 A presentation of TFNN Trading Hour with your host, David White, call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-445-1044. Now, David White. And welcome all to another exciting edition of the Power Trading Hour with me, your humble, lovable, and squeezibly soft host. As always, I know what you're thinking. But you know what? I forgot to launch the little app that does this. So give me just a second because we'd like to come to you at this time. But sometimes I just get distracted. And when I get distracted, I forget to launch this program. But we normally come to you. The following takes place between 2pm and 3pm. Normally come to you at this time. So what do we have going on in the markets now? It's all about hurrying up and wait. Everybody wants to get a view of what the earnings are going to look like. We had Citigroup and Goldman Sachs out before the bell. Didn't seem to do a lot to put a fire under the market. But at the same time, not a lot of sellers. I continue to think that psychology of the market is everybody thinks that they know that the trade deal is going to be the next moment. So they don't want to get out and miss it. And as soon as it comes out, I think that we're going to have a bunch of people thinking that they're going to sell the top by selling into the pop. How about that? I'm going to have to write that down. Sell the top by selling into the pop. Anyway, off three points on the S&P cash. Volume has not been good either higher or lower for the last week. Let's update this to make darn sure. 3.4 billion shares. We got to about 3.9 billion shares on Friday. So we've done just a little less on the down days than the up days. But the up days aren't anywhere close to where they have to be to really see a bull market that's truly charging. What would you call a bull market that is kind of been not so much bull? Maybe like 3.8 bull. Maybe a quarter bull. Quarter bull. That's about all the volumes good for now. But it probably 1 eighth bear. Mr. Bear is in hibernation. He kind of growls every once in a while, but that's about it too. We've got a market kind of hanging out at these levels. We've got a lot of people thinking that, man, if they just hang on, the market's going to bounce. And generally kind of a bad way to go through at least an investing perspective on a trading perspective. The risk reward has to be there. And it's very tough to find a lot of stocks that offer any kind of risk reward right now. And got a handful of stocks down at the bottom. If we start heading down, they could break through ice. A lot of stocks up the highs, but very light volume. So we've got a lot of stuff going on here today. We'll do some history. We'll go through some charts. I'll be back in the four o'clock hour where we'll go through a lot of the earnings, both this morning, tonight, after the bell and in the morning. So we'll get you all ready for your trading day tomorrow. In the meantime, it's history. It is history. And on this day in 19, not in 1981, 1912, I don't know how I did that again. I guess because I'm distracted, we'll change that. 1912 at 2 20 a.m. The British ocean liner Titanic sinks into the North Atlantic about 400 miles south of Newfoundland, Canada. The massive ship, which carried about 2,200 passengers and crew had struck an iceberg two and a half hours before. And my grandmother, I remember being, I'm going to say 12, 13 years old. And she was watching one of the bad Titanic movies made, I think probably like in the 40s or maybe even the 30s. It was an old one. And the ship looked like a toy when it was sinking. Of course, it certainly didn't break in half like we know now. But she told me being a young girl, so she would have been about 10 years old. She was born in 1902. Anyway, she was saying about, you know, that nobody had phones. She was in a little area called Macon, Missouri, which is about 30 miles east of Springfield, Missouri. Where she told me about her life growing up and how pretty horrible it was for the most part. But on that day on the movie, she told me all about how when she was 10 years old, I guess that would have been right in 1912, that the bell just started ringing. And that's the only way that they had to tell anybody about anything. And of course, they all went into town and found out that all the people had died on the Titanic. Of course, most of those people had never been out of the county or the state that they'd lived in, much less across the entire ocean. Pretty much the descendants of the Civil War at that time, 40, 50 years after. Anyway, that was my first, I think, introduction to the Titanic, listening to most of that. Later on, I would not know how important it would be in my life as it became a giant movie. I had made a product for the people in special effects and television in Hollywood. If