 I'm turning to you actually I'm seeing you here too Jean Claude so maybe we can have a highlight on what is happening in the United States and Where the debate is going right now? The floor is yours. Good morning. Good evening. Hope you can hear me well I wish I could be with you and fortunately what I was about to bought my flight I had a slight health issue to deal with and unfortunately I couldn't bought the flight and I miss so much being with you and networking with many of you our friends My apologies. I will try to cover in a few minutes what you I guess expecting me to talk about Which is the US presidential election? And I would say both generally the election in November 2024 both from the domestic standpoint, but also from the point of geopolitical environment Uh, you know what's happening in November 2024, which is almost exactly a year from today The president will be elected for four years The house of representative will be elected for two years and in the senate 33 senators, which is about one third will be elected for a period of six years Let's deal with the senate and the house of representative Uh, 20 democrats and three independent that normally caucus with democrat are standing for reelection Some of them are not standing for reelection, but say those are the seats and then, uh, 10 republicans Uh, so the total of 33 The forecast at the moment is that 14 are solid democrat one is leading democrat five are leading likely democrat And treat so-called toss up where the result will depend on the day of the election and the republican are almost all likely to be There could be a change of majority in the senate, but right now as you know, there is a majority of democratic senators 51 to 9 and there is the casting vote of the vice president. So the senate could be Changing majority. It will largely depend on what I call the Cotel effect of the presidential election the house of representative 435 members 2001 republican 212 democrats that since the last midterm election in november exactly a year ago And two seats are vacant My prediction is that for the zoo that we've seen for the election of the speaker It's very unlikely that the republican will be able to, uh, keep the majority in the house and the house could again become Democratic by a slight majority So we are now in the Period where each party and as you know, there there might be several candidates But at the other day the two parties united the democrat and republican and we have the time where each of them is choosing their own candidate for next year election The president. This is the tradition. Whether he's republican or democrat a president with We call an incumbent is likely to stand without being challenged for re-election yet Joe biden is Facing some opposition for a variety of reasons within his own party first of all his age If he's elected in november next year, he will assume his function at the beginning of 2025 and he will be 82 years old and when he finishes mandate He will be 86. He will be the oldest president in the history of the united states He's also facing other issues. He's facing issues of his vice president Kamila Harris who's never been convincing and was not like and respected even by his own party The democratic party. She's never been able to impress and as you know I mean if something happens to the president Kamila Harris immediately steps in and becomes the next president americans Starting with majority of democrats are very uncomfortable with And then he has issues with his son and the business. I would say business activities of his family so The matter is it's quite simple the people know that it will be Unless something happens to him between now and the election It will be the candidate for democratic party Yet, this is not the candidate that the democratic party would like to have Biden was elected in 2020 largely because he was the alternative to Bernie Sanders that people find too left in and therefore And he didn't really campaign and he was lucky to face trump with a lot of issues So, uh, he was elected this time. It's going to be much tougher So people are not convinced that by candidate to Face trump assuming trump is the Now let's switch to the republican party Same story on the republican party Trump is leading in the polls, but Effectively only 40 percent of the people Well at the primaries and I remind you at the primary only vote the people who are as republican or democrat So if you can vote at the democratic primary if you're republican you can republican primary But those who are independent and most of the majority of americans are neither republican nor democrat They are registered that they depend on trump only gets 40 percent Republican voters 60 percent don't want trump now the problem is that they don't agree you My attitude to trump. So trump is like biden not the candidate of The party as it stands now at least the majority of the republican voters for about First of all his personality I mean some people and Quite a people don't like His personality his style His attitude and so on and so forth Then he has a lot of legal issues to do. I mean personal issues, you know Sexual assault, but also he took some classified document when he had function and brought them to his Florida and really Stopped and In there and lie about it. Then he is the election. Then there was this Fame January 6 21 when there was an assault on the capital which shocked a lot of people in the world That's shocked a lot of people as well so And I can go on and on And and trump essentially is perceived as an agonistic person He has done a number of things when he was president because he He he followed some of his advisors some advisors who were better than some others But net net people don't feel that trump who is also not so much younger I mean maybe a couple of years that biden is that I can would like to ask the next president So what could be the outcome, you know, my view is that it's going to be trump biden certain so I said could have else issues and other issues between now and the election and be replaced by your government Not for sure and trump is facing challenges and Although he leads in the polls He lives in Iowa. He leads in New Hampshire. He leads also in South Carolina two alternatives are Waiting in the wings on our Florida run personally run the studies One is changing The election of 2020. I don't think that I mean it was a very significant But he's done a number of mid steps since we elected and his Campaign is not going well. So He had relatively strong could be a true trump now. I've seen sort of gradually fading away. So the star during parties Governor key Haley former governor of South Carolina who was also ambassador of the united nation originally from India a sick family from India And she they came to united states She was a locally in scarola right now had the sort of one and a half term as governor of the state and was appointed by the ambassador to the un She did an effective job What I would call the regaining and part of the party the tradition of public and who are strong on foreign policy free market And limited governor so I would say a traditional She was loyal to trump when she was job for At the same time she was able to position that are less rigid and less conservative that some other Republican particularly on the critical in the united states with women right including right to abortion as you know Are in favor of abortion not any abortion not For extended period of time, but the majority of Americans are in favor of abortion It so happens that the majority of the republic you can see is so cold pipe And this is conflicting with the view of the majority. Thank you. So that that was the first round You were very long already and we're going to come back with more questions So if you don't mind hanging up with us for a little while longer just to answer questions later on Because we need we need time for everybody here. So now we have the basics biden on one side Trump the other nicky hallis climbing up Some of you have some hopes for her, but we're not sure But there are a lot of things to talk about and especially how geopolitics are getting into this This election, which never happens. I know you're keen to talk about this a little later, but it's going to be