 Hey everybody, what's going on? I am Greg Sussman joined today by our own game, Marensi, who's here to give us his best bets from Wild Card Weekend. What's happening, Gabe? I'm ready to rock and roll. Let's do this thing. First game on the slate. It's the Buffalo Bills taking on the Houston Texans. Gabe, it's the one-time slot you did not want. The Raptors are in town facing the Nets. What are you going to do? That's the first time this year that the Raptors actually come to the Newark area. And of course, it has to be at the exact same time as the Buffalo Bills playoff game. The Raptors will be back to New York. I'm not so sure about when the Bills are going to be back to the playoffs. When you consider they haven't won a playoff game since 1995. No surprise, Greg. We saw this coming. We knew that the Buffalo Bills and the Houston Texans, we're going to be the first ones up. It's the annual Houston Texan Wild Card game, all right? What I am surprised about is the fact that nobody wants to bet on the Houston Texans right here. You know that the action is extremely one-sided when they move a home team to two and a half as opposed to three. They just can't find anybody who wants to bet on Houston. And I'm sure there's some Texan backers out there somewhere that are just waiting for the number to come down even more. And truth be told, I think it actually might at this point in time. If you believe the defense wins championships, then you can talk yourself into believing that the Buffalo Bills could beat anybody on any given Saturday or Sunday, right? You look at this football game, it's a tough game. Josh Allen's never played in a playoff game before. He has to go on the road. And truth be told, I think people are underestimating the Houston Texans. Now the Bills do catch somewhat of a break if Will Fuller doesn't play. Yet, how much of an impact does it really have? Let's be honest, Will Fuller seems to be hurt every second game anyways, right? There's still a dangerous offense and they still have to Shawn Watson who can beat anybody anytime that he steps onto the field. J.J. Watts gonna be back as well. That's gonna provide a little bit of an emotional lift for the Houston Texans. But they still have Bill O'Brien on the other sideline. Now listen guys, I am a die-hard Buffalo Bill Fed. I'm concerned about this game. I think they can win. They could also lose this game. But we got four games on the board so I'm gonna give you a picks here. I do think the Buffalo Bills find a way to win. I think their defense will do enough to contain to Shawn Watson. And I think Josh Allen will do enough to make enough plays to win this football game for the Buffalo Bills. I actually think Devin Singletary is sort of a sleeper dark horse in his football game to have a couple of big plays and be a difference maker. So we're gonna take the Buffalo Bills but really the best bet in this game guys is the under. I don't understand this number. It got as high as 44. It's starting to come down a little bit. And if you like the under of this game, I think you should probably bet it like immediately. I think it's only gonna continue to come down as people start to realize, why is the number so high in this football game? The Buffalo Bills guys are 12 and four to the under on the year, all right? The Bills played 16 games this year. Only one team scored more than 24 points on them. It's an incredible stat. Baltimore got there and the Patriots got there and to 24, Philadelphia was the only team to actually go over 24. The Houston Texan defense is good as well. They played nine and seven of the under on the season and they didn't care about the last game of the year. So let's just sort of throw that one out. It really could be 10 and six to the under. There were some late garbage points at a garbage game. So I really do like the under a lot here guys. And what I really like a lot here in the playoffs is the quarterback rushing props, okay? You throw everything out the window right now. If a quarterback sees it, he's able to pick up seven, eight yards, he's gonna take it. He might not take that in the regular season. If it's week or week, you know, if it's week seven, week eight, week 10, he's thinking, I'm not gonna get drilled by a linebacker to pick up six yards right now in his regular season game. You see, I'm gonna think of all the famous quarterback moments in the playoffs guys, John L. Way laying it out there. You know, Tom Brady, hell even Peyton Manning's had some big runs in the playoffs before. Josh Allen's prop is a little high in the 34 and a half range. Let's go to Sean Watson over 26 and a half man. This kid can run. He's