 is a presentation of TFNN, The Power Trading Hour with your host David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now, David White. Why does that happen to me and welcome to another excellent edition of The Power Trading Hour as always it doesn't matter where you are at as long as I'm here and it's two o'clock. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. Well we've got the SMPs off almost 40 points down 175, NASDAQ off 165 and there's something broken. I don't know what it is. We've had lots of theories. Somebody talking about the Evergrande which sounds like a never-ending cup of coffee from Starbucks but I'm told it is a big real estate deal in China. What can you say? Other people think it's all about taxes. Some people think it's about products shortages. Some people think it's about unemployment. Some people think it's all of the above. Some people think it's they might even add a little bit of COVID on there. But there is something wrong. I had a really good question here right before the show from John in Philadelphia although he's not always in Philadelphia. And that is I came on earlier in the day and said options had really flipped for what the prediction was and he asked why that happened. We had such a huge move. And the answer is today is quad-witching although we had a small argument earlier in the day on why it is just try-witching and not quad-witching. But everybody still calls it quad-witching. It's one of those things everybody knows about. At 9.35 Eastern time for those people and loots options on futures expire. And as soon as that happened there was the floodgates of trying to get the two to match. There had been apparently a ton of people extremely bearish on the futures and bullish on the options. So even those kind of held up through yesterday. I had a play in AMD where we bought calls yesterday. And as one of the most heavily shorted stocks I was looking for it to bounce. It certainly did. It just went the other way today. But it is something that you really don't know how deep the well is until it happens. It just goes to this one is one of the ones where the difference has been pretty astronomical. I'm trying to I'll go back through the date over the weekend and see if we ever found one that was this wide. But for some reason everybody on the futures is on one side. Most of the people on options were on the other. And when they pulled one away the other one is kind of sucked in by a giant vacuum of what's going on. Anyway there was an equal. I think this is around 11 30 or something what not before noon. I ran the numbers I think at 11 30. And at that point then the likelihood of closing out at 44 50 on the S&P cash was the same as closing out at 4400. Since we were about exactly at this well not exactly this level around this level. So there was like 12 or 13 points higher and 35 36 points lower. So on a coin flip you didn't want to be long. We've tried a couple of times to rally. Nothing's happened. We're going to go through some charts that should have bounced either yesterday or today on the show today and see what they did or didn't do. Like I said I got the I got what I thought was confirmation in AMD and it's bounced yesterday as the most heavily shorted stock. It should have easily been able to squeeze people higher. It did yesterday and they came back far and away at lower prices today. Same thing with other ones out here. I've seen a few stocks that look like they had blow off tops or three drives to a top. I'm just right now at the point where I'm all cash. I'm just not looking at the market that really other than today which I wouldn't be surprised to see a giant flush in the last 30 minutes of the day. We haven't had the volume up or volume down. We've gotten to places in the market where it should have cracked earlier today and there was no volume. It went up and still got rejected. It's come back down. Still no volume. A lot of times you would just say that is a market where you're just not trending and going sideways for expiration. But I think there's a giant trap door available for 35 points before the end of the day in the S&P cash. So I got everybody out in the newsletter. Some with some small profits. Some with large profits. Some with a couple of my homemade ETFs had some losers. One that was almost a tie. So kind of a little all over the place. But I continue to think that there's something else going on and nothing really that I see in the headlines or the people have talked about in the den have talked about it. I also pretty much talk about options expiration. But I brought it up in my seminars and sometimes on the show here. Quad witching is one of the hardest ones to get options to make sense because you do have expiration on both sides. Generally you get a kind of a clue after if you sell off in the morning then generally you rally in the afternoon. And if you rally in the morning, a lot of times you'll go soft in the afternoon. And that's why they kind of consolidate the two options and futures on options and that stuff. But you know what? A lot of stuff like that's just kind of weird. I tend to shy away. The only reason I went with the AMD trade yesterday or the day before, now it was, was there was a very good chance. I still eaked out a little bit. But it wasn't the trade that I thought. Options did show that AMD could go to 110. That's at 104.25 now. So is every trade going to be a winner? No. But what it's telling me is there's something going on that I do not understand. And generally the old saying when in doubt get out or as Jesse Livermore said, no prognosis, no profit. You've got to have kind of a good idea of what's going on. What's wrong or what's right with patience. No prognosis. Anyway, we'll be back in a minute. We'll start talking about a lot of other stuff. Are you grinding in the market but seeing little to no return? Or are you a successful trader simply looking to make your job a little easier? Learn to take the path of least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter. David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades. Support and resistance define the ranges in which stocks trade. By understanding these trading ranges, David White is able to find the path of least resistance. David White's trading newsletter, The Path of Least Resistance, is delivered daily before the markets open to make every trading day an easy win. 