 Week five was a tough one from an injury perspective with guys like Russell Wilson going down initially Then we had Saquon Barkley Daniel Jones guys were playing well guys root for getting hurt And that stinks from a DFS perspective things from a human perspective more than anything else We had got to talk with the things for today to break down the implications of them But also some fun things to Cadarius Tony Not just going off but also trying to throw a punch which was kind of cool. Honestly. We got back going for us Some nice Efficiency out of Najee Harris the Steelers offense looking, you know Somewhat competent Jomar Chase being a monster Mike Williams being absurd Cordero Patterson role change lot to break down We'll do that all up for today and let you know what it means for DFS and take a quick look at week number six Welcome on into the heat check fantasy podcast powered by number fire That's right here on the fan dual podcast network in number fire calm My name is Jim Sonnis I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm joined here as always by Brandon Gadoula He is the managing editor for number fire calm Brandon week five is in the books pretty big bummer from an injury perspective How are you doing today? I'm good. It could be better Of course, at least my ankle doesn't look like say quans ankle. Yeah, I don't need Surgery on my finger because it yeah, but I don't I can't watch injuries, but I saw Russ's finger and say quans ankle So he kept showing both of them. Yeah, I'm like I'm very squeamish. I like I have a long track record avoiding this stuff I couldn't do with either and I am upset about it. Yeah, I mean, it's part of Covering the NFL. So I'm fully aware of that and it's good to be cognizant of these things. Although I'm already Hyper aware of what these guys go through. I don't want to see it On a more DFS like e-note it just feels it feels extra bad to want to stack the Giants and Cowboys game and have that go awry right away but then for it also to total 64 points and just be like It could have been could have been good. But yeah, you know Unfortunately, lots of injuries there and then initially in the week I was pretty into the Chargers Browns game I talked myself out of it like, oh, Brandon Saley's defense is playing really well That might prevent the Browns from being good run back They might just run the ball a lot and drink clock and said it's like the best game of the year So I think that for me before we get into like headlines. I think that's my biggest takeaway is don't overthink defense I think that the recipe is to stack tight games if the total is not low and I might have gotten a bit too Two in my head about that the way those defenses were playing. So I think that for me I want to make sure I am continuing to emphasize finding Games with the potential for a lot of back and forth. I'm looking forward to week six We get the Chargers and the Ravens both those defenses are rock solid. I don't care I think that I want to make sure I'm emphasizing to myself to load up on games like that with the potential to be a Brown's Chargers ask type thing. What about you from a process perspective any takeaways for you this week? Yeah, that was the big miss on on both of our parts. Although I will say Even if I had stacked the Browns, I would have flown you wouldn't have had even in Joku I would have had I wouldn't have had in Joku. I probably would have backed off like you and I kind of scoffed it cream hunt salary of 7,000 He I tweeted that Cordero Patterson was fourth among flex players since 2016 PPR points per snap Hunt was like top 24. I feel like that's gonna he might be the new Cordero after yeah this week But their big performers were in Joku Which I don't think either of us would have gotten to and then both running backs and we probably would have narrowed it down to Just Nick Chubb And we'll say the chubb outscored hunt despite scoring one fewer touchdowns. That's cool at least Yeah, he did so I think that that was a good situation were like Not everything is touchdowns and that's good to know too. Yeah, that's good But like we were I at least my myself. I don't I guess I don't want to speak for you I would played a lot of Odell he ended up with three three fandal points that I'm gonna talk about him kind of been passing He might be toasty of Unfortunately, but yeah, the thing that like I'm kicking myself for now is we Went over a trend whenever the Cowboys played the Panthers And I was talking about how outlier defenses matter But once you get outside like the top five or six or the teams that are like a huge like basically You know a standard deviation above the rest of the teams outside of that It doesn't really matter. So that's basically where these teams should have landed for me I should have looked at it a little bit closer But again, it's it's tough because I probably would have still what a whiffed on the browns and that would have been Tough, but I mean Mike Williams scored enough to make up for right and I think the thing is if I had been Stacking that game and I'd been committed to it. I would have gotten to combinations of chubb. I did have Like but like I would have had more combinations of Nick Chubb like Williams and then I get myself more so you know other one was Don't worry about the Bucks In terms of pass rate. Yeah, they don't care I think the chiefs of the other team are gonna be that way going forward where it does not matter with situation Is they're probably gonna throw and so my process is to stack games with Tight spreads and high totals. It might just be stack all chiefs slash Bucks games because they're gonna annihilate people no matter What the situation may be? Yeah, Tampa Bay was sixth in non garbage time Pass rate Like they're gonna throw the ball Kansas City now is gonna have to throw the ball Once there's not a lightning storm and a huge delay too, right? So arrows way up on the team that plays an arrowhead We get chiefs versus Washington next week. That could be kind of fun. Ricky seals Jones revenge game I believe he played for the chiefs very briefly. So we'll talk about that Later on we'll get to our headliners here in just one segment first quick reminder that we do have our listener league back weekly now I don't believe the week six contest is up yet, but it should be up later Go to fandal.com slash league slash listener league fandal.com slash league slash listener league to enter Once that is up later on this week five dollar entry three entries max There is no rake fandal.com slash league slash listener lead to get yourself entered for the listener league Also, the fandal Sunday million for week six is posted up on fandal Still a million dollars in first place entry fee just five dollars and again You can turn five dollars into a million with the fandal Sunday million to get a chance at 2.5 million in total prizes Go to fandal.com or download the fandal fantasy app eligibility restrictions apply Let's break down the week five headlines here revolving around injuries specifically to Russell Wilson and to Everyone who has ever considered playing for the New York Giants starting off with Russell Wilson. He has a mallet finger He had surgery. He's out for 48 weeks. Geno Smith came in and Put a drive together had a pick at the end Not really his fault on that pick because Locke got kind of tangled up there Geno average point two seven passing that expected points per drop back across 17 drop backs 131 yards and a touchdown Russ had been just okay earlier on but I think you know, Geno Look confident, which I think is the biggest takeaway here for me is he at least like wasn't lost out there Looking at the target distribution from Geno We saw four targets try to lock it three for DK neck half and will this Lee to for Freddie Swain and Alex Collins I will know that Alex Collins. We don't know if Chris Carson will play in week number six yet But the value in that role goes down with no Russell Wilson So Brandon, what are your thoughts on the Seahawks offense for the next month with no Russell Wilson? Yeah, that's a long time to be without Russ and Unfortunately, we didn't get a big enough sample for me to know like what they're gonna do Can like even adjusting for context with Geno in terms of like pass rate pace Probably gonna slow things down, which is not good For Seattle Could be a little bit more run heavy, which you know, I always struggle to some degree still with DK Metcalf and Tyler lock it I know what the ceilings are. I know we don't care about floor, but Their floor is always, you know, it If you play DFS you should never be surprised if DK Metcalf walks away from a great game with three targets I feel like that's the probability of that is kind of even higher now That's unfortunate. I want to see what the salaries drop down to I would in because Because this happened early enough the salary To really want to focus on with Seattle. Yeah, they're facing the Steelers. It's Sunday night So they're not the main slate, which means we will get more sample the problem, you know and Ben prime time. That's I Mean, I'm happy. I'm excited about half of that It's not Ben. I'll tell you that I think that the key the thing that reassures me a bit is it's not like Chase Daniel or something like that like Gino Smith has been late for a long time He's been the she the Seahawks backup for a long time. We saw him at times be okay with the Jets as well so I actually have like an okay amount of faith here where he can like Make it not be a disaster, but the problem is To be Great for DFS need to be more than not a disaster Yeah, I'm glad we'll get one more game of a sample before they're back in a main slate And I think that's that's that's reassuring but my baseline assumption is that they will be like Slightly below average like I'll have to put in later today like my projected passing efficiency for them It'll be