gonna be ultra aggressive and in his last three starts, he sailed over this number 32 yards or more 26 and a half. It's a little like, I think Josh can get there, but there's no value at 34 and a half. There is value at 26 and a half with the Sean Watson. So Greg, give me the Buffalo Bills plus the two and a half points. Give me the under in this football game. And give me the Sean Watson over 26 and a half rushing yards. You knew he was coming ultimately with the Buffalo Bills plus two and a half with the under is games favorite bet from this game. It's simply too high. It's a number that he expects to go down significantly by the time this game kicks off on Saturday afternoon. So get, you know, on that under early before it happens game. Wildcards have really played to the under. Let's dig in here, guys. The last, the last two years wildcard weekend, Greg, six and two to the, to the under. And if you want to dig a little bit deeper, the last 28 wildcard games, 20 of them, 20 of them have gone under the number 27 and one to the under last 28 wildcard games. Wildcard weekend plays to the low side. Absolutely. Get the under in now. And also Gabe likes to Sean Watson over his rushing yards. Saturday night after that battle between the Bills and Houston, you get New England and Tennessee. It feels like everybody's on Tennessee. And yet this number hasn't really moved. It's the Titans plus five and a half. Why is that? That's an interesting observation, actually, Greg. Because you notice pretty much every handicapper, talk show, host, fan on social media thinks that the Patriots are on the ropes. We've heard this before, right? That the Patriots are done. This is the end of the line for Tom Brady and Bill Belichick. No, no, but this time it's really different. No, no, this time, but not now. This time it's really, really different. They're really on the ropes. Well, let me tell you, this time it really is different. They really are on the ropes. They are. They're done. They're like Jason Garrett. They're done as a matter of how and when this goes down. It's the same thing. The New England Patriots aren't getting back to the Super Bowl, all right? And in fact, this might be Tom Brady's last game as a New England Patriot. Think about that, how crazy that sounds. But he is a free agent, guys. And he wants a lot of money. Things can take a turn real fast here. But I'm not ready to leave the Patriots for dead yet. It wouldn't surprise me if the Patriots won this football game. And how about this for Bill Belichick? 17-1 straight up in playoff games versus teams that he didn't play in a regular season. They played Tennessee last year, not this year. But I'm a lot like a politician. I discount negative polls and I tell positive polls. So that's a trend. Ah, who cares about trends anyways, right? You know what I do care about? Let's just break it down here. Who's got the better quarterback coming into this football game? At least who's played better football this year? Well, no one's played better football than Ryan Daniel. That's the guy's seven to three years as a starter. He's got the highest QB passer rating in the National Football League. They also have the leading rusher in the National Football League. And Derek Henry, you know, yeah, they also have the leading wide receiver as far as rookies are concerned. And AJ Brown, and you know what they say, you're not a rookie after eight games. You're not a rookie when you're playing in a playoffs right now. The Tennessee Titans have some skill. They've got some skill position players. They're gonna be able to put some points on the board, guys. You know that the Titans have averaged since week seven, 30 points a game. I don't think people realize because you don't see the Titans, but they play very up tempo. They throw the ball a lot now, suddenly with Ryan Daniel. But the thing is, Daniel is 0-6 in his career at Foxboro. It is Ryan Daniel versus Tom Brady on the road. But with all that being stated, I think the Titans are gonna give them all that they can handle. And if there's anything more fitting than winter storm Henry that's on its way right now because Derek Henry is also on his way. Weather could be bad actually. It looks like weather's getting worse right now. Rain, sort of wet snow, not extremely cold, but it's gonna be a really wet game and it could be pretty windy as well. The Titans are gonna be able to run the football with Derek Henry and I don't think the Patriots offense is suddenly going to start like lighting it up right now against this Titans D. The Patriots might survive this, Greg. I'm not giving you the money line, but if they do, they're not