 When I was initially looking into this slate for MLB DFS, it was a slate where the only super super high strikeout guy on it Will show hey Otani Otani was facing the Yankees tough matchup a great pitcher But with last night's postponement the Yankees and angels doing a double header for today Which means Otani is no longer on the slate So we get a weird situation we don't often get for DFS where it's a decently sized slate But it's not a high strikeout slate a lot of the Best pitchers for tonight are guys who don't get a lot of strikeouts And honestly for me I find that to be kind of fun because I typically have to ignore good pitchers Who don't get a lot of strikeouts because we need strikeouts for DFS tonight It's a bit different and I'm pretty excited about that So we're gonna dive on in let you know who stands out after accounting for the low strikeout nature of the slate and get you Said to win some money on the Thursday night welcome on into the solo shop That's right here on the fan dual podcast network in number fire calm My name is Jim Sonnis. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm here to break down Thursday's seven game The main slate with lock set for 640 p.m. Eastern for tonight again lock is a 640 p.m. Eastern So get those lineups and early to get them submitted for tonight There is just one rain spot on the slate for today. That is in Baltimore for the Orioles and the Mariners It should leave around first pitch But check back on the timing of that if you want either of those teams just to see when the rain does roll out I do like one of the teams in that game from a stacking perspective So check back on that one later We'll break down the pitching preview and all that for today And just one second a first a quick reminder to make sure you are subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy Podcasting wherever you get your podcast. We are on Apple podcast spotify stitcher Google podcast you name it you can find this there and if you like what you hear leave us a rating and review as well The NBA finals are here and so is your chance to score big on Fandall sportsbook throughout the NBA finals Fandall is giving new customers $200 in free bets Guaranteed when you place your first $5 bet bet the money line point spread player props and so much more plus You can combine your bets for an even bigger payday with a same-game parlay If you haven't tried Fandall now is the perfect time to give it a shot because the only thing sweeter than watching the finals is Cashing in on all the action make every game feel like game seven with Fandall sportsbook Fandall official partner the NBA must be 21 plus and in select states first online real money wager of at least $5 $10 first deposit required bonus issued is non withdrawal of free bet that expires 14 days after a seat Seafold terms at Fandall comm slash sportsbook gambling problem call 1 800 gambler or visit Fandall comm slash RG in Arizona 1 800 next step or Tex next up to 5 3 3 4 2 in Connecticut 1 8 8 8 7 8 9 7 7 7 7 Or visit CC PG org slash chat in Indiana 1809 and with it in Louisiana 1 8 7 7 7 7 7 0 stop in New York 1 8 7 7 8 hope and why or text hope and why in Tennessee call the red line at 1 8 8 9 9 7 8 9 in West Virginia 1 800 gambler net pitching preview for this Thursday main slates Andy Alcantra Is that guy I was talking about before he's not a high-strike out guy, but amazing pitcher He is the highest desired pitcher on Fandall for tonight checking in at $11,000 Sean Maniah is 10 to Tony Gonsal in his 98 Adrienne Houser 91 Jordan Liles 9,000 with Taiwan Walker Chris Flex and the Matthew liberator as the others at $8,000 or higher and I think this is a fun slate where we do have a lot of guys who Wouldn't typically be in play because of the low strikeout nature of the slate the one guy Who can get a hefty number of strikeouts and as decent enough as a pitcher to like still potentially be above Alcantra Is Sean Maniah and I've been on Maniah a lot recently and it definitely has not worked out always But he has upside and I like his situation for today. So I'm gonna be back on him once again We got Maniah facing the Brewers They have struggled against lefties so far this year with a 73 WRC plus a 115 ISO and a 23% strikeout rate The low power numbers are the big thing the low ISO the low WRC plus because Maniah is struggling there The most relevant sample for him is his past five starts with his velocity increasing and in that time His hard hit rate allowed is 48 percent. That's why he's let up three plus earned runs in all of those games It's a bit less of a concern against the Brewers with their lack of power The strikeouts have been there for Maniah. He has a 27% strikeout rate in those five starts He had 12 strikeouts in one eight and another which means Even when he's letting up earned runs He's still getting you fan dual points to offset those plus We've seen Maniah still complete six plus innings in all those games Six plus innings in five straight 27% strikeout