below average for sure Which you know Smith, but I don't think it'll be a dumpster fire there Yeah, I think that the real takeaway for me is I had issues with this offense from a pace and pass rate standpoint with Russ Yeah, those aren't going to get better. No with Gino. So Like, you know Metcalf lock it will still be on the radar Let's say that game was on the main slate. I wouldn't really go there just because that matchup wouldn't be appealing. Yeah But yeah, I like those the issues I have are just they can only get worse Yep, and that's not to say Gino's awful, but but it's because of the way they'll play things. Yeah, correct I agree sake one Barkley got carted off with an ankle injury looked like a melon But it sounds like he'll miss like a week maybe two which is best case scenario. I would think Daniel Jones left with a concussion. Can he got a roll that with a knee injury? Canary's Tony led the team with 13 targets on 24 routes run and was amazing in that volume Then got ejected for a sick punch Devontae Booker with Seyquan being being out played 86% of the team snaps a larger penny played 9% Booker 16 carries in four targets. He had six of 12 red zone opportunities to the team including two targets. So Like it seemed like he'll be the lead guy the question is what's the effectiveness of this offense because With Jones sidelined Mike Lennon average 0.02 passing that expected points per drop back when they were down pretty big Last year the Jags Glennon was at negative 0.04 passing that expected points per drop back If he doesn't to start the reassuring thing is that he'd likely have Sterling Shepherd and Darius Slayton back and Kaderis Tony seemed like he's a legit player. So the situation around him would not be bad, but It's a pretty big downgrade with how be how well they need to play the one good thing I would say for Mike Lennon is when he came in for the Jags last year. Remember he was saying like I don't know when I'll start again I'm gonna chuck it deep and see what happens. So like at least he's gonna be de gaffy and I think that's that's okay, but Brandon, I think this is a rough situation I'm having a hard time getting a read on Devontae Booker specifically because I don't know how efficient the offense will be with Mike Lennon so what's your takeaway on this offense given the The Saquon injury the Jones injury, but also the emergence of Kaderis Tony Yeah, nobody quote me on this, but I would assume that Saquon Barclay is one of the few running backs Who actually makes his offense more efficient just because of what he can do. I would say it's McCaffrey. I would say Saquon No, maybe not. I don't know maybe I would say that Christian McCaffrey is One guy who definitely does that. He's it Sorry, yeah But those three guys who can like really catch the ball and just kind of make things happen, right? So like that's a weird wrinkle in this that might be a An unpopular take that other running backs don't help their offense But I do think that in this case Saquon I would also say it's an unpopular take to say that any of them do but I think I'd agree with you very much So nothing at least McCaffrey and Camara very much like they improve their team's passing offense Which matters. I mean nothing's popular anymore and everything is wrong all the time, but uh Yeah, I think that You know with glennon here, they're 10 and a half point underdogs next week It's really hard not to look specifically at next week um against their rams They should have to pass plenty Um, I don't know if they're gonna score a bunch of points there so I think this is just an overall obviously it's an overall downgrade and this is this might be a spot where the value that opens up isn't quite worth it even though we have we're looking at a 10 game main slate next week, so Pickings are a little bit slimmer Um, and very few of these games have a total over 50 Let me just put in a projection here for my glennon from a passing efficiency perspective because this line seems a lot Getting it should be closer Wow, let me check. I don't want to say I think that's the biggest spread On the main slate thus far. Okay, so if I put in glennon just kidding. It's efficient I lied. It's a good line so I think that's kind of the big detriment to like getting super jazzy about davante booker from a dfs perspective Season long you want that volume for for dfs. We need upside. It's hard to get upside when you're a 10 and a half point dog On a team that might not be super efficient. So How low would davante booker salary need to be for you to be like? Seeking him out I guess um around 6 000 I think Just realistically, I don't I don't think fit. Um I could get much past that now. I know that that's like Probably egregiously low for the role but given all the context and I'm always going to look right at next week and not Pretend they're not playing the ramps is 10 and a half 100 dogs I'd say around 6 000 maybe like maybe 62 if if value or running back is rough, which it might be because again It's 10 games late. He's $5,900. Um Like He did he did score twice on sunday Which means that he was getting red zone use. Let me check to see what the actual Red zone usage was for him in that game um He had Half the team's red zone chances of six out of 12. It's actually not bad From a red zone perspective. So you think they'd score like he can do well It's just like There is a path 20 points there. I think that's that's what justifies at least considering him but The path I think the odds of hitting that path are lower than it would be for A better offense, obviously Yeah, and I mean like everyone's going to know that Um, I don't want to look ahead too much at at running back salaries. So we'll do We'll do a better job of contextualizing that during our salary scroll at the end Um, but I mean very well. It might be a rough week for running back It's obviously the first time we're looking at the slate It's a small slate too because there are 14s on buy. There is a london game There's thursday Sunday night monday night. So it's a very small. It's one of the smaller slides we'll have all year It's almost like it's a 10 game slate. Is it a 10 game slate? I think that's a third time I said that. Oh, wow. I don't listen to you. It's it's fine Oh, it's not fine. I'm fine at bidding I don't listen to you um It's tough It's I think I would need to be pretty crunched at value to get there But like the floor will be good. I just question the ceiling. What about kaderious tony because strong shepherd and derrius laden did warm up on sunday So I think we can go ahead and assume they'll be back On sunday There's also the chance that joe judge might punish kaderious tony for the punch It sounds like he was not super pleased about that. So There are some complicating factors here, but the town is good. I think the good thing for him is that He played well enough where even when chef is back and chef plays a slot tony does the slot as well a lot as well It's going to be hard to keep tony off the field. So Are you open to taking a swipe at tony in in week five or week six given those uncertain factors or Um, are you too scared off by those? It's so early for that because of We don't know for sure if if those guys are coming back. I can almost guarantee it. Okay, if they're back then His salary is 5300 it's going to go up Oh, I thought you said it it is. Okay, just kidding. No, it was okay I would have a hard time going much over 6 000 for the uncertainty there Even though the talent was great and the workload was amazing I can't imagine that sticks if they add two more past catchers everyone Ingram's back What no, well, I mean he's on the field he's on the field physically It took two injuries before the game one during the game a sake one barkley injured during the game and an ejection before he got volume I'm just saying he's out. He's out there. I don't care. I'm not going to use him ever. Um, Coney's sour for this week is 6 000 exactly. So, you know, I think that's pretty good at this Yeah, I think that's pretty sweet. I'll take that. Um, that can overcome a lot of the concerns I have around The factors surrounding his situation shepherd is 6 200. I think that I'd much rather go Tony over shepherd at those respective salaries, correct? Yeah, okay, perfect. So Giant's worth watching this week. Hopefully it is just a one-week thing for sake one because he was playing well Hopefully Dan Jones is okay because that was pretty scary to see. Uh, but we'll see how the things go there going for Let's talk about some more injuries from the week five sleigh starting off with sunday night Clyde Edwards e-lair left early sunday with a knee injury and Not really sure how much open this opens up either Darrell Williams Played 41% of the snaps. Derek McKinnon played 32%. So pretty split there Williams had two of 12 red zone chances and McKinnon had none And that's a trend because no running back on this team Has had a single game red zone share higher than 33 So it opens up snaps in a good offense. We do want to tire our offenses or our players running backs to good teams but The reason you tie them to good teams is because of touchdowns But if they don't score touchdowns they don't use them then it doesn't actually matter It might be a split backfield between McKinnon and Williams. They don't use their backs and are great for dfs So how are you viewing Williams if we assume ceh misses time? Um, like a good season long pickup not someone I would go out of my way to target in dfs I played him in the single game slate um, and he had a You know, I think two like back to back red zone carries and got stuff at the one And I was like, he's not scoring and then they came out and did this like Uh, super quick, uh, shuffle pat shovel pass to to travis kelsey They always just basically line up and inside the five and act confused and then just run a trick play And I never feel