you think that desktop publishing was something, of course, it would be nothing without the laser printer. I basically didn't write the big software that made animation, but I was able to make a very inexpensive way for them to have lots and lots of animators. It was called platooning. When you look at some of the animation early in 1980, or 19, let's call it 90, that really made it, it was made with a handful of people with a very, very expensive computers. When we got to Titanic in the late 1990s, there were 45 animators on it. In fact, they rented out the QE2 in Long Beach and actually had a scale model of the Titanic to do a lot of the inside stuff where they could move it and jack it up and down and slosh water around in it. I spent eight weeks living on the QE2 in the hotel room and all my clients were in the, well, they had this giant meeting room and they basically turned it into a place to do all the animation for the movie coming out. Anyway, I spent about six weeks, no, eight weeks there. I remember it was almost the entire winter, which I loved, and then they got onto it and they were there for, I think, almost a year working on it. Of course, the movie ran out of money and the director decided to use his vast sums of wealth and put $120 million of his own money into it, which later made him a billionaire. He said, I'll just buy the movie from you and I'll put all the extra money in it for you. But it ended up being a big thing because it was kind of the press that drove our company public and got me down here to Florida. I ran like hell as soon as we went public. In the meantime, we'll be back after this. 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Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. Well, we're still sitting off three points on the S&P cash, the Dow's down 26 Nasdaq's down 18 and a Russell off seven and a half. Anyway, we're going to get to a lot of charts here. So why don't we go ahead and start on the way there? Did a lot of looking at charts over the weekend. I'd say seven out of eight are hitting highs if they're giving signals on lighter volume. AECOM, which is ACM, the symbol for that, going into a couple of previous highs at 31, 32 bucks. February 5th had $32 with 1.9 million shares, got almost there on 1.2 million shares on March 4th. We're actually not into that, are we? Okay, let's do this. Oh, that's what I did wrong. Hang on a second. Let's do this again. There we get. Got into that a little bit today. You got 444, 445,000 so far. And of course, you got to really, you know, you had a lot better volume when we didn't break the high on Friday. That had 752,000 shares. You know, maybe we get 600,000 shares today, but at best that's half the March 4th high and a third of the March 5th high. And I got lots of stuff going on here today. AER. When we look at this, a couple of previous highs in the mid to high 48s on January 30th, 1.7 million shares on February 19th. 2.19 million shares for AEROcap pollings. AER is the symbol on that for you people at home. Today, 442,000 shares as we get into 49.70 on the high and Friday, 732,000 shares. Again, very, very light volume on the way up and very, very white light volume. Maybe even just a shade lighter on the way down at the moment. But a brittle market because if you got any really bad news, it would be problematic. Allergen, Allegian, A-L-L-E bouncing around these $94 highs back from December 3rd. 1.7 million shares tried to get on February 13th with 600,000 shares. Tried to get into it with 750,000 shares on the 5th. Friday, you had 438,000 shares. Today, 270,000 shares so far. We did say that we would talk about Goldman Sachs and others. And of course, you can email me at path at tfnn.com and email me at pat.com and give me call at 877-927-6648. You've got to go to Tony. How are you doing today, Tony? Good. Thank you, David, for taking my call. As you were going into the earnings, I would like to know about Bank of America and as well as XLF. How do you see that? Well, we certainly didn't have anything that looked like a jump for joy today on the other bankers in the morning from Marseille out here. Come on. I got to get back there. Hang on a second. Okay. Before the bell, of course, we were talking about earlier, both Citigroup and Goldman Sachs, not really getting the kind of reaction. I think people, if they just read the headlines, would expect, of course, Bank of America down a little bit on that. The earnings do come out before the bell in the morning. And what are they looking for out here? EPS is 65 cents a share, revenues of $23.3 billion, United Health Johnson and Johnson also in the morning. I mean, you had all the volume to take out the high on Friday. You had 100 million shares compared to the 58 million shares. That part looks good. The part that