 Hey everyone, what's going on? I am Greg Sussman, joined today by Gabe Marenti, who's got his six best bets from this weekend. And in fact, there's a ton for this Saturday. That's when football kicks off here in week number 16. And the early games between the Texans and the Buccaneers, Gabe, are you with or against Bill O'Brien? Well, I'll tell you what, don't look now, Greg, but the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are riding their longest win streak in four years. That's right, they haven't won four football games in a row, going back all the way to 2016. They're gunning for their fifth straight win. You know, Tampa, hard to believe, they're seven and seven straight up right now. They've done a great job hanging in there. I actually thought the Bucs were somewhat of a sleeper team coming into the season this year. I love the coaching staff that they have with Arians, with Lefwich, with Bulls. They have a lot of talent on this football team, but they got dealt a horrible hand and they had a brutal schedule. They didn't play a home game for like two months, but here they are right now with a seven and seven record. James Winston. I think James Winston has done enough to warrant a contract extension. Not a four or five year crazy deal, but a couple of tack on a couple of more years here, but hey, James Winston might have a little leverage right now considering he's the first quarterback in NFL history, that's right. First quarterback in NFL history to throw for 450 or more yards in consecutive games. All right, that's all nice, right? But if ends and puts were candies and nuts, we'd all have a merry Christmas. Are we gonna have a merry Christmas? Well, we better pick some winners. All right, our Tampa gonna cover the number here. I say they can. Listen, Houston Texans are capable of beating anybody in a national football league. They're also capable of losing to anybody in a national football league. And I don't think it really matters how important this game is to Houston. They're not really gonna change who they are, they are who they are. And quite frankly, there's a lot more pressure on the Houston Texans than there is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Buccaneers are playing with house money right now. I'd like it better if Chris Godwin wasn't hurt, all right? Evans has already been out. Losing Godwin doesn't help right now. But I don't really think it matters. I think it's more of a system. I think they're still gonna be able to move the football. And I don't think there's any pressure on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this spot. The Texans have struggled against NFC teams, all right? Two and six against the spread the last eight times. They played against an NFC team. And here's a nice little nugget as far as Bruce Arians is concerned. Nine and one guys in his career as an home underdog against non-division opponents. We have an out-of-conference opponent rolling in here. I think the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is gonna hang around in a high-scoring football game. It wouldn't surprise me if they won this game outright. And let's keep it simple, stupid. The Buccaneers have been a live team to bet the over on, all right? 11 to 14 games have gone over the number. I think the number's a little low here. And it's a little insurance as well because if the Bucs don't get it done and the Bucs don't cover, I think it's just because DeShaw Watson and the Texans go off and the game sails over the number. Give me the Tampa Bay Buccaneers plus the points and the over in the first game on Saturday afternoon. It's amazing, James Winston, how inconsistent he's been from a fantasy perspective, but over 450 yards as Gabe has said, back-to-back games. James Winston's been fantastic for us going over that number, also betting against Bill O'Brien, they've surpassed him of ours. And you know what, just to add on to this, not just two and six against the spread, the last eight actually, but the last 13 times the Texans have gone on the road to play against an NFC team, they've only won once outright. One and 12 straight up. Those are not numbers that I want to stuff my stocking with. Give me the Buccaneers, the Pirate Shipper. Next game up on Saturday, the next game up that we're talking about is the Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots. A weird spot for the Bills because if they win, they set themselves up to play the Patriots in the first round of the playoffs. If they lose, they set themselves up to play Bill O'Brien's Houston Texans, guaranteed to be at 430 on Saturday, the first weekend of the playoffs. Gabe, what does this do to where you're thinking about the spread? Well, first things first, we have to recognize the fact that the Buffalo Bills, you guys believe this guys, in the last 16 years, right? Not 16 games, the last 16 years, the Bills have beaten the Patriots three times. Three times, 29 and three, 29 and three. And here I am thinking to myself, the Buffalo Bills are gonna beat the New England Patriots in Foxboro and cause all kinds of chaos going into the final week of the regular season. Remember a couple of years ago, the Buffalo Bills got into the playoffs because Andy Dalton and the Cincinnati Bengals upset the Baltimore Ravens. Well, fast forward a couple of years, they don't need Andy Dalton to upset anybody right now. The Buffalo Bills have already cashed their ticket into the playoffs. I think they're playing with house money right now. And one of these times, they're gonna get to Tom Brady and the Patriots. How about Tom Brady and the Patriots offense right now? Brady's really been struggling. And there was a video out there earlier this week of Brady's elbow. You're