 The following is a presentation of TFNN Trade what you see With Larry Pezzavento All now toll-free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618 Now Larry Pezzavento Okay, looking good Billy Ray feeling good Lewis We're going to take a look at the German Dax and also the London footsie Both of those I've posted in the room so you can take a look at what's happening over there There's strong markets just like ours They just keep going up and someday they may come down, but maybe not in my lifetime Well folks, I've been asked to talk about some personal things from two emails So one was have I ever been involved with a Protest like what's going on now and the answer to that is yes. It was 1967 when the Vietnam War was going on I felt very very strongly that we who shouldn't be there for a lot of reasons I I can't I couldn't go into the service because I could during wartime, but I'm totally deaf in my left ear So I was classified 4f, but my three cousins lost their lives over there one they two of them were Second lieutenants in the In the army and the other one was in the Marines they they didn't last very long and Was very sad about that. I did do some protesting and I marched in the street, you know, I didn't we never did anything wrong We just marched, you know, they didn't do that kind of stuff back in those days And the only reason that I did it was because Muhammad Ali a caches clay who I've had to follow his career We were happened to be the same age and so I watched him You know be a boxer and all the stuff that he had done and he lived in Louisville. I lived in tarot That's about a hundred miles hundred ten miles away So I sort of followed his career and he is I met him twice at both times in Las Vegas and What a what a nice fellow he is He's just as charismatic as you could possibly be if you ever get a chance go on to YouTube and listen to some of his talks he was incredibly smart and You know, he was really strongly against the war and I had to say that yes I had to I didn't do it. We just protested because you know He had all these people eight thousand miles away that were dying lost 46,000 Americans folks over those years and actually we lost the war we you know North North Vietnam took over everything and now it's a huge thriving country. So those wars don't do very good So that was my experience with being a protester Never, you know never involved with burning a flag I would never do anything like that but that was it the second question is how did I meet Sarah? Well, I Was on a plane in October of 19. Excuse me of 2006. I had just finished 10 years. That was my last speech in China I've been going there since 1996 And I was giving and was there three times a year giving speeches at all the you know, the 11 or 12 major Universities there made a lot of nice friends You know presidents of the college and stuff like that, which was really a lot of fun But I was on my way home and I had stopped in Hong Kong to visit Mark hold on one second here. I've lost just one second here. I want to see Okay, let's get on to the next thing. I want to be anyway, that's I met our met on an airplane. That was basically it, okay? the All right, let's move on to the next one here. All right, let's talk about natural gas folks We've been watching this for quite some time. This is held up relatively. Well, we are now up We'll get up here. You'll be able to see here that this is where we are We've had that one three five pattern that we talked about over the last three days Where it's now up about six bucks. So if you're in that, you know, make sure you don't lose So put your stop it, you know, say one seventy seven and pray for the best because you're in a risk-free situation And that's a that's really a good situation to be in Alright now we'll move on to the next one that we want to talk about and that is the gold market folks We've been negative on gold for a while here mainly because of the price action and that's what we look at We don't look at any fundamentals. I want to reiterate what we have here in the Hold on and this is the seasonality chart we got from our good friend Bill meridian and you notice the seasonalities for June and July are about as bad as it gets It's a third third worst time of the year and with the pattern of the double tops and everything You know, that's really not a very good sign And that was one of the reasons why we're looking at the secondary reason of course was the fact that you know If you take just took a look at the silver chart, you know It was screaming that you know, there could be a big double top up here We'll get this up here and we'll just draw it in and you'll notice here Those of you that have been watching is we went there. We took out we matched those highs from December, February We took it out by a penny. Gee. That's not a very bullish breakout. Is it now? We've dropped a better We hit 98 1898 and we've dropped over a dollar an ounce So that tells us that the market is you know looking relatively relatively shaky So that's one of the reasons why we were looking at in the gold market, of course You know, we'll pull this up and take a look at it, but we were watching the gold at the 786 level up there and it broke pretty good We've now we've come all the way down to 1709 last night folks. Well, that's not a good sign So we'll see whether that that happens at all. So anyway, I