 What's going on and welcome to the solo shot? My name is Tom Vecchio. We have a 13 game MLB slate tonight lock is set for 705 as always this is one of the mini shows on the Fandall podcast network You can find that anywhere whether it's Apple podcast whether it's Spotify You name it you can find the video version on the Fandall YouTube page You can find it on Fandall TV plus and find it on Fandall comm slash watch Make sure to give it a like follow or subscribe I believe review that be greatly appreciated and you can follow me on Twitter at Tom underscore Vecchio 1 Before we happen to things get ready for the NFL season with incredible offers from Fandall America's number one sports book Right now new customers can bet $5 and get 200 in bonus bets guaranteed plus all customers who bet $5 We'll get $100 off NFL Sunday ticket from YouTube and YouTube TV now is the best time to join Fandall The app is easy to use and you can bet on everything from spreads to player props and more Fandall official partner of the NFL Must be 21 plus and present in select states Fandall is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under the agreement with Kansas our casino LLC First online real money wager only $10 first deposit required Bonus issued as non withdrawable bonus bets that expire seven days after steep Seven days after receipt restrictions apply C terms at sportsbook. 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I will say as I mentioned yesterday. We're starting to see some cooler temperatures Come through a number of cities for example the New York Mets Gonna be in the mid to upper 60s tonight We're gonna see some wind blowing in at about 10 to 15 miles per hour We already know that city field is a solid pitchers Park. This is just an even further boost to pitchers Cleveland another cooler game in the 60s I will say Kansas City should be around 80 which is actually one of the warmer spots So kind of keep that in mind and of course we do have course field on tonight's slate Let's get to pitching and with 13 games. We have a number of different options We can be considered and we are loaded when it comes to pitchers today Justin Steele for the Chicago Cubs leads things off at $11,000 Jose Barrios from the Blue Jays at 10.5 Zac Eflin from Tampa is at 10.3 Aaron Nola from Philly at 10.2 Tarik Scoobal at 9.8 from Detroit George Kirby from Seattle at 9.5 Seth Lugo from San Diego at 9.5 Logan Webb From San Francisco at 9.5 John Gray from Texas at 9.3 Bobby Miller from the Dodgers at 9.1 and Griffin canning From the Angels at 9,000 There are a number of options that are 9,000 above of course a few good options that are below 9,000 One of which we will get to but let's start off off up at the top with Justin Steele One of the favorites when the NL Cy Young and he has been down right Fantastic this season. He has gone 16 straight starts allowing three earned runs or fewer the last time here allowed more than three earned runs Was May 26th May 26th was the last time he allowed more than three three and runs It was five earned runs against Cincinnati and 3.2 in his pitch since then he's allowed three earned runs or fewer in every single start He's not a massive strikeout pitcher. He only comes only 24.5 percent strikeout rate this season Which is slightly above the league average It's just not as high as we see some from some other pitchers on tonight's like he has a very low 5.1% walk rate allowing 0.62 home runs per nine He has an awesome 3.65 skill interactive Sierra and not a surprise He's a majority ground ball medium contact pitcher 48.7 percent ground ball rate and a 55.2 percent medium contact rate He does make some hitters swing and miss just a little bit 11.6 percent swinging strike rate, which is good to see again. He's not a massive Strikeout pitcher, but he can he can get there in terms of you know six innings seven innings about six strikeouts But he's really gonna be able to limit the damage just based on what he's doing with his pitching profile And that's keeping the ball down and that is keeping the ball You know in terms of limiting the hard contact and you know, he should be able to do that tonight's matchup against Arizona is rather Interesting because Arizona they don't strike out a whole lot With their current active roster versus left-handed pitching we look to the Diamondbacks and they're actually really really disciplined at the plate Which is a bit of a surprise they come in with an 18.8% strike area with their current active roster versus lefties Which is the fifth lowest in the league now We have seen their offense regressed a little bit compared to where it was earlier in the season They now only come in with a 102 WRC plus versus lefties, which is 17th in the league So they were you know an awesome offense earlier in the season now. They're a good offense They also come in with a 163 team ISO versus lefties, which is 16th in the league So they're basically a league average offense. Yeah, they don't strike out a whole lot But they're really not posing too much of a danger So yes, this isn't a big-time strikeout matchup where Justin Steele is gonna go for 12 strikeouts as he did a couple starts ago But this is a matchup given the power from or the lack of power from Arizona that he really should be able to do his thing Which is go what was it 16th straight starts now go a 17th straight start while allowing three earned runs or fewer gets that QS Hopefully pick up the win points, which would be great to see, you know, we don't want to bank on those But 11,000 for Justin