 And welcome all to another exciting and exceptional edition of the power trading hour with me. You're humble, lovable and squeezibly soft host. As always, we'd like to come to you at this time. So what do we have going on today besides a little bit of a late start because of some technical issues? Nothing seemed to set up correctly, but we're up two points on the S&P cash up. Let's call it 10, 11 on the Dow, Nasdaq's up 22, Russell's off eight last I have. Crude's up 73 at 59.91. Had a lot of news this morning. Of course, Independence Day yesterday for the U.K., not only independence, but like I said, kind of throwing off the shackles of what would have been a long term of slavery and tossing out the extreme far left and the U.K., and putting them back on the back burner, not as pretty much back to the 1930s. So it certainly looks like the U.K. will get its Brexit deal. The Bojo, if you're like the hip kids like me, Boris Johnson, otherwise known as Bojo, is of course setting up for a U.K. exit on January 31st to make things real easy on everyone. I think they already knew weeks ahead of time that it was going to be a massive blowout in the last couple of days. He kind of just decided to make sure and not try to gild the lily and just sit back and let it all run. But that's kind of it at the moment. Of course, we had a lot of people shorting. I mean, this has been, this is kind of like shorting in the way that the market is, you know, biblically going to fail, frogs, blood in the street, in the rivers, all the kind of stuff that you think the apocalypse is coming. And man, they hammered it and hammered it and hammered it. Dow was down close to 100 points at one time when I saw it. But again, back up a little bit. Now, this is the real problem, and that is that you get these markets, they get highly short into kind of the end of the year. Those shorts are going to cover, let me put it this way, they're going to cover. The shorts are always the weakest hand in any card game, most likely because they're probably sitting behind a computer and can click it any second. And once they start clicking and covering, then that makes other people click and cover. But generally one of the worst things you can do, I'd say eight, maybe nine out of ten times, just be short into Christmas, doesn't always work out that way. But massively, a lot of people, one, think that they can wait and sell and pay taxes in the next year. And two, they're not in the mood for a bunch of buzz kills out there telling them, telling them what's wrong. I am a big fan of South Park, and I had to laugh at this week's episode, where somebody was telling him about yet another apocalyptic prediction. And the comment was just another buzz kill. Got a lot of stuff to talk about today. You give me a call at 877-927-6648. Email me at path at TFNN.com. 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Many of our new listeners have heard about the Tiger's Den. The Tiger's Den is a lively community where professional traders and investors can meet, exchange ideas and information in a comfortable, moderated atmosphere, hear all of the TFNN shows, plus see all of the charts as they happen live, and have access to archives of all of those charts. You can test drive the Tiger's Den absolutely free for 30 days, and greatly enrich your knowledge of these markets, and how to make your money work for you. Details on the Tiger's Den are on the front page of TFNN.com. Check out the new TFNN.com now and experience all the upgrades. TFNN.com educating investors. Call now toll-free at 1-877-927-6648, internationally at 727-873-7618. And what else do we have? Oh, anyway, we've got technical issues, as they say, but we'll work them out as the show progresses. Well, let's do a little history and then we'll move on. On this day in 1962, NASA launches an active repeater communication satellite, Relay One, from Cape Canaveral. One of the earliest communication satellites to be Relay One's mission was primarily experimental, but nonetheless it was used from notable events. On November 22, 1963, Relay One was the first satellite to broadcast television to the United States or from the United States to Japan, which happened to be the announcement of the assassination of John F. Kennedy. It was used in August of 1964 to broadcast the summer Olympics from Japan to Europe and the United States, relaying the signal with one other satellite. But for a guy, I grew up always watching the news the day after, because in Hawaii there were no satellites or any of that kind of stuff. In fact, it was into the 80s before Hawaii was seeing the news on the same day as the rest of the other 49 states. So we didn't pay a lot of attention to it because the news was pretty much over by the time we got it. But satellites have truly changed a great deal of how fast the news moves around the world. But really this is the start of it in 1962. My mother bored me just two years earlier. What else do we have going on? Okay, let's go ahead and see if I can't get some other stuff up here and going and start looking at some charts. I had some questions about anything going on with the big leaders today. Do I see any signals? And the answer is no. Again, I think the best