looks horrible in this entire market is the low off that March 5th low. There was no energy all the way back up except on Friday. And that was it. So they ran everybody on the gap higher. Now you got a whole lot of nothing going on. My guess probably about like what we saw from Citigroup today. And, you know, that's just a whole lot of nothing. You know, unless something drastically is wrong with it, my guess is that it kind of goes sideways fairly close to the price it's at. I mean, that's the reaction we got today. Do you have anything that you're thinking? Be long it or already? Yeah, thinking to go long just not decided right now. For earnings? Before earnings or after earnings. Well, since Citigroup didn't do anything and since the other ones haven't done anything, I don't understand where probably the risk reward is for going long before the earnings. See what I'm saying? Okay. Yeah, I guess you know, maybe do you have something else? Do you work for the company? Do you know somebody that does that where they're going to have some kind of blowout earnings? No, no, no, I don't know about anything. So, looking that they might go up, that is what my thought was by looking at, but you're right, it's 50-50 kind of thing. Yeah, it's a coin flip and, you know, they didn't react well today. Now you're going into a four day or we're in a four day week. Volume almost always is light. It's probably going to get it even lighter. You'd probably don't want to be short into that, but you could be a couple of days away from one of the biggest bearish signals that we get in the market if we continue to go up on such light volume. We get up another 50 points and that has to be cash. We could be making the biggest signal that we've had in 10 years. So, you know, I just, the risk reward is, you know, probably 80% that it goes up 2% and 20% it goes down 10%. And, you know, I just don't see the risk reward where it goes up 10% and goes down 2%. See what I'm saying? I mean, if they really miss, or if they really miss, but 80% chance is going to be a buck or two higher tomorrow, right? And I just don't understand making that kind of bet. I want to get into a position that I think is at least, maybe over time going to be at least 20 or 30% higher, but I'm a swing trader. It wouldn't be for a day trade. You know, you're going to be able to play this in the pre-market. That would be the other thing, not wait for the opening. If you get some really good numbers, maybe you can get in and then see whether it performs tomorrow. But my guess is that the reactions are going to be fairly muted for the rest of the week and probably drift ever so slightly higher into Thursday's close. We'd need some kind of trade deal or something else that I just don't see yet in the market to get anything going right now. But yeah, things have been different. But think about maybe playing it after the earnings come out in the morning. Thank you. You bet. We'll be back shortly. The path of least resistance is David White's daily trading newsletter. And if you're looking for active trading ideas, then now is a perfect time for a 30-day free trial to this powerful daily trading advisory service. David uses his years of trading experience to offer his subscribers his trading ideas each morning in his path of least resistance newsletter. Using a combination of equity trades along with options, David keeps his subscribers up to date with all pertinent market information with intraday afternoon updates when warranted. 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Swim Banner on the front page of TFNN.com. And somebody asked me to text them back something, and of course they block all their texts. I don't know what kind of technology you can do. I guess I know that you're available. Let me finish this. Almost nothing I have to take care of why I'm on the air, but this is actually one. What else do we have? Okay, that's good. Let's look at some other out here. And that's AMH. You're going through the American Homes for Rent. This is the August 29th. $23.18, three and a half million shares. Went through it on Friday with two million shares. You got a little doji out here today. Any closed below $23.18 would be extremely problematic. AVY, which is $114.60. This is Avery Denison. July 25th, hit that high with 1.15 million shares. I got back into that on Friday with 561,000 shares. Today, 316,000 shares. Again, fairly light. Benchmark Electronics hitting its February 8th high. That's $29 at 654,000 shares. Today, 128,000 shares. Friday, you had 280,000 shares. Trying to get to half the volume is pretty big. Now, in that sector, got a new CEO coming in on Best Buy. It opens a little lower out here. And I think you got a probably a fairly good bet that Best Buy is going to come back to at least 62 bucks. With a