 Hey everybody, what's going on? I am Greg Sospin. Jim Sonnis is a big day because the prices have been revealed for week number one. How's it going, man? It's great. It's a lot of fun to fill like these hypothetical lineups. Obviously a lot is going to change between now and then, but like I'm building lineups now just seeing what things look like. And it's fun just to have real NFL players on our schedule once again. So I am ecstatic. It's just a super fun time of year. How are you doing, Greg? I'm good, man. I'm all in football mode. I'm excited to talk a little DFS football and get ready, man. I'm very, very excited. So let's start with one of the most exciting new position players in the NFL. He was the number one overall pick, and that is Kyler Murray. We're taking a look at some of the undervalued players on the week one slate at least a month early, but that brings us to Murray, who's a valuable season-long fantasy commodity being drafted as a top 10 quarterback. And in week one, he's only priced at $7,300. What makes you like Murray in week one? I think there are a lot of reasons like this Cardinals offense in general. It's not because I expect them to be efficient, but I expect them to run a lot of plays this year with Cliff Kingsbury going in there wanting to run a high-pace offense. And part of running a high-pace offense is giving a lot of volume to your quarterback because it does lead to a lot of pass attempts. That's good for Kyler Murray, and we know that pass attempts can lead to scrambles. That's also good for a guy like Kyler Murray. You're getting that rushing floor and upside for just $7,300. Now, this defense that he's facing in the Lions is not bad. Glover Quinn did retire though, but I think overall it's not a bad idea to invest in someone with upside while the salary is low, even if their situation may not be ideal. Maybe the matchup's not ideal, maybe the situation is not ideal, but I think with Kyler Murray, the outside that he has and the floor that he has are not baked into his price right now, which is why I want to go here, even if the matchup is not necessarily a fantastic one from a DFS perspective. That rushing gives him both a great floor and a great ceiling. That pay should help out as well. And I think that the overrun during this game being around 47 and a half may actually sell the potential of this cardinal's offense a little bit short. So I'm very interested in what they do here in week one. I think that a similar line of thinking does apply to Lamar Jackson at $7,400, so just $100 more than Kyler Murray. But Kyler Murray, I want to get in on him from the ground floor. I think it makes a lot of sense to invest in him at home in week one at $7,300. You're getting in on the ground floor because that floor is so high with Murray and I don't think the price is well adjusted to what that explosion could be like in week one. That price is going to jump if all these fantasy prognosticators are right. So get in now while the price is still doable. Let's move over to the running max and you're very, very smart here, Jim, because you're investing in Leonard Fournette before he gets hurt. It's a good idea. The window to do that, Greg, is usually not that large. So we're going to try to do it right now here in week one. I think that when you look at the salaries up on Fanduel, you can see a pretty tight correlation between where these guys are being drafted in season long and their salaries in DFS. And that's naturally going to drag someone like Leonard Fournette down because we don't have, at least not yet, concerns about his role. We know that if he's healthy and he performs well, he's probably going to get workhorse type usage in this jaguirus offense. And that's not what his salary says at $7,200. That salary is including some of the injury unpredictability that comes with Leonard Fournette. But right now, as of this recording, it could change by later today, but Leonard Fournette is healthy. And for $7,200, the guy who could get passing down work that is way too cheap, he's facing this cheese offense and there's a lot of changes there for them. They've got Tyrant Matthew, obviously, and a couple of other intriguing guys like Frank Clark. But this is not a defense I would expect to be good this year. They're going on the road to face Jacksonville. It's not the same Jacksonville team we saw last year either because Nick Foles is in town. And also that offensive line is so much healthier now than it was at the end of last year. They had injuries at four of the five spots along the offensive line, season ending injuries to all four of those spots. So I think that we should expect this Jaguars offense to be a lot better this year than they were last year, which would obviously benefit Leonard Fournette. They also drafted Juwan Taylor in the first round. So I'm expecting this Jaguars offense maybe not to be good, but to be a good chunk better than they were last year. You're putting them up against a cheese offense where they're going to have to score points. Fournette should get work as both a rusher and a receiver. And I adore that for $7,200. So unless we get word before then that Fournette's role may not be as beefy as we projected to be right now, I think he's a bit undervalued at $7,200. Yeah, the Kansas City Chiefs defense is obviously nothing that's going