 Hey guys, it's Nate, AKA the Foot Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. Ones to watch is here, the first promo of FIFA 23 and the global launch day of FIFA 23. It's a massive day today on this game and I think there's gonna be a lot of stuff going on in terms of content, SBCs, objectives, and on the market. I do expect to see prices dropping in a lot of areas today. So we're gonna talk about the potential of a market crash because of so many packs being opened. But again, today is officially the full start of FIFA 23. Some of us have been on for a while with the Early Access, with the web app, but now everybody gets on the game today and starts their ultimate team journey. So if that is you, best wishes. It's gonna be a fun day. It's gonna be a crazy day. And I wanna talk about all the info that we know. We actually know the leaks of the team and maybe even some of the SBCs. We might even have some content before 6pm UK today with some player of the month, SBCs. And we gotta talk a lot about the market because prices moved yesterday, but they're gonna move even more today on this game. So if you're excited for wants to watch, hit the thumbs up, subscribe if you're new. Let's start off by talking about wants to watch players that will be in packs today based off of the leaks. Now, what I'm about to show you is a screenshot that I believe, I don't even know where this is from, but it's been deleted from Twitter. I found that, I had this guy send me the screenshot yesterday. Take this with a grain of salt because again, leaks are leaks, but we've had a lot of players leaked but none more detailed, no more leaks detailed than what this shows right here about potentially how wants to watch could stack up with players in packs today, players that could be in the mini release on Sunday and what players we could get as SBCs. So we've got guys like Gabriel Jesus Kessie. That's a SBC that we have not heard about yet or Sterling, that's an SBC we have not heard about yet. We've got a Recharlison objective, we know about that one. And we've got this, basically all the guys that we have seen leaked so far are in this list. The most interesting thing is, there is a Renato Sanchez listed in the mini batch, which means he would be in packs on Sunday instead of dropping today on Friday. So it seems like they're doing it like old promos if this leak is true. Again, we're gonna take it just with a grain of salt because there could be some, you know, in authenticity to this, but it seems like there will be cards released in packs today and also some cards that will be released on Sunday. So here's a few more of the leaks in a nice picture format. Delict was a part of that mini release, Chamele, DiBala, Rudiger, Holland, Nunez, Jesus, Anthony, Mane, Recharlison is an objective today. We are supposedly hearing. And then Schlotterbeck and Lewandowski. Now all of these cards here besides the Delict, I believe, according to the screenshot will be in packs today. And of course, the Renato Sanchez is supposed to be in packs on Sunday along with Delict and Steven Bergwine. And Steven Bergwine was even confirmed by EA Sports in a tweet themselves. So we will see if this is accurate or not. But what we know is the leaks have been pretty spot on. And I don't expect, I mean, it's hard to mess up leaks for ones to watch, right? Because all of these players have to have transferred. It's not like they can make up some random player and put them into ones to watch. So this, I would imagine this right here is gonna be pretty accurate today. And that's gonna cause a lot of market movements, especially on that Renato Sanchez card who is up a lot in price as people are expecting him to be out of packs and they're investing in him. So I wanna talk about that here in just a second. But besides the cards in packs, which we do expect, I think it's like 15 cards in packs today, somewhere around there, we should get an SBC as well. Last year we had a ones to watch SBC and because of what was listed on that little spreadsheet there, there could potentially be a ones to watch SBC player today. Sterling, it says is October 6th. We've already had DeMaria and then it also lists Kessie as an SBC. There's not been a leak yet for Kessie, but maybe that's our SBC today. There are a couple other leaks though and I wanna talk about this really fast. Flashback Tiago Silva and a brand new flashback card design have been leaked as well. This could be either today on Friday or maybe tomorrow on Saturday, who really knows. But that's a pretty crazy A card design. Like that's a totally different card design for a flashback than what we had last year in fee for 22 and even years before that. Way more colorful. It's like, I don't know, glitched or maybe pixelated with the squares. I don't even know what to think that looks like. Like almost broken glass in a sense. I think it's cool. It's definitely different, but it's very cool. And then of course Tiago Silva being the player, if he does actually have 80 pace, that would be pretty crazy. Of course Tiago Silva's card right now is an 86 rated with 49 pace, two star, three star and really good defensive stats as you'd expect but basically unusable because of his pace. If this was to be the stats, I think these are predicted stats by the way, but even if he gets like 75 pace, that would be pretty crazy in a card that so many people would wanna do to start off their FIFA 23 Ultimate teams and work towards. So don't know if that's coming today, but that is an official leak from Footshare if he says that it is coming soon. Either today, tomorrow, sometime this weekend, I would imagine we're gonna see this Tiago Silva. That's gonna be crazy. So keep that in the back of your mind as you hold on to your SBC