 The following is a presentation of TFNN. Trade what you see with Larry Pezzavento. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now Larry Pezzavento. Okay, looking good, Billy Ray feeling good, Lewis. Our guest today will be Stan Harley of the Harley Stock Market Letter. Tomorrow we have Tim Boss, Financial Cycles Weekly. Always has some good information, especially on the cryptocurrencies and other markets too. So we like to hear about the cryptos. But Stan Harley will be our guest at the break. Given market conditions, he might be too busy. Who never knows? Anyway, folks, I posted the chart of the FTSEE and the DAX. You can see the DAX much, much weaker. Of course, being from Germany, they're highly reliant upon energy from the Russian Republic. So we have to realize that that's a big factor that they have to get through. Also, I have to give a heads up, folks. Yesterday on the show, we had Shane Smollion. He didn't even post a chart. All he did was talk to us about what he thought was going to happen next. And he was going to say, we're probably going to have a lot of emotionalism into today, the day after the full moon and the Fed being in there yesterday, beating all the drums saying, we've got your back, we've got your back, and all of those things happening. And of course, we had a big run up today. But folks, if you like Fibonacci numbers, and I'm one that does, I just want to show you something that happened today. And this was something that our friend Shane was kind enough to share with me this morning. You'll notice here the NASDAQ, we made a high on January the 4th. We came down on the 24th. We rallied up into the 50% retracement there on February the 4th. And then we came down hard on the 24th of February. And today, believe it or not, folks, we made a 61% retracement of the high that we made on February the 4th. But folks, let's take it one step farther, okay? You're going to have to do the work yourself because I'm not going to do it for yourself. Because if I do it, it don't mean diddly squat to you. But if you do it, I'm going to say, some a gun, man, maybe that'd be something there. Anyway, that's my boys down there in Tairhold, Indiana. That's how we used to talk when we were in high school. If you look at that high on January the 4th, and if you look at the low on February the 24th, 61% retracement off the February high and boys and girls 0.382 to the exact pit point, not a point above, not a point below to the exact point. So that's why you got to pay attention to some of these numbers. They don't work all the time, but when they do work, they do work pretty good. So let's put this here. Does the March factor any of your planetary work? I don't do any planetary work, Jimmy. I rely on Mr. Shane Smollin and some of these other guys like Tim Boss and Norm Winsky to give me some of that stuff. I do one thing, pal, just look up here at the mirror and you'll be able to see it. I do one thing. I'm like Curly. I know ABCDs and that's what I deal with. Now I've got to go through some markets here with you today because they're very, very important. Look, we're looking at crude oil here, folks. This is how you try to get down to risk control. The only thing we know for sure when you put these charts up is risk control, the absolute only thing you know, people might say, oh yeah, yeah, I know it's gonna happen. Yeah, right? Well, run away from that, dude. In fact, if it's me, run twice as hard because you don't know what's going to happen next. And you know what, Mark Douglas always said, you don't need to know what's going to happen next. All you got to be able to do is quantify your risk. Well, staying up at night like I always do, I was doing it with a good friend of mine out of Philadelphia that's a very, very active energy trader. And he said, let's try to find a place to get short this market. And I said, hey, I'll do the best I can. And here's what we were looking at. This is the 15 minute chart of the crude oil, okay? Now this happens to be the April crude. Now you notice the 1.618 up there at 117. The ABCD that we had from yesterday's low to the high came in at 116.57. You can see the high was 116.57. And I told him, you don't have to sell that high if you don't want to. Wait till he breaks and sell the first 382 retracement folks. And guess where that was? That was at 114. Well, this puppy I believe went all the way down to 106. I quit counting when it dropped. But that's the main thing. But look what's going on here folks. Look at the, look what they're feeding us, okay? Now this is important. Here is, that's April, May, June, July, August. Let's go out four months. And you're gonna see the August crude oil is trading for $20 some of barrel under the price of the nearby, okay? Now guess what? What do you think that is? That's called backwardation. Well, the reason why, Mr. G7 says, watch my blood pressure. Mr. G7, let me tell you something. My blood pressure is the same as it was when I was in high school. I mean, my blood, once in a while it goes up to 140 or something like that. But usually it runs about 