 is a presentation of T F N N. Trading hour with your host David White. Call now toll free at 1 877-927-6648 internationally at 727-445-1044. Now David White. And welcome all to another exciting edition of the power trading hour with me, your humble, lovable and squeeze team. Thank you so much for joining us. We'd like to come to you at this time. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. So what do we have going on today? Well, it certainly isn't what you think it is. You never really know volume continues to be very quiet. Very very quiet volume. We've got 10 billion shares on a day to say that there's some juice up here at these highs. We just continue to have very quiet volume days, even on the up days. They're not what they really need to be. When we look at the dark pool volume, it is mostly Wall Street trading. There isn't a lot going on for the folks on Main Street as well as the big broker dealers, the dark pool people. They get to trade without really saying much until the end of the day. Even then, unclear whether or not, even if they did a trade and didn't even say that they did one, whether it would be in-depth in the juice, I think they do. I don't think they want to get sued. I don't know if they do exactly within the five minutes they're supposed to. We get so much attention on that as a percentage of the day that I'm just suspecting that they just kind of turn a blind eye to the fact that most of that trading during the day doesn't get added until the end of the day. But even then, we don't have the kind of volume that we're looking at here. Of course, trade issues are on the table. We're seeing the Russell 2000 up a bit today, about six-tenths of a percent, just based on kind of iffy discussions about whether or not we're going to get any kind of additional tariff hikes by the end of the year, which makes me think that, you know what, I've been looking at buying some stuff that I can only get from China and I'm going to think in the next day or two, I'll probably go because I'm just assuming that it'll take about a week, maybe 10 days to get here. I'm thinking that this would probably be the last week where we don't have to worry about everything getting caught up in a tariff issue as it comes across the counter here. And I can't imagine that the Chinese communists who run the country are really going to want to give anything up. They see that the president under attack maybe they're just willing to roll the dice for a year to find out but my guess is at the end of that year we're going to find out we probably didn't need the Chinese as much as they thought and many other people on this side of the pond thought and we may just start weaning ourselves off of a lot of products made by slave labor. They've got some 900 concentration camps over there. I think a lot of people just kind of want to forget all the horrible stuff going on kind of tough right now to do with Hong Kong but I think there may be a lot of reasons to think that why maybe 20% of that business comes back to the United States maybe the other 80% ends up in other countries which would probably be fairly decent spread the wealth out over in the Far East but again not a lot of volume not much going on here we'll go through some charts through the rest of the day tomorrow is my guess when it's going to be time to start adding positions again and of course today being the last day of generally the last day of options rollovers and of course this is a long option cycle to the 20th of December let's do a little history on this day in 1863 the full text of the Gettysburg address delivered by President Abraham Lincoln at the dedication of the soldiers National Cemetery at the scene of the battle of Gettysburg in the American Civil War on November 19th 1863 and here it is four score and seven years ago our fathers brought forth on this continent a new nation conceived in liberty and dedicated to the proposition that all men are created equal now we are engaged in a great civil war testing whether that nation or any nation so conceived and so dedicated can long endure we are met on a great battlefield of that war we have come to dedicate a portion of that field as a final resting place for those who here gave their lives that that nation might live it is all together fitting and proper that we should do this but in a larger sense we cannot dedicate we cannot consecrate we cannot hallow this ground the brave men living and dead who struggled here have consecrated it far above our poor power to add or detract the world will little note nor long remember what we say here but it can never forget what they did here it is for us the living rather to be dedicated here to the great work which they who fought here have thus far so nobly advanced it is rather for us to be here dedicated to the great task remaining before us that from these honored dead we take increased devotion to that cause for which they gave the last full measure of devotion that we here