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Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, TFNN, educating investors. Call now. Toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. As we return, I want to say, I'm just going to call them M because I'm wondering if this is some kind of trick name. It might be. It may be a true name, so I'm not making fun of it. You never know. Maybe you'll send me the pronunciation of it and I'll say it off the air several times to make sure it isn't. Could the sale of gold be because China market losses presumably are preparing for such a loss? Is the drop in apple also a move to cash for overseas markets and their losses? Is it time to invest in apple or further confirmation of temporary bottom be considered? All those things are possible. I don't see any kind of smoking gun, as I said in my opening monologue, that there is one theory that overweighs the rest of them. You could say that's it. Maybe it's in all of the above, but certainly the whole thing looks a little bit weird. As far as apple goes, let's go ahead and pull the chart up of that real quick. One of the problems I have is that they didn't show up with anything. Energy is a little bit more than on this down slope than it was on the up slope, but they really, in fact, a lot of the tech channels on YouTube and Instagram and those kind of things were having a really tough time trying to act excited about anything new. If you had an old phone, a handful of years, five years old, four years old, maybe it makes a lot of sense even three years old, but there isn't a lot even evolutionary about the new phones. They didn't really talk too much about the rest of the stuff that made anybody change their mind. Of course, I think I said that yesterday that a lot of people have always thought of Apple as a revolutionary company. As it moves farther on, it's more of an evolutionary company where they're just making everything 1% better. That was more of a company motto of Microsoft where we'll push something out and we'll just continue to make it better until it's okay. Generally, the idea was that they were going to have something neat and wippy and cool that no one else had. All the rumors were wrong. They're never always right, but they've never been so wrong. I don't think any of the rumors were right. What it looked like, the feature set, what they were going to talk about as being new. You've got a little bit more of a move back here. Volume is okay. Anything less than probably about 100 million shares is not a blowout, but you could go back and retest 142. There's just a lot of different things, a lot of moving pieces. As I said, I went all the cash now. I don't care how much I loved a particular stock. Wanted doubt, get out and sell when you can, not when you have to. I was sitting on one that had done extremely well this week, but as soon as I started seeing those options turned my stomach just in a knot, didn't tell me to short the daylights out of the market or anything, but did tell me that I should worry about it. I actually put on a few shorts, but nothing that I wanted to put in the newsletter because they could easily go against you or for you. If I'm sitting here, I'm five seconds away from making the decision. In a newsletter, you're always 30 minutes away from doing that, and you've got to have a much higher burden of proof to go with your gut feeling. Along with that gut feeling is that we're off 40 points on the S&P cash. Would it be a big deal to lose yet another 30 points before the end of the day? I do not think so. Again, I don't know what it is or what people are focusing on. Is it a general malaise? Is it hangover from Afghanistan? Is it a general? All the things in the headlines that you could pick from that get people down thinking that the market's headed lower. Since it's all just a confidence game, and we know that, it's whether everybody thinks the market's going higher or enough people do, or if enough people think it's going lower. I'm going to say that we had two bounces. They quickly sold them. You could make a case that we were beating out a bottom. You could also make a case that that bottom is going to break. I had one of my stocks actually break below where it was going to, I'm pretty sure it was going to stop out today. It's about two bucks underneath where it needs to be. When you start getting a hint that one in a sector is doing bad, probably time to move on. Anyway, we'll keep a close eye on it, but just be prepared. I think the last 30 minutes of the day could be extremely telling. But on a long-term basis, we go into the Fed on Wednesday. We've got Canadian elections on Monday. Canadian elections may actually move gold a little bit. Hard to tell, but if anything's going to move politically, it's going to move gold. Could be Canadian elections with so many gold Canadian miners. Other things going on, like I said, you