 Sige na natin, kung meron ng pumaso kaya, meron na, sino ang ating sinayan. Elisar, and chaka si Gerald ang ating, what's that, early bird. Hello po, good evening guys. Ayan. So yung mga omatin kahapon or first and second webinar natin, mukhang ane do ulit sila. Thank you so much po sa patuloy na pag-attend. Ayan. Sige po, invite lang po kayo. Maganda po yung topic natin ngayon. It's all about fundamental analysis, tama po ba, sir? Para tomorrow in preparation for tomorrow. Yes po. So we are going to discuss fundamental analysis guys, so please be ready. And sana kumain kayo at tabusog para mas madali natin maintindihan yung discussion natin tonight. So yung ating pag-uusapan ngayon will be, sabi na natin sir Nathan, is in preparation for tomorrow's non-farm payroll. Para po sa mga bago, ang non-farm payroll po is ang event na every month ng yayari, especially sa US, and malaking movement yung nagagawa na ito sa market. Remember yung pinag-usapan natin about volatility, ito rin yung reason kung bakit nakakaroon ang malaking galaw, nagiging sobrang volatile yung market because of this news, which is non-farm payroll. Di-discussan ni sir Nathan later hanggang bukas yung actual natin tomorrow. Okay, so nine pa lang yung ating participants, invite lang po kayo. Yung mga na sa GC, pumunta na po kayo dito. Wait lang baka, hindi pa sila alam. Para maka-attend din po sila. The good thing about our webinars sir, kasi kahit mag-attend na sila paulit-ulit, may mga questions kasi na nag-arise na first time nilang ma-renege, that's why natututurin po bawat isa doon sa ating group chat na isa-share din nila sa mga bago natin attendin sa the same time. So, sigi po, invite lang po kayo no, habang nag-intay tayo ng ating participants so far. Waiting pa po ako doon sa ating video for the second webinar, so isa sabay ko po yung sa mga nag-request ng recording natin. So, sabay natin may send yung beginners training natin. So, dalawa po yung ano, isa-send ko po doon sa e-mail kung saan kayo po ay nag-send ng yung mga information para mas dalawa na po, hindi na po yung pahewahi wala yung isa-isa kasi dadami po yung send sa inyo. So, sigi po, wala naman po ba tayong tanong yesterday so far? Wala naman siguro tanong. Actually kasi sir, we tackled about M.T.4. So, nagdatanong po sila kung paano po yung compute, kung paano po mag-trade. Pinakitalang natin kung paano. And isa nung sa questions nila may nag-arise ng question kung paano do, kung compute ang difference ng spread at saka ng points at saka ng pips. So, sabay ko this would be the best day to discuss para po lahat po is ma-intindihan kasi too much po para ma-discuss yung spread pips and during dun sa beginners natin. So, welcome po, sir Russell, welcome po sa inyo, sir Anthony, nandito sir Luisito, sir Mamlunita, hello po, sir John Harold, welcome po sa inyong lahat. And guys, invite lang po kayo para po mas marami tayong makasama ngayong gabay and mas marami po matutunan tayo sa ating webinar tonight. So, we still have four minutes before six o'clock. Habang tayong nagpaparami ng attendees. Wuliting ko po ang yung ating certificates will be sent out sa inyo basta nakakaten po kayo at least maximum five webinars. Kahit po yung advanced training natin ang inyo ng bo or at least dulawa sa webinar sa beginners na dito sa advanced, okay lang po yun basta makalima. And please use your complete name, yung real name po ninyo kasi po kung ano po yung ginamit ninyo sa webinar, yung din po yung ginagamit natin sa certificate. So, kung iba-iba po yung ginagamit ninyo may cartoons pa minsan yung pangalan, ayun po yung mailalagay certificate. So, or minsan po, kinukontak po para malaman yung tunay na pangalan para mailagay doon kasi sayang naman, legit naman yung certificate natin, pero mahanap po ito na ating speaker at saka ako po para po magamit inyo for any purposes na pwede ninyo kung gamitin. Okay, so sigi po, invite lang po kayo. Sino po ang bago? Ayun, ayun naman ako. Sino ang bago? First time meaning, first time umaten ng Forex Trading Seminar or webinar. And first time din umaten sa TickMail webinar. Meron po ba? Meron po ba? So far, ayun. Sir John Harold, first time umaten po ng training ng TickMail or first time umaten ng Forex Trading Seminar. Forex Trading Seminar po, webinar. Bakit chat lang po sa ating chat box? Ayun para makilaman natin. First time po sa dalawa. Okay, first time po. Medyo Sir Harold, Sir John Harold. Medyo malaling po o medyo advanced na po kasi yung pagusapan natin ngayon, but if you wish to have first two webinars namin which is about sa Beginner's Training, pwede mo pong iwan yung email address mo para ma-insend ko po sa inyo. Para meron po tayong ma-review at malama. Intindihan po natin ano po ba talaga ang Forex Training? Kasi sa first two seminars po yun dini-discuss. Para po, hindi po kayo malito as your guide na lang din po. And for review na rin at the same time. So Sir John, Harold lang po ba ang ating newbie? Welcome Pastor Shem. Sir Vincent an dito. Welcome po. Nag-enjoy ba kayo sa GC? Marami kasi Sir Nathan atend kahapon na nagpaad sa ating Tick-Mail Community. So natutawa po sila na marami po tayong kasama na bago and of course, nakita nyo naman, sir, ako nag-exchange sila ng kanilang analysis. So yun po yun nakakatawa kasi hindi sila ganong katagal pa sa mundo ng trading but they are trying their best at the same time si-share yung analysis. And of course, nag-share din sila ng kanilang insights kung saan tatakbo o paano ang galaw ng bawat instrument na tinetrade nila. So yun po yung nag-create natin magpaad sa GC. Wala ka pa po ba Sir Luisito? I-add po kita. I-PM nyo lang bumuna ako sa Facebook. Ito po yung aking Facebook account. Para po ma-add ko kayo sa GC. I thought you were already sa GC natin, sir. Wait lang ha. Sige po, sir Luisito, if PM mo po ako, ito po yung aking Facebook account. Akala ko nakabi na. Wait lang. Ito po yung aking Facebook account, then bakit PM nyo po ako para ma-add ko po kayo dun sa ating group chat. Garami po nga tututo dyan and lumala ka sa loob nila kasi siyempre may mga kasabayan silang mag-trade. N-alala ko kasi before bago ko tumalun sa market, alam mo na iiiyak pa ako bago ko mag-trade. Kasi natin kinakabahan talaga ako. Wala akong kasama, wala nag-motivate sa iyo o wala kang matatanungan, at least dito sa GC natin, nagtatanungan sila ko ano ba yung magiging outcome o magiging trend for that particular instrument and of course dahil dun sa events or news or fundamental analysis na nagawa nila. Okay? So 601 na. So maybe in 2 minutes, siguro 605. Okay lang ba, sir Nathan? 605? Okay na sakin. Okay po, sige po. Okay po, sir. Bali habang nag-ihintay tayo para dumami pa tayo. So again, dun sa mga bago, inform lang po namin kayo. We always start and end this webinar with a prayer para po may guidance tayo and again we also respect your faith po at religion and your organizations but at least allow us para po makapag start tayo. By the way guys, yung mga recordings natin again uulitin ko, available pa lang yung isa yung first, then second hindi pa po so please bear with me. Isi-send ko naman po yung sa inyo sa lahat na nag-iwan ng email addresses. Dun sa mga hindi pa na gusto kumabul please leave your email addresses para pumamaya din di sa recording na ito para at least tatlo yung may isi-send ko or dun sa mga hindi pa, let's say ang plano ko po kasi isi-send yung advanced training ng isang send lang. So if you will attend the five advanced training po natin, yung send ko po ng sabay-sabay para po hindi po maging spam yung ating email sa inyo. Kasi kung isa isa ko po yung isi-send sa inyo, lima po yun or balipito, kasama yung for our beginners natin, medyo marami-rame. So better yet na intaying ko po matapos yung lima, advanced training so para po dun sa mga mag-request po kaya may inepano. Paran po, sabay-sabay at jaka at least di ba, continues yung panunood din nyo kung kagamitin po natin sa pag-review. You're welcome po Sir Bryant. Okay? So guys, invite lang kayo ng mga friends and relatives guys para at least mas maganda yung ating discussion tonight. Kasi sabi ko nga guys, question lang tawag dito siguro kung mag-may questions tayo. But sir Nathan, okay lang ba na sa chat nalang ilagay yung questions o dun pa rin sa Q&A natin? Sa chat nalang para isa nalang yung window na Sir. Okay so guys ayun yung ating ginabanda yun po yun. So mas okay po mas okay guys mas maayos na dun na tayo sa chat box magtatanong para iisa lang yung ating window na titig na na para at least lahat andon din yung questions lahat din pagka nagkakabi pace din po ako kasi na re-review natin yung mga questions doon na pwede natin basahin kasi pagkaya yung sa Q&A kinoklose po kagad natin yan. So hindi natin na re-record