Steele QS points 5 6 strikeouts go 6 or 7 innings limit the damage to just the extreme Which he's been amazing at doing He kind of pile up the fantasy points that way So Justin Steele is absolutely awesome Barrios, I think is a good option tonight. Certainly not great Don't love the match of going up against Boston. Zac Eflin is a good option Not great. Don't love the matchup going up against Baltimore. If I had to choose between them I'd probably go with Zac Eflin. Aronola, I think we could certainly be going to just based on his overall skill set going up against the The Cardinals, I think that's a fine spot to go. But really A screwball here at 9.8 for the Tigers This is the picture that I want to be focusing on Obviously, he started the year late dealing with some injuries. He came back. He's looked really good Now, it's not to say he's been perfect Obviously, there's some starts here or there where he hasn't looked great He's given up some home runs giving up some earned runs here there But man the strikeouts are what are front and center for screwball this season and this match up against The Angels, I think is one that we want to be kind of focusing in on Obviously the Angels still know Atani still no trout. This is a line of that We should be willing to attack a 30.2% strikeout rate for screwball this season and a 5.2% walk rate again It's only 62.1 innings pitch because he is dealing with a bit of a smaller sample size But man, this is pretty darn good from him. He's also allowing 0.43 home runs per 9 57% medium contact rate and a 53.8% ground ball rate So really really good stuff from him and the strikeout upside is absolutely what we love to see Listen, he's 9800 which is noticeably less compared to steel and school balls up any 30% strikeout rate Compared to Justin Steele. Who's at 24 and a half? So this is I think a player that a pitcher with screwball that a lot of people will be looking to based on Also the match up at the Angels right now with their current active roster versus lefties coming with a 23.6% strikeout rate Which is the 10th worst in the league. So it's absolutely a better strikeout matchup Going up against the Angels compared to steel going up against the The Diamondbacks so just from a salary perspective screwball is rather interesting tonight And does have a good matchup going up against the Angels now on the other side of that matchup Is Griffin canning for the Angels and another bit of salary relief He is 9,000 Griffin canning this season comes over the 26% strikeout rate 6.5% walk rate He's allowing 1.55 home runs per nine, which we don't like to see 37% 37.7% hard contact rate is right on the edge of kind of being bad and a 37.6% fly ball rate Also kind of right on the edge of something that we don't like to see but you know This is a matchup against the Tigers and this is something that we should be interested in they come in The 24.6% strikeout rate with their current active roster versus righties, which is tied for the fifth worst in a league They also come in with an 85 WRC plus, which is 29th in the league and a 142 team iso, which is 28th in the league So this is a very very favorable matchup for Griffin canning in terms of the lack of power from Detroit Combined with some decent strikeout upside or I'm gonna say above decent strikeout upside at 9k So there are again a variety of options at pitcher that we can be going to Steel, you know, we can make the case that between him Efflin and Nola are probably the best pitchers on tonight's slate. I will say given steals higher salary Also combined the fact that we have course field on tonight's side And we shouldn't have any weather issues at course field, you know after last night Just the the the strikeout differential between screwball, you know pushing 31% and steel who again is good And he's been awesome in real life, you know, that fantasy upside really comes from strikeouts And I think we're gonna be getting that from screwball tonight. So while I think Justin steals an awesome pitcher I'm not sure if I'm gonna be putting him number one You know, we can make the case that that Efflin or Nola with their strikeout upside who are just a little bit less expensive compared to Steel they are maybe better options You know going up against compared to Justin steel given their matchups I think we also need to be considering hunter green at 8700 And I like his matchup going up against the Mets hunter green is a pitcher that has shown Just tremendous strikeout upside, uh, you know, where it was this season where there was last season He obviously missed a bunch of time this year due to an injury. He only is 91.1 innings pitch this year But he has a 30.2 strikeout rate, which is absolutely no joke And that's where it was last year in 2022 when he had when he had a 30.9 strikeout rate in 125.2 winning So this is not a fluke from him this season. This is the level we should be expect now the issue for hunter green Is that he has a 10.8 walk rate and he's allowing 1.38 home runs per nine That's not good. He does have a 3.92 cr which is good to see and a 46.8 fly ball rate. We don't love to see So this is kind of always been the issue for hunter green when he gets those strikeouts going He's racking them up left and right and he's gonna have, you know, eight strikeouts nine strikeouts and five innings But there's also the downside of the walk rate getting him into trouble And then a home run here another walk a single home run, whatever it might be So at his salary, I absolutely love hunter green tonight But I'm willing to