description about how things are going is exactly as we've been talking about them. I didn't think that we'd move up this fast, this quick. I thought it would take probably the rest of next week to get up there. I would have added a lot more positions if I would have known the market was so froggy. But you never know how the news is going to fall. So I had some good positions that were going to be good, whether the market probably went higher or not. At least those sectors and those stocks looked fairly good. Microsoft, as we've said, very tough to kill stocks this time of year. If they have a good trend. Apple, Microsoft, both up and FLX. Again, those stocks that are already headed back down, not doing a lot today, but certainly not down like Netflix still. And it's just kind of filling its gap down from the 10th. When this thing had some kind of bad news, I guess you could say. So anyway, very light volume up. Again, if I was looking at shorting this, I don't think I would be long. But if I was thinking about shorting this, again, I don't see any reason to be short before the end of the year. That could change. But from everything I see, we're just going to see days like this where you start off and people short, short, short, short, short, short, short, push it, cram it down. And by the end of the day, we're either flat or higher. And again, we don't have to go that much higher. All we have to do is go a little bit higher each day. And eventually these shorts will start buying. And the rest of the market will not just melt up. But generally you get a real sharp interday top. And that shows you where all the shorts are out of the market. But we'll keep a close eye on it. Other questions about it is coming in from via the email. Is anything really changed in gold? And the answer is no, you're still in this trading range. Would I be short? The answer is no. You did get down to the 136.19 on November 12th and really fill that gap. So that's kind of the downside in the market. More than likely you're probably going to go to 141, maybe 142 on the top side. But between now and Christmas, it may do nothing, but go between like 137 and 139. And just to wear you out before the real move comes, generally you want to wait and not anticipate these things that aren't, that are kind of going sideways and wait for something really truly to move. Another question I had is, am I getting bearish now that the VNQ is below 90? And the answer, it would be yes, if there was a lot more volume today. We had some decent volume yesterday. Really didn't break out the low today. You got about 4.4 million shares. And again, if you're going to have a really bad hair day in the market, it generally, the REITs, take the brunt of it. That is one half of the one side of the coin. The other side of the coin is the TLT. And this again, just looks like it could continue to go sideways for a while, maybe even melt up just a little bit, maybe 139, 140. But this one may be one of the most quiet sectors into the end of the year. I don't see a great deal happening. What else do we have out here that I wanted to look at? IBB, kind of flat. There were a couple of stocks out there that really hit yesterday. Today we've got a fairly decent doji pattern when it went to 122. And again, this one, we're starting to see a lot of posturing for the 2020 election. And part of that is going to be going after all the biotechs. And I just think that there's easier money elsewhere without random heart attacks from somebody basically wanting to nationalize and socialize at least the health care manufacturers, to some extent. Can you still make money in that sector? You can. It's had a good move. I just kind of see that the news flow is going to be against it for the rest of the year. After the bill last night, we had Adobe coming out with fairly decent earnings and a nice pop. ADBE, ADBE, if he typed it correctly. Nice pop. And it gets you above the previous high. It gets you above the previous high with twice the volume. So you got a valid breakout in Adobe. Yeah, that's a July 19th eye with a 2.3 million shares at 313. You got to 321.73. Again, into this type of year, a lot of people are going to chase this. I don't think so, but I do think that anybody that was short the stock is going to have a real problem sitting on their hands until next year, i.e., January 3rd before much happens. So again, you got everybody on the wrong side of these things. It's got two gaps now. I suspect you're going to get one more gap out of this before it really sets a high. That's ADBE. We'll be back in a minute. The path of least resistance is David White's daily trading newsletter. And if you're looking for active trading ideas, then now is a perfect time for a 30-day free trial to this powerful daily trading advisory service. David uses his years of trading experience to offer his subscribers his trading ideas each morning in his Path of Lease Resistance newsletter. Using a combination of equity trades along with options, David keeps his subscribers up-to-date with all pertinent market information with intraday afternoon updates when warranted. Don't miss out on this great chance to get a 30-day free trial to David's daily newsletter, The Path of Lease Resistance, with no obligation to pay anything. 