yung mga tanong nung clients. And the good thing about it is nagkakaron tayo ng basis na pwede natin gamitin doon sa experience natin o sa pag-apply natin sa pag-detraid. Okay? Alright, masyato na yata kung maraming sinabe. Okay guys, we have only one minute bago mag-605. Siguro we 37 na tayo ngayon deka muna bago po ang lahat malagyan nakatan ang access sir Nathan. Ayan, so pwede na siya mag-share mamay. Sorry, lagi ko nalinimutan nyan. Alright, so guys please join me sa prayer natin before we start. Okay? Father God, we thank you for this wonderful night at marami na malbo kaming kasama ngayon na nag-share ng kanilang oras para pumatuto sa forex training webinar ngayong gabi na to. Ang pag-uusapan po as advanced training we hope Lord mas marami pa kaming matutunan at begin mo po kami ng guidance wisdom and knowledge especially po ang aming speaker for tonight, sir Nathan begin nyo rin po siya ng wisdom and knowledge para po ma-share nyan ang mas maayos at mas madaling ma-intindihan sa mga attendees po namin tonight. So Lord, we pray for your guidance and your blessings in Jesus name we pray. Amen. So guys, dun sa mga bago introduce ko lang ating guest speaker sa mga bago ako muna siya. Ako po ang country manager ng TickMail and TickMail po has been servicing or catering Philippine region for almost eight years na po. So kung kanan mo po katagal na po at marami na rin po tayong clients na happy at nag-stay po sa TickMail. So maraming salamat po dun sa manag-stay sa TickMail and of course yung ating guest speaker for tonight actually he's one of my mentor and he's been trading or in this business for almost 30 years na. Magunantanongin yung idad, okay? Basta almost 30 years na siya nag-de-trade and of course with his portfolio talagang anyone kasi talagang magugulad. So his portfolio in this business is 800 million pounds, okay? So kaya po with his credentials and all the experience that he has siya po ay talagang may rights para turuan tayong ngayong gabi. So none other than our speaker for tonight Mr. Nathan Jensen. Hello, sir Nathan. Good evening po ulit. Good evening. Thank you for having me. Dun sa mga participants na. I have one simple rule lang. If there is something that you do not understand or if you have a question on the topic just post your question. I will stop and then answer them to the best of my ability. And sana naman yung question related dun sa topic natin. Hindi yung big lang na tumatalon. Nawa wala tulay tayo. So with that eto na, can you see my screen? Yes, sir. Ayon. So ang topic natin ngayong ay market analysis particularly sinikoy ang chat. Particular leaf fundamental analysis kasi market analysis ay dalawang klas yan. Dalawang approach. One is technical. Ito yung para ting inaano ng mesis ko. Wag daw ako masadong technical. Ito yung kasi based on math yan. So pagpinukusapan ng math lapaka precise niyan. The other one is based on fundamental. Ito yung factors that can have an effect that can influence market volatility na mention kanineyan ni Misali I think in one of her presentations one or two days ago. So dito mo na tayo mag-concentrate because come tomorrow June 2 it is the first Friday of the month and there is a data that I heavily monitor and it only happens on every first Friday of the month at exactly 8.30 p.m. So pag-usapan mo natin yung fundamental analysis ko pa paano natin gagamitin ito to our advantage, diba? So pagkana-kawa na kayo ng idea pwede na natin to gamitin sa actual trading natin. So yun. So kung wala na kayong questions tulin na natin ito we will start discussing for tonight for the next two hours fundamental analysis. And as much as possible I will try to make this as layman as possible nil na overwhelm ako dun sa sinabi ni Misali kanina na napakarami natin mga beginners ngayon who are attending baka ma-overwhelm kayo dun sa mga mga words na pag-uusapan natin. Like I said just rate post your question I will stop and then with the help of Misali she will monitor the questions and then she will interrupt me para at least masagut namin kagad ang inyong katanungan. Ayon. Mi-tumutunob sa akin ba yun? Wala naman kami sir Naririni. Wala kayo. Okay fundamental analysis by simple definition is a type of market analysis which involves the studying of the economic situations of countries to trade currencies more effectively. So basically pagkasinabi mo mag-analyse ka fundamentally dalawang di ba ang bawat instrument dalawang aneyon, dalawang currency pair let's say we'll talk about the euro and the dollar so we're talking about two countries or two areas here one is the United States of America which is composed of 55 states the other one, euro is in Europe composed of 100 plus countries belonging to the European Union so kung gagamiti natin ang fundamental analysis ba bantayan natin, hindi lang isa now by analyzing it fundamentally it will give you information on how big the political economical events influence the currency market they can influence, they can move the market fundamental figures figures and statements given in speeches by important politicians or heads of states sa atin cabinet members pero sa ibang bansa e cabinet members din ba ang tawag nila so ito yung mga key personnel it tends to have an impact on the movement of the currency that is affected kaya importantin malaman din natin yung mga personalities na yan now if you will notice on the last part in particularly announcement related to the United States economy and politics at the primary to keep an eye on and my bias kasi is on the US dahil hanggang ngayon sila pa rin yung tinatawag na universal currency di ba although yung galing sa Europe, Brazil, China di ba, chakay yung rasta they are trying to influence world market by using their current fees but for now, let's stick to the United States currency muna kasi ito yung nakakaapek to this is an example of an economic calendar bakit economic calendar yung pagusapan natin kasi dito nung malabas yung mga surveys na bawat country kung saan nakakaapek to ang movement ng currency if you will notice there are several rows with different flags from China, from Australia, from Japan and then you can see on the different columns the time that it will be released the currency or the and then the event itself description of the event and then it's importance merong mga color coding yan depending on the economic calendar that you are watching or monitoring ang mga pulay kasi yan is always orange, red, meansan green, meansan blue so bantayan na lang ninyo but in essence ang gusto kung ang attention ninyo dun lang sa mga high impact news which is color red the next column will be the actual figures that was released and then next to that is the forecast forecast is important because dito nag-rila yung mga economies do sila naglalagay ng forecast nila based on previous figures so yung previous figures naman ang higitan ninyo na sa pinakalas yan yung figures of last month or last quarter or last year may kita naman ninyo yan kagain nito yung duto sa japanese gross domestic product puo q meaning quarter on quarter and then the bank lending yoy meaning year on year so last year's lending is 2% nung previous tapos may forecast nila in this case wala pa pero based on forecast lalabas yung actual dun magkakaroon ng volatility sa market now not only economic events like this is important but also the heads of states babantayan ninyo yan example may tanong si wilbert mamaya papakita ko yung website na inaano natin pero sa tiktmil meron din sila yan na economic calendar dun yung makikita yun dito this is an example of an economic calendar from a different broker and why are the events that doesn't have forecast but have actual results minsan nangyari yun kasi rinirivise nila yung forecast so minuburan nila yun but let me show you can I show you can you see my screen economic calendar pa rin pa sir okay, paano ko gagawin ito stare, new stare naiikita niya this is the economic calendar from forex factory and if you will notice I'm not logged in pero yung time niya 551 kasi hindi pa ako nakalag in pero if I am logged in it will recalibrate and will show the actual time so ito yung economic calendar na pinopos nila week by week tapos na yung Monday which is may 29 Tuesday may 30 Wednesday may 31 and then today June 1 ito yung economic calendar might as well log in I'm already logged in so pinapakita na yung tamang time frame so balik tayo sa Thursday and if you will notice andami na lumabas kanina 750 lumabas from Japan nangyari yung revisions kasi kaya wala minsan wala kasi nirevise nila yung kanilang forecast but what is important is kung ano yung actual na lumabas so yun yung kailangan bantayan and if you will notice come Friday which is heavily awaited