can just pick from a laundry list that looks like a Chinese restaurant's 50 different things that you can point at, but maybe it's just everything combined. I don't know. Every grand day. Doesn't that sound like a I don't think so. It may be rigged. It may not be rigged enough. Even the candidate that was getting 3% three months ago was getting 15%. So remember, it's not him by himself. If he doesn't have control, it's a parliament. If he doesn't have control of the parliament, he can still get the big boot, the way I understand Canadian politics. They have to make it interesting, but I'm not so sure that he's the kind of lock that a lot of people said that Newsom was. I think there are two different things going on. Anyway, keep an eye on all that. Is money been raised? Well, certainly being sold, but you can make an argument that it was being sold because Apple didn't produce. More interesting to me would be something on how Microsoft is doing MSFT, Mr. Softy, and that would be, you know, is it really doing that bad today? No. If they announced this giant buyback, yes. You know, that's more of a threat because most of the time, less than 10% of share buybacks actually get educated. It's always a threat if someone wants to get heavily sold stock. We'll be back in a minute. Are you having fun trading the markets, but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with? Become an Apex creditor in the trading markets and join the Tiger's Den trading room only at tfnn.com. The Tiger's Den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas. 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The art of timing the trade charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days, weeks or even months searching to find. And right now, we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month. We are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money back guarantee. Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of the art of timing the trade charts today by visiting tfnn.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com. Question here. Are we got it? Okay. Question about Apple, where do I see it expiring today? Well, options that I ran during the break show, they think they're a pretty good high possibility it expires at $145 plus or minus $0.15 today. So that's kind of where I'm coming up where I wouldn't be surprised to see a $4,400. But that may be all the last few minutes of the day. It's not like a lot of this happens at $145.89 now. And that can change. You buy more. But for me, you're going into a work a weekend, you got fed next week, you're already off 41 points on the S&P cash, you're off $175 on that. NASDAQ, I, you know, in the olden days, I'm going to say, which is like 2002 to 2007, it wasn't beyond the scope to see expiration day have massive swings of the, you know, one and a half, 2% range, just because there were so many people off sides. Computer programs better now, risk control programs better. So it doesn't tend to take those big wild swings. But as I said earlier in the show, there was such a wide disparity between options on futures and actual options that the market's kind of unstable, which means that it could kind of die out, or it could turn into a raging inferno before the end of the day. I'll just keep some short positions on that I'm going to cover before the end of the day and see. But I think that there's a good possibility that we could see some rips in some of the bigger tech names by the end of the day, probably caused by Apple. If that does get down to 145, it's 91 cents in the scheme of things, not a big deal, but such a huge part of the indexes that it'll make everything kind of go back into a spiral of shaming. What would you call it? Spiral of selling. A shame spiral, I think is what they call it now. But certainly that's it. Anyway, one of the reasons I kind of flip in here is not because I didn't have some positions that were in the money, I did. And they're pretty much where I sold them a couple hours ago. But it is a lot of these stocks that should have bounced. I'm going to go through a bunch of these now. Maybe they do it on Monday. Maybe there's something going on. But we had Ruracanimus, ACB, probably not highly dependent on the economy, in with a little less, around a hundred, what, one and a half billion shares lighter handful of days. Never really has done anything. AFL, CIO, which is Aflac, had kind of a fairly decent three days of going sideways lower today. Again, none of these really have a lot of volume, but should have been around here. We've got first majestic silver, which actually had a little bit more energy on the last leg down off that 1366 high. You had an eight million share a day yesterday. You had a six point, and it was called six and a quarter million share a day. It's lighter, but you really didn't get much in the way of a bounce. You got a market acting like it's not doing well. AMCR, some of these were at fairly decent support levels. There's support levels at about $12 and 20 cents. This one kind of jumped the creek, which is the reason I'm out of my long positions. I was afraid that we wake up Monday and it gets even worse if we don't have that. I'd rather wait and pay up on Monday than wake up to another 40 points down in the S&P cash. Amaris, been going sideways for a handful of days. Not a real good example, but interesting. Altus had been sitting out here at low, had a nice retest, probably should have bounced today. AVTR, Avantor is one of the stocks up here that just keeps going up. Still, no sign on that one. It should have flipped. Ben Franklin Resources. This one's just a big triangle waiting