 The John Deere classic coming up this week for PGA DFS It is the final event before the final major of the year So a lot of stuff left to be decided potentially some Qualifying spots on the line. So plenty at stake here weird field for sure We're gonna break things down from a DFS perspective and get you said for this week in PGA DFS Welcome on into the heat check fantasy podcast powered by Number fire that's right here on the fan dual podcast network in number fire calm My name is Jim Sonnis. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm joined here as always by Brandon Gadoula he is the managing editor for number fire calm Brandon heading out to Illinois this week TPC dear Rob the host of this week's event. How you doing today? Well, I was gonna say that I was good Because cam Davis won and walking Neiman was, you know runner-up and we were on them last week But I actually realized that as I was waiting to join this Waiting for you to bring me on But that I never changed my mic settings to my Yeti mic and usually you pick up on that Immediately before the show and start yelling at me and I was very confused. So maybe I'm sorry Maybe you're hearing starting to go. I don't know what's going on Well, I also forgot to change my settings here So the feed on your end was not going to be recording on my I got to change something So it's Monday for us or I mean because like we were in theory off yesterday. Yeah, so maybe that's the excuse I kind of sometimes forget which podcast I'm doing so and plus like it was like holiday weekend stuff like that, you know, we got a you know You want on a boat? Yeah like t-pain I watched documentary about t-pain. Does that count as like being on a boat? I think it's indistinguishable. Okay, good. Um It's weird that you were being adventurous. Look at you. Well, you know My my wife got invited and oh my god. Yeah, okay my wife Yeah So Brandon's being adventurous. I'm forgetting how to record things on my computer for the audio stuff It's a mess. It's gonna be great and it might be a mess this week at the john dear classic as well They are at tpc deer run. It is 7268 yards potentially I've seen actually about 200 yards shorter than that too. Who knows either way. It's a par 71 The event was lopped off last year due to covet 19. It was one of those that got cancelled It was also a two course event back in 2017. So Be a bit cautious with course history here. It might not always be just tpc deer run There are 156 golfers in the field the top 65 plus ties Make the cut after the first two rounds. So brandon a lot of stuff at play here Not sure the distance necessarily could be you know a decent little range But we do have a good sample at tpc deer run which stats stand out to you when digging into those Yes, so when I initially published my Course primer, which I'm going to start doing again for a number fire I went off of the most recent data that we had and the gc I can't ever say this because it's too many letters. It's five letters. I think you need to like cut out one of these but the gc saa had 7066 yards on their tournament fact sheet from 2019 But now it's up to the 72 and change that you mentioned Looking back though, I saw 7200 and change like other years. So forgive me for not memorizing The yardage for tpc deer run, but either way At either of those it's a little bit shorter Than what we get for the usual par 71. So definitely not long. And that's kind of what matters. It's short to average here And with that, uh, you know, the yardage and with the data just bearing it out driving distance is not a prerequisite And in fact, we do see driving accuracy get Bumped up a bit in importance as well according to data golf And all those tools that they have showing what matters at a particular course The past five winning scores were between 18 and 27 under the past five cut lines on average about 2.2 under par It's been three two one two three. So, uh You know just for some patterns there, I don't know if it's going to go up to four back to two I guess probably back to two and then one of the following year But um, so it's going to play easy in that sense and it you know from that regard We have like a similar setup is last week Where it's you don't have to be long and you're going to be able to score so it's going to increase volatility Detroit golf club again short to average length course with smaller bent grass greens that applies to tpc twin cities as well so The past two events kind of i'm not saying that they're exact fits, but if you want to look at You know overall length green size green type. We have some similarities there so maybe super recent form could be a little bit more telling than usual but For a birdie fest. It's kind of a Straightforward approach. I want stroking approach. I want stroking it off the tee or good drive rate I think either would be in play for this week, but not specifically distance or accuracy for me this week Stroking and putting on bent grass birdie your better rate, of course And if you really want I think maybe proximity from 125 and in or 150 and in Might be a little bit relevant based on how the holes break down by distance Yeah, I I decided to go away from stroking off the tee just because I feel like it does if I go good drives gained. It does a better job of not omitting guys who might not be super long like you're gonna get your guys like web sentin who will look well I mean, he's not here but like for last week He would look well in stroking off the tee but there are some guys may be able to do well here who aren't great there but are Good enough and good drives gained to still do well for this course So I want good drives gained approach birdies are better gained for the same reasons you discussed and then The bentgrass puttings it sounds like we're on the same Same stuff for this week at TPC deer run, but I think the overall takeaway for me at least is that Distance is not a prerequisite. That's kind of the the overall takeaway distance Is not a prerequisite, but you need birdies is that correct like way to just boil things down completely? Yeah, you know, you don't need to be long being along helps you get to those birdie chances But it's going to come down to you know some who makes the putts who scores well and again like just look at last week's Leaderboard you see a lot of the big names, which is not surprising You know walking Neiman you could maybe consider alex noran relative to this field a big name bubba You know sum jm up there But also a mix of plenty of other lower lower tier golfers, which I think we'll see again this week just that increased volatility which You know, we don't have Bryson this week. We have daniel burger and surprisingly well, maybe not To me really I kind of would expect this but daniel burgers more likely to win this week according to my win simulations Then Bryson was last week Even though the win odds on vandal sportsbook are a little bit different Bryson was around Seven seven and a half to one burger now nine and a half to one But statistically burger is more likely. So I don't want to say Well Bryson was on 50% of vandal linux last week. He actually it was 51% I think It was pretty wild And I thought it was a safe play. I think he probably would have been fine, but the the cat like I don't like to make excuses, but the caddy thing Probably didn't help the mindset especially for someone so process oriented. So again, you know, that's I was I ended up loading up on Bryson After all because I like the value. Yeah But I don't think it's the same case with daniel burger. I don't expect him to be as popular for one thing Because he's not the defending champion and he's not the overwhelming favorite. I mean, he is the favorite But he's also not as big of a name to you like a casual golf fan as Bryson is Yeah, so you could still say fey daniel burger like 40 35 to 40 percent Rostered I would I'm okay with that But I really think that burgers probably had better play this week than Bryson was last week The only thing I had to push back on is you mentioned all the the big names at the top He didn't mention Cameron Davis Who you had is your long shot bet for golf digest and Why why are you not going to give him credit here? Why? Why is he not a stud? Well, you know, he was a long shot last week in a field that Wasn't amazing. It doesn't matter. He shouldn't have been a long shot. That's true I