 This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network week three the NFL was kind of a bummer in that it involved a lot of injuries and ideally you get to wash your mouth out with a good Monday night football game but tonight we get the Cowboys and the Giants not exactly the most since Lady matchup but hey there is still money to be won they're actually some props I like for tonight let's dive on in and get you set for Monday night football from a betting perspective between the Cowboys and the Giants this is covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network and number fire calm my name is Jim Saunders I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm joined here as I am each Monday by Ryan Williams checking out on Twitter at Ryan Alexander underscore W Ryan you were at the Bears game yesterday you talked about the Bears money line you're uncovering the spread last week they may just sweat a bit though but you got the win how you doing today yeah wins a win Jim we're doing we're doing all right it was a very solemn exit for the fans there at Soldier Field you know lots of things to work out but definitely loved the way the defense played the defense is actually you know outside of the Green Bay game which you're traveling the Lambo you know what you're gonna get right with these two teams but the defense is look really good to start the year absolutely love the rookie Jaquan brisker who's been everywhere on every play looks like a great pick for for the new regime so you know we're just taking it one game at a time it'll be interesting because we're actually playing in New York next week so we'll get to do some scouting against the Giants tonight as they take on the Dallas Cowboys love it advanced scouting love to hear it I think that'll be a good angle for tonight to get on that also like I think Jaquan brisker stuff is is nice confirmation that paying attention to things during preseason like training camp like what beat reporters say can actually have some value at times not just in terms of like you can get a lot of signals for player props on that too but also it's kind of a sense of okay like this guy might actually be okay maybe this unit will outperform expectations stuff like that like it's too soon to say like the bearer's defense to be better than expectations but like that stuff seems legit on him so paying attention during camp is always being pretty valuable we're gonna break down this Giants versus Cowboys game may prop betting perspective and much more in just one second the first a reminder to make sure you are subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast we are here every weekday Monday through Friday talking player props talking regular betting college football coming up on Wednesday as well all that right here on the covering the spread podcast be get that wherever you get your podcast and up on the Fandall YouTube page as well twisted T and Fandall have joined forces to bring you a one of a kind contest series it gives you a chance to compete for your share of thousands of dollars in site credit introducing twisted T's college football picks a sports betting focused contest series that's entirely free to play the contest is simple each college football game will be assigned money line spread in total markets with assigned points each market I do is make six selections based on those three markets and earn points for each correct selection you made if at the end of the day your score ranks among the best in the contest you'll be eligible for your share of site credit head to Fandall dot com slash twisted T picks and make your picks reminder please drink response begin the URL there Fandall dot com slash twisted T picks let's dig into this Monday football game here with the Cowboys at the Giants right now the Giants one point favorites total 39 and a half we're talking about those two markets though Ryan we're talking about this game overall because it's tough for me to get a read on either team right now I have very low expectations of the Cowboys without Dak Prescott but they did play well last week getting Michael Gallup back for tonight I think that should be a good boon as well but also it's still hard to get jazzed about a Cooper rush lead team on the opposing side the Giants 2 and 0 but a lot of injuries heading into this game so what's your overall read on Cowboys versus Giants yeah we're gonna have to look at the under here Jim at 39 and a half these prime time games I believe if my numbers are correct six and three in prime time to start the season here towards the under and the under has been something that's been talked about in the betting community you know to start off this season and we saw it come to fruition again in week three with a massive amount of undershitting and what we expected on paper to be you know explosive matchups and so you're looking at this team with with Cooper rush and you're looking at Daniel first of all the Dallas Cowboys against this New York Giants team nine and nine out of the last 10 have been wins and the only loss has been a game that Dak Prescott didn't play in now that was the Ben DiNucci game I think that was the Andy Dalton game oh okay dang yeah that's not as far back Ben DiNucci game will live on an infamy absolutely yeah so I mean but regardless you know you like what Cooper rush was showing you last week as far as you know just trying to be official with the football not turn it over getting Zeke and Pollard involved so I think we'll talk about you know some key ways on both of these teams to win but right now you know with the movement here this was a line that opened up at four in the Dallas Cowboys favor when things we're you know we're thinking when we were thinking that that's Dak Prescott was going to be at the helm now it's Giants minus one it's pretty much a pick them here this is going to be an ugly game I don't know if I have a lean on who can pull this out because the Giants have each two victories out I feel like to start the year but the under is really screaming at me under 39 and a half yeah I think that for me this is a tough one to get it super jazz about the traditional markets here I did bet the Giants moneyline earlier on this week I regret that now because I didn't think