kasi first Friday of na month lalabas din yung nang farm employment change ito i did discuss nating bukas i did define natin yan babantayan natin kung ano yung paganda strategy nga gamitin but for now Thursday June 1 lumabas na kanina yung high impact news yan lumabas na kanina from the European Union and then mamayang 815 from the US ADP na farm employment change at unemployment claims i did discuss natin mamay ay yung essence nung unemployment claims but if you will notice yung actual na unemployment is 229 tapos naging ang forecast nila is 236,000 so mamaya tatanungin ko kayo is this good or bad for the US economy kasi if it's good then we know what to do we buy the US dollar if it's bad then we also know what to do we sell the US dollar so hindi lang yan mayro pang isa yung ISM manufacturing PMI purchasing index lalabas 10pm so if you will notice I'm only highlighting the high impact and if you can see every now and then every day there are high impact news that you can take advantage of ang kagandahan sa fundamental analysis alam mo kung anong oras lalabas yung mga data na yun at alam mo kung anong oras magkakaron ng effect securrency markets and this is Thursday nung Wednesday mayro nyan from 10pm may 30 may 9.30 in the morning hour time nyan oras natin yan 7 o'clock from Australia and then from Tuesday isa lang consumer confidence 10pm sa US so on and so forth so if you will notice kailangan lang ninyong bantayan nyan ito yung kagandahan sa fundamental analysis araw-araw pwede kayong mag opportunity mag trade you just need to know when by looking at the calendar so share ko lang uli yung aking screen can you see my screen it's supposed to show the economic calendar yes sir my power point presentation yes sir so far walang questions that's good okay ito yung mga ibang samples if you will notice red, yellow and green naman sila so ito na yung magiging strategy natin for analyzing the fundamentals of the countries that we intend to trade and this is how we will approach the market whenever we want to trade fundamentally if the forecast is better than the previous figure then the US dollar usually is going to strengthen against the other currencies pag sinabing other currencies anything that is being traded against the US dollar so ano atno ito nga mga examples natin euro dollar sterling dollar or GBP dollar or dollar yen or XAU USD meaning we are trading the gold against the US dollar so across the board ya ano not just currencies but other instruments that is being traded against the US dollar are we trading bitcoin against the US dollar? yes meron niyang rate iba for every bitcoin there is this amount of US dollars crude oil is pegged against the US dollar as of now ito yung gusto ng palitan ng mga ibang countries ibang giants like China, rasa and Brazil they no longer want to use the US dollar but to use their currencies so ginagamit natin although ang symbol nang kalagay do na crude oil or Brent oil still pegged against the US dollar now but when the news are due traders have to check the actual data kasi minsan nagbabago na kagay ng tanong kanina ni Wilbert bakit minsan merong forecast minsan wala kasi nagbabago pareho importante talaga kung lumabas yung actual kung ang actual than the previous than the forecast then it is actually good for the US dollar and it is expected to strengthen against other currencies mind you ha mabilis mga yayari ito kasi short term ang effect ni ito gano ka short term minsan three minutes minsan five minutes ang pinakamahabang fundamental factor na witness ko ay september 11, 2001 dahil inabot kami na 3 araw na halos windang kami dahil kasi yung market talaga napakavolatay ito yung nang aeroplano nag-crasp ng buildings ng World Trade Center po kasi 3 days, Tuesday nang nyanari yun magulu pa rin yung market but in a normal day like tomorrow na walang World Trade Center na pasasabuge makakras na aeroplano na sa lima minuto lang tapos na yung yung volatility tapos babalip na sa kanyang original trend nyan question so far mukang dala walang yan ayder naintindihan yung ano ko or medyo nundin yung naitindihan na ihiyalang kayo magtanong please, wag kayo mahiya magtanong sakin in fact pag ako nagtanong o kayo nagtanong meron kayong point system na sinusunod di ba generate the overall points tapos meron niya ataka yung libring cell phone which si Len may tanong which reports po ang tinitignan dapat ang magandaan tignan yung lahat ng high impact news Len yun ang bantayan natin now let's talk about gawala yung mouse ko ayan what are the most powerful figures that move the forex market balik kayo dito sino ba yung mga figures pinag-usapan natin dito ito yung mga heads of states mga cabinet members mga federal reserve governors pero sa atin hindi federal reserve ang tawag sa ating ano eh di ba ang tawag sa central bank natin IBSP di ba Banko Central ng Pilipinas so point system tayo meron tayong price gemis sa sali sino ang presidente ng Pilipinas BBM tama sa Luisito ehm kasi madaming reports na pinapagita kanina sa economic calendar tama yun Len marami pero concentrate ng tayo balika natin balika natin yung ano ehm eto Len can you see the economic calendar marami no ang haba pero wag natin 83 diyan choose our battles wisely ang baba natin lang natin yung mga high impact news kagay nito from the U.S. consumer confidence from Australia wala kasi speech lang yan from Australia CPI year on year yan ano hi natin yan German CPI hula not all merits your attention but what I'm saying is let's choose our battle wisely gamitin lang natin gamitin natin yung oras natin do sa mga high impact news which is the red ones eto yung mga red na yan as a newbie anong pair ang magandang pag-aralan muna Bernard yun um Bernard bagan na tanong yan ang pinakamagandang may advice ko sa inyo is to start with the most heavily traded currency in the world and this is the euro dollar bakit euro dollar imagine mo the U.S. is actually comprised of 55 different independent states a state is practically a small country kaya lang naging united at kaya nga tinawag silang united states kasi nagkasundo sila na they will use one constitution they will use one president no they will elect one president for all the 55 states pero bahwa state na yan ang pinaka big post yan yung governor di ba kaya nga yung mga nagiging presidente sa U.S. ay uswali galing sa mga datin mga governors that will run for the elections isa lang ang alala kung hindi politician naging presidente si Trump kasi business man yun e di naman siya politician kagay ni Biden almost 60 years na politician yan kahit si Obama governor din datin ganoon din si Bush mga politicians yan long time before they became presidents so 55 states independent states belonging to one country they are the U.S. of A is comprised of 55 independent states or independent countries pero they are considered as one the other one on the other hand is the Euro Euro naman is comprised of different countries in Europe na yan yung France, na yan yung Poland, na yan yung Estonia na yan yung Italy na yan yung Spain Portugal different countries from Europe so if you will notice parang united states din sila pero sila nilagang different countries may mga kanya-kanya sila presidente so as a newbie I would strongly suggest yung trade muna yung heavily traded currency kasi ah since heavily traded yan malakas ang movement dahil kasi maraming mga nagtit trade niya ang nangyari yung spread lumili it and nilit ang spread pabursa isang trader yung so I hope that answers the question na no ah meron kagad apat na question sa sa chat so CBBM, tama ayat Len I hope I was able to answer by showing you this economic calendar from Forex Factory so ayan okay as a newbie ano to ah nasagot ko na to from Bernard si Michelle sir pano po interpret yung mga numerical figures sa economic calendar actual focus and previous yas darating na tayo yan Michelle papunta na tayo yan tasagotin na natin yan in a couple of slides so I go back to my presentation so CBBM, tama eh e si na naman yung pinaka head nung atin central bank which is the bank central ng Pilipinas kilala niyo po ba ang makasagot may points yas umagot kayo o hindi niyo kilala di ba si Jock no di ba Pilipi Midalia is it sabi ni Google okay so si Midalia na na si Jock na sa finance ayun so ayun tama okay we need to focus on the significant events marked on death on the forex calendar ah yas Lolita hindi di ba napakarame so hindi na natin kailangan na lahat siya niya ititrade natin pili lang tayo misa Lolita si Pilipi Midalia e sa United States si nung naman ang Presidente o Prime Minister sabi ni Len si Powell si Biden tama si Luisito Biden no si Claire sabi Powell Biden sa USA yes no tama yun e sa Japan si no ang Presidente or Prime