mean, we were both on him, right? Yeah. He's one of my player picks using my bobble hat lineup in which I dusted you So you even and Bryson, whoops Yeah, ruined a really good lineup. Oh, well, it's whenever the value hits the studs don't hit It's it's like you never get them all at once. It's six golfer parlays. Don't go. Well shocker the way that works Speaking of which we'll try to keep help you set out a good six golfer parlays here in just one second But first the 2021 nba finals are finally upon us and fandal and taco bell are teaming up to add an extra layer of excitement to the action Introducing the fandal sportsbook and taco bell and the a finals comeback bonus the terms are simple All you have to do is head to fandal sportsbook before tip off and place a 25 plus dollar pre-live Moneyline bet on either team to win if the team you bet on overcomes a halftime deficit to win You will be eligible to receive a $10 boats and fandal site credit You win your bet and you learn a bonus take that bonus taco bell That's more ways to win. Thanks to your friends at taco bell users must opt in the promo in order to be eligible for the bonus payout Eligible every nba finals game until the bonus hits must be 21 plus and present colorado, iowa, illinois indiana, michigan, new jersey, pennsylvania, tennessee, virginia or west virginia Bonus issued is a non-withdrawable site credit that expires in seven days max bonus $10 restrictions apply See terms at sportsbook.fandal.com gambling problem call 1 800 gambler in colorado 105 224 700 in iowa 100 bets off in indiana 1 809 with it For confidential help in michigan 1 800 270 7 1 1 7 in tennessee call the red line at 1 800 8 8 9 9 7 8 9 Or in west virginia visit 1 800 gambler net Let's take a look at golfers who have done well at tpc Dear one in the past running off with one of the highest salary guys on the board That is brian harmon checking in 11 seven four this week He is actually the second highest salary guy behind daniel berger only 200 dollars in salary gap between them Harmon someone who has been here before Obviously one of the top contenders for this week. What do you see with this history at tpc dear one? He's got a win here in 2014 And you know you could put we could have seen barely exists Like it it's not even like a year to me at this point is Probably well, I can't say it was a good year because I don't really remember. I graduated college. Does that count? Yeah, that's always a good year. Um, that was my well. That's my first year at grad school Which is whoof not right rough So brian harmon destined to hurt us. Is that what we're taking away from this? Well, I don't know. I mean like with the current form Probably a safe play grad school puts you in debt brian harmon will also put you in debt there. No Man, don't talk about my dad I love that. I love it. Yeah. All right. Let's let's talk brian harmon here Something that's at least uplifting for brian harmon former winner here in 2014 When he gained 16.7 strokes t-degree, which is pretty wild there and you know, like I said just The current form's great, but like the course form's great So I didn't actually know which section I wanted to put him in But he has five total top 26 finishes and seven starts here since 2012 according to fantasy national It's really hard to do much better than a bunch of top 25s is 26 in there. I'm not going to count that against them And I mentioned harmon's recent form, which is pretty fantastic finish wise He's been third at the players 12th at the masters 13th 18th cut at the pga with positive strokes gain t-degree in there 8th at the trawler swab 19th at the u.s. Open and fifth at the travelers A data golf true strokes gain query has him about just as good as daniel berger over the past 50 rounds overall. So yes uh typically we'd see You know a bigger gap there between someone like berger in in name value and over brian harmon But 50 rounds is a pretty solid sample and it's been pretty close there. I know we're going to talk plenty About daniel berger, but what about harmon himself? Do you see anything there? I see nothing to talk myself out of him. That's for sure Like I think that where he's at from a sour perspective makes total sense It's fully justified. He has earned that um, I think that The like slight concern you could have is that the approach numbers are just kind of okay Like they're fine. Um, whereas like you've got a lot of dudes up there berger Russell henley kevin strelman camron davis even siwu kim who are all really good on approach Harmon overcomes that and makes birdies despite the fact He's not like a bomber or anything and you should get he should benefit from that perspective So I find no reason to like be down on harmon But it's also hard for me to like prioritizing when if I'm looking for pin, it's off of berger I I feel like he's deaf obviously consideration, but he's probably not my top choice there Like I it's weird because like I I think I think I should be very high On harmon, but I'm having a hard time like getting like jazzed about him. I don't know how to explain that though necessarily I think you explained it well. Yeah and I think that Like you said, he's not going to be the Pivot away for me. That's going to be Russell henley because Russell henley Has the best the irons in this field once you adjust for recency and field strength over the past year In my database, so I feel really good with that um But I have nothing it's it's one of those where Yeah, this field is not Amazing it's not super Deep but the high end is actually pretty strong. I would even Go so far as to say Roughly from like 99 and above is pretty solid I think those guys are all over salaried in like the 10k range for the most part, but yeah They're not in bad form. You can make a case for all of them So it's more are they if they play up to their current level, which is what's separating them making them not the 9 000 tier But putting them into the 10 000 tier you know guys like maverick mcnealy troy merit things like that um So I think that you could argue for a balanced build which I will argue a little bit But I think overall we want to stick to the top and we do still have Ways to differentiate from daniel berger Uh specifically for me with russell henley on number one, and then I think I'd put seawool kim All things considered with the salary Number two for me at 11 000. I think it'd be Henley seawool kim and strelman would be the top guys I would consider there and I'd be okay with any of them But I think I'd probably be more okay with them and harman again. It's nothing wrong with harman I just think that those guys created a little bit better for me all things considered. Let's talk about the two guys who are like When you think of like course history you think of like zack johnson and steed stricker at tpc deer run effectively And we're there this week. Both these guys are in the fields Let's talk through those guys starting off with zack johnson the lack of distance that this course is A big help for him and he's taking full advantage of that in the past johnson has played 32 rounds of tpc deer run in his career He has gained an average of 2.4 total strokes per round in that time Which is the best among anybody in this field who has played here more than once The last time that they were here back in 2019 johnson gained 2.9 an approach 1.1 off the tee and 0.7 around the green, but He lost putting so he finished 37th the form now for johnson is better Then it was back in 2019 He has missed a cut in a couple of majors, but he gained 4.5 an approach to the travelers And it wasn't great before then like the travelers was kind of like the anomaly in this stretch from an approach perspective And it hasn't been consistent, but and then that can be tough at 10 four But johnson's form entering The john deer classic in the past has now it has not always been dazzling either and he's still done well so I'm bumping him up due to course fit and course history But 10 four is kind of a lot and I'd rather find a way to get up to see will kim The other guys we just talked about then go for johnson at 10 four I think he makes sense in this tier, but I don't want to be in this tier very often personally. What about you? um So he would be part of that balance bill that I think we can argue Which I'll do a little bit later when it makes more sense to do so, but I'm totally fine with