 Following is a presentation of TFNN, The Power Trading Hour with your host David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now David White. Welcome all to another excellent edition of The Power Trading Hour as we come to you at the appointed time. We've had quite the little bit of market indigestion but it is the appointed time. So what do we got going on here? Right now I show the S&P's up 15-14. They're just kind of playing around at these levels. We had a big dip, markets all aligned, all the signals were there for a nice 5-point move in the spies lower. And what we get, well we got a dip, then a bounce and now we're kind of just hanging around these levels. 4,000 or excuse me 400 looks like fairly decent resistance in the spies. If we can't take out a high then you try to take out the low, if you can't take out the low you try to take out the high. But it's going to be very interesting, the markets are fairly weak. The volume was incredibly light all the way through about 11-11-30. In fact the only volume we got was in that huge move down, or at least 5-point move down almost instantaneously in the spies. Now we're doing just okay on the day, about 6.4 billion shares. So if we came in here, anything less than about 7 is not a big day. But 6.4 probably not all that bad considering. But we've had several days of pushing higher, pushing higher, very light volume and a lot of stocks, not really surprised. Now we are in the options expiration cycle. This one's a little harder to forecast, mostly because it's quad-witching. You have a lot of stuff happening week from tomorrow. But we shall persevere and try to move on. I don't think there's a lot of upside, mostly because of the incredibly light volume, especially into February, I mean into September now, we should be seeing a great deal more volume pick up and a direction in the market one way or the other. I suspect that we had the big gap down for a couple of reasons. One, the charts actually showed that there should be some weakness to the downside. And we pretty much got exactly what I thought we should get. What didn't happen is it didn't stick. And I suspect that we have either the Fed or the Treasury or the big men of Wall Street deciding they're going to hold this up. I think they think the market's going lower and everything I kind of look at does make it look like there's a lot of distribution in the market. So they think we are going to take a bigger leg down and sooner rather than later. And of course, just September in general tends to be a pretty horrible month for stock traders. Generally, the big men of Wall Street are selling any of the stuff they think is weak and going to pick up the stuff that's strong, mostly because they can show that they own the top performing stocks and get rid of the weak ones. But we shall see. 877-927-6648. Email me at path at tfn.com. And of course, you can always put a message in the den. OK. Let's see if we have anything here. OK. Let's see here. Let's go ahead and look. As we talked about it yesterday, I wanted to get into the TLT. As I said, it was kind of a bounce. Didn't really have the kind of volume that you had on the down move. A little inside day out here. But you're going to really need to test this 107-42 or really get below 108-12. That's the June 6th low. And have the volume really drop out to find some kind of low. Again, if you're bullish or bearish looking at the glass half full or half empty, I'm kind of one of these traders where I want to see the glass either empty or full. So I know which way to trade. I don't like to flip quarters for a living. But that's kind of what we're looking at. A very weak market. Unsure whether or not the Fed, the Treasury, or anybody else is deciding to try to get this market to calm down a little bit. And this goes sideways for a while. As traders, of course, we don't like that. And in the long scheme of things, it probably will just make everything worse once everything does break. But what can you say? Anyway, TLT keeping close eye on that. The dollar had a lot of news pre-market for economy news. The market was unfazed by any of it. So I'm suspecting that we are having some kind of kind of an organic market, organic curbs in the market. And they may have a lot more to do with setting up lows and highs across this next week as we go into options expiration on the 16th. Okay. I had a question before the show about thermo, Fisher Scientific. You've got to bounce out here today. And the question was, can it get back up to 580 or so? And you could. You got to bounce. But again, I think a lot of these stocks need to pull back and retest one more time. And I like that pattern a lot more of going long. Once a stock like this is broken back above, give it a few days, have it come back down. If this kind of touches the trend line, what everyone you like to use nine day, I like to three by three. And then it gets back over. That's generally where the real acceleration starts. We'll be back in a minute. a tier one mining district. This is a large scale, low cost project with significant existing infrastructure and a politically safe and friendly mining jurisdiction. This the goal just completed the Mount Todd feasibility study, which resulted in a seven million ounce gold reserve in a 16 year mine life. All of this combined with the approvals