Minister yun Kisida katandaan niya ang mga pangalan yan kasi pag yung mga yan magsalita it will have an impact on the currency markets no pag si Biden magsalita it will have an impact on the US Dollar kapag si Kisida magsalita it will have an impact on the Japanese eh di ba tradeable ang Japanese yan so daba tayo natin yan yan so these are the people that we need to watch out for ayun now kanina may tanong pano e interpret yung mga figures lalabas tayo yan but let's just first concentrate dito muna sa description ng mga events the non-farm payroll or unemployment at the the non-farm employment change is a statistic research recorded and reported by the Bureau of Labor intended to represent the total number of paid US workers of any business excluding the following government private household employees ito yung mga mga tawad dito mga kasambaay hindi kasi hindi nila record yan ng maayos kasi meron mga kasambaay that only do it for a couple of hours so they are usually paying cash so hindi na dumadahan sa banko so hindi na nabubuwisan hindi na re-record tuloy ng Bureau of Labor statistics and of course employees of non-profit organizations and the farm employees but the rest ito yung tinatawag na non-farm payroll non-farm employment change this is a monthly report that includes estimates on the average work week and the average weekly earnings of all non-farm employees hindi kasama dito dito sa description ko now ito na tayo pag-usapan na nating yung mga figures pero labas muna tayo ng konte dito sa ok yung previous ito yung pinakalas na column yung forecast at yung actual pag hindi meron mga economic calendar events na wala pang mga actual kasi hindi pa nangyari if you will notice indigate dito 7.30 pm pa lalabas yung data monetary policy meetings galing sa euro mga maya pang 7.30 meron aro that's the latest data that will be released today but if you will notice parati ko sinasabi let's only concentrate our efforts on those high impact news yung mga pula lang yan may questions ba sir ano ba mga iso na mga lakas mga effecto ng movement of the market unemployment o lahat yan di discuss natin milesio so let's now go to the descriptions of each figure yung forecast ito yung final forecast yung economic nung bansan ayon sa japan ang forecast nila was 2.7% yan forecast nila pero yung unemployment rate last month yung previous was 2.8% so ibig sabihin 2.8% last month ang forecast nila is 2.7% ang interpretation is this unemployment na pinagusapan pagkumonte yung percentage is it good or bad for the Japanese economy it's good kasi kumonte yung mga unemployed daming sumagot yes, dama good now if you will notice anong nangyari ang naging actual is actually lower than the forecast naging 2.6% and if you will notice kinulayan nila ng verde or green indicating that it is definitely good for the Japanese economy kasi mas kumuntipay from 2.8% which is previous and then the actual for this month is 2.6% do you follow? so this is how we will interpret the figures tanong kanineyan ni miss lolita yata if i'm not mistaken so pag aarala natin ng konte no may kunting analysis yung ano natin common sense analysis lang ito kaya nga masarap gamitin ng fundamental and in fact i'm a heavy fundamental trader gawa tayin ang bang example ito yung sa Switzerland yung economic barometer nila yung last 2 months ago yung previous nila is 96.1% pero ang forecast nila is 95% but since mas mababa pa yung naging actual mas mababa sa ano sa forecast na not on the previous kinulayan nilang pulang so automatic it is a signal for you to start selling the British pound ah the the Swiss franc kasing nga red kan lumabas so ito yung mga actual figures na punta tayo dun sa mga economic events na babantayan natin no mamaya 10pm at 8.30pm 8.15pm 8.30pm mga pulayan no mamaya titignan natin no yung ADP non-farm employment change ang previous is 296 ang forecast 173 question is this good or is this bad for the US dollar US dollar na ay kasi US data ang iririlis mamaya ay yun nimang sumasa gusuri yun bad how about unemployment claims yan 229,000 ang previous ang forecast 236 my question is is this good or is this bad for the US economy bakit merong good merong bad gusto ko lahat kayo isa isa lang ang sagot itype nyo lahat kayo, ang forecast pa lang ito wala pang wala pang actual di ba ang itype nyo good dapat itype nyo good bakit good iba unemployment yung pinag-usapan natin unemployment claims sa America kasi kapag biglakan naging unemployed you can claim welfare from the government di ba kung meron ito wala pero sa US you can claim welfare ito yung mga nakiklaim nung 2 months ago nakiklaim 229,000 ganun karami ang nawalan ang trabaho ang forecast nila is 236,000 sorry mali ako bad pala dapat bakit kasi naging 236,000 dumami ang unemployed so ang tamang sagot dito ay bad sorry ha good ang pinapasaabi ko sa ino kanina o bad yan kasi 229,000 naging 236,000 di ba so ang in-expect natin dito is bad so baka bad anong gagawin natin are we going to buy the US dollar or are we going to sell the US dollar sell di ba isan ang gusto kong yung itay sell da pat sell the US dollar yan so naintindihanan ninyo kung pa paano mag-interpret nito madali lang di ba do sa unemployment claims kailan lalabas yan kailan lalabas yan ngayon Thursday June 1 di ba anong oras paami ang 8.30 so kung akusik kayo di na muna ako mag-e-trade magbabatay na lang ako mag-abot na 8.30 pagdating ng 8.30 sa kakutitignan kung ano yung magiging actual at I will act accordingly di ba so trabaang tamad di na ako magbabatay ng market ngayon na lang ako ngayon magbabatay na lang ako ng 8.30 magingitay ang 8.30 so nakitay nyo ang ganda mag-trade ng fundamental pero dalawang merong dalawang question and answer if for example USD has good news in the economic calendar would Euro-USD go up Francis no if it's eh anong yung ikaw na nag-describe good for the US dollar so the chart will show that the Euro dollar will start to go down not up kasi market down kasi you need less dollar to buy the Euro so nags strengthen yung US dollar di ba ang usapan nating dito good ang good ang release sa US dollar so napat bumabasa not to go up si Bernard tama yung sagot kanina but sell any more questions clear na tayo dito okay good kung clear na let me just go back to my slide there's a question sell po Euro dollar anong clear na tinatanong mo na sell ang Euro dollar okay so description ang non-front pero this is an old data from 2000 to 2012 if you will notice yung non-front pero medyo volatile bumaba ang market bumaba at market naman so may ikitamin niya sa economic ang dahil yung mga charts na yan si Alvin as a scenario oh tapos na tayo dun Alvin so for the economic calendar high impact factors are always marked in red books yes Alvin they are always marked in red it is expected that it is going to create heavy volatility in the market compared to the yellow and the greens yung si miss clear if ever yung actual mag-confirm sa forecast sell po Euro dollar balik tayo dun sa if the actual is higher than the forecast chances are it's good for the dollar pero in this case things were talking about unemployment lower is better di ba so if the actual is lower than the forecast then it is a sell for the Euro dollar yung po ayon so yung ang anong si Elisair may anong tanong Sir Bakit Patas yung ayon na red man ang nyo sa Euro Elisair can you please rephrase your your question medyo hindi ako ma magali magbasanan ane ng abbreviated ayon so let me get back to yung please rephrase your question or ano hin mo para mas madali na atin may pindiya going back to the non-farm payroll eto yung example nung kanyang activity for the last 12 years mayikita naman ninyo eto non-farm payroll iba yung oras ko dito kasi I am using a different economic calendar here but if you will notice eto yung kanyang historical graph umaaket bumababa umaaket bumababa sorry balik tayo and also eto yung yung previous yung previous niya is 200,000 yung forecast niya is 180,000 so kumotay yung pasweldo ng non-farm payrolls so it was supposed to be bad for the US dollar kasi kumotay from 200,000 naging 180,000 pero nung lumabas yung actuan in this case it's higher than the forecast and even higher than the previous this became instead of bad for the US dollar it became good for the US dollar so and if you will notice it is still a high impact news kulay pula hindi siya kagayin dito yung price in yung Corp. CPE price index na color yellow hindi siya masadoong high impact news ayon si Celes may tanong ano ang CPI it's consumers price index yun po yung ibig sabi na CPI there's a question hindi na ko binalikan ni Elezer pero si Lolita anong sagut mo sa good ayon non-farm payroll yan previous yan now let's talk about the interest rates interest rates