 This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network We once again have another phenomenal pitching slate lined up for tonight It lines well with having Rob Friedman pitching ninja on to break down his favorite strikeout props of the day We'll break down those over at Fandall sportsbook talk about some guys who could potentially rack up the most strikeouts for tonight And I'll talk about some NASCAR and Richmond later on today This is covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network and over on Fandall research My name is Jim Sonnis I am a managing editor of digital media for Fandall research joined here as mentioned by a Rob Friedman You can check him out on Twitter at pitching ninja find him on peacock MLB MLB on Fox And of course at Fandall sportsbook with all those profit boosts as well Rob happy Friday to you How are you doing today? I am doing great. How are you? I am fantastic I got to watch uh, I'm very jealous because yesterday's guest on the show Dr. Red Fang we had to record early because he was going to Detroit to watch Shohei Ohtani pitch and Boy, did he my goodness putting up Basically the forms of a lifetime. I know it's it's not an Ohtani slate today But like my goodness just filthy across the board Both as a pitcher and I know I know Rob We want to root against dingers here in general But like I think we can make an exception for shohei correct 100 percent shohei is a pitcher first So we we get credit for all of his home runs too. Okay. I that was amazing though, wasn't it like that? Yeah, like I was I was jealous when Ed said it and then once that happened I was like, oh, wow, he was at that game and I was not and I'm like, man I need to find a way I needed to look at when the angels are in Chicago next Pop out for that game because he'll be there and they're making gains Well, I'm gonna ask you about Lucas Geolito later on See what can expect from him making his debut for the angels today in a second first day reminder to make sure you're subscribed to Covering the spread wherever you get your podcasts If you like what you hear leave us a five star rating on apple podcasts We're on spotify and these shows do go up over on the fandal youtube page and fandal tv plus as well next week No video because I am gone a Tom Vecchio filling in for me But let's love the audio version Here on the podcast feet But let's take a look at this again Chuck loaded Friday night slate here rob and a lot of fun pictures on tonight's slate We got your guy braxton garrett. I feel like i'm okay and labeling him as being your guy, but also I guess some under the radar names like max scherzer garrick coal kevin gosman ever heard of him Yeah, exactly. So when you look at tonight's slate rob, which pitching Uh strikeout props are you most keyed in on a fandal sportsbook? You know, you got a matchup of two of my under the radar guys with with garrett and olson in that game and I actually i've been following risa olson this sounds silly But but ever since he was in high school because he played he was a travel ball player that we coached against Back in the day and I always liked the way he threw and it's great to see him throwing that well In the show and I think you know, he's he's got a lot of promise I kind of really like his stuff So that's a matchup that i'm looking at and I'm actually picking both of those in my parlay today To I think I have olson for five k's and and garrett for six k's or more And uh, I wouldn't be surprised to see them surpass it pretty easily Yeah, olson over four and a half is minus 134 braxton garrett over five and a half is minus 124 and olson You said you've been watching him for a long time What at that time kind of keyed you went on to the fact that oh this guy might be kind of special So what I liked about him is he was a smaller frame pitcher who threw hard So he had to move really well and he did in order in order to throw hard. I just liked his mechanics Um, and that's really what jumped out at me because I remember walking by the field with my son Going I really liked the way this dude froze didn't know anything about him and then he ends up, you know He was he committed to georgia tech Then got drafted before he went to tech and then Yeah, the rest is history and in his debut. He was shoving he was fantastic and now facing off of the marlins in this game Over four and a half strikeouts minus 134 other side of bra is braxton garrett and again five and a half the number for him Over is minus 124 and garrett is a guy we discussed a lot and rob I think the thing that's most impressive about him is he gets strikeouts with a low pitch count Which means a he's efficient He he is not wasting pitches But also he's pretty dang good and I feel like if we ever got braxton garrett fully unleashed obviously i'm not asking for that Because the marlins know him better than I do. So i'm not saying they shouldn't Handle them the way they have they they know him better than I do. They're doing the right thing here but like if we ever got like a 97 pitch Braxton garrett regularly he could go bananas. What do you see about him in this match up here with detroit? Well, I mean I like him versus detroit number one because I mean i'll kind of like anybody That's mean But but he's got he's got really good stuff and you don't see it very often like he's his breaking stuff is is fantastic And it's just one of those things that he constantly is I don't know why under the radar Type guy doesn't throw hard. I