to bust out generally in the wrong direction with a head fake and then go the other way. BHP, this is one that I thought probably should at least go sideways today. Another gap down. This thing's been gaping down for what, three weeks? Probably not a good sign. CDEV, which is Silver Run Acquisition. Again, you're at these highs. Interesting stock, not much volume today. CGC, sideways. No volume last really the last three days, but no bounce either. Off 44 points on the S&P cash. Clovis Oncology, CLVS. Nice bounce for three days of declining volume though and not making any new highs. CNX, Console Energy did have its doji. That was the high. You've pulled back a little bit. Got about half the volume today. CP, testing. Now, this is the stuff that dreams are made of except when the market doesn't go your way. If the market started heading up, this is a very interesting low. I would have liked a nickel lower by the closeout here. Canadian Pacific Railway. And again, maybe this is something to do with the elections. Not so sure about the company, but the Canadian elections on Monday. But you've got a 22 million share low at 67.42. You've got 67.47. So you're a nickel higher right now on one fourth of volume. I do like that. But again, you know, generally, even on a day like this, you're going to get a little bit of a bounce if it's the volumes that light. And we're not getting any of it off 46 points now on the S&P cash. Feel like an auction here. Going into the sale. Deutsche Bank did retest a 7 million share high. This is July 29th high at 1308. You got to 1324, rolled back over on it on 2.44 million shares so far. That may be interesting. I don't like to short low dollar stocks, but that may tell you something about the outstanding problems that may be European banks. I don't know if they're involved in that ever grand day. Huge never ending cup of Starbucks coffee, but not sure. A little bit of a reversal out here, maybe dark cloud cover on the last handful of days with Dropbox, although it should be doing well. It's going into a six and a quarter million share low at $30 and two cents that had six and a quarter million shares. It came into that with just two million shares a couple of days ago. That's why I was thinking maybe you should get a bounce here, right? If you're supposed to be getting a bounce and you don't, it reminds me of the dog that didn't bark. We'll talk about that when we return. The technology around us is changing every day. With so much happening, it can seem impossible to keep up with all the information. David White's investment newsletter, the technology insider, is designed to give you all the information you need to understand the technology that shapes today's markets and tomorrow's future. David White has made his living staying on the cutting edge of technology. His weekly newsletter will give you specific recommendations for valued tech stocks as well as entry prices, target prices, and stops to set for each trade. Dave delivers his weekly newsletters every Friday with updates throughout the week. You can get the technology insider at tfnn.com for only $37.50. Sign up for David's newsletter, the technology insider, and get an inside look at everything the technology sector has to offer. Try it risk-free today with our 30-day money-back guarantee. Tfnn, educating investors. Are China A shares hot or not? 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That's tfnn.com and hit Watch Tiger TV. And Dan in the den says that they're going to start voting on whether or not we're going to get booster shots or not. So maybe before the close here today, we may have some action in those in those vaccine biotechs. So that may be an interesting play. We'll see if they come out with the news before the close today. Other things going on, as I said, kind of we were down 45, we're down 40 now. I suspect if we follow patterns of other markets where you go into the close and you really don't get a significant rally, it's that last 30, 45 minutes that's pretty big. So Tom will guide you through that and the close today. A lot of times you just kind of hurry up and wait like the military, waiting for these things to come. But I don't think it's going to be a flat close. I don't think we're going to wake up and find out we're at 44.33 at four o'clock today. I think there's enough imbalances that either they're going to run these stocks higher or lower, but my guess is lower. Very tough to get people to start buying right into a horrible weekend. Sometimes they'll buy right at the close, but generally that's about it. They hope that they're going to get a better price if they just hang on. We were talking about the dog that didn't buy a bark. That's the Sherlock Holmes thing where he identified that the dog must have known the killer because he barked at anybody he didn't know. And since the killer killed his master and didn't bark, it was somebody he knew. So sometimes doing nothing is a something. But again, like I said, not really a good sign out here to see a six million share low tested with two million shares and come right back to it the next day. It is a market of stocks, not a stock market. We should be seeing something on some of these. And for the most part, they're not doing much. We'll go through the rest of them here on my list of things to look at. Dinovax technologies you gap down coming up a little bit. No volume there. EDP. I'm not going to say there's a lot there. Genius Brands. That one actually tested its low on higher volume. This is the one I wanted to get to. Hewlett Packard Enterprise, not one you think about a lot. $15.89 has come back down to test the previous low