traditionally if a country raises its interest rates its currency will strengthen because investors will shift their assets to that currency or country to gain higher returns again let me reiterate it is a short term so kung narin meron kang extra money tapos nag-raise ang interest rates ang US anong gagawin mo e extra money ka and he start buying the US dollar across the board sell the yen sell the euro sell the pound sell the osi sell gold sell bitcoin sell crude oil because they raised their interest rates but again of course all the traders in the world will sell short term so all of them sell so when they receive their orders they will liquidate it quickly so you should also pay so it's important that you are a monitor miss elizair as a elizair meron ang question sir yung europe news po na lumabas sir ren I still don't understand what you mean miss sali a little helpier baka alam mo yung and interest rates eto naman yung european interest rates oh sorry but tumatalon and 2.5 as 0.25% expected this 0.25% so there's no chance that there is going to be a revision on the interest rates however no we still monitor that kasi high impact paano kung biglang naggrace sila ng interest rates so it will be good for the european currency di ba so what do you do you start buying the euro across the board di ba pero kung kung naring nag lower sila ng interest rate from 0.25 ginawa nilang 0.10 what will you do di ba you start selling the euro dollar across the board you buy the dollar you sell the euro you buy pound you sell the euro you buy the yen you sell the euro again across the board do you follow so walang tanong very good next is the consumer consumer price index kanina may nagtanong ay anong CPI ito yung CPI the CPI is a key determinant of the level of inflation in any economy and is calculated by taking a household basket of goods and comparing the value of this to the previous period the CPI is the price of the following food and beverages housing, apparel, transportation medical care, recreation education and communication and actually education and communication na ano na to sa internet na ibangdag na sa internet and then other goods and services pag sinabi internet na yung Netflix na yung mga social media parang lumalaki na yung fine ito at nabawasan na yung recreation at yung sa other goods and services parang nakokonsolidate lumalaki na yung sa education and communication this is an example of the CPI from Switzerland the previous is negative point one therefore cast is negative point two pero ang lumabas zero so it's actually good no? so again alam ninyo kung kailan lalabas ang CPI at kung anong oras no? hindi nyo na kailangan mag monitor ng market 24-7 kasi mamimili na kailang laban ninyo you will be choosing your battles ah yun si Elisair nakatanong bakit yung news ay lumabas sir is red pero bakit tumatas ang euro-dollar di pa naman nag-release ng economic event it is perceived because high impact pag lumabas na yung data mamiyang hapon no? gagalaw at gagalaw yun now depending sa magiging data release if it's good for the dollar na pagsaki yung euro-dollar but if it's bad for the dollar ay di pa akit chan to further show you nang ikita nyo po ba yung economic calendar ko ano po yung nakikita ninyo sa screen hello CPI hindi nyo po ba nakikita yung screen ko which is the economic calendar yun can you see it na? ok thank you anta nung ni Elisair is bakit tumatas ang euro dollar wala pa naman po kasi 830 mamiyang papong 830 at saka 815 pwedein gumalaw pero sa ngayon ito mo ng oras is fixed 58 ay ang next na lalabas actually 730 magagaling pasayuro so mamiyang papuyan talaga magkakaraw ng impact hindi po 40 red dapat gumalaw ng ayun niya it only signifies the volatility it will have on the currency markets tonight at 815 at 830 at 10pm no? for today for Thursday no? hindi na natin yung orange which is the ISM manufacturing prices hindi ko nakinukonsider yan yun so I hope I answer your question Elisair anonimus no? does it happen po ba na there are conflicting reports like high high unemployment but high NFP so it's a negative for the economy at it's a positive ano ang nagiging magiging effect niya sa US economy okay there are two questions number one does it happen that there are conflicting reports yes it happens anong nagkakaran ng minsan conflicting reports pero yung mas understand we're talking about forecast here of economists so mas maraming economist mas maraming possible answer so marami silang nagiging reports na ilalagay sa forecast so it is bound to happen di ba naging joke na yung ano yung naging president si Erap na he will hire 50 or more economists to help build the country ay di ba big las ang pinagtawan ano mga tunay na economista pina isang economista lang e ok na pero pagspinagsamamong 50 wala ng wala ng katapusang dibatihan so nangyayari po yun now anong magiging effect niyan Mr. Anonymous attendee di ba ang sinabi ko ang babantayan natin dito yung actual result hindi yung forecast so depending on the actual result then you act accordingly not anticipate the market ok po ok guys please maintain your questions to the chat not on the Q&A na lang po para hindi ko na ako pabalik-balik ok na sa legend po pala on the left side yung significance as reference to the color coding yes Alvin nasa parang third fourth column any more questions ok balik tayo sa aking power point so CPI kanina na tanong ito na nasagot na natin next is the gross domestic product latan bang sa meron niyan and I am pretty sure all 73 participants attending this webinar have already heard of the GDP or the gross domestic product the GDP is a reported quarterly survey and is followed very closely as it is a primary indicator of the strength of the economic activity a high GDP figure is usually followed by expectations of higher interest rates which is mostly passive for the currency so they go hand in hand paglumabasin GDP expect yung interest rate to have some activity as well and you already know higher GDP good for the economy lower GDP bad for the economy merong pang kasunod yan sa atin naman ng GNP merong chat question again please the higher the CPI the higher the inflation which is bad for a particular currency amada ok balik tayo doon sa CPI kaya lang pangit yung maliit lang yung question kanina ni amada is the higher the CPI the higher the inflation yes ito yung anon niya di ba CPI is the determinant of the level of inflation in an economy and is calculated by the basket of goods so kung matasang CPI yung basket of goods op sorry tumalong tumalong pakit tumatalong so kapag matasang tatas din yung inflation sa economy so pag kanangyari yun minsan nakaka-affecto sa ating assessment ng event natto yun but in this case medyo pangit lang yung negative one ang focus is negative two lalo pang bumaba pero lung lumabas zero in pinoral green nila which is signifying that it's good for the swiss economy yun what do you mean by which is bad for a particular currency if the actual is red then it is going to be considered as bad for the swiss economy if it's green like this one it is expected to be good for the swiss economy yun I hope I was able to answer the question lalo kasi yung ane yun okay thank you amada let's jump back to gdp eto question ko yung previews na gdp sa us quarter one quarter is 2.8 ang expected ng mga economista is 3% let me ask you this question is this good or bad for the euro economy expected natin good di ba pero hindi nyo na catch yung ano ko yung question ko yung atin anong ko good or bad for the euro pean economy good for the US dollar dineretso nyo ni alvin para siguradong bad for euro pero it's not tricking you it's good it's supposed to be good for the US economy eto quarter one quarter pato mas mahaba yung time frame na ginamit ni ba kesa sa month on month pero again ladies and gentlemen ina-anticipate ninyo yung dapat mangyare pero please wag muna kayong mag-e-enter ng trade hangkat hindi lumalabas ang aktual yun po ah marami ako mga kaibigan na traders mga batikan na din yung iba mas matagal pang nag-de-trade sakin minsan na nauhuli ko sila nag-e-enter na sila ng trade wala pa yung aktual data release so ang nangyari 50-50 kasi it's either good or bad lang yan niya di ba so kagay nito yung isang batingan na trader nag-anticipate bumili na ng dollar against the euro et kaso big lang ang lumabas pala ay 2.6 mababa pa sa forecast mas mababa pa sa previous quarter so ano nangyari lumipad yung euro so hong yung po yung e-anticipate all 73 participants please hong yung e-anticipate yan wait for the actual bukas pag-uusapan natin pano natin i-monitor yung trading natin to maximize we have to wait for the right time ah in ano what we mean by right time no you only have to wait for the exact