winning this football game by six points and then they'll lose next week on the road. It wouldn't shock me if Tennessee wins this game outright, but we're here to make money, so give me the five and a half points. As Gabe said on the morning after this week, the Titans come in in this game with the better quarterback, better running back, better wide receiver. They have plus five and a half, but I get it, it's in Foxboro. And Mike Vrable, Greg, not intimidated by Billichek. Mike Vrable has never coached under Billichek, guys. He's not one of these, you hear this often this week. Why is a member of the coaching tree? He's not. He played for them, all right? He was a player. He's his own man. He's never coached. And in fact, he's actually coached with Bill O'Brien. He's never coached before with Bill Belichek and he beat Bill Belichek. And who would know the inside outs more than the former captain of the defense? The guy that's won three Super Bowls that's been in a pit with these guys. Vrable's not intimidated going in there either, Greg. Vrable's not intimidated, but I don't want to say he's better than Coach Bill Belichek. The weather's not going to be good as you stated on Saturday night. Unless you're Vince Lombardi, it's hard to say you're better. Still a tough spot to play in. And even then, if he wasn't a cheater, then rename the trophy after him. But he's a cheater. For Ryan Taddeo on Saturday night, his playoff debut in Foxborough, it is not an easy spot to be in. The Titans, right now, they're playing better. We'll see if they can get the job done. But they don't need to. You just need to cover five and a half. Let's move on to the first game on Sunday. Gabe, that's Minnesota and New Orleans. You've been all over Mike Zimmer in non-divisional games. Mike Zimmer in the playoffs, the Saints. Everybody loves New Orleans in this one. You. Well, we all know what happens when everybody loves the side of a game. I'll tell you guys right now, you don't even need to watch my videos, all right? Just log on to any gaming site that covers sports betting and look and see what the public consensus is on a football game and fade the public consensus. Same thing with all the betting contests and all that type of stuff. Whatever the top five consensus plays are of the week, they never win. I'll tell you what, I seem to be all alone as I wait in line right now to bet on the Minnesota Vikings. Everybody loves the New Orleans Saints in this game and I understand why the Saints are a dangerous team. Michael Thomas is unstoppable and the Minnesota Viking secondary does not match up well with Michael Thomas. Thomas is gonna have like double digit catches in this football game, but I think people are underestimating the Minnesota Vikings offense a little bit here and really this is a leap of faith play. If you believe the Kirk Cousins won't be terrible and the Kirk Cousins isn't, for lack of a better term, gonna choke in the big moment, then the Minnesota Vikings are gonna take this game to the wire. They have the talent to hang with the New Orleans Saints. They have the offense to trade points with them as well. Calvin Cook is 100%, wow, is 100% as you're gonna be at this time of the year. And as Greg alluded to, we talked about this on a weekly basis. The Minnesota Vikings are one of the easier teams to handicap in the National Football League. They own non-division opponents and they stumble within a division. Now 43, 18 and two against the spread, against non-division opponents. Now I get it, Kirk Cousins has struggled in prime time games before, but last time I checked, one o'clock Eastern, it's not prime time. They sort of catch a break a little bit that it actually isn't a night game. And Kirk Cousins has played in a playoffs before and he wasn't terrible. It wasn't his fault the Washington Redskins lost to the Green Bay Packers. It's a leap of faith here, Greg. In Cousins, I trust. Give me the Minnesota Vikings plus seven and a half points as you know what? I'll be the silent minority in this. Give me the points. You like that? You like that? Come on Kirk, get it done. We're going to get it done in a high scoring game. It's going to be a track meet Vikings cover. There'll be a fun one down in the Superdome this week in New Orleans. We're not talking about Clemson and LSU. We're chatting about New Orleans Saints taking on the Minnesota Vikings. Kirk Cousins tries to pull off what Case Canem did and beat the Saints in the playoffs. One final game to get to, it's the final game of Wildcourt weekend. It's the Philadelphia Eagles at home taking on the Seattle Seahawks. This is a pretty evenly matched game. The offensive