like it's going to go just be a handoff to a running back. So Without that window dressing for a hand like Yeah, so like you said the reason that we would Uh, like usually love Williams in this offense This doesn't really exist in this offense. So, right Uh, barrel williams is $5,200 I think that's low enough where you take like swipes but at a low exposure level because like again like if he gets A 60 snap rate on this team. There's a path to a good game there, but I can't get more than like a you know, 15 to 20 percent unless value is crazy bad next week Yeah, like that's low enough where I would change my opinion I was you know, if I had put a minute like 6,000 I'd be like, I don't know about that Yeah, 52 is a different story. That'll be a little bit tempting and we we assume that he's like A one two versus situation for versus jerrick versus a one a one b I would think that's from that. Yeah, probably a one two. Yeah. Yep. Okay. I agree There we'll see what the word is on daryl going into next week jujus miss hooster was ruled out Second with a shoulder injury and it sounds like it's pretty serious Pittsburgh's second half target numbers with juju out. We got three for chase claypool and naji harris two for rayray mccloud Uh, I always want to say ray j mccloud. I know that's not his name But uh one for deontay johnson pat fryer buth fryer mooth and cody white Uh, we had one downfield target for claypool one for ray j mccloud and one for white. Um so juju's a good player it stinks to lose him um With that said, I feel like the bigger pieces to lose this offense would be the downfield threats So I think having deontay and claypool is still healthy means that they can stay afloat I'm going to put the naji harris suggestion in here as well too because I think that is pertinent to this one because naji harris actually Had an interesting role or he had interesting efficiency. I guess I would say on sunday he was cramping so the snapper went down a bit but He had 142 yards from scrimmage The past four games. He's at 81 142 91 142 That's much better efficiency than he had the first game He had six to seven red zone chances and he's been a huge force in the red zone for a while now so I feel like even with juju being out I'm feeling better about this offense now than I was before Uh, what what's your thoughts on the stealers if we assume that juju misses some time here? yeah, uh We talk often about losing key pieces opening up volume, but hurting the offense I I like juju as a like Person, but I like you said the The bigger issue would be losing someone like claypool or diante. So it's not an anti juju thing It's it's the way he's used. He's not super valuable. Yeah So it's not going to downgrade me too much I'm just I'm always going to have a hard time playing stealers Because of how ben rothasberger looks. Yeah He's always shaking something out always getting dinged up although he's done that his whole career Yeah, I grew up watching uh, plenty of stealers games and guy likes to Make a meal out of anything, but More importantly his passing efficiency is just like to the level of the defenses he's played There's not a whole lot of like leverage. He's got a below average a dot like The the I will say though that his efficiency being to the level that he's played is Better than perception Yes, that's true But it's also not been particularly worthwhile. Um So I think the arrow is up on nagi I agree for sure because he couldn't have been much less efficient. This probably also a a Big miss on my part because he wasn't he was like always going to score event like eventually Um, I didn't think this was really the game for it because you and I didn't like this game There were I thought the broncos defense going to dominate him. Yeah that um, super slow pace projection, but I think arrows up on nagi And I'm not gonna This isn't a spot where I'm like bailing on the offense because juju's out I just I'm also not particularly in on it because of ben anyway Where are you at with uh diante versus clay pool because you know, it does open up some stuff in this offense we look at the three games that um Diante johnson and chase clay pool played together now juju played in Two and a half of these but um Deontay led with 25 percent of the overall targets clay pool at 21 Clay pool had uh the edge and deep target seat at three per game Whereas diante is at two per game. I think they're both good Like I can I can definitely tolerate both them. Um, and I think the getting an overall bump is positive So I actually have pretty positive sentiment around both those guys right now. They're not the main slate next week But like I have a decently positive sentiment around both those guys right now if we assume juju missed the time. What about you? Yeah, overall, uh Positive I would go with clay pool Because of the the leverage on his targets is makes for a similar or better Um workload than diante. I know that the the raw targets will almost always favor diante, but adjusted for leverage. Um Things like air yards and downfield targets and red zone targets. Uh, it's about equal And I always you know clay pools got that Massive upside that can really hurt you. Yeah, he's also just fun to watch. Um, I think they're pretty even for me I I wouldn't actually pick one. I know if I had to pick one. Um, I just don't I think they're very even Yeah, um, and then talking about nodgie just like in the context of running back So like this is a stupid phrase to say but they looked good running the football against a very good defense Um, so I thought that that was pretty encouraging where maybe like this offensive line had a lot of turn Turnovers from last year. They were bringing in some new guys. That's not a bad thing given how bad they were Maybe it took them five or so weeks to gel and figure out how they where their strengths were in running the football so I I think that to me He was seventy three hundred dollars last week I feel like he deserves to be eight thousand ish or so like that's kind of where I'd view him because He is the workload of A ten thousand type back. You have to discount a lot for the offense. So I think I think i'm pretty good with him right now. What about you? Yeah, I basically I mean we were in on him Boy, it feels like a long time ago at this point where we locked him in in week two um But we played him early on then we got away from him because the efficiency was bad Probably a bad process in hindsight because the workload was always there and efficiency at running back Comes and goes um, obviously It's easier to be efficient in better offenses, but Uh, it's hard to predict like game to game things like yards per carry Which we don't care about as a stat, but yards per carry adds up to fantasy points. So it was it was probably Um silly for me to be low on him because the workload was always there My error was up in a big way. I feel a lot better. Um, and I want to be reacted like his red zone rolls Henneke has 40 something percent of the team's red zone targets alone not counting his rush attempts, which is crazy Uh final injury to note here. Curtis Samuel left earlier the groin injury after just four snaps. Um, He was banged up coming in. He was questionable. He didn't practice Wednesday and Thursday Terry McClure at eight target or 11 targets ricky seals jones at eight. Uh, you have three in the red zone Deandre Carter at eight targets, uh, four of which were deep adam Humphrey said five ricky seals jones 99 of the snaps Pretty good for a tight end could have been better. So yeah coming better, but uh, could have been out Where was that one snap ricky? Um I think that the main takeaway here with Samuel being banged up is that the chlorine is just he's Terry McClure And like he is what he is but also rsj legit tight end option They face the cheese next week a game that I am going to stack the poop out of Name that salary for rsj and terry mccluren next week Um mccluren, I actually I feel like I haven't played him in a few weeks. So I don't know what his salary's been I think low 7,000. Yeah Um, probably 75 Um, I'd have a hard time I'd have a hard time if he were close to 8,000 just because the offense for seals jones. I think he was 49 um Probably about 53 54 in that range. I was going to say 57 just because that you don't get that role very often from a tight end um So I think I'll go 57 for ricky seals jones. He is 5000 He's gonna be a staple at tight end this week, right? Terry 74 So they're both about where you were. Yeah, I said 75 is correct. I agree with you. Um And the good thing with rsj is that when I'm stacking that game it'll be with mahomes If I want to cancel out mahomes tyreek rsj at 5000 helps a lot the bad thing is I can't stack with kelsey. I'm not going to use a tight end in the flex, but Like when I'm going tyreek makes it a lot easier if my run back option is ricky seals jones Just making a note to play ricky seals jones Welcome to week six with buys in the nfl. Yeah rsj lock button. What could go wrong? Again, it's a revenge game i'm pretty sure I think he played for them for a hot second Hey, who could say I mean we'll never know I also forgot that it's a geno smith revenge month Given that the jets have the seahawks first round pick this year. So every game geno wins makes the jets first round pick worse so Revenge month for geno Not that we need any reason to love geno any more reason to love geno But bump him up at least 10 points on the spread for geno in that situation Let's move now to some role changes here Based on what we saw in week number five Sean mcvay said we got to get bobby trees more involved and they did robert woods He had 25 targets entering week number five and then he had 14 thursday night His target share was 19. It was 40 and that gained specifically three downfield targets He had seven total to the first four games Do we think this is his new role going forward