sack johnson, uh at a course where you said 32 rounds and I'm not you know But I'm assuming that came from fantasy national. Yeah, which goes back to 2012 He has 62 career rounds here, which is 10 more than anyone else in the field Uh and like 20 more than all but like two other guys other than that So like he's played this course a ton. Uh, he's like on the board or something I don't know. Okay. I I'll look this up. Yeah, I really struggle with the uh, those narratives you're What were you last week the Was it who came birthday narrative? No, but like you were like the CEO of narrative street or something. I don't think I was that you gave yourself you gave yourself I wasn't you gave yourself some sort of title He is a member of the tournament's board of directors according to pga2word.com. Okay, so Is that cheating Well No, because we've I've seen that not matter for other golfers so But yeah, I'm fine with with uh zj here this week. I think that he actually rates out really well I have him so I have him ranked seventh in this field based on his past year of adjusted form and A statistical model. So just kind of a combination of who's in the best form And who fits the course best so I have him seventh there. I think that he's totally fine at 10 for I'm a little bit surprised. It's even that low honestly But I think it's just a matter of he wasn't going to be 11,000 and Some other golfers just kind of shuffled in above him. So I'm totally cool With johnson, he would be my number one play in the 10,000 range So if I had to pick someone in the 10,000 range Um I might go erin wise over him. Is that a wise selection or stupid? Um, so I have looked at erin wise a lot. I've seen him his salary kind of increased a lot of weeks I've seen his uh win odds be shorter than Much shorter than I would have assumed I'm not quite there. Would you like to do a head-to-head between Zach johnson and erin wise fando? I feel like wise is not someone you want to do in a head-to-head because it's more about upside than than Median projection. So I feel like it's not the correct format for him So no But like if you're asking me who would I rather use in a tournament? I would rather use wise than johnson if that makes sense It makes yeah, I mean it's a very simple concept. So it makes sense But I was just hoping that we do we didn't do any uh head-to-heads Okay, we might be able to go in here. Let's talk with steve stricker. Uh, he is 9 000 the other guy outside of zj who Is talked up a lot at tpc deer run and stricker is skipping a A Senior tour what's it called the champions tour event champions tour now champion. He's skipping a champions tour event to be here. So Talk me through steve stricker at 9 000 So he's 54 years old but I'm very tempted to go here and I'm talking about him in course Uh history section, but he's also one of my player picks. So Just kind of planting my flag in steve stricker Because he wants to throw off three straight wins at tpc deer run from 2009 to 2011 I think when that's the case, I don't care how long it was You kind of have to talk about someone in course history unless they are completely done and he is not Stricker has been solid. Uh, if you look just at pj tour events in 2021 He was fourth at the waste management open Did miss the cut of players despite positive strokes gained teeter green was 13th at the honda 44th at the pga with good iron play and in uh, both of those events the honda and the pga And on the champions tour since mid april. He's gone win second 11th 7th and win So the forum's still there. We've seen the irons being on the pga tour as well The course knowledge the core success basically unmatched for the most part and he has been relevant in recent pga tour fields that Frankly, we're a lot tougher than this one. So i'm very in on steve stricker at at a salary of 9 000. Uh, are you Yeah, I think they're like he's just super under salaried. Um Like it's really hard not to be there I think the only objection you could have to stricker is that he's going to get talked up a lot this week His win odds are short relative to the salary. So I would guess that he's probably going to be very popular But like for a cash game, I feel like stricker Makes way too much sense not to use correct I kind of think that as well. Um We could be trending into super mega chalk territory with a burger stricker start but There's a lot of volatility this week so that you could say Don't do that but in a cash game. I think that's the right start for me Yeah for cash games, we'll talk about burger in a bit, but I think that he's a no-brainer I think the stricker is like close just because like I just think he's under salaried Um, like you said, the recent pga tour data is very good if you look the the data golf stuff does account for his Champions tour events like it has that in there the overall does he's only got I think two Shotland grounds recently or something like that, right? But like that's what that's what I'm looking at for the most part Is like the overall the total strokes game so I feel like it's really hard to poo poo him Uh at 9 000, I would say for tournaments If you asked me if you told me I had to fade either burger or stricker in a tournament I'd rather fade stricker than burger because I think there are some really good plays around 9 000 in a little bit beneath that So if I had to fade one of them, I'd rather fade stricker than burger. Do you agree that? Yeah, because I think Daniel burgers substantially more likely to win right so I would rather yeah fade stricker, but I don't know if stricker is going to get Past like 25 and also according to fanciersports.com. It's early. So, you know, this can change the holiday yesterday For some for some. Yeah, uh, but rustle henley is actually out with a pretty sizable lead and with most tags Which is a little surprising Second here two years ago, I guess maybe that's it. I don't know Well, I love him this week, but yeah, I think he's great. I just died surprise me number one. Yeah, yeah, exactly okay, so on board is stricker and Potentially pivoting for tournaments, but might not have to so we'll see how that plays out Uh second guy I want to talk about here in the course history section is roger slone He's only played here twice, but both those outings are very impressive for slone He was here back in 2015 finished 18th. A lot of that was thanks to putting he gained 4.4 in the greens Compared to just 2.1 t-degree 2019 though was more sustainably good. He gained 7.5 t-degree in there helping him finish 10th in that one The approach play for slone has been off recently as he has lost approach in four straight events But none of those were like really bad like super concerning if we look at everything all together He ranks 34th in good drives gained 23rd in approach and 22nd in birdies are better gained So for $8700 that's pretty enticing. Do you have faith roger slone as a value player for this week? I do. He's one of my Two picks along with stricker in the value range for my article on number fire Where I just list out my favorite plays You mentioned like the What I called lukewarm irons because they're not completely terrible Recently but over the past year. He's in the 77th percentile and adjusted stroke skiing approach So that's that's the sample that I rely on more than a short-term sample Especially for something as granular as you know, any of the specific four strokes gained categories Um, so I like I like slone a lot. I would have talked about him Um, I think he might be one of your player picks and if he's not I would have He's gonna be one of our player picks. I think because he's pretty sure yeah So like I think that it's pretty safe to say that uh, we're both in on slone this week. Yeah, I think that um I like there are good value plays for this week and there are plays I like using the 8000 range and at 9000 dollars But slone Is definitely near the top of that list someone I feel really good about despite it being a very good tier for this week Let's shift now and talk about some current form golfers who are golfing really well right now and Got madrick mcneely at 10 6 And it's in that mid-range. We talked before is zack johnson Again, we talked about erin wise a bit too mcneely is at 10 6 and what are you seeing with him recently? And does he fit the balance build you were talking about before? So I think that that's kind of he this