125 to 135. And my systolic is spot on 618 of the systolic. So anyway, I'm in great shape. I mean, I'm older, but I'm not old. So, but thank you for worrying about my blood pressure. No, I just wanted to share with you because when I see these things happening, this is what keeps me, this is what keeps me going in this business because I see these things and I say, well, they don't work all the time. Hell, nothing does, you know? Anyway, you can see the big difference. And believe me, when you get into the rear view mirror about two months down the road, three months down the road, why didn't I see something like that? Well, that's why they call it backwardation boys and girls. That's why they call it backwardation. Okay, now let's get back here to a couple of things that I think are relative. By the way, we're 350 handles below that number in the NASDAQ right now. So something's going on over there, the little bit of profit taking possibly. Let's move on and let's talk about the wheat. Okay, here's what we've been watching in wheat. Let's just walk through this because I'm doing the same thing in wheat that I did in the Crudo, but it's a little different this time. Let me get this up here so we can see it. That's the first wheat chart that we want to be looking at. All right, now the next one we want to be looking at is where are you at number three here? Here's what we're looking at. I want you to see here is where we are. Now you get the wheat out. Remember now we're seeing wheat almost at 12 bucks a bushel. Anyway, here is the last few days. You can see the first through where we are now, the third. You'll see these key times here. That's when we were locked limit up, those little blinds there. We were locked limit up one, two, three, four times today locked limit up. Now we came off of that. We came off of that limit quite a bit and I'll show you why, because this is the important part of what I do with these numbers because they do have predictive capabilities within limits and that's the limits that we're dealing with. Okay, now what we want to do is we want to update that and I'll show you what's happened today. The wheat came off the limit. All right, you'll see that. It came all the way down from 1140 all the way down to, we dropped 40 cents of bushel folks, 40 cents of bushel and guess where it is now folks? Lock limit up again. The reason why I'm bringing this to your attention is if you'll look at the middle of the chart where it says 1.618 up there at 1164. Okay, that's the number. We're not gonna probably see it today, but if we do, we're gonna look at it tomorrow and see how well it predicts it, whether it did this or not. Now it predicted it okay in the crude oil and the heating oil. All of those work just fine, but when they don't work, that doesn't mean anything. It just means you move on to the next one. That's all it is. It's not a big one. Here's one that we talked about yesterday in one of the videos that I sent out and this was the, is the, watch for a three, eight, two retracement in the bonds. And we got one up there at 158. We've got a second one at 157. So that's what you wanna be watching. Let's take a break, 877-927-6648. Now take my blood pressure medication and meet you on the other side of the hill here. You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market, you're going to need a crystal ball. After all, it's impossible to predict the future, right? 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At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis, and it's not just dry, tedious text, either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern. For free, each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, TFNN, educating investors. Toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. Okay, folks, I wanted to bring to your attention a couple of quick things here. I had to put that chart up about the NASDAQ because I know Shane's not gonna pull it up, he's not gonna wave any flag in front of anybody's face, but let me tell you a story about flag waving folks. In 1972, I was long eggs, and this was on a Friday and I'll be doggone if the egg report didn't come out after the close and my gosh, the government was buying everything in sight. There might not be any eggs except for the In the Smithsonian. I had four contracts of eggs and I was happier than a pig in poop and I said, oh man, I've gotta go celebrate. So I went down to Beverly Hills to Morrie's Habadashree where the movie stars were T-shirts for $100. This was 1972 and they had a leather Western jacket there, beautiful glove leather tan with a beautiful suede inlay and oh man, it was really incredible. It fit me like a glove. I think I weighed about 125 at that, well, it was closer to 165, but anyway, it fit me perfectly, size 40 and I just couldn't wait to pick it up. I paid $1,000 for it folks and because I knew I was gonna make at least 15 grand on those eggs on Monday morning and boy, I was really happy. So I come in Monday morning really early, I got into a county commodity around 6.30 and Roy Fassel called me