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The Art of Timing the Trade Chart is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days, weeks, or even months searching to find. And right now, we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month. We are so confident that you're going to love this new charted software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money-back guarantee. Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of The Art of Timing the Trade Chart today by visiting TFNN.com. The Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. And we're back. To see what else do we have? Okay. Oh, we've got... He dropped. He might be listening. I don't know what he wants. Tim wants to know about XOP. First thing I want to do is familiarize myself if I haven't in a little while with what's in the ETF itself. There's a website called etfdb.com. And if you put the... Anyway, I get rid of this horrible thing. There it is, close. You can see all the weightings of all the shares of the different companies. And this one, I kind of vaguely remember that Murphy Oil was the biggest holding in all the XOP. But generally it's these big conglomerate energy companies, Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum, Valero, Conoco Phillips, Conchito Resources, Marathon Oil, Simrax, Hess. So you've got a little bit of these people that are actually the suppliers, some of them that are just the gas stations themselves. And it's kind of... You got a little bit of both. I'm not exactly sure what's the next page here. The problem I think you've got in this one is there's handful too many of energy exploration companies that kind of take the edge off this. Cabot oil and gas, Matty or Resources, Devin Energy, EOG. A lot of these companies spend, I think too much for what's going on now. Everybody kind of likes the companies that know what they have. But anyway, the question on this one is just that. And you did break the previous low in the XOP on October 21st. That was $20.37. Got down to $19.90 on December 3rd. You did so with about 5 million less shares. Generally, I want to see something like maybe 10, 15 million shares less. And so could you just kind of rotate around in this area, $21.22? I think you can. Again, a lot of these stocks are probably in sectors, they're probably warming up for what's really going to happen next year. And I do like this one. If it would happen that this would pull back on extremely light volume, let's say the last couple of days of the year, this may set up absolutely perfect. Oh, do we have them on? Okay. Thought I heard somebody talking. Okay. So anyway, we've got that. Trying to see if there's anything else. I don't know if you're long or short or whatever. I would like this to pull back to about 20 bucks on very light volume. And again, as we go into the end of the year, this is where a lot of stocks really set up. And that is they go sideways. They kind of lose all their momentum and all the sellers and the people that think it's going to the moon all kind of have to calm down and chill out. And then you come back to the market on the 3rd of January or 4th, whatever. And you actually start seeing the people and what they want to buy. They think about this stuff over Christmas. And as these things do kind of lose a lot of the momentum, they are kind of setting up. And so this is where you want to really find these companies that are at support, that have pulled back with light volume and really get set up for the beginning of the year. If you're thinking bearish, you want to see these things go to their extreme highs with light volume and be anything other than Adobe where it's actually got a valid breakout of the market, you want to see light volume and maybe even pull back into the trading range on light volume. But yeah, again, even to the first of the year, I'm going to have a lot of problem being very bearish in this market. We're basically flat on the S&P and the Dow, NASDAQ's up 20 points that continues to show some strength in that. What else do we have? Question about, what is this? Question about Tesla, TSLA. 365 was the high today. It's really just kind of hanging out here to the beginning of the year. This is where the real resistance is going to come at 365-21. You got a little bit of reversal, very light volume. This one probably wants to come back around the 280 level. That would probably be a fairly decent pull. But again, I think I'm going to have to look at earnings. But I think we looked this up the last week. Let's type it in here. That it's probably not going to break until earnings and that is January 22nd. So I wouldn't want to be, I think that there are enough people that are manic. I think it's probably the best word to say about Tesla. And eventually this thing will come back down to earth. And they'll eventually give up on this because it is nothing more than an automobile company. They have carved out a fairly decent niche. But eventually the rest of the competitors will come over there over the top of the hill. And their armies will follow and the margins will suffer. And it will become the car company that everybody else always knew it would