to scare you away. And Leonard Fournette, again, he's healthy as of now. He's a three down running back as of now. And looking at the players behind him, like a guy like Alfred Blue, I'm not going to change anything. I really liked Leonard Fournette early in the year. Don't really love him season long, but DFS at this price, about $7,200. If he's undervalued, simply put. And I think he gets off to a nice start this year and makes very good a week one play. Another player that I actually like a lot throughout the season. It's Chris Carson, because he's in offense. It's just going to run the football. Brian Shaw and Imer hates throwing the ball. You're a jet fan, Jim. You know that. If anybody watched the playoffs last year, he was adamant that his system works where it's just run, run, run, third and long. Pray Russell Wilson does something and he's not going to change that mindset. People are drafting Rashad Penny over Chris Carson. It's a mistake because Chris Carson is the starter. He's going to be the starter, at least for week one, which is what matters in DFS. And the reports at a camp on Chris Carson are actually pretty good too, which makes me feel even better about him in week one. And we know the Seahawks, as you said, want to run the football and they should get the chance to do so in week one because they're facing the Bengals. They're currently eight and a half point favorites at Fandall Sportsbook, which is the largest spread in anyone's favor for this week one main slate. That bodes well for Chris Carson, who is just $6,600. And I think that that that salary and that season long ADP for Carson is partly because people are afraid of Rashad Penny and I get that. But if we're just investing for one week, we can take a bigger risk on a guy like Chris Carson. Now personally, from my DFS process, I target guys who get more work in the passing game than Chris Carson did last year. But with Mike Davis being gone, there are some targets for the taking same thing with Doug Baldwin. Davis last year had an 11 percent target market share. We did see Chris Carson get six targets in the game last year. He had four and another. Both of those were late in the year as well when he was healthier. So I think that when you give me Chris Carson, with a potentially expanded role in a spot where the Seahawks should be able to run and run effectively against this Bengals defense. I think that's a great spot to invest in Chris Carson. $6,600. Again, he's not the archetype of player I target most often, but I think in this specific matchup, he makes a lot of sense. So at least for week one, Chris Carson is someone I want on my rosters at $6,600. Yeah, the price once again is good. And while he's not going to catch the passes that's going to make him an exciting option, he's going to be a player that just has the ball in his hands often because that's what they do as I mentioned with Seattle run, run, run. We'll take that hopefully falls into the end zone a couple of times and then you have a really nice week with Chris Carson. Let's move on to your undervalued wide receivers gym and that brings us to Carolina's DJ Moore. It's interesting that we're doing this today where all the reports that are training camp are saying, Hey, maybe Curtis Samuels the number one wide receiver in Carolina, but DJ Moore is priced very, very well at just over $6,000. Can DJ Moore make an impact in week one? Yeah, I think in season long, when you look at the discrepancy between DJ Moore and Curtis Samuel, it does make sense to go with Samuel because he is a lot cheaper. But in DFS to week one, DJ Moore is $5,900 and Curtis Samuel is 62. And DJ Moore is the pedigree of being this guy who could be a target hog. He was a first round pick last year out of Maryland, as you know, Greg, and he got a lot of targets when he was there. He was efficient with those targets. He was a really good prospect coming out and he made good on that prospect type last year. Once Devin Funchus was gone and Funchus no longer there, obviously we saw DJ Moore get a 20% target market share from week 11 through week 15 last year. And that does include a time when Devin Funchus was playing and taking away some of those targets. Now Greg Olson is there, Curtis Samuel should get targets and so should Christian McCaffrey. So I'm not saying DJ Moore is going to get 30% of the targets for Carolina. But if you give me 25% at $6,200 in a spot where they are in a high flying matchup with the Rams, I think that makes a lot of sense. This game is tied for the highest total on the board for week one at 51 points and I want to invest in games that project to be close between two good offenses. That is exactly what we get here in this matchup between the Panthers and the Rams. DJ Moore could be moving to a bigger wall. I do like Curtis Samuel as well at $5,900. But I think when the price is so close between the two, I'm going to take DJ Moore over Samuel by a hair. It's going to be close. But right now week one Jim choosing DJ Moore, very very high game total. So you want players in there. Christian McCaffrey is obviously going to be incredibly expensive, which means you go somewhere else and that somewhere else may lead you to DJ Moore. Another player that you're hoping winds up in the end zone. Another wide receiver that Jim really likes this week is his old favorite