 The following is a presentation of TFNN. The Power Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now, David White. And welcome all to another excellent edition of the Power Trading Hour. And it doesn't matter where you're at. You could be in Poughkeepsie. You could be in Timpuk 2. You could be trying to sell ice to Eskimos. Doesn't matter where you're at, as long as you're here at this time. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. So we have the Fed doing its little dance on the catwalk, on the catwalk, doing its little dance on the catwalk. And their show starts here in another 23 minutes. So we'll be going to about 3.15. Not a lot of movement, at least after the initial, what, 30 second reaction where everything kind of bounced around a lot. We're up 50 points on the S&P cash. One could speculate that everybody's leaving China and coming to the United States now that that cash is coming out, whatever there is. But we'll see. We probably would have had another 50 points on it, but they're saying that there's a good case for raising rates sooner rather than later. But we shall see. I think a lot of people are probably gonna try to ignore that rates. Just the swing between the 10 year and the 30 year got to give anybody in that market some indigestion. Of course, generally we don't have a lot of volume on a day like this. Doing about 5.7 billion shares as we start the show. So really it comes down to the last 30 minutes, last 45 minutes after Powell gets done talking and yacking and tweeting and all the other stuff that these guys do to just try to confuse and muddy the waters. But we'll see. They're gonna be asking questions. It's always an unknown whether or not they drop the Shalupa and make everybody a little worried. But my guess is there will be a lot of questions about when they're gonna raise rates. And it sounds to me like sooner rather than later is what they wanna tell everybody. Now the question is if other money from areas like China where the money is not going to be treated as well as it has been in the past is enough to keep the market going higher and or lower. Now this is the 22nd. We're gonna go into the fund buying at about a week. It doesn't give you a lot of time to go back and retest the lows. Although ideally that's exactly what I'd love to see is some kind of pullback maybe 50, 60 points off of where we're at now. That wouldn't be anything in the big scheme of things wouldn't change any charts but certainly would get us back down to test a high volume low which I would like if you're gonna go long. There's a lot of reasons to think that there's problems in the world. If you wanna get scared just start watching some of the video from Australia where the protesters are looking and going up against the police out of something that looks like it's out of the road warrior. It could get scary out there. So I'm not saying there isn't any possibility of any downside. In fact, if I was very bearish today this is exactly where you'd wanna be pulling the trigger short, this is your bounce. You're getting just about everything you want. I'm not particularly bearish here. I think that this could go along. Not also interested in jumping on a grenade here before the end of the day. I'd much rather wait and see that we have some kind of clear direction. Fed days are notorious for seeing movements that are counter to the eventual direction that we're not really getting or that we're getting a little bit higher here also makes me a little worried. I would have loved to seen a pullback and then that pullback bought even on today if you're thinking higher not a small push higher. We'll see how the dust settles. Again, I'm pretty good at figuring out what a lot of people are gonna do. I'm pretty poor at trying to figure out what one or two or a handful of people are going to do. And right now the direction of the market probably pretty much at least in the next two trading days defined by what the Fed people say or don't say and whether or not they are misunderstood or really understood because no one really knows because they always have to talk and some doubles speak. Good 1984 reference there if you haven't ever read the book. But that's it. Probably the most important thing was that the decision today was unanimous. So that tells you that maybe the scales are turning a little bit to the side of maybe micro movements higher for interest rates sooner rather than later. Anyway, we'll keep a close eye on it. 4408 is the last tick that I see. Crewed up by two and a quarter percent. What else do we have? 4409 and of course probably doesn't mean a great deal until we get to about 315 and they're done talking because there's a lot of landmines they could step on on the way to getting to the other side of the field. Anyway, 877-927-6648 email me at path at tfnn.com and while we're waiting for the dust to settle here probably a very good time to give me a call today because we're gonna have probably some extended time while we're waiting for these guys to figure out if they're gonna put their foot in their mouth, if they're just going to all get together and uddle and sing kumbaya for the next 45 minutes, actually another hour before they're done talking. But you never know what's happening more of a gamble than good and prudent speculation in my opinion but that's it, light volume not so surprising. We've got Wednesday, we've got a great deal back of what we probably should have gotten at this point if you were going to short, this is probably the best risk reward and I would love to see one more retest of the low but you don't always get what you want