 The following is a presentation of TFNN the morning markets kickoff with your host Tommy O'Brien Good Tuesday morning everybody. I'm Tommy O'Brien company live from TFNN 906 a.m. Tuesday morning We got about 24 minutes to go until the starter trading and you have markets catching a bid from last night You're talking about an S&P right now You're positive by almost 60 points from where we were last evening crude pulling back in pretty dramatic fashion We're under a hundred bucks. We're at ninety six dollars and seventy cents down from 130 Just over a week ago. We take a look in the markets Friday's action in the S&Ps 4326 you trade down almost 200 S&P points yesterday's action when you look at the action Monday you accelerate lower yesterday you come in When you look at the pre-market you had the S&Ps at 41 80 you trade down to 41 29 But since then quite the acceleration from about 5 a.m. Eastern time that low made in the S&P's NASDAQ 100 We're up 109 points right now. You were at a 12,000 handle. You're 13,152 Dows up 153 points right now inching towards 33,000 only 12 points off that level and you get the Russell up by six points at 1943 we've jumped to crude Quite the pullback for crude you back it up a week ago. We were at 129 44. We're trading at 96 57 You had been as low as 93 54 I mean you look at the moves in the screwed contract. We just got a $3 spike Just in the less than the last two hours and you can't even see that spike barely on this chart because you go from 110 Just almost Sunday evening. Yes 110 Sunday evening by Tuesday morning's opening bell. We're trading at 96 51 right now. We jumped to gold Continuing to give it up as gold down 37 dollars at 1923. We got a Fed meeting starting today We have an announcement tomorrow 2 p.m. Eastern time press conference 230 on Wednesday all but assured you will get a hike of a 25 basis points And finally maybe we get a slight reprieve in terms of yields But don't call it a reprieve folks because we got yields right now at basically 2.1 percent We had a 1.6 handle to back things up folks A week ago Sunday evening you trade from 129 handle to a 124 handle in about a week since then we have bounced a bit But you're sitting on the yield 2.1 percent. I mean think about it There's half a percentage point that yields on a 10-year basis went up in the last about seven or eight days Remarkable on that 10-year but on this session. We have the yields Little bit lower with prices up 14 ticks on the 10-year at 1207 and we jump over to the VIX volatility index right now sitting at 3207 you were inching towards 34 overnight as you had in the markets continuing some negative action We got a few headlines to jump to On a day that we have a Fed meeting beginning on a day that we have oil coming below $100 a lot of the headlines having to do with futures gain as oil plunge eases inflation fears I was talking about it beginning of this month. It's March 15th now We're basically about halfway through the month when we got CPI data for the month of February last week You had gas prices up 6.6 percent for the month of February that contributed one-third of the impact to the CPI data as of I think it was March 10th Yes, when CPI data came out last Thursday at that time you had gas prices up almost 20% already for the month of March 10 days into it now Will we see some easing throughout the rest of the month? But nonetheless, we are going to see some harsh inflationary numbers from the month of March when we get CPI data in April because of these oil Prices because of these gas prices even if we get some easing at The crude prices going to take at least a few days for those gas prices to come down March numbers for CPI should be a big number to say the least as we have the Fed Lifting off as they say All right, the other one we have to jump to here is China So I think I got like three or four articles here talking about China Relentless selling in China stocks evoked memories of 2008 crash We're gonna jump to Alibaba and JD in a moment. We talked about him yesterday, man Let's just jump to him right now Alibaba It's just gap away gap away gap away. We were at a hundred bucks on Wednesday You're gonna open at seventy three dollars on Alibaba shares. You're down more than 26% the slide continues JD The slide continues as well. We closed about 43. We're gonna open under 42. You were 40 55 last night and jumping to it Yeah, China's market meltdown has traders rushing to buy protection how about 4.5 trillion dollars That's just Chinese and Hong Kong stocks 4.5 Trillion dollars of wealth has been lost Since the peak just in China in Hong Kong you got cost of hedging Chinese shares is at a record Versus the S&P 500 Yeah, is that it I guess that's it too. I thought I had three I look for another one And maybe I do know the market meltdown. Ah, yes I thought I had at least three up here And then they got five charts showing the brutal two-day sell-off in Chinese stocks We'll talk a little bit more about this throughout the hour be interesting to see in terms of where China goes in aligning themselves how closely to Russia, but they have a two Prong war going on With their economy is one way to put it in terms of quite the slowdown that