time kasi wala namang pung right time yan ang exact time natin yun but lumilipad yung ano po exact time po hindi right time meron po yan silen what if po may actual report 20 for the u.s. and another positive event din po sa euro ok sa gating ko yan depend yun kung ano mas malakas dun sa dalawang high impact news no but i would always side with the u.s. and mind you wala pa po akong nakitang event na nag-sabay na same time yung positive sa euro and then positive sa u.s. kasi you know why makit hindi nangyari yan kasi makaiba sila ng time frame ng time zone so hindi you talaga magtutog mayo in my close to 30 years of trading hindi ko pa nakitang nagkaroon ng ganoong event na fundamental calendar nag-sabay euro at saka usb sabay na positive yun next question magiging ranging ko ba ang price ng euro-dollar para magiging no trade ka dun ah para nasugot ko niyan misa Len dun sa first question yun nyo um usually hindi kasi magsasabay kaya hindi ako mag magiging ano no trade I always trade the high impact news ayun similensyo the actual time hindi ba hindi nang balik tayo dito sa aking economic calendar diba mamaya lang pagkatapos natin mag magwebina 815 mayroong lalabas na data non-farm ADP define automatic data processing ang ibig sabihin ng ADP this is not as good as dun sa actual but there is still a chance, no high impact pa rin siya now yung previews is 296,000 ang ine-expect mila is 173 this is bad for the US economy so naka-anticipate na ako dito na magsisel ng US dollar what time will I start selling the US dollar it's not going to be 7-11 it's not going to be 8 o'clock it's not even going to be 8-10 I will only pack that sale once an actual figure is posted here that actual figure will only be of two possibility no, red or green if it's green meaning mas matasya sa 173 so it's going to be good but if it's red then it's definitely going to be my anticipated expectation so then I will act accordingly I will enter a sale or there at 15 minutes later di ba sabi ko baka mga 5 minutes lang patanggaling ko na sa market yung order ko na yun so mga by 8.20 wala na ako sa market because I have another data to monitor which is high impact with the unemployment claims 229 naging 236 kanina sabi ko dito good pero mali pala ako so paray hong bad so may kita ninyo parang malakasang galao mga mayang gabi 8.15 and 8.30 malakaslaka sa maging galao which is anticipated to be bad for the u.s. the economy do you follow ganoong kandali mag-trade sa fundamental di ba hindi ka na magbabantay ng market all throughout the day ito lang ang babantayan mo 8.15, 8.30 tapos mayang alas this, kapag gising ka pa bang pay mo naman yung ISM manufacturing PMI bakit? kasi high impact news siya pwedein gumalaw yung market si Miss Lenn sorry kumalaw hindi ok lang yong mas maraming tanong mas gusto ko pinapanot kasi ako ang sabi nila initial movement down ng market after the high impact news is released could be a fake out sa experience nyo po ba? tama yun hindi po hindi effect yan siyong nagsadin yan there's no faking it Miss Lenn pero maganda yan hindi lang ako yung resource nyo pero hindi wala anong finific anong finific nila? I haven't experienced that na finific nila yung data kasi once na pinos na nila yung actual yun na po yun hindi hindi ko po alam ko kanito gawin mo len para kalagang maniwala kado sa finific kabang nakamonitor ka sa economic calendar sa website buksan mo yung TV mo sa Bloomberg kasi i-release din nila sa Bloomberg yan or better yan magdikit ka ng dalawang TV yung isa nakatunin sa Bloomberg yung isa nakatunin sa CNBC paglumobas ang data yun na yun, actual na yun fake. So could be a fake out movement down the market after high impact news could be a fake out who's that genius saying this to you pero ano po ano gusto ko po if this count yung sinaselbingan no, I want to prove it to you na hindi fake you post, you monitor the calendar and then tune in to CNBC and Bloomberg and look at the data once it is released on the website it's also released on TV so hindi nila pwede yung fake yan How long do you usually hold your position according to the direction of the trend? Alimbawa, positive for US then you sell your $1 Yes, okay, how long oh, anggang may bago bang high impact news oh, yun na ganda yun tanong mo mas gusto ko tung mga gany tung tanong di ba nagsail na tayo kasi positive for the US dollar so sell tayo ng Euro dollar tama yan sell tayo di ba sabi ko sa inyo on short term ito and in fact usually lumalabas na ako within 5 minutes kasi eto, tama yung dinidescribe na natin tayo subumagsak yung preso na minute na mag-stagnate yung preso ibig sabihin on habang nagsas-stagnate siya meron ng bumibilito sa time na yun di ba kaya nga nags-stagnate kasi dapat kung still pa rin ang sell yung mga traders baksak pa rin ang baksak yan di ba pero pag naghuminto at nags-stagnate ibig sabihin meron bumilin ng time na yun malakihan suburo kaya nags-stagnate that's the time I will also liquidate my open position kasi ibig sabihin on parang meron ang nga taraugan meron ang antauhan at bumilin na at kaya nags-stagnate malaki ang exposure niya di yung follow di ba kaya gumagalong market is because of supply and demand so araw-araw may nag-bibenta nung lumabas yung data lahat nag-benta maraming nag-benta mas maraming nag-benta kaysa sa bumilin kaya bumabags sa compresso iback so kung tulit-tulit ang baksak na price ibig sabihin mo marami pa rin bumibenta habang bumabags sa compresso pero pag at one point big lang huminto yan nags-pumitik kataas ibig sabihin may bumilin na no mas marami parang nataraugan yung mga traders at medyo nakapilong sila nung mga bumibili for me that is enough for me to understand na it's time to exit the market so hindi po magahampay hanggang magkaroon ng high impact news huwag po gano sobratagal niyan five minutes lang ang gali na natin len no yun minsan tulit-tuloy minsan mahaba talagang malakasang galaw minsan nung bahagot ng 15 minutes pero on average I'm out of the market within five minutes isang steep lang ng yosi tapos na ako some clear minsanong sir ibig sabihin po ba pag bad ang US dollar anong gagawin sa Euro dollar kapag bad sa US dollar you buy Euro sell the dollar so you buy Euro dollar misclear sa nakiriyon windbird so dapat 30S for one minute ang time frame I normally monitor windbird using one minute kasi gusto ko yung bawat pitik ng currency di ba so nakikita yan sa one minute wala naman 30 second na time frame sa mt4 or mt5 I'm not sure anong trading platform ang gamit mo windbird si milesio sir yung bang pang trades up between ADP non-farm payroll and unemployment claim ang time frame sa scalping trading ay 15 minutes time frame at sa kap pwede bang mag-buy and sell at the same time para kumita first question sa time frame mo sa mt4 hindi ang ginagami ko is one minute not the 15 minute and it has nothing to to do with the time frame of your chart kasi fundamental po ito milesio hindi ito technical so it makes no sense monitoring it on the 15 minute time frame at sa kapwede bang mag-buy and sell at the same time para kumita kapwede kang mag-sabay buy and sell pwede ang sabay yan pero hindi ako sigurado na para hong kikita no, depending di yan gusto naging ano may ayon para hong kayo ni MR at sa kan ni milesio ng tanong anong time frame po ga gamitin pag sa pag 5 minutes ano mo ay nado maguloy tanong mo MR anong time frame po ga gamitin sir pag 5 minutes para mo na sinagawa 5 minutes ang ginagamit mo pakaintindi ko dito MR 5 minutes ang ginagamit mo time frame refresh may yung question and then I'll get back to you okay okay, new share tayo balik tayo sa ating power point okay, CPI next is durable goods it is an indicator that is released monthly by the Bureau of Census that reflects new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of factory by goods in the near term or the future durable goods orders come in two releases per month the advanced report on durable goods and the manufacturing shipments inventories and orders ano ito mga durable goods nato ito yung mga makina sa paprika yung mga robotic equipment na ginagamit sa mga integrated circuit factories yan meron tanong uleh Mileso anong expiration ang pinag-usapan natin dito Mileso medyo hindi ko pa rin naitin yan sir baka kasi maabutan ng expiration meron baser aling po yung maabutan ng expiration kasi wala naman ako pinag pinag-discuss na may expiration okay, thank you, MR. Nook is the retail sales bakit nang Q&A uleh? Regional, you can use limit you can use pending stop orders for this chat yung pagset ng buy entry at hindi pa tayo Mileso hindi pa tayo kasi nagsiset ng buy entry at sell entry so I'm still confused as to what are you referring to okay, moving on it's now discussed retail sales nasagot ko na kong