 All right guys welcome into another edition here of the fan duel hurry up I'm Joe Ranieri joined by JJ Zach a recent a fan duel and we're gonna talk a little free Agency right now and there are a lot of teams that are gonna have some new players on them. We're in New Jersey's But how does that wait? We'll ask JJ here and I guess JJ There's no better place to start up than with the biggest name about Tom Brady right now projections heading into the year What do you think about this? Yeah, so you're gonna hear a lot of people talk about Tom Brady not being a great fit in this Bruce Arians offense because the Bruce Arians offense throws a lot of intermediate and deep passes dating back to Arians being in Arizona He's ranked in the top 10 in the league every single year in deep ball rate And Tom Brady over the last half decade at least has not but the one thing with Tom Brady Is that he's actually ranked in the top half of the league in each of the last five years in completion percentage on? Passes that have traveled 15 or more air yards now you give him Chris Godwin you give him Mike Evans You give him O. J. Howard Tom Brady isn't a really good spot to produce and be very fantasy relevant So right now my projections have met 4,476 passing yards Almost 30 touchdowns a little over 29 touchdowns and just a little over 10 interception You know people sometimes equate deep ball with arm strength, but that's not the case guys not the case at all It just wasn't the it wasn't in the playbook there in New England So I'm with you I think we're gonna get more than people expect and there are an awful lot of people JJ that expect Deandre Hopkins is gonna explode To kind of been down as far as the projections go the last couple years the numbers But what are the Arizona Carvels getting Deandre off? Yeah, it's a really interesting situation If you look over the last nine or so years since 2011 We've seen 19 different seasons where a wide receiver has seen a 30% target share or better Deandre Hopkins owns three of those season That's a really really elite target share But if you look at those 19 seasons There's one thing that all of those seasons have in common and it's that those wide receivers Didn't have that much competition at passcatcher on their individual teams now good wide receivers We'll see a good target share because you have to get open in order to see targets targets are a skill statistic But if you look at Deandre Hopkins new situation, he's now competing with Christian Kirk Larry Fitzgerald Kenyan Drake out of the backfield So even if you see this move to Arizona in the quarterback position being fairly level because Kyler Murray's an up-and-coming passer You know, he doesn't as Deandre Hopkins doesn't necessarily have the same ceiling that he had with Houston He doesn't have that Michael Thomas type ceiling anymore He's still gonna be a wide receiver one in fantasy But I do worry about there being a little bit of a cap ceiling even if he sees, you know Like a 26% target share or so so my projections right now have Hopkins at a hundred receptions 1177 yards and nine touchdowns. Yeah, I can imagine the party once Once the quarantine ends here that Kyler Murray is gonna be throwing right now with the the weapons He's gonna have next year He's got to be excited and I listen fresh start sometimes works for everybody including David Johnson who is on his way to Houston from Arizona in the Deandre Hopkins trade What about David Johnson might we rekindle the flame from a couple of years ago? We might I mean We know that Houston was an opportunity or place for opportunity for running back to go to with Carlos Hyde being a free agent Carlos Hyde last year saw 72% of Houston's running back rushes, which is a pretty high rushing share for him David Johnson has looked a little bit slower But we can kind of view this as a Carlos Hyde plus type situation because David Johnson is a good receiver He can catch the ball out of the backfield So if you look at it from that perspective where David Johnson could see some goal line work He should see a decent amount of touches on the ground. My projection right now has him at 226 carries 952 rushing yards seven or so rushing touchdowns, but then through the air I've got him at 35 receptions 312 receiving yards and one to two receiving touchdowns So David Johnson as long as he's able to maintain that starting gig in Houston. He should be fantasy relevant Yeah, stick with the running backs. I don't know how much I love guys that bet on themselves Anytime, but I'm not sure how much money he lost by betting on himself But talk to me about Melvin Gordon also going to be in a new location no longer with the Chargers What are your projections for Melvin Gordon going into the season? Yeah, it's a tough scene for Melvin Gordon after everything that's gone down over the last year But he goes to a Denver team that has a crowded backfield already We've seen Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman split that backfield last year I think this move makes Royce Freeman pretty irrelevant from a fantasy perspective So we're really looking at Melvin Gordon versus Phillip Lindsay The one interesting aspect of this Broncos backfield and Phillip Lindsay in particular is that last season during the first half of The season he was seeing a target share per game that was in the 13 to 14 percent range And then the second half of the season that dropped to under seven percent So basically cut in half during the second half of the year We know that Melvin Gordon is a pretty good pass catcher out of the backfield Even though he was sort of being overshadowed by Austin Echler this past season So Melvin Gordon could carve out somewhat of a role Especially given the fact that we've seen Denver sort of cap Phillip Lindsay's rushing upside given his size So Gordon to me not an ideal landing spot going to Denver But I do have him for 203 attempts 886 yards in the ground with six to seven touchdowns But then through the air I have him with 40 receptions and then another touchdown as well You know the not quite the right the wide receiver He used to be but still the rich keep getting richer the Saints go ahead and add yet another weapon in Emanuel Sanders again getting up there in years But production in years don't necessarily mean anything What do you think we're going to get from Emanuel Sanders this year? Yeah, the Saints are always a tough team to to project because they're super super efficient We know they're going to score a lot of touchdowns But of late, you know over the last three years especially They haven't been throwing the ball nearly as much as what we saw maybe half a decade ago Over the last three years they've ranked either average or below average in pass attempts Which really limits the target volume for wide receivers tight ends and running backs on that team Then on top of that, you know that Michael Thomas is going to get a large target here You know that Alvin Kamara is going to get a large target share and then Jared Cook is there as well So right now I do have Emanuel Sanders projected for the third highest target share on the Saints Which will get him between you know 80 to 90 targets So he can't be fantasy relevant. I think that he's more of a high end wide receiver four low end wide receiver three My projections right now have Sanders for 64 receptions 789 yards and five to six touchdowns. All right, and I guess no better place to end than with a guy that's a total enigma I don't know. Is it him? Is he hurt? Is he not? Is it John McVeigh? I don't know Todd girly You know, certainly not what he once was is it the contract of money? What do you make a Todd girly in the fresh start? He's going to get Yeah, really volatile situation for girly for sure just given the knee and given what we saw last season You know, it's a good landing spot in terms of seeing volume similar to houston But also similar to houston We haven't seen the atlanta running backs over the last couple of years score a ton of fantasy points part of the reason for that Is that atlanta hasn't been very run heavy close to the goal line and they haven't run many goal line plays Whereas if you look at la even last season during Todd girly's down year Are you still able to score 14 total touchdowns? Because the rams were ranked really high and run rate close to the goal line and total plays close to the goal line So there is a downgrade in terms of how many touchdowns Todd girly might score in this atlanta falcons offense But there's a little bit more upside if they decide to use him more as a receiver Which is what we didn't see with Todd girly in the rams last year So in total I have girly right now projected for 235 attempts 964 rushing yards eight touchdowns on the ground and then through the air I have them for 44 catches 338 yards in one to two touchdowns So Todd girly has an opportunity if his knees do hold up to be a lower end rb1 in fantasy Well, it's going to be interesting to see how this all plays out again a lot of big names A lot of new teams a lot of new jerseys and of course we'll be here with the fan duel hurry up getting you caught up with all the latest information on behalf of JJ Zachary's in there of fan duel. I'm Joe Ranieri. This has been another edition of the fan duel hurry up Be well. We'll talk to you again soon