because I don't uh, but I feel like it was kind of a Here you go, uh, this is to appease you for a bit We're gonna go back to our regular offense eventually It does help out and it makes you feel better about using robert woods Kind of that that uses within his range of outcomes, but I don't think this means he will be like a 30 target share guy going forward. What about you? No, I don't think that either. I think that it kind of naturally has to A little bit because cup Yes, has an amazing red zone role. I still don't feel great about like high-end yardage upside for him generally so with that with with van and uh, dishawn kind of mixing in with some downfield work it It makes me feel better about matthew stafford makes just makes me feel a little bit less certain about the stacks here uh That said though, I mean arrows up on robert woods, but not Like just kind of blindly play him because i'm not buying into a 40 target share Even a 30 probably even 25 might go back down toward like it was 19 entering probably about 23 ish moving forward. Yeah, I think i'm so pretty good with cup actually. Um, I don't want to downgrade him too much. He's still at 10 targets in this game. He had three downfield targets he is at Whatever 13 divided by five is like 2.5 something Deep targets per game the first Um five weeks That's a really good role. I'm like it's working reds on two Okay, math's tough two reds in per game. That's pretty good role. Um, oh it is absolutely. I just mean He's also had more 90 plus yards and four out of five games So I used to be on board of the where I thought the yardage upside is bad I think that's shifting a bit It it very well could be but if we're taking Some of those targets some of the maybe the more downfield stuff give them to woods Maybe some more of the the red zone gadget plays instead of just throwing it to a wide open cooper cup in the red zone all the time Maybe they try to get bobby trees like a handoff or a screen That's about it. But like I I I'm saying i'm like lower on cup, but he's still a full go for me Name that sour for cup and woods. They're they're in a bad game, but like I don't know Just in general, I guess like let's say neutral match it up ignore the match up I can't do that. I know okay fair enough. I'm not even asking then cup is cup is 82 I was gonna say, um Probably about like 77 for cup for me. I think 82 is appropriate. Um, am I defending cooper cup? You won't I get like body swapped. Um, robert woods is 6900 dollars a little high a little high. It's nice, but high I agree. Uh, okay, so Moving on to other role changes the reason we typically use erin jones is his role in the red zone And he didn't have that on sunday across the first four games jones had 49 of the team's red zone chances It was 53 in the nonblots excluding week one that on sunday He had just 27% aj dillon had three carries and two targets jones had just the three carries Jones did still get 109 yards from scrimmage He played 70% of the snaps. He had 24 adjust opportunities. So it wasn't a disaster, but it wasn't great so It definitely got my attention brandon. I'll say that Um, what's your level of concern on erin jones? Even he did lose some some reds that worked aj dillon this past week So This is harder for me to answer than for you. I think because historically I've struggled with erin jones um because jamal williams was kind of you know Relevant to some degree enough to where I wouldn't I didn't consider erin jones like a feature back like a full feature back relative to some of the other Backs with similar salaries I'm starting to feel that way again I don't know if i'm hitting the panic button early on a great player and a good offense. It's very possible So I kind of wanted to hear your thoughts because again, I've historically been just afraid of jones I think it depends on what people do with him because if they eject because aj dillon's getting a lot of Good usage then I can still be there because like 109 yards is good 24 adjust opportunities is fine And he still did have a decent red zone role on a very good team So I'm definitely downgrading him. I want to make that clear first I'm definitely downgrading him from where I had him before but I don't want to cross him off necessarily And I think that if this gets enough buzz which I think people will talk about it this week How much work aj dillon's getting I think there is a chance that we cross off erin jones and don't use him I don't think that's the appropriate response. I think the appropriate response is to take him from a guy where I was Okay with him in tournaments at $8400. He's not a cash gameplay there I was good at him in tournaments of that number Because of the red zone role if you make that red zone role more shaky. I think he's a $7400 type back And that's probably where I'd be on him. What about you? Yeah, 74 sounds about right, but he's 8000 which seems high So it depends if people totally cross him off if they do I can get there for tournaments, but if he If people don't realize that the red zone role is slipping. I'm very okay being underweight on him I feel like people will know I think they will too. I think people are smart enough to catch on to this, but What? I'm good. I'm glad that you see that level of You know just that you're optimistic and it's called people smart Yeah, I mean I I study roster rate percentages. I know people make smart moves. That's why it's not because of what I see on twitter It's because of studying roster rates. I know people are generally pretty smart Even with tea higgins being back in that same game jamar chase had an awesome role He had 10 targets five of those were deep looked great. Uh, he had 159 yards and a touchdown T higgins does still lead with 24 percent of the targets in the three games He has played and chase is at 23 percent, but chase has 77 percent of the deep target I think it's 10 to 13 in those three games. That's absurd So how are you doing jamar chase going forward now the Bengals are actually letting joe burrow throw the ball Yeah, I mean again, I've used this phrase a lot but arrow up on chase the the concern that I had was Um, just what would happen when higgins came back. Yeah That's not really there. They're forcing him the ball. They're uh From the stuff I saw in red zone. I think you actually had this game Maybe I don't want to be mistaken, but I think you were watching this game closely Seems like they were just throwing it to him and see what happened, which is what you want to see It's like it's like a courtland Sutton situation from a few years back. Kind of back again now for Sutton, but You you have to like that and I was trying to dig into uh since nice Pass rate week five non-garbage time They bumped up to seventh Okay, which is a major deviation a large large deviation. That's really good. Um You know mixin was banged up. I don't think that mattered too much for the pass rate though I think it's just like they feel more comfortable with burrow dropping back now than they did before And they've got the news to do it. So I think that's that's great. Uh, they get Detroit next week. I feel like the Jamar chase is gonna be massive massive massive shock in that match up So I do still think there is some leeway to use tea higgins. Um you know Case is very clearly the one he is the one on this team Higgins in the three games does have a couple touchdowns. He has not exceeded 60 yards and The deep targets are all going to chase. So I think that there are There is a big gap between them, but Higgins is not totally off the radar. What are your thoughts on the non chase guys here? Um I'd probably honestly Be a little bit hesitant myself. Okay, that's fair like With chase's role being so good Um, I mean, are we talking Nixon's back and healthy? Yeah, like if we're talking that then I like mixing plenty, but I don't think I would really get To the other pieces right now. Yeah, even on a 10 game slate. Yeah The spread's pretty tight in that game. It's three and a half points And I actually have that being fair without having yesterday's data in yet Um, so that game might be okay from a stacking perspective I think the Bengals defense will probably get a bump from once the numbers from Week five come in if I had to guess offense might do but Three and a half is not totally outrageous based on what I've got to 26 point applied to him total. That's pretty good Yeah, I think I'm more so like will Detroit keep pace is but I think they might do something here So that's not too bad Uh, cordial Patterson seems to be getting a more bankable role. He played a season high 59 the snaps 23 of those were in the backfield and that was also a season high and that's important because you could say, okay No Calvin Ridley. No Russell Yates. That's why he got more work But also he played the most snaps in the back of the entire year He had 14 rushes. That's a season high nine targets at season high 114 yards in scrimmage They're on a buy this week But what's your view of cordial Patterson after what I would classify as being a role change on Sunday? Um, I was kind of hoping that they would like I know they played in London. So they're automatically getting the buy I was hoping that they would be on the main slate because the The workload is better and I have yet to really get to cordial Patterson, but Uh, Calvin really missed that game due to a personal matter. So he's going to be back whenever they come back from buy the Increased snap rate came because he was playing out wide No, no, no. I just said he played the most snaps in the backfield. He's played the entire year Yeah, but he also played a lot of snaps like Mike. He and Mike Davis had a lot of overlap Yeah, but he played he played more in the backfield than he's played the entire year That's not just a Calvin Ridley thing. That's a whole change I mean, that's fine. But I think that the uh, the the rate