into the office and said, hey, we got a problem. And I said, what's wrong? He said, the egg report was mistaken. And I said, what do you mean? He said, they're not buying any eggs at all. They've suspended buying for three months. And I said, what? Well, eggs drop three limits in a row, minus 20 large folks, that was a $20,000 jacket. I got out, never to trade eggs again. And I had that jacket in my closet for I think seven or eight years, never wore it one time. I couldn't even stand to look at it. And finally, St. Jude Catholic Church there in West Lake Village had a reverse auction and I took it in. It still had the labels and the sales thing on for mores. And they sold it for two grand. But anyway, I gave it away as charity, but that's why you got to be really careful about giving too ovulent about anything. And like Johnny Kay said, walk softly and carry a big stick. I think the politician said that too, but anyway, you just got to be quiet because sometimes things go up, sometimes things go down. You just don't know when those times are. Let's take a look here folks at the US Dollar Index. Very, very important to watch this. We'll have Stan Harley as our guest today and we'll get that up right here. Okay. All right, there you go. There's the, you can see the strong resistance we're getting it up here at around 98 in the US Dollar Index. But the most important one, more important than that. Well, they're all important, but some are even more important than that. And this is one of those and we're going to get it up here in just a second as soon as these old highs can find it. And boy, this is the one you got to pay attention to folks. This is a big index because it can, it's all these indices. And look, we're within just a half a point or so of that 61% retracement up there about 98. And believe me, all the people in the world when this thing gets above 98 are going to be blowing horns. And that's why you've got to be really, really careful up here because that's going to be the spot where you want to reverse. And that's the dollar being strong should be the dollar, we should be gold being weak but gold's been strong into this mainly because of what's happening in political of what's going on over in Eastern Europe. And everybody in the news knows what's going on over there except someone that doesn't have a TV or a radio or hand signals. I mean, everybody knows what's going on there. So let's pay close attention to that. That's on my radar. We're getting closer to it all the time. And as we watch the euro unfold here we're getting down here near these levels of that 109 those of you that take the 24 seven newsletter that 109 has been our level. We're trading at 110 and change right now. So 109 is the 78% retracement down there. That will be equivalent to what we do when we hit the 98 and change in the US dollar index. So that's something that I'll be up all night looking at it as we get closer to it. And maybe that's tonight. So let's remind ourselves that these markets are here for the benefit of everybody that stays up all night. That's a joke folks. Let's take a look here at this Bitcoin. We've been in a really tight trading range now in the Bitcoin for several months. We get a high of around 41, no 46, 46,000. We're not trading around 44. The 382 retracement on this folks comes in at 47,000. That would be a perfect A, B, C, D exactly at the 382 retracement at 47,000. If Bitcoin starts getting above 48, 49, 50 it's probably gonna go to 100,000. But right now it's gotta get above 47. The last I saw it was around 44,000 today. So that's something that is pretty interesting to look at. By the way, also the open interest in the crude oil even though it's going nuts and it's in the news just like it was back in 2008. It's in the news all the time. Open interest is not increasing, believe it or not. And I find that hard to believe considering there's so much specs out there. So a lot of it is a shorter term and much of it is option related. So the option players are in their big time but not so much in the futures market. The futures market is where they keep score but the options is where they play the game. So if you're an options player, get ready because your premiums are just absolutely out of this. I mean, you gotta be, unless you're an option seller go take a vacation for heaven's sakes. It's you don't have any chance at all. They're putting in premiums there that Hector can't figure out what they are and that dog is pretty smart. So let's remind ourselves that it's not how much money you make it's how much money you don't lose. And that's the key to doing this right here. I do the best I can trying to do that. I miss a lot of stuff but you're not gonna catch me there with a something really nasty at least anyway not for the time being right now. Anyway, we'll get a break here. We got, oh, we got the break coming up in two minutes. If you have any questions, 877-927-6648 and we'll see where these markets are gonna be going here later today but we've had a pretty big reversal. We were up almost 300 and down we were down just a