is one of the names that makes it interesting because uh, if you look at You know, we cite data golf a lot, but it's Hard not to honestly But you know, you can sort there a query by a few different ranges and I just did the past three months The best form over the past three months Among golfers with salaries under 11,000 belongs to someone at 10 9 and that's alex noran Shameless power is next up at 10 8 And then it's madrick mcneely at 10 6 but all three of those are in the top 7 In this field and true strokes gained average over the past three months, which makes sense That's why their salaries are up here. I mean throw hank libiota in that mix at a salary of 9700 And we're looking at some of the best form In this field recently coming from that balanced range and if you want to talk about ways to differentiate It's going to be not to play daniel berger possibly not to play russel henley apparently at this point, but There's a case to be made. It's going to feel strange But we're looking at more volatility, uh, and we're looking at being able to roster a lot of golfers With really good form. So I think that's intriguing. That's kind of the case that I could make For a balanced build just being super super different as for maverick mcneely himself He's finished 21st at the rocket mortgage 30th at the travelers and 20th at the trial Schwab in his past three starts and all three of those courses are short to average length courses And they have small bent grass greens, which is what we have this week. So That's really appealing and that gives me more credence to super recent form Which I usually am a little skeptical to buy in on but you know, I'm not saying the balance build is my preference I'm not saying I love maverick mcneely, but You want to talk about an easy way to be different? It's going to be Targeting the a balanced approach targeting this 10,000 range and it's kind of hard to argue against it from a You know current form standpoint So do you see anything with mcneely anyone else in this range? Kind of what are your thoughts on mcneely? I guess first, but then maybe a balance build as well So I think that you you mentioned the ranks In data golf's strokes gain query and the ranks are correct. Obviously I think the issue that I have is when you look at the actual numbers the fall off is pretty precipitous So like to me, I think that there is like a tier of five five or six to the top I put see what came up there. That's just why it's six. Maybe can date your sample seven Past six months. Okay. I did last three months for current form Yeah, so I did past six months and like to me like if you look at the past six months It's berger harman This is free by the way at data golf. So I don't I don't mind that's the thing is it's free So we just right it's berger harman strealman in henley and then I'd put kim and davis in that top tier as well But then to me There's a big fall off to noren and the other guys after that So that's why do by three months and tell me what you see. I don't want to do three months. I like six months Okay, I just I prefer six. Yeah, we're yes. I would prefer six months to three months But we're talking current form and that's that's the case. I was getting six months is current six months ago was February 6th. Is that right or is that january 6th? Oh, wow. Oh, it actually has a rough january 4th Yeah, it has a date there. Okay. Like that's that's just what they're Time span shows. I don't look at dates. It says july. Okay. Never mind. Anyway Anywho, okay. So over the past six months those guys have been better So to me what I want to do is get two from those six two from those seven And go from there. I think that is the way I want to play things this week I'm not trying to diminish what you're saying because it's a very good point But what you'll learn is that if you look at larger samples, the better golfers are going to be better than the guys on current hot streaks That's why it's best to look at longer samples because they're more predictive And so very good point. Yes, if you sort of by the last 12 months or last 24 you're going to see daniel berger separate from maverick mcnealy so Like that's just how it works and that's why larger samples are better to use But if we're going to talk current form, I think the the shorter samples are at least somewhat intriguing Especially especially with the overlap Potentially with the courses being you know having those similar variables So over the past 30 days your boy mito ranks third Should we have mito at 11,000 dollars and be all over him? Yes, because you know what i'm saying here and i'm saying we should use shorter samples And that's that's the best way to play it. That's exactly what i'm saying. Just ignore all other stuff. Correct. Yes Yes, jim herman a better golfer than sung jm for sure 100 agree. I've never never heard something more true in my entire life shame this power just Abusing rossel henley on the golf course at all times at all times that is that is what i've always said And that's what i will take to my grave. Let's talk about daniel burger here the unquestioned favorite for this week Let's have a word to do with him from a dfs perspective He's the runway best golfer in this field at least in my eyes Maybe not brandons, but we said to decide how we want to handle burger for this week The form is no issue here burger has gained it on at least four He's in at least four strokes and approach five straight events Uh, he has a pair of top 10 finishes in that time one of which was in a major He ranks fourth in good drives gained third in approach first and birdies are better gained so He's great If you want to nitpick the one downside with burger is that bentgrass is his worst surface He ranks 60 of there over the past 100 rounds, but like That's that's one thing. I have no reason to push burger off off the top of my list for tournaments You start or for cash needs to start there And I think that I want to be overwin on him in tournaments too. What are your thoughts on daniel burger? Uh best player in the field best play in the field Again, you know, we saw we saw this somewhat with bryce in last week where The game theory I don't want to say a fishy and auto because i'm not i'm still donkey when it comes to the game theory And I I think that I I went to rely on game theory a ton, but I would say look bryce and just missed the cut It over 50 roster rate We have the same exact setup for burger. However, daniel burger is actually More likely to win as I mentioned already Then bryce was last week in my win simulation model based on the field and the setup But also daniel burger is he has the smallest standard deviation between his adjusted round by round scoring of anyone in this field He's super consistent bryce in for as good as he is not nearly as consistent Because we we see lots of good lots lots of bad from bryce And so I think daniel burger is just a super safe play He's the number one play for me this week. And I don't think I have to avoid him at all costs I Still would assume that he's going to be about 40 rostered because he's just the best golfer in the field And he's pretty pretty heavy favorite But I don't really see any case to be made against daniel burger statistically I think he's like a 60 to 75 exposure type guy To me, that's what I want to do when There is a golfer who I think is definitively the top guy in the field by a wide margin That gets me enough leverage over the field where I am overweight on him and I'm not just like In line with the field. I'm okay going a month of the field when I think I need to but I think for burger I'm okay going overweight on him and just loading up and then working from there Let's talk about mito perera the best golfer in golf right now Brandon we talked about him last week when he was not yet in the in the player pool He was added he's back again this week and we do have a salary here $8,800. So what do you see with mito perera for this week? Yeah, I loaded up on him last week some of the we just We just kind of talked about him in passing because he didn't have a salary at the time and he was minimum salary So I was all in and he missed the cut, but it was not that bad of a performance Perera gained 1.5 strokes off the tee lost a half stroke from approach and lost 2.3 with the putter Which is not great by any means, but it's also not something that you would look