 Not a ton of elite pitching options for tonight and daily fantasy baseball. I think there is probably one guy We can feel pretty good about as a consensus But beyond that it's pretty wishy-washy as far as who you want to race second for tonight on Fandall And I think that's a fun slate. It does allow you some creativity and where you want to go It allows you to kind of follow your instincts follow your gut But definitely does not make things easy on us for today We're dive in let you know who that top guy is let you know the contenders of the crown at number two for tonight And also talk about some stacks that could be good over on Fandall calm welcome on in to the solo shot That's right here on the Fandall podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim Saunas. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire You're gonna break down Wednesday's seven game main slate with locks up for 640 p.m Eastern for today again lock is at 640 p.m Eastern for tonight So get those lineups in early Before the early lock time for tonight The only weather note for this slate is that there is just one game with the temperature below 70 degrees That is in Seattle for the Yankees and the Mariners just 60 degrees there So I would downgrade batters in that game as a result of the weather there and that may play a decent role in How we view the pitchers for tonight's mute a couple of fine offenses in Seattle We'll dive in to the pitching preview and more in just one second But first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast our PGA DFS podcast for the memorial tournament went up yesterday That's with myself and Brandon Cadu la breaking down our top place for PGA DFS for this week and we're filled village Get that by subscribing and checking us out wherever you get your podcast just by searching for the number fire Daily fantasy podcast feed and if you like what you hear leave us a five-star rating as well Make a fast break to fan duel during the NBA playoffs because right now new customers getting no sweat first bet up to $1,000 that's $1,000 back in bonus bets if your first bet doesn't win There's no better place to bet all the playoff action than America's number one sports book fan duel official sports betting partner of the NBA Must be 21 plus and president select states first online real money wager only $10 pause are acquired Refund issued is non-letrable bonus bets that expire in 14 days We're strict as applies see terms at sportsbook dot fendal dot com Fendal is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas star casino LLC gambling problem Call 1 800 gambler or visit fendal dot com slash RG in Arizona 1 800 next step protects next step to 5 3 3 4 2 in Connecticut 1 8 8 8 7 8 9 777 7 or visit ccpg.org slash chat in Indiana 1809 with it in Wyoming in Kansas 105 2 2 4700 or in Kansas KS gambling health comm Louisiana's 1 8 7 7 7 7 7 0 stop in Massachusetts gambling helpline ma.org or call 800 3 2 7 5050 for 24 7 support in a Maryland and the gambling help that org in New York 1 8 7 7 8 Hope and wire text open why and in West Virginia go to 1 800 gambler net pitching preview for this Wednesday main slate Hunter Brown comes in with the highest salary on fendal his salary here is $10,500 fall by Aaron Nola at 99 James Paxton is for start off the IL 95 George Kirby coming in 92 Blake Snell 9000 with Louie Varland Braxton Garrett Luke weaver and Alec Minoa as the other guys at $8,000 or higher now of those guys There are some strikeout pitchers there for sure because Aaron Nola at his best can get strikeouts James Paxton That when he's healthy can get strikeouts Blake Snell in the past has but as far as projecting guys for tonight based on their form based on matchup venue Etc. Etc. It's only one guy to me who is like a standout high strikeout pitcher on this slate and that is Hunter Brown He's me my top pitcher for tonight. He's really kicked it up here recently. He was good to start to but Recently pretty lights out for Hunter Brown. I don't think it's fully fluky despite having some good matchups in that span I'm willing to buy into him here against the twins the twins are a high strikeout team 28% strikeout right against righties They've gotten key pieces back, but I would still expect them to be a high strikeout team Regardless and Brown has gotten a lot of those recently across his past three starts and strikeout totals are eight nine and ten and his high before then was eight and This spike in strikeouts for Brown has coincided with some changes in his arsenal in his first five starts He threw his foreseen fastball 31% of the time it's up to 46% in the past five starts and For a foreseen fastball, this is a very good strikeout pitch It has a 23% whiff rate according to baseball savants Which is actually pretty similar to his slider as far as how many whiffs it generates the curveball is still the best pitch in terms of like a Generating strikeouts