kanong nakamisali by regional nasa Q&A retail sales, Australia yung retail sales ito yung sa mga effects ng sales nila sa mall tagay ng SNM, ng Robinsons, ng Ayala semprin nag-report yan sa government nakikita nila ang total sales ng mga retail outlets ito yung example nito mat on mat from Australia 9% ang previous ang expectation nila is 4% actually dapat kung titing na mo mababa gumaba yung sales so dapat it's supposed to be good but again we're talking about the effect on the actual against the forecast so in this case from 0.4 naging 0.5 umakyat so they call it did green to signify that it is good for the Australian dollar yan unemployment rate yan pinag-usapan natin kanina nakamalipako ng assessment which is supposed to be bad pala sinabi ko good oh sorry di ko kasi nakikita ito yung unemployment sa US galing 7.3 yung previous ang naging forecast is 7.2 so mababa tapos ang mababa is 7% mas mababa kung monti yung unemployed it's good kaya clean ang kinulay sa kanya do you follow? sorry, tumatalon, sorry yung mouse kuma maganit na yan yung jobless claims kanina na ano to na discuss na natin yung wala ng trabaho nag-claim ng welfare sa government nare-record yan para ito yung panahon natin ng pandemic di ba nag-bibigay yung mga paranggay ng cash incentive sa atin kasi hindi nga tayo makatrabaho at in this case sa US meron silang mga welfare centers pwede kang pumunta para humingin ng welfare insan may tulugan pang para pwede ka dun matulog so yan jobless claims wala masadong dito wala pa forecast at wala pang wala pang forecast efinitly wala pang actual jobless claims from the US lumalabas yan now let's talk about housing starts housing starts can be significantly affected by weather the numbers are also presented as seasonally adjusted and smoothed out using statistical formulas the housing starts data are often revised to reflect the most current evaluations housing is a key part of the US economy which has an effect on related industries such as banking the market sector pro materials yung durable goods employment construction manufacturing and real estate so yung housing starts matayan din ninyo in a strong economy people are more likely to purchase new homes conversely in a weak economy are less likely to buy new homes so ito yung example not only from the US but also from Canada ito housing starts from Canada and if you will notice pula kasi yung previews is 198.2 ang forecast 195 pero yung actual 192.2 mas mababasa 195 mas mababasa forecast ang yunawa nila kinulayan nila ito anong gagay natin kapag anong yung yung data release are we going to sell the kanidyan dollar or are we going to buy the kanidyan dollar sell cut oh tama so anong gagay natin sa dollar cut do we buy or do we sell buy tama yung buy tayo kasi buy tayo ng dollar sell tayo ng cut di ba yung buy tama si claire buy USDCAD tama si Richie Emanuel thank you for your answers ang nagtanong ako sakut kayo kagit kasi alam kumero poin system si miss Sally at yung manan na aliyata bibigen na cell phone iphone 14 niya so sakut kayo kagad dah oh yun may 5 poin si claire similesyo 3 poins Johan 1 poin mox naman eto hindi ito data event but let me just discuss the federal open market committee di ba kanina na mention ko there are 50 55 independent states in the united states so bawat state parang mini country say di ba meron sa sariling federal research which is the central bank meron din sa central bank govern or bawat state no let's say for the state of the exiles meron govern don yung govern or don is like the mini president of texas meron din federal research doon which is the BSP in our case so yung BSP meron din sa govern or saan din govern tawad di ba yung saan nila federal research govern or saan din di govern or 55 govern or saan 55 central bank or federal research govern or saan lahat yung mga yan nagminit yan every now and then to discuss whether to tighten or print more tighten the economy by way of increasing the interest rate or lowering the interest rate and they are also uh responsible for deciding to print more money or print more coins or central bank stuff no yan basayin ko lang ito um FOMC which is the 55 governors meets up eight times per year to set key interest rates such as the discount rate and to decide whether to increase or decrease the money supply ito yung pagprint o pagsunog ng mga pera which the Fed does by buying and selling government securities for example to tighten the money supply they decrease the amount of money available in the banking system the Fed sells government securities uh the meetings of this community which are secret secret in a sense na close door meeting yan no pero ina announce naman yan no are subject to much speculation on the street and analyst analyst analyst try to guess whether the Fed will tighten or loosen the money supply so if you have inside information pero talagang wala so yan yung FOMC that is the federation federal open market committee sa next slide ko may kita ninyo one of the members fissure meron siyang speech and wala previews wala ang forecast wala ang actual speech ang pinagusapan dito it's not a release on an economic event but nandiless pinupos yan sa economic calendar kasi baka mamaya niya big na sinabi ni Fissure no pag atapos ng meeting niya ng speech niya at 7.15 big na niya sinabi na the federal reserve will raise the interest rates ay may mong hiyari sa market di ba ano ang mong hiyari sa market five points ladies and gentlemen pag big na na karon ang sinabi ni Fissure the federal reserve will raise the interest rates what will happen to the US dollar good or bad si clear tama good for the dollar short term effect di ba bakit short term effect eh lat naman tayo hindi naman tayo malakihan maglaro so chupita lang tayo so mayro tayong extra money di bili natin yung dollar kasi yung interest rates niya i increase so marami magbibili anang dollar tapos loksupply di man lilipad yung prasyon ng dollar against let's say euro so ano mong hiyari niyan apaka huminto na yung pag appreciate ng dollar that's the time you liquidate your position you follow so congrats clear si jemma may points kayo nung mamay ikatali ni misalian so importantin po yung FOMC pag nakita niyan bantayan yun na although yung color di ito is color coded as medium sa siguro baka yung yung speech lang baka inauguration lang o kaya pag-uusapan yung maging design ng bago nilang pera so ganun lang yung speech hindi mo na ini-expect na niyan kasi it has no bearing on the economy but sometimes it will be color-dread kasi baka yung closed door meeting o kaya yung speech niya will contain secret words or reading beyond the lines that can signify either raising the interest rate or lowering the interest rates okay so next is this one trade balance lat ng bansa may trade sa iba-ibang bansa and we call this the balance the trade balance now in every country dalawa ang mangyayari niyan pag sinabing trade we're talking about importation and exportation so pwede natin i-consider na yung trade balance ay deficit or surplus now for the sake of argument lang ang Philippines ba ang trade balance, deficit or surplus ano, mali yung tanong ko yung what are we an importing country or are we an exporting country importing importing tayo mas malakas ang importation natin kesa sa exportation natin halus lahat ng kochi sa kali imported halus lahat ng gamit ninyo imported halus lahat ng gamit ninyo sa pahay imported bumili ka ng ng washing machine o kayo bumili ka ng TV ano yung brand na TV mo baka sharp so japan yun di ba so imported yun pero yung sinasabi nilaw gawa na lang yung sa Pilipinas pero it's still imported now what are we exporting what is our biggest export import napakarami halus lahat di ba pero export natin ano OFW, sugar rice, labor tama labor or services nag-export ba tayo ng rice di ba parang mas imported pa yung rice natin banana negativity online parang nakatakot maging kaaway silen sa online jokling din labor so laborer now what country is on a surplus alam ba ninyo japan yes u.s. and china yun yung mga big threes yun ang mga nakasurplus pero hindi ang u.s. nakadificit na sila last time i-check china is on a surplus japan is on a surplus korea ang oven check parang korea na rin but nevertheless Australia parang Australia ninyo nakasurplus but nevertheless babantayan din natin yung trade balance kasi nakakaapikto yun sa world market like in this case negative 10 billion yung preview so the UK is definitely on the deficit not on the surplus negative 10 billion sila 10.10 billion and then the forecast is negative 9.35 billion and then nung lumabas yung data 9.30 negative 9.73 billion pile down the forecast so ang nangyari kinulayan nila ng pula kasi to signify that it was bad for the British economy