fodder and stuff in the first couple of days as you're opening your packs today. Now again, like I mentioned, we do know that the objective today is going to be with Charleston that's expected. So no surprises there, but I still, I don't know if I would expect the Tiago Silva today more so. I feel like EA would make more sense to drop like a Kessie or a wants to watch player SBC. Since it is wants to watch Friday today, I think we could see something like that. So either of those things, either of those players, the SBC has the biggest question mark on it today. But even before we get into 6 p.m. content, there could be other SBCs dropped on the game today. One of those could be Marcus Rashford's Player of the Month. Now there's no official award tweet or information that's put out there. This is just a leak from Footshare, but with the timing of the leak and also yesterday, the LaLiga Twitter account confirming Val Verde as the Player of the Month for LaLiga, and this SBC is coming later in the weekend, I think this Rashford SBC could be today because if you think about it, whenever we've had Player of the Month SBCs from the Premier League in the past, it's been early Friday morning time frames where they announced the Player of the Month on Twitter and then like 30 minutes later, the SBC is in the game or right when they announced that the SBC goes live in the game. So if you see a picture of Marcus Rashford holding a Player of the Month trophy on Twitter this morning on Friday, you probably can assume that there's gonna be an SBC in-game unless EA have tweeted otherwise. And this might be some nice content actually before 6 p.m. today and before the actual content drop on the game. So that begs the question once again, how much of this Rashford gonna cost? Is he gonna make SBC fodder go up? Since a lot of people could be interested in a Rashford SBC, I think it depends on a, it depends on the rating they give him. If they give him a double boost to 86 rated or if they only make him 84 rated, also I think it depends on his positioning, right? His base card is left wing. They have a striker in there in that prediction. He has left mid, left wing and striker as his alternate positions. But as we know with special cards sometimes, they don't give them alternate positions as much. Think about Fede Valverde's right wing inform. He can't be moved to any other special positions. So Rashford did play a lot of striker in the month of September. So if it is a striker player of the month today and if the card looks anything like this, I'm still gonna say somewhere around 250 to, I mean, it could be upwards of 500,000 coins, but 250 to 300K, since it's the early stage of FIFA, I think that that'd be a good price point for this Rashford card and a lot of people would want to get that card done. So be careful for this SBC delay because it might cause a lot of market movements and it might make SBC fodder even go up a little bit before the content drop happens today. Now I mentioned and you saw some of these other player of the months that had been leaked. This Valverde play of the month is not coming out until Sunday. So don't worry about that too much. That is why the inform is down in price. If you wondered why Fede Valverde's 86-rated inform has dropped, that's because he's also getting an 86-rated play of the month, which is a bit disappointing, but we'll talk about that later. And then other player of the months that we maybe could see today or during the weekend or into next week, Gakpo from the Aeridivisi and Kim Min Jae from the Serie A. That's probably gonna be a cheat beast center back when he drops. So we'll talk about those a bit in the future. There's still so much to talk about today with ones to watch. And especially what I wanna talk about next and probably what we'll talk about for the second half of the video is the market. Because a lot of people today are getting on FIFA for the first time or a lot of people are getting on FIFA today and they're gonna think about packs, right? First promo of the year, first special cards of the year. There's even people that have not been opening their 4,600 pre-order FIFA points that they got with the Ultimate Edition or maybe their Rivals Rewards, Marquis matchups. Some people even saving every single pack they have gotten so far inside of FIFA 23 to open today when there's special cards and packs for the first time. And of course, as we've seen already this week, EA is not scared to drop promo packs. I mean, we had four different promo packs dropped yesterday, including a 100,000 coin pack, albeit all untradable, but it gives you 16 gold rate players, three guaranteed rated 83 or above. And I think EA is gonna get a lot of people to open this pack with FIFA points today since it's such a big day for FIFA points and people opening packs in the game. Now, all three of these packs right here expire today at 6 p.m. This one, the 23 starter pack, whatever this is called, this is still gonna be here. I 1,000% expect EA Sports to have this page full with promo packs today. I do not expect lightning rounds. That would be something I think it's too early for. I mean, EA could surprise us. We didn't expect promo packs earlier in the week, but they dropped them. If they would did lightning rounds today, that would just be absolutely ridiculous. And you know, Gigi's the EA making bank, but that would mean a lot of supply coming on the market. And that's my point that I'm getting to here with the promo packs that are gonna be here, even if it's just 25K and 15K packs, people are gonna be opening so many packs today with FIFA points, with saved up packs, rewards, and everything like I mentioned, there's gonna be a ton of supply, right? When I spend a whole minute talking about