rate Even if he let us in our runs, that's still a pretty good output for fan dual We've seen Maniah pitch into the seven three separate times. He's finished the seventh twice So I think he has a good floor because of these things Despite the runs he has allowed. I have Maniah projected for six point eight strikeouts for tonight That is the top number on the slates. I will be in on him once again Shaw Maniah to me very much worthwhile Despite the rough results. He has had thus far Now Sandi Alcantra hasn't had a huge strikeout rate this year I'm not sure if he will get one either given how Lefty heavy the Giants are for tonight. I think that they could put the ball in play quite a bit But I do still think that Alcantra is firmly in play here and part of that is what we discussed It is the slate with Otani being taken off the slate It's basically just Maniah in terms of guys who do get a lot of strikeouts available and You know, some of the guys who do get strikeouts are in low strikeout spots against low strikeout opponents Or they've got shaky pitch counts. Alcantra doesn't have that issue. He has gone 100 115 and 108 pitches across his past three starts. He went eight plus innings and all those I was marveling at Maniah going six plus innings five separate times This dude's done eight plus innings three times in a row and we saw him go seven the start before that He's doing that due to length Alcantra is but he's also really freaking good He has a 34 fly ball rate allowed a 36 hard hit rate. That's while getting enough strikeouts I wouldn't be surprised if his strikeout rate does go up His swinging strike rate is 13.8 percent His csw percentage which includes called strikes. That's not super high so that's why i'm not expecting the strikeout rate to increase but Alcantra can get whiffs and we saw that last time out where he had 14 freaking strikeouts on the road against Atlanta That was his second straight time facing them as well I'm not expecting 14 strikeouts here Because his strikeout rate does go down to 22 against lefties versus 27 against righties And I'd expect the giants to have only three righties in their lineup for tonight But the effectiveness and the length are good enough to boost Alcantra way up for me If this were a higher strikeout slate, maybe you're not willing to pay 11 000 to get Alcantra in your lineup, but I am On this specific slate. I love the safety. I love the upside combo. That is flashy as manaya So I probably give the the edge to manaya for tournaments, but for cash games. I'm going to go Alcantra I'm going to feel good about it. I really use him in tournaments as well Our top value for tonight a picture is actually to be in that exact same game as Alcantra That's alex wood facing off with the marlins and the marlins are A high strikeout team they have a 30 strikeout rate on their current active roster against lefties this year And that's probably going to come down. You don't expect a 30 mark for a full season But it will likely remain high even as it does decrease Plus they have just a 78 wrc plus against lefties with a 112 iso It is a great match up for wood now woods results have not been good and it crosses nine starts He has a 4.81 era But his peripherals are a lot better. He has a 24 strikeout rate letting up just a 24 fly ball rate He did let up fiverr and runs in a couple different starts which are really dragging down His results based numbers would can get some strikeouts. He's in a great spot to get them first night I've actually got wood projected for 6.2 strikeouts tonight that ranks second behind manaya And it's actually ahead of all contra and big part because of the respective match That's straight up. I prefer all contra over wood, but big discrepancy and match up for these two guys So I like all contra more despite the fact I have a higher strikeout projection for wood, but I think I see enough in wood where actually will use him tonight. I don't tend to use the value plays every night I will tonight. I think that uh, I think that he gives me enough to feel good about that and Wood allows me to load up a coarse field Which is something I definitely want to do for today Speaking of that, let's dive into our stacks and our top two stacks are at Coors field I think you can make it work with manaya and you can make it work as long as you have a value stack with a contra So keep that in mind. I'll talk about some value hitters later on Let's start to get the braves. They are at Coors fields. Um, it's not an elite matchup But I do think there is enough here where they should be the top stack They're facing Austin Gomber and Gomber is not what he was at times last year where I actually During stretches last year wanted to use him as a pitcher He's definitely come back to earth. His strikeout rate is just 18 across nine starts He has decent bad at ball numbers, but You need to be a bit better than where he's been to survive at Coors field with a low strikeout rate That's why Gomber's era is 5.51 We saw him let