at and be like Okay, he just doesn't quite have it yet It's like a fine performance, especially for someone at a salary of $8,800 He earned himself a pga tour card by winning three times in the corn fairy tour this season Over the past three months perera ranks 14th in data golf's true stroke scan metric among this field As you mentioned over the past what 30 days he's third. So, you know, that's that's amazing If you do check out that tool don't look at the granular data Because he has just two two rounds of shot link From last week, which is going to show basically what I just told you but Lots of wins reasonable salary Good driver of the golf ball that we've seen irons probably gonna At least flirt with field average. So I think that there's a lot to like for the salary any thoughts on him for you I think it's a good range as we discussed before where like you have some Really solid options down here, but I think that he is like in That consideration as being like a Really solid option down there. It was nice to get the confirmation with like the shot link data last week that he actually is like Pretty solid to know again the miscut, but like it wasn't a bad miscut so I feel like it's okay to have a decent level of confidence in him, but I would say that He's not my favorite guy down there. He is someone I'd consider when I'm like Differentiating because I think my core this week will be the studs and then I'll differentiate with the value plays mixed through there And I think that if I got to prayer there, I'd be fine with that I think there's enough there to justify doing so, but he's not my favorite guy in that range Just one I'm willing to consider if that's uh, that's along the lines what you're thinking too. Yeah, he's not my favorite I have strikers Sloan Above him. I'd say pat Perez as well. Yeah um, but it's another option and with I don't think we actually talked about this, but the low 9 000 range is not appealing Hideous, I couldn't find someone to talk about the player picks down there. So I just didn't yeah, uh, I would say from 91 to 95 Which is a kind of a specific range, but that's also kind of a money range for whenever you're building phantom lineups Pretty dead for me. So I'm just kind of over it I don't even want to like 96 has munios and revie, but like I'm not really into them either So like I would do that as well enough. But yeah, he's fine. But like lots of question marks lately with all So I it's a really bad range the guy just above that the guy just before the tier falls off in the 9 000 range Is your boy hank leviota? Let's talk about hank here in current form On a heater the salary is still pretty reasonable for leviota at 9 700 dollars So let's talk about him once again. He enters here with back to back top five finishes He was fifth at the travelers and fourth at the rock and mortgage classic And that was despite losing 0.2 strokes off the tee in those two events combined Almost all the work for hank was done with a short game He gained 11.9 strokes putting and 4.2 around the green between the two events combined And that may make it seem like we want to jump off of leviota We don't want guys who are feasting just because of the short game But leviota is ball striking over a larger sample is good. He ranks 25th and good drives gained eighth and approach So I think that what that says to me is that he has multiple ways to measure up well And the course should fit him as he's not particularly long I think the high 9 000 range is good. I think that leviota is part of the reason why it's good at 9 700 dollars What are your thanks? Uh, uh, what are your thoughts on your boy hank this week? My my thanks on hank Uh, yeah, I like him a lot. He's one of my favorite plays in the 9 000 range um I would say Yes, the putting is a little bit of a concern, but he also gained with approach Uh, and we've seen him Be solid with approach play over The past year and more than solid even 90 90th percentile once you adjust for field strength and recency In approach plays so he is again one of my favorite plays here Fits kind of almost any build if he's maybe the the one guy you get back up to but you can't quite get back into the 10 000 range You could say that he's just a more You know affordable salary than someone in the 10 000 range I think there's a lot of flexibility around leviota and he's going to be someone that I built around a lot Yeah, I would say leviota johnny vegas dug him Maybe hv3 all those guys are people I feel pretty solid about in the upper 9 000 range for this week The drop off after them is is huge So i'm just going to try to avoid that tier whether that means more value plays Whatever it may be that's fine. I I think that that is a tier I want to avoid But this tier high 9 000 range pretty good for me for this week Let's talk about bookmaker odds for this john dear classic daniel burger is the runaway favorite at plus 9 50 to win a Fandall sportsbook dips down to brian harman second at 15 to 1 The remainder of the second tier is russell henley sung j.m and kevin strelman henley and m are 17 to 1 Streele boy is 19 to 1 Cameron davis and seawood kim are next up at 28 to 1 Alex noran and shamus power are both 31 to 1 erin wis is 35 Then johnny vegas and madrick mcnealy run at the top group They are both 36 to 1 so we talked about burger before and our eagerness to use him What are you doing after burger? Are you Jumping down to the zack johnson range the madrick mcnealy range or are you trying to jam in a second stud? From that that group we just talked about um, I think it's going to depend I'm most likely going to start with burger and then Possibly jump down to seawood kim for my second golfer So it's going to be a little more of a um, you know, it's still still two studs, but a little bit more of a modified Kind of studs approach the thing is that I I really you know, I laid out the case for a balanced build here With the golfers in the 10,000 range. I think that from a current form standpoint it makes a lot of sense However, for me, it's much more likely that I go burger and either henley or kim and then just load up on probably three Golfers below 9,000 which I typically don't do because you lose so much win equity But there's not a whole lot of win equity available in the 9,000 range either At least not substantially different from what I see from the you know, 8,000 8,000 range, so I don't know if that answers your question, but I'm probably just I like I don't mind the 10k range. I like Zach Johnson, but I'm probably just going Studs and duds me too. Um, because It kind of goes along with what we talk about a lot where there's no fall off between the low 9,000 range and the The high 8,000 range. So like I'd rather Use three guys who are effectively the same as the low 9,000 range So it does like right now my bobble hat lineup has three guys at $9,000 lower But no below 87. So I'm pretty okay with that personally. I think that it works out pretty well given that like Like steve striker is equally likely to make the cut as anyone in the low 9,000 range So like is he really a value play in salary? Yes in Projected range of outcomes. Maybe not. So I'm okay with it personally I think that that's uh, the optimal bill for me this week whether it be for a cash game or a tournament Which is it's more top-heavy than I like to be in cash games But I think for this week given the way the field breaks down. I'm pretty okay with it So to me, I want to get in two guys likely at sea will Kim or higher and then Go from there for me Yeah, so it sounds like we're we got a lot of overlap in that regard probably Wouldn't be the first time that's for sure. Uh, which golfers odds have shifted the most Since things open. I know everyone like length and effectively, but uh, who has moved the most in this time pretty much everyone moved like one to two points, but I guess three golfers odds Better than 100 to one actually shortened. That's shameless power from 33 to 31. So For whatever that's worth doc redmond from 50 to 44 and scott stallings from 80 to 65 There's a lot of movement outside, you know, 100 to one, but nothing really No, like noteworthy no one really even approaching 100 to one. So Don't want to get into them Yeah, uh, yeah, so I think that um the power One is interesting because I have not been super drawn Towards him personally and not super drawn towards that tier Doesn't