 The following is a presentation of TFNN, the morning market kickoff with your host, Tommy O'Brien. Good Monday morning everybody. I'm Tommy O'Brien, coming to you live from TFNN Monday morning, 8.30 AM, 60 minutes to go until that opening bell. And guess what folks, we got markets in higher territory, surprise, surprise, putting this on a 15 minute chart. Here's your acceleration on Friday. Today we got on Friday, right out of the opening bell, basically right 8.30 AM. We trade a bit higher, but check out that 10 AM bar from 31.26. You close out Friday action at about 31.80. We were just above 3200 on the S&P Futures at about 7 AM, backing off a bit still, relatively strong action across the board. Green paint, Sherwin Williams out there with that green paint this morning, flirting with about 3200 on the S&Ps and how about 11,000 in the NQs? We're right up to that level, 10,951. When you put this on a daily folks, I mean, look at that, we're not only clawed back all of the losses we had from COVID, we're now up 38% from that drop off folks. That is a full retracement. You just go from 66,44, we're going to be flirting with 11,000. But even if you had bought things, when we're talking about 9,700 remarkable action folks, when we're talking about 11,000 that we are flirting with on those numbers. In terms of what else we have going on, Dow Jones, that's the daily. I'm going to pull this off for a bit as you can see before we jump away. Really teetering right around, we'll zoom it in a bit just from the fall off of COVID, right? You go down to a low of 18,086, climb to a high of 27,624, we're about 1,500 points below that level. And we just kind of been teetering around that 618 level in terms of clawing back. We'll see where the Dow ends up, Dow been a little bit weak, Russell been weak as well. Check out that chart of the Russell, we're up at about 1715, sitting at about 1432. Putting this on a shorter timeframe to see the action this morning. Here's your end cues charging higher, Friday's action on the end cues, we were down as low as 10,625, we just rated it to 10,951. The Dow on Friday from 25,293 up almost 1,000 points to about 26,000 currently sitting 26,144. Jumping over to Crude, quite a day for Crude on Friday as well. We climbed to a high Friday afternoon of about $40.77, just about $40 right now at $40.03, looking at the gold contract, gold, up about $11 right now, $18.13, quite a week for gold last week, up to $18.2980, you want some context on gold. Let's take this bad boy out and look at this, right? We're talking about from a full decline to $14.52 on March 20th even, really the low back at about March 16th. Well we've gone from $14.50 and change call it up to about $18.29, and let's just take this off. Really you look, I mean talk about the acceleration just from June 5th, from $16.71 to $18.29, the price of gold, silver up $0.52, look at this action on silver. There's Friday's action continuing that game, $19.59, silverhead and notes and bonds, pretty muted action, little bit of a pullback from where we were on Friday. Right now you're seeing a yield of .658% ticking up a bit. We got to $139.22 on Friday, quite a price tag backing off a bit from those highs to $139.02 and for some context on those notes, we were up there at highs we hadn't seen going back. So this is a daily, you had to go back to March 9th folks, the high that we just made on Friday, $139.22, I believe we're above everything, yeah, $139.21 was the high from May 15th, $139.22 exactly was the high of April 21st, and to get that price tag, you got to go back all the way to March 9th, anywhere above there, but we're backing off a bit, but man, we've just been hovering around $139.00, $139.50, the 10-year just kind of comfortable at maybe between about 6 tenths and 7 tenths percent yielding, remarkable to say that the 10-year yield might be comfortable at a range between 6 tenths and 7 tenths percent, but that is where we find ourselves. All right, we got to jump to Tesla. It just don't stop folks, God bless anybody who has ever shorted Tesla. You had one run if you were shorting Tesla from February 19th till March 17th. I guess you had a couple runs, right? Because you back this up. I mean, we had some losses that look substantial last year when you went from 380 down to 176, Facebook, excuse me, Facebook, Tesla, almost flirting with BK at the time. But I mean, look at this monthly, look at the last four months. We just ran from 446, we're going to open $100 a year today folks, it's 1642. It just does not stop for Tesla. You see the acceleration on Friday, they were in the den talk about on Friday. I mean, G7 in there trading those options on Tesla, hey, one good thing about trading options on Tesla, defined risk, because watch out folks, I mean, just from Friday, you went