 Good day mate 40 here. Have you heard the news? According to the Washington Post a number of white people Falls for first time. Oh my god, and then Axios says America's white population set to shrink This is way on my hair fall that fell out Wall Street Journal America's white population Shrank for the first time. We're talking shrank. Shrack Who shrunk the whites honey? Who shrunk the whites? Slate says fast stretches of America are shrinking almost all of them Voted for Trump. Oh my god. We need to panic This is this is frightening Absolutely scary We're talking panic city So one reason that I became Disgusted with the the distant right is the lack of intellectual rigor And all the hundred of distant right essays articles and YouTube videos and podcasts that I heard about the great replacement and how America's white population is shrinking There was zero consideration that I ever heard on how the data is assembled like if you just take statement X and Then you build your whole life around statement X without doing any investigation into what constitutes statement X You're a moron right so That's just what let's call it first-level thinking. So let's say the CDC says that I don't know. Let's say the CDC says 610,000 Americans have died from COVID-19 Like that the smart intelligent thoughtful person then has to ask on what basis does the CDC say this and the Basis is on death certificates and the smart person has to ask well on what basis should we believe that death certificates are accurate and We over counting or under counting the number of COVID deaths and there are good arguments in both ways Right. There are good arguments that we are over counting the number of COVID deaths and there are good arguments So we're dramatically under counting now as it seems to me the academic consensus so far is that we're under counting COVID deaths by a factor of three But when you hear that the number of whites is falling for the first time then you have to ask on what basis what? constitutes those statistics, how were they compiled and there's just no I Have an account of any rigor in in dissonant right analysis It just I just see in the distant right and and in all sorts of superficial forms of analysis They just take something some government statistic and then treat it as God's honest truth So did white life expectancy fall well between which years and which years as compared to which other groups But I am not prepared for a live stream right now on white life Expectancy, but how the US census misleads on race an important op-ed in the Wall Street Journal today A new diversity index and a subtle change in a question have resulted in an undercount of whites Right, so the most common reactions that released the 2020 census Is summed up in the headline census data show the number of white people fell honey, who shrunk the whites And and the data show the number of whites declining by 8.6 percent And then you get a political projection on this that while gerrymandering could benefit republicans in 2022 The political future belongs to the democratic party which commands large majorities among minorities Well, number one, it is not ordained by heaven. The democrats will always command large majorities among minorities because people have interests And the the democratic coalition is composed of a whole bunch of groups who hate each other And about the only thing they have in common is some skepticism and fear of white christian america So it's by no means commanded that the overwhelming majority of asians or Latinos are always going to vote for the democratic party right, so These census Results are quite misleading So america's white population didn't really shrink between 2010 and 2020 It may actually have grown So about three out of the the american hispanic and asian population in this country is actually declining Because about 30 percent of hispanics and asians are into marrying And so 35 percent of third generation hispanics of mixed parentage no longer identify as hispanic 55 percent of third generation asian americans No longer identify as asian american And of those among americans of hispanic origin who don't identify as hispanic any longer about 60 percent Said they were seen by others as white So the racial identity of hispanics is especially confusing because the census asks Hispanic latino or spanish origin separately from race So in the 2010 census 53 of those who said they were of hispanic origin checked off only white Which is a 58 increase from 2000 The rise in white hispanics helped account for the increase in the number of whites between 2010 Between 2010 now in the 2020 census a mere 20 percent of hispanics checked off only white So why did it go from 53 percent of those who said they were hispanic In 2010 saying they were only white to in 2020 only 20 percent of hispanics checking off only white That's not reflecting real data on the ground that is to do with how the census was presented So the census changed how we question people about Race so in 2010 census asked responders to check off whether white or black Or african american american indian alaskan native asian pacific islander or some other race and that's it 2020 the census asked responders to check off white to specify their nationality with a german irish, italian, lebanese, egyptian And no spanish-speaking Nationality was then listed. So this created the impression that hispanics were another race That was standing in the previous questions disclaimer that hispanic origins are not races So yeah, riccardo Says what many people are now saying i always put refuse to answer on racial surveys What's jennifer riven's problem? Why does she hate white people so much? I don't know Isn't it weird how everyone seems to have to end a marriage except for Really dark