of a turn runs last time out and that game was on the road He has pitched better at home for the most part and there are some guys who Just know how to pitch Coors field But i'm not sure if this will stick as the sample expands, especially When he's in a match up as tough as this one where he's facing the braves with the 208 iso against lefty's a 119 WRC plus they are a powerful team with a bunch of lefty bashers and now You're putting them in thin air So I want to be In on the braves even as someone who does respect Gomber. I think that I think you know, he's a good pitcher I think that eventually things will iron themselves out and get back to where he was last year But for now very okay stacking this braves team against him It's been a pretty rough year for Ozzy albies. He's been pushed down the batting order His iso is down about 70 points from where it was last year. So overall downgrading him, but He's still hadn't lefty as well. He's always said lefty as well, but that's still been there this year He has a 197 iso against them with a 46% fly ball right almost no strikeouts So albies is always someone I tend to give a boost against lefties I will still be doing that here and I think that he gets a bigger bump than most With a left hander on the mound. So Ozzy albies a guy who's struggled so far this year I do think there is enough though to still feel pretty good about him And I do like albies in this spot travestar. No $3300 if you want to save some sour adam duval Rough year, but he's $2,900 all those guys could be in play to make a course field stack more affordable I also do want to be in on the Rockies on the other side of this game They're facing Ian Anderson and the numbers say that Anderson has had bad luck His expected era is 3.81 and it's actually our race 4.34. So the expected era much better But Anderson has similar issues to Gomber where he's not getting enough strikeouts His strikeout rate this year is 18% He's not putting the ball in the zone enough to tempt people and to get strikeouts His zone rate is 38% And people just aren't chasing his stuff that much and when he does put it in the zone They're swinging at it and they're making contact So he's putting himself in bad spots Anderson is it's led to an 11% walk rate and on top of that He's letting up a 41% our hard hit rates. The ground bar rate is fine But it's not big enough to overcome the issues that Anderson has had at least not a course field Maybe if you were in a better park for pitchers maybe but not right now Anderson is another young talented guy. He should have good enough stuff To live in the zone more and be okay But he's not there yet So until we see Anderson really figure out the way to best utilize his stuff I will be okay stacking against him when he is at Coors field Which is where he is at for tonight The Rockies are a pretty righty heavy lineup right now Which could be a concern against righty, but that's actually not a bad thing against Anderson specifically His strikeout rate against righties is 14% versus 23% against lefties We also see Anderson with a lower ground ball right against righties So I will prioritize the righties here and I think they make a lot of sense not saying I'm off of The two lefties in the sea maybe three if hillier gets in there But prioritizing the righties because of the situation they find themselves in here I talked about yonathan daza is not being guy like earlier this week I probably will have to be more flexible in that at $2,900 just given its Coors field stuff like that and I want high salary pitchers, so I'll walk that back for tonight at least given the the salary savings I will need now we're going to go hard at Coors field We need some value bad cells where and I'm okay getting them Via the Cincinnati Reds They're facing yoan adan and adan did shut down Colorado last time out But overall the results are still lagging his era is 6.08. He his expected era is right there at 6.09 We seen adan adjusting where he threw a lot of curveballs as for three starts But he's cut back on that across his past seven But he hasn't quite turned the corner just yet The one thing that adan has done is keep hard contact and check He's led up just a 33 hard hit rate in this time Which is lower than you would like it to be in terms of stacking against him But the plate discipline numbers are bad enough to wash that out 16 strikeout rate 13 walk rates Those are both pluses for this reds offense. Now the reds did just lose tyler naikwin I think that's a pretty big downgrade to this team and it puts their their active roster wrc plus against righties Down to 80 see it to be selective make sure you're not using duds when you're stacking this team I would dig into their their numbers against righties check out the fly ball right check out the iso check out the hard contact numbers Make sure you're not using You know guys who aren't worthy of our rosters in dfs But I think there's enough here to be okay with it one of those guys Especially when looking