from 1375 to 1655. If you were short at Friday morning, and I told you that you're going to have a $300 pop by the time the market opens on Monday, you probably wouldn't believe me. And rightfully so, because the run it's had up until Friday is staggering to think that Tesla could somehow accelerate and hire, but that's what happens folks. You had stories coming out on the weekend, now maybe this is the mark of euphoria, right? You had stories coming out on the weekend that Elon Musk, Paskin Warren Buffett, he's now number seven, I believe, wealthiest people in the world, doesn't mean he doesn't deserve it. This company going to sky high, but you see those things, but guess what? We just added another $100 to the price of Tesla, be careful in the open folks. At some point, this stock will go down, but not yet. You gotta jump to Amazon, the other high flyer before we jump around, we got a lot going on this week too. Bank earnings, big day of bank earnings tomorrow. We got our man Dave White in the den talking about it, but you got Delta starts it off, but in terms of tomorrow morning, around 7 AM, but you also get JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, more earnings throughout the week, but Amazon hire again today, you're talking about $60, $60 higher above $32 a close debt on the dot, some context on where Amazon has been. Folks, you're going to open basically exactly at a 100% profit from where we were on March 16th. Now, you've seen some companies have a rapid ascent, Zoom, Doc, you signed some of the most prominent that have had runs, but there was a lot of risk in those companies. Small companies, not exactly super well funded, who knows what's going to happen when you're pricing growth of a very small company. Company like Amazon, of course, it was going to be around. And to think as it traded down here, folks, huge buying opportunities. And even if you look at where we were from below 2000 at any point, right? From basically February 24th, you took until April 6th, it's just been a one way rocket ship. And we're going to open literally exactly at $32.55, $32.52 would be a 100% profit from where this thing was trading at on March 17th. Remarkable action. Zoom, why not? Talk about remarkable action from $60. We're going to open at almost $280, Doc, you signed. Look at these stocks from 43 last year. You look at the COVID low of $60 and change. And we're going to open at about $211 today. And as we wrap up this first segment, we'll take a look at the VIX. This morning, we're going to open a little bit muted still. I mean, 27, we're at a 28 VIX and the S&Ps at $3,200. Not quite gelling in terms of the VIX should be pulling back, but the market knows. There's a lot of volatility in this stock. We'll jump back. We're going to talk about Pepsi earnings, Pepsi trading higher on their numbers to kick off earnings season up about $4. Stay tuned, folks. We'll be right back after the break. Many of our new listeners have heard about the Tiger's Den. The Tiger's Den is a lively community where professional traders and investors can meet, exchange ideas and information in a comfortable, moderated atmosphere. Hear all of the TFNN shows, plus see all the charts as they happen live and have access to archives of all of those charts. 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The Dow back above 26,000 up 170 points at 26,147. As I mentioned, Pepsi, I went there numbers already this morning pulling back on drinks, snacks, everybody at home snacking it seems. Pepsi looking to be about $3 right now in the positive. You're talking about a little bit more than 2% in the green. Pepsi revenue falling 3%. Not bad, right, compared to what we have going on. You have net sales falling 3.1% during the second quarter, excluding items. The company earned $1.32 a share. Pepsi reported falling organic sales in North America, beverage unit, but Frito Lay and Quaker Oats both saw organic revenue growth getting into the numbers, revenue 15.95 billion. The market was only looking for 15.38. They made a buck 32. The market was looking for a buck 25. They said the company spent nearly $400 million on costs related to the pandemic. You're talking about PPE for employees, excluding items. The company earned $1.32 as we said, revenue 15.95 billion. So the North American beverage unit, beverage unit, so it's organic revenue fall 7% despite growth at supermarkets and dollar stores. Interesting that people aren't buying as much soda at a time when you're definitely shopping at stores. I don't know if that has that play into things in terms of are they selling as much Pepsi at restaurants and so forth? There you go. Closure of restaurants, movie theaters, sports stadiums, weight on the business, but not all of its drinks suffered. Pepsi Zero Sugar and Bubbly saw