 The following is a presentation of TFNN the morning market kickoff with your host Tommy O'Brien Good Monday morning everybody. Excuse me. I'm Tommy O'Brien company alive from TFNN quite the overnight session folks if you missed it we were down to forty two thirty eight overnight in the S&Ps just like that folks we've reclaimed ninety nine zero S&P points and we've done it all since six fifteen a.m. this morning man futures talk about a wild night overnight all the fears of Russia oil basically getting banned across the board that's sending commodity prices through the roof we had crude getting staggering prices last night right now to jump into the crude market we're going to kick it off with that crew contract one thirty fifty on the open last night tensions easing a bit one twenty six was the price at about one a.m. and just like that we're only up a dollar in the crude market you got S&Ps only off eight points folks eight points you're talking about we were off ninety points right yeah at least Nasdaq one hundred negative just twenty points you're talking about a three hundred point pop from the lows last night we get the Dow right now you're talking about the Dow trading down seventy points thirty three thousand five thirteen we got the Russell in positive territory who had the Russell in positive territory last night at three in the morning when you were trading at nineteen forty eight down two and a half percent you're back above two thousand we jumped to gold two thousand and seven was the price of gold reversing some of those gains gold up nine bucks you see the volatility there I talked about crude we jump over to silver up ten excuse me down ten cents after trading up to twenty six thirty seven last night you're back to twenty five sixty eight and let's jump to notes and bonds you talk about a reversal man this market no matter where you look folks were back under one point eight percent but man you talk about lofty levels let me see where we were last night we're at one point seven nine right now the yield in the tenure I'm trying to get the chart up to see exactly where we were on that full move it's not going to move quick enough for me I will get what the yields went to maybe somebody in the tiger's den knows where we were at probably approaching about one point seven percent man because we're a full point from one twenty nine to one twenty seven twenty eight right now on the tenure we're going to kick it off with one equity before we get into all the geopolitical headlines it's almost all geopolitical folks and it makes sense anytime we got commodity prices spiking to where they are anytime you have oil prices hitting $130 a barrel folks we were just at $90 a barrel not that long ago but we kick it off with a meme stock best buy if you had some best buy on Friday you have double that amount on Monday best buy revealed that GameStop chairman Cohen who was the one who really started the GameStop mania he's got a 10 percent stake in bedbath and beyond man the GameStop mania it doesn't stop for war folks the Reddit stocks continue and you know what I think this might be a good plan because bedbath and beyond the struggling greatly as we all know but he's got 10 percent of it and what he's talking about is basically selling off the company and spinning off buy buy baby chain and maybe that's the most value that you get for the bank for the buck in that company not sure how you sell bedbath and beyond items I mean if I haven't been in one of those stores in a long time folks now to take a look at the long-term volatility we put it on a three-year weekly you're gonna open I mean look at this you're gonna open at 32 folks you're gonna open pushing almost all time highs now this is a weekly you had a couple weeks that got a little crazy specifically January 25th but man you're pushing some lofty levels even in the realm of meme stocks 32 bucks for bedbath and beyond but I joked folks as somebody with a baby in the house little Tommy he is now 13 months just over 13 months old but man there's nothing like going into those baby stores buying some clothes trying to find a couple toys or what it be I joked in our tiger stand very inelastic demand in baby stores when you're buying goods for your children so maybe that is the best path forward but 10 percent it's quite a lofty position Cohen comes in and the market responds man okay let's get back to the headlines of the day and we're going to kick it off with where was my headline that started Brent crude jumps above $120 the market wrap up over Bloomberg US considers a ban on the imports of Russian oil due to of course the invasion excuse me Euro down dollar rises natural gas metals almost everything hitting records folks this was as is the write up of last night and as you've seen things have really eased a bit now I know that one of I believe yet maybe even the German Chancellor coming out today and saying that they were not quite ready that is what started the huge relief I'll see if I can pull it up and get the exact quote but that is what started the huge relief if you pull up the crew contract that's a weekly talk about an acceleration put it on a five minute chart though and you see the drop off 7 a.m. it really began 123 you're talking about trading basically down seven dollars from where you were at 7 