 It is not often in daily fantasy baseball where we will find a slate where I have a picture I like in every single salary tier last night Even the studs were a little bit shaky whereas the value plays were fine Other times we'll have some studs we like but have some troubles finding value plays who can grade out well today They're actually our guys I like at the super high range in the mid range in the value tier in the super value tier I should say as well so it's kind of fun slate where you can justify playing whatever you want a picture and Have your flexibility to go where you want with your stack So should be a fun slate that is the luxury of a 14 game slate Let's dive on in and get you set welcome on into the solo shop That's right here on the fan dual podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim Sonnis. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm here to break down tonight's 14 game main Slate with lock set for 705 4 to night the lone weather note for today Is that the winds are out to center field at 12 miles per hour at Coors Field the pitching matchups Not as enticing as they were last night You know Hammer Marquez starting for the Padres and or for the Rockies and the Padres going a bullpen game So not as fun as it was last night, but still it is a positive for bats in that scenario so do upgrade hitters at Coors Field for today and That's the only the lone weather note as of right now check back on whether later on we should be good to go For tonight do not forget to subscribe to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed because coming up later on today We're gonna preview the northern trust from a PGA DFS perspective letting you know the top golfers in each salary tier for the first event I'll be FedEx cup playoffs myself and Brandon could do a little live on the fandal YouTube page at 10 o'clock and up on the Number fire daily fantasy podcast feed after that So make sure you subscribe not just in the fandal YouTube page But also on the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed also do not forget today is Dinger Tuesday on Fandals sportsbook all you do is bet a 25 plus dollar bet on me to hit a home run prop on any Tuesday MLB game You'll receive a $5 site credit 25 dollars max for each home run hit in the game by either team Regardless if your bet wins or loses head over to Fandall on Tuesdays to play the $5 Dinger contest must be 21 plus and present Colorado, Iowa, Illinois Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia or West Virginia refund issued is a non withdrawal site credit that expires in seven days max refund $25 terms apply gambling problem call 1-800 gambler in 1-800 Colorado 105 2 2 4700 in Iowa 1-800 bets off in Indiana 1-800 nine with it for confidential help in Michigan 1-800 2 7 0 7 1 1 7 In Tennessee call the red line 1-800 8 9 9 7 8 9 or in West Virginia visit 1-800 gambler Net let's go through the pitching preview for today as far as Dingers go We'll have our Dinger picks later on as well The highest salary pitcher on fan dual for today is Corbin burns. He checks in at $11,500 Chris Bassett is 10-3 Alec Manoa fresh off an impressive start is $9900 from her Valdez in 97 Adam Wainwright Checks in at $9,600 that we have Kyle Gibson Vladimir Gutierrez Marcus Strowman Sandi Alcantara John Means Hermann Marquez Hwasgari Noah and Kyle Hendricks as the other pitchers at $8,000 or higher and given the number of names that $8,000 range you can see why we're going to be liking pitchers in each tier I will say though the value pitcher not in that theory is actually a bit below that as well But first we got to talk about Corbin burns he will be number one first night and I say that while saying the typical caveats apply with the Brewer's pitcher right now because They could have anyone leave early if the team decides they want to piggyback a starter and save them for October They have not done that with burns yet, but it is sticking in my mind It does help the pitching is still a little bit thin that got guys out due to COVID and stuff like that even Josh Hader being back They don't have as many arms as they've had previously. So I will rank burns first I just will lower his exposure a bit as a result of this consideration where they could yank him early to save him for October Everything else for burns is awesome He has been throwing his curveball more over his past seven starts and that's helped him regain The early season effectiveness that he had in those seven starts a 2.77 skill interactive e array for burns with a 32% strikeout rate and a 4% walk rate Those are all good. The bad at ball data has been good as well It does help that five of those seven starts were on the road in terms of trying to predict what he will do tonight He's on the road We've seen him do well on the road in this sample as well And that has been the grand majority of this stretch both of the massive spike games that burns has had in the stretch We're on the road. He pitched against the Cubs in the reds and the Cubs are basically a joke right now But the Reds are legit and burns had 12 strikeouts