of all major operational as well as environmental permits. This distinguishes Mount Todd as an attractive, dearest pot ready development stage goal project. This the goal trades on the New York Stock Exchange and the symbol VGZ. Are you grinding in the market, but seeing little to no return? Or are you a successful trader simply looking to make your job a little easier? Learn to take the path of least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter. David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades, support and resistance, define the ranges at which stocks trade. By understanding these trading ranges, David White is able to find a path of least resistance. David White's trading newsletter, The Path of Least Resistance is delivered daily before the markets open to make every trading day an easy win. Visit tfnn.com today and subscribe to David White's ultimate trading newsletter for $119 a month and try all of our newsletters risk free with our 30-day money back guarantee. Take the path of least resistance at tfnn, educating investors. Are you looking for a way to consistently add winning trades to your portfolio? Tom O'Brien is here to help. Tom O'Brien has been successfully trading markets for over 30 years. A frequent contributor to TD Ameritrade Network and CNBC, Tom O'Brien found a tfnn over 20 years ago to help educate investors just like you. Tom's daily market newsletter, Market Insights, is published every morning when the markets open to give you the competitive informational edge you need to succeed. These newsletters are packed full of Tom's advanced technical analysis and are geared to deliver comprehensive strategies for a successful portfolio. Get Tom O'Brien's newsletter, Market Insights today and try all of our products and newsletters 30 days risk free with our money back guarantee at tfnn.com tfnn educating investors. Toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. And we're back in just a lot of market in suggestion rolling around here just under 400 on the S&P cash just under 3400 on the S&P cash. Again, not a lot of juice to the upside, not a lot of juice to the downside, but I'm suspecting that they drop the market today so they can try to make the market go out flat tomorrow. Generally, if you have a lot of action on a Thursday, it's followed up by a rather flat-ish Friday. There's no guarantees in the market. All we have is to go by what's happened in the past, but we'll take a look at it. First question of the day is the XLE, or actually second, and if we're making a floor out here, light volume today, not a lot happening. Continue to see just sideways action in this, but I suspect it is going up. I kind of like this area out here and ideally the next move above the trend line, I would probably be a buyer. So that's what about 79-ish. You don't need much, and you're probably going to go back up to 85 and maybe even higher, but I would imagine that we've had the decent pullback. We've had another minor pullback here. We're probably getting ready to go and take a stab at that 93-31 up at the top. For UNG, kind of the same thing. We've pulled back to what is the area support over here on the left-hand side of the chart going from about the 2nd of August through the 10th. We set up kind of a floor. You had a little bit of volume on the 6th here this month, but yesterday and today declining volume. So you are starting to come out. Same thing though. I'm waiting for it to cross back up above the downtrend line to give me a signal that it's probably done doing its work and getting ready. So that could be two or three days, maybe the mid-part of next week. My guess is then then we're probably going to get the real moves for fall really started in a hurry and going higher for natural gas. The question is, CCJ actually breaking out today. We'll take a look at that. Well, you've got one previous high and that is this 32-49 from April 13th. You are a little higher out here. You are holding 30 bucks, but man is the volume light so far about 4.9 million shares. So that's all that good. See what else we have out here that we wanted to get to. Question about Apple and why is it lower? And see. There wasn't that much to really light a lot of candles yesterday and their dog and pony. Probably bigger is everybody starting to focus on the huge fines that Apple may have to pay in the EU. Those fines could be as much as $36 billion. Apple has been very much like Google and some of the other companies, Facebook, Metta. It just kind of decided that it'll pay whatever the fines are, their minuscule to what they're making. So the latest law that's come out and was passed about the 1st of August gives the EU the right to go after 10% of their gross income or gross sales for the year. So for Apple, that would be about $36 billion. Now, the thing is they're incredibly guilty. They tracked people that they shouldn't. They knew they were tracking people that they shouldn't. It may not be as bad as Facebook, Metta, but it's pretty bad. So a lot of people, while they're focusing on the products, are not focusing on the regulatory environment where Apple has done some dirty deeds and done them dirt cheap, but you don't have much outgoing. I do talk to a lot of people and they are talking about upgrading their iPhone 6s finally. So it may not be all that bad, but