new CEO, they almost always try to clean out all the excesses of the previous CEO. And I was listening. I think it was Bloomberg when I was out at lunch. And man, were they lauding the previous CEO who's been there for, I don't know, six years or so. I think it was 2012 when he came in. But when you look at this company, there's one thing that's made this company actually any money over all that period. And it wasn't a stroke of genius. It was basically stores within a store, which other people had tried. He actually made it pay. And three-fourths of all the income of a Best Buy store is right when you walk in there and you hit the phone department. They made the deal with Apple to be in all those places that Apple retail stores aren't. And the so-called genius bars. I've met a few of those guys. They seem like dopes to me. But I don't know. And a little on the hyperbole there were calling somebody a genius. I've actually met real geniuses. So maybe that's what I'm looking at. Anyway, Best Buy put in the phone business. It's been three-fourths of their profit. They've got, you know, they do sell other stuff. But a lot of that stuff, you know, makes money, but it doesn't make money. Money like that phone business does because they get a taste of that every single month after you buy the phone. And that's it. If phones sales start really knocking off this fall, especially for Apple or Samsung, which they have been down, I would say that maybe even that 62 will not hold. BLMN, which is Blooming Brands, looks like it's getting ready to come back and test. It's February 1st low. You had a little bounce today, a little better volume. You're back into that February 1st candle of two million shares. Not a bad-looking chart. You may want to keep an eye on this. You want it to test $18.18 on light volume. But one of the few really good-looking charts out there that could be making a bottom Brady Corporation unknown if everybody is shown in little boxes across the screen. Or if they have a maid. But certainly you had, on February 21st, $48.40 with 640,000 shares with 164,000 shares on Friday. You got 81,000 shares now. Energy is just very, very light for that March 21st, high and higher. DSIG. Let's look at this one. I guess not. Okay. Cadence Corporation. CADE, a light volume test of the March 19th eye. CADE is the symbol $20.73 on that March 19th eye. 1.8 million shares. Got into it with 1.25 million shares on Friday. Today peaked just a little bit above it and pulled back down below. Volume though is still light under 300,000 shares so far. CBS hitting a little high of February 25th. It's $51.75, excuse me. 4.3 million shares. Last three days, 2.6 million shares. Friday, 2.5 million shares. Today, 1 million shares as you go back up there. Energy about the same on the way up and the same on the way down. Generally, a tie goes to the runner, which is a bull, almost always, so probably going to at least go above the previous tie. Career education company been watching this go into its big February 21st spike. Got to $17.72 with 1.6 million shares. Got into it on Friday with 652,000 shares. Today, 182,000 shares. Super, super light. What are we doing here? Got another two minutes in this segment. CoreLogic been banging against this $41 range for a while now. Depending on what you're looking for, you need to see something like about 900,000 shares. We got 450,000 so far today. But you're coming back into down days that had 1.7 million shares and 600,000 shares. But that gap, going back to October 25th, is going to be the real resistance for this stock. What else do we have? COG. Take a look at that one. Cabot, oil, and gas. We've talked the last couple of days about how it certainly looked to me that energy was topping out. When I looked earlier at crude, it was being crude, and it was down 52 cents, 63.37. I think it slowly kind of pulls back to the $55 area. It certainly acts like, at least for the moment, that higher prices are not going to be there, even if I'm wrong on lower ones. Cabot, oil, and gas. Going into the November 14th high. That's $27.32. 12.4 million shares. Got into it with 4.4 million shares on Friday. Today, you went and hit just a slightly higher high of 27.65. Closed back below it with 2 million shares. CRI, which is carters. As we talked about, they're carter little pills last week. They continue to see them test a 4 million share high with a fairly light volume. On Friday, 163,000 shares today, 332,000 so far. We'll be back. The investment is anywhere from 30,000 to 75,000. The interest paid is 7% yearly paid on a monthly basis. According to bankrate.com, the best rate for a four-year CD in the country as of February 20th is 3.1%. A $50,000 investment at a normal four-year CD rate of 3.1% would give you income of $1,550 per year, or $6,200 over the four-year period. That same $50,000 investment in the Tiger First mortgage program would give you $3,500 per year, or $14,000 over the four years. Which would you prefer? $6,200 or $14,000 of interest on your investment? If you'd like more information about the Tiger First mortgage program, you can call me at 877-518-9190. That's 877-518-9190. If you haven't checked out the newsletters page of TFNN.com, what are you waiting for? All of the TFNN newsletters are informative, up-to-date, affordable, and a must-have for every trader looking to gain a competitive informational edge in today's markets. TFNN newsletters cover every aspect of the markets to offer you the very latest in market news. 