highly resolve these dead shall not have died in vain that this nation under God shall have a new birth of freedom and that government of the people by the people for the people shall not perish from the earth now they don't talk like that anymore do they on this day in 1863 of course the big news today in the stock markets I'm going to say is Home Depot I like to call it the homeless despot but Mr. Big Company did open lower about 230 bucks has gone nothing but lower today to 2540 we talked several times over the last few months about how we the lot of the housing stocks look like in fact the company yesterday or the day before maybe Friday can't remember a lot of those companies had started to act fairly weak already we've been in a fairly long growth spurt and housing and you know just at some point you're going to catch up to the most amount of people buying stuff any market gets saturated and at least if housing has not hit some kind of long term it's heard at least some kind of short term anyway we'll be back after this if you're not currently using the TAS Profile Scanner when looking at setting up your trading opportunities then your arsenal is short a mighty weapon the TAS Profile Scanner is a standalone piece of software that instantly filters over 2500 global financial markets such as stocks, ETFs, commodity futures and forex headed by Steve Dahl TAS understands that in today's technological world the use of top flight software applications and technical analysis expertise is essential to successful trading in today's market you also gain access to the webinar that Steve Dahl and Tom O'Brien just hosted the best way to use the TAS Profile Scanner to profit and our archive is available for all subscribers immediately upon signing all new subscriptions also 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Hear all of the TFNN shows, plus see all of the charts as they happen live and have access to archives of all of those charts. You can test drive the Tiger's Den absolutely free for 30 days and greatly enrich your knowledge of these markets and how to make your money work for you. Details on the Tiger's Den are on the front page of TFNN.com. TFNN has launched our brand new website. You can still visit us at the same TFNN.com URL, but when you do, you'll see a new and improved homepage with a much simpler navigation, whether you're watching Tiger TV live in high definition or just accessing your newsletter subscriptions. We even have new pricing in six months and yearly options. Check out the new TFNN.com now and experience all the upgrades, TFNN.com educating investors. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618. We're back with a look at a few stocks. You got Adobe today going through the August 9th Eye of 298-27, that had two and a half million shares. You got about one million shares so far. You had a couple million a couple of days ago, but that's still a few bucks lower as you actually break through that. You would like to see a sign of strength, million shares compared to 2.5. So let's say you end up with 1.7 million shares on the day, if we're going to be charitable, it is going to be a light volume hit back to these huge down days that started on July 29th. Autodesk, another one that's kind of breaking through the previous high in the last few days, September 12th, 159-88, three and a half million shares. Last three days, we had 1.7 million shares yesterday, 1.5 million shares today, 628,000 shares. So going to be very, very light. In fact, the energy off this October 23rd low, very light compared to the previous moves up and down. So there isn't a lot of juice to be steaming and storming the bass steel back into these. But again, volume probably going to pick up tomorrow and that's going to tell us a great deal more than anything we see today. First, majestic sober for a lot of gold being kind of down. This one actually back up against resistance. It had a huge down day of about 8.8 million shares going back to the 5th of August. Now, 5th of September, excuse me. And you're back into that today with about 2.7 million shares. A lot of the other ones are down, which is kind of interesting that that's up, even on light volume kind of bucking the trend. Lylem Pharmaceuticals, A-L-Y, A-L-N-Y, he said. Actually with some nice volume, but not holding the previous highs of April 1st. I don't know a lot about that biotech company. Nothing in that one, nothing in that one. A question about Kohl's KSS. Another one that dropped the Chalupa today and no real bounce or anything else so far. And it looks like it's headed back down to the 44 to $42 range. I was very surprised that they got this pig up this high. They've had a bunch of ideas and all of them seem like Hail Mary passes in the last 30 seconds of the game from returning Amazon products to the store. A lot of other stuff. It's not a bad store. I don't think these things are ever going to make the kind of profit that they did one day. And that is another one