and the users on the pitches remain pretty similar So I don't think going with more more foreseamers and fewer sliders is a bad thing for hunter Brown specifically Now the key caveat here is that two of those starts were against the a's and that's a bad offense But three were also on the road. He's now at home facing the twins I have Brown projected for seven point five strikeouts that is down from what he's been doing But it's also almost two strikeouts above everybody else on this slate So I'm not sure if this spike will stick for hunter Brown But he got a lot of strikeouts at triple a last year. I like his individual pitches So I think he is a good play for tonight of the options on tonight's late to me hunter Brown Is the one guy who I feel really firm in so Single entry cash games to me hunter hen or a hunter Brown is going to be your top guy for tonight I think the other two plays both should come from that Yankees Mariners game as weird as that may feel It's not just because of the weather Though the weather does definitely help the first is George Kirby here at 92 facing the Yankees and it's not a fun matchup They have a 112 WRC plus against righties with a 192 iso that I so is the best number on the slate But Kirby I think is better able to counter that than a lot of guys He does a fantastic job of suppressing hard contact We've seen Kirby throwing more curve balls his past seven starts in that time He's left just a 33 percent hard hit rates and he still got into trouble because he let up seven earned runs against the pirates at home last week But you know, he has a path to being dominant via all that hard contact suppression He went seven shutout innings against the Rangers he went seven innings against the Braves on the road and those are very good offenses and Both came since the switch to throwing more curve balls I don't really want to go here to be honest. It's kind of by default with a lot of elimination of other guys But I do think that it is the right move for this specific slate Kirby is not really a high-strike out guy But I still have him projected for the third most strikeouts for tonight Because he goes deep in games and doesn't mess around with his pitches a lot of the guys aren't gonna check those boxes So I'm fine with with Kirby at 92 not enthusiastic here Which is why I feel really good about Brown is like a guy go to in both cash games and tournaments, but Kirby to me would be the number two option in 92. We'll talk about Aaron Nola in things to watch as well Other side of that game is Clark Schmidt at $7,700. I was on him last week and he was fine Just let up one earn run, but also had just four strikeouts So that start is not why I'm back on Schmidt for tonight I'm here because not many guys on this slate can get strikeouts Frankly, they're limited either by their stuff or by their pitch count Like if you look at the guys with talent on the slate beyond Nola and beyond Kirby and beyond Brown I would say Braxton Garrett's probably next up the most talented value play But the Marlins don't let him go super deep into games James Paxson not a value, but Even as far as a guy at 95 we saw him really struggle last week against the Angels so Sort of by process of elimination. We wind up on Schmidt here at 77 It does help that he's getting strikeouts though across the full year Schmidt has a 25% strikeout rate and that carries more juice Now that the Yankees are letting him go deeper in games so a 25% strike area means more on 92 projected pitches than it does at 85 the Mariners offense is a very good offense I like them a lot, but they will definitely strike out 25% strikeout right against righty so far this year Schmidt has a lot of issues with hard contact Which means he could get rocked here and it shouldn't be a surprise if that does happen But he has upside for $7700 in the slate where there's not a lot of depth beyond Brown So I think that's good enough to justify him at this hour. You could save the salary go down try to get upside via batter I think that's actually okay approach for tonight. So even though I'm not enthusiastic about Kirby or Schmidt I think their salaries help. I think that the ambiguity in the slate helps so to me They're gonna slot in behind Hunter Brown and again We'll talk more about Aaron no later on and dissect what to do with him Before that though, let's talk about some stacks for tonight's late Julio Tehran's first start for the Brewers went pretty well for him He lasted five innings and allowed just one and run and got a good number of strikeouts, too But just a one-start sample here So I'm gonna be back on him stacking against him tonight with the Toronto Blue Jays in that game for Tehran His swing and striker was 8.4 percent, which means the strikeouts were largely dependent on strikes looking Which can happen There are a lot of guys who are deceptive who can get a lot of movement get a lot of strikes looking