think that's probably why he just strikes people out And uh, yeah, I agree with you anytime that he goes deeper into games and hopefully is at the point where maybe they let him go Tiny bit deeper. Yeah, um, you know, I look at him as a strikeout guy. He's good Yeah, and again, he's doing this. He's justifying five and a half strikeouts of this prop, which I've taken over on quite a bit He's justifying it at a low pitch count. So and that's accounted for here So we're liking both over four and a half at minus one thirty four and garret's over five and a half minus one twenty four In that same game marlins and tigers you get to begin your friday a little bit early too at that game with it being a 640 first pitch there. Okay, which are the ones you're looking at for tonight rob? So I was looking at brady singer. I think he's figured some things out and he's another one of those guys that maybe isn't that flashy And tends to mean when he's on can really strike folks out and he's pitching against a team that strikes out a lot. So We'll see they definitely do. Uh, that is definitely very accurate Singer strikeout profit vandal sportsbook over five and a half is plus 130 and Earlier this year rob he was really struggling and that surprised me because I liked singer a lot last year traded for him in my dynasty leak as a result of that and Didn't get off to a great start, but it seems like over the past I don't know like 10 or so starts it's 11 starts where he's gone back to that slider a bit more He's always used a lot, but like a little bit more usage there Is it a comfort thing to be like did he just find? Refinds the groove with that pitch leading to more strikeouts or what do you think keyed in that surge? Yeah, I mean I noticed his slider location wasn't great when he was struggling And he really needs all of his pitches to work well in order to pitch well He's a competitor. That's one thing I like about him But it wasn't all it just wasn't clicking location wise and now it appears to be we'll see I mean, I thought I thought last outing was a pretty good jump for him and Hopefully he's figured out and if he does expect a big game out of him Yeah, the twins active roster against righties a 28 strikeout, right? Which is a monster number bucks and likely back tonight, but that doesn't hurt the strikeout number at least So hurry it helps the offense for sure, but the strike from a strikeout perspective does not hurt there Okay, so singer over five and a half currently plus 130 over a fangirl sports book not a bad number there So that's the strikeout props. We're talking about for tonight I did want to ask you about Lucas G. Leto though because Rob we can a lot of times see Pitchers make changes when they change teams. We saw Jordan Montgomery last year regaining faith in his fastball We saw it with I think Kyle Gibson when he got traded one year Had some key changes that really benefited him you you see it a lot where You get a new face you get a new pitching coach and maybe just a fresh set of eyes Not saying that like the old staff wasn't good, but like a fresh set of eyes a new start So when you're watching Lucas G. Leto tonight making his debut for the angels What are you going to be watching most heavily there? To me, it's the extra sense of urgency like geo is a pitcher. He pitches On emotion a little bit. He can be when he's on he has that little he gets locked in He can tell from his face. Yeah, I think another team trusting him to help him in a playoff run Maybe bumps him up another level and he feeds off that emotion It wouldn't surprise me to see him do really well. I also think it helps the team It helps the angels in general to feel like They got they they're now adding pieces instead of selling things off down the stretch And you know players feel that you'd like to think everybody plays their hardest every game and they do But there's a little extra when you feel like you your owner has your back Yeah, and I've been really impressed with their offense ever since Mike trout got hurt They've been phenomenal. Um, and if you react if you're able to rehab Mike trout that lineup if they can keep moniac in there, too Um, you know, that could be a really fun team and adding Lucas G. Leto right out of Lopez That's a pretty fun addition for that team as well So I'm excited they did that because I won't show him a ton to be on a relevant team I didn't want to get tradings. I just see it feels wrong But like I want to see him on a relevant team In august-september and it seems like with the way the offense is hitting I think they've got a chance to be that and we'll see if g. Leto can be a part of that Beginning tonight. All right final question Rob. We don't have the strikeout leader prop up yet over a fangirl sports But because some teams have not yet announced their starters buoy on them But when you're looking at the pitchers on tonight's slate, who do you think are the main contenders? To lead this slate and strikeouts for tonight I was looking at gosman. Um, I think you know the angels k a decent amount gosman gets a lot of k's He would be my pick if i'm going to just pick one. I think Cole's got a little tougher match up Even though he can you know, you never know with Cole like if he is He is a bully on the mound when he gets going and I love it about him The question is like I pitched against the Orioles earlier in the year was Uh, and I you know, I just don't know. I think it's shaker. I think gosman would be my Yeah, we did see