Marvin Jones of the Detroit Lions, who is undervalued and unheralded here coming into this season where all the talk out of Detroit has been about Kenny Galladay. Marvin Jones is still there and he's priced at $6,100 in week number one. Why do you like Marvin Jones? This kind of goes back to the Leonard Fournet discussion where I think a lot of the salaries are based on season long ADPs and I am pretty much out on Marvin Jones and season long because the Lions don't want to throw. It seems like they really want to commit to the ground game and that could lead to a low pace and not a lot of passing volume. But in week one they're on the road based in the Cardinals and the Cardinals pace is good for them, but it's also good for their opponents because this will be a very much a pace up spot for the Lions and may be the fastest game they play the entire year. So Marvin Jones situation week one is much better than the situation for the full season, which could create some value here at $6,100. I love Kenny Galladay. He's super fun to watch and a super good player, but we shouldn't overlook Marvin Jones because when both those guys were healthy last year when before Marvin Jones went out, he had a 19% target market share and 43% of the team's targets, 16 plus yards downfield. And that was with Kenny Galladay being healthy and Golden Tate playing all those games, except for two Theoretic was also there. When you take Golden Tate and Theoretic out of the equation, I would expect Marvin Jones to get a larger chunk of the pie this year. And as we know, he can do well down the field as well. There is no Patrick Peterson in week one for the Cardinals. He is suspended. That bodes well for this Lions passing game. I think that that could push you to invest in carry on Johnson and Kenny Galladay. And I certainly will do so myself as well. But Marvin Jones is super cheap at $6,100. And although he's not my favorite season long play, I think that in DFS for week one, he does make a lot of sense. No, Patrick Peterson for Arizona, the secondary is going to be very, very limsy, we'll say. We talked to Kyler Murray before. We expect a high scoring output that holds true for the other side as well with Detroit Lions, where Kenny Galladay is going to get his. But Marvin Jones, the expectations aren't what they have been in the past, which could mean a big game in week one for the old veteran. Speaking of veterans, that brings us towards height and and that again, brings us back to Leonard Fornette, who is healthy right now. Those feet work. Same with Jordan Reed, who had his quote unquote, healthiest offseason that he could ever remember. Basically, he's in the best shape of his life, Jim. How long does that last? Well, last year that lasted through week 12. And I think that that kind of an overlook to Jordan Reed last year because the because Washington was bad, and it makes sense that it would go overlooked because tight end is a spot where you need touchdowns and Washington didn't score many last year. And they may not again this year. But I think that with Jordan Reed's salary being just $5,300. If you want to save a tight end, you're not going to get much better of a role than you will get with Reed at that salary to the first 12 games last year before his injury read actually had 22% of Washington's targets. It's possible he could get a quarterback upgrade this year if they decide to start Dwayne Haskins. Most people would be an upgrade over what what Washington had at times last year. So it's possible they could get better efficiency. Now they're going on the road to face the Eagles. The Eagles are a very smart and a very good organization. So I don't expect Washington to fare well in that game. But they will be throwing and that is a positive for Jordan Reed and that target market share. If you can get it back to where it was last year, which is not outrageous because they did not invest a ton in their receiver corpse, I think that Jordan Reed could have actually a pretty solid floor and have the ability to score a touchdown if his quarterback play can improve just a little bit. So normally I prefer to target tight ends who are in good game scripts and are projected to score a lot of points. And Jordan Reed does not fit that. But for $5,300, I think his role is a little bit too juicy. So I think that at least for right now, as long as he stays healthy in week one, Jordan Reed does make a lot of sense if you want to spend out healthy till week 12 last year, healthy in week one right now. And they do start to wait and ask as you know, the rookie quarterback always has the connection to the tight end. He's a safety valve and Jordan Reed has been really, really good at that role for a very long time. As long as he's healthy, Jordan Reed, probably the number one wide receiver in his offense. That's going to do it for us here on the fan. No hurry up. Jim, I am pumped for football so much. So let's do some more football tomorrow. Why not? Let's do it. Looking forward to it, Greg. Hopefully it all goes well and I'm looking forward to talking plenty more football with you as we get set for week one. Absolutely. For Jim Sonos, I am Greg Sossman. You can start making lineups right now over on Fandle because the prices are out and you have the next month to tinker away. Have some fun and we'll see you back here tomorrow.