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How Terrorism Ends: Understanding the Decline and Demise of Terrorist Campaigns

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Published on Jan 15, 2013

How Terrorism Ends: Understanding the Decline and Demise of Terrorist Campaigns
Audrey Kurth Cronin
Professor, Public Policy
Terrorism will be with us forever but individual terrorist campaigns always end. Why? What lessons can we learn from the endings of campaigns to help us nudge them along in that direction? Drawing from research on hundreds of groups, Kurth Cronin will explain six classic patterns of endings that emerge throughout modern history, including the conditions under which they work, and why Having laid out these patterns for all groups, she will then analyze which are relevant and irrelevant to al-Qaeda. In the wake of bin Laden's death, the movement seems to have transitioned from the core in Pakistan to a series of affiliates in places like Yemen, Algeria and Somalia, gaining a kind of immortality by relying on its regional franchises. Given what we know about how terrorist campaigns end, can the U.S. effectively end al-Qaeda?

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