maybe the fine isn't $36 billion. Maybe it's $18 billion. That would still be in the neighborhood of a fourth of the profit for the year. So I think people are kind of worried, worried that the economy pulling back will have less people upgrading the phones and having the EU having a fairly guilty company with new laws that allow them to go after companies like Apple and Facebook. But I don't think it gets better for any of these folks. A lot of rulings over the last even just month or six weeks have been really significantly against most of these big tech giants. Microsoft is kind of one of the few companies to stay out of the fray, but the rest their transgressions are legend now, but Metta has its own problems here in the United States. It's going to be in front of Congress probably the whole year next year. But again, this new regulation that allows you to go after 10% of their gross revenues worldwide, not just locally, means that a lot of these companies that have done some rather big evil. And of course, Facebook has its own problems and that it's found to track people after they've turned off the app that the app itself on your phone is tracking you even after you left. And that goes back to 2016. So they may have five years or six years to make up for. But this new law, well, actually it was a couple laws for the digital privacy of Europe. They're not really too concerned about pleasing judges in California. And to this point, everybody's tried to sue the big tech titans in California and the judges have protected them. This time, they are not going to have any kind of home court advantage. In fact, it's just going to be the opposite. So as my dad would use to say, when you're walking on eggs, don't hop. These guys got a steamroller and just went after every egg they could get acted like it would never be a problem. Now on meta, as I said, you've got light volume in the previous lows. The downside here is that the energy up is about the same as the energy down. So really looking at these guys really having to face the music both politically and financially, they're very near firm, especially in Europe. We'll be back in a minute. You'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis, and it's not just dry tedious text either. 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Now, is it politically driven or is it financially driven from the big Wall Street guys who want to pump more shares out? Tough to say at the moment, but this kind of action where you do come down very hard very quickly, then recover and not go higher is generally a sign of someone trying to hold the market up, not a sign that we had a bear raid that just fizzled out. So we'll see how the market closes today. I don't, you know, generally, if someone's trying to just keep the market from going lower why they sell into it, especially the big guys, Morgan Stanley, I want to say Dean Witter, but that's about 100 years ago. They make money the old fashioned way. They steal it. Anyway, when we're looking at that, we'll see if there's any way of figuring out what's going on, but you had a huge move down. There are almost no shorts in the market over the last handful of days. You know, you may see it in a couple of stocks, maybe five or six of the stocks that everybody perpetually hates, but that's about it. I did say in the den that I went to my car group yesterday evening, got to drive the EVs. Let's bring up Tesla here while we're talking about it. I got to drive the new Hummer, a Ford F-150 Lightning, a Kona from Hyundai, and is that all of them? The Ford F-150, the Hummer, the Hyundai, oh, and the Rivian. And very interesting trucks and EVs, all of them. The one that's kind of the most out there is the Hummer. And the way this thing was outfitted, it had 3,500 pounds of batteries in it, something like that. I didn't write it down. Overall, it was 9,000 pounds. And down here in Florida, if you have something over four tons, there's a lot of the side streets you can and even drive down. So this thing is an absolute beast. I have to say that why I liked it, I think it's fairly impractical because it's so wide that you couldn't park it anymore. You couldn't park it and get out if you had people on both sides. It's just probably impossible because it takes up the entire width of the parking spot. Even if you park perfectly, I got to drive them around in the parking lot. So not that far. Got to spend about two minutes in each one of them. So it was kind of interesting. You get the instant torque and all that stuff. It's a spaceship and probably totally impractical. The Ford F-150, I think if anybody, if you should just open the hood of the Ford F-150 and show everybody a gigantic, what normally would be a trunk on a car, I think most people would be very interested in saying, hey, not only do I have a truck with a tuck bed that's open, and I can get back there and there's an automatic bed cover that rolls back up and a lot of other GI Joe with a kung fu grip kind of stuff. Very interesting truck. Now the downside is if you want to see the innards of what goes on in this thing and you want to get scared to death, just take out that liner in the front of the truck and pull it out. There aren't enough plumbers in the world if you start having a problem on this stuff. I mean there are hoses and hoses on hoses and