people. Well, I don't know about that I'm not prepared on that But the way the census was Presented this year it caused a dramatic undercounting of whites So you can't just take it as guards on as truth that the census says oh number of whites has dropped a percent The number of whites may well have increased between 2010 and 2020 So social mobility into marriage Are weakening the distinction between americans identified as white and those americans identifying as asian or hispanic So census projections that the u.s. Will become a majority minority Nation by 2045 are likely to prove false So in 2020 the census introduced a diversity index and it filtered out hispanics who considered themselves white By creating a quasi racial category of 57.8 percent non hispanic whites So this is the percentage that most commentators reported as white, but At least half of hispanics in the united states identify as white So this this number in the census eliminated the 20.3 percent of people of hispanic Origin who still checked off only white. So they weren't counted as white So it's like the authors of the census were determined to fuel nativist fears that whites are being replaced and to fuel liberal hopes of growing minority based democratic majority So like many first and second generation americans Hispanics and asians initially found a home in the democratic party But later like the irish and the pols they've begun making their political choices On class on interest and on values So if third fourth fifth generation hispanics and asian still vote democratic won't be out of ethnic identification And in the 2016 and 2020 elections there was rising support among asians and hispanics for donald trump and other republicans Now black americans have not followed this path So black americans are less likely to intermarry than asians or hispanic And when they do their children are still overwhelmingly likely to identify as african american So compared to all other groups according to 2015 pew survey mixed race african americans are more likely to complain of racial discrimination So barack obama had one parent is white one parent is black, but he very strongly identified as black And he had all sorts of you know sad stories to tell about how he faced racial discrimination So asians and hispanics who intermarry Are highly likely to enjoy a significantly higher standard of living than unmixed hispanic and asian couples african americans who marry whites have a standard of living just slightly higher than unmixed african american Couples So the census is diversity indexes and the use of terms like people of color. They suggest some dramatic commonality between african americans Say living in poverty on chicago south side and the indian american CEOs of microsoft and alphabet All right, this this may help with reapportionment and redistricting But it does not exactly paint an accurate picture of america and its politics and eric hoffman author of The book white shift the future of white majority countries also has a column about this august 24 So he says the the idea of a great replacement the white americans and europeans are purposefully being replaced through immigration Has obsessed many on the right It's fringe belief But its concerns will be exacerbated by recent headlines such as in the washington post number of white people falls for the first time So the post article says the results of last year's census marked the first time the absolute number of people identify as white alone Has shrunk since the census started being taken in 1790 Again, you have to ask how was the census conducted? How are the questions phrased? We don't really have any strong reason to believe that the number of white people declined in america between 2010 and 2020 Do I ever think about my chinese ancestors? I don't I never think about my chinese ancestors. So I am 15 16th caucasian of warmingly of english and irish stock I never think about my lone Chinese ancestor who was a merchant in townsville my great great great grandfather Right, so when you're when you're more than 90 percent In one category you're not gonna think very much about just a tiny percentage that Has no effect on how you live your life so The left was jubilant about these new census results michael moor said this was the best day ever in us history And jennifer ruben gush, this is fabulous news now. We need to prevent minority white rule And tucker carlson Was condemning the last gloating but he claimed without any evidence the opioid crisis the white communities explained the decline So this news will only confirm views held by people on the fringe right That white decline is being orchestrated by globalist elites and will lead to dire consequences for white people and their children So the number of americans has who consider themselves to be white has increased Since 2010 Okay, white americans not shrinking white americans are not being racially supplanted so When you when people believe that white americans are being supplanted Then it tends to you know increased Support for you know far-right politics So this announcement may make the cultural left feel good But the results on the ground will be largely of benefit to the trumpest right in the populist right So according to this new census 5.1 million fewer non-hispanics tick their races white alone in 2020 But that's just because of the way the census was conducted So when you change the wording of a survey question you alter the pattern of responses So you can conduct a survey in a poll to get almost any response that you want Just by changing the wording So the 2020 version the census was changed Used to be the census offered a single tick box for white and black But now people are asked to write in their Their group in a text box below and 15 of black