look bad statistically, but what are your thoughts on shameless power? I know these bad some good finishes recently any thoughts on him I mean like good recent iron play um I just he doesn't really fit my build because he's not good enough necessarily again you sort by Short term form. He looks good The longer it goes the worse he looks and that's more important to me So I would much rather play someone like Zach Johnson, uh than shameless power Perfect, uh, which lower salary golfers have odds to stand out to you? um We got Steve striker at 43 to 1 at 9,000 And then next up is pat pares luclis ryan armor scott piercey kramer hickok at 80 to 1 so striker is the one standout player from that regard, uh, roger slone brice garnet 95 to 1 and then ct pond andrew putnamito parrera and keith mitchell 110 to 1 Among these golfers like I like mito. Uh, just fine. I like roger slone. We talked about him We both like him ryan armors a possibility I like pares and I like striker. So there are some names here, but There's not a whole lot of outliers and like the value range from a betting standpoint aside from striker And you're gonna talk about striker in your player picks, but just quickly while we're on him, um I know that like a lot of times we'll see guys get pushed down the list due to course history And we'll see their betting odds be way shorter than they should be But you sent me your win simulations earlier and it sounds like striker His win odds are legit and they're not just being pushed down by course history is that that's the read you're getting to correct? Uh Well, those No, those weren't my win sims. Oh, what were they? Those were from uh data golf. Oh my win sim so You know I'll push yours yet No, I haven't been able to uh, just yet, but you go and come on Yeah, well, I have about half of half as likely let's say and I haven't 1.7 percent So okay, but that doesn't include champions tour data. So like that's yeah That's a drawback for me, but i'm also not gonna pull champions tour data for Every single week for like the one you can get stricker and fill as the two main relevant guys. Um, so But yeah, like that's actually kind of Fine like overall like even at 1.7 percent. He's about fair. So like stricker is I'm gonna have a lot of Steve stricker. Yeah, and 1.7 percent is not being influenced by his court history directly So I think that that shows that he's legitimate and it's not just no I made no correct adjustments And so it shows that it's like a legit thing and not just some Funkiness we sometimes see with odds with regards to guys With good course history weather for this week could be a little interesting things look pretty level on thursday But friday afternoon specifically could get uneven There is potential rain in the forecast the later in the day you get and then the wind speed increases from the morning So as of right now, I'd give a slight bump up to those teeing off on thursday afternoon Meant to be friday morning So means like they they may avoid that rain friday afternoon The rain is likely to linger into saturday morning and most of saturday could be wet sunday is wet too. So From a waves perspective, I'd bump up those teeing off late thursday Then I'd assume that there will be some wetness across the entire weekend brand any adjustments for you based on The weekend being a little wet out in illinois Uh, well if it's going to affect the weekend, I guess I want my golfers to be done by the weekend So i'm gonna target golfers who that that's that's like a galaxy brand thing Because then we're saying get all the points before but miss the cut But then these golfers are just going to start racking up bogies with the bad weather so Galaxy brand love it. No, but I mean like weekend numbers. I I can't really Adjust for because well, I mean like Does it change the way you view putting anything else like that if the greens are wetter Like any alterations for you Am I am a misunderstanding? I thought you said I was going to get worse on the weekend. Correct Then I'm not going to change Things because I still need my guys to make the cut. Okay fair enough So let's talk about our player picks here for the john dear classic starting off in the upper range brandon Who stands out to you this week on fandall? Well, I'll go with russell henley because he's my Well, I should probably shouldn't see who came but i'm gonna go russell henley here He would be my ideal pivot away from daniel burger. I think there's more to like for henley than see who came Even at an extra 500 in salary Henley has the best long-term adjusted strokes gain approach numbers in this field, which is pretty stellar for me If i'm gonna go heavy at russell henley If I do kind of pivot away from daniel burger more than you it sounds like I probably would Be a little bit lower, but Henley is in the 70th percentile and birdie or better rate gained over the past 100 rounds should fit the course well given the accuracy angle These 88th percentile and fairways gained but 15th and distance gained over the past 100 rounds according to fantasy national as well So, you know, the the usual numbers should get even better At this setup and we saw last time they played this event when he finished runner up by gaining 7.7 strokes with his irons Uh, henley or kim for you Henry, okay, probably for me as well My high salary guys daniel burger. I just see no reason not to put on the top of the list It's kind of a no-brainer as mentioned before Statistically tremendous. He should fit the course well this week. The form is top notch for burger Uh, he's also been at this course a couple times. He has been here twice Uh, he was 33rd in 2019, but he finished fifth back in 2017 He's gained the average of 1.8 strokes per round in his eight rounds at tpc dear one So I think at 11 9 his salary is Probably lower than it should be and I have no reason to doubt him this week. So to me Burger definitively the top option. You mentioned you might be a bit lower than me What's your like exposure level you're thinking Well, you said what 75 60 to 75. It's a wide range. I know but yeah, I'd be closer to like 50 to 60 Where I'm still would assume that it's going to get me overweight. I don't think should be as popular as brison was last week I mean, I think that it's makes sense to be overweight, but I also think that it Makes sense not to go fully at him because if he doesn't win Like I mean if he's top 10 And you have the winner Sure, but you kind of really need to think of like I need all my guys to be able to win so So seven percent exposure to daniel burger. That's right. Yeah, that's what I was getting at exactly Okay, who's your second hyzer I got this week Zach Johnson at 10 for I would also be good with seawood kim here But realistically I'm gonna have henley above kim. I think I said the opposite earlier But either way, they're my one two three burger and then henley and kim there But Zach Johnson is really the one name in the 10th house range that I'm drawn to He missed four of his past eight cuts Which maybe We'll get people off of him But three of those were in majors which no longer really benefit the short hitting Zach Johnson Zj's 82nd percentile and adjusted stroke scheme approach over the past year according to my database and we know that you know He's got great form here. We've talked about that in detail And he's not finished worse than 37th Over his past eight starts here, which did come last year But that was his only start with negative stroke scheme putting so I'm core is that johnson seems like I'm higher on him than you are Uh, so who's your second high salary to love for this? The with johnson is just because I don't like that range as much I think that he's probably the best play in that range, but I just don't want to be there So so zero zack johnson's what i'm hearing for you potentially, yeah, like I know you're trying to like I feel yeah, I think that's right probably style. I'd rather just live in the top and if I'm gonna get If I'm gonna get away from burger Slash henley slash kim I'd rather do so with kevin strelman than zack johnson Let's talk about strelman the strel boy here coming off of miscuts, uh, but nothing there was super concerning So I like him a lot here 11 3 The concern with strelman off a miscut is that he his putting may have come back to earth But that didn't happen. He actually gained point one on the greens Which gives