hoses is next to hoses. A lot of them are all metal. If you ever wreck this thing, I don't know if there's ever putting anything, one of these things back together. The high sides that I like, there's on the Ford F-150 electric version, was that man doesn't have a lot of torque off the get go. I like the interior. I wouldn't order one or I wouldn't buy one until they offer one with a whole lot less electronics in the dash. I don't need all that stuff. I don't want it. It's this stuff that's probably going to break fairly quickly and often. I want a very toned down kind of EV that can last 10, 15 years without major maintenance. As far as modules, I'm going to say this thing may have 25 modules on it. I mean everywhere you look there's another voltage conditioner or heat transfer unit. These things are spaceships in how complex they are and how close they're put together. If you mash this thing, I don't think you're putting it back together. The high side, I think a lot of people know that I talked about helping put back together a Frank and Tesla in the end of the last summer where we took a couple of them, put all the parts together on a water damaged one to make one that actually was fairly decent. The one thing I thought was that they didn't really do much to protect the batteries underneath. Some of the screws were missing. Those kind of stuff that just seemed like they built it in a hurry on the Tesla was not like that on the Ford. In fact they have, I'm going to almost call it a bulletproof shield underneath the batteries that go from about the front unit to the rear axle. Of course it's all four-wheel independent suspension, no giant axle on the rear anymore with a positive track. You've got an electric motor hooked to both wheels and you get instant torque. The only thing I'd say is you get this in an accident, you're going to pull your hair out because I don't think it's ever going to not leak again. There are, like I said, hoses upon hoses upon modules, everything else. If I bought it I'd probably buy it and make sure that I was out of it before the warranty was over on it because there is just, I mean there's hundreds of things that I look at and go that's going to break. That's going to break. That's going to break. That's going to overheat. That's going to break. I think they did a great job engineering it just massively, massively over design with redundancies. I think that's good in the short term and the long term. These things are probably going to, five years out, are probably going to break somebody in the repair shop. I don't know what the warranty is on it. I forgot to ask yesterday. The Rivian I liked. I have to say that when you look at it compared to the Ford F-150, I like the features much better on the Ford 150. You take it a much bigger chance than the Rivian and whether or not there'll be a going concern in a handful of years. They'll either be very successful or not successful at all depending on how many units they can build. I think Ford actually has the ability to put the units together, take a lot of that market. I think it's a nice truck. I didn't think it was built as well. I like the features in it, but that was kind of it. When we come back, we'll talk a little bit more about EVs, but yeah, I'm not a big fan of buying the Rivian. The Ford is overly complex and the Hummer is the next thing to owning a tank. We'll be back in a minute. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. 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And that's where you kind of see those inverters everywhere all over the Ford. And the Hummer and the Rivian. You need to put a lot of power to the ground at one time if you're pulling something. These things are a ton of them. And they all have water running through them. And all you need is one seal to break to a short one out. And then I don't think there's probably, once they get water in them, I don't think there's a whole lot of ways that these things are ever going to be able to be repaired. And those modules are probably just looking at them. I'm going to say two to five grand a piece. So someone asked during the break if you could cross a river in the Hummer, I think you could. I think it's sealed up and they do a good job of putting everything. It's in two or three or five years whether those seals wear out because you get water in it. It's not just the car dies, it's, it shorts out. And you're going to short out something that's extremely expensive. Like I said, those inverters, the battery packs. Although I have to say if I'm impressed with anything on the Ford, it is the way that they've armored around the battery pack itself. They've done a great job. One of the, if you just looked at one of the biggest skid pads for a giant four-wheel off-roader, that's kind of what comes standard. They've used a lot of aluminum in other places, but they used a big hunk and piece of steel on the bottom of that thing. And it does look like you could bounce around on it fairly well. So anyway, that's kind of it. I don't think I'd be buying any real expensive one. I think over the next couple of years, the biggest difference is going to be them reducing the complexity and the design of these to where they're a lot less. If it was a plane, I'd call them hanger queens, but I think they're going to have a lot of problems. If