a.m. this morning and that's where the market started to pick off a pick up as well 6 30 and there's 6 45 we're trading at 42 60 you're talking about adding quite an acceleration if this is ever an ABCD you're talking about 42 45 so what's that about 60 points almost to the upside to 4308 60 points in change you'd have a C point coming at 4286 what you're talking about 43 45 would be the full continuation of their 43 45 that would put the S&P's up about 20 points on the session totally feasible for that to happen all right what else we got going on jumping around Coles checking out the headline on Coles activist pressure they plan to open smaller shops and aims to make Sephora a two billion dollar business right so they have Sephora going on inside the store long term financial targets for the business growing sales by low single digit percentage retailers had a big week last week facing pressure from active activists investors they're going to try and grow it Sephora business to more than two billion dollars in annual sales yeah 850 is what they're going to have in their stores 850 Sephora stores right now they've opened 200 of the Sephora shops in shops inside and this is how you're going to see a play out you cannot support yeah here's what Cole said also said it's on pace to open more than 100 smaller format shops over the next four years the smaller stores are about 35,000 square feet all right versus 80,000 square feet you're seeing a whole shift there in a big way even at 35,000 feet they're going to have to capitalize on that square footage but at 80,000 feet they're going to grow a business within a business they're going to have Sephora within that 80,000 square feet I imagine you're going to see a lot of businesses if they have that type of square footage imprint to be doing similar action as well all right there's almost so much going on folks so where do we begin but let's jump around see how some of the fang stocks are coming up as we come into the first week you got amazon shares still going to be down they're going to open under 2900 we get the market at 2912 as of the close of friday is that right 2912 yes 2912 so barely lower on amazon we'll jump over to apple shares I mean look at apple apple claws back $3 and change last night every dollar that apple changed uh trade folks you're talking about $16.5 billion in market cap so that move you're talking about $50 billion in market cap down and up for apple shares we jump over to Microsoft shares basically flat they claw it all back see how tesla's trading this morning uh tesla positive territory up to 848 we'll jump around folks to some deal that buffett's got quite a position in oxy and man talk about timing then buffett he amassed quite a position in this company folks and just look at the last 10 days you go from 38 to 60 in this equity let alone you back it up further than that you're talking about 37 bucks just recently stay tuned folks we'll be right back after the break everything in the universe is governed by the fibonacci sequence this mathematical principle is responsible for everything from the most aesthetically pleasing artwork to patterns in the stock market to stay on top of stock patterns you can take advantage of sign up for the fibonacci 24 7 newsletter at tfnn.com when you subscribe you'll get a weekly report from veteran day trader larry pesavento on stocks you need to pay attention to and you can trust larry's analysis after all he's got 45 years experience as a day trader larry will also provide daily charts videos and data on the key markets that he's tracking expect notifications from larry on market movement you need to act on at any time first time subscribers also get a 30 day money back guarantee if 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we got the naztac 100 negative 40 dowel 117 russell barely back in the red negative two crude almost back to flat after being up above 130 that's a weekly you put things on a five minute you see the pullback to 160 and 37 up to 130 50 quite the acceleration indeed uh and when you get into it i wanted to talk about what i had talked about in terms of the comments from the german chancellor out there and i got the comments up here we're going to pull it up on the bloomberg updates uh shoals put the brakes on discussions about opposing restrictions on russian oil and gas saying the supplies from russia are of essential importance to the european economy heating transport and electricity cannot be secured otherwise the german leader said so that was quite a strong remark from the german leader out there basically saying man we need heat we need oil there's no other way uh it's of essential importance uh that cannot be secured otherwise talk about being in between a rock and a hard place to put it lightly uh so that causing some easing of the tensions in terms of the pullback and uh i don't think many thought you'd see a complete pullback pretty remarkable i'm going to jump around to some of the airlines because man they are taking a hit too now getting over to this this is what continuing down the line here uh airline profit chances evaporate evaporate as fuel prices surge yeah many airlines they talk about here chinese uh well let's let's first go through here whiz air holdings they mentioned okay they had to reverse a no