will move that on the second Okay, let's move on here to the next one and then I wanted to bring to your attention Just give me one second. I've got to get it up here. Where is it? Oh, this is the gold right here I just wanted to show you here folks because this is something that we sent out We sent these out last night about 9 o'clock at night You'll notice here We had this three drive to a bottom pattern and you know one thing we alerted is that you know be really careful here Because if this breaks this, you know, we're going lower, which we thought we were going to do but that did rally a little bit it rallied from 25 all the way up to 37 and then of course it had a you know Really big break to the downside and that was one of the things that we were looking at now And let's just say where we are now. I'm just going to walk you through this just for the heck of it This is where we are now You see the three drive to a bottom pattern there on June 3rd You see the nice rally up to the 382 at 1737 and now we've broken down here to the downside and so that's where we are now We've come down a total a total of 60 bucks $62 from the high which we know is two times the harmonic number in gold So we should be looking at something interesting. So just for kicks and giggles I posted something We're going to take a look at this it may or may not work But all you have to do is defy human nature do the work yourself But at 945 keep an eye on the gold because if it's making a low down there And if it is then you've got a chance for a very very low risk buy if in fact, that's the way The way that it works, so we'll see whether that happens or not Okay, anything else that we have any questions that you have it's 877-927-6648 and we do have Arch Crawford is our guest today. So that's very important folks We also have this lunar eclipse coming in It's the red moon and they call it the strawberry moon or the red moon coming in on Friday Tim Bost will be our guest that day and next week now we're going to have Bill Chapman as our guest and Most probably we'll have Norman Winsky as our guest also So we'll have some people coming in Stan Harley will be with us again And we certainly want to talk to Bill Meridian one more time And then I have someone else that I've been trying to get on the on the horn for quite a while And that's Larry Williams. He doesn't like to get up that early anymore, but that we'll try to do that and we get back I want to talk about the U.S. Dollar 877-927-6648 If you're not currently using the Taz profile scanner when looking at setting up your trading opportunities Then your arsenal is short a mighty weapon The Taz profile scanner is a standalone piece of software that instantly filters over 2,500 global financial markets such as stocks ETFs commodity futures and forex headed by Steve doll Taz Understands that in today's technological world the use of top-flight software applications and technical analysis Expertise is essential to successful trading in today's market You also gain access to the webinar that Steve doll and Tom O'Brien just hosted the best way to use the Taz profile Scanner to profit this webinar archive is available for all subscribers Immediately upon signing up all new subscriptions also come with a 30-day money-back guarantee So you have nothing to risk start your subscription by visiting the front page of tfnn.com today And you'll find the Taz profile scanner under the services tab sign up today Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay area including the surrounding st. Petersburg Tampa and Clearwater markets tiger real estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay area whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value Or you're in the market for a second home or investment property Tiger Realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the Tampa Bay area to help buyers and sellers make the most Informed decisions across all price levels from the price You should be paying per square foot in certain up-and-coming areas to the type of cash flow investment properties are Capable of creating tiger real estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market before you make One of the biggest decisions of your financial future call tiger real estate LLC today at 727-329-8322 Or email us at tiger at tfnn.com that's 727-329-8322 Call us today Many of our new listeners have heard about the Tigers dead The Tigers dead is a lively community where professional traders and investors can meet exchange ideas and information in a comfortable moderated atmosphere Hear all of the TFNN shows plus see all the charts as they happen live and have access to archives of all of those charts You can test drive the Tigers dead absolutely free for 30 days and greatly enrich your knowledge of these markets And how to make your money work for you details on the Tigers dead or on the front page of TFNN.com TFNN has launched our brand new website You can still visit us at the same TFNN.com URL But when you do you'll see a new and improved homepage with a much simpler navigation Whether you're watching Tiger TV live in high definition or just accessing your newsletter subscriptions We even have new pricing in six months and yearly options Check out the new TFNN.com now and experience all the upgrades TFNN.com educating investors Well now toll-free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618 