but when you wait some time, you get what you need. So my paraphrasing the Rolling Stones there is generally the best thing to do which is you can always get another trade a lot of times getting into these volatile markets if you don't know, the actual direction is a recipe for waving some cash goodbye. We'll get into in the next segment into Microsoft some of the other things going on today in the sit wrap and then we'll get into some charts. So give me call 877-976-54. Are you grinding in the market but seeing little to no return or are you a successful trader simply looking to make your job a little easier? Learn to take the path of least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter. David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades. Support and resistance define the ranges in which stocks trade by understanding these trading ranges David White is able to find a path of least resistance. David White's trading newsletter The Path of Least Resistance is delivered daily before the markets open to make every trading day an easy win. Visit TFNN.com today and subscribe to David White's ultimate trading newsletter for $119 a month and try all of our newsletters risk-free with our 30-day money back guarantee. Take the path of least resistance at TFNN Educating Investors. What's separating you from the most successful men and women on Wall Street? That's right, information. Having all the information gives us the perspective we need to place the right trades at the right time. The TAS Profile Scanner is the premier market profile based scanner. 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TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern for free. Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at tfnn.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, TFNN, educating investors. Well now, toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. And just a few things that caught my eye and we'll talk about them. Of course, we were waiting for the Fed. Today we're up 61 points on the S&P cash. 44.16 is the last tick I saw there. Australian riots, probably gonna see a lot more of this worldwide as people ask if we're stuck in a Vietnam war where no one will ever say what the victory looks like or a way to put a metric on it just more and more of their authoritarian politics. But yeah, very scary those Australian riot, I wouldn't call the rioters. They've been fairly peaceful as we all know how peaceful rioters are. Microsoft's passion play today, very interesting roll out for Windows 11 and a lot of their new hardware. I will say why we're waiting for this kind of to settle out. If you haven't ordered a TPM, that's a trusted platform module. It's a little thing about the size, a little bigger than a postage stamp that plugs into your PC. Maybe you've already got it, maybe you don't. You probably do want it. You're gonna need it for full protection from Windows 11 or with Windows 11. I ordered mine, it's still gonna be another couple of weeks. If you order yours, it probably will take a while. I would recommend doing it tonight before Windows 11 really goes full steam. You may be waiting three months or six months for one. This is kind of a little chip that does all the encryption to let everybody know that your machine is really your machine. Especially if you're trading on that machine, expect to see most major brokers start supporting it so they'll know that somebody else trying to transfer cash or money or trade under your name or a lot of other stuff. I ordered mine, it was about 25 bucks. They are all back ordered. You can pay two or three times that right now on eBay to get some. But you wanna start doing that now because I'll guarantee probably fairly soon, maybe six months, every one of the broker dealers is probably going to say that you need to have a trusted platform module on it. It just kind of plugs into the motherboard. Whether or not you'll be able to use your laptop in the future is another issue, but you'll have things like USB sticks and stuff that you can plug in. But time to get busy on that. Windows 11 does look fairly good. I don't see any reason for me to do it before I get my TPM, but that's it. Now, Microsoft did have their dog and pony show. They finally have a laptop that hands down absolutely destroys all the stuff Apple has. So not exactly sure if that's, I mean, the PC business pretty small part of what Apple does right now. It's up a little less than 2%, 146.13. Stuff still not going that well for Apple off the highs. Yeah, can they still go higher by the end of the year? Yeah, there'll probably be some decent sales. On the PC side though, it's absolutely Microsoft's actually blowing them away on that laptop business that they really kind of own for about 10 years. But they've got a lot of new features. Their new high-end laptop is absolutely killer. If they started five years ago and really brought up the level of PC laptops, everybody's really kind of chasing them. But certainly the new features with the pen, the keyboard made out of carbon fibers, very stiff. A lot of the things that people had problems with are there. The pen for all the stuff tucks in and is hidden away. So you're not gonna lose that anymore. The pen also has some very interesting haptic feedback. I've tried one that works this way and it kind of makes you feel like you're with a pencil and you're getting a little bit of a resistance. It really doesn't have that resistance because you've got a pen on glass, but it recharges the pen. The little haptic feedback thing makes you feel like you're dragging it, which is kind of neat. But