some interest in gosman's strikeout over because that number did just move over seven To half just moved to minus 134 So people are betting me over on that one that could correlate well to things here as well Any dark horses like do you think that garrids in contention for this one? Or is that a bit too much given the reduced pitch count? If he has that right if they let him go like he can he can get double digit strikeouts And it's going to take double digits to win today probably low double digits. Yeah, can he get there? He can get 11 Yeah, I mean, I I wouldn't be that surprised to see him do it. I don't know what his number is going to be It wouldn't be my favorite for it, but it's definitely possible Right. I think the benefit for gosman too is he's pitching likely indoors I think that roof will be closed tonight and you got a lot of hot weather on the east coast like shers are Low strikeout matchup. It's a revenge game, which is again worth 30 bump Um, and that obviously matters a lot, but a lower strikeout matchup. He's outdoors It's warm cold the exact same thing whereas gosman likely indoors for tonight, which does help him too Wheeler might be someone to look at too actually. Yes High strikeout matchup bad weather there not like in terms of heat, but like they might get rain in that game So keep an eye on that But I like wheeler too. He's been pitching, you know, he's Zach wheeler, of course He's always pitching well, but like especially recently Even though he's on the road, I think he'd be a pretty good contender for that one as well. Yeah Alrighty, so people want to check out. Uh, they could include that Strikeout leader actually just got popped up right here So, um, if they people want to include the daily strikeout leader market Rob, they could actually boost that sound like you got a profit boost over at vandal once again for this week Yep, but it's only good for parley. So you got to take that as a parlay add gosman in there And then parlay something else with it and you can definitely do it It's got to be over plus 400 total three legs or more But yeah, you got a 30% profit boost at vandal. Alrighty love to hear it Kevin gosman is a favor to plus 310. Um, we're listening to us My dark horse is 16 to 1 bobby miller kind of thought that you might be interesting He's been throwing fewer sinkers recently and sinkers are annoying to me as someone who wants strikeouts So I've been happy about that. He's 16 to 1 I can't get behind that unfortunately, but you know, I thought I'd give him a look But 16 to 1 is too short for me to get there. Yeah, probably right. Oh, well, we tried at least Garrett at 26 to 1 though. I mean that's long enough. Yeah, that's definitely long enough in that matchup at home Yeah Pennant race or a you know, uh, playoff race going on. I think that's enticing It's worth chucking something on it, right? I think so too I think that's my favorite of the ones here because gosman 310 is kind of short. Um, I think that Shurs are even though it's a low strikeout match of a 12 to 1 is pretty enticing And then I would say garret at 26 the two I would like most Relative to their numbers. Yeah, I might take a look at that one too. I I think 26 seems right. That's they they were waiting. They wanted to get you in, you know And I feel like 26 is long enough to uh to bait the hook there. All right That is rob freeman makes you check him out on twitter at pitching ninja Check out that profit boost over at fangirl sports again a 30% profit boost on parlays three plus legs over at fangirl sports book I could check out his strikeout props there as well Check him out a peacock mlb mlb on fox and of course you're uncovering the spread as well rob Have a fantastic weekend. Enjoy the baseball tonight. We'll talk to you once again in two weeks Awesome. Great talking to you again as always. All right. Thank you rob And we'll talk to you again in a couple weeks here to talk more strikeout props on the show always fun to get Some brax and garret discussion here on the podcast We're going to dive into my thoughts on nascar enrichment here in just one second But first we've got some exciting news over at number fire beginning now You can find all the number fire content from the analyst You know over a new home called fandal research fandal research is on the fandal domain Meaning you can now do your own research on the same site where you place bets and submit daily fantasy lineups And don't worry. All the number fire tools are still in place over at number fire dot com So your daily process can remain the same for now as I thank you for your years of loyalty We'll be running free rolls over on fandal research now through the end of nfl season to check out next week free roll Once it is up go up to fandal dot com slash research and check out the link for a free roll for the nfl Hall of Fame game coming up next week get that over on fandal dot com slash research Let's dig in now to nascar at richmond they are at richmond for this weekend and It is one of the more predictable Tracks on the circuit not just because they've been there once already this year But also because it's a short flat track which tend to be they tend to be more predictable but also They just don't see a lot of crashes of richmond which means It's less likely that a contender will get wiped out by something stupid And that's always going to be beneficial for us when it comes to betting because we know who we fast this weekend So you're not getting a lot of