they're gonna be dealing with when you Got cities like Shenzhen shutting down Foxconn make an Apple products. You have ports there that are shipping things out a city of 24 million people just shutting down That is gonna play into things at the same time you have risks going on for the geopolitical affairs Taking place. All right, we jump around some of the news domestically. How about AMC? This one's gonna be interesting to see how it plays out Excuse me as you have AMC using their funds raised during the meme craze to buy a gold miner. That's right news out this morning Agreed to purchase a stake in Nevada metal miner. They announced Tuesday They're gonna spend twenty seven point nine million dollars in cash for the deal They're gonna receive twenty three point four million shares of the company high-croft mining holding corp Not familiar and an equal amount of stock warrants the deal would make AMC the owner of roughly 22 percent to the company I mean the CEO alludes to the fact that normally you would not see a Movie theater chain having the expertise To be a player in the gold mining Segment It'll be interesting to see how this plays out first thing I thought is are they gonna start like printing off silver coins or something? Like that crazy man The AMC much forget the guy's name What's his name? Adam a wrong a a wrong his name is literally a a wrong He's leaning fully into the the meme stock acceleration and AMC on that news catches a bid you're up by 50 cents to 1413 this thing has had quite a ride to negative prices from the peak of 72 bucks You're back to 13 bucks. That's back to last May. You're back to a price level Far off the highs but interesting to see you never can be too sure when that's gonna catch a bid from the reddit GameStop Mania now as I say we jump over to GameStop GameStop has their earnings out later this week They're trading up three bucks to 82 Closed at 78 this stock basically at lows It hasn't seen since the beginning of the craze early last year for GMC GME But how's that gonna play AMC spending 28 million bucks to buy a 22 percent stake in a gold miner I imagine they have more plans than just that but maybe they don't 1356 stay tuned folks. 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We have the S&Ps right now up 26 points You're looking at an Azdec 100 up 116 down off down up 166 and we have crude off $6 and 67 cents right now trading at 96 32 Let's jump over to our man Kevin Hinks every trading day folks 12 noon Eastern time fast market with your host Kevin Hinks Tom White the team at TD Ameritrade Network. They break down the day's market action They got some great guests on the programs talking to find risk talking a little options Kevin Hinks we're talking a little bit of crude back under $100 this morning. Good morning Good morning, Tommy. You know markets are moving. That's for sure and You know, we we we discuss a lot How? Commodities will often price in the absolute worst-case scenario They they they do that quite often Tommy so $130 that was a pretty high level for for Crude L to get to and so the you know the Descent from $130 has been fast and vicious and so but that's a lesson for how these commodities move They often price in the exact highest level. I'm frankly a little surprised that happened this quickly Because there's been no real clear resolution in Ukraine or anything going on there or disruptions, but certainly Crude L has come, you know down pretty far from its peak level Yeah, pretty remarkable. I got the crude contract right now on the thinkorswim platform Kevin March 1st We had a price basically right where we're trading at right now of $95 within five days You got to 130 bucks. That's five trading days and now seven trading days. We're right back to 95 bucks, man And that is 50% Kevin if you go back to December 2nd, which is crazy I did this yesterday. I couldn't believe almost December 2nd crude was at $62 man. It's only March 15th Right back to about the 50% which is where that area is as well sitting in 96 bucks We got markets catching a bid today Kevin. We got some PPI numbers out there that are pretty high not too surprising In light of what's going on. We have a Fed meeting starting today How about the route in China going on continuing though Kevin pretty interesting the destruction there? I think I read this morning. You're talking about now 4.5 trillion dollars of destruction in terms of China and Hong Kong equities The floor doesn't seem to be anywhere in sight right now as they keep gaping lower. It seems overnight What do you what's your take on what's going on with China right now? Yeah, pretty interesting how they are their zero tolerance policy and they're shut down for a week Not only that with the overall Restrictions they're putting on some of their companies is really great You know wreaking some havoc in that come in that and when you look at Chinese companies traded in the US And the pressure that they're under Man, you're talking about a serious amount of equity taken out of these companies So, yeah, I would you know a lot of people think that the China stocks are now untradable You know, it's hard where you got to remember something. You're trading a company controlled