down on earnings. So we talked about a lot of earnings this week on retail stocks and you are being urban outfitters out after the bell tonight at 405. It gap down I think on the other retailers not doing so much. And of course, most of these guys are probably going to guide down anyway because there's at least on guidance because there's six less days than there were last year in the lead up to Christmas from Black Friday. So everybody gets in the mood after Thanksgiving kind of they've been trying to push everybody to start buying in September. But I don't know how good that is. That kind of falls on deaf ears after a while. Anyway, when everybody gets busy and into the idea of buying Christmas presents the day after Thanksgiving. Well, six less days this year. And it's going to be very tough on the comps to come back on that. Anyway, as we said, urban outfitters out after the bell tonight for earnings tomorrow morning. We've got Target. Let's take a quick look at that TGT. This one's probably going to do better. I think it's there's a whole bunch of losers and a very few winners. But certainly Target probably going to do okay. They've got a high volume day yesterday and a doji today. But that's before the bell tomorrow. Lowe's also in the morning. This one actually had a fairly good test with higher volume yesterday but kind of rolled down on the homeless despots miss this morning. Volume's not all that crazy. It'd be very interesting to see if they say just the exact same as the homeless despot from earnings this morning. But I don't know, I think their stores seem to be a little less sensitive to new sales, new home sales and a lot more toward people redoing and actually fixing up their houses. It's a little nicer inside. Both of them are kind of boxed doors, but a little nicer inside. Then of course, tomorrow night, we go into L Brands. I don't know if there's anything that can fix this because people aren't going to the mall anymore. Question is, will this break through $16.10 tomorrow morning? SQM, with all the cars coming out, they're going to be electrified. Kind of almost silly that this thing's sitting on the floor and can't get up. But earnings out before the bell or after the bell, after the bell tomorrow night. That was Jack in the box and some others. And then Thursday morning, BJ's wholesale club, Macy's. So we're going to have a lot more of these. It's going to be very tough to see how any of those actually do fairly well. I've got actually something here, but I can't find it. I'll find it after the break. But yes, I do like the thing, but there's actually a reason why I started saying that. And I will find it. We're talking about dropping the chalupa, but I will find it when we come back. What else is it? Okay. That's it for earnings that I'm going to look at. I didn't say I was going to get to somebody. Oh, this is beyond meat. And it's beyond me, why anybody would want to eat something beyond meat. But that's it. I don't know, is it this quarter's weed stocks that went to $239.71 or just the end of a market or the top of a long bull market where people are basically talked into literally just about anything. Does this chart just remind you exactly Tilray? There's a lot of companies that can make this stuff. So I don't know if there's really, if these guys have some kind of secret sauce that no one else has or marketing that no one has. But my guess is that it's just going to be a very crowded market. And a lot of people are going to get into it. I think the thought was these guys had some kind of patentable thing that no one else could do. And now everybody and their dogs coming along with some kind of veggie burger. Well, I'm like Spock. I want to eat charred animal flesh, not a bunch of silly plants. So I don't know. Maybe everybody ate some and decided to give up on it. I'll be back after this. The path of least resistance is David White's daily trading newsletter. And if you're looking for active trading ideas, then now is a perfect time for a 30 day free trial to this powerful daily trading advisory service. David uses his years of trading experience to offer his subscribers his trading ideas each morning in his path of least resistance newsletter. Using a combination of equity trades along with options. David keeps his subscribers up to date with all pertinent market information with intraday afternoon updates when warranted. 