at which he had been performing It was obviously going to he was going to have some regression in terms of what he was doing production wise I think that the added uh work he got Was related to all of their, uh, I won't even say injuries, but missing pieces and so I'm going to be lower on him than consensus though 14 carries this season high double his previous season high Okay, he's had a hundred yards of scrimmage in three straight games He had 36% of the team's red zone chances Okay, like I don't like what what salary are you thinking Cordero Patterson was going to be? Maybe that's our disconnect 73 Like I don't really have a whole I don't have a ton of interest in that. Why not offense? I don't like Why not for a committee back? He's not a committee back. He's he's like not he's not a running back He is a weapon. He's like he's like this aim. He's like this This thing we don't there's no like precedent for Cordero Patterson. He's getting Running back usage with downfield targets or like wide receiver usage with 14 rush attempts. Like there there's no comp for that I don't like the offense enough Okay, fair enough What would you say for the salary? No, I like I that's what I'm saying the disconnect here is I think his salary automatically is going to be but what would you say to that? hypothetically Okay, what I would set it at if I were setting salaries probably around 73 That's not that does not that's not the same as what I would do like 67 boo Like the give me the under swift versus Cordero Patterson Bring that back up next time they're both on the main slate Like like Swift was like that's the thing is Swift's like in the the upper six range I just like I would rather have give me that bet next time they're both on the main slate I might be might be tempted I might be tempted if it works out for you then you would take it But if not, no, I want to see what the matchups are and stuff like that I but next time they're both in the main slate. Let me know and I actually might take you up on that bet Damian Williams and Khalil Herbert pretty even split in the backfields for the Bears The snaps were even Damian had 22 adjust opportunities compared to Herbert's 18 Williams ran routes on nine of 23 drop backs Herbert ran seven Both guys had three of seven team chances inside the red zone So It's a split with minimal separation Brandon I feel like I don't want to go at Damian Williams or Khalil Herbert right now. What about you? Yeah, not particularly this offense is not great. Um That's going to take me a while. It's going to take a while for me to feel optimistic about this offense and with a 50 50 split in terms of snaps. That's not really enough That's not that's if you picked up Damian Williams in season long You can keep playing him if you maybe preliminarily added Khalil Herbert We're going to try to pick them up this week Sure But you don't have to play these guys in DFS and their paths to like 20 points are very limited Yeah, Williams is $6,500 next week Herbert is 55 like I don't think either guy's worth targeting at that salary Like they get a good matchup with green bay in terms of like rushing and they are running the football a lot We'll talk about that later on But I'm not enough. I'm curious For once we go through the salaries Who's around? Yeah, because again, it could turn out that Williams is one of the only options But again in a vacuum I don't have a whole lot of interest in Damian Williams And I want to make that known to myself before I then look at salaries and like projections per Per salary dollar, right? Oh, I guess I have to love Damian. I didn't love him before I don't want to have to love him because of just Minimal value. I agree because that's what happened with chuba hover two weeks ago. Yeah, so yeah, I agree Uh, kind of an overlook because the raiders were bad, but Josh Jacobs got a rule change He played 72 of the snaps and had 25 just opportunities That is the fourth game in his career with a 70 snap rate He has five targets and back-to-back games something he had done three times in his career Before this stretch So the yardage is still bad. He doesn't look good Uh, and that does matter a lot, but is this enough for him to be on your radar getting Targets and staying on the field a bunch Oh, he had an above average success rate. Um Underperformed a little bit in terms of expected fantasy points, but it's a good role and honestly at this point we are We're going to be entering by territory um We're gonna have fewer running backs to pick from historically You know, Josh Jacobs not a back that we target if this is the Josh Jacobs We're going to get and we're on a 10 game slate. He is going to be much more in the conversation Josh Jacobs or Damian Williams Jacobs by a wide margin, right? I think so. Yeah. Okay. Josh Jacobs sour for next week. Do you want to name it or no? They're playing, uh, the Broncos at on the road. Um Um 73 68 Okay I think that's about appropriate I'd be closer to 7 000. I think so Josh Jacobs or cordial Patterson cordial Cordial is good at football. I don't know can Josh. Well, Josh Jacobs have 100 yards of scrimmage this year in a game. Yeah Maybe Maybe uh Elijah Mitchell came back from his shoulder injury and played quite a bit He played 68 percent of the snaps nine carries and two targets and the usage wasn't good 62 yards, but It seems like they want him on the field. That's the vibe. I've gotten from each time he's played so far this year So I think it's pretty interesting. They're on buy, but are you buying into Elijah Mitchell post buy? I will note I think Jeffrey Wilson jr. Can't come back until week seven because he's on or weeks eight because he was on pup I can't remember if that's six games or six weeks either way. I think Mitchell sling the lead guy here What's your thoughts on him? I like him. I like the role. I would like it I think I was going to say I'm going to like it better with trey lance because of the rushing potential, but efficiency wise they might be Better with garoppolo and garoppolo was trying to practice friday. So he was probably close. So I think either way Mitchell is on the radar as a value back because I don't think his salary is going to be High come week seven. I'm assuming they're on the main slate just statistically So I I'm cool with that. I like the workload. I like the the offense overall and kind of has, you know two paths to production garoppolo a little bit more efficient with the passing but also Lance opening things up and then without kiddle Potentially more red zone work for him. Yep. I think that Mitchell's pretty good. I'm into him Do you want to see the salary? Do you want to see stuff like that? But broadly interested in him when he comes back in the main slate Zach moss got a role change the bills didn't run many plays because they were like scoring in like five seconds every play Uh moss played 72 of the snaps. That was his first time above 57 percent He had 11 carries and four targets turned that into 92 yards They're kind of similar to the chiefs where they don't really use their backs in the red zone because josh allen gets a lot of red zone rushes, but It's I still feel like this is a key shift here to get mid moss more involved. So what are your thoughts on him right now? I like them enough to play him on the single game slate last night. Um, I would I'll put it this way I want to play devon single terry. I would I would I would and did play moss. I feel better with that Bring up a good point with allen. He had three, uh, red zone carries to one for moss That's not what you want to see for a running. It's also not new Right and it's also not new um You want running backs who can put up six points on a carry with a touchdown I'm not saying he's never going to score a touchdown, but that's all I did the first couple weeks That's how he was like scoring was like by getting the red zone. It wasn't on like amazing usage He was just like he was playing well, right? Yeah So I think for me It's going to take the right type of slate like a large slate to want to play moss Yeah, I think that he's He's at least on our radar now, which he was not for a full slate previously So, you know, I think that um, I'm open to it. I think I like the talent I think like the way he's looked and I think that does help so I'm interested Uh, same team Dawson mott Dawson knocks keeps solidifying his role He had three deep targets on sunday. He had won the entire year before that It helps when daniel sorenson decides not to cover you like that does help lead to a deep target But you also have another red zone target. He's actually 21 percent there for the full season. So They're not the main slate again next week, but like I feel like we should just stop ignoring dawson knocks and be like, okay, you know, maybe it's not as flukey as it seemed initially Yeah, it's so tough because um Like you don't want to buy into those sort of Wide open plays that are kind of busted But it's very clear that they want to get in the ball both in the red zone and You know down the field It's got three deep targets last night with a red zone target 92 of the routes You don't really get that a tight end. So it's time to play dawson knocks. Also We need a um, we gotta throw someone under the bus Call him dawson mox someone who like looks good, but is kind of fraudulent Yes, uh, I think that the comp for knocks is 2020 robert tonion where The usage overall is not great, but he's in a tremendous offense. He's converting. I think that that matters And we used tonion to de-smelt last year. So, um, not 2021 robert tonion to my demise or to my dismay but um Also to my demise that actually was accurate But 2020 robert tonion. I think that's that's a good comp for dawson knocks Let's move now into situations to monitor some things you're keeping your eye on You're starting off with trailance. What do you see there? 