Leonard Williams is going to sit and the fact that he's not playing bothers me a lot so I got that at minus 110 it's still there right now so it's not going to like go down as like a movement against me kind of bet and it wasn't like an official like thing we talked about here in the show but like I did take that and I kind of wish I hadn't just because of specifically the Leonard Williams thing I assume that they wouldn't have Wondale or Cadarius Tony like that that was baked in but the Leonard Williams stuff does bother me because he's he's an impact kind of guy especially against a banged up Cowboys offensive line so I've got this as the Giants by 1.31 points no value there no value in the money line right now after accounting for the Williams injury so to me the traditional markets are kind of a stay away but we got a lot of props to discuss let's start things off here by talking about this Cowboys passing game Michael Gallop expected to be back here likely on a pitch count we saw last week Cooper Rush funneling work towards Noah Brown in the CD lamb and you know that's kind of all you can ask of the guy like if you're going to be a back of quarterback at least put the ball in your playmakers hands I realize I'm saying that about Noah Brown right now but like whatever I mean it's probably better than what else the Cowboys have out there at this point so they get Michael Gallop back are you looking to fade this Cowboys passing game as a result of Gallop's return adding another mouth to feed in there or what's your view of this one buying to Cooper Rush what do you think about the Cowboys passing game here yeah I'm not really sold on anybody in the passing game I think Noah Brown and I apologize because I don't have the prop of in front of me I think I closed the tab Jim but uh Noah Brown Noah Brown 37 37 and a half right now 37 and a half so I'd be interested in that because yes like you said Gallop being on a pitch count we know that Dalton Schultz is banged up as well and I mean the Giants for all intents purposes like the the one thing that they have to try and do is contain CD lamb here who's been the alpha in this offense seeing about a 37 target share there but Noah Brown you know compared to last week he he had his target share jump up there and we always see this with the backup quarterback they have their favorite target that they've been working with in the offseason preseason training camp things that nature this might be Noah Brown for for Cooper Rush so I do like getting over that number compared to what CD lamb was which the last time I checked was it like 75 and a half or seventy seven and a half somewhere around there yeah I think that for me I'm just gonna stay away from this one the passing game is just it's muddy I know the Gallops I respect Gallops talent a lot his prop is 26 and a half that also seems a bit high for him right now so staying away there and part of the reason why I can resist the passing game and not feel any FOMO is because I actually think that there's a lot of value in the rushing props here so let's take a look at the backfields here they're always pretty interesting we see a lot of talk about Tony Pollard always never really gets a ton of use but did pop off last week um any running back centric market standing out to you right now at Fandall Sportsbook yeah let's look at Tony Pollard here Jim because Tony Pollard you know with his numbers coming in uh over 37 and a half I believe for the rushing yards he's 18 and a half for the receiving yards of course we don't have Fandall listing him for his rushing and receiving prop yet because that was the first thing I looked for this guy's involved I mean Zeke is only seeing around you know 57 percent 55 percent of the running back touches and Pollard has been involved uh early and often in these matchups now I will say that this is a long shot and I don't want to you know I I like it and I'm just interested in now I'm gonna take a shot on it I believe Tony Pollard is like 240 or 250 to score first half touchdown I do like his anytime touchdown prop as well but I think the first half touchdown is interesting because of how Dallas has chose to attack this team in the past Zeke has had great numbers over over the past couple years against this team like regardless I believe he has five touchdowns in the past six games we've seen some 100 yard games from him but if he is hitting that plateau early and if they are able to somewhat contain him you talked about Leonard Williams being out like Tony Pollard could be that guy to just establish things early for this team so I think it's an interesting bet to get on him early get the Dallas Cowboys out to an early lead if uh you have any leans on that yeah so I think that that's interesting because like you're talking about Pollard's usage I'm talking about it also in a in a different way because I like the underrun Zeke's rushing plus receiving mark it is 72 and a half yeah that's how did it get that high I know again I respect Leonard Williams I am I think it's impactful that he is out from out for this game but that is a really big number part of it I mean like in the first two games this year Zeke has had 49 rushing plus receiving yards in both those games part of that's because he lost yardage on two receptions so like in theory he should have had more but going up against the Giants I don't necessarily think this is a situation where you expect him to go bananas like you'd have I'd need them to be like six point favorites to feel really good about this number looking back at I mean last year before Zeke got hurt before he had that knee injury he was in the over on this number pretty consistently his knee injury occurred I believe in like week six or so he had his rushing totals before then were 110 143 95 71 but he went over with the receiving there so like he was he was playing really well what we've seen so far this year though is they're not really leaning on him all that much he's averaged 12 and a half carriers per game he's had two targets per game and not a lot of juice within those targets so I feel like under 72 and a half is a way to go on the rushing plus receiving mark for a Zeke and I'm taking the receiving into account here because I just he hasn't been super involved