 Welcome to the weather forecast for the week beginning, Wednesday, January 4th. Happy New Year, 2023. This is Chief Meteorologist John Hensworth for Lawn Moth Public Media. Hello, Fall Moon, Friday, January 6th. It would be beautiful if it's clear. I think that's part of the cloudy skies going in. The sun is pretty active. There's a lot of sun spot activities in the North and South Hemisphere. And reports of fun or roar going on. So, yeah, sun is definitely active phase right now. If you're going to get drought conditions, I think it's got a little better in the North and a little worse in the South. Not a lot of these storm systems have affected places south of Colorado Springs. Kind of interesting. So there it is, a little relief up here, like down there or something. We'll see as the snow melt soaks into the ground how that changes. Nationally, I didn't see much change except in the Ohio Valley at all, except Lawn Moth accidentally hopped southeast 30 miles. So, new place to drive home to. Here's our snow tally, watching the animation going forward. Started out good, went back to about 100%. And it always format differently each time so I try to get the lines to line up. But here we are after a big pre-Christmas snow dump, one that ruined my forecast, 126% of normal. So, wonderful. Let's keep on going, getting as much snow as we possibly can. A lot of the West is getting a lot more moisture than it has in the years. Another storm in the new year. It was pretty nasty out in the northeast corner of the state of Wyoming. Didn't drop that much. I hit totals in my forecast, pretty good for about half of my forecast locations. And then the snow came just under my window and others. But Lawn Moth and the inch area, pretty good. Over on Boulder, which is interesting to get more. Almost the same, 3.5 inches to a little over an inch. And then you have to add to that almost another inch. Lawn Moth, half inch in this day. Another about half inch or so, almost an inch. There's that 1.2 down here for two days. So it was about a 36 hour event with a big dry slot and some down slope in the middle that stopped the storm for a while. Taking a look at the actual liquid precipitation total is pretty light. So there was a blizzardry out here, but not so much water came out of the system. Severe weather. Got stuff in the southeast as that storm departs the nation. Another system coming in. We're going to see storm after storm crashing into California. They're going to go from long-term drought to at least a short-term drought relief. I don't know what the long-term drought relief made. But you're going to see a lot of lakes and rivers get up to flood stage for a while. It'll be interesting to watch. There's Thursday, more stuff in California and nothing on Friday. Looking nationally, we've got heavy rain. We've got snow. Feet of snow are falling into the cascades and mountains out there. Some interior snow all the way to almost Idaho. Big system coming up in the north, like Buffalo and places like that need anymore. On Thursday, a very complex system with heavy snow possible in the mountains and heavy rain and flash flooding possible. Even in Los Angeles, California. Low coming towards us with no moisture left over. Mountain range after mountain range. Ringing the moisture out in systems like this. Going to Friday, we're going to see system after system dumps snow on the western slopes, which is great. That's where we need the snow for our real snowpack and water supply in the Colorado. Another lot comes over the mountains. That's 10 days. Not much in the way of smoke nationwide. Looking for the next 10 days, the normal high is starting to rise, 43 to 44. Normal low is bottoming at 18. A little teeny chance of showers, this stuff coming over the mountains. On the 7th of January, a little bit of stuff later on the 12th or 13th. There was a big snow storm for Martin Luther King Day in the next day. The next model had totally vanished. Sometimes we're going to show that in the long range. It's way too variable. If you go run to run, storms are hopping four or five states different from what they are in the previous run. So it's pretty much a random number generator at that point. If you look at the water vapor satellite loop, there's a big low in the upper Midwest heading into Great Lakes. We have another big system coming in to the west. If you look at Thursday, there's that low. Making it to the Great Lakes, here comes that next system. We have the ridge over us to finally give us a relatively long temperature. I'm not going to say it's a lot. For the next system, well then you know, it's Tuesday and it's not much. There's a lot of trophy mess and shortwave action going in the west. Lots of showers everywhere. This whole thing kind of comes in and goes to the mountains. A good dose of snow. Even with a low over about one mile. Nothing east of the county held a vine really. Rain in Northern Arizona, they need that. And more rain coming in. Some snow weather in Northern Florida. Let's put it in motion. Watch, this is a very progressive pattern. So the waves are short, sort of on the move from west to east. We have a ridge, then we have a trough by Saturday, dry. Nothing coming, another ridge going into Sunday. So we'll warm up a little bit. Comes another low into California. A ridge kind of forms over the mountains. By Tuesday, trough is digging in and slamming California. We've added a Utah, making a trough. And not much beyond that. So yeah, trough, ridge, trough, ridge. Pretty interesting. Not a lot of cold air around. We have our current cold air that departs just quickly. Boom, it's gone. There it is again. Got lots of warmth to our south. Mountains get a little cool. Going on the weekend. Most of the nation is now above normal, where you see the blues in the west as part of the deeper snow. There's some Canadian air coming down into Dakotas, Minnesota, Great Lakes off the east coast on to Thursday and Friday next week. So nothing really notable, cold front lies. We won't see a lot of melt day-to-day, but it will slowly melt. So here we go into Friday, storm hitting snow on the western mountains. Bades out, picks up again in Arkansas. Also Arkansas, Missouri. Big storm hitting California again by Monday. And then another one with really heavy weather on Tuesday. Wednesday, another system comes down, California. We're on northeast part of the state, but nothing on the eastern plains. Sorry, I'm not thrust by the state in the family. Eastern plains is another system here in California. We'll still start making muses. Mudslides and blizzardslide and all that. There's another one. So yeah, very active west coast, progression of storm systems. The next five days, just what we saw, precipitation. This is liquid equivalent. Remains out in the western part of the state. Snow not too heavy, as we've seen some pretty significant snow so far. Better stuff hit some good next 10 days. Some higher elevations get some good snow. So we dig ourselves after Thursday out of the 30s and we hover around in the 40s, see 50 by the beginning of next week. It looks dry a long month for the next seven days. Just interesting to show you the National Water Service and NOAA's Long Range Forecast for January. This is a forecast that was made mid-December. Let's keep this in mind. All the warmth down here, warmth in the west. Let me close up here. Wow, I hit the microphone to shut it off the day later. That's the Longmont trash truck calling. If you take a look at January, two weeks later forecast, all eastern half is now warm and now they got below normal in the west. So it's a dramatically different forecast from the very same month, made two weeks apart. Let's take a look at the precipitation. We had the northern tier of states in Ohio. The valley is very wet, very dry to the south. This is the mid-December forecast for all of January. If you pop to the end of December forecast for all of January, almost nothing is dry. Texas, New Mexico, I'm sorry, Texas, New Mexico and Mexico water and most of the nation is equal to above normal precipitation. I just don't know what to do with forecasts that are so radically different. I'll have to look a lot. We'll do a printout maybe at the end of January to see what actually happens with temperatures and precipitation and see how that looks. Longmont later, Brookfield later, has some other updates and lots of great local news. Check those sites out. This has been Chief Meteorologist John Unsworth. Keep looking out.