Okay, folks, I posted the chart of the crude oil. This is something we've been watching for quite some time. We tried it yesterday We lost about 80 pips on it the first time and then last night as you can see We completed the really nice three drive to a pot Three drive to a top pattern 1.618 expansion and it's broken two dollars Barrel so far. So that's working in our favor. We'll get back to that gold In just a second because we've broken down making new lows now at 1706 There should be some magical numbers down there around even they usually are at around 1699 or something But we'll keep a close eye on that Tucker asks a question is Do I use trend on the on the natural gas? What do I look for as a trend change? I Really don't look at it that way Tucker. Basically. I look at the patterns. I'm not so much worried about the trend I know one thing is that once the market moves Beyond the 78% level in this case, it would be above I believe 198 that would tell us that this market has definitely changed trends, but the trend does not Affect me very much and I'll tell you why I look at the patterns I really don't care, you know what the trend is all I'm looking at is where the entry could be because these patterns that we look at Have three things going for them. I'll repeat it again one. They are predictable within limits Usually around 70% the second thing is they repeat Over and over and over again Okay, and they do it on a very very regular basis and the third thing They are predictable within limits and those are the three things that Andrew Lowe talked about in his book The non-random walk down Wall Street, which was written basically is on Arches birthday April the 17th 2000 that happens to be April 17th happens to also be JP Morgan's birthday now. I wanted to talk just a little bit about the US dollar here I'll get this chart up because I think it's Relatively important. Okay. Here is the US dollar and we have been talking about this because once we broke below that 9870 level it said that we were probably going to go down. I have posted the 1.618 expansion That's the time from April 30th all the way up into May 13th But look at what look what's happened here folks over the last eight days the market was down eight days in a row Now many years ago. I met I met Larry Williams in 1965 He was his account was at Conti commodities there in Westwood. Well, actually was at Right across the street at Clayton brokerage, which was from Clayton, Missouri Which was owned by Bill and well actually by Roy Longstreet. Bill was just as the kid He was pretty much my age, but that's that that's that's how I met Larry and we automatically became friends he had a service in Carmel, California with Michelle knows worthy and The there was basically all commodity timing and Larry has spent his life Researching stuff and he's really done some great work and I've purchased just about everything. He's ever he's ever given especially during the times during 1976 In 1982 because I was at Drexel and anything I wanted to buy Drexel was happy to pay for it So I attended everything that he had and one of the seminars that he talked about was Probabilities in other words if the market goes up three days in a row. What is the probability of a correction? What is the probability after four five six or seven? Well, the magic number that Larry spoke about quite a bit is eight and this is what we've had happening now in The US dollar index were down eight days when we've actually went down eight days in a row Which we've sort of been expecting because the euro has been relatively strong and the Canadian dollar and all the others have been pretty strong too But now what we've done is the probability of the market going down more than eight days is less than 15 percent So here you have a situation where the market should have at least as counter trend bounce here And that's what we're looking for if we get that now the euro, you know Had a lot of resistance up there at that one 12 or 25 level we posted that in the video last night and It was you know acting pretty much like what we thought so those are the things that I'm looking at to see whether you know They're going to going to hold up or not. So that's pretty much it Okay folks that's not gonna happen. All right, let's move on here just a little bit here And we've got arch coming up here in about seven minutes Which will be really good to talk about and we want to think about, you know, what what he's got to say here Let's take a quick look here to review since I said something about the The the gold market. Let's just review the last price I have on this puppy is at 17 well We did hit 05 and now we're trading at 09 but the price the time to watch this folks is at 945 that'll be will be on with arch at the time But watch the gold at 945 and see if it's going to have much of a rally from this point and we will keep a Keep a close eye on that. That's for sure. All right, let's move on to the next question someone had and that is about the Possibility of hyperinflation folks. We don't see any that yet, but we will start to see that part of this is the will be The will be the meat complex, you know, they're backing off a little bit right now But eventually down the road there is going to be problems with supply in both hogs and cattle Because these guys have just not they're not expanding