in many ways by communist government and so you You've witnessed over the last well three to six months What can happen when they decide for basically a tone change or they decide that they don't have the amount of power over these companies that they'd like to have like in if they were in the West and so yeah, you're you know, you're seeing kind of a Serious power play going on right now in China Yeah, I mean, I think and you make some great points man in terms of untradable because of course you can trade it But I the risks are just unquantifiable at least in my con, you know understanding of geopolitical What's going on in Russia because how can you quantify a risk? We're part of that risk right is that the Chinese government just owns your company and does whatever they want But did not imagine some of these companies Kevin I'm in terms of Ali Baba up here in the thinkorswim platform back to 2015 prices JD calm 2015 prices seven years ago But as you say I read an article this morning talking about hedge funds running probably because that risk is just unquantifiable How you how you factor in that risk With everything going on Kevin, we got a Fed meeting starting today What are you guys going to be talking about on fast market coming up at 12 noon this afternoon? Like folio came to us with a presentation today that they're going to do on Etsy and Everything that they're they're going on and their views some of their data they have on Etsy So we're good what we're going to do we're going to turn that into a theme We're going to go Shopify Etsy and then Amazon on today's show Tommy And I tell you mine e-commerce company. I like it Kevin I was looking at Etsy myself this morning just it's it's you can't help Let's look at some of the pullbacks and some of these equities folks Etsy from 29 bucks up to 307 bucks late last year. You're back to 118 you talk about Shopify Shopify great platform We use Shopify for TF and then Kevin 1762 down to 512 Amazon not nearly the pullback there But still pretty substantial man almost a thousand bucks off the high from 37 73 to 28 37 And and and for a final take Kevin What's your take on the yields on the rise 1.6 percent 1.6 handle at least to 2.1 percent right now? As we come into a fed where do you see some of those 10 years going as we it's pretty interesting Not often do you come into a liftoff right where the Fed is going to start hiking for six seven times potentially in today's the day They start that meeting Yep, I think What I think is Markets love to go to big numbers and 2% in the 10-year yield is a big number Tommy And I expect that number to be picky around there And so I would expect Jerome Powell to do what he said he was gonna do which is raise rates by a quarter The question is does he come out dovish or even and you know even keeled in His comments afterward and so I would I mean You know the these 10-year notes have really sold off hard and then the corresponding yields have gone up So I would think many times whether they should or not these rates and notes Recover some of what they lost and there's relief in some of the trade So I'm looking for 2% in the 10-year to be a lot more sticky than it has been the last few days Tommy I know that's the billion dollar question. I throw it at you at the end of our discussion Man, what's gonna happen with yields Kevin as we start the lift off with the Fed discussion meeting today? And yeah, just a remarkable pullback I got it up on the thinkorswim platform man on a daily basis that price of that 10-year Quite a downtrend it would make sense as we come into hiking But yeah that pullback in the last seven days man. Just historic Kevin We appreciate the conversation the education as always will be watching man Etsy Shopify and Amazon three gate great companies We look forward to the show today Kevin. You have a great Tuesday Thanks for having me on Tommy. Have a great day you too always a pleasure man folks tune in every trading day fast market 12 noon eastern time Kevin Hanks Tom White. They have an Outstanding experience of knowledge folks that they've gained over their careers in this business Quite a time to be learning when you have the VIX sustaining levels above 20 or 30 right now You have a Fed meeting going on. We have a PPI happening right now this morning showing 10% Let's pull that number over here as we come into the break waiting for the open And we have a Fed meeting starting today with an announcement due tomorrow at 2 p.m Press conference at 2 30 and we have crewed sitting at $100. We still have earnings going on We got GameStop as I said late in the week I think we got FedEx as well as we're coming into the end of the earnings season They'll be out with their numbers just a lot of volatility Which is a great time folks to be learning in this market very difficult especially in options to be learning the options trade Or trading when you have a VIX that's so low because you're very limited with some of the Strategies that you can use when you have a VIX. I mean, it's tough to remember folks as we come into this break you had a VIX that was sustaining levels of 11 12 13 for an extended period of time not so much the case these days stay tuned folks