yung trade balance nila sa bup pa bumapalang bumapalik pa sa 10.10 billion so babantayan din niya although in this case kinulayan nila ito ng medium yellow siya hindi siya red pero sa akin I monitor this from time to time so in essence closing this presentation no this is how I see the market yung mga pinagusapan na 10 yung industrial production reports unemployment producers price index retail sales, housing starts non-farm payroll, interest rates GDP, GNP they impact market volatility depending on of course the release the release of the event it can be interpreted always into ways it's either good or bad for the data release now having said that market volatility will in turn create currency volatility then kasi pa sinabi market volatility it's not just the correct market but also the other markets equities market yung mutuals bound security nakakaapik to rin kasi yung doon so kaya rin siyang gumalaw accordingly but in our case you're a trader I am a trader I'm only monitoring it doon sa aking instruments na binabantayan particularly pag nyoobika yung monitor it using your trade work currency which is in this case anong ano ang sinafages concurrency pair na kagamiti ninyo or utitrade ninyo euro dollar di ba so meron na mga iba nakitrade ng gold sila yung pagbabantay ng gold or crude oil or iba bitcoin yun yung mga effects ng ating fundamental analysis there's a question that I just need to read from Michelle meron Michelle just get in touch with Miss Sally tama si Paterno, euro dollar dapat kapag nyoobika, you start with euro dollar takana tayo adventure sa mga ibang instruments like gold, bitcoin or other currency stuff dito mo na tayo sa euro dollar ok eto mandina technical analysis so this concludes our webinar medyo marami tayong tanong-tanong maraming mga questions, thank you for the questions at pagusapan na natin ngayon ang mga inyong mga thank you Re namada for taking the time to listen to the webinar ladies and gentlemen I'd like to ask this question meron na po baka yung mga trading account sa TickMail yun si Gemma meron na yes Gemma I'd like to interview you Kamu sa trading mo at negative trade na po pero so far ok and suguro mi Sally magkaron tayong session ang parang lahat na mga traders parang paawaulang over beer over coffee pure sir ganun lang no gusto kung isa beer andami na yun ang dito si Patino, si Claire si Alvin kawalong wala ng traders fair present sila and invite kita ay alam mo naman alam mo naman byulente ako sa ganyang di ko pinapansin yung ganyang kaya di sir meron mga pag kayo kayo lang din at least makakasama kami kawalong wala pero sir, invite kita sa IV workshop so that would be on June 12 June 12 na yun wala pasok na naman sa holiday ulit sa favorite place natin alam na sa prestige yun tunay yung una yung una hindi sa San Miguel dun po sa Emerald tayo June 12, okay 10 o'clock 10 o'clock in the morning 10 to 2 sir workshop, IV workshop may mga activities tayo so mga IVs yun if you are interested magsesend ako ng landing page this week para dun sa mga gusto umatend nakapagadvertize pa tayo June 12 yun 10 o'clock to 2 o'clock meron tayo mga raffle prices may cell phone meron tayo $500, $300 and $200 ay pabimigay and that's withdrawable pwede pung iwidrow pwede ring itrade guys i know na mas magadap para mapalaki sir no ayun so yun guys so thank you so much sir Nathan sa napakaramin namin natatunan tonight and guys please leave your email address nung sa gusto nyo makakawa ng recordings ng webinar na to again leave your email address para po may send ko sa inyo and at the same time mind you guys kakompletuhin po natin ng 5 webinar bago ko para hindi po isa-isa yung pagpapadala sa inyo para hindi naman tayo mapunta ng spam ok o sabihin nyo finaflad natin yung inyong mga emails ok so kung gula na kayong questions aside from meron tayo actually sir are you purely a fundamental trader or a technical ganito len my majority of the time I trade fundamentals na kasi because of the technology nowadays but during the 1990s I was purely a technical trader kasi ang information I cannot just get it on hand unlike today may internet na imagine this trading in the 90s how can I get the most viable information available to me there's no way kasi wala pang internet na yung ang pinaka fundamental data na makukawa ko will be at least 3 days old ito yung mga newspaper galing sa US pero mind you yung US newspaper trimint ngayong araw na to June 1 ay balita yan kahapon papus palili pa rin yung papupuntayin nyan dito sa Pilipinas so 3 days na 3 days old na yung balita so that's the latest news that I was able to concentrate my efforts analyzing the market technically but jump to 2023 ay mautot lang si Biden di ba na ay ita-tweet na yan may effect to nakagad yan sa market so ang gagawin ko I will monitor the news basically I'm fundamentally trading it and of course I pick my battles bukas mahikita ninyo ay ito yung paborito ko ititrade ko to bukas kaya 6-7pm lang tayo hindi tayo 2 hours bukas ay kasi ituturo ko lang sa inyo ko paano mag-trade ng in real time papus iiwan ko kayo kasi I will have to concentrate my efforts on trading my clients funds by the way kung gusto nyo ako mag-trade ng accounts ninyo we have mom here at pickmill kung bagap ipap-trade nyo sa akin but that's for a different time please coordinate with Miss Ali para kung interested kayo na ipat-trade sa akin Miss Ali nalang po yung kakausapin inyo ayon and then I don't have an account with me yet but I trade with other brokers Miss Len I'm not telling you to surrender your other brokers but it makes good sense to separate your investments eh di ba maglagay ka din tingnan mo yung bilis ng ano namin dito mabilis ba yung reporting mabilis ba ang deposit mabilis bang withdrawal tapos yung support give it a try Miss Len ayon so I hope I was able to answer all of the questions lahat na mga na sa chat puro mga e-mail na yun ok thank you bali sir mag-announce din po ako since tomorrow 1 hour lang din tayo kasi may kasabay tayong ibang mag-webinar after so again guys 1 hour lang tayo tomorrow so please lag on time para po lagin po kayo ng on time para po kapak-start tayo ng mas maaga and another announcement guys 7 o'clock tayo on Monday sir at June 5 7 p.m. po tayo on June 5 which is Monday so please at least inform po yung bawat isa sabi nga ni sir Vincent feel free feel at home daw sa tick mail kasi nakaka-register o kaka-add lang po niya sa GC kahapon so it's nice to know na yun po yung pagiging comment at pakiramdam doon sa GC natin napaka na-appreciate po namin yunan talagang napaka-accomodating naman po ng atin mga kasama so guys again leave your e-mail addresses para makuwan namin yung maisan namin sa inyong recording and again before guys we end the webinar so we have to pray and ask for guidance na nansin sa kapakatapos ng webinar alright Lord Father God we thank you for this wonderful night napakarami po namin natutunan at nawa po ang mga yung bagay na ito may apply namin sa actual trading namin at may share din po namin sa ibang tao na pwede po namin matulungan in this particular business and Lord we pray na makasama namin sila sa aming mission na magkaroon na isang successful forex trader sa bawat household at maituro at maipamanan na sa aming mga anak at sa aming mga kaibigan Lord we give you back all the praises and glory may we pray amen thank you very much guys thank you so much sir Nathan see you tomorrow thank you see you guys tomorrow alright okay so guys okay po babay sir so guys again leave your email addresses sa lahat po ng gusto ng ating recording for tonight ayan so sige po isend yung lang so thank you nil po sir Samuel thank you sa lahat po na umatend ngayon no and I hope guys na hindi kaya magsasawa and please chat your email addresses po sa chat box hindi po sa Q&A ha ayan so do it a transfer ko nalang ayan para po ayan so I close ko na po so ano nyo na po yung drill natin you know the drill guys kaya na po ang magli maraming salamat din po sir MR sa pag-attend po ninyo ayan maraming salamat po sir Alvin sir Emmanuel ayan sir Richie thank you po mom Gemma mom Claire thank you sir Alvin thank you po mom Mary Joy mom Joseline thank you sir Carlo thank you sir Milard thank you so much ayan so wala na po wala na po email address para ayan ayan okay so guys kakapi ko lang sir Rico hello nice to see you again nakakatawa po asa na ba yung chat zero five oh so juna pa lang ayun ayan okay so thank you so much guys have a good night I will send the link landing page para po sa adding IV workshop okay again guys limited lang po yun so please pa unahan lang po sa pag-register and we have raffle prizes para sa okay so have a good night guys and enjoy your time with your family God bless everyone bye bye po