against them Cardinals are between those two teams not as bad as the Cubs not nearly as good as the Reds They have a 91 a WRC plus versus righties with a 153 ISO I will say the Cardinals are getting better now their health is improved and not a big strikeout team So it's like a perfect scenario for burns by any means and you can find reasons to lower burns if you want But all things considered he is the top guy on tonight's late There is a stack I do like that is lower sour that can help us afford burns So he's a top guy most late. There is no difference for tonight. So Corbin burns number one and I do feel confident in him despite the Risks of him potentially being piggybacked to save him for later on this year If you're not going burns whether it's due to concerns around the piggybacking or otherwise I would go Alec Minoa number two Minoa has been up and down in his rookie year started off hot in his first star Pitched really well then cooled off, but he's adjusting. That's a good thing. We don't see that with with young pitchers You don't see them adjust in season But Minoa has done that over his past five starts Minoa has started to throw more sinkers and fewer force emers And as you if you're a full-time listener, no I am anti sinker to my grave, but the sinker is pretty good for Minoa It actually is a relatively high whiff rate at 26 percent The X Woba against that pitch is 312 and it does seem like this approach from Minoa is working In that five-starred sample He has a 3.37 skill interactive era with a 32 percent strikeout rate He is hard hit rate against the 35 percent with a 34 percent fly ball rate The only flaw in that time has been a couple of too few many walks But if that's the one thing we're dealing with here that is okay by me The overall profile is great for Minoa natural tonight is also great. He's facing the Nationals They are another shell of a team. They have an 85 WRC plus versus righties with a 132 iso Which is just a 28 percent fly ball rate for them, which means that Minoa is probably not gonna get rocked tonight That does give them a good floor and the upside is there to get 11 strikeouts against the Angels Nine against the Rays and then ten also Against the Rays in the stretch the Nationals not as big of a strikeout team as the Rays, but they're also bad So that's a consideration and I love me some Manila here. He's I would say Not quite in the same tier as Burns once you can but I think that Once you consider the risks of Burns given the potential for him to leave early, etc I'm in I feel good about him and we'll happily use him here Oftentimes I will discuss whether there's a gap between the top guy and the second guy So I don't think it's a huge gap. I think they're both in the same tier and both guys I am comfortable using for tonight. Now as far as the lower salary guys go There are two lower salary pitchers you could sell me on one is who Oscar Inoa. He is in the 8,000 range He's facing the Marlins It's his first start off the 60-day I L The reason I'm still willing to consider Inoa is that he did go 83 pitches in his final rehab starts He's pretty stretched out. That's option number two option number one I'm a preferred option here is Logan Webb And I do like him quite a bit all the way down at seventy six hundred dollars web has been Doing something similar to Manoa where he's throwing more sinkers But he's doing so successfully for web. It's in the seven starts since he returned from the I L It's not just more sinkers, but it's also more Curb balls or curve balls on fangrass pitch info. It's a slider on baseball's event either way is off speed pitch It's good more off speed pitches for web is a good thing on baseball's event That pitch has a 46% with freight and he's been getting a healthy number of strikeouts in this time Strikeout rate is 26% and when you add to a 26% strikeout rate a 20% fly ball rate You get a 3.24 skill interactive era web had nine and eight strikeouts as past two starts He's facing the Mets tonight. They have an 88 WRC plus versus right ease with a 25% strikeout rate and an 8% walk rate I think it's a good spot for web tonight. It's definitely a good part for pitching as always So I'm gonna put web above you know when I feel pretty good about that. I I think you could justify Squeezing in some you know if you wanted but to me I am comfortable going with just the three pitchers of Of burns Minoa and web I think that they're all three in different salary tiers gets you a different roster construction all three of good ceilings all three I think have relatively good floors too. So to me I feel firm about these pitchers But I would not mind tossing it out to me Noah Just because I think the pitch count should be high enough for us to use him for tonight As far as the stacks go one reason why you could potentially Further justify spending down for someone like Logan webs that the Astros are in a very good spot I will say the Astros has some good value plays. So this is not just for your web lineups You can also use them. I honestly think you can get there at burns. So let's talk about the Astros here They're