double digit revenue growth. You know what? I didn't know that Bubbly was owned by Pepsi. I should. We got a lot of Bubbly in my household right now. Check it out. I think it's like, those are like carbonated almost calorie free beverages. It's either zero or five calories per. Check it out. That's just, it's good stuff. Quaker Oats, North America. Good organic revenue growth of 23% as consumers bought more oatmeal for breakfast and baking. Consumers continued to buy these items even as economies opened back up. Trends are changing folks and they're not all going to go back to normal. Frito-Lay, North America saw organic sales growth of 6%. So Pepsi trading higher on those numbers. We've got a bid ask right at around 1.38 this morning. Jumping around to what else we have going on. So this putting a little bit of a bid in the market as well. We got Pfizer, Biontech, Coronavirus vaccine, FDA giving them fast track status. Both of those shares are trading higher this morning. Two experimental Coronavirus vaccines jointly developed by Biontech and Pfizer received fast track designation from the US Drug Regulator. The company said today, so you got two candidates are the most advanced of at least four vaccines being assessed by the companies. So let's jump over. Pfizer PFE, we were 33 last week, but check out that pop up about $1 from 3380 and Biontech with BNTX I think they are, BNTX they are, BNTX they're trading higher as well this morning from 70 to 79 back to about 76, 76 as the world waits for some good news on a vaccine. But it's going to take some time folks. In terms of news, how about analog devices buying Maxim integrated all stock deal $21 billion. So analog devices, ADI is their symbol. There's the action on that news up to 128 down to 12350 looking open negative on that action. And as you may expect the company getting purchased MXIM, Maxim up to 77, 73.97. Let's see if we can see where, where are they going to get purchased that, there you go 7843. So you see the market up to 77, a little bit of a little bit of uncertainty there as you're back down to 74. If they think this deal is going to go through, you're getting almost 7850. That'd be a 22% premium $21 billion, not bad, not bad at all. Speaking of bad numbers over the weekend, stark, stark numbers folks especially weren't forward. We're dealing with now 15,000 plus cases, remarkable when this hit the tape, 15,299 confirmed cases, highest single day total for any state period since the pandemic began. We're now dealing with 270,000 cases almost in Florida, death toll 45 more, bringing it to 4346. You're supposed to have the Republican National Convention in Jacksonville next month, president pushing for schools to open, Disney open this past weekend. We have Disney trade and hire this morning as well, remarkable action. And hopefully it stays, it not stays, hopefully we're able to do something folks. I started on my words, cuz it's stark. When there are four or 5,000 cases in the state, you said to yourself, be careful, be aware of this thing and you'll probably be all right. We start seeing 15, 20,000 cases, that is not the consensus in this state. Now there were a landslide of cases, nearly 143,000 people were tested Saturday in Florida. The percentage did calm down to 11.25% of the results coming back positive. The lowest rate of the positive test results since the end of June as more people receive tests. There's a lot of variants in these numbers folks, okay? Which is why the averages are so important. Just on Wednesday, we had a number that was 18.35%. We have 11% more tests, which you like to see cuz you wanna find everybody so you can tell them they have the virus if they do so they can stop spreading it. But still stark numbers when you're dealing with over 15,000 cases. And what else do we have? Where were we? Cuz I saw, yeah, let's jump back to stocks making moves. It's just, I mean, we're dealing with the country 60,000 cases for three consecutive days. That was the headline I was looking for. Remarkable. S&P is at 3,200 and why not? We'll jump to Disney cuz we just talked to them with Disney. I'm a super long term bull in Disney. I got an exciting announcement, another thing coming on at 10 o'clock. I got a new service coming out. Check it out. We're gonna be talking about it during the 10 o'clock show. I got a letter coming out today. Talk about Disney in there. You have out there even today that we get, I believe Disney got, yeah, there it is. So Goldman Sachs initiating coverage of Disney with a buy rating seeing the street consensus underestimates the profitability of the company's Disney plus streaming service. This is what I've been saying all along. It's a common sense play folks in terms of seeing where Disney's been, okay? Here's the fall off. We made it back up to about