go to him strictly and tournaments just due to the variable You know risk essentially that comes in the wider range of outcomes that comes with hunter green I think he's got tremendous talent and I'll certainly look to him In some spots tonight again, we've course fueled on tonight's late And we want to be getting as much salary relief as we possibly can hunter green is probably a picture that brings that So when it comes to actually ranking the pitchers on tonight's slate It's easy to put just in steel number one and you can make the case for him again You make case for efflin no law I think it's fine to put just in steel if you're going to be locking in Just a high level of consistency You want to go with one lineup tonight steel certainly the way to go about that But I really really like screwball tonight at 9800 and we can put them 1a And we put just in steel 1b whatever it might be you want to mix in some efflin some no law Some shares of those pitchers if you're rolling out multiple lineups, that's great I still think griffon canning is also in a great spot tonight And then hunter green it couldn't certainly be rolling with some shares of him at 8700 that strikeout rate Is something that we absolutely love to see and as I mentioned at city fueled tonight for the mess The reds visiting the mess it's a bit cooler and we have wind blowing in So maybe that is something that will only play to the benefit of hunter green who again is struggling with a few fly balls here or there But if that wind is blowing in could be a benefit to him tonight So certainly liking all of that. Let's get to some stacks on tonight's slate again We have coarse field on tonight's slate. We do have the Dodgers on tonight's slate. They are on the road They were taken on Seattle It's not necessarily the easiest matchup for them For Seattle, George Kirby is certainly a solid pitcher for Seattle So if you want to go to the Dodgers, that's certainly fine. No graves on tonight's slate They were playing one of the earlier 6 6 30 games, whatever it is. They're in miami So no graves on tonight's slate Dodgers on the road in Seattle and then we have coarse field So absolutely go to coarse field tonight Logan Webb certainly a solid pitcher for the Giants But man chase Anderson is not a good pitcher for Colorado, so I'll be looking on both sides of this massive Obviously leaning slightly towards san francisco Just because they're just in a bit of an easier match up going up against chase Anderson chase Anderson So we're starting off in coarse field. We know all of that. Where else can we be looking outside of coarse field? Let's start in kansas city where zack rinky is on the mound for the royals as I mentioned Kansas city is actually one of the spots where it's a little bit warmer It's going to be around eight degrees, which is Obviously very modest, but it's actually on the higher end of games tonight We look to zack grinky this season 1.78 home runs per nine allowed He's got a 15.8 percent strikeout rate, which is obviously very very low 3.6 percent walk rate. I guess that's good But you know when we're giving up that many home runs, it's really not too great a 4.59 skill interactive ERA and a 300 babith, which is batting average of balls in play Grinky is not a pitcher. We need to be worried about on the mound He's not overly or he's not I'm not gonna say overly dominant. He's not dominant in any capacity with a lower strikeout rate Really not making hitters swing and miss. I don't think he can necessarily pitch himself out of trouble You know, it's a little bit different if a pitcher has a 30 strikeout rate He allows a walk or two he can kind of shut down the next two or three hitters With that strikeout rate with his skill in the mound, which is something that grinky doesn't necessarily have so Yes, we want to be looking to houston in what i'm going to say is one of the better hitting environments on tonight's again due to the weather Now they are expensive. This is no surprise. Jose Altuve. You're Don Alvarez, Kyle Tucker, Chas McCormick And Alex Braggman. They are all 3,500 and above if I had to choose any of these hitters, you know Regardless of salary, I would love to get to Alvarez Jose Altuve and Alex Braggman. They all come in with WRC plus is sitting at 183 168 and 142 respectively for those hitters, of course, don't forget about Kyle Tucker He's got a 126 WRC plus and a 197 ISO We want to be going to these players each and every time that we can it only comes down to the salary That we have available. I don't necessarily want to be going to Michael Brantley, Jose Abreu Jeremy Pena, I would I really want to avoid that if I can so due to their more expensive salaries for these players This is where Hunter Green at 8700 Griffin canning and 9000 This is where they come into the mix because you know, we need a little bit sour leaf If you were to lock in Justin Steele into your lineup You're immediately left with an average remaining per player of $3,000 Which is tough to get to when there's Multiple hitters on Houston that are 3,500 and above. So this is where that sour leaf from some of the pitchers Really does come into play So Houston absolutely leading things off as a great spot. They also come with a 5.43 implied run total tonight Which is fantastic. So we have a clear stack there Stack course field. I also think we should be considering the Milwaukee Brewers tonight. They are at home They're going up against Jake Irving of Irvin of the Washington Nationals Pitcher in his first year in the major league She's got a decent