him plus marks now in five of the past six events will take plus one better than minus point one Um, he lost an approach, but you don't really expect that to carry over for strelman He ranks fourth in approach in addition to ranking fifth and good drives gain in seventh and birdies are better gain the past 50 rounds So strelman is right by cameron davis striper rossel henley who is tracking popular this week see who kim's always pretty popular So I think that strelman is a good pivot in this range if you're trying to find someone who might be overlooked Overall, that's why I like kevin strelman brandon. Why are you hating on the strel boy this week? Well, you said his putting was probably gonna come back to earth or might be coming back to earth I was gonna say I don't know if his putting even qualifies as being on earth, but I guess that's unfair of me because long term He's close to baseline. It's not quite as bad as it feels good recently or better than his his normal Usually at least yes, but coming back to earth kind of implies like you know around Zero for a stroke scheme putting and I was gonna say well for him coming back to his usual Level would be much lower, but it's actually not that'd be like the core Yeah, that was the joke I was getting at and then I figured I should check it out and It's not actually the case so I can't say that that'd be unfair of me So sorry, uh, sorry kev, you know, we tax him. Yeah tax him. Let him know. We already got our back and forth Yeah, tax him to apologize. He's listening right now. He's very hurt. He would hurt his pun. He didn't solve this putting I mean strelman's like totally fine. I have him ranked sixth in this field, but he's also behind burger harm and sung jam russell henley see will kim so It's less to do about him and more to do with I like other golfers better. So sure It's kind of all it comes down to. I can't play them all I will try to play strelman. I like his upside for this week. Let's talk about the mid-range here and again I think that the mid-range is kind of two separate ranges this week You've got the high 9,000 range the low 9,000 range high 9,000 is good low 9,000 sucks So what are you seeing here in the mid-range for this week? I like Doug game who we've talked about for weeks now It feels like and all we need for him Is for the putting actually to reach earth's core or earth's surface Was that the crust? I don't remember. I I always hated those classes because it didn't matter like it. Yeah, I'm not gonna be a scientist I think it's I think it's the crust, but If we can get there if his putting can need crusty gim. Let's do it Then then it'd be good because he's so good t-degree and usually although he wasn't last week necessarily He's lost strokes putting in 64 of his past 100 rounds on torque according to fantasy national, which ain't great But he's in the 97th percentile and adjusted strokes getting t-degree and over the past year According to my database gim is kind of actually neutral so close to a crust level On bentgrass. He really struggles on bermuda. So maybe that's what we need from him this week We saw him gain 0.9 strokes from putting last week on bentgrass. So if he has like 97th percentile Even 90th percentile even 80th percentile, you know t-degree and performance and baseline putting we're going to get a good performance out of him The question is just Can he do that or is he gonna just crusty dug? Yeah crusty duggy. Okay crusty duggy gim I like him as well. I am on board with him in this range I think I like here is herald barnard the third. I've not talked about eight feet three in a while But he's pretty balanced off the tee. He ranks 79th and fairways gained but 29th and good drives gained which means that when he misses, he's not missing by a ton at least And the rest is good too Varner is 19th and approached 26 and birdies are better gain 61st in bentgrass putting the recent events have a lot of funkiness in there Varner lost 2.2 an approach at the rocket mortgage and 3.2 at the palmetto but between there he gained six points out of the travelers so He has pop weeks. He doesn't have consistency. So Maybe not for a cash game, but wouldn't go Varner. I think for cash game I'd go gim for sure But you know, got guys like johnny vegas hankley vioda gim. I like all those guys for safety I like the upside in Varner at $9,700 and I think that we should consider him for this week Brandon, what are your thoughts on hv3 at the john dear classic? Like um, he's still good relative to the salary. Um, he actually leads the field and opportunities gained Which is a fantasy national stat. It's a great stat. I got a 29th and birdies gained then 86 percentile The putting is like kind of baseline once you adjust for field strength. So it's not that bad Yeah, um, I would kind of weirdly feel safer with Varner Because the putting is less likely to be terrible. Okay. Um But I Straight up probably just gonna play gim more because I'm A dummy, but I think that they're both in play and honestly I have three names in the upper ninth I I should say I have three names in the 9,000 range if we don't include 9,000 Who I even want to play really uh, so Varner's one of them. Who is the third then we talked about gim and varner. Who's the third? Uh, hankley vioda sebastian muneo's would be close to that but He's kind of someone he would be fourth on that list for me So I'm gonna go with libyoda as the is the three so again gim libyoda varner. Uh, my top three above 9,000 And honestly up to zack johnson At 10 four, but I've got libyoda ranking in the 90th percentile and adjusted approach over the past year 71st percentile and bent grass putting over the past 100 rounds But it's a 36 rounds sample for him, which is a little small, but I'm good with that Being positive at least He's in really elite form right now As we've already discussed or you've discussed more precisely With those four top 20 finishes in the past six thirds and that includes those top fives at similar courses at The the travelers at the rocket mortgage. So I like that. Um, and yes, the putting was there to get him there but Having good putting performances is not a bad thing Having only good putting is bad because that's going to stop eventually Having good putting can elevate you whenever you have good irons good, you know off the t-play. So That's actually what you want to see and for the salary. I think he's probably Under salary just from the standpoint that he could easily have been You know in that 10,000 range and someone else could have fallen down to 97 So I think libyoda One of the best plays of the week at his salary Now I would say with hank too like the other thing is uh with the putting is it means he can bail himself out His stuff doesn't go that well, which is great for his floor. So I think that that's great for hank I the only addition I'd make to the 9,000 range. You said you like Gimm, varner and libyoda the only guy I'd add is johnny vegas. So i'm okay with I would rank him fourth of that group but I would be interested in him at least but Probably just gonna stick with those three for the most part. My second mid salary guys Technically what we would count as a value play at nine thousand dollars But I just I could not stop like recommending someone in the low 9,000 range So I went pat pares. He's a good bentgrass putter who can make some birdies Kind of hard for me to turn down at nine thousand dollars pares is 14th and birdies are better gained ranks 11th and bentgrass putting and the ball striking will get a boost this week because He's 34th in approach. He is not long off the tee, but he does rank 30th and good drives gained so Pares generally makes birdies despite a lack of distance and that won't be as much of a concern this week as usual So pares two top 15 finishes in the past three events. I like his blend of floor and upside so pat pares to me I like stricker more I would say at nine thousand But I think that pares like if stricker does track be popular I'm okay pivoting, but I would also say having both of them in the same line together is very in play for me too What are your thoughts on pat pares this week? Yeah, a lot of the same things that you see good on bentgrass. I have a 93rd percentile over the past 100 rounds 83rd percentile birdie or better rate gained and there's someone who's not long off the tee but is is above average in accuracy, which