their herds. They have no reason to expand their herds First of all, it's hard to get employees to work and the second reason is the economics of it at this price level is not very good And that leads to higher prices is a cure for higher prices is higher prices and the cure for lower prices is lower prices So those are just a few things that you got to remember The reason why that is is with the prices get high You got more supply coming in because people have profits at those levels and when people and when the prices are very low People come in and start to accumulate inventories and that's what makes the prices go up But really it's all related to the cycles There was a another question that someone had about the astrology stuff And and one of them they asked me what was one of the big things in astrology that I thought well I remember 2009 that was a really big one But the one before that was in 1989 on November the 9th. I was writing the astro cycles newsletter and I put in that newsletter that if this wasn't on every page of the every newspaper in the world That I would give everybody a free one-year subscription To the astro cycles newsletter in hotline. I said it's going to be really big folks I you know, I said I didn't know what was going to happen to the market It was 89, you know two years after the the crash and it was it was one of the biggest things It's ever happened and it was the fall of the Berlin wall on November the 9th 1989 and Did nothing to the market the market just did its usual thing and so I I know when these things finally turn they probably are astrological related but by golly, you know Look at the market when it's done now. We just hit 3100 folks No, we did. Yeah, we hit 3101 in the s&p, which is uh, you know stop and think we were down there in the 2100 2300 2200 level we've rallied that much in the fact that you know, we had I don't think we have corona virus virus anymore because Nobody's talking about it, which I guess is good I've always felt that that was probably going to be the case But those are just a few of the things that by golly, you know what the old clock on the wall says my Jaws are getting tired. So we're probably going to have to Take a break here for a second and then we will have arch Crawford of commodity The commodity guy from Crawford perspectives He's going to talk to us about gold and the stock market and the secrets to the universe 877-927-6648 Larry Pezzavento watches the markets 24 7 and now is a great time to try out his daily trading service Fibonacci 24 7 Larry publishes videos and charts for subscribers throughout the week when warranted and every weekend He puts out a thorough report covering worldwide markets futures commodities and currencies with Fibonacci Retracement levels possible trading setups and zones and stops and targets for all recommendations included Larry applies the principles He's developed over decades of trading while analyzing a variety of markets for subscribers To see for yourself the types of videos charts and analysis that Larry provides for his subscribers Sign up for Fibonacci 24 7 today by visiting the front page of tfnn.com Under the newsletter tab You'll also gain instant access to Larry's archive subscriber webinar from earlier this year new subscribers get a 30 day money back guarantee So you have nothing to risk sign up today If you're a trader in the market looking to find the path that leads to maximizing profits while decreasing risk Then now is a great time to try out Dave white's daily trading service the path of lease resistance Through the use of options and equity trades Dave advises his subscribers on a daily basis of the current market conditions and what possible trade setups are on the horizon The path of lease resistance is published every trading morning Often with updates intraday when initiating trades or closing out positions Dave white has advised his clients of some outstanding winning options and equity trades in recent months And now is a great time to try it out for yourself New subscribers to the path of lease resistance receive a 30 day money back guarantee See for yourself the types of options and equity trades that are available by signing up for the path of lease resistance Today by visiting the front page of tfnn.com and selecting the newsletter tab sign up today Tfnn is excited about our new software charting program the art of timing the trade charts In collaboration with tom o'brien and using his best-selling book the art of timing the trade your ultimate trading mastery system David white has programmed an outstanding piece of software that will complement any trader's methodology Using this first of its kind program the art of timing the trade charts allows you to scan thousands of stocks for Fibonacci formation setups including guard lease abc's butterflies and much more The art of timing the trade charts is designed to help you when scouring markets for stocks Just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days weeks or even months Searching to find and right now we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month We are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30 day Unconditional money back guarantee don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software Get your copy of the art of timing the trade charts today by visiting tfnn.com This segment is