will be right back with the open Are you having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with Become an apex predator in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den trading room only at tfnn.com The Tiger's Den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas Join the den and surround yourself with the sharpest minds in the trading world Subscribers to the Tiger's Den are also the first to have their questions answered live on air and can privately chat with our Tfnn hosts live during their shows interact with other Tigers and Tiger's as they share trading ideas news analysis and discuss the market action all trading day Subscribe to the Tiger's Den risk-free with our 30-day money-back guarantee and become part of the Tfnn trading community Tfnn educating investors You could be making money off the stock market and if you're already making money off the stock market You could be making a lot more check out Tfnn and Tiger TV and get expert investing advice to give you the power to control your financial future Go to tfnn.com and find the newsletter for you Whether you're into trading gold metals futures currencies or options You'll get advice and analysis to help you seriously get ahead Tfnn also features trading services with a 30-day money-back guarantee for new subscribers as well as Tfnn's Tiger Den trading room trading software and educational webinars for all trading levels and make sure you check out Tiger TV for free on Tfnn.com or Tfnn's YouTube channel for live financial content from 8 30 a.m. To 4 p.m. Eastern on market days stop watching on the sidelines while other people get rich and become the investor You were born to be Tfnn educating investors Tfnn is excited about our new software charting program the art of timing the trade charts in Collaboration with Tom O'Brien and using his best-selling book the art of timing the trade your ultimate trading mastery system David White has programmed an outstanding piece of software that will complement any trader's methodology Using this first-of-its-kind program the art of timing the trade charts allows you to scan thousands of stocks for Fibonacci Formation setups including Gartley's ABC's Butterflies and much more the art of timing the trade charts is designed to help you when Scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days weeks or even months Searching to find and right now. 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That's a lot of negative action folks And now in the NASDAQ I believe we hit 20% overnight in the NASDAQ in terms of a pullback Talk about a pullback in the NASDAQ Let's back this up for a three-year weekly to see the full run right at that 3a2 an interesting price level And that is from the COVID lows of 66 28 you trade up to 16,767 amazingly. We've given up about 30 600 points in the NASDAQ 100 From 16,700 to 13,200 and yeah right at the 3a2 also a nice area potentially Maybe we find a bit a lot of people worried the market goes further of course to the downside But yeah a 3a2 12,912 and you're talking about a low of 12,942 within 30 points also a nice area That found a bid not once but twice early part of 2020 for that market You get the Dow up 258 back to a short-term time frame We jumped to some of the airlines good news from the airlines this morning. This is an industry Yeah, look at this pop man Delta up 10% they got some good numbers coming out this morning Still now Delta pulls back to the 618 of the full COVID lows to the highs you had early last year Maybe that's where you find a bid on Delta your up 8.8 percent for Delta shares today You jump over United up 9.4 percent for United shares today we jump to American up 7% for American domestically Southwest up 7.3 percent as well jet blue shares up 5.9 percent There let's see how the cruises are moving. They are carnival is even up 2.5 cents I saw something about I think Norwegian's got a ship that's stuck. They're still up 3.4 percent Boeing up 1.4 percent with the market essentially Let's see how some of the travel stocks are being be pretty much the same So airlines up in a big way and that's having to do with the fact that they're raising revenue outlook as travel demand Bounces back faster than expected some of the numbers Delta. Okay, they said ahead of an investor presentation that expects first-quarter sales 78% recovered compared to 28 2019 pretty remarkable. They're not even at 80% of the business. They were doing two years ago Business travel probably at an absolutely huge substantial part of that but international a big part of that as well Because you look at Delta's at 78% United they're gonna be at about 75 to 80% You have And make sure that was it United. Okay Yep, and then you do Southwest though 92% recovered so international airlines doing a lot more maybe international business just international travel overall 75 to 80% of the numbers Southwest at 92% of the numbers in terms of where they're trading at and you had United saying system bookings for Future travel have improved close to 40 points since the first week of 2022 and business traffic has increased more than 30 points Since the peak of Omicron impact in January 2022 So big numbers for the airlines