is nice to see so um, you know good irons good short game really it comes down to Pat pares is really one of those golfers now at this point where you play him whenever it's a kind of a Bernie friendly event in some place that does not require distance. That's what we get this week. Yep. I agree So let's move down to the lowest salaried range. Who do you like there? stricker, um, I don't I try not to like talk about the same golfer in All these different sections, but I'm just kind of going with stricker this week I talked about him a lot already, but the irons are still good whenever he's on the pga tour And that's the most important thing to see For me if he was winning all these events and we didn't know how on which we don't really know how with the champions tour, but um The the shot link data has been good on the pga tour for him three straight wins here From 2009 to 2011 two wins in his past five starts in the champions tour Pretty solid finishes or results at least forgivable miscut at the pga championship Or 44th at the pga championship when he lost strokes putting so I like a lot what I see with stricker And I'm just going pretty heavy at him this week. I think it makes sense to and again I think that he'd be one of the top guys for cash games to lock in and just kind of go from there for tournaments Good with him doesn't seem like he'll be too popular. So Uh, I am not going to be as of right now pivoting off of him there My first low salaried guy is roger slow. We talked about him before as well But just he makes a lot of sense at $8700 really good Balance profile good course history, which is not something I actively care about but it doesn't hurt His approach play Has been up and down but slone Is 23rd there and 22nd and birdies are better game the past 50 rounds He finished 21st the rock and mortgage classic Despite losing 1.4 an approach because he made up for it with his short game and again That's kind of like we talked with hank. I like having outs if something bad occurs Sloan has that he can bail himself out of things don't go perfectly So I like him a seven any final thoughts for you and roger slone Uh, just one of the better plays down here. I would rank him second. I think behind striker Uh, and we have a lot of good value options right around 9 000 So who else do you like here in the value range this week? Someone who's not really around nine 9 000. That's adam shank at 7700 Uh, I think at a certain point. Why not? Uh, especially if you want to build a Different lineup you can either go balanced or you can actually Jump down a little bit more take some more risk because that this is A more volatile setup. I have shank ranked 36 the overall in my model which combines adjusted form and stats Uh, he's in the 81st percentile and adjusted off the t-play 83rd in approach 16th around the green So kind of the right t-degree and stat combination that you want for a birdie fest while keeping salary low because he's going to Bog himself down with poor around the green play Most weeks, but it does not matter this week nearly at all honestly 85th percentile and opportunities gained So Combined that with being a plus bank grasp potter. I think it's a perfect setup for shank at 7700 and He was sixth here in 2019. Oh, so that's the only reason we should need actually Um, and shank is the other route to avoiding the low 9 000 range I think if you just have someone down there you can go with all the The 9 000 guys we discussed or you can have like zack johnson as your third rank stud So I think that the build that he gets you is enticing I can definitely understand adam shank this week. My second love salary guys andre putnam He is One of the guys who needs a shorter course to be in play for dfs. He ranks 134th in distance But 24th in good drives gained so gets a bump up as a result of that and the the distance helps explain why putnam doesn't get a lot of birdies He ranks 61st and birdies are better gained But he has the other amount elements you look for the building blocks for birdies If he could just not lose a bunch off the tee he ranks 26th in approach 13th and bank grasp putting putnam finished 13th at the travelers after gaining 5.5 an approach He also had top 10 early in the year at the all of palmer at the port of weaker open the waste management He is 8500 dollars. I think that there is enough here to make putnam a high quality play Brandon, what are your thoughts and andre putnam at 8500 dollars? Not for me this week I try not to roster golfers who are sub par In my adjusted strokes gain numbers over the past year and he is he's not substantially so but a minus 0.14 Um, the off the tee plays concerning and I don't see enough birdies from him So it's not for me, but i'm also not going to talk you out of him because I understand the case too made I was going to try to find a head to head for him, but we like all the same guys down here So that doesn't really work out very well So he's what 85 by an armor? No, I think armor is fine. Danny McCarthy Uh, it's probably donkey play, but I don't sure why not let's do it All right, so you have Danny McCarthy and I've andre putnam. This is a heat check level Yeah Well, so I got Danny McCarthy over andrew Our most recent one was uh, cantlay versus brison. So it's about the same level. Yeah, no, I see no difference here Putnam can't lay same thing for sure Let's finish up here with our win picks for this week as always these are based on the odds over at fan dual sportsbook one guy Actually, what was I going to say? I have no idea what sentence I was beginning there So brandon, do you have idea who you want for your win pick this week? Oh, yeah, I have some ideas Are you gonna list them? We didn't ask me to do that. You just asked if I had any ideas. I think I have mine potentially Well, you also won the bobble hat. So I was going to defer to you to give you first Even though we can't we can pick the same guys um so Speaking of donkey I'm probably gonna go with daniel burger at plus 950 actually Hey, man, you do whatever you want to do let me go burger at plus 950 and we go hank at 43 to 1 as my second pick for this week um, I'm gonna go I'll go. Um, it's either between henley or seawood kim Okay, it's better odds on seawood kim obviously, but I'll go russell henley at plus 1700 all right and then Boy doc redmond shortened That must be recent He was 50. He is not 36 Which is unfortunate for your boy Uh, what's dug gim? 60 now um, I'll go It's either dug game or roger slown slown's on 95, but I'll go dug game. I think it's a little more realistic I was thinking No, I don't want to I thought for a second about going to lucas glover instead but I couldn't quite get there thought about it at least Uh, but couldn't quite do it. So i'm gonna stick with daniel burger and Hank this week you had henley and who's your second one again? Like him at a 60 dug gim Gonna win this week that is all that we have here for today But as always we back again later on brandon's going to do his q&a That's today 3 30 p.m. Eastern on the fandal youtube twitch Facebook and twitter pages make sure you are subscribed there And then tune in today 3 30 all of them will be dfs at 4 o'clock and then Aaron dole talks from mba at 4 34 today So an hour and a half a q&a on tuesday on the fandal youtube twitch facebook and twitter pages brandon Any final thoughts for you on the john dear classic from a dfs perspective before we close up shop? Um, it's going to be volatile because of all the birdies, but that's also going to make some Lower salaried plays stand out. Um when it's all said and done just don't get too cute Uh, I think that you don't have to avoid daniel burger entirely Absolutely not Make sure you are subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast or an oppa podcast spotify stitcher Google podcasts wherever it may be you can find us there brandon If people have questions for you on twitter before 3 30, where can they find you there? I'm at gadu la 13 gdu l a 1 3 And i'm at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s you can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcast big Thank you to everyone for tuning in for today. Good luck with your pga dfs lineups for the john dear classic We'll talk to you once again next week for the open should be a lot of fun. We'll talk to you then This has been heat check fantasy podcast powered by number fire