hedging policy on fuel to protect against further increases on oil that have reached 125 folks if you're reversing that and you're hedging right now at 125 at 116 in the price to crude man we always talk about it right why weren't these airlines hedging man why weren't they hedging you know you sometimes you got to make bold bets folks all right think about the the what was that play here when you had crude at such low prices for the period of may all the way through to november folks all the way through you could have hedged some crude for some of these big airlines you even could have done it at 60 bucks on almost three occasions in 2021 okay we're pushing 115 and now they're talking about some airlines are uh so this company whiz air they're based in budapest uh they're shifting aircraft to western europe going to be interesting to see how this shakes out later in the year setting up a supply gut this summer they will put down the pressure on ticket prices in europe chinese and us airlines are largely unhedged as well well you know you want the you want to reap the benefits of not paying for a hedge well you better be able to take risks comes with those added benefits and guess what the risk has come uh come due to put it lightly um now let's jump around this might be folks uh a great opportunity for some of these travel stocks maybe this is the pullback right now i'm going to put this on a 15 minute jet blue gets down to 12 81 okay overnight we put it back on a longer term chart the 618 folks was right at 12 49 you're talking about within 30 cents of that area and that's a false 618 49 uh i don't have any action in these equities yet i am looking though now bowing comes to mind as well let's look at it bowing earlier okay they've had quite the pullback as well uh maybe a nice area for bowing here now bowing you check this out on a 15 minute bowing gets down to 176 folks look at that trend line okay we literally bounce almost right off that trend line take a look at bowing if you're looking to build a position in bowing for the longer term uh probably a nice area to begin a position folks when you have i mean even if the trend is lower right we're buying within a downward channel okay that's not what you like but man i mean look at this defined channel you're talking about going back to march of last year and look at i mean higher uh lower lows and lower highs okay but an area where we bounce many times on the lower trend line you could begin a position there we traded down right to basically that trend line you're at 180 folks you were just trading at 223 one month ago 223 one month ago and just like that the down almost 20 percent again on bowing shares anyway interesting lines up right on that channel line jumping around to some of the other rail lines i mean you got international exposure right now that's a little worrisome to say the least uh we talked about jeb blue right they pulled back to the 618 well look at american american almost back to the 786 of the full run we jump over to delta shares uh delta looking a little bit stronger let's see the full pullback here in delta we take the covet lows because you got to imagine right at about the 50 percent from delta shares uh united let's check it out internationally yeah united uh at that level united american almost look identical in terms of their charts and we jump to southwest shares let's see how they're trading bounces off the 618 68 let's see where southwest got to last night 39 14 and you see that 618 right on that chart um at least you could have a trading plan folks maybe maybe you're not building an investment position maybe you're just trading it and maybe you make a trade it gets below that level you know you're wrong you get out uh but a lot of these travel stocks man you got to imagine when crude hits 130 bucks right and these travel stocks are not hedged and you get the pullback that you just got if you're looking to get in a man i mean maybe this is the pullback because boy that's a daily let me check out southwest right from 64 bucks trading at 40 today um remarkable pullbacks and these companies folks okay yeah i don't know how they square 130 dollar oil okay but i don't know if it's going to persist to the longer term where these companies are going to struggle to the degree that they are but guess what i don't have any positions in them just yet uh because it's been a max paying situation almost across the board man uh in those travel stocks but quite a pullback uh on some of them even further than you may have dissipated but guess what you're not hedged you got crude up and look at this though uh crude almost back to flat at 116 43 yeah quite the reversal of fortunes in terms of they were dealing with in november almost december folks almost december and thinks it's it's almost february right it's march 7th airlines were pricing in 65 dollar crude they're now pricing in 120 dollar crude and it's only barely three months later in that index so yeah um in that commodity yeah quite uh quite the reversal of fortunes to say the least indeed and it's just a lesson man i mean these companies you know if you're managing a fleet of planes like that yeah it's going to cost you some money during this time but man they could have hedged out a few years and some crude locked in some prices there at