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Dwan vs. Sahamies Commentary

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Published on May 22, 2012

SPOILER:


Tom folds.

Can Sahamies have a low missed straight or flush draw or counterfeited pockets (so ten high at best?) and thus needs to bluff Dwan off a bluff? Yes he can, but raise sizing suggests that's not his intention. And there's no way he thinks he's going to get a 7 to fold on the river to that raise (and that's the main hand Sahamies is hoping to get called by). And you can't be that confident (as confident as the preceding logic) that Sahamies bets a 9 on the flop a really high amount (wouldn't he then be betting all hands that can bet/call the turn on the flop a high amount too?). Those are the cliffs and some stuff I didn't really mention.

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