At the same time is here you have crude prices cratering I believe you an American out there saying that they are completely unhedged to the price of crude so where crude grows That's where their profits are gonna fly Probably did not hedge when they were down at the lows and just like anything else not willing to hedge when crude was at $100 to 130 for the cost So nonetheless, they say we're gonna gamble it write it out and ride our losses if they come but crude back to 95 bucks some of the airlines Accelerating higher on today and man when these airlines turn folks, we are gonna have some ways to go I mean even Delta, okay Delta's trading where you were in June of 2020 Crazy when you think about that action in terms of where you were Let alone how long you've been trading above that price level. I mean anybody traded Delta from October of 2020 It's basically in a losing position Which is crazy when you think about it, but at some point those are gonna find a bid folks We are gonna have a sustained level of travel and getting out And maybe you stick to something that has a little bit less volatility Domestically like Southwest because man you start getting into the international airlines You ever have geopolitical risk ratchet up in Europe overall Business travel gonna be a tough one to come back as well. That world has changed forever Southwest 92% of where they were in terms of 1999 and people just ain't gonna stop traveling folks jet blue Similar action right back to the 618 you're up at 1372 both of those which is interesting, right? Right at the 618 Southwest and jet blue. So if you're thinking about getting in might be in a good area to take a look All right jumping around what else we have going on. How about rent prices, man? U.S. Rent inflation hits a new high led by Miami with a 39% rate Good luck if you're trying to rent a spot in Miami, Florida overall though some pretty staggering numbers Orlando's number two at about 20% don't see tamp on those lists But I bet they're pushing 20% as well just being around the market single-prem family prices overall 12.6% that is overall for the entire country folks the lowest price DC the lowest inflation 5.6% for rent New York 6.5% Some of the other big cities out there Atlanta right at the median of 12.8 Boston 13.7% Vegas at 16.6 Phoenix 18.9 pretty staggering numbers when you look at it Rents in Florida's Orlando and Phoenix 19.9 and 18.9 respectively in January a year of a year 100 metro areas housing has fueled overall consumer price inflation. I would say so Those are leases folks. They're signed usually for a year at least they do not go down Very rarely will you sign of a lease, right? And I'm almost exaggerating and then 12 months later the leasee gets to Negotiate with their landlord that they want to pay less Very few scenarios would have that play out. COVID was one of them. We saw in Manhattan Right huge huge Destruction in terms of leases. Well, that's all gone and then Manhattan rentals leases are actually above where they were in 2019 so it's not just the hottest markets out there. It's everywhere as you see Low inventory for housing. I mean that's never going to change for the foreseeable future I shouldn't say never it's not going to change for the foreseeable future folks Those houses have been taken off the market forever. They've been Securitized and there's no reason for Wall Street ever to sell them off especially when you have rates where they are right now you see rates skyrocket that That makes it much more expensive to hold those Houses, maybe that changes things slightly, but man, you're talking about numbers that are pretty staggering cash In a tough spot right now in a big way And these numbers may persist folks in a big way as well That's a perfect segue to this article that I found interesting I've been talking about this a little bit on my program if you've been listening We'll tease it right now because I think we're going to head to the break in about 30 seconds or so Yeah, we got a break coming up in about 30 seconds or so But something to think about if you have something resembling a 60 40 Portfolio because man, you may see some big problems here when you're in an environment that we haven't seen in a while folks I mean imagine Now a lot of these rate hikes are already priced into the market Okay, so that's one thing But if we have market turmoil at the same time that we have rising yields for the next year or two Okay, that is going to bring down the price rising yields. Okay lower price higher yield Okay, so the price of those fixed investments. Okay fixed return investments You're making will decrease as the yields rise What happens if markets decrease at the same time? Very possible. We've seen it happen already Something to think about we'll take a look at this when we come back stay tuned folks I'll be right back in three minutes Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area? Including the surrounding st. 