facing Daniel Lynch Lynch has had better results since he came back up from the miners But the underlying numbers still so show some fragility here and the Astros are gross just disgusting So I'll stack them here Lynch has made four starts back up in the big leagues His skill interactive era is 4.73 strikeout rate is 19% hard hit rate is 40% fly ball rate 39% all those marks are Not where you want them to be the bad at ball number specifically both above average the strikeout rate below average So yeah, it's 2.66 era is good in that for a start sample and he's done it against two really good teams Yeah, both the white socks and the blue jays and check and those teams are absurd against lefties I just don't know if that will stick as we get a larger sample given where all the purples are including the bad at ball data And I think that we should stack the Astros here despite the fact that Lynch has had good results They came back up. I think that they're just too good not to stack here as far as the Astros go You know the obvious guys, but the reason I think we can stack them with burns is Let miss Diaz and Chas McCormick are pretty enticing they'll likely hit 6th and since night They both have an ISO of at least a 180 eight against lefties this year It's a small sample, but you know ISO does stabilize relatively quickly their salaries are $2,700 for Diaz and $2,300 for McCormick I'll probably need the salary savings for burns for tonight. So I am good with them when that's the case and I Don't think that they're too hard to get to you again Even if you look at Joselle to be at 37 Carlos Korea's 35 Yuli guerrilla against the lefties 31 Jake Myers had really good numbers in triple A before being called up He's 27 so you could go like McCormick Diaz Myers stack six seven eight and then get to one of the studs and make that work with burns So it is the Astros that does tend to come with high salaries before tonight Do not assume you can't stack the Astros with burns because I very much think that you can As far as the second stack goes. It's another one that does have some high salary guys That's the Dodgers against will crow crow is Similar to Lynch where he's had decent results recently But I'm not sure if you can keep that up against an offense as good as the Dodgers crow has been upping his slider usage recently It's led to an increase in his strikeout rate. His mark is 21% for the whole season It's 23% in the past seven stars. So he has inched that number up a bit the problem is that it hasn't cut down in his walks and He's still letting up a 41% mark in both his hard contact rate and his fly ball rate Those are not where you want those to be so basically what's happening is that when crow does not get strikeouts Bad things tend to happen. His ERA is 3.63 So it has not bit him yet, but and he has faced some good teams He faced the reds the Giants the brazen that time But there have been glimpses of Homer issues He let up three home runs the reds He led up two to the Mets and five of those seven stars for him were at home And the reds game was one of the two on the road. That's really three home runs he's in Los Angeles Los Angeles actually more of a Hitter friendly park than Pittsburgh is if you look at the overall data. So I do think that We should stack the Dodgers tonight despite the fact crow has had good results and see what happens here Against crow we can use either righties or lefties the strikeout rate relatively even on both sides He does let up more fly balls to lefties, but he's not restrictive against either So I would just say go at the guys with the best numbers against righties And I would definitely make sure to include Corey seager in that at $3,200 seager has had a ton of barrels Recently he is hitting the ball very hard It has not led to a big game yet But I think it will very soon would not be shocked that is tonight Corey seager is Gonna go off very soon. I want to be there when he does so Corey seager May be the player to whom I am most exposed for tonight I think that he is he's gonna have a big night very soon I want to be there when he does so Corey seager to be a focal point for tonight's slate among the hitters Now if you want some additional value outside of the Astros, I would check out the twins They're facing Eli Morgan Morgan has been someone we have wanted to stack against all year and that is continuing despite some recent tweaks He's acknowledged the fact that he's had a rough start So he's been upping his slider usage over his past four starts his strikeout rate is down to 20% in that time Usually increased slider usage means increased strikeouts. That does not happen for Morgan His walk rate is still low, but that also means more balls and play which we want for DFS Hard hit rate is 39% with a 55% fly ball rate. So Morgan is making changes But those changes have not changed him dramatically and I think that in this current state We still can Stack against Morgan and look at the larger picture in larger picture says we should stack against this guy The twins have not seen him yet. So that does help him for sure But he's