little while ago. I don't know where we are now and the NASDAQ had about a 400 point swing at one time I believe and I don't know where that is now. So it's always interesting when we see these exciting things happening jumping around quite a bit but the thing with the crude oil is probably not over. We've had a pretty big range. I think the range was about $10,000 some high to low. So that was a pretty big range but remember we had that before we had that yesterday too. I mean, it's another $10,000. I mean, that's all it is it's just swinging $10,000 at a time. And believe me, you're gonna see that at IBE and all these other places your margins on these things are gonna go through the roof. So you've gotta be really prepared for what you're doing here. And if you're doing options, be careful because these premiums that they're building into these things, well, just for an example look at August crude, you know it's selling for $20 a barrel under where the others are and they're still taking premiums on it. Oh boy, unbelievable. This reminds me of when in 2000, 1991 the desert storm war lasted one day, 24 hours. And the premiums on the oil at that time was 41 the oil trading at 42 bucks a barrel and the premiums were so high you just couldn't believe if you'd either buy a call or sell a put it didn't make any difference. It was extremely high. And of course that high went from 42 down to $11 a barrel the following year. So it had a slight sell off of about 85%. Let's take a quick break. We're going to have none other than stand the man Harley, the Harley stock market letter up next. Hopefully. Are you having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with? Become an apex predator in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den trading room only at TFNN.com. The Tiger's Den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas. Join the den and surround yourself with the sharpest minds in the trading world. 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Someone asked the question, is did I ever have any good things happen about stuff like that? Folks, when you trade after 60 years, you're bound to have some good things happen to you, but probably the one that there's been a bunch of, but the one of my most memorable was in August of 83, I used to love to trade gold and I would actually go into the gold pit and do my one and two lots and, because I always passed my orders into the pit itself, so I didn't have to worry about outtrades and it was very dull over there and so I was trying to do a two-lot and this guy from, I forget which brokerage firm it was, I don't even remember what it was, but then he kept pushing me for a 10-lot, 10-lot, 10-lot, you know, to buy the 10-lot, buy the 10-lot and he just kept, he was spitting in my face and finally I said, take him and so I took the 10-lot and I was angry with myself and I walked down to the pit and I looked up and it was already down $2, so I'm about two grand, so I walked back to the desk there and I said to, I said to Rudy, I said, Rudy, I said, I really screwed up with this, I said, I wanna get this out, but I don't want this guy to know that I'm selling this 10-lot. He said, sure, he said, I'll take it in for you. So he starts walking over to the pit and all of a sudden, all hell broke loose. Well, guess what, folks? The Russians had shot down a, I think it was either United or something, was it Korean Air? I don't remember the airline, all I know is they shot it out of the sky and goal jumped about 15 bucks and 15 times two is 30 large, folks and I was a happy boy and I couldn't believe this, I said, oh my God, this is terrific, you know, and so by the time he got to the pit, it was, you know, very, very active, you know, and so I was able to get out, it was way over 20 grand and so I was feeling pretty good and so that night when I left that afternoon, I always took the, I took the bus home every night because it dropped me off in front of the Lake Point Towers where I was living and so I was, I'd stopped in front of the Catholic Church there off of Clark Street and I went in and they were having services in the afternoon and Byron and I, as a joke, we used to carry a $1,000 bill in our wallets because you could get them easily, Byron was dating a girl from the, the Federal Reserve there in Chicago and so she could get any bill you wanted, a 500 or a 1,000, they were back in 83, they were easy to get, late now they're a huge premium to get those so we had a $1,000 bill and the priest came by and I dropped it into the basket and he said, is this real? I said, yes, father, it is, he said, boy, he said, that's, he said, that's really nice of you. He said, because, you know, we're having a really tough time here now, summertime and he said, do we just, this is really tough, he says, really gonna help and so I reached into my pocket and I had another few hundred bucks and I just emptied my wallet into him and, you know, gave it to him and of course I had a bunch, you know, in my account the next day but that was one of the good things that happened during that