sort of snapping his elbow after every throw in practice. Something's not right there. Patriots are banged up. Tom Brady's got a QBR rating of like 40 or less in four straight games, five straight, never happened to him before. Now I get it. The Patriots have owned the Buffalo Bills, they have. But they played earlier this year and what happened was 16-10. The Buffalo Bills were a little bit, they were a little sloppy early in the football game. Josh Allen is not a great first quarter quarterback. He gets better as the game goes on. And Josh Allen's gotten better as the season has gone on. He's a better quarterback now than he was even when they played against the New England Patriots earlier in the year. But if you guys recall, it was a 16-10 game. The Bills were moving to football and surprising. The Patriots cheap shot it. Josh Allen knocked them out of the game. Matt Barkley continued, took the Bills to the goal line actually and it was like a freak interception. The Bills nearly knocked them off earlier this year. All right, now one thing about the Buffalo Bills, they have the best record against the spread of the National Football League this year, all right? They're nine, four and one against the spread. They've been freaking money. They're also money as underdogs and they have been money as underdogs over the years as well. If you look at this Bills football team, nine, four and one against the spread as a whole, seven and two against the spread the last nine times, they've gotten points. Now the Patriots defense is awesome, but their offense has struggled. I don't think there's gonna be a lot of points in this game and I legitimately believe that the Buffalo Bills can win this game. They've gotten better every week. They need a lot of things to happen. They need to beat the Patriots and then they would need to beat the Jets and they need the Patriots to lose to the Dolphins next week. And then suddenly the Buffalo Bills would have a buy in the postseason. How crazy is that? That's where we're at right now. This is gonna be an old school Smashbell football game. Patriots only given up 12.9 points per game. And really, 12.9 points per game in the National Football League? The Buffalo Bills are only giving up 15.9 points per game. These two teams played earlier this year. They combined for 26 points. I think we have a similar style football game, but this time the Buffalo Bills end up on top. The Patriots are going down, Gary. The Patriots are going down. Buffalo is gonna cover this number in a low scoring game. It's gonna go under the number. Just as Tampa is a dead nut over team, Buffalo 11 and three to the under on a year. And how about this with the Patriots? 17 of their last 22 regular season games have gone under the number. It's a low number, but it's gonna stay under this number. Give me the Buffalo Bills and the under in this game. There you have it, going to the under. As Gabe said a few moments ago, the two teams combined for 26 points last time out. Their averages right now is 27 points. That means this game is going under and, you know, it's Gabe. He's taking the Bills this week against the New England Patriots Saturday afternoon. Let's move on though, Gabe, to Saturday night where another one of your best bets lies. It's the Rams and the Niners. Niners lost the Falcons last week. Rams got stopped by Dallas. Two teams coming off losses. Rams, they're not headed to the playoffs this year. The San Francisco 49ers are. And yet here you are liking Sean McVeigh and the Rams. How come? Well, unless you're able to see in the future, Greg, the Rams aren't dead yet. Not dead yet. The Rams need to win both their final two football games. This game against the 49ers. And then against the Arizona Cardinals, which is a very winnable game for them. And they need the Minnesota Vikings to lose both their games. Minnesota's playing at home, though, the final two weeks of the regular season. They get, of course, Green Bay on Monday night, which, hey, anything can happen. And then they play the Chicago Bears next week, in which, hey, the Bears aren't going to roll over for a division rival in the Minnesota Vikings. But yeah, Greg, the Rams have put themselves into a corner right now. Hey, listen, I was wrong last week. I apologize. It was a bad pick taking the Rams against the Dallas Cowboys. But you know what's crazy? I always talk about this, Greg, perception and reality. Now, the perception is that the Rams aren't very good this year. The perception is that Jared Goff blows. The perception is that their playoff chances are all, you know, are finished already. All of which are not true. You know what is true? The Los Angeles Rams are nine and five against the spread this year. That's what's true. You know what? Did I miss the playoffs? I'm not getting a playoff bonus anyways. All I care about is whether they're covering numbers. And you know, you're wondering, hey man, you take the Rams all the time. Yeah, they're nine and five against the spread. Similar situation to somebody's other games in which, you know, the Rams are kinda, you know, they know they don't control their own destiny right now. All they can do is go out, try to win a football game on Saturday, then watch Monday Night Football. The San Francisco 49ers, you know, the caller has to be tightening right now. They know the heat is starting to, you know, to intensify. They found themselves to look like they were running away with everything. They were gonna be the team to beat in the NFC. They were gonna get home field. Suddenly they've lost three football games. And after last week's game against Atlanta, I think their confidence is a little bit shaken right now. And quite frankly, Shanahan doesn't