yeah, you could just, from the updated display, everything else, I think it's gonna start a useful high-end laptop. It's probably gonna start about 1,300 bucks. You're probably gonna spend 1,600, my thought on that or more for a really nice Microsoft Surface 8 laptop. But very cool. The Duo, which is the next version of their foldable phone that runs on Android, has some extra slick ways of talking between your desktop and your laptop and running Android on both of those. They showed off some of the new features. I thought it was kind of nightrider-ish. Remember the Firebird that had the, or it is a Trans-Am, that had the lights going back and forth? On the side of it, when it's all folded, this is the foldable phone that they have. A lot of new features, the way that they've written this thing, they've added to Android to really make foldable devices actually usable. But when you fold it, it's kind of neat because you can look on the edge of it. And it's got kind of a, it's a small LED display that says, who's calling, everything else, how many emails you have. So if you wanted to lay it down in front of you for like in a meeting and turn the ringer off, you can see all the stuff that comes in. And it just kind of, kind of like that Times thing where all the headlines and the news kind of go by some neat features on that. But Microsoft's some very nice, new hardware. And of course, Windows 11, which is free to those people that want it. In fact, you can update to Windows 10 still and then go to Windows 11 if you want. So it's not something that's really gonna charge you a lot. For Microsoft, the idea behind this is that they will have a lot of laptops with Windows 11 on it. And of course, that means you'll already have that trusted platform module in the laptop. So you won't have to worry about it. Gives something for people to sell. And of course they make about 45 to 50 bucks license for each one of those laptops that gets sold. So they'll like that too. So pretty good stuff for Microsoft. Got a something in the den. What to buy, repeat what to buy. Trusted platform module. It is a small chip that does all the encryption to say that your laptop or PC is yours and not somebody else's. Anyway, we had another question waiting on me. You having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with? Become an Apex creditor in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den trading room only at tfnn.com. The Tiger's Den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas. Join the den and surround yourself with the sharpest minds in the trading world. Subscribers to the Tiger's Den are also the first to have their questions answered live on air and can privately chat with our tfnn hosts live during their shows. Interact with other Tigers and Tigers' as they share trading ideas, news analysis and discuss the market action all trading day. 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Now, if you have a laptop that doesn't have it, you'll probably be able to buy some kind of USB stick that goes in the side of your laptop or something like that. But most of the people that trade full-time have full-time desktops. You need to order that thing now for your particular machine. And if you get the manual out for it, just look for the TPM module, Trusted Platform M, which is module. And I'm showing a picture of it here. This is probably about double the size of what actually one is. They may be one and a half inches by three quarters of an inch. I mean, the thing's pretty small. All it really does is hose a single chip with a few resistors about half of a grain of rice on it. That chip in there has your codes, the ability to make your codes, so that everybody knows that it's only you on the opposite side of that. It's certainly gonna make banking and a lot of other stuff much more secure so you don't have to worry about it. There will be support in Chrome, some other stuff like that for it. So keep an eye on that. That's gonna be a big thing just for your trading hardware. You need to get that in the queue now. Like I said, I'm waiting. I'll probably have mine, maybe the first or second week of October. I don't see any reason to update your PC before then to Windows 11 because really the big thing, there's some nice stuff in it, but for the most part it's all about this trusted platform module and a lot of stuff that looks a lot prettier when you get into it. Anyway, trusted platform modules. Comment on Apple or on Facebook earlier from John in Philadelphia in the den talking about Facebook finally coming to God. You've got your second gap down. It's even bigger than the first gap down. I suspect before Facebook actually gets another significant low, you're gonna get one more low in. This is on Apple cutting them off for rating the keys to the kingdom of your iPhone, i.e. finding out everything you do, selling your data, doing a lot of stuff that was against the terms of service that they had. And isn't it kind of nice to watch two alligators biting on each other like Facebook and Apple on this issue? I think at least for the moral ground, Apple has a little higher calling here in saying that you're not gonna sell your someone's data without them letting you know. And of course it's gonna be a big deal going forward. To me, this is a, not a drop in the pale, maybe half a cup in a big pale. The big thing's gonna be when the cows come home to roost. Another mixed metaphor there. So I win the award once again at the TEF and then award ceremony for mixed metaphors. But what are we looking for? Antitrust, that's gonna come. It's not gonna stop. The gal that they