packs, you better believe we're about to talk about supply after that. I think that basically everything today on the market, and I think Rashford here is even a really good example. This card right now is like 20,000 coins. He's down, a lot of the market is down from where it was on Tuesday or Wednesday after we saw the market have a really significant rise. And some prices that we still think are still pretty cheap on the market for some of those higher tier cards. But with all of the supply that is coming today, this exact same thing happened last year, and the market basically straight up crashed on the first full day of FIFA last year in FIFA 22, and I see the exact same thing happening this year. Let's go back to last year and remember what happened. It's hard to see on this graph, but you can see that Messi last year hit 900,000 coins on September 30th. I actually went back and watched my video last year when we were talking about what happened the day after it once to watch dropped. Messi went from 900,000 coins to under 800,000 coins yesterday in one day, and the graph here doesn't even show that because he rebounded back up to 850, but Messi went from 900 to like 770 in basically three hours on that promo Friday of once to watch last year, and then he kind of rebounded back up. The same thing I think is gonna happen today. You know, I do think that your high tier cards, they're eventually gonna rise back up, right? Like you see with this Messi graph from last year, he went to 900K, went down, but then he came all the way back up to 900K the next weekend, and during the next week, and even went higher after that because he's such a high tier card in this game. So yes, I do think that a lot of prices are gonna get dropped today on the game, but if you have players in your team like Erling Holland or Cristiano Ronaldo, even a guy like Nkunku, Benzema, Vinny Jr, those top tier echelon of players, there's so many people on the game right now that can't even afford those players for their team, and all the packs that are gonna be open today is gonna bring more coins out of the game, and those prices are gonna end up eventually rising. So you may not even have to sell cards that we just mentioned like those higher tier cards. The cards that are gonna take a beating today are the cards that are lower rated, that are gonna get packed a ton, and that people are moving on from in their teams. Guys like Zacaria, 30,000 coins, he's gonna go down today 100%. 81 rated Rodrigo is still 8,000 coins, he's gonna get packed a ton today. A guy that I've been talking about a lot and say, hey guys, be very careful with this guy, Alan St. Maximans, still 37,000 coins he peaked on Wednesday, what was his peak price? 48K, he's down 10,000 coins, I think he goes down further today, and you're probably gonna see price drops kinda like you did yesterday too, right? He started at 42K and kinda just went down slowly all day, maybe back up a tiny bit at certain points, but people are gonna start thinking about all the supply that's coming today on Friday as well and even start to sell these cards earlier on in the day. So if you have any of these lower rated cards from your teams, I do think that at the very least, selling at least before the content drop today on the low rated cards for sure. Maybe if it's Fred, maybe if it's like the cards we looked at Alan St. Maximans, maybe it's Emery Chan, maybe it's somebody like Konate or Joe Gomez who is still maintaining a decent price. Those cards are definitely gonna drop today and let's say you don't even wanna upgrade in your team, if you can sell Joe Gomez for like 11,000 coins this morning on Friday and then go and buy him back later tonight for like 5K, wouldn't should love to save 5,000 coins or something along those lines and if you don't care, that's completely fine as well but I just want you guys to know and expect that there will be price drop offs today because everything that is in packs is gonna get packed a lot. That also goes for the team of the week, right? Team of the week cards are even down from where they were yesterday, right? Modrich is 89K, Salah is 420,000 coins and it almost just seems a bit too cheap right now on this market but these guys are gonna get packed, they're gonna drop in price and there could be some rebounds later on in the nighttime and that's what I wanna talk about next. You're like, Nate, if I'm selling all these cards, you know, what's gonna happen, right? When do I buy back? Well, here's what I would tell you, there's still, like I said, gonna be a lot of people that will want to buy cards back in the next week or two as they get more coins and they upgrade their team so I would watch some of your informs, some of your still very meta gold cards that even though they may drop in price today, I think there's gonna be a great opportunity to buy cards at a low point. Even a guy like Nkunku right now who is down a lot, right? He's under 140,000 coins. This is still a card that so many people will want to get in the next week in FIFA because he's got the five star skill, massive upgrade, incredibly overpowered FIFA card. You know, if this guy drops to like 100,000 coins or 110K today on Friday, I mean, I would fully expect him to be back up to 130, 140,000 coins next weekend when we get towards that first week in the timeframe because there will be so much team building and demand for a higher tier card like this. So that's kind of the situation you can expect today. I'd really watch out for icons for heroes and there it is, even in the game right now, flashback player. Okay, that seeing this card design in the game right here, that actually makes me think that maybe the Tiago Silva SBC would be today on Friday but it would just seem weird