be. Okay, we looked at Netflix trying to see if there's anything else here we want to look at. Okay. Okay. Do you believe the A team will drive through the end of the year? I don't know exactly what you mean on that. But again, I'm not a big fan of thinking that it is time to short. And again, you know, this is probably the last big day we have a lot of news, all that stuff. Volume will probably be light on Monday and it will just get lighter the rest of the week. Thoughts on Costco. We already did Adobe, C-O-S-T from Wayne. Again, a lot of people thinking too much, thinking too hard about Costco and China imports. You got down to $2.89 today, but you're back up at around what? $2.92-ish? What is that? $2.92-32. Again, I think a lot of these things are just going to be trapped. Now, if you're looking for short and short potential, it's probably in the retailers after Christmas. They always get soft. They'll maybe have some good numbers and some good earnings. If you were looking for something to be short, I don't know if Costco is the best thing. I've been wondering when Coles is going to blow out this $44 volume low that's been at $43 and $44. But my guess is if this thing could continue to go up, maybe 52 to 54 bucks. And if this thing would squeeze all the shorts out, you could get that short on this thing, about 54 bucks. I think that's one that I'd want to be short regardless of the way that the market moves next year. We'll be back. 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That's TFNN.com then hit watch Tiger TV for the latest market information. And what else do we have here? A question about P-A-W-N. Is that right? P-A-N-W, excuse me. Of course this blew up on earnings. I was short this thing for a little while. It really looked horrible. It continued going up anyway. Basically you would have been short at the close into earnings and it got down to 214 off 250. But I don't know if there's anything you should sell or say about it. If we were looking for a market that does roll over, you want about 237.50, something like that, maybe 240, that area on a very light volume. But it doesn't look like you're going to get it on this one. Like I said, there's things going sideways on light volume. You want probably a retest of 214.90 to find a low. But if you're looking for a high, 240, and light volume sets up probably a short, they've got problems. To do what else do we have out here? A question about silver. I'll take a quick look on that one. Again, more of an industrial metal than hiding money in your mattress like gold. You're back up against the previous September 24th high at 3124, 340,000 shares. Yesterday you got into it with 230,000 shares. Today you just have 103,000 shares. Could it still, with the trade, at least some of the issues being out of the news probably all through next year now? Could this get up to 3226? I think the answer is yes, and probably moving a lot better than gold. But we've been looking at that for a while, and it's been doing that for a while. We looked at Microsoft already. Okay, let's take a look at Amazon again. And then we'll look at Facebook. You had a little higher out here, and of course Amazon spending a little bit more for infrastructure. That's really what started hurt it a bit. Again, we're looking at a lot of these retailers, or not retailers, a lot of these big companies that are web services companies having issues, or RCL. Oracle was one of those. It just doesn't, and hasn't done well at attracting those customers, but it's probably the worst of the bunch, down on fairly decent volume. And of course, I always love Oracle for one reason, and that is I get to say the CEO's name, who just, it sings. I wish I had a name that's singed as much as saffricats. It could be one word or one name, or it could be two names, saffricats. In fact, it'd probably be a nice name for a company, wouldn't it? She'd probably sue me, but I think it sings. Anyway, it's back down to support $53.87. They just continue to not be able to buck Amazon web services, Microsoft or Google. And of course, more and more other companies are coming in, like MongoDB and others that make it problematic. It's almost like databases are legacy issue. They are not, but until you start really rigging these things up to go together very well with web services on Amazon and Google and Microsoft's Azure, it's problematic. This one is the end of the world, no. But is it a growth stock anymore? The answer also on that is a big fat no. IYT. Yeah, I have a feeling this one come the end of the year is at least $200 or maybe over. Had a nice move off the low, light volume day to day, but I think from looking at a lot of the stocks in this also, they've been heavily shorted. Again, if you missed the semi-open-open to the show, there are just a ton of people piling in on the short side in the Dow today. If they don't get a market moving lower, they will have to cover by the end of the year. As other people cover, it just makes it more painful to sit on. I don't see any reason for being short in the market right now. Okay, question about WDC. Is it time to short it? Again, I'll think it's time to short it when people quit asking me time to short. Where I'd love for this thing to