 Welcome folks, this is Tom O'Brien of TFNN. We have five days a week, we go seven hours a day, we go 24 hours a day on the internet at TFNN.com. Always remember folks, whatever you think about, you bring about whatever you focus on grows. Hope everyone's having a great day, safe day. Let's make it a great night, folks. Always do your best, but don't overdo. When you overdo, you deplete your body and you go against yourself and it will take longer to accomplish your goal. My advice, let's take a look at it out here. We have the Dow Industrial's down 431, Nasdaq is off 131, S&Ps off 53, Gold. Gold contract trading down 570 at 1672. You get Silver down 11 cents, $19.24, Light Sweet Crew down a buck 28, $84.45, a barrel, notes and bonds. A 10-year note, down 17 ticks, 113.26, the 30-year off a full point, plus five ticks at 129, 25 and King Dollar. King Dollar is up 482 ticks, trading 110, 220. The Euro is at 99, the Yen is at 143 and the British pound is at 113 to one US dollar. iPhone number's 877, 9276648. Give us a call, folks. I know what's going on in your world and the world of the S&Ps, let's take a look at them. What do you have? Well, bottom line is that you're getting a rejection of lower price, folks, and if we can keep where we are right now, it would be fine. Okay, you close right here, bottom line, that's a rejection of lower price, you have light of all, we have in the spy right now, you got 51 million shares traded right now inside of the spy. So ball pocket, let's say we do 71, you rejected 103 million. And that's it, so we have to close above 382.11 and right now we're 382.95. So let's, let me go into the futures first because this is gonna be interesting because I just wanna show you, there is their bias here, man. There's been three different trusts up and they have volume behind the move here. So we take a look at this, you're gonna see, first you came off this low and you had volume all the way up to 3862. That was the first time we had volume all day, meaning that's how you wanted to, you don't want up the lows, you want it when you're coming up, we had 48,000 contracts there. Then we back down with 35. So you had 48, you back down with 35 and then boom, we go higher with 77. And now we're dealing with this 10 minute bar and it looks to me like you're gonna have light of volume on this bar, so this is where the rub is gonna meet the road here. Well that's good, no, the new bar's starting already, that's not bad, man. So we'll see where that one's gonna take us. Now, when we go into the NDX 100, the NDX is a little bit different. And here's the divergence, there's no doubt about it. The divergence is that the NQs, well first off, the QQQ, we didn't test the low, which is a problem. It's not a problem, but guess what? It would be a lot cleaner analysis if it did test the bottom. So what we had here is that we had come down on Thursday and you come down with 79 million. Yesterday you go higher with 52 and today you're gonna do nothing. So it's a sideways move. That could definitely be a problem, but my take is that we are still going higher. And the reason for that has to do with that S&P. You know, I like how it's operating. I particularly like how, what I've found is this, is that on big announcement days like this, is that if you do hang at those lows and the volume contracts, but you can get above it slightly, it's like, okay, man, someone knows something, you know, and we go on higher. So I'm sticking with that thesis. Oil, let's go to the oil market, take a look at the oil market. The oil market is unbelievable, man. The oil market has just been, like, you talk about going up and down three days in a row, I mean, three dollars every day, it's amazing. So the low today was 83, 52, the high was 86. Now if we take a look at this, now this is, take a look at this, this one's lower price, man. Yeah. Is this, that's October oil. Yeah, this is, to me, that still looks like it wants lower price. That's how that baby's set up. We go into the note and bond market and what we have here, I'm gonna put this on a continuous because what's happening is that we have already done a 100% move of a move, meaning that most times, folks, let's say that if you go up $15 and you come back down $15, that's a 100% move of a move. Most time that's the most that any equity futures, all of the above does, you know. Well, it can go lower or higher, but my point is then it starts going sideways, it chops around, it does all of those things, okay? So if we take a look at this 10 year first and we put this back, we take a look at it, I just wanna see how, what it's coming into. Okay, so then we put this, I see, okay, so, okay, I see right there, okay, this is good. Well, you're coming into a lot of resistance here, support rather on the way down. Now, the support has been null, that's for sure. And I suspect if this is gonna be a bounce, we'll see whether, but you're definitely coming into some support there. And the dollar hasn't moved at all. I mean, the dollar basically is saying, hey man, I'm going to the moon and you can either come with me or not come with me to try to fight it. It looks to me like that dollar is not gonna move until there's an announcement out here tomorrow. And the real key, the kicker than the announcement tomorrow, I suspect what we're gonna have folks is that it's gonna be 75 basis points, three quarter percent. And if we do the three quarter percent, what will end up happening, that the rate then would be, you got the high end would be three percent, because no, the high end would be three and a quarter percent. Yeah, because we're at 2.5 on the high end of the range. The low end is 225, the high end is at three and a quarter. And it's real possible that, actually, let me look at this for a second. I wanna see this because this came out too. So the calendar, okay, so the calendar. Yeah, you know what, man? I bet they're gonna go 75 basis points, and that November 2nd, you know, I know the Fed knows we should political and all that, but that's right before the primaries, right? They can take a pause there. That'd blow the market up big time. Stay right there, folks, come right back.