but that's not the most typical path To getting a lot of strikeouts Tehran also led up a 57% fly ball right in that game Did a decent job of suppressing hard contact, but again, it was in his small sample So I didn't see enough in that game to be out on stacking against him The older data Tehran last time he's in the majors says we should stack against him the minor league data from this year says we should too So I think we should still be here the Jays 114 WRC plus against righties 166 ISO they're okay. They're not great But I think they're good enough and I will be high on them for tonight now Brandon belt left last night's game with a stomach bug it sounds like so not sure if it plays but Slowly interested in buying back in on him He has just to him run so far this year, which is not ideal But I think he's getting better his barrel rate in May is 13.5 percent. His hard hit rate is 43 percent It has not translated to power yet because his ISO is 141, but he's sitting forth now against righties I think it should click eventually and You know, he's striking out a lot still is not what he used to be by any means so if he plays I will be okay being on branded belt But no guarantee he does based on the stomach bug based on that's based on performance honestly, too so I'll be there if I can but I Think it's it's better than it looks at first glance least with Brandon belt Second stack is gonna be Arizona facing D Nelson Lumet coming out the IL for the Rockies He'll be doing so as a starter Which is kind of intriguing because I liked Lumet back in the day with the Padres But he struggled as a reliever both last year and this year So it's hard to expect that to improve as he stretches out and moves in the rotation Against Arizona tonight. I think that we should be stacking against him Lumet had a small sample this year his ERA Expected ERA should say was 5.03 last year as reliever His expected ERA was 4.53 now in his rehab starts done in triple a while he was stretching out He did look pretty good let up just one earned run across ten and two-thirds innings Got a lot of ground balls got a lot of widths Which is what he did as a starter previously and there is some risk he could carry that into his Return to the majors and Lumet was likely a reliever more so due to injury risk than performance I kind of think so this is not a lock by any means I still hold out some hope for him kind of you know, it's like a fan of his in the past But no stacks or locks. So and the struggle struggles that Lumet had as a reliever Don't just go away. Those do still matter So I am gonna stack Arizona here and I think that's the right move in this specific situation But in this stack, I'm really kind of shocked by what Lourdes Gouriel is doing I never used to be someone who is super high in Gouriel either against righties or lefties Facing a rightie for tonight, but against righties this year He's a 315 ISO gone on this big power binge recently and That's a number isolated slugging that tends to stabilize pretty quickly But the actual Woba for Gouriel is 397 his expected Woba is 356 with an 8.6 percent barrel rate So he's still expected to be good, but probably not as scorching hot as he has been So if you're looking at prioritizations within the diamondback stack, I would say Corbin Carroll needs to be number one Buy a significant margin I want the two sources of upside that you get via Carol versus Gouriel is not gonna run a whole lot in the sale The salaries are there exact same on both these guys Carol set 35 So like if you got 35 laying around give me Corbin Carroll every time Gouriel definitely a part of stacks But as far as like the ranking within those stacks Corbin Carroll for me is in a tier of his own When stacking this team can tell Marta also seems to be picking things up the two more willing to run than Gouriel So I might actually go Marta above Gouriel also Finally Carlos Carrasco really nice start last time out six and two-thirds innings just one earn run aloud but that came at Wrigley with the wins howling in pretty heavily and The starts before that were less encouraging. So I'm okay Stacking the Phillies against him tonight the start before that Wrigley win one for Carrasco was His first off the IL you went five innings there and allowed five earned runs Well two barrels in that game with a 38 percent hard hit rate Looking at that game against the Cubs at Wrigley didn't get a lot of whists in that game His swinging strike rate was 9% so he wasn't overwhelming By any means despite the good results. I'm not sure how much his injury impacted things before He went on the IL but for the full season Carrasco has a 5.73 expected ERA. He has a 5.69 skill interactive ERA Carrasco was solid last year, but definitely not dominant now Coming off an injury a year older I think it's okay to expect him to take a step back a bit overall The Phillies offense slowly inching up here the team he's facing