be to short it is about $60. That would be kind of the perfect. I don't know if you get it. There isn't a lot of juice back here after it blew up on earnings on the 31st of October, but there's just not much to say about it other than that too. Okay, we're taking a look here. Give me a call at 877-927-6648. Email me at pathtfnn.com. And of course, what you want to be doing now is going to the front page of TFNN and checking out the tiger dollar sale. Now, never a better time to check out that than today before you forget about it and you wished that you bought the tiger dollars today. So I'm going to go to the front page on that. Okay, what else did I have? Question about all these companies that popped in the last few days on the China news. You're pretty close on Las Vegas Sands. You wanted about 7.7 million shares. You got 6.7 million shares yesterday. Today's fairly light. It certainly does look like you're there. This thing could just go sideways for a while. Again, very tough to see how you could be short this going into the end of the year, but you are. One nice thing about Las Vegas Sands is that there's a real huge resistance level that comes from the gap down going back to, what is that, July 26th of 2018. You need about 8 million shares, 8 million shares to get through that gap. So a lot of overhead resistance at this point. It's probably going to take a while for it consolidate back up these. You do have a decent break of that April 18th high of this year. Again, you go right back into more resistance. You're only talking about 7 bucks to get up to the June 20th of 2018 high. Beyond that, you could have a fairly decent breakout. I just have a feeling eventually, if it's not this year or next year, we're going to have yet another row for trade disputes. What else do we have? We looked at the IYT, question about the TZA. Take a look at that if we have time. Yeah, I don't know that you get saved out of this. Yeah, I mean, the small caps are kind of the weak sisters today, but I don't see any signal yet. If you did get a little pullback, this would probably go to about 42 bucks fairly quickly. So not a bad $6 trade from the low of yesterday, but again, not a lot of follow through today. We'll be back after this. Most wealth managers tell you can't be done, which is how to time the markets. I'm Steve Rhodes, author of Mastering Probability, and for the last 12 months, Timer Digest has been tracking my newsletter signals, which have earned me the ranking as their number one market timer in the nation for the S&P 500 for the last 12, 6, and 3 months. Timer Digest also ranks me as the number one market timer for gold as well. The fact is, markets can be timed, and I'll teach you the exact set of tools that I use that has transformed me into one of the best at what I do. 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Using the Chapman Wave methodology, along with other indicators, Basil Chapman advises his subscribers of his expert market opinion each market day with his opening call newsletter. Right now, you can get a two-week free trial to the opening call, Basil's daily trading newsletter, by visiting the front page of TFNN.com. Cancel at any time during that trial and pay absolutely nothing. Get your two-week free trial to Basil's newsletter, the opening call today by visiting TFNN.com. Catch Tom O'Brien, professional trader and educator, founder of TFNN, also a special guest on CNBC. Tom will bisect and dissect the markets. The Tom O'Brien Show, next on TFNN. And we're back. Willie asked about Sonos, S-O-N-O. This is what you would call one of the failed IPOs. August 3rd of 2018, that sounds about right. Is it going out of business? No. Is it ever going to grow? Probably no. The problem is that you've got to get Amazon to really support you and they really haven't to the level that they need. They need to get bought out. But again, is it a good company? Yes, but kind of, are we back there? Kind of a bad time to be wanting to be bought out, especially by somebody like Amazon. So, I mean, you did have kind of a fairly sharp pullback here a week ago, down to $12.81 and a nice little pop. They may have, this is where you really want to separate products or they have good products from the company. But the company's not going to make money if they don't have some kind of integrated system from Amazon or from Microsoft or from some of the other companies. And they're kind of this lone wolf out there making their own products. That was good for 30 years in electronics. But now if you're not part of an ecosystem with apps on all the cell phones and everything that works together, incredibly problematic. And again, no one really wants to play with Sonos. So I'm not a big fan of this. I think it just probably drifts around down to 10 bucks. Maybe someone buys it. Maybe someone doesn't. But I didn't like it when it came out. I think, again, you got to differentiate good products, company like Tesla with what kind of value that it has over time. Both Tesla and Sonos have kind of really poor business models that I don't think stand the best of times. We'll be back with a Tom O'Brien at $330. So when you can, when you have to, see you here Monday, same back channel, same bad time.