bags So I like both those guys if they're in there to take advantage of the issues howke has against lefties They might not play or I think Moniac might not but if he does Definitely behind him and both these guys almost or at minimum salary. So Again, you can get to try and get to Otani pretty easily within the stack But I think the Rockies are starting to chase Anderson tonight. They not confirm that as of yet He's facing the Marlins though if he does start and it's a cushy spot for him So I'd want to start if I were him, but I Would not be going here on most slates But it's just a thin slate for stacking not a lot of good options So I kind of want up on course field as a result. That means Stack of the Marlins and it's pretty hard to get jazzed about them not intentional hard to get excited about them with no jazz chism Given the state of their roster But Anderson is targetable. He has thrown tenetting so far the majors know where it runs allow But his swing and strike rate is 8.3% He is letting up fly balls and his numbers and the miners in a larger sample were not great So Anderson might keep it up, but I'm not convinced yet So the Marlins stink with no jazz chism. I think we could see Anderson shove here and I would not be here on most slates, but It's a bad slate slate for stacking. So I do kind of want to peer to my default I'm okay taking the altitude and kind of seeing what happens I think the key when stacking the Marlins focus on the guys who actually have Some semblance of power Brian Taylor Cruz has that and he will run a bit Jorge Soler Hitting for power more recently Peyton Burdick was gonna hit a bit lower in the order and strikes out a ton But he does have a bit of pop as well. So I don't blame you if you want to avoid the Marlins I do too personally, but it's just hard to do so on this slate So to me the top three stacks the Mariners number one by a mile Angels to focus in the lefties there and then the Marlins number three Just because they're at Coors Field no other reason that I really want to be there Things to watch for today if you want to dump the Marlins I think the twins are your best alternative. They're facing will likely be a bullpen game for the Giants They're active roster as a 4.24 era in the bullpen the twins hitting better of late I would downgrade them if Byron Buxton can't go he's got a knee issue right now So he might not play if he does play you can upgrade them put them above the Marlins No issues there, but I think that if Buxton does not go They're a fine 4th stack behind the Marlins for tonight I don't mind the idea stack in the Braves again if that game plays given in the rain they're facing Gavin Stone who has a good long-term outlook, but He was issuing too many walks when he was down to triple a he's now facing the Braves in the road pretty tough spot So I'm fine giving them a go It will be okay with the Braves as a another alternative for stacking for tonight Finally one that's pretty tough to pit down is the Red Sox offense for tonight They're facing Jaime Maria who is getting stretched out So he will not be as good as he has been in the bullpen this year But it's also not gonna be fully fully stretched out probably 70 or so pitches and he's been really good He's held a 24% hard hit rate so far this year So I don't hate the idea of stacking the Red Sox, but I don't love it either I prefer the Angels on the other side of this game if you want to get some exposure to this one Finally, it's finished up with some Digger calls for today. I gotta go Teos Garland as the boring one He has obliterated lefties for basically since he walked out of the womb Facing a lefty for today then facing the ace bullpen. I think he makes a lot of sense So Teos Garland as will be the boring home run call for tonight the fun one. Let's go Jared Walsh again Saw the ball pretty well on the minors now facing against facing off against how it was struggling against lefties So I think it's a good convergence. So we'll go Teos Garland as a Jared Walsh as a two home run calls for today That's all we got here for today on the solo shot It's a weird one again It's a weird slate given that we have kind of one good option to each category But I think we have other ways to navigate around that for the other slots in your rosters Do not forget to subscribe to the number fire daily fantasy podcast scene wherever you get your podcast Well, you're there if you like what you hear leave us a five star rating as well And also check us out over on the field of YouTube page Subscribe there and also give us a thumbs up if you like what you see on the solo shot side of things If you've got any questions for me, I am on Twitter at Jim Sonnis J-I-M-S-A-N-N-E-S. You can also follow the fadal podcast network at fadal podcast I want to thank you all for tuning in for today. Good luck to you with your MLB DFS line-ups We'll talk to you once again tomorrow preview Tuesday sleep This is another solo shot right here on the fan dual podcast network