a good time yeah quite an extended period and yes i understand it you know hindsight's always 2020 very easy to say folks there were times in here that the future was bright i mean we got vaccine efficacy in november you know you get those numbers and you're an airline you get 95 percent vaccine efficacy okay you know the world's not ending that that that data was a reversal of fortune and dramatic fashion the market accelerated higher commodity started accelerating higher um some of these companies should have been paying attention especially with an inside track on the commodity market with the type of crude that they use in terms of the number just the raw amount of crude that they use you could have bought it at 40 bucks priced it out for three to five years or something like that nonetheless we're now sitting in 120 i knew i know nobody thought crude was going to hit 130 bucks folks okay when we were getting vaccine efficacy numbers barely a year and a half ago at 40 bucks but guess what what was your risk reward side of things okay was when we get the vaccine numbers it's just a lesson you want to think about these things as you go through life okay these executives get paid tens of millions if not hundreds of millions of dollars to manage their businesses they run a business that uses more crude than any of us can comprehend on a daily basis okay you got crude stuck at 40 bucks for the better part of six months okay and you start getting the indications that guess what we have vaccines we're going to get over this thing people are going to be comfortable traveling again they've been locked up for a while feels like you know we all kind of knew when we're coming out of this thing we're going to want to travel right maybe it would have made sense to lock in some of those crude prices at 40 bucks for the next few years at least what were they thinking the crew goes down to 30 and they benefit a lesson that you can learn from something from without paying the price some of these companies have in that travel business stay tuned we'll 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of tfnn.com welcome back folks we got markets open and you get the nasdaq 100 opening in positive territory just like that we swing back to the red basically the markets when you talk about the s and p right now you're negative 10 points we claw back about 90 points almost from the lows of last night you get the nasdaq 100 opens in positive territory up four points 13 844 the dow lagging a bit off 156 points right now the russell positive by four as well bitcoin trading down overnight to just below 38,000 37,517 last week we're up to 45,000 you're sitting at 39,230 you got ethereum 26 40 down from 3000 last week you were down about 24 89 over in ethereum crude market opens basically flat from the close of friday 116 14 and crude gold up 10 dollars in 1977 as we jump around and we finish it up with notes and bonds negative 19 6 right now 127 29 and we got the 10 year flirting with about 1.79 percent right now the yield on the 10 year 1.79 percent the yield on that 10 year all right jumping back to some of the headlines we have going on how about $200 200 dollars folks we were just at what 90 bucks feels like a few days ago we were just at 130 bucks we're back to 116 oil traders bet prices will pass $200 a barrel this month okay traders piled into options that oil could surge even further after rising to the highest since 28 2008 with some even placing low-cost bets that futures surpassed $200 before the end of march prices to buy call options at higher prices surge monday as the market assessed the possibility of a supply cutoff from russia now i'm guessing this changed a bit from when crude was at 130 to the german chancellor coming out and basically saying we can't do it we don't have the type of energy to support not buying russia energy right now nonetheless 1200 contracts for the option to buy may print futures at $200 a barrel traded on monday according to ice futures europe data the options expire march 28 three days before the contract settles the price to buy them jumped 152 to percent to $2 and 39 cents a barrel that would make your break even folks in the world of options $202 and 39 cents a barrel doesn't mean you have to hold them that's still holding till expiration but we've seen how sometimes specific contracts can go haywire remarkable that you got to go back that long folks can you believe that it was almost two years ago when we had the crude prices go to negative territory now i don't have negative on this chart because this is a rolling chart for crude futures i get six dollars and 50 cents as the low in april but that one contract folks what did expire at negative 38 dollars just something like that and why did happen because nobody had anywhere to put crude supply and demand sometimes can really exist to pay certain tracks and it's going to be interesting to see what happens folks with some of the contracts coming up and that's some of the bets but you talk about 1200 contracts at 200 bucks a pop in the price of crude within the next what three weeks almost by the end of march market pricing is some severe volatility in this crude market and i expect so because just last week i mean it's almost yeah 87 bucks i got on my chart when i just go back 10 days on