15 for 29 no touchdowns. Um negative 0.12 passing unexpected points per drop back Obviously by the negative not very good, but um, we get averages about a positive 0.12 or 0.13 Did have a 10.5. You're at a dot gmi 16 carries for 89 yards Which is just the reason that you want to play trailance and fantasy anyway The bigger thing though is If the passing could be a problem then The pass catchers get knocked down and that includes, um The biggest point of contention for us debo Samuel this year targets again I know games. He had 3d targets all of last year He's a different player Look at answering this do you feel more or less confident in debo with trailance? Oh less confident. That's not that was not the question though. The question was can debo get deep targets and the answer is yes That's the question you you asked and answered yourself I will say in seriousness the thing I like about debo is there are multiple routes to paying off He can get some deep targets. He can get yards out of the catch He can get red zone rush attempts and score on them as we saw I like guys who can bail me out multiple ways and he can do that. Um One of the note here is that with kittle on ir ross dwelly played a lot 25 routes on 31 drop backs Just two targets, but I would say like if we get garoppolo in week seven Dwelly will be on the menu for tight end especially because he didn't do much So it's not gonna get sour as we huge. He was on the menu for me. That's true. Yeah. Yeah, which was fine I think that that was not a bad play Um talking about lance overall, I think you have some numbers on their pace. We can just put those in here since talking about lance It seemed like because they were so run heavy. They kind of kill clock and that really evaporated a lot of the cardinal stuff too yeah, I had them uh When their presnap win probability was between 20 and 80 percent They ranked 29th this week in pace Um in 30th and pass rate keeping in mind that two teams haven't played so it's out of 30 teams. So super slow Super run heavy um, that's not ideal for dfs and just not a whole lot of uh, like My data source nf how faster has uh, no No huddle plays which is surprising But you know again something to keep an eye on there I think that Although lance's role was good for fantasy It kind of sucks the life out of everyone else in the game if they're going to be play that way, which is a bummer So that would be a downgrade. Uh, you had some stuff on the other side of that game as well with the andrew hopkins being back Yeah, uh hopkins led the cardinals in targets, which shouldn't be news, but somehow feels like it is His target share is not 22 percent, which again Is like newsworthy in a positive sense, which is kind of crazy 17 percent for aj green and chase admins 15 percent for rondo more and christian kirk More got in for more three receiver sets At the expense of christian kirk With max williams hurt, uh, they might use four receivers more often. So perhaps You know, I think that it's safe to say geondry hopkins remains and still is the top option here worth the salary Aside from that trying to filter between the other options I Would go with rondo more first and he was initially last for me. So what are you seeing here? Could not agree more I agree with every point you just said. Um, this is the opposite of the debo thing. I agree with everything you said Um, I think that hopkins he was still the top stacking guy for me because it was kind of like a I expect his role to expand. I just didn't feel good about it I'm not going to say he's back to what he was but I feel better about putting him first now and given the potential for Like if rondo more has this role where he runs the route on 54 55 percent of drop backs He can do stuff on that There is always a potential that he could go back down So he's not like someone i'm like super eager to get to a non game stacks But I think for game stacks. He's number two for me Named that salary for rondo more in a really really really really really fun game against cleveland next week Considering that a precursory look at the slate doesn't look like there are a lot of really fun games. Um, They're hard. You're right So like it's still a really limited Limited workload. We don't know if it's going to stick I'd have to cap it at 6,000 57 I I think that I don't even know if I would have gone 6,000, but I think 57 works I figured upper fives was where he's going to be I wanted to make sure that if he was 62 that I wouldn't be like You know, that would that would be a bit high for me one thing to note Um, rondo more His big college game outside the one where he torched northwestern Uh was against ohio state going back to the buckeye estate. I don't know. You know, it's a little narrative here Back to big ten land. Let's go rondo. I think that I feel better about stacking kyler now than I did I think kyler is gonna nuke some s word on Some poop on on sunday. I'm really excited to use kyler this week. It's going to be great Mike williams another guy you want to note on uh, what else what else we noted besides, you know, besides the cardinals here What other Notes did you have? Yeah, I wanted to look at mike williams versus keenan allen because you and I both liked allen this week Um, not to say we didn't like mike williams, but we were just bigger on allen at the salary difference But uh keenan allen still leads the team with the 27 target share williams is at 26 percent You love to see that those those high target shares. It's like, uh, it's like the seahawks um, but You know with jesson herbert and less cowardly from the coaching staff. Yeah, um That works out to 13.3 weighted targets per game for williams and 13.2 for keenan It probably feels like all of the leverage belongs to mike williams And he has it for sure amount down. It's this isn't an anti mike williams thing. It's a Keenan's like really close Workload wise even though it doesn't feel like it. He's underperforming mike williams very very much overperforming So I don't want to forget about keenan allen I want to make sure that I still play mike williams because it's not just Fluke the role was awesome Um, I'll also do you have thought? Okay Uh, daryl henderson got banged up came back in but sony michelle did close out that game Henderson ended up playing 66 of the snaps on thursday michelle played 34 percent Not going to overreact but with henderson You know playing like 89 plus percent of snaps in his healthy games. I guess he has two now But about 66 in the games where he has been injured Something I want to monitor. It's going to be hard to monitor. Um I kind of still project. He plays about 80 next week I'm antonio gibson's red zone role is always something that we're watching He had six red zone carries after losing that race three to one last week to jadie mckissack odal beckham might be toast That game was awesome and he did virtually nothing. He led the the browns with routes 28 but had three targets, which is not good Um 20 yards two catches in a costly drop on a fourth down david and joku was Maybe we need to talk about in joku name a salary for in joku for next week He's still like 49 to me Okay, I I know that's lower than what he'll be if I had to guess He'll probably like 6 000 given tight end 51 so that's very much. Okay. Well, I can include him in game stacks And because he's I think he's past hooper based on that usage and like and joku got good usage in week one As well that I think he got banged up a little bit. Um So I think he's the number one guy there and I think that 51 I can include in game stacks You know for sure So I want to talk to you about beckham now because I'm going to talk myself into him by sunday and I don't I don't like I know that but I want to talk to him while the wound is fresh I didn't really use him a whole lot this week, but like I wanted to and So I didn't I think this will I didn't because I didn't like that game, but I also just didn't like this offense enough So I talked myself into him as the only viable option if that like I thought that shove was kind of the Only guy I really wanted but like I'm gonna talk myself into him because I know that he's out there and like I know they can connect But like it's just weird vibes. It's just weird Like that's the only way I can describe it is it's weird like maybe This is the the pitch you can use is okay. Baker was bad two weeks ago And then this week it's a brand silly defense where they want to take away You're over the top stuff. They want to limit your top guy. They did that like You can talk yourself into it, but I don't think you can go hard at odell I did go really hard on that vikings game. I can't go hard at him I don't think ever again until they start to click So name a salary for odell beckham who is 16th in air yard share among all receivers In a game. We're gonna want to stack next week 62 6,000 That's low enough. We're all using but I don't want to yeah Uh, okay, you're finally was on the jags receivers without dj shark jamal agnew Hello, I guess Yeah, um 24 routes for agnew eight targets to tie for a team high with dan arnold Who had eight? Um also ran 27 routes. So those two guys trailed only marvin jones with 27 or 31 routes himself But marve had just one catch on his five targets Leviska chanel, um 22 routes so fourth on the team just three targets caught one for 58 Which was kind of just a catch and run Um and and tave on austin had 16 routes himself. I had no idea tave on austin was on the jacks Oh, yeah, I mean he was he kind of came in. It's the most obvious pairing of all time having tave on austin Durbin meyer, but I didn't know yeah on uh thursday night when when charke got hurt They were throwing a tave on austin a bit Um if memory serves, but you would think the five for 54 would belong to chanel Like that's well, they used they used him in that role. Well, they used Agnew in the slot and put visca outside. That's why