for tonight Philadelphia Phillies They're WRC plus against righties up to 107 they draw a lot of walks And I think they'll be a good test for him. So the Phillies I think great out pretty well for stacking and they'll be my number three tonight behind The Diamondbacks and the Blue Jays Carrasco pretty interesting platoon splits He has a lower ground ball rate or allowed a lower ground ball right against righties last year than lefties Which led to a higher Wobba against him and it's similar to small sample this year I'm still gonna prefer Cal Bryce Harper and Cal Schwerber But it does help for guys like necasillados JT Real Muto Trey Turner relative to where they would be against righties and for real Muto and Turner It's been pretty rough recently, but salaries low. They do still steal bases So I'm still on those guys for sure despite how things have gone this year And I think they get a better Great out against to this righty and they do against a lot of righties Let's stick with that same game and go down to things to watch talk about era Nola I do think you could consider him over George Kirby. I can't get there over Hunter Brown personally because Nola has been in a funk all year. It hasn't really Had a click yet, but it's been better recently. The past two starts. He has 17 strikeouts But he's going on the road now to face the Mets. They are a low strikeout team So if Nola goes like six innings and get six strikeouts for tonight I could see myself being pretty heavy on him next time out because this is a such a tough spot But I'm not quite there yet. So still monitoring Nola Want to be here eventually do like him a lot and he goes super deep in games But want to see a bit more and get a better matchup before I fully commit to being back on him Personally the Red Sox are facing Luke Weaver tonight and they have the highest implied total on the Slate Weaver's era this year is 5.45. So you understand why the the implied total is high It's a good park factor warmer in Boston than it's been most of this year, too But I do think that Weaver's better than his results He's doing a really good job of suppressing hard contact and I don't like stacking against guys who do that We did see the Reds bullpen implode last night. I think they're better than that personally So I'm really lower on the Red Sox than most people are for tonight hoping that makes me a bit different because I just think there are a couple paths of failure here because Weaver Does get does get us a lot of weak contact the bullpen not as bad as it looked last night So I'll be okay being a bit lower on the Red Sox and most for tonight Find the Rockies are facing Tommy Henry in that limit game at in Phoenix Not a lot of guys you want to ease in the Rockies, but I think one officer viable here because Henry's peripherals are rough Maybe you can get to like a three-player stack via guys like Randall Gritschik Chris Bryant potentially Brenton Doyle, I think you could get you three or four righties on this team But their overall numbers against lefties so rough with the 66 WRC plus that I don't want to go too crazy So Rockies a consideration primarily though for one offs more so Man for a full stack. Let's finish up here. The Dinger calls for today. The boring one Kyle Schwerber I used Bryce Harper last week. I feel bad using him two weeks in a row So we'll go to Schwerber instead 13 home runs so far this year facing Carrasco I think it's good spot for Schwerber Schwerber is our first Dinger call for today. The fun one Let's go back to the Rockies. They're in Arizona very warm. Roof would be open for tonight So Brenton Doyle There's shown a good a bit good bit of power both in the minors and the majors can swipe back So if he doesn't hit the uh, doesn't hit the home run part of this Maybe we can still get there for DFS via stolen base or something like that. So let's go Brenton Doyle Salary $2,800 on fan duel. I don't think that's too bad. So our Dinger calls for today Kyle Schwerber and Brenton Doyle That's all we got here for today on the solo shot though again Make sure to check out our PGA DFS podcast breaking down the memorial tournament get that by subscribing Wherever you get your podcast if you like what you hear leave us a five star rating Also, don't forget the solo shot goes up daily over on the fan duel youtube page Leave us a thumbs up there if you are watching there We appreciate all of you as always and don't forget to subscribe to the fan duel youtube page for all the other great content over there If you've got any questions for me. I'm on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s You can also follow the fan duel podcast network at fan duel podcast want to thank you all for tuning in for today Good luck to you with your mlb DFS lineups for tonight We'll talk to you once again tomorrow to break down thursday slate This has been the solo shot right here on the fan duel podcast network