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Get your copy of The Art of Timing the Trade Charts today by visiting TFNN.com. This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of TFNN.com. Yep, drop that chalupa. Anyway, we'll go on to some other stuff. Anyway, beyond meat, as far as I can tell, it looks just like Tell Ray. I don't think there's anything else going on in there. Let's just BLD. Haven't had a look at this one. Actually, Audencia Therapeutics bounced a little today. This thing's still in the downtrend, as far as I can tell. Burlington Coat stores, of course, do well in the winter, but again, I think with a short season this year, the comps are going to be very tough on these if people try to put fourth quarter to fourth quarter. If this thing doesn't drop the chalupa in this quarter, then it comes springtime. I have a feeling that this one probably headed back down. CBLK, which is carbon black, that one's gone. Possible low in Care DX, CNDA. $1.2 million share low from September 10th, $19.53. $1.2 million shares came into it with half the volume. It's starting to move back higher. What else do we have in here? CHK, Chesapeake Energy. No sign of a low on this one. It's down to 56 cents. D-Dog, which is a recent IPO, did have a nice spike lower out here. Of course, we've talked about this one last few, well, I guess last week. I don't know if there's a great deal more to say about it until this thing's been trading for a while. I don't know if there's anything else. We've got this, I think on Thursday, is it Thursday? Coming up on earnings for the gap. But again, both retail and in giant malls, not a good formula for big profits this year, most likely. It is down on lighter volume, but I think that's Thursday night after the bell, if I'm not mistaken. What else do we have out here? I guess we should look at IWM real quick. It is the strong sister today in the market up about six tenths of a percent. This thing's just dancing around the highs. The question is whether or not it's ever going to get the juice to break through. It is and does seem to be the weakest of the indexes except today, but you're coming back up to another previous high. And you really were looking for something in the neighborhood of about 40 million shares to break through the highs. You've got about 10 million so far. So let's say you end up with 15 million shares. By the end of the day, you're still going to be wait short of about the 40 million that you're looking for to LABU, which is the biotech bear shares. A nice push on this. You needed about two million shares to break even with the previous high. You've got 1.7 so far. So you are getting a little bit of love in that, but I have a feeling that's more of people being too short that sector. The TLT, they've been able to game this thing back up a bit, but again, you could make a case that today the TLT is coming into the downtrend line. What you can also make a case for is absolutely a dismal volume up on 3.6 million shares compared to the almost over 11 million shares back on the 4th of November. So there isn't a lot of juice back up into this trend line. Maybe another buck or so, 140 would probably be a fairly interesting level to look at seeing that re-top out if not go lower. MDCO, which is a medicine medicines company, they do a lot of generic stuff. This is the one that really pushed a lot of these hires in the pharma sector today. Got 73.85, but this one's kind of really tough to ever gauge. They don't say a lot about it. MGM, I'm wondering how many of these stocks that are sensitive to the Chinese trade negotiations would take a header if we do have more tariffs coming on. But I have to say right now, there's hard to find a stock testing a previous eye on lighter volume, $31.53 July 26, 12.6 million shares. Today you've got about 2.5 million shares. So I'm going to say fairly well-valued on that one was MGM. January 29th is the next earning. So you've got plenty of time before those come out. See what else is on my list of stuff to check out today. Party City up at its highs. Now this one's actually had some light volume yesterday, just 275,000 shares today. That goes back into the August 27th high at 1264, just under a million shares. And of course, what do you have today about 275,000 shares? So could you get a couple of days higher if this market continues to go higher? You could, but there are some stocks really screaming right now for people to get out of them. What else is on here? RCL, Royal Caribbean Cruise Line. This is going through the August 1st high, 1797 that had 2.5 million shares going through that today with 850,000 shares. Not exactly sure why going into this time of the year, this would be rather weak. He had some volume a few days ago, but it's still just 2 million shares compared to that 2.5 million share previous high. I don't know, norovirus hitting all these ships again. I don't know, but certainly looks rather weak. SKX, which is sketchers. Another one up here on ridiculously light volume. That's the July 19th high, $40.50 on 16 million shares. Got into it yesterday with 2.5 million shares today. 