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We have the markets given up some of those games right now S&Ps I mean we just sold off about Almost 25 points from where we were just after the open. We're trading at 41 82 You're almost up at 42 10 Nasdaq 100 up 57 points at 13,100 We just gave up a hundred quick points in that market Russell up six dial up 182 We check in on crude catches a little bit of a pop crude down six dollars and seventy five cents on the Session with three dollars off the loge. You had early this morning gold off about 34 bucks So back to the article talking about the 60 40 split one of things they talk about just some of the numbers Down more than 10 percent so far this year because we've seen the market pull back And we've seen yields start to spike as the Fed begins to lift off The market says I mean just look at Monday. Okay. I'm trying to get this Yeah, so in the 2000s, okay, the 60 40 sport portfolio generated a me or 2.3 percent annual return numbers that we are not used to recently You got to recalibrate your brain folks in terms of the historical averages in terms of what you used to The Nasdaq comp index declined nearly 20 percent this year And you have treasuries a broad gauge of treasuries losing 4.7 more than any in the year since 1974 Trying to get some other quotes. I was picking in here I mean here we have the pullback, but just to take a look at the glimpse It's something to think about folks to think you're protected right now when you're gonna have yields lifting off I'll be very careful thinking that But for instance Monday Monday's action. You had a huge sell-off in the S&Ps Right, even from where we were early in the market 42 20 end of the day at about 45 41 60. Yeah Fixed income do the same exact thing on Monday. Okay. Now. Yes We are in a special time period where we have the Fed beginning their meeting right now But you had the tenure Trading from 125 20 down to 124 27 quite a pullback Over the Monday session. So you're losing on both fronts. Okay, not always the case usually Usually there's a hedge there, but things are very interesting in this market It's something to keep your eye on folks, especially if you're nearing retirement And you think you have a big hedge there because you could easily See that protection not last especially over this year as things reset a bit All right, let's jump around to some of the equities that we have moving Let me find where we're at and a lot of them talking about the airlines and Some of what we already talked about but some of the stocks are moving this morning as we slide this up here We covered all the airlines with their acceleration to higher prices Toyota and bouncing in additional price production cuts due to semiconductor shortages a few days after cutting its domestic production By as much as 20% production of 14,000 minivans will be impacted by the latest announcement Toyota though with the market's trading higher Moderna they are rallying after rising 11.9% Monday and guess why? Yeah, unfortunately COVID cases spiking already seen that we may be dealing with another spike in the US Probably we're gonna look a lot different than the Omicron spike Hopefully you got the China companies trade and hire Vimeo said February February revenue up 23% compared to a year ago Vimeo very similar to you to we use Vimeo for some of our Uploading and video storage video software company reported 8% increase in subscribers 13% jump in average revenue per user VM EO now. I'll say that we do use them and we do pay for that service Excuse me, but I'd be very careful this one folks because even as a somebody that pays for their service Not a huge differentiating factor using Vimeo. You have a few extra Controllable features in terms of embedding that video making that video private to certain URLs embedded a few more Possibilities in terms of control, but yeah, I would be very wary of that equity folks Vimeo down from 58 bucks when they go public May of last year It's been a one-way trip to lower prices and even on what looked like some decent numbers, right? There's your pop almost gonna give it back and be back to about 10 bucks for Vimeo shares Peloton they're up as Bernstein began coverage with an outperform rating noting Peloton's healthy underlying business new management in its recent Stock price plunge me folks. You got to be looking at some of these stocks. They've just gotten crushed Yes, you risk getting crushed if it trades lower, okay? But at some point you're dealing with just levels. I mean Peloton is a company valued at under $7 billion today At some point that becomes attractive for bigger players to purchase that company, okay? That's what originally got them the whole hysteria folks. I mean, it's funny how the market just forgets what happened, right? They had some Earnings here. Well, where was the acceleration on I think that was right around the same time in terms of maybe some potential suitors coming after them You spiked almost 40 bucks Was that the spike? Maybe it was a later spike that we saw that happen Could have been February 24th. I'll have to pull it up, but nonetheless we're far below those levels I mean somebody like an Amazon folks in Netflix, right? You add that to your repertoire to your subscriber base maybe you ramp it up if I was running a Subscription streaming service and my company was valued at hundreds of billions of dollars and I had Peloton trading at six billion dollars I would