they break, they're going to have a lot of problems troubleshooting just what's wrong in it. And like I said, the other thing I just liked is literally everything's electric. And the one I saw had all the features in the world. I'd want to get one that was not so much, you know, didn't have 10 grand of screens up on the dash. Maybe one is fine by me. I don't need an entire wall of computer them on the dash to drive it. And those, you know, are going to break, especially on a Florida. It's hot. You leave those out in the sun. I'm not thinking that those screens are going to age well in this climate, probably not going to do any better if it's really cold during the winter. Those will probably age them too. But I did like the flip switches. I thought that those were a pretty good user interface. But what can you say? 877-927-6648. I know we got some emails here. Okay, we got that. Okay. Bill says we need to reconfigure parking spaces to accommodate the Hummer and others like it. Of course, that's the only way that we can save the planet. So I agree with you totally. I used to when I worked for the Canadians, I always told them we were going to invade Canada and take it for our own to park our big fat escalates. They never liked that much. What about hydrocars? Are we ever going to have hydrocars? Well, I think we are. I think it's going to be late to the game, but certainly Toyota is spending even more money and very less on batteries and very much more on hydrogen cars. So I think so. But I think why the splash early on is going to be batteries, I think long term is probably going to be hydrogen. But I think we're about, well, maybe six months or a year for the new hydrogen technology to actually start hitting the streets. Talked about that. Okay, let's talk about King dollar. It'll make you a holler. Okay, where's that here? I should have it around here somewhere. Okay, there we go. Okay, let's take a look at the dollar. We did get to 110 20 a little over that actually almost 110 and a quarter on the DX right now 109 665. On a weekly basis, the dollar is top setting up a shooting star this week. Take a look at a weekly here on it. I don't trade forex. I just go to a website like forex, or like investing comm and use their free charts on it. Because I'm not, like I said, actively trading forex. It's one of the better sites for actually looking at it. Of course, they've got some of the other indexes on it too. But for the dollar, it's fine by me. It's real time. And I'm not trading it. So I don't need something hooked into my trading system. I don't see anything out here that gives me a shooting star on a weekly. Let's go back to the daily and see. Well, shooting star happens at the top. You really didn't get that. If we close here tomorrow, I don't see that either. So now I think a lot of market gas today. I don't think that there's any signal in that one. If we're probably going to signal from the dollar, you're probably going to first see it in the TLT. We talked about that. And again, if you're really going to see the dollar drop, you're probably going to really see the TLT move first. I don't see that. You've got a whole lot of no volume today. And that is kind of it. Okay, we're going to go to a hector and the four Holly four barrels. He's not to I believe in old school. Anyway, thoughts on the IWM. Other than we're an options expiration week, I don't see anything that can really be construed as extremely bullish. Again, you're getting the first kind of move here above the downtrend line. What you want is another move below it, and then they move back above it. You get that kind of move like you had back on the 25th of July of August. And it just gave it up the next day. So I'm not going to say that there's a whole lot here. You want this to pull back on a lighter volume and then explode back through and higher. This is problematic. We'll be back in a minute. 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Not exactly sure why we got the bounce off of the lows this morning or actually early or late after breakfast. Which one is that? What's 1130 known? Pre-lunch? Anyway, not exactly sure why we got the bounce. Not exactly sure why we got the dive. Options have been, as I said, very little to the upside. More like 395 for tomorrow. I'm going to hold my powder dry and see how the market opens up in the morning. Very lightly traded. Very few shorts. That's why it was so easy to see the market just rip through five points on the SPYS today and more than 50 some odd points on the S&P 500. Almost instantaneously. There isn't a lot there. There isn't a lot in the overnight sessions for the futures. These are thin markets. Just beware. I'm still more on the side of 395 for the SPYS close tomorrow. They may kind of try to hold this up and try to get into the weekend. But there's not a lot to be bullish about. Sometimes that's when you get your biggest moves. But we've kind of had a lot of that. We've had a lot of stocks going higher on much lighter volume. As we get ready to close the show out today, we only have about 7.2 billion shares. That probably gets us just a little under 10 billion for the day. So not a big market day even with the plunge and the pop. So just be wary. Thin is the word. So when you can, not when you have to. We'll see you tomorrow. Same bat channel. Same bat time.