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To obtain a fund's prospectus and summary prospectus call 866-476-7523 or visit Direction Investments.com. A fund's prospectus and summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing. An investment in the fund is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal. The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor, Four Side Fund Services, LLC. We're back on the air. I was distracted during the break and watching the Notre Dame Cathedral burn. Bad, bad, bad. And of course, glad I'm not there because I'd have to play the ugly American and hand out Oscar Meyer hot dogs. Just to turn lemons into lemonade. I'm sure they're not happy about that at all. I'm sure there's a lot of art that has been left. So what else do we have? We're going to look at some more. As we said, we looked at Carter up on a tenth of the volume. That one's extremely dangerous. C-W-E-N and not much in that one and marshmallows. Okay, we're going to be very ugly Americans. We're going to go out there and get a little chocolate, a little Swiss chocolate. Have some more over there. C-Y-C-C, yep. You had a lot of volume. That's a penny stock. I might have spent a lot of time on it. D-C-I, which is Donaldson Company going through. It's a recent high of February 25th. $52.67 with 570,000 shares. Got into it with two or three hundred and about 300,000 shares on the eighth and then the fifth. Pulled all the way back down to March 25th to 4717. Went up to those highs on the fourth and the fifth. Pulled back a little bit. We're back up again. Friday, 166,000 shares today, just 73,000 shares. So extremely, extremely light volume. I did not look and see where earnings are coming up on this one, but this one is so light. June 5th, so you got a while. That would be very interesting. I'm going to keep that on my list. D-K, which isn't around. Delik, what else do we have? Enter, Teregris ENTG's assemble on this one. 7.7 million shares at $40.36. That was on February 26th. Friday, we get into it with 2.4 million shares. Today, just 710,000 shares. And this is where the market's brittle and you've really got to watch for brittle markets because the risk reward doesn't seem bad at the time. You don't want to be short of them, but this is also where we see a lot of times that the markets make unexpected or get unexpected news and want you bad and make the rest of your year one of catching up instead of making a lot of money. March 1st in Eaton Vance, we saw $42.66 with 1.25 million shares. Spike that with 900,000 shares on Friday and then instantly returned lower today. I think they're kind of a mall store, mostly in the north. FAS, which is the financial ETF, hit the November 8th high, the December 3rd high. Those are both in the low 65s. Hit it on March 19th when above it, closed right back below it. You gapped up on it on Friday. I think a lot of people front running the earnings of the financials. It's pulled back a little. You had 2.8, 2.9 million shares, so you actually had the volume to hold it up that it is down today on 1 million shares, which is kind of interesting. The history has been these sectors and the individual stocks getting up to their eyes and probably 2 out of 10 breaking out, the rest pulling back into the trading range. Flagstar Bank Corp, FBC, this is the 3556 high of July 24th, got to 3579 on Friday, spiked it with just 222,000 shares compared to that 1.6 million shares back on July 24th of last year. You can give me call at 877-927-6648. You can email me at path at tfnn.com and of course you can always put a message in the den. Okay. National Beverage Company, FIZZ. This one actually looks very, very interesting. We need another two bucks to get to the absolute low, but it gap down on March 8th to $50.53 with 5.4 million shares. Friday just 348,000 shares. Today just 217,000 shares. Again, you want it to probably pierce that $50.53 even if it's for a moment on the kind of volume that we have now and you have a very, very high risk reward stock in the fact that you put your stop in just underneath it. If it goes below, closes back