time. Later that week, I went back to try to get the money back from the priest and he said, yeah, sorry, we don't have refunds here so there's what you go so when you give it, you gotta take it and that's the way it is, boys and girls, that's the way it is. All right, someone's asked me a question, do I think that we are still following the program that Peter E. Lighties had talked about by the 55 days? Boys and girls, I don't think so but we are one day away from the 55 days. I don't believe that it's following the 1987 one. There's a slight, slight chance that it could be following the one for the, what do you call it, 1929 but even that is suspect and with stuff going on with the war and stuff like that, anything could happen. All I know is the premise that he built that on was pretty good. The fact that we had those rallies away from that number on the 4th of March is very important but whether it doesn't mean anything because what we were basing anything on is how much you had the risk to see if you were right. That's the whole premise of what we were looking at and that's what I think you have to pay really close attention for. Stop and think where we've been folks. Just today in the S&P, we had a high of 416. We got all the way down to 40, what is it? 43, 40 or something like that. I don't even know what the price was, how low we got. Let's just see how low did we get? Yeah, we got all the way down to 43, 40. So that's it. Let's take a quick look since I got this up, I can see it clearly now and the number you wanna watch now folks is watch 43.71 in the E-mini S&P just for kicks and giggles just to see if that does anything and then we'll be able to go from that level. So I hope that's correct. Regarding these other grains like soybeans, bean oil and some of the others, I'm watching all of them for low risk entry, especially corn. I have friends that are in the corn business of course in Indiana and Illinois and believe me, they've hedged everything that they can get all the way through next year's crop anywhere near $7 a bushel because they make a lot of money at $7 a bushel and beans above $16, they have to do that because with the price of ammonia the way it is for the fertilizer, they lock in huge profits and that's what they're doing and when these markets are active like this they give these people a really good chance to hedge and if you don't, and if you don't then you're in trouble. That's what Simonle's built a monster business. He works, his company was bought out by Farm Bureau and he has I think 480 farms as I recall a couple of them are more than 200,000 acres and they do all that through the banks. I mean, as soon as they get a nice profit in something they lock it up and it's a business and they're making lots of money and not only that but the farmland's going out out of sight. You know, I heard it was up over $1,000 an acre just over the past six or eight weeks stuff that used was selling for 7,500 it's going for 87 to $9,000 an acre a lot of it's coming from foreign buyers and stuff but it's still out there and people are paying the price for it so that's what we're looking at here. I have to give a heads up here folks I don't like to get into this but this was something that was posted today on Bloomberg and I thought it was pretty interesting from one of our politicians, our Senator Manchin and from Wisconsin and he's Wisconsin trying to get West Virginia and he was basically saying, hey look Russia buys 44% of their, sells 40% of their oil to China on a long-term agreement, right? The other 23%, who buys it? The next largest buyer is guess who, us. We're paying them exorbitant prices $107, $108, $109 a barrel, come on folks Manchin said, let's take a look at this stop buying it there, buy it someplace else or produce it yourself, that's smart business I think but you know, that's my two cents worth and I'm sticking to it. All right, I wanted to bring one of these charts to your attention here that is very, very important because they just stopped literally doing business with China and that is China, Russia. Try it again, Larry, that's Apple. You notice here we have this big move down we've had a pretty good rally. I haven't updated this as of yet through the first part of the week but I believe we're up around that 167, 168 level I don't know what the high on the Apple was today but it shouldn't be any higher. The most Apple should have got on this rally was 168. I don't know if Apple hit 168 this morning. Look at that, is that where it is right now or was that the high, Bo? Yeah, okay, that's about right, 168. Well, some of these numbers work. Shut the front door and raise the rent. Sometimes they work, sometimes they don't. That's the whole thing of what it's all about. Hey, let's take a break. 877-927-6648. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa and Clearwater markets? Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay Area. 