400,000 shares. Let's see when the earnings are on that. AKX, January 21st. So you certainly have plenty of time for this one. But another one that looks incredibly weak. And if we get some weak numbers out of the other retailers this week, I think you could make a fairly decent case that that one has stopped out. Okay, we'll be back in just a minute. We'll have some other ones we'll dig up here. There are a few stocks out here giving some interesting signals. And again, I think the sideways action is going to be over tomorrow. thousand. The interest paid is 7% yearly paid on a monthly basis. According to bankrate.com, the best rate for a four-year CD in the country as of February 20th is 3.1%. A $50,000 investment at a normal four-year CD rate of 3.1% would give you income of $1,550 per year or $6,200 over the four-year period. That same $50,000 investment in the Tiger First mortgage program would give you $3,500 per year or $14,000 over the four years. What should you prefer? 6,200 or $14,000 of interest on your investment. If you'd like more information about the Tiger First mortgage program, you can call me at 877-518-9190. That's 877-518-9190. newsletters cover every aspect of the markets to offer you the very latest in market news. Plus, new subscribers get to test drive our newsletters risk-free for 30 days. 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The prospectus or summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing. An investment in the funds is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal. The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. Distributor for side fund services, LLC. Don't forget, you can listen to TFNN live on your mobile device 24 hours per day. Go to TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV. That's TFNN.com and hit watch Tiger TV for the latest market information. And we're back. Zscaler got a question on that from Jim. I mean you're just kind of going sideways out here. You'd like to get one retest of $40 and five cents on about a million shares to make a nice low out here. All you have is kind of a minimal bounce. Could it still get to 55 bucks, 56 bucks where you've got this double gap out here? That's where you'd probably want to pull the trigger short. So I don't know if you're long this thing or what you're planning on doing short. It's at 56, long, light volume at $40 and five cents. So I don't know if there's much else you can do in that. Okay, what else do we have? Sil, which is silver. We've got an email on and silver is gold. I think the chart looks better. Silver kind of the overall profit at the top end looks better, but this is just a very big triangle pattern going back really starting back on September 4th. If you want to look at it that way or September 24th, if you're being conservative, but so far you just continue to have lower lows and higher and lower highs and higher lows. So till this thing breaks out of it, it's problematic. I mean, it had one of the better looking Gartley patterns for a while and it just kind of kind of mushed out. What else do we have that we want to put on the list? VRSN, which is verisign. Again, back to a lot of these triangle patterns until we know that they test the previous highs on lighter volume. Kind of a big day or big candle in verisign today, but it's just going into a candle of 1.1 million shares with 500,000 shares so far today. So it doesn't look like that's going to change much. Let's see what else we have in the grab bag of stuff. We'll look at the usual suspects like Microsoft. Again, no sign that this thing's cracking other than the fact that it's, you're getting very small returns a little bit higher and you're just wondering where the music's going to turn off. I don't see anything that really changes with Microsoft. Amazon, a lot of negative press on it for a change about how much they're going to be hurt by not selling Gucci bags and Nike shirts and stuff, but I don't know if it matters. No real good pattern to discern out here. Again, the bigger issue on this one, of course, is antitrust and antitrade issues. A fake book is, of course, pushing that they're going to have the digital currency and unclear if anybody actually is going to try to stop them. They're going to try to do it in Switzerland, so who knows if those guys are going to do anything. My guess is the second that they open that up, that there will be laws against anti-Munday laundering because, of course, governments love to collect taxes and if they could get around taxes with this or Bitcoin, Mr. Government is not going to like that. You're at least busting through the 193 high September 20th. You really wanted to have a lot of volume. You got okay volume yesterday, but still short of the 20 million shares at 193 den. Today you've got about 13 million shares. Could it go back up and test 208.66? Well, the answer probably it could. Again, taking kind of a big risk out here that you do get an announcement like that Google has with 48 of the 50 States Attorney Generals coming after them and that actually got expanded on Monday. Amazon pretty straightforward, I think, on it getting at least one day into the jaws of the Justice Department on antitrust. Certainly looks like Alphabet could close below a key mark today. That would be a close below 1296.98 and you're at 1313 right now. So maybe not. You need any close though in the next couple of days below 1296.98 would