above, it should not if it's going higher close back below that once again. So that's a very nice setup there for the low. Back to testing highs on light volume. FlowServe going into its February 20th high, $48.38 that day with 2.3 million shares. Energy from the March 8th low at $41.98 has been tepid at best. 2.3 million shares was tested on Friday with 448,000 shares. Today you've got 441,000 shares with a little pullback and at the moment you are not going to close below that previous high. If you do at the end of the day, FlowServe has made a fairly decent signal that it would probably be bouncing around in this creating range back to that March 8th low at $41.98, which is a nice range on that. GNRC, which is a stock that you should be making yourself very readily knowledgeable about. We talked about this one two years ago and one year ago. If there's a hurricane, these guys make the generators. They have a bunch of them sitting in stock. If a natural disaster happens, these guys cash in big. Did a little bit better. They didn't pull back as far as they have in past years because of all the fires in California and a lot of sales in that area, at least in the United States. What we do have is a couple of highs, one with 500,000 shares, one with 1,600,000 shares in this high 54 range that was tested with 168,000 shares on Friday. This is not one you should probably hold, but if you're always watching the weather and you see a hurricane on its way, generally you may just break even, but if you do this right, these things, you know, it's not beyond the scope of this move in 20 bucks higher on a hurricane and we're almost there in hurricane season down here in Florida. Oh, we're going to break and we'll be back shortly and we'll look at some more stocks. We've got plenty of stuff to look at. I'm Steve Rhodes, author of Mastering Probability and for the last 12 months, Timer Digest has been tracking my newsletter signals which have earned me the ranking as their number one market timer in the nation for the S&P 500 for the last 12, 6 and 3 months. Timer Digest also ranks me as the number one market timer for gold as well. The fact is markets can be timed and I'll teach you the exact set of tools that I use that has transformed me into one of the best at what I do. Sign up for Mastering Probability today by clicking on the newsletter tab on the homepage of TFNN.com and get immediate access to workshops where I take you step by step how to use an extraordinary set of tools as well as provide great market calls too. Sign up today. David White's newsletter, The Technology Insider is focused like a laser on finding the next big things in technology. 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Get your two-week free trial to Basil's newsletter of the opening call today by visiting TFNN.com. Let's check the markets. The Tom O'Brien Show, next on TFNN. And rough three on the S&P cash, 32 on the down. Well, let me update that. I'm always afraid that... I guess it is updated. Minus 12 on the NASDAQ Russell Loft 7. Again, volume very light. Probably going to be light all the way into Thursday. Of course, the market's closed on Friday. You might have a little extra volume on Wednesday. And that is probably the day that a lot of people will consider the last trading day of the week if they're big street names. On Thursday, they'll probably be thinking about a way either to leave Wednesday night or leave Thursday at noon as they go into a three-day weekend. And that's about it. You're going to have light volume now when we come back that Monday. The character of the market, if not the direction, has a big tendency to change over three-day weekends. The summer ones seem to be the biggest, but even ones like coming up for Easter are too. So you want to watch that, especially when we have such... As I'm calling it, a brittle market. That is one that is easily snapped if dropped or shattered if dropped. And that very light volume does two things. It generally runs shorts out by going up slowly until they just give up and they don't want to be short into a three-day weekend. But with a very light volume we have here, there isn't a lot to actually squeeze them with. They will probably still get out, but there's no stampede, which is what you're looking for if you want to sell the top tick into going into one of these longer weekends. Anyway, we've got more earnings in the morning. We'll be talking about that in the four o'clock. Our Tom O'Brien's show that I'll be doing in for him today. And then we'll be talking about a lot of other things too and some of the earnings after the bell of the night, like JB Hunt and other things going on. In the meantime, sell when you can, not when you have to. And we will see you here tomorrow at the same time. Same bat channel, same bat time.