brought to you by think or swim for more information Just click the think or swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com Okay, we're back folks, and I believe we have arch crawford of crawford perspective is on the line Arch are you there? I believe Oh, that's my boy. Listen my friend. We've been through just about everything in these Trading markets since we've known each other for 35 years our folks our arch is four years older than me born on April the 17th I've already mentioned that was Yeah, that's that truth. Hey, listen the question that I have arch is we've seen this market You know to keep climbing, you know with some of the worst news that we've ever had What you're feeling of what's going on? Is there something astrological? It's calling this and I want to say something about the front page of the wall street journal first The the headline, you know, it's a picture of the looting and it says looting mars Demonstrations angering businesses and activists In other words, it says mars and angering Wow It works both ways It sure does everybody else understands and what the astrologers understand is in Is in line on the front page of the journal here arch if you if you remember back in In the in 2001 we you and I were talking when the first plane hit We were on the phone And the thing that I remember most folks was the pentagon was hit About I don't remember it was a couple hours later I believe and arch had called me and told me that the pentagon had been hit and the news service didn't have it For 15 or 20 minutes after you had told me I remember that You know very vividly and that how emotional The times were I mean these times are not nearly as emotional as those times were but sam the question that someone's asked us is Do you think what's happening? You know with the looting and you know all this other stuff. Is it going to change A society much like a 9 11 did I mean when we had to you know go through airports and you know go through all the The hoops to stop cherish. What's your feeling on this? Well, I think um, it was done originally with the coronavirus The changes were made Um, and it wasn't that bad You know, they they told us that 2.2 million americans would die And that they took all of the responses based on that as a fact And um So they put all these terrible restrictions on us and now they're finding out that none of them worked So the restrictions They brought it out and they made those restrictions on us In pop, I'm very angry about that Well, I I have a little bit of that myself my friend. I feel we've been duped like we always are usually but You know, what's amazing is look, we're we're looking to stock market. Uh, arts. We just hit 3105 In the s and p, you know, it's up about 800 points Yes from the bottom And uh, you know people people ask me what's going on. I said I you know, I don't know once it went above 2940 I said my goodness, you know, the the news is so bad and yet the market keeps going up And one thing that I remember is if the news is really bad and things keep going higher They're going to go higher. So I you know, I've been standing aside there and uh, you know But what you're feeling on the stock market here, aren't you we going to make new highs? And is there some type of a top up in here? Well, the the ndx the the hot shot stocks nasdaq stocks the ndx 100 Is right a hair under its old high um, 96 96 78 and I can't tell exactly what the high is but it's Only like a couple of handfuls of points above that is the old high I was looking One of the things I was noticing is how far the ndx is above its 200 day math moving average The s and p is a little bit above it and the dow Jones is a little bit below it So there's a it's a it's a very radical Difference between what's going up and what's not going up so much So that's another thing that's happening in the market um I am I am concerned right now about you know, we start this three eclipse group. Um, What is it tomorrow the next day? It's the fifth. We have a full moon and the lunar eclipse on the fifth Yes So we have a lunar eclipse on the fifth 14 days later The solar eclipse and then 14 days later another lunar eclipse and they're all tightly Aligned with negative outer planets Okay, so I'm um I'm taking that into consideration right now and actually I'm Saying to short under certain conditions in the newsletter Okay, that sounds pretty good Arch one of the questions that um Yeah, okay, one of the questions that someone's brought to our attention day to ask you is you've been extremely good with the gold market And what you're feeling on the gold at this level or in the future? What are you looking at for number one in the bond market and tied for number four in the the gold market over the last 12 months That's really good. No, that's that's why you're that's why you get the big bucks my friend That's why you get the big bucks It is true Okay, all right, so we got gold trading at around 1712 right now We had a high at that what 1770 717 14 right now But what what do you what do you think the outlook for gold is and say the next Two months is what the person is asking us I believe it's getting ready to take off again and i'm waiting for Uh, the strength to come in and I don't see it yet And i'm uh, but it's staying in a very tight 100 point range since um early april It's been a low of um around 1680 it dipped a little