tell you a great deal that this stock probably has kind of topped out for a while and risk probably out ways reward, although the reward is probably a little bit more likely until the end of the year. Okay, what else do we have? Question on Boeing. I think we've talked about this quite a lot. What can you say? CEO is going to get fired. You probably got 20 bucks higher in that. If you are just absolutely compelled to short companies that have huge amounts of business in front of them and lots of orders, go short Boeing or Apple. Of course, Boeing has a little bit better case to short it, but it's just not a good case as far as I can tell a little bit of sideways action. Again, if you're going to short this thing, wait until they fire the CEO because I think there's at least 20 bucks in that day. What else do we have? Got some more emails. We'll check those during the break. You can give me a call at 877-927-6648. What else do we have out here we want to look at? Looked at sketches. I don't think anything else is going in Netflix today, although we'll be back to the usual suspects. You need a little bit more, but you are fairly close to there. When someone was asking whether or not you wanted a short Netflix, this came down off of the earnings call. This was on the 17th of October, down on 38 million shares. Yesterday, you got into it with 8.6 million shares. Today, just 4 million shares. As I said, 305, 310, light volume. I don't know if I'd pull the trigger there because of the short sellers in it. Let's take a quick look and see what they've been doing lately in Netflix. Unfortunately, everybody in their dog wants to short this. This is shorted almost every day 25% for the last two weeks, maybe even three weeks. Overall, although they short this a lot, it's not as bad as you might think. 6% overall short, two and a half days to cover. Overall, it's not that bad, but the problem is that you've got all these people that shorted yesterday, and it's just easy to push them out of the way today. What you want to do is see that FINRA action come, FINRA data come through for the daily short sells, where these people really kind of give up. And again, between Apple and this and Boeing, people want to short these things out the ingang, and they haven't got a signal to do so quite yet. Anyway, Apple, yeah. Another day, no trend line broken. We'll be back in a minute. Let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done, which is how to time the markets. 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Basil Chapman has just announced a live 90-minute webinar he'll be conducting for subscribers to his daily trading newsletter, The Opening Call, which will be taking place Tuesday, November 19th from 5.00 to 6.30 p.m. Eastern time, titled A Comprehensive Review of the Chapman Wave Techniques and Market Outlook Ahead for 2020. This is a great time to sign up for a 30-day free trial to The Opening Call while gaining access to Basil's live subscriber event taking place later this month. With some stock picks up 15 to 30% this year alone, Basil will review many of the Chapman Wave techniques that helped in their successful analysis as well as providing the sectors and stocks that he thinks will be of importance heading into 2020. For all the details, check out The Opening Call on the front page of TFNN.com. As we get ready to wrap up the show, we had a question about if how Apple is doing on its short sellers. 22% yesterday, short a company with $250 billion in the bank. You short the week and you buy this strong at the bottom, but at the highs, you short the week. And Apple comes back a little bit. It's going to destroy the rest of the market. But you look for the weaker part of the market here, not the strongest. I could see if you were talking about a one or two-day trade on an option or something. I've never really understood the idea of going after this thing. But again, yeah, you got people shorting Apple here at one out of four shares being shorted during the day on a company that's probably going to do okay on Christmas and has 250. Can I say it again? It has $250 billion. Why in the world will you short that stock? All it does is make it worse for the rest of us. But that's the way it goes. I can see some stocks like Tesla with a marginal business plan that are a problem. What else can you say? Just a very tough day to be shorting the strongest stocks. But like I said, what do we show? Four or five stocks that were being tested on less than 50% of the highs. That's where you want to start, not stocks that haven't turned down quite yet. But I have a feeling when these things level out, those weak stocks are already going to be the first to start selling off. So I can see not having a position, but I can't see shorting the strongest stocks in the market going into Christmas. This doesn't make a lot of sense to me. In the meantime, sell when you can, not when you have to. But you will see us here tomorrow. Same bat channel, same bat.