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We did get as high as 482 and change. We've not taken out that high of the shoulder. So that is still a valid pattern. We've sold off a little bit from that level. So until that high is taken out, it's still a head and shoulders pattern. You can go back there and touch it even. But if it goes one tick above it, it cannot be a head and shoulders pattern. That's by the definition from Andrew Lowe, the non-random walk down Wall Street because they did these mathematically. So it's still valid, but with these wild swings we're having these energy markets. Natural gas is by far no exception. Remember, natural gas in Europe is selling for around four times what it is here. And if you remember many of these Baltic state countries, Latvia and a whole bunch of the others, you just got to be really careful up there because they get all their energy from Russia. And that's along with Germany. And so they've got to be really careful of who they make angry, if they make anybody angry, if it makes any difference, who knows. Okay, now let's take a look at one other one that I wanted to talk to you about in the futures markets here, folks. And that is, let me get to the sugar because sugar has been hit, one of the few commodities is not rallied rapidly. Now this was just as a few days ago, but sugar had a big move down, a little rally and it's been in a bear market. So that's one of the reasons why it's probably not rallying as much as the others, but many of the others are still holding up. We've had big corrections in the livestock market. We were alluding to that effect in probably coming in here. And we broke through all that major support that was there in hogs and cattle. They just literally like it didn't even exist at that three, eight, two level. And that's part of what's, but remember there's a food problem all over the world here. We've got Jeff from Philadelphia. Jeff, how are you doing today, my friend? Hi, I'm doing great. How are you? Very good. What's up, buddy? I heard Stan Harley canceled. So I thought I'd call in and offer to share a little trick I figured out that helps me trade the Gartley pattern. Well, everybody's listening to this. So go right ahead, Jeff. I like to hear it. No, I'm serious. I'm open to everything. Well, it's just a little thing, but it's helpful. So what it is, once I've established the D point in a Gartley, I set an alert, or a little reminder, just a couple of ticks above that D point. In case I get a new D point, I want to adjust my target, you know, which is 0.618 of the AB range. So sometimes I get like five or six new D points. So, you know, the alarms keep going off. I keep ratcheting my target up. And then I thought, you know, this is, there might be a better way. And I thought about it. And so what I do, excuse me, what I do now is rather than set the alert a couple of points above the D point, is I set it below the original D point. And that way I'm not being bothered by every new D point, but by the time it establishes the final D point and heads back down and then hits my limit-minder, you know, by then it's probably the right one and it goes off. And I still have room and time, I mean, to adjust my target. So now instead of getting like five or six different alerts, you know, I just get one, which saves me time. That's very smart thinking. And what you're doing is, intuitively, is you're minimizing your loss. And that's the whole key to what the Gartley's patterns and butterflies, ABCDs, that's what they do, is they help you quantify what your risk is. So you're doing a great job. Keep it up. Okay, great. Well, thank you very much. I just wanted to share that with the listener. Well, I appreciate you sharing it with us, Jeff. Thanks for calling in. It's always nice to hear from you, my friend. And stay tuned. You've only got another 19 days and spring will be here. You can forget about ice for a while. That would be welcome. I'm sure it will be. Okay, folks, let's move on here. Thank you for calling in, Jeff. I certainly appreciate it. Okay, here was another one that's been under some stress here, folks. And I don't know why because everybody's probably staying up late drinking things. But you'll notice here, the coffee broke down below that 78% level. I don't know if it stayed below 237. Would somebody let me know where the spot coffee is trading at right now? Because it should have had really strong support at the 237. And I'm not sure where it's, I don't have a trade coffee in years, don't plan on doing it, but someone asked the question about it. So I'm assuming that that's what it would be. If they give me the last price of, I guess it would be probably July coffee. Any coffee price would be nice to see if it held that 237 a pound because we don't want Starbucks going out of business on us as they were able to sell their coffee for $3 a cup, whatever it is that they charge. I'd never been to a Starbucks other than the one in Seattle. So I don't really go there. That tells you one time out of a lifetime. Okay. Now, all right, someone asked another question. And that is, where do I think treasury bonds are going? Folks, treasury bonds and treasury notes are in a major bear market. We know that the treasury