in the passing game thus far snap rate did increase last week because Jerry Jones has said that they do want to lean more on Zeke with that press copying out but now Conor McGovern not going to play in this game that at least helps partly nullify the Leonard Williams injury so I think that the Zeke under here is super attractive 72 and a half what's your read on that one yeah I do like it I am interested in Zeke you know just as the any time score there I believe he's at around 150 which seems reasonable you know you're just hoping that he can still maintain some goal line work I think the big thing for Zeke is are we going to see him involved in this passing game because he has gotten some targets in these matchups in the past couple times now again we're talking about a deck press got led offense which is totally different than a Cooper rush led offense but I do think Dallas tries to establish the run for whatever that's worth Zeke's prop I believe is that 57 and a half for rushing and I feel a lot more comfortable taking that just knowing that Tony Pollard's back there and is the better receiving back for whatever that's worth so you know it's one of those things where like you kind of need like you not only need this game to be close you need Dallas to kind of you know be establishing the run with with a lead so to speak and then not too big of a lead because if they do come in here have a big lead we could just expect Pollard to just be the one to write it out like so it does make me worrisome to even look at look at his props but I think he's you know in a favorable enough matchup to where I would take his rushing and probably his scoring too as they get in the red zone now I am looking at the under so you know trying to not tap trying not to have too many anytime touchdown props yeah yeah to go along with it but I will say Jim that in going back to Tony Pollard his first half touchdown prop is plus 500 I was looking at Saquon there at the 240 you misread the numbers so plus five hundred five to one I think I have to take a chance on that because they could do some some interesting things with uh Kellan Moore and Ko as they get down in the red zone and they did get involved in the first half last week so like I think that is yeah he had the first touchdown of the game yeah it was a really sick reception and he had like a long touchdown I think it was a reception but like it was a long touchdown and he he looked really good there so his snap rate was down but I still think that this is a good spot for Pollard so I'd agree that's a pretty fun one did we talk about Saquon quickly because when I first saw his rushing plus receiving number at 107.5 I was like oh man under and then I dug into it I was like oh no don't do that so I have not taken it I'm glad I didn't that would have been similar to the Giants money line would have been like I regret that but looking at the the first two games Saquon 18 18 and 21 carries but more importantly for this number he's had seven and four targets that is how you get to an over of a high number very quickly now I'm not taking the over I want to make that very clear but I talked myself out of what seemed to be an automatic under earlier on so for me I think the Saquon props are probably going to wind up being stayaways from me but I'm glad that I dug into it more before betting that because one of seven point five seems really high any read for you on any Saquon props here yeah so I actually like the Dallas defense tonight Jim I think that they you know do do a lot of things well that the Giants will not be able to contain first of all with the past rush yes they're getting high pressure rates and this that this Giants offensive line has not been able to do Daniel Jones any favors there so maybe we try and see him rush out of the pocket we have seen some big rushing totals from Daniel Jones on primetime games now to say all that I mean it's it's just like kind of what we talked about with Austin Echler a couple weeks ago I mean this guy has the chance to kind of hit that number any time that he's on the field and especially when you're talking about the injuries to the wide receiver group like what's to say that if they're getting pressure very quickly there's not just dump offs coming to Saquon Barkley when he can actually you know really you know obliterate this line they have in the past I will say that this Dallas defense has done a good job in order to contain Saquon Barkley over the past couple years he has been banged up but I do want to look at his receiving prop if I'm going to look at anything just because that number is so high at 107 and a half I'm just thinking of ways that he can you know maybe get to that number but if he misses it you know on the rushing yards because he's only rushing for you know let's say 30 or 40 but he's able to get you know a big 40 yard catch right you know get quick dump offs I think he can hit that receiving prop very easily in this matchup. Another reason you could hit that receiving prop is because their pass catchers are banged up and I want to keep that as our transition into the other Monday football props to consider because I got a couple of any time touchdown props that I want to run by you both these are related to the Kaderious Tony and Walendale Roberts and injuries because last week with those guys either out or limited Sean Shepherd had 10 targets so in shepherd is plus 290 for any time touchdown I find that intriguing also intriguing looking back at last week so the giants of Daniel Bellinger rookie tight end who has been starting with the first team and you know working quite a bit however last week some guy named Tanner Hudson ran more routes than Daniel Bellinger 17 routes to Bellinger is 13 if you have ever played preseason DFS I think you may have I can't recall you probably know Tanner Hudson his name Tanner Hudson but he can catch he can yeah he can play man he can play and he comes over to the Giants suddenly 17 routes last week he got three targets got 22 yards he is anytime touchdown prop is 11 to 1 I'm not opposed Ryan not opposed so to me I think those are my favorite two anytime touchdown props I actually Hudson at plus 950 because I'm in Rhode Island and I'd have to bop or domestic to get 11 to 1 I