a 618. We were as high as 153.41. I've done this fundamental analysis a few times. I'm gonna look at it more in the report that I put out today for subscribers. We'll be launching that program at 10 o'clock with Tom. Stay tuned for that. But Disney, when you put this for some comparison of where we've been, okay? Here's your acceleration with Disney reveals to the world the pricing of Disney plus that they are going to undercut Netflix. They're going to bundle it with Hulu. They're going to bundle it with ESPN. We're coming into earnings on Disney and I believe they're coming in, let's see. Disney reports August 4th, okay? So we're going to be coming in. They are going to deliver staggering results for Disney plus, I anticipate. I'm a subscriber to Disney plus. Now, full disclosure, I own Disney, okay? But two, three, four, five years down the road folks, they're going to be competing with Netflix and they're going to have content that Netflix can only dream of in terms of Star Wars, Marvel, Mickey Mouse, Donald Duck, kids programs that you never want to quit. And so Disney, just to put it back, look at this acceleration, parks open. We've now climbed just over the last since June 29th from 108. We're going to open at 121 today and look for this to creep up as we approach those earnings season because I anticipate some strong numbers, parks are back open. And at some point we're going to return to some point of normalcy and normalcy for Disney is going to incorporate probably 100 million plus subscribers to their Disney plus streaming service in the process. All right, folks, stay tuned. We got the SMPs just sitting at 3,200 on the dot waiting for that opening bell in 40 minutes and queues up 100 on the dot at 10,937. Stay tuned folks, we're back in three minutes. Back in the day, I joined the Hotel California in 2006 and like many of you, was drawn in by as well as whatever you think about, you bring about whatever you focus on grows. You see, I believe that everything in life happens for us, not to us. And Tom ignited the fire within me to want to learn how to master the markets. 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Don't forget, you can listen to TFNN live on your mobile device 24 hours per day. Go to TFNN.com and hit Watch Tiger TV. That's TFNN.com and hit Watch Tiger TV for the latest market information. Welcome back, folks. As I said, big week of earnings for banks. So tomorrow, J.P. Morgan, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, you get Delta in there as well. Wednesday, Bank of New York Mellon, PNC, US Bank Corp. We get United Health and Goldman Sachs, Alcoa as well. Thursday, Continues Bank of America, Charles Schwab, Morgan Stanley. We're gonna throw Johnson & Johnson, Domino's Abbott Laboratories, Netflix. We'll jump into Netflix in the morning. We got J.B. Hunt, the trucking company out there, and then we continue with the finance on Friday. Citizens, BlackRock, Ally, State Street should be an interesting week. Netflix, we just talked about Disney with their streaming numbers. Netflix, man, oh man, talk about a rocket ship, right? So this is a peek at the newsletter. We're gonna be coming out with today, folks. Check it out. We're gonna be launching it during the 10 o'clock show. Netflix, look at this acceleration on Netflix shares, right? And Netflix, guess what, folks, we're gonna open higher yet again today. Netflix, up to 567 overnight. So here's your daily chart, doesn't incorporate the action overnight just yet. So Netflix, they added 15.8 million subscribers last quarter. They'll be looking to add 7.5 million this quarter. One of the interesting things to take a look at, so they got 183 million subscribers, they're out with their numbers on Thursday. So we'll be talking about this week, 183 million subscribers who pay an average of about 1087. They got 100 million subscribers, more than 100 million outside of the US. They do not hedge against foreign currency risk. So that really factors in. So when the dollar appreciates, that's gonna hurt their overall revenue because they're taking in so much money in non-dollar denominated currencies. But since the last report, the dollar has depreciated against other major currencies. So that should provide a boost in total revenue, Netflix numbers on Thursday. Now keep in mind, folks, when you see the Disney numbers, okay? Netflix is at 183. In fact, quite a head start on Disney, but Disney is gonna be right up there, folks. And like I said, there's nothing, content is king and there's no bigger king than Mickey Mouse out there. Stay tuned, folks. We got our man, Larry Pezzavento coming up live at nine o'clock. I'll be back at 10 o'clock, Tom S&Ps, 3199 right now. Stay tuned, folks. Larry Pezzavento coming up live next. Thanks for tuning in. We'll be right back.