a 30 minute and did i get it and do i have an eight handling no 906 was the low on february 25th uh yeah barely a week ago folks that was that was not the friday we just had the previous friday february 25th 90 bucks and we're opening uh we're a buck 36 in the price of crude all right uh what else we got going on let me see what i got up here yeah gold to copper i mean almost everything i was watching bloomberg earlier this morning so uh they were talking about there's only a few commodities that are not in backwardation right now uh s and p targets getting slashed let's go over this one uh yard any research so they cut it to 4000 we'll go back to the s and p's here we're trading at 4306 that's quite a haircut folks okay 300 points um from where we are right now at 4306 now remember you're talking about we were just at 4800 so they're looking for 4000 in the s and p potentially uh for 2022 evercore isis immanuel sees an outside risk of testing 3670 3670 we were just at 4800 but we got a lot of variables lining up right now uh yeah that would be an eight percent drop from right now they're talking about your denny research you got crude trading higher uh you're going to see more of these i imagine folks uh early bloomberg they were talking about this as well kind of surprised you haven't seen more downward revisions with everything going on with the import prices of crude this type of price it's a crude with oil or the war volatility going on now i bring that up because what's so interesting markets turned a little bit negative again on the open but jeez 20 points not too dramatic considering where we were overnight uh but what we do get folks thursday march 10th cpi data okay and next week we got a fed meeting so it's coming right now regardless of where we are with crude prices and where we are uh with geopolitical concerns a war going on we got inflationary data coming out on thursday it's going to be especially interesting considering we got non-farm payrolls on friday and basically no wage gains whatsoever in that economic data uh do we see consumer prices continuing to rise as we see wages not rising that would not be helpful uh my expectation though is unless we see some huge dramatic surprise here okay with everything going on with with crude spike into 130 bucks over the weekend with analysts now revising and talking about potentially 3600 folks were at 4300 that's 700 more points that would be almost a 1200 point pullback in the s&p be about a 25 percent pullback from the highs and you want to put it on a chart and see where we are let's put it on a five-year weekly okay you talk about 3600 man we're almost back to where we started off covet which was 3400 that would be quite a wake up 3800 to the 382 of the full pullback in the s&p's right now uh sitting pretty right now at 4307 doesn't look too dramatic in light of where we've come from 2174 you're still still almost double the price that we were at at the covet lows basically less than two years ago so keep that one in context as well as you think about the potentials for any dramatic pullbacks let's jump around to some of the thanks doc see how we're open and today amazon opens barely positive 2915 right now you take a look at amazon uh sitting right at around the 382 interesting area you found a bit a couple times going back to the last couple of years uh kind of the bottom portion of this consolidation area it's been in basically from June of 2020 which is remarkable amazon though flat on the session we'll call it up nine dollars up three tenths percent we jump over to apple shares apple up seven tenths percent there's a pop for you apple shares uh let's put in a little shorter term daily to see the action 16415 for apple we jump over to google shares google negative by about eight tenths percent and uh we jump to microsoft a little bit of negative action as well let's see how test is trading today good old Tesla 2.5 percent all right folks stay tuned we got the s and p's negative by 22 i'll be going over some other equities with action this week earnings i'll be right back are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the bay area including the surrounding st petersburg tampa and clearwater markets tiger real estate llc is a firm that has extensive experience in the tampa bay area whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value or you're in the market for a second home or investment property tiger realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the tampa bay area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels from the price you should be paying per square foot in certain up and coming areas to the type of cash flow 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an investment in the funds is subject to risk including the possible loss of principle the funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors distributor four-side fund services llc don't forget you can listen to tfnn live on your mobile device 24 hours per day go to tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv that's tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv welcome back folks we get the s and p's slipping back into the red right now s and p's a little bit of a reversal to say the least man we just opened at 9 25 you're trading at 43 23 just like that we give