cover against the vision opponents. It's two, seven and one the last 10 times. Now the Rams are really good at bouncing back, all right? They're really good at bouncing back off a loss. Five and one against the spread off of a loss. Five and one against the spread last six division games, albeit the one they didn't cover was earlier this year against this Niners team. Also a number that I came across that I like. The Rams are four, oh, and one against the spread when they give up 30 or more points. The Rams don't often lose two games in a row. They're a good bounce back team. It's a division game. And quite frankly, I think San Francisco are a little bit overvalued. Just a little bit overpriced. I think they're a damn good football team. I think the Niners are in the mix to go to the Super Bowl. But it doesn't mean I want to be laying six and a half points with them here. Give me the Rams to cover again. The nine and five ATS Rams. Forget about the playoffs. What do the playoffs do for you? Covering numbers does something for you. And the Rams will cover this number. As Gabe said, it's perception versus reality. Perception is the Rams stink. Reality, nine and five against the spread. They don't have to win this game against the Niners. They just have to be in it. Six and a half points to a struggling Niners team. It's a lot of points. Gabe likes the Rams and so do I. One final game to get to here, Gabe. It's the New York Giants taking on the Washington football team. It's a battle for Chase Young. Neither team wants to win, or other organization wants to win. Because the loser most likely gets Chase Young in the number two overall pick. So how do you break this whole thing down? You gotta love the dynamic, don't you, of the last couple of weeks at a national football league. You know, teams want a tank? Sure. The players on the field don't want a tank. And it's an interesting situation with the New York Giants. I think Schermer's trying to get as many wins as he possibly can. Just so his record looks better than it actually is. And he's able to keep his job. I don't think he should keep his job either way. Even if they won this football game. And I just want to throw out there. I'm a big Daniel Jones backer. All right, I like the kid a lot. I think he's got a great future ahead of him. Without being stated, I'd be playing Eli Manning for the rest of the year right now. Eli deserves this right now. And I don't think it would hurt Daniel Jones to watch from the sidelines. We've seen a lot of young quarterbacks. You know, Josh Allen was a great example of that. Josh Allen wasn't doing great as a rookie. He got hurt when he came back. It was almost like it was his second year. Last year, Sam Darnold, similar situation. I don't really think he was hurt, but they wanted him to, you know, just sort of, you're hurt, kid. You're hurt right now. I think it helped him. I think it could help Daniel Jones as well. Guys, I think the number is a little low in this football game. You know, if you look right now, Haskins has provided a little bit of a boost. This kid can throw the football, all right? Yeah, he's raw, but he's got a cannon for an arm. Even though he doesn't have many weapons to work with, the Redskins are routinely getting into the 20s right now with Haskins. This total is too low. Both these teams have been cashing numbers to the over, two and one to the over. Both these teams in their last three football games, we saw the Giants offense come alive last week against Miami. And the good thing about Daniel Jones on the field is, he's either gonna be productive or he'll turn the ball over. And it's true, he'll fumble it, he'll throw an interception or he's gonna throw a touchdown pass. So there's just, there's a lot of, you have a lot of chances to put points up on the board. The Giants defense is still bad guys, all right? And I think the Redskins are gonna come to play here. Haskins made his NFL debut earlier this year against the Giants coming off the bench. They lost 24-3, that was the September 29th game that the Giants hadn't won a football game since until. So I think there's a little, I think the Redskins are gonna be coming to play in this game. I think there's gonna be points put up on the board in this game and 41 and a half is just far too low. I think both teams are gonna get into the 20s and we'll have a comfortable win to the over between the Skins and the Giants, Greg. You said Pat Sherver, even if he wins, should be fired as a coach to the New York Giants. If he wins, you better believe he's gonna be fired. He just lost Chase Young. Are you kidding me? He's in a can't win situation in other words. Literally, you cannot win this game. He loses? Hey, you're a crappy coach. Right. He wins. Yeah, thanks for costing us the next Lord's Taylor, maybe. Exactly, he cannot win this game. You're right, Daniel Jones, he looks good. Dwayne Haskins, he's looked better as a late as well. Neither of these defenses are very good. You gotta believe this game is going over the number. Saquon Barkley had his best game of his career last year against the Washington Redskins. Didn't play earlier this year in that game, but he lit him up for a buck 70 last year. Take a look at some Saquon props. He's just healthy as he's been right now. I think Saquon closes the season strong. That's gonna do it for us here on the Fan Del Harriam. Those are games, six best bets of the weekend. Almost all of them coming on Saturday, so you gotta be watching all three games live this weekend. For Gamerency, I am Greg Salsman. Thanks so much for watching. Enjoy the games, and we'll see you back here on Monday for the final Monday Night Football Game of the season between the Vikings and the Packers.