bit below that To 60 something uh once in april, but that was just a little spike down And we've hit 70 1680 1685 three or four times Um and the highs you know that the high was back in um early april And we had a secondary high Uh, what was it about the 17th or 18th this month? I mean not last month. Excuse me. We're in june now um And a lower high now so i'm cautious with a lower high and a Breaking the 200 day moving average again so I am looking for the buy point and I expect it fairly soon But i'm not going to jump in until the technicals improve I mean i'm i'm in i've got long-term positions. I've got half of my ira and golden silver stock index ira You're not you're not old enough to retire. What are you talking about boy only seven months older than me? We're not supposed to retire to 103 Well You know archer I have a plan, you know writing the newsletter. You remember joe grandville and richard russell Yes, that's right 90 About five years ago and russell about four years ago at 91. They were born the same year Wow, well, let's let's keep that dream alive. Hey, we got to pay a few bills. Would you stay with us, please? Yeah Be right back folks Gold market has taken off top side in a large way in 2020 If you want to take advantage of this sector now is the time to subscribe to my gold report The gold report took profits in four of its equities in the gold portfolio in the first week of january for a combined profit of 99.2 With two positions left in the portfolio that have a profit of 67.5 as of january 7th The gold report is a comprehensive look at the metals sector as well as the markets that move gold Which is the currency and bond markets new subscribers get a 30-day money back guarantee So you have nothing to lose every monday morning I published a gold report with coverage of gold silver bonds the xau h ui gdx as well as more than 30 different mining equities To see for yourself the types of profitable trades that are recommended within the gold report sign up now by visiting tfnn.com Don't miss out on the next great gold trade sign up today The s&p 500 continue to climb for bold trades on us large cap stocks in either direction trade spxl spu u or spx s Directions daily s&p 500 bull and bear leveraged etfs Direction leveraged etfs an investor should carefully consider a fund's investment objective risks charges and expenses before investing A fund's prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares to obtain a fund's prospectus And summary prospectus call 866 476 7523 or visit direction investments dot com A fund's prospectus and summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing An investment in the funds is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors distributor four-side fund services LC Many of our new listeners have heard about the tiger's den The tiger's den is a lively community where professional traders and investors can meet exchange ideas and information in a comfortable moderated atmosphere Hear all of the tfnn shows plus see all of the charts as they happen live and have access to archives of all of those charts You can test drive the tiger's den absolutely free for 30 days and greatly enrich your knowledge of these markets And how to make your money work for you details on the tiger's den or on the front page of tfnn dot com tfnn has launched our brand new website You can still visit us at the same tfnn dot com url But when you do you'll see a new and improved homepage with a much simpler navigation Whether you're watching tiger tv live in high definition or just accessing your newsletter subscriptions We even have new pricing in six months and yearly options Check out the new tfnn dot com now and experience all the upgrades tfnn dot com educating investors The bull bear trading hour with tom and tommy o'brien next Okay, we're back folks with arch crawford of crawford perspectives and we were talking about two of the old masters in this business richard russell and Oh and joseph grandville and i know you were friends with both of them Especially joe grandville and i've had a few stories myself But he was a real gentleman and sam tell the folks about how he would move the market when he said something You know back in the uh mid 70s up until about 1980. He he literally ruled the stock market, didn't he? He was uh He was very hot And his methods were good And he got to writing a book and he went down the tube because he wasn't paying that much attention to the market Yeah, but he certainly was hot for a while I know he used to say something in the market would move 30 points And that's when the dial was trading at about uh, you know 11 or 1200 So it was it was big millions and it was hot news Definitely definitely What I was saying about them was it they they died at 90 and 91 and they wrote their letters right up to the last week Before they died That's my plan Well, that's there you go as long as you can keep writing you're you're okay then right if you stop writing Then you're in big trouble. That's why I look at it myself I Was about about 20 years ago. I told my my daughter Jill. I said, I think I'm gonna retire and she laughed at me and said and do what? That's about right so anyway, we've been pretty lucky with stuff Yeah, we certainly do I I met arch in 1987 and we've had we've been on many shows together and stuff And of course he lives down the street from me