and white respondents did not write anything Or they wrote something that didn't make any sense So hispanic americans were told for the first time in a census that hispanic is not a race And they were asked to design theirs So this prompted people to question their choice of which box to mark they opted for a multiple race or other race category instead Also, I think the politicization of white identity in the trump era Probably caused fewer people to identify as white than previous It may well be that overall trump was bad for white identity politics So just like there are substantially more anglos in america than people who identify as anglo because identifying as anglo since about the 1915 1920 1930s has been considered boring right 1912 to 1920 Out of greenwich village new york city. That's when you had the rise of anglo self-hatred So you never had an anglo self-hatred movement in the united states prior to about 1912 1915 to 1920 But then you had this rise of this anglo self-hatred movement which essentially set the tone For racial identification that's still around today And this tone is that the white majority should become cosmopolitan and lose its ethnic Distinctiveness while for minorities it's wonderful if they retain their ethnic distinctiveness So it's great for blacks and for jews and for mexican americans and chinese americans and japanese americans To celebrate their unique heritage and to be obsessed with their unique heritage and to continue their unique heritage But if white people have similar concerns about their heritage, then this is pathology So it's wonderful when minorities do it It's awful when the white majority does it So this is thinking that developed out of greenwich village among anglo saxons wasn't created by the jews This is by disaffected anglo saxon intellectuals in the greenwich village village between 1912 and 1920 So I did a previous video on the rise of anglo self-hatred So in australia you'll find all these stories about the first the first, you know, aborigine Neurosurgeon or the first aborigine president of an orthodox synagogue So there was some some woman who was like a tiny part aborigine who converted to orthodox Judaism became the president of a synagogue I believe in sydney and this gets celebrated, you know the first aborigine president of an orthodox jewish synagogue But it's a little bit like elizabeth waran. Now she may be one 512th Cherokee, but that's what she pushes right because that's the way you get affirmative action So eight in ten black americans have substantial white backgrounds in the family history So we've had a dramatic Jump in the number of people who identify With being from two or more races. So america's becoming increasingly biracial But biracial whites and native americans consider themselves white And the assimilation process means that with each generation Fewer descendants of hispanic and asian immigrants Identify with their hispanic or asian immigrant backgrounds So it's impossible to concede that the number of americans considered white is actually in decline So white americans have maintained a northern european fertility pattern With a total fertility rate between about 1.5 and 2 and this has stayed steady since the 1970s So it's still below the 2.1 replacement level So the unmixed number of white americans will start to gradually decline in the decades ahead But the big demographic story in 2010s was not about white americans But there was a huge drop in hispanic fertility. There's also a substantial drop in mexican fertility in mexico But american hispanics their fertility rate is increasingly converging with the white rate under two So yeah, the share of completely unmixed whites Will probably dip below 50 by 2050 But the share of those who are considered white by wider society Will still be around 70 or so of the population And there's no indication that that's going to drop substantially below approximately 70 In the 21st century So people's subjective racial identity Is interesting, but we also need to know about the balance of objective racial categories. How do people regard you? Because how you proceed is going to affect where you live who you marry who you vote for And your your life outcomes So richard alba is an american sociologist of ethnicity and he Produces an important book the great demographic illusion about this this Delusion that you know whites are just cratering and you know america is rapidly becoming a non-white country So his important book the great demographic illusion didn't get reviews because it doesn't fit the prevailing narrative I remember when I was getting articles written about me all the time in 1998 But they when people write an article about you they always want to fit it within a narrative So I would I'd be fit in the narrative of you know bloggers who are transforming their industry All right, so I noticed when journalists would write about me They'd always want to fit it into some wider narrative And if you can't fit someone into a wider narrative, then you don't do the story So richard alba sociologist of ethnicity produced an important book the great demographic illusion Discussing in depth everything that I've just talked about but the book doesn't get reviews It doesn't get media coverage because it does not fit the prevailing narrative So the media love demographic stories That america is becoming non-white because that's interesting And All this hysteria is heightening You know the the perceptions of you know grave threats to to white people Which gratifies progressives at the same time it's going to substantially increase support for You know donald trump type populism So the definition of white may blur around the edges. That's eric hoffman But the white american majority is not going anywhere Bye bye