pushed to the FTC has written her doctoral thesis on this stuff. And it's pretty easy to see the tea leaves of where she's going. Man, am I gonna put more metaphors in one sentence ever? One day I'm gonna have my Rembrandt of mixed metaphors. So make sure and save it. But anyway, two gaps down, 80% chance you get a third gap of a similar size before you find a low in Facebook. As you said, Apple still kind of reeling from the epic issues. None of these people have their hands clean. I've talked about Microsoft being the best of these companies. They're the best house in a bad neighborhood. Mostly because they've stayed away from the go-woke-go-broke crowd irritating their customers and other issues. And they discontinue to really stay away from the landmines and maybe because they have a probably the only good social network. I'm gonna say LinkedIn is it, right? How many times have you heard anybody say anything about LinkedIn being evil or doing something horrible or something like that? It's business to businesses where they have. The big thing that came out of today, which I hope we can adopt at TFNN, is full duplex on Skype. And that is the ability to talk like you're on a phone and both people hearing both things people say right now, especially when we're on the, well, we have callers. If they're saying something, I can't say something. If I'm saying something, they can't say something. It's really just one-way conversation. So one person has to stop to hear another one. I try to talk to Tim Ward about it, but if people don't stop talking, really they're never gonna hear you on the other side. So that will be a whole lot for Skype and some of these other systems like Zoom where you actually can talk and hear both sides at the same time and know that stuff's going on. So I'm looking forward to that, not exactly sure what form it's taken, but should be another big thing. At least, yeah, you just can't, a few callers talk often over the house. That's because when you're talking, they can't hear you. It's a one-way deal. And generally what you have to do is wait for about a second or two and then the thing will sit and figure out whether or not who's talking on what side. So there's always that horrible full duplex problem. It's actually what we have for these kind of things, a single duplex at the moment, but they gave a small demo of it today and it really looked good. 4411 on the S&P cash as we continue to wait and see what the Fed's gonna say. Of course, they've been talking for a handful of minutes and I'm on the show, so I can't really stop and see what these guys are talking. I can read the headlines, but we shall see. Anyway, a little off the highs, 56. Again, if you are committed to the downside, the dark side, today probably doesn't get any better for being short. You might be right for a full couple of days. I really, really, really for Christmas and by Christmas I mean the next couple of days would love to see the lows retested. If they were, so many of these people that don't understand the risk inherent in the market are gonna get their hands slapped and that over the long term is actually fairly good, but we shall see. Like I said, a few of these things like Facebook could see additional lows. Wanted to see how some of these other stocks were doing. When we get back, we'll talk a little bit more about Disney. China actually banning movies from Disney. I think it's just a lot more to come for Netflix, Disney, Hulu, all the rest. We'll be back in a minute. Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the Bay Area, including the surrounding St. Petersburg, Tampa and Clearwater markets? Tiger Real Estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the Tampa Bay area. 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Well, as I said, if you don't like which way the market's going during a Powell talk, just wait five minutes, you're gonna have something. 43, 98, 30. You know, I'm not one of these doom and gloom guys. In fact, I heard somebody talking about what is the chance of an 85% pullback in the market. And I really love that Super Forecasters book. But the best forecasters for everything, not just the stock market, tend to use kind of a Bayesian way of honing in and changing their mind. They don't do it all at one time. They let it over time move. We're not gonna go 85% lower tomorrow, short of a nuclear weapon. In which case it won't really matter, will it? So, you know, the Bayesian version of updating your beliefs in that Super Forecasters book by Tetlock is really kind of an eye-opener to me for saying something. First of all, a lot of times the question is, are we gonna go down 85%? Probably the better question would be, what is the probability of us going down 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, and you lining all those up. And as time goes by, you know, they're like every weekend or something, you just go, hey, there's one more thing. So I'm gonna put a little bit more on that stack of saying that could happen, or a little less that that could happen. But trying to say that you've gotta eat the entire elephant in one bite is generally fairly bad for predicting anyway. A better way is saying, okay, what are the odds of this happening? What are the odds of that happening? What are the odds of any kind of step or stair steps in that happening? So generally, when I would say, what are the odds of an 85% retracement in the overall market? I would say probably today, 2%, yeah, that's probably correct. Generally, the thought is anything below, anything above 80% probably means that you are not objective. But I think on