up about 27 points you're trading at 42 96 right now you get the dial off 300 points 33 277 you get the nasdaq giving up some of those gains it had it was barely positive now you're back about negative half a percent in the nasdaq 100 just that quick 13 770 i talked about we get cpi data on thursday morning okay they'll be looking for 0.8 percent expected for the month of february january's number was 0.6 percent it'd be nice to see that easing excluding food and energy this will be an interesting one what's happening with crude uh probably the fed may be paying a little bit more attention as they like to to the core number february 0.5 is expected for that number 0.6 was in january so you can see headline number is looking for 0.8 percent when it was 0.6 in january the core number is only looking for 0.5 percent where it was 0.6 percent so you had the headline and the core number at 0.6 percent in january and now you see another divergence as we have crude prices really taken off you're talking about headline number they're looking for 0.8 percent and for the core number 0.5 percent uh year over year 7.9 percent is the expectation uh for the core number 6.4 percent is the expectation this is all thursday at 8 30 in the morning they'll be looking for initial jobless claims on thursday at the same time uh not going to be too important in light of the cpi data but 220 000 is what they'll be looking for pretty close to in line with what we we have been getting recently excuse me okay we get some retail earnings this week continuing the run that we've had from last week we'll kick it off one of the biggest ones out there we get dick sporting goods leave there out there numbers tomorrow we take a look at dicks up about seven tenths percent this stock has performed dramatically well during the pandemic quite a pullback from 147 to 110 i believe they are let's take a look at this they sure are i can already tell folks if you're not familiar right the one day market maker expected move $12 and 61 cents that tells you there is an uh some type of event on the horizon our man kevin hinks from td meritrade thinkors swim fast markets an outstanding job explaining it a couple times anytime okay that you get the front month having applied volatility exceeding the next month okay that is it basically tells the system that there is an event going on the markets price stand about a $12 and 62 cent move for their earnings you jump over to the analyze tab and then earnings their numbers are out yes tomorrow before the bell uh that's quite a lofty move they're looking at in terms of more than about a 10 percent maybe even an 11 percent move for them after the clue is tomorrow one interesting one bumble they're out with their numbers you're talking about a stock come on cooperate apologize i know it's having a little bit of a delay on my skype at the end of last session uh bumble there's a move for you folks how about 20 percent for their volatility coming into earnings they're out with their numbers tomorrow after the bell bumble yeah it's been a one-way ride on that bumble bee and i remember that they dropped out of bed big time last time man on their earnings you were trading at 52 the last time they had earnings you're trading at 17 right now and i mean look at the earnings right the first time they announced you had a little bit of green activity but man they brought the hammer in may of 2021 they brought the hammer again in november of 2021 you had quite the acceleration last week with some of the market action going on as well and we come into those earnings 20 percent market um implied volatility though for their options coming into earnings they're bumble now you jump over just for some context of what we're talking about here you're talking about a company valued at about 2.2 billion dollars at these prices uh slowly almost given away unicorn status of one billion dollars but not a private company any longer so they'll be out with their numbers tomorrow what we also get uh this week some of them crowd strike out wednesday we jump over to crowd strike real quick 176 from 298 let's see just out of curiosity where we are in terms of the full run this thing had man right to the 50 percent you're trading at 175 we jump over to the analyze tab there's a move for you anytime more than a 10 percent implied move into crowd strike wednesday after the bell some of the other notable companies this week we're looking at docuSign you talk about a pullback on docuSign we jump over the chart 315 down to 100 folks my goodness uh you came into the pandemic at about 91 but important to remember that you traded out from 43 bucks coming into that pandemic quite the closeout for 20 for 2019 for docuSign uh not many i'm sure thought that this company was going to give back all of that but we talk about market cap wise still a 20 billion dollar market cap company docuSign and they do have a lot of competitors out there even if uh there's no reason to be signing things in person anymore folks uh with the type of technology available to get things done online so docuSign after the close on thursday we get oracle after the close on thursday as well this week we jump to oracle shares i mean it's just remarkable some of the pullbacks even if we take the run this thing had from early part of 2021 started