for them to drop, you know, a Friday or the promo, not featuring a player from the promo in an SBC, if that makes sense. Maybe we'll get two SBCs today. Who knows, that's up in the air. Seeing that card there, it kind of looks pretty good. I can't lie, but watch your rare cards, right? And especially, here's one tip that I'll give you guys too. As we've seen supply in the past two days, you've seen cards on the market that have gone down but they have rebounded back up because they are meta, they are popular and people want to use them in their team still. Like take this Valverde yesterday for example, he dropped from 80K all the way down to, actually he was 57,000 coins. He is now back up to 67,000 coins on a bit of a rebound. Find cards like that if you're trying to actually trade and make coins today on Friday. Find cards that had those sort of fluctuations and you will be able to make coins today on this big Friday at FIFA 23 as well. Now one thing I want to talk about at the very end of the video is about the cards that are going to be in packs. These ones to watches, there are even a couple ones to watch cards, well actually just one, Sadio Mane. Today on Friday, we have our first game that could impact the potential upgrading pattern or upgrade potential of a ones to watch card for Sadio Mane because we have Bayern Munich and Leverkusen playing today on Friday. Technically, since it is the 30th and wants to watch upgrades start from here on out, if Mane were to score a hat trick and he could very well get an upgrade in next week's team of the week which would make his ones to watch card obviously get upgraded and therefore be more valuable on the market. They could win today and that would start the wins to watch streak that of course we know that ones to watches will have if the team wins three games out of their next eight in the league, they will get a plus one in form upgrade as well. So watch for cards like Sadio Mane today and also the guys that play tomorrow on Saturday like Arsenal and Gabriel Jesus going against my Tottenham Hotspur huge game very early in the morning. There's a couple other guys that are potentially having games tomorrow as well. I haven't looked through all these fixtures to see but Slaughterback and Dortmund they play early in the morning in the Serie A do we have Inter and Roma so there's going to be Di Bala because Di Bala transferred to Roma so there's a card there that would be involved with the ones to watch game. I didn't check La Liga does Barcelona play? Barcelona plays on Saturday so you've got a couple guys especially if we get the Cassie SBC but you have the Lewandowski that could potentially get upgraded watch those cards specifically on the market today because some of them will get low and they will rise as people get hyped about the potential upgrade especially I would watch Gabriel Jesus that's going to be a card today that people would very easily gravitate towards because of the potential to maybe get upgraded if you would score a goal if Arsenal would win and of course that would make his price rise on the market so keep a very close watch out for that. Now one thing I'm going to say last minute as well about the Renato Sanchez is if Renato Sanchez wants to watch card is in packs today I do think that his gold card will actually end up going up in price there will be some panic selling this morning on this card as again people right now are expecting him to have a wants to watch impacts today on Friday if what we looked at in that spreadsheet is correct and that he is in the mini release on Sunday this card will drop a lot today it will get packed and also people will panic sell but that could also create an incredible opportunity to buy this card to watch it go up further before he goes out of packs on Sunday so we're going to have to watch this card specifically today if you have him I think that 60,000 coins is well worth probably what you bought it in the first place a lot of you guys bought this card for like 30,000 coins or even less than that maybe during the web app stages or something like that I personally think that this card right here is one that I would take the safe route on and take the cash and sell the card I mean he's had such a massive rise from like 15K all the way up to 60 and I mean is it worth the risk if you're making that much on a card that's the question that you should ask and of course if he does get into packs today he's going to drop a lot if he doesn't you can probably go back out on the market and buy him and still buy in at a price that's decent because he would then end up going higher out of packs because he's super popular and super meta so I wanted to kind of mention that at the end of the video because that's a very specific card that a lot of people want but a very important market movement for today and also if you pre-ordered you're going to get your free ones to watch pack right? Don't open that today unless you really really want to because whoever's in the mini-release let's say Renato is in the mini-release on Sunday if you save your ones to watch pack until Sunday you will be able to pack all of the ones to watch cards but if you open it today those cards that are in the mini-release will be not included in that ones to watch pre-order pack so happy FIFA 23 day and of course happy ones to watch day hopefully all that made sense if you have any questions drop them down in the comments we're going to be live streaming on Twitch during the stream during the day today for the content drop and seeing everything it's going to be an absolute blast so if you enjoyed today's video smash a thumbs up on it and of course subscribe if you're new it has been Nate the Foot Account and I will catch you guys later peace out