think plus 950 is actually fine too so I don't like Tanner Hudson quite a bit at 11 to 1 and I like Shep at 290 any read for you on the anytime touchdown probably gets outside of the one we discussed with Pollard yeah that's an interesting one with Tanner Hudson of course you know I had to go down and scroll you know what is he to be a first touchdown score Jim you know we're getting really dicey with it you know let's sprinkle just just a couple bucks on him at 37 to 1 to be the first touchdown score we talk about it all the time with the quarterbacks and tight ends like just getting just getting interesting you know prop bets on them because they tend to be the ones to kind of score out and they're always the ones that people are surprised by oh man how did you know I didn't see this touchdown going to that helps nobody and it's like it helps me yeah everybody has Daniel Bellinger but up no I even 11 to 1 anytime touchdown I think is great just because so much of the so much of the flock will be going to Daniel Bellinger with him just having already caught a touchdown in last week's game I absolutely love this the Sterling Shepherd call it was at 270 so it's being you know it's already pushed down to the 290 range that's incredible when you're looking at him second in the team and red zone targets so he's definitely involved and I mean he's he's the guy he's the only guy that's playing a 90% you know 90% route participant route participation wow yeah it's early Jim but you know you know what I'm trying to get to when you're looking at the other guys on this on this offense I mean they're just there you know even Sills I mean can we can we trust him who's the other receiver that I'm trying to think of but he you know these guys are just not as involved as Stirling Shepherd there so I do like that any time touchdown prop on him and then outside of that I mean it really gets it really gets pretty dicey like I said I'm gonna look at I'm gonna look at Zeke at plus 150 I mean Tony Pollard at plus 250 anytime I'm just gonna ride with that especially if I'm riding with the first half prop as well and just hope for you know not a lot of scoring because I got the under in this yeah I think that that's um I think I'm willing to go at some touchdown props here I'm not targeting the total at all but I think to me the reason I'm willing to go at some touchdown props despite it being a bad game and generally not being a touchdown friendly environment is that both these teams do operate a pretty fast fashion at least I believe the Cowboys are first in pace and the Giants are 10th according to Brandon Gadoula's numbers and number fire yeah it's a first for the first of the Cowboys 10th of the Giants so that'll help at least nullify a bit of the bad environment overall so that's why I'm okay going to touch some touchdown props despite the fact that we should expect longer numbers in these types of situations so I do like uh the shepherd one I think part of the reason I like the Hudson one is because if you compare into Bellinger who again he ran more routes than last week Bellinger is five to one for any time touchdown whereas Hudson is 11 to one I think that gap is far too large so I will take Hudson there any other bets you want to mention uh that's in up to you here Ryan are we all good yeah I think I think we're all good I just wanted to bring up just let's just look interestingly here um you know just because of the way that Daniel Dimes likes to play I'm going to get dicey too I think I'm going to put like a quarter unit on the Dallas defense to score a touchdown uh this is the defense that we know has been aggressive time and time again uh they get to him you know we're talking about a sack fumble maybe there's a return uh the secondary we know they like to ballhawk and take chances so maybe they take a pick six to the house it's it's 11 to one so yeah you'll like a little bit more favorable than that it is interesting that the giants have the same number as the Cowboys I think there's a lot more opportunities for Dallas to score than than a giant defense to score uh but I would be interested in in putting that prop on solo uh more in a long shot uh parlay if it convinces me I think that that is interesting and if you mentioned the key thing there it's the the Cowboys aggressiveness in the way Daniel Jones plays like bad pocket presence in a game where you're facing Micah Parsons I know he's like he's sick but he got in a limited practice on Saturday I get messed up with the days uh when it's on uh Monday but he did get a limited practice on Friday so he should be good to go or Saturday he should be good to go that's not a guy you want to have bad pocket presence against so I think 11 to one is is an interesting number there for sure so even though it's a it's a bad game overall still some pretty fun props available on the board for tonight that is all that we have here for today on covering the spread back again tomorrow that's take uh I'll take my first look at NFL week number four we'll also have pitching ninja on to talk some strikeout props that'll be a whole lot of fun but Ryan I got to say thank you to you first for swinging by and breaking down your thoughts on Monday night football good luck to you tonight we'll talk to you once again later on this week good luck to you as well too Jim we'll we'll keep an eye on Tanner Hudson for you um but uh yeah it's always fun talking shop with you and appreciate everybody tuning in to covering the spread yet again as we're having fun to start the season here yeah I'm gonna have my next gen stats module open whenever Tanner Hudson's on the field we're rooting for Giants touchdowns baby that's that's I want to see the special teams unit coming on the field next because that's an indicator that they scored so let's go Tanner Hudson baby that is all that we have here for today check out ryan on twitter at ryan alexander underscore w i am on twitter at jim sonnis you can also follow the fan dual podcast network at fan dual podcast big thank you to everyone for tuning in for today good luck to you with your bets for tonight we'll talk to you once again tomorrow take a quick look at nfl week number four this has been covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network