begin looking at it. I believe one of the other companies that Bernstein Talked about being attractive was Nike Because of the pullback from 180 to 120 man Nike does business in China though So you want to be careful there because of their risk there But you're back to 50% of the full move from $60 low to 180 on the high you train basically right at 120 Nike up about eight tenths percent One of the other companies that jumps out the pain just never stops man zoom you are getting a 2% pop But boy just remarkable the price levels you're back to now Roku is another one that I look at on a contextual basis You're down 2.7% Okay But again, you're talking about a company now valued at 13 billion dollars When you get into streaming and you think about the amount of money that these companies pay for content pay for reach Being able to control the entry the gateway to that streaming platform Operation in terms of Roku's in somebody houses Roku's are the backbones to many smart TVs as well Seems like your approach in levels folks that they would be pretty attractive for somebody to potentially scoop up even just a corner that business in terms of capitalizing off of the Reach that those companies have established themselves towards but man Just the pain doesn't stop with Roku down another 2.3% today Let's check in on some of the China stocks and see how they're reacting on the open Baba down another 5%. Let's put it on a daily. It's a gap away every single day It seems like remarkable that I find myself checking these China stocks now every day on the open because it's just so Fascinating the destruction. I mean you talk about a price level folks and look at this look at this channel I alright, we're gonna back it up a little bit further This is a daily it's a daily going back to October of 2020 pretty well defined Yeah, we have some outliers to the downside to the upside. Maybe that's not exactly parallel just drew this on the chart yesterday But even within this downward channel line, okay, maybe getting a little bit oversold on those and again I have no equities in these and I have no Positions I should say and I probably plan on none because yes Maybe you'll catch a bid but folks if I'm looking for a bid in a stock that's got destroyed like that Maybe I'm buying, you know Roku or zoom or Peloton or something like that that doesn't have the risk of being prone to geopolitical risk and being owned by Communist China Because yes, it might be a good investment, but what is the best investment for your money right now? There are a lot of great companies that have just been destroyed in the US Peloton is a viable business not at the multiples. They were at it 170. Okay But they probably are a viable business and they're a company that's valued at six billion dollars six change as of today Stay tuned folks. 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We get the S&Ps right now up 26 points We have the NASDAQ 100 up about 94 points right now and you jump over get the dial up 179 Jumping over to that crude market down $7 right now and 45 cents. That's a drop of about 7.2 percent And you jump to that gold market Continuing to hold the lows of about 1925 down about 35 bucks. We jump over to the VIX volatility index this morning 32 11 We'll finish it up with China another great article over here on Bloomberg not familiar Yeah, I was gonna say who wrote I didn't even know who wrote it They don't even have a headline. It's just Bloomberg news is how they put it here but one comment to take note of so against that backdrop and they list in terms of Chinese stocks sinking right you had foreign minister telling their Spanish counterpart Okay, the Beijing wanted to avoid further damage from the sanctions roiling the global markets China is not a party directly involved in the crisis and doesn't want to be affected by sanctions even more I said on my program yesterday folks, even if Xi has the same exact goal with Taiwan, which I'm sure he does All right in the best interest of his goal Would not be to to take the entire brunt of the world and what is being put on Putin I imagine he's gonna try a much more delicate act to avoid those sanctions And even if he's saving all of that, you know, even if he's saving the wrath of the world for when they Come into Taiwan. He doesn't want to bring the wrath of the world upon himself right now You're gonna see them try and anything can happen War can start from the smallest of ripples in the pond, right? But I agree with the premise of this article that you will try them You will try to see them attempt to at least straddle that Consistent with China's appeal to de-escalate the crisis Even as Beijing attempts to blame the US and they spread Russian conspiracy theories about Ukraine bio labs Along with Russian propagandists and Tucker Carlson, unfortunately on Fox News But I imagine that you're not gonna see China go full defense of Russia Because they don't need to It's that simple. There's there's too much baggage that comes with that support when they can just Fane some support and wait for their own time Stay tuned folks. We got a treat our man Basil Chapman's up next live programming all day at TFNN Have a great Tuesday everybody