line for Phillies beat up. The wide receivers are beat up. Running backs are beat up. The defense is always stunk. You got to like the Seahawks, right, Gabe? You know what? It's hard really not to respect what the Philadelphia Eagles managed to do. Now listen, they dig themselves a hole all the time. You know the Eagles, Greg? They're like a gambler that starts off the night like one in four every night. You're like, oh my God, I'm in a lot of trouble. I just lost a lot of money. And then they always scrap back at the end of the night. They're like, no, I hit a parlaying late and actually came out just a little bit ahead. That's the Philadelphia Eagles for you. The record in these elimination games is unbelievable under Doug Peterson. But now they're facing a guy that also has some unbelievable records. But I do tip my cap to the Philadelphia Eagles. Their fan base is psychotic. It's not going to be an easy environment for Seattle to go into. But let's go through a couple of the pros here for Seattle. Number one, they caught your break, guys, that this game is at 440 Eastern time. And what does 440 Eastern time mean? I don't know, that means like 618 kickoff, I guess. But you get where I'm going with this. Seattle's a West Coast team. They're playing in the latest possible start here on Sunday at 440. So for them, you know, the East Coast thing is not really a factor. And in fact, though, Seattle's actually been very good on the East Coast. And a weird anonymity, you know, we always hear about the 12th man and stuff. But the fact of the matter is, guys, the Seattle Seahawks are 7-1 on the road this year. All right, they're 7-1 on the road. In fact, they have a better road record than the Philadelphia Eagles do home record. Let's dig in a little bit deeper right now. And listen, Carson Wentz has something to prove. He's played good football over the last couple of weeks. He got his team into the playoffs and we give him props for that. They also played some pretty horrible and freaking football teams down the stretch. Seattle don't have any running backs. And I'm not big on Marshawn Lynch. All right, it's more of a publicity stunt more than anything right now. But Marshawn should be a little bit better now that he's got a game under his belt. And the fact of the matter is, I also like that you can't run on Philadelphia. I don't think it matters. Like, honestly, like, I don't think it matters who to running by. If Carson was there, I still don't think he would have a lot of success. Philadelphia is just that good against the run. But you can throw on them. That's no secret. As long as Seattle's play callers get out of the way and let Russell Wilson do his thing, run around, make some plays. He should be able to pick apart this secondary, Greg. I like Seattle in this game. Let's dig in deeper to some of the numbers here. And I don't know if it's just me, Greg, but it seems like every week we're talking about Russell Wilson. I'm like, hey, you know, he's never lost to this team. Or it's like, yeah, Russell Wilson's never lost to this team. He's never lost to that team. Well, Russell Wilson 4-0 in his career against the Eagles, including, oh, yeah, they just played like last month. All right, it was late November. They actually got it. They went in there, got a 17-12 road win. The Seahawks are also five and one against the spread in their last six wild card games. They're five and one against the spread in their last six road playoff games as well. The Seahawks are battle tested and it's gonna be a fun football game. Carson Wentz is gonna make some plays but I think ultimately a turnover or two will be the difference that I expect Wentz to turn it over more than Russell Wilson. And Wilson, I trust, give me the Seahawks money line. Russell Wilson never lost to the Philadelphia Eagles as Gabe said and the play callers just have to stay out of his way. That means we're talking to you, Brian Schoenheimer. Last year Seattle got down to Dallas. It was very, very tough for them to be able to come back because all they did was run the football. Now, as Gabe mentioned, they don't have any running backs. So hopefully they can't do that. They leave it in the hands of Russell Wilson. They're a playmaker, get it to DK Metcalf, get it to Tyler Locky, get it to Jacob Hollister for God's sakes and just make sure he's leading your team to victory, Russell Wilson, money line this weekend. That's gonna do it for us here in the Fan Null Hurry Up. For Gabe Marenzi, I am Greg Sussman. Thanks so much for watching. Good luck, wild card weekend and we'll see you right back here next Friday. Review the divisional weekend around the NFL.