led up multiple runs in all 10 big league starts ZRA is 6.5 to I see no reason to stop stacking against him here Plus the twins do still have some power They've lost Nelson Cruz Trevor Lorna, Alex Kierloff, you know recently But the active roster so as a 102 WRC plus versus righties a 186 ISO that ranks eight or a fifth on the slate So they've got dudes left and I'm willing to use them against Morgan here The big appeal is the guys who can save some salary two ones with some power are Mitch Garver Brent Rooker Garver $2,700 he has a 313 ISO versus righties Rooker strikes out too much, but his ISO is 268 He's $2,900 Josh Donaldson can still go DP $3,000 So if you want to get to burns stack the Astros stack the twins honestly You can stack the Astros and the Dodgers too I don't think that any teams out of play for stacking with Corbin burns given the number of low salary guys Both the twins and the Astros do provide us with so Try all combinations and don't write anyone off even when you're using Corbin burns at 11 5 for tonight As far as things to watch go the Rockies are facing what I would assume will be basically a bullpen game for San Diego Matt Strom will start I'd expect Nabil Christmas will pitch as well. So that's a lefty and a righty So I am okay with stacking the Rockies tonight But when I do I want to try to select guys who can hit both righties and lefties So Connor Joe fits again He was the dinger pick yesterday went deep in the first at bat our flight first played appearance of the game Well, he has Diaz can hit righties as well too if we're looking at the non-studs But also I would say Ryan McMahon Good enough numbers against lefties where I would throw him out there may not start because Strom is starting And they don't tend to use him as much against lefties, but I think the Rockies are Firmly the fourth ranked stack for me for tonight I think both sides of the Angels and Tigers game are worth the look mostly for one-offs more so than for full stack And the Angels are facing Casey Mies. He is letting up a lot of dangerous balls and play recently He especially struggles against lefties. So show me Ohtani. Obvious Ohtani is good. Shocker breaking news Jared Walsh hasn't struck the ball well since he came back from the IL But that could change I'm not gonna be as enthusiastic about him if as I would have been had he been putting up You know making hard contact like seeker has been but you know I can still get there at times given how much Mies has struggled against lefties the Tigers are facing Dylan Bundy He is loving the same issues that he had the first time he was in the rotation this year Not a lot of strikeouts a lot of impactful contact Just a bummer the Tigers don't have a ton of value left They've also got some guys like it like a keel badu on the injured list. So Both teams work for one off specifically Ohtani and Walsh on the Angels side You know, maybe we're off a Grossman type guy here on the Tigers, but not quite full stacks for either team Same thing is true for the Rays. They are very lefty heavy. So I don't want to stack them tonight But I think some one officer in play they're facing John means means has really struggled since he came off the IL He has a 15% strikeout rate with a 52% fly ball rates That bodes well for Nelson Cruz But I also will like Randy Orocerena like Zanino on well Margo So maybe you could get a full stack in there, but given the overall team strength versus lefties. I am okay Sticking to mostly one-off for mini stacks with the Rays for tonight in the spirit of Dinger Tuesday Let's finish up here with some home run calls for tonight. The boring one is someone I harped on a lot earlier on That is Corey Seeger. I think the Corey Seeger given the impactful contact. He's making recently. I Think double dong is in play So Corey Seeger not once but twice for tonight helping a pad that Dinger Tuesday bankroll for sure the fun one will go Chas McCormick facing a lefty good power numbers Probably in about seventh, which is fine But I just like McCormick as a player like the fatted ball data like the numbers early on versus lefty So official Dinger picks for today on this our Dinger Tuesday Corey Seeger and Chas McCormick that is all we have here for today on the solo shop But do not forget we are back here on the Fandle YouTube page at 10 a.m Breaking down the Northern Trust of us up Brandon Gadoula. Also. We have the Q&A later on today Brandon's doing Northern Trust questions at 3 30. I have MLB DFS at 4 p.m So make sure you are subscribed in the Fandle YouTube twitch Facebook and Twitter pages and swing back once again at 330 today for more of that also do not forget to subscribe to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed If you have questions for me before 4 p.m I am on Twitter at Jim Sonnis J. I am as a NNES You can also follow the Fandle podcast network at Fandle podcast big Thank you Devin for tuning in for today. Good luck to you tonight on this Dinger Tuesday We'll talk to you once again tomorrow to break down Wednesday's slate This has been the solo shot right here on the Fandle podcast network