that one, I'll go about 2%. Now, 4,000, I think you could make a bet on the S&P that was probably more, I'm not bearish here until maybe to the first of the year. But I would say, you know, could you say that there's even today a 25% chance that we could hit 4,000 before we had to hire in the S&P? I think you always wanna keep that out there. And as things don't go that way, you move it back a little. Pre-restate your idea today's bounce being an attractive short setup if you're inclined to do. I was saying in there when it was, what, 44, 15, that's generally the setup for a short position. You have a huge move down on a gap. You come back and you feel most of it. There isn't a lot of volume like there isn't gonna be today. Then you have probably some kind of reversal by the end of the day. That's generally a good indication you're gonna go back and retest the high volume low from Monday's low. But that would be it. So yeah, if you went, whatever, yeah, it was about 44, 15 on the cash when I was looking at it. That was about where you would expect a big bounce like that to go before reversing out here. So if you're short that, you put your stop probably at your entry point and you sit on your hands and see how the day closes. But again, I'm not a short, I'm not a five or 10 or 15 minute kind of chart trader. I kinda look at the end of days and that's about it. To what else do we have? Got some more emails coming in. So we'll take a look at that. Okay. Will Apple eventually make a foldable phone? I saw Samsung foldable. It was amazing to feel like an iPhone 12 was a piece of elegant crap. Will ever Apple? But wow, it was India's. My guess is yes. There is a lot of stuff. We know that there's about almost 7,000 employees in Apple down running from Austin all the way to Dallas Fort Worth in that corridor that used to be owned by Texas Instruments in the 80s. All those buildings out there that have set empty forever, Apple snapped up and others too as a lot of these companies have moved out to Austin. But they're working on a bunch of different stuff. I have to say that everything in the Microsoft thing was refined. We've talked about this earlier in the week and that is Apple's history has been that of a revolutionary, not much of an evolutionary company. And them just being evolutionary over the last five years just seems rather tame. Microsoft still in that thing where they released a laptop five years ago that was good, probably better than the rest, probably not better than Apple's laptops. But now Apple has a product that's, I would say probably significantly inferior to the Microsoft one. So yeah, well, Apple make one, I think they will. A lot of times when Apple waits to do stuff, it has to do with now someone not copying them. More than anything, Apple just wants to be able to make something and say, we've got this and no one else can have it. But since they're buying all their parts, displays from Samsung, memory from Micron, I mean, they may have a few things out there, but just about anything they do can be copied. And what they're trying to do is build their own hardware. So what comes out of that will be interesting, but they've been down there about three years, not uncommon to see hardware like that take five years before the light of day. So maybe we get something in the next year or two from Apple that's not something we ever thought of, but they kind of push it a bit. Okay, now one of the big winners that we had in the tech insider from Hector says, explain what ARQQ does exactly in third grade terms. And a very good way to ask the question Hector, one of the most brilliant, probably the most brilliant man of the last two centuries, Einstein said that if you know something well enough, you should be able to explain it to a sixth grader, eighth grader, depends on which version of the story you wanna listen to. Sometimes it's as low as a fourth grader, but I will try to do that. He's asking for third grade. I don't know if I have that in my arsenal of stuff. ARQQ is one that we picked up and had a lot of trouble holding because guess what, it's a rocket ship. Anyway, we'll talk about what this company does when we come back on one of the first shots across the bow in quantum computing for tech insider, where we brought this all the way back. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. 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For years now, they've had a quantum system for handing out quantum keys. These keys are at least today unbreakable. If they are broken, no matter where they're broken, it's a weird kind of thing with quantum entanglement that you'll be able to know that someone else is fooling with your entangled electrons anywhere in the world. Kind of weird to think that no matter what anybody does, no matter how deep they are in a mind, if they touch the key, then the other key breaks on the other side. And these guys have come up with an algorithm from generating it and have been sneaker netting it. That's where you move things around like on a USB stick. They deliver keys now to a lot of the top companies by the old kind of James Bond guy that had the suitcase or the briefcase handcuffed to his wrist. They do that now. The big thing on this is they raise some money with an IPO to go to the next level, which is a satellite distribution of those keys to most of the big corporations, countries, a lot of that other stuff. They have a ton of patents. And of course, if you actually have something that works good for security, the sky's the limit. They are a QQ out of the second side of the couple of weeks ago. We'll see you tomorrow.