today here in uh, Tucson, Arizona What did you think of our protests here? In Tucson, uh, arch, you know, did you know the half the half the groups were armed? Did you know that they were carrying they were carrying handguns and long guns and there was no problem anywhere So who knows we'll see I what do you think? I wouldn't listening to that Yeah, well me too, but the question regarding cycles I know you use the astrology stuff. Is that all you use sam or do you use any classical astrology work like from the foundation from the study of cycles or you know Seasonalities and things like that. Do you figure that into your work at all? Of course I've always used seasonality that that's a very strong influence on the market And some years it it doesn't work, but it works a majority of the time which makes it something you need to keep an eye on That's for sure. Now, do you use the second question that we have from one of our listeners? Do you use a specialized astro program for your work? How do you get your data? um I use the the astro analysts and um to compute many of these cycles And now I don't have a machine that astro analysts will work on. It's an old DOS machine program and So I I use the figures that I got from the market In the 90s mostly Well as long as you have the the dates that's really all you need, isn't it? That's right Well, that's good. Okay. We have a question since you were a good bond trader What's your feeling on the treasury bonds here with the government, you know printing paper, you know like Like Kleenex is making you know boxed issues. So what do you think's going to happen? Are rates going to go to negative or not? Yes You really think the rates are going negative. Okay. Tell us about that well, I uh Everybody else has already gone fairly negative and we're headed that way and if you just look at the What is it the tnx the the 10-year bond rate? It's been dropping like a stone from I Recently, I mean in the last year a year and a half from 3.24 at a point under point six So, uh, I'd say I go with the trend until the trend changes Now that makes pretty good sense We have one other question arch and that is about the us dollar what you're feeling here Do you follow the us dollar at all because is it related to gold? That's the question And what do you think's going to happen with the us dollar? I uh, watch the dollar index and um You can trade that it's a future And um, okay It had the wildest kind of move in march it went from almost 100 Down to 94 50 in days and then turned around and ran up to 104 10 points and uh, that's 10 percent better than 10 percent and um For a currency that's a pretty big move in a short time and for the major currency of the world It's absolutely Unbelievable um So anyway, it's been coming down since then it came back down from 104 And it stayed in a range of 98 to 101 And it triangulated getting narrower and is now broken down on the downside in the last six trading days And has dropped uh from like 100 point five To now it's 97 five this morning Okay, so it's dropping and it broke the 200 day moving average about four days or trading days ago and um It don't look good Okay, uh, we have one other question and that is uh, is there any major significant to the fact that we have three ellipses during the month of june Well the first the last one is on july the fourth Oh, July four. Okay. It's a powerful negative Uh, and it's on our birthday and that is not a good sign Oh wow Hey arch, how about uh, how about this? How about you coming back as our guest? Uh, since it's going to be july maybe on uh, wednesday july 1st you could be our guest Uh, first second or third. Could you pick one of let's do it on friday the third because that's coming into the fourth of july And uh, I don't know what I think the holiday will be uh on um Uh, july 4th, where were the I went to if it falls on a saturday It will they're going to make it on the third will be the holiday. How about you come on uh, July the second. How about that? All right, whatever day is the last day of trading Okay, I will put you down here for arch crawford on the Second of july and we'll mark that and we'll be able to uh Get you on and talk about that because those are the kind of things that you're really really super good at That's why your timing on this stuff has been so good and in the uh In the bonds and also in the gold. So we'll have you on at that time and listen I want to thank you for good lord willing and the creek don't rise Hey, you know, I can oh my grandpa said always stay on the green side of the grass and only read the obituaries Once a day. So that's what I'm trying to do. So keep the faith my friend and stay well. Okay Very good. God bless you all God bless you arch crawford folks crawford perspectives of Tucson, arizona And we're going to come back here with a break. We've got to pay a few bills here for TFN in and then we will Keep talking about some of these markets that we've been chatting about today that they're a nice situation with all these lunar things coming up and also the solar eclipse Coming up. It's going to be, uh, you know, quite a bit the solar eclipse comes in on the uh, The 21st of july that'll be the new moon and then of course, uh, sam's just remember We'll be right back eight seven seven nine two seven six six four eight Back in the day, I joined the hotel california in 2006 and