Tave on and agnew had more like the the visca type stat line. So like like I don't know There were there were there were talks that Sorry, my dog's being mischievous. I I could tell um, she was like eating my backdrop So I was like trying to like Um, but she's pouting because I wouldn't let her eat the backdrop The reason that this I think is relevant is that I have been targeting some urban jones for bringbacks I had been targeting this week chanalt for some bringbacks It's honestly, it's less to do with you know, we want to play trevor lorence and build around this team, but it's more Our jaguars games viable for bringbacks and this was not overly promising And I don't like I'm not going to pledge them all agnew. I'm like a main slate. So Yeah, uh, they're they're in london next week. Thankfully. Yeah Um, two is back next week at least that's good. Um I feel like marvis still won, but I don't feel good about anyone here. Is that you're what about it's like james robinson He he got a lot of yardage But his role was still kind of underwhelming. He had 20 adjust opportunities turn that into 149 yards Like that seems kind of flukey, right? um Yeah, also A hide was I think Getting some yeah, he got four red zone carries Yeah, he had a drop of 22 percent of the red zone chances and uh, robinson at 28 percent I mean, that's enough where it's worrisome. So it's annoying. Yeah Just a weird team. There's not a good dfs team. Not a good team Uh, things i'm keeping an eye on kyle pits finally got a good role. Um, might have been heavily influenced by calvin Ridley being out but like when you play well, you assume that will stick even when he's back Uh pits had 10 targets 119 yards one of those targets is deep So I want to ask you are you expecting this role to stick after the buy or does it get washed out with ridley being back I think that's to stick to some degree um His role hasn't been as bad as perception like his weighted target numbers were still fine Uh, it's just that he hadn't scored This really helped. There's a buy. He's still a rookie. He's playing tight end Yeah, like I'm I think the arrows again the arrows up on kyle pits for me Not saying he's back into like the the top five where he was kind of placed before the season Oh, he might be just buy it But he kiddles on but he might be by default. Well, then if kiddles out like it's a big four like just trying to be Realistic, who are the four? Well, it was it was a big five with Kelsey kiddle waller Andrews and pits to start the season. Oh, yeah, Andrews hasn't been on the main slate in like a decade So I kind of forgot that he existed He's back next week at least that's good. Um Yeah, I think that pits is up there He's definitely in that tier. He's not in the calcy or the waller tier, but he's in that next year Okay, I think Leonard for net much better role this week than he'd had previously when giovanni bernard has been active When the starters left that game For net was that 72 of the snaps finished 63. I think that kind of undersells what he was doing 110 yards from scrimmage. He got work in the passing game I Was off lenny once gio was active, but I am Probably gonna be back in now. They're not in the main slate next week, but I think My sentiment on gio is shifting or sorry on for net is changing where I'm like, okay Maybe this is actually a thing I can I can bank on. What about you? Yeah, uh, we don't just don't have an abundance of Running backs playing a majority of snaps and good offenses with good red zone roles like Does for net have a path to 30? No, not to me. Does he have a path to 20? I had 30 last week Did he I'm sorry 30 adjust opportunities. I wasn't I think that was not point. Sorry. I was like that But yeah, like That absolutely is viable um, especially with I would assume macaferi's back Yeah for next week. Yeah, I'll probably back but like if we don't have those guys Oh, no, the big dog's not on the main slate So I know for net isn't either, but I'll live No, I used him a lot this week. I was very happy with him But he scares me every time like I think I said 38 percent this week and I was like that seems low That's really worried about it. I just have I have less stress when he's not in the slate whether I use him or not So That's nice. Uh, yeah for net. I like Yeah, we're on board other role changer situation to monitor here is the Patriots backfield damian harris Allegedly was hurt but also might have gotten benched after a fumble against houston Remandry Stevenson got a lot of run. He tied harris and snaps Stevenson ran just five routes though Whereas brandon bolden was still the past catching guy If anything, Stevenson might take over the harris rule, but we weren't using that in dfs to begin with So the patriots remain unusable in dfs. Let's talk about philosophical changes from week number five I thought the most impactful one was the saints because they actually threw the ball which was weird They had a 65 pass rate early downs in the first half this week That was at 42 percent across the first four weeks and it helped lead to eight targets rather than chimera That might not stick But that would be a huge development for chimera's ceiling to once again get targets in this office now. They're on buy So it doesn't matter for week six, but I think It's not going to make him go back to his old role where I'm like, oh, yeah Just plug him in no matter what but my willingness to use him went up. What about for you? Yeah, it has to be um a good sign for sure chimera is someone that I've just Been struggling with this year. I think a lot of people have You know, you you me and JJ Zachary's and do a snake draft Each week on fridays and I'm like, I don't really want to pick chimera But the role is good enough, but then when it comes to salary cap format I'm a little bit less inclined to get there I think this is a a promising development for for chimera Who won the snake draft this week? You did I? Yeah, oh because of divante Yeah, because I went sake one over divante number two I mean, I would probably Actually, no, I had divante 1.02. I had him. I had him second too. It was close Well, if I get if I go barkley, then I have you could have done either way both were defensible Don't beat yourself up. You were fine The bears remained pretty run heavy with Justin Fields in his second start under bill laser con plays Early down first half password was 44% They likely Are gonna stick with that until they get a reason to change the good thing is they get green bay next week So they might not be able to run as much uh, so Vibes for you around the bears pass catchers given how run centric they've been but also how like Justin Fields hasn't looked bad as a passer um down Like you just you really can't talk yourself into too many pass catchers on a team that actively wants to run the ball and they can You can't really assume negative game script and forcing them into passing. It just doesn't quite Work that way for me Because you know for the most part games aren't I don't know what that spread is there three four and a half four and a half so like They're probably gonna be able to run the ball and even honestly whenever it's a 10 point spread That comes more into play on like the second half teams aren't up, you know 14 nothing three minutes in the game um So we just know that the Chicago is telling us Their first quarter numbers are we're running the ball. Yeah, that's it. So like that's problematic They're illustrating their intent and their intent is to not throw the ball I think that will shift as they get feels more comfortable, but it's not going to be yet I think we need to I kind of want to see it before I expect it to happen. I think mooney's the top guy here Do you agree with that? Yeah, okay Unfortunately, I mean not against mooney, but like we like Alan Robinson. Yeah, for sure But mooney's number one for right now. He's 56 next week. I think that you know At times you can get there because he's got a quarterback who's throwing the ball decently well right now He's getting downfield targets. You can justify that Um, but not a priority by any means. Okay, let's go to our salary scroll for week number six again This is a new segment for us where we just go through Position by position check out salaries week six see what stands out to us. I'll let you start a quarterback You want to start there and see what you see? Yeah, um, one thing that jumps out is my home's is 9 000 and nobody else is above 84 So we're gonna want 84 Well, we're gonna want my home like so it's gonna be a am I gonna go too hard at kyler and not have any homes Which feels scary? um Lamar's 82 It's pretty fun. That's a good game too. That's a yeah, that's a fun one um I mean all these feel kind of appropriate to me otherwise I feel like the baker at 68 No I think the fall-off occurs after Herbert at 8 000 Because herbert dak lamar kyler and my home's are the guys at 8 000 higher or higher And I feel like I'm gonna want to live in that range. Yeah, absolutely And then the only other quarterbacks above 75 or rogers at 77 and stafford at 79. Yeah I could see I could see stafford But yeah, I think it's it might be a week where it's the top five qb's I could see stafford if we're daniel jones playing with mike lenon It's a tough show Uh, running back christian mccaffrey is 10 000 I think that's appropriate because he got in a full week of limited practices. He's gonna come back. I think to a pretty Especially because they lost they've lost two in a row now. I think they're gonna hammer that guy in So i'm gonna feel good about mccaffrey and want to get there for him dalvis 88 Kind of want to see just practice looks like but like if he gets starts to get full practices That could be interesting scrolling down here looking for some guys who Oh gosh, jonathan taylor's on the slate. That's annoying. They uh They they They put alexander madison at 77. So we're