sample size 113.2 innings pitched 1.43 homeruns per nine allowed. He's got an 18.7 strikeout rate, which is lower than a league average 9.4 percent walk rate, which is higher than the league average It comes with a 5.00 Sierra 41.1 percent fly ball rate in the 36.5 percent Hard contact rate allowed this season and surprise surprise. He's not making hitters swinging miss at the plate at all He has a 7 percent swing strike rate, which is extremely low. Now when it comes to the brewers, the only note would be Christian Yellich is expected to be back in the lineup tonight. He's missed about a week at this point. That is not yet confirmed If Yellich is not in the lineup, I don't necessarily think it's that much of an issue Yellich is 3400 and he's their most expensive hitter Contreras at 32 is their next most expensive hitter and then Adamus at 31 Santana at 3000 So if Yellich isn't in the lineup, it's actually not that bad because we still have some viable options And they're not super super expensive. Also Mark Hanna at 2700 has been dealing. I think it's a wrist thing He's dealing with he's missed a game or two in a row now So there's a few injury notes from Milwaukee. They're absolutely in a great spot This could open some things up when it comes to value in the rest of their lineup If Yellich plays, I absolutely want him, you know as one of the top options But Contreras, Adamus, Santana are all great options and are really affordable at 32 31 and 3000 So don't forget about Milwaukee tonight. They are coming with a 4.58 implied run total, which is certainly very very solid So I think they're kind of one of those key teams that hey, we need a bit of solid relief We want to pay for a pitch and we want to pay for course field the Brewers kind of bring a bit of that sour relief So as I said, like I'm not sure if it even matters if Yellich is in the lineup Well, of course their lineup would be better if he's in there But in terms of the players we might want to be targeting might have to skip over Yellich Just because we need some extra salary relief I also think we should be considering the Texas Rangers tonight. They are just apparently on fire right now After the sweep against the Blue Jays over was a three game series four game series, whatever it was They're going up against Lucas Geolito of the now Cleveland Guardians He's obviously been with a number of different teams this season He's just not having a good year 1.98 homeruns per nine allowed 25.3 strike rate, which is certainly solid. It's where it's been for him really over the past few seasons 8.6 percent Walk rate this year for Geolito His babbath is slightly below the league average at 273. It's certainly fine But man the fly balls continue to be an issue for Geolito up at 45 0.8 percent and with a lineup with the Rangers and the power that they have and certainly Or seemingly turning things to a new level after a bit of a slow July and August Their team we should absolutely be targeting tonight. Now. I did mention it is a little bit cooler in Cleveland tonight So if you want to put texas like a half a step behind some of these other teams due to I know the weather factors and whatever might be that's certainly fine But I have a lot of interest in texas tonight just based on their potential homerun upside Mitch garver left last night's game early Weather he's in tonight's lineup. He's yet to be seen obviously getting up to Corey seager Marcus simian. These are the two players. We actually want to be starting things off with when it comes to the Rangers Surprise surprise immense power immense consistency from both of these players a 201 wrc plus from Corey seager this year along with a 363 iso Is absolutely unbelievable now if Mitch garver plays we want him in our lineup. So they 303 iso in this split versus righties We Marcus simian can also look to the 210 iso and a 125 wrc plus These are all players we want to be getting into our lounge and it ultimately comes down to the salaries That we have available because seager is 4400 simian is 4,000 Mitch garver is 35. Nate low is 31 Yonaheim could be behind the plate if garver is out and he's 2900. So he's actually a player I'd be looking to pretty heavily tonight Just based on his salary relief and of course the match up going up against lucas geolito So we have some really good options for hitting tonight again course field. I'm interested in the texas rangers certainly want to be going to Them tonight want to be going to houston as well. I like mil walkie for a bit of salary relief Let's go to the homerun calls to kind of close things out The easy answer for tonight would be your don alvarez for the houston ashros going up against zack grinky obviously just immense power from alvarez and really any matchup and especially Going up against zack grinky who is struggling in a big way versus both lefties and righties this year But specifically versus lefties and then a bit of a longer shot going to mil walkie Again and going to be going to carlos santana for the brewers at $3,000 nights I like the power that he has Jake urban is not a picture that i'm worried about on the mounds. I think the power is clear there for some of the brewers hitters tonight All right, so that does it for today's podcast is always being found on spotify and apple podcast Make sure to give it a like follow or subscribe You can find the video version on the fandal youtube page on fandal tv plus and fandal.com slash watch you can Follow me on twitter at tom underscore vecchio one until next time. Good luck in your contest You