at $13.48. That's the July 19th low that had 13 million shares. You're into it with eight million shares now. So you're going to be fairly light, may not close back above it. But generally you get at least some level of support with the light volume. You haven't seen it quite yet. IBM, this is kind of an interesting one. It's back to kind of long term support. It gapped up on earnings back on April 20th on 15.5 million shares. Back into it today with 2.33 million shares. So I would just assume this thing would have popped a buck or two by now. Other people are looking at the same kind of stuff I'm looking at. But the question is whether or not we're just going to have a prolonged sell-off. And at that point, you may have light volume, but you may be able to see it at 132. And of course, if you loved it at 135, you're really going to love it at 132. Anyway, double gap down there at 132. But no volume today on it, but no jump either. Still hovering around 40 points lower on the S&P cash. Again, Juniper Networks actually probably should be doing a little better. I don't see that there's a lot technically in that. Kroger, we talked about this one for a long time. One of the few grocery stores that we've ever seen do this. We've been kind of waiting for that double repo pattern to set up, and it did. I'm not a big fan of shorting grocery store companies, but we've been talking about that double repo pattern for a while. If you want to really go through that, this is kind of a good example. You want 10, 15 days above a 3x3 or a 9-day moving average. You get a couple of days below it, as you did back here on August 25th, 27th through the 30th. You go up above it for a handful of days, and then generally the idea is to pull the trigger short as soon as it closes underneath that, because that's generally when you have these big down days as we're looking at at Kroger. I've been thinking that we'd rally into next week and have a pattern similar to this, but it's getting a little bit more muddy. The water is not getting any clearer, but maybe by next week it does. Microvision, no big deal on that one. Let's take a look at that. Nysource and I, previous low at 3.7 million shares, 2.14 million shares now, so certainly going to come in lighter. It has gone below it. You got a little doji out there, so maybe that's one to look at Monday if everybody turns that frown upside down and we're all smiling come Monday. Nielsen, this thing's just been going lower, but fairly good test of the 4.8 million share low at $19.18. I just don't know if these companies can ever exist long term anymore, especially when you look at the ratings for terrestrial style TV. I just don't know if there's a whole reason to have them anymore. I'm sure the people that work at Nielsen would say so. Today you got about 2.1 million shares going into that 4.8 million shares. Maybe there's something I'm unaware of in that industry, but asking what people are watching on TV probably, can't you just get all that from Roku today? Can't you just get all of that from Netflix? Can't you get that all from an ISP and internet service provider like Comcast or something like that that just watches the traffic and knows who you're connected to? I think you can. A curate retail group and don't see anything in that. Ciri had a nice test on lighter volume. Didn't get much of a bounce, though, either. These are ones where you start saying, okay, you had 23 million shares on August 13th. You went below it by a penny, closed back in it with 17 million shares. Yeah, can you get another test on lighter volume? But should have gotten a little bit more of a bounce in that one. Now, here's something that we've talked about for a while, and that is maybe a setup for a top in uranium. You had a nice reversal here in UEC. Volume is not not good, but probably more than you would like. It is breaking through the night day. We'll look at CCJ. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis, and it's not just dry, tedious text either. 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As we wrap up the week, not a pretty site right now down 161 on the Nasdaq, 167 on the Dow, down almost 40 on the S&P, but we didn't break right then. Again, generally on these quad-witching days where you're down into a Friday, there's a lot of action before the end. You want to expect the unexpected. Anyway, we're looking at Comico CCJ. We've got a nice break lower. This is more of a classic Joe DiNappoli double repo pattern setting up, but not confirmed. You'd want that to go back above the 3x3 or 9-day moving average for a couple of days, as we talked about, and then go back below. That's generally where the big retraces will happen. Unclear as to how much front loading there was and stuffing the channel for all those new Chinese reactors, but we shall see. There's no reason to believe that the end of the world has happened yet. What you want is the light volume bounce back over that trend line and then a close back below it. This could be just a lot of market gas, but generally anything that goes up like this will get at least another try at a high. And if that high fails, that's generally where everybody goes, I don't want any more of this. And they all decide to sell it once. It doesn't mean that it's gone for years or anything like that. It could just be a couple of weeks where you get back to maybe $19.5 or maybe $18 or something. I mean, you are off $26.57 already, but let's say you get back up to $25 and then it pulls back down. $7 on that pretty big move. Sell when you can, not when you have to. We'll be back here Monday. Same back channel. Have a great weekend all. Have a smile.