not gonna get a A late a late scratch value anyway, darryl henderson 73 Don't think that's bad He has had at least 14 fando points in every game. He is not top 16 But he has the building blocks to top that even with michelle getting more work this past week I think henderson at 73 is one that i flag is being interesting as with mixon at 70000 Depending on what his practice looks like it's definitely weak. So how do you how do you rate? Do you want to just swift compared to those two guys because he's right in between them? Um, I do high on swift You're higher than me. I know that okay because they just they'll just throw him the ball in space Yeah, it's like what a what a great idea to do. I just like I just don't like the offense And like I like the rams, but you but you love the falcons No, I love cordial Patterson Um, jake of 68. Yeah Until you give some 67 I worry about that shin thing because like apparently his leg is actually broken and they just don't care Which is wild But in a game that i'll stack I could see getting to gibson at 67 Especially given the red zone role you mentioned That's kind of interesting Where are we with james connor just kind of I know we historically rather get hit by a truck I know that's my go-to, but it's true Just like a dessert. I mean he's got he's frank gore He's got five So he's got two two and one rushing touchdowns the past three weeks 17.8 19.6 and 10 He scored a touchdown this past. We can score 10.2 points That's the worst roll. He scored two last week and didn't get to 20 points He scored two the last two weeks. I just said that I just said there's numbers Oh my gosh, it's yeah, that's wild. Yeah, I'd rather get hit by a truck. I'd rather use chase edmunds I know edmunds will not score touchdown. I can just put that in in like pen But I don't care. I'd rather use him than connor Booker at 59 I think might be low enough where I have to consider him despite the offense Means i'm investing in my glenon, which is kind of scary. Yeah I'm curious what latavius murray's role will be monday night because he is $5,800 Yeah, that kind of jumped out to me, but I didn't want to speculate too much But there's nothing preventing me from speculating. So a g dillon's 54 I'm not gonna use him. But like that's actually not a Not totally off the radar at least No, it's not And then the other one darrell williams at 52 Darrell williams So I think the guys were flagging in terms of like check them out this week darrell williams Uh, potentially latavius spinning what we see on monday night Um divante booker I would say those are the primary value guys to keep an eye on maybe gibson at 67 kind of dig into his role and see What you see there? You ready to move to wide receiver? Yeah. All right. I'll let you start All right, um Mike williams up to 8 000 seems fair Tyra you get 87 is gonna be uh A nightmare just in the sense of it's worth it. Yeah, um really good game Especially coming off of a like lack like a just a fine game at 11.3 fandal points. So I want to make sure I'm prioritizing that Nuke's up to 77 or geondra hopkins is probably specify um Fuel sphere cooper is 68 She lambs only 7 000 I don't like that game because I don't like the opposing quarterback against new england, but That's tempting It's kind of a pretty clear drop Right. There's no one in the 6000 right. Yeah There's two four six Eight 10 Right around 6000 interesting get cadarius tony odell Um michael pittman 58 against houston that spreads probably gonna scare me off, but like his role is good. Yeah rondo more 57 um Henry rugs is 55 only three targets this past week, but he's had 50 yards in four straight games You know, yeah, it's not nothing at least Uh, would you rather chris connelly 52? No, no. Uh, let me think of this. Uh, would you rather um I don't want to get the hit by busting again. Um Would you rather have to play mlb dfs every day for the rest of your life or use robbie anderson in cash? Uh, i'ma i'ma take the mob dog. Okay. Good. Good for you. Proud of you Meekle harbors $5,500. He had 13 targets this past 12 targets this past week Season 9 76 yards. I don't know if the the yardage will stick But I like that game and I haven't really used harbors a lot this year I didn't use him last night in single game, but like I might be there at $5,500 in that game. Yeah, I jotted him down Amon Ross in brown has had eight targets back to back weeks quintessy fish just got hurt. Um Hey come sunday when we're looking for that guy in the low five so you can just make a lineup work I'm not gonna see a lion 65 and 70 yards isn't your cut off like 85 Or a touchdown. Yeah, so 85 or two touchdowns. Yeah, so like no, you're right. You're right. You're right You can be right. That's fine. I can see the point But I don't want to I don't think the yardage upside is really there Like 85 might be pushing it. I know he's gotten close, but I think it might be pushing it still I mean, it's possible, but yeah Um, okay tight end good. Yeah Uh waller seven thousand, uh, that's they're facing Denver. Just kidding. I don't want that didn't mind I'm like over Darren waller. I used him last or yesterday I'm over him to the point where I'm like and I did this same thing last year I'm like he's not on the same planet as travis kelsey Not gonna play him then he drops 30 Yep, uh mark andrews is $6,300. He's had a good role recently I know we had talked about how it was concerning, but it's actually been pretty good recently Not totally off that uh for mark andrews Yeah, because this is a mess in joku 51 Okay, and ricky seals jones 5000 Um Jared kook's role went down this past week, but it didn't lead to an increase for donald parham I know parham like keeps scoring but like he's still running like eight routes per game So it's more so like i'm downgrading cook without upgrading anyone. Tyler higby Uh, i'm gonna do it again Like so because I was talking about cop getting downgraded I feel like robert woods being more involved or hurts higby more like wait Higby hasn't had enough to get hurt anyway, like you can't downgrade from a bad role I just keep using him because he's on the field all the time for a good offense Like it's not a good process base play, but like, you know, I'm not Good with my process. So This is such a niche uh comment, but he looks like kyle berkshire who's the uh The world long drive champion who is cut okay Higby does yeah with the long hair dude. She cut his hair Like robert tonning his long hair, but he makes it look good at least Tyler conklin's got the man bun. That's kind of cool kind of makes him look like uh That guy from game of thrones his name. I can't remember right now face from the moa like, you know, there's that Uh, and jogu and ricky seals jones. I feel like are the two guys I like from a salary perspective also mo alley cox depending on his route rate on monday Could be interesting. Yeah, those are the three I jotted down. Okay, cool. Tommy tremble is not there yet. Um I'm gonna keep on monitoring his role, but he's not there yet. He's at 4800 dollars I need to see more, but I'm I'm gonna keep an eye on his route rate, but it's not there yet So just noting that I didn't talk about him earlier on Okay, any final notes for you No, I think that covers it. Um some good, uh Good running back options at the top Potential value I like how this is setting up for next week. Okay, let's finish up with a note to future me What are you making sure you don't forget heading into week six? um That's a tough one I can start to them Don't overthink Defenses because and I don't mean like defense and special teams. I mean like Don't get scared off of a game that looks fun Because defense has it played well with the browns and chargers this past week. So specifically, I think Chargers and ravens next week. Don't overthink that one They're two fun offenses. We know where the ball is going. I mean depending on If for sure Bateman's able to play for that game Like we kind of know where the ball is going don't overthink it and get scared off because Defenses are good there. That's my key thing For me, it's probably take the value available at tight end and most likely running back Even for guys like Gibson and swift kind of coming out as values to build around those Fives third quarterbacks. I also need to have a self-exclude on Odell Beckham. Um, I'm gonna need to talk to some Oh, you're trying to use Odell Beckham. You've been logged out and I have two factor authentication So I have to log back in and stuff like that and it's very annoying So if I annoy myself enough, I won't use him. So that that's the goal Is just don't do too much with Odell Beckham That is all that we have here for week number five Brandon any final thoughts for you before I send off the good people to monday night football Uh, just trust the data. Don't chase the points. Okay, that will work very well. I agree And hopefully things look better for this latest week closer To thursday, we'll be back here once again on thursday 10 a.m Eastern on the fangirl youtube page to get you set for week number six Make sure you're subscribed to the fangirl youtube page But also make sure you're subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast We have pga coming up this week USC NASCAR is still going a lot of good stuff. So make sure you're subscribed and uh, check out those podcasts and also Leave the rating and review if you are so inclined Uh, brandon people have questions for you on twitter. Where can they find you there? I'm at gaduola 13 gdu la one three and i'm at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s You can also follow the fangirl podcast network at fangirl podcast big. Thank you to ever for tuning in for today Good luck to you with your monday night single game slates We'll talk to you once again on thursday to get you set for week number six This has been the heat shack fantasy podcast powered by number fire