off at about 60 bucks put a little Fibonacci retracement on here i mean you almost give it all back right you almost touched the 786 we're flirting with the 618 oracle shares down to 75 from 106 we jump over and yeah not quite the volatility of some of the other growth companies we just pulled up oracle looking for about a five dollar and 50 cent move uh and what is that talking about that's talking about maybe a six seven percent move implied for their numbers and their numbers uh as i mentioned yes thursday after the close and we also get rivian out with their numbers this will be an interesting one it's been a one-way trip for rivian so far man you're down 1.6 percent god bless whoever bought this thing at 179 47 back in november uh 46 61 coming into their earnings and yeah you're gonna have some volatility for this company man you want to buy defined risk options how about you pay seven dollars and ten cents of implied volatility coming in for a stock trading at 46 73 and the other one we get on thursday alta 368 bucks and you're looking at about a 31 dollar move for their earnings you take a look at the chart alta pretty pretty consistent strength here up to 422 you've backed off a bit i'm not even gonna put a Fibonacci number on this one man because the pullback it's been marginal now 30 dollars you're talking about an eight percent move coming into their numbers alta will be out with their numbers uh after the close on thursday so thursday gonna be a big day for some of the company's docusign rivian oracle alta we get crowd strike on wednesday we get bumble we get dick sporting goods on tuesday and remember economic wise we get that cpi data thursday morning at 10 30 uh boy it's a long time we got a long time of trading until we reach those cpi data is thursday man s and p's right now negative by 40 trading at 42 87 let's jump down to some of the commodities that have been a little crazy overnight uh remarkable crude holding pretty steady right now right where the close of friday was 1634 um not much more you can say about that gold contract my dad's got a new gold report out this morning if you're thinking about signing up great time to sign up folks i don't have to tell you gold rocking and rolling you're back up 20 bucks to 1987 gold it's 2000 bucks for the first time in a while you're talking about going back to yeah we haven't gotten there is that 2000 yes it is we haven't gotten there basically since the kovat highs in august of 2089 you back this up even further right i mean we're now above just so we get things in context here the high from september of 2011 folks 1923 you give it all back to what 1053 man the run in september of 2018 you're sitting at 1200 you run to 2089 you put this on a fibonacci even the run we had from march in 2020 look at that right at the 618 not once but twice we touched that level in august or from there you take off just got above 2000 bucks 1986 stay tuned folks we'll be right back to finish up the show sharpening your skills as an 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i got to try to oxy oxidantil petroleum up here you hit 1789 back in 2011 you were up as high as what 100 in 2008 you were up as high as 87 bucks in 2018 can't even find the low on this chart what eight bucks no what are we talking about eight bucks nine bucks something like that uh up to 58 36 you ended last year at 26 bucks almost was the low in december i bring it up let's take a look at it on a daily just to see the run that we had uh february 28th folks let's just see what day that is monday okay so the run really begins monday tuesday i'm putting these out wednesday is march 2nd okay thursday is is march 3rd and then you really saw the run from 48 to almost 56 mr berkshire hathaway will say mr warren buffett was in there uh and where are we yes this is the article uh as of friday berkshire owns 91.2 million shares worth 5.1 billion as of the close at 56 15 more than 61 million of the shares now in its portfolio were purchased on wednesday thursday and friday at prices ranging from 47 to 56 45 they ran that thing man they were buying 61 million shares okay over wednesday thursday and friday my guess would be that a lot of those shares were bought on friday when it traded from 48 to 56 and you did 101 million shares the prior two days you didn't even do 101 million shares combined okay but no matter what he still was buying from 47 up to 56 now you're at 58 and he had positions in there what they go over is that the other 29 million shares were purchased this year on or before tuesday they didn't have to publish anything about that because they didn't have 10 of the company so we're not really sure what prices they paid on the prior 29 million shares but nonetheless you're talking about a five billion dollar position in oxy uh as mr buffett looks to capitalize on rising group prices really interesting when you think about right you have oxy go from 38 to 48 folks okay the buffett says you know what i like it at 48 we're gonna buy another 60 million shares of the next few days before things close on friday that is a bold bet but it looks to be paying off thanks so much for starting your day with me folks stay tuned we got our man basil chappan he's live next life-broken y'all day folks it's gonna be a wild one have a great monday folks