like many of you was drawn in by As well as whatever you think about you bring about whatever you focus on grows You see, I believe that everything in life happens for us Not to us and tom ignited the fire within me to want to learn how to master the markets So how did I go from knowing nothing about technical analysis to becoming the number one market timer for the s&p 518 and the number two market timer in 2019 simply put I hired coaches with a proven track record which led me to a whole new set of tools that I created to interpret the message of Buyers and sellers I would love the opportunity to teach you this award-winning set of tools and help you improve your market timing You can test drive my newsletter service mastering probabilities for the next 30 days with no risk to you Plus you'll gain access to archive workshops It'll take you step by step through my system Sign up today by going to the home page of tfnn.com and selecting mastering probability in the newsletter tab If you haven't checked out the newsletters page of tfnn.com What are you waiting for all of the tfnn newsletters are informative up to date Affordable and a must-have for every trader looking to gain a competitive informational edge in today's markets tfnn newsletters cover every aspect of the markets to offer you the very latest in market news Plus new subscribers get to test drive our newsletters risk-free for 30 days From all aspects of the markets including stocks bonds metals commodities and tech There's a newsletter to fit your needs exclusively from tfnn Stay informed each day you trade and get the competitive edge that will help you stay ahead of the game Visit our newsletters page by going to tfnn.com and click the newsletters button near the top of the page tfnn.com educating investors Markets trading with extreme volatility and peaks and troughs everywhere regardless of what you're looking at in the markets This is a great time to see the type of analysis basal Chapman delivers for his subscribers every market day with the opening call newsletter Basil has been analyzing markets providing his take for subscribers to his trading services since 1984 every morning basal publishes an update for his subscribers Along with weekend and evening updates when warranted the opening call provides traders a daily market overview with regard to the direction of the key indices selective stocks and commodities along with specific recommendations including stops and targets You also gain instant access to basal subscriber webinar archive from earlier this year A dark cloud cover an essential market analysis ride the Chapman wave today by signing up for the opening call newsletter On the front page of tfnn.com under the newsletter tab new subscribers get a 30 day money back guarantee So you have nothing to risk sign up today This segment is brought to you by think or swim for more information Just click the think or swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com All right folks. We'll get back to the markets as you can see here. We hit the high of 3105 so far in the s&p and I say oh so so far Oh, actually the high was oh five and a half. We're trading at 99 and three quarters right now so We've got some really good buying in the air because it looks like the Coronavirus is all taken care of and it looks like the protesters are going to go back home to take care of their crops And their children so everything is good in Camelot again And we want to thank everybody for joining us. That's the main thing And listening to what we have to say here at tfnn because we don't deal in fake news folks We deal in charts And that's the main thing that we want to keep in mind as we look at some of these things Each day. I do believe of course that I think we're at least in this is my personal opinion again I I believe that this crude oil has made some type of a major top up in here The one that we talked about last night. I sent out a video on this of course, but we did make that Three drive pattern. You can see it over the from the 29th to the third It was if you did all the abcd's on it, you could see that they all came up here to this 38 level And it's broken two dollars Barrel so far and we've come back about 80 cents so far. So the key level here to watch is this 37 50 level If we get about that that would tell us that maybe this is not right. We've got oil figures coming in today After I think it's a 10 30 this morning And so that'll usually make the market jump around a little bit But again, we don't really care about that because we really don't watch the figures We watch how the market responds to those figures, but the numbers themselves You know really don't really don't mean very much at all So those are the main things another question that you know We talked about a little bit about cryptocurrencies and blockchains during our one day webinar that we had on the 21st And the one thing that we did we had one of these little ones that we put a few pennies in And it's up about 25 from where we were but you know, this is just funny money folks because I don't know What's happening to these things, you know, they have Bitcoin you know drops 10 in two hours. So you got to be very careful over there So live every day in an attitude of gratitude and may god bless and we'll see you tomorrow with Andy Pancholi Across the pond over there in the uk the cycles dude