surprises at richmond But I do think there's a guy who is like a somewhat longer shot who could potentially Win this race now not betting him to win I don't think there's I think I don't think it's the best route for doing so But I do think brad keselowski is a fantastic bet to podium and to finish inside the top 10 We're going to break down why uh, or what I think of those two markets and why I want to go to those two markets here In just one second, but first let's talk about why my model is on keselowski for this week. It's because keselowski's had two clear strengths Since joining rfk racing He has been great on tracks with heavy tire fall off and he's been great on short flat tracks His teammate chris busher nearly won this race last year a race that is a higher high tire fall off track and Um is a short flat track. So checks pulled those boxes So chris busher nearly won last year finished third keselowski ran top five in homestead with heavy tire fall off and He was also top five in darlington earlier on this year So in tracks with heavy tire fall fall off rfk has been at its best So but also keselowski has been great on short tracks. They're short flat tracks this year He had a top nine average running position in all three non martinsville races on short flat tracks He finished fifth in new hampshire the most recent one. I think that's actually a bit more Helpful than usual. It's always helpful for richman because it is a short flat But uh, they used a softer tire compound this year So I think that the overlap between those two races may be Even greater than usual. He did finish top 10 at richman earlier on this year as well So that's why my model likes keselowski and I think you could consider him to win He's 24 to 1 f andual sports book I do show value there because I have his win odds at 5.5 percent But the implied odds are 4 so a pretty decent edge on keselowski to win And I did take him at 31 myself earlier on this week elsewhere But I think the better value is in the podium market because you got martin trex jr Who is on a heater right now in his phenomenon richman denny hamlin exact same thing Kyle larson william byron. You've got four guys I think are a clear step above the rest of the pack and in order for keselowski to beat them He's gonna need a lot of juice for a podium It's not quite as bad and I do show value in the podium market as well It's not just like I want to avoid truex. Let's go podium instead The implied odds for keselowski to podium at plus 750 or 11.8 percent You can or could yesterday get at least some uh, plus eight fifties out there But at plus 750 a fandal implied odds are 11.8 percent. I have keselowski at 16.4 percent for a top three So it gives me more flexibility to get around truex and hamlin and the edge there is pretty big as well So I like that quite a bit I want to pair that with keselowski to finish top 10 His top 10 odds are plus 105 over a fandal sportsbook the implied odds of uh, plus 105 are 48.8 percent Whereas I have keselowski at 53.8 percent to finish inside the top 10 this weekend So once again a big edge there the way to do this is I would Layer this bet where you have enough from a top 10 bet where if he finishes inside the top 10 You profit But then you also add some on to the podium bet where if he finished in the podium, you have a great day So it's a a scaled bet as always scale it based on the knowledge with that there is a 47 percent chance if my model is correct that the top 10 bet does not cash in a larger chance a 84 percent chance the podium bet does not cash Please keep that in mind as you are allocating your bet scale don't overload on one driver and just don't overload on bets in general But keep that in mind and I would layer this year So you can benefit if he does finish top 10 you can profit there and then benefit a bit more If he does show upside and finish inside the top three again I do think you could consider him 30 to 1 to win I if you could get him 30 to 1 I would take that did take that earlier on but 24 to 1 right now at fandal I think with these markets where they're at specifically I would go the podium plus the top 10 being the correct way to play things So those are my two bets for nascar as we can Richmond Brad keselowski to podium and plus 750 and to finish inside the top 10 at plus 105 That is all that we have here for today on covering the spread once again the schedule for next week It will still be the same top vecchio filling in for me all five days both here and over on the solo shot So thank you tom a bunch for that help We'll not have the video versions of these shows, but we'll have the podcast version on apple podcast spotify wherever you get your podcast So to get those as they are posted follow tom on twitter at dfs underscore tom But also make sure you are subscribed to the covering the spread podcast feed wherever you get your podcast big Thank you once again to rob freedman. You can check him out on twitter at pitching ninja and find his work peacock mlb mlb on fox and of course at fandal sports book as well Check out the profit boost on parlays as well over at fandal sports book You can find me on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s want to thank you all for tuning in Good luck to you with your bets across this weekend and i'll talk to you once again Monday the fifth or fourth whatever it is. I'll be back then tom vecchio with you next week This has been covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network