notes have made the big ABCD pattern. And what we're doing now is we are completing a big rally here. Yeah, see it broke down. Wow, 223, it really broke down. Yeah, that was a sale. Once that coffee went below 237, it's now 14 cents a pound under that. That's a five grand. So when these patterns fail, stand aside because that's important. Now, let's look at that chart here of the treasury notes. You'll see the perfect ABCD within 10 pips. We had a really nice rally of three points. That might be all you get the last time we had one of those. If you'll see a few weeks ago, well, a few months ago, we had a 382 retracement, and that also was three points. But the Federal Reserve is between a rock and a hard place, folks. I know Mr. Powell was up there with his violin yesterday and his flute, telling where the rats to come in. But let me tell you, they're strapped. They really are, they have a big problem. Some people realize it, but they are trying to give you a line of baloney that is maybe just too many, two slices of baloney on that white bread. So be really careful. Just trade what you see, not what you think. Raise my hand, yeah, I believe things. So I'll stop thinking and just start looking because that's all you gotta do. Look at the charts. Anybody that saw a coffee chart just now, once it went below 236, Sianara, five grand straight down. Maybe I should start trading coffee again. Shut the front door and raise the rent. And also, folks, I'll have more information this weekend because we're getting ready for planning intentions here at the Board of Trade for wheat, corn, beans, and some of these other things that are gonna be out there. So we have to start watching that. They're gonna have to plant fence post to fence post just to keep the world happy for one more year. And if we have any trouble in this country, oh, shut the front door. You don't wanna even think about where these prices could go. So we need to have a really good wet spring and nice warm summer, not too hot and a great crop coming in next fall or we're big trouble and we'll be following it quite a bit. Luckily, we have Rich Anderson and Simonly to give us some ideas on what the weather patterns are gonna be look at. So it should be pretty good to look at that. Yeah, someone just told me that a Starbucks chocolate mocha is 475. Wow, you get the same thing in McDonald's for $1.19 and that's with the 19 cent thing to the Ronald McDonald house. Let's take a break, 877-927-6648. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis and it's not just dry tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern for free. Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. 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For more information, you can call 877-518-9190. That's 877-518-9190. Okay, someone asked me a question. Is this the high in the crude oil market? I have no idea and I don't really care. All I do is I watch the patterns and I try to trade against them. I don't know where the high is and I don't really care. I mean, I didn't care in 07, I didn't care in 08, I didn't care in 14, or 19, or any of these things. I'm looking at how much money do I have to risk to see if I can put a trade on. That's the only thing I'm doing, folks. If you're looking for someone to predict the future, pick somebody else because certainly, yeah, they do come in sometimes, but by golly, you're only looking at what, one out of three chances of getting it right and you try to do a little bit better than that in your trading, you try to be 50% or 0.618 of that. So it's all about the patterns that I look at, folks. That's really, I mean, I hear a lot of information, I watch a lot of things happening, but when it gets down, I just look at ABCD and that's all I need to know. That tells me where the buyer selling is in there and if I don't see that pattern lined up the way I want it, I don't do it. Perfect example is the wheat. I'm not going to touch the wheat at least until we get up here near that 12, 11, 70, a bushel. And we're still limit up now at 11.40, so it's got another 24 cents to go and I will sell it at 11.64 with a 10-cent stop because I believe in that 1.618 so much that I have to do that. And if I'm willing to take that $500 risk, I'm gonna do it because I'm right. I'm gonna have $1,000 in it before I get the fillback if it's any good. If not, back to McDonald's and going to that $4.75 coffee. We'll see if that's happening. Hopefully we're going to have either Stan Harley or Tim Boss tomorrow, folks. Honest to God, I double checked, I triple checked and I think I did everything but unchecked but I had them lined up for today. Evidently I had it screwed up and we'll be able to get going here to see what's going on. Well, if you want a good cheeseburger all you need to go to McDonald's in Zurich or Geneva and you can get a nice hamburger. I'm just not the Happy Meal, just the hamburger itself. The Big Mac is going to cost you $18. Euros, baby, euros, not dollars. We'll see you on the flip side tomorrow, folks. Flip every day in an attitude of gratitude and may God bless.