for value is joey vato because since he came off the covet iso vato has been A different guy. He has a 360 one iso since he returned hard hit rate is 56 48 fly ball rate his sour is $2,500. I think that joey vato is the best value of the night outside of maybe adam duval but I think vato probably going to go on a homer binge here pretty soon. It's a good ballpark for hitting homers He's Making the kind of contact that she wants a vato really rough start to the year But since he came back much different guy and I am okay with that for sure in dfs for tonight Let's go to things to watch now at the top end of the pitching pool. I don't mind tony gonsolin Just think he's a bit over salaried. He's $9,800 facing the Mets who are a low strikeout team They have an 18 strikeout rate against righties this year Gonsolin's been awesome. He's been great, but and I was interested in him If he'd been a value play like if you gave me gonsolin as a value versus wood Probably would have gone gonsolin, but that's not the scenario for tonight. So A bit too high salary for my liking. I'm fine with him, but probably Not super inclined to get their overall contra over manaya and over wood If the rain does wind up clearing out in baltimore I would be okay stacking the orioles. They're facing chris flexin who Let's up a lot of hard contact and a lot of fly balls the orioles about league average against righties So I'll I'll have to keep tabs on the weather, but I can definitely see being high on them If we get the green light on the weather Finally, I'm not sure what to do at the cubs. They're facing matthew liberator who is A really talented guy. He can get some strikeouts But the question is will he be successful immediately? He might because again the talent is very good I'm just not really sure Like his numbers and triple a were good And I think that that's a positive and they don't have a huge book on him just yet The cubs can get lefties pretty well even without seizuki. So I'm inclined to stack them here I understand if you don't want to given how good liberator could be long term But I think for me, I will give it a shot just because I don't know I think that I'm skeptical in general of guys coming up and I think that's okay to be that Hopefully the name value keeps rostrates in the cubs lower. We'll see but I do think that they're worth a look for tonight Despite the fact that liberator really really good. Let's talk about some dinger calls for today. The boring one will be a course field I mentioned that uh, Anderson does struggle with right-handed batter. So I'll go cj crone Being the dinger pick from the rockies for today big fly ball, right big ice it against righties Obviously a tremendous park for offense. So cj crone my pick For the boring one for the fun one if that baltimore game does wind up playing I want to go anthony santan dare. He is amazing. I have loved him for a very long time He is putting the ball in the air a ton this year. His hard hit rate is very good He does have nine home runs so questionable if that counts as being a Fun home run call, but he's also 32. It's a little bit higher than I like to go for it today But you know if they play I like santan dare if not This one is more exotic because this guy has not hit a home run this year across AAA across the majors clint frazier is actually kind of interesting He has been putting the ball in the air. He's traditionally hit lefties better than he's hit righties He's facing the baritour who can't put the let ups and fly balls. So We'll see um, I'll go cj crone anthony santan dare and if we don't get santan dare I'll go with clint frazier We'll see if that works out because again, no homers this year across AAA or the minors, but you know What are you going to do? That is all that we have here for today on the solo shot if you're looking for a breakdown of the mba finals we did have drew dinzik on covering the spread yesterday breaking down his thoughts on golden state versus boston, uh, you know drew from twitter at whale underscore capper We got his thoughts on when to bet the teams that you like. Uh, he has a good read on Schedules how odds will shift stuff like that. I thought it was a tremendous conversation with him Check it out on the covering the spread podcast feed if you're looking to get some bets down for the mba finals for tonight Also while you're there don't forget to subscribe to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed to get our usc nascar mlb pga podcast eventually and a fellback as well All that good stuff in one place hit subscribe if you like what you hear leave us a rating and review If you have any questions for me, I am on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s You can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcast big Thank you to everyone for tuning in for today. Good luck to you with your mlb dfs lineups I'll talk to you once again on friday to close up a good week. This has been the solo shot right here on the fan dual podcast network