 Hello and welcome to the Daily Roundup, I am Sumedha, take a look at our top stories of the day. How accurate are exit polls? And day after the exit polls, instability is taking place in Madhya Pradesh. We'd also show you a ground report of clashes in Kashmir's Shopean region. In our international segment, we'd be talking about Colombian ex-Rebel, Jizu Santrins, how critical he is after his release from the rearrest by the state forces. For our top story of the day, we'd be focusing on how accurate are exit polls. After the seventh phase of the polling, exit polls have been released and they have shared their tallies on Sunday evening. Most major exit polls, which are conducted by the local media outlets, have put the ruling Bhartiya Janta Party led by Narendra Modi and the National Democratic Alliance Coalition as winning a clear majority when results are actually announced on May 23. Modi's BJP has been fighting it out for the votes of about 900 million people against the main opposition congress party, which is led by Rahul Gandhi and other national players as well. So over the course of the six weeks of polling, electoral rules have permitted that the publishing of national exit polls can only take place once polling ends on the final day. In the past, it is important to remember that the Indian exit polls have proved very unreliable in predicting precise seat tallies. Both in national and state elections, given the size of the electorate as well as the regional variations across the country. In 2014, most polls did however correctly put the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance as on track to secure a majority. The release of the polls have come after Modi had spent all day meditating in the Himalayan holy cave and when he offered prayers on the Kedarnath temple in the Garhwal region of Uttarakhand. In the upcoming national election of 2019, one must also be cognizant of the silent voter or the Bradley effect. The Bradley effect is a theory concerning observed discrepancies between stated voting preferences and actual voting behavior. For example, a voter stating their intention to vote for the BJP to a pollster but actually casting their ballot for the congress or for any other party for that matter. Many have been raising questions about the accuracy of the exit polls and the agencies themselves. Here is what senior journalist Abhisar Sharma had to say. 1. Do you know that there are two agencies in these exit polls that are groundwork for the Indian Janata Party? The first is the conflict of interest. Do you know that one of these agencies has given the Indian Janata Party up to 300 seats? 3. Do you know that Samachar Channels was advised to reduce the number of votes given by the BJP to a pollster? 4. Do you know that Samachar Channels was advised to reduce the number of votes given by the BJP to a pollster? 5. Do you know that Samachar Channels was advised to reduce the number of votes given by the BJP to a pollster? 6. Exit polls have often been subjected to criticism for their inaccuracy. The exit polls in 2004 and 2009 as well failed to accurately predict the results of the elections. In fact, the 2004 exit polls predicted a massive victory for the Atal Bihari-led NDA government. However, proving all exit polls wrong, the congress staged a stunning comeback to form a coalition government. In 2009 too, most exit polls had predicted a hung parliament with the UPA as the single largest coalition. This time too, they were proven wrong as Congress on its own managed to win over 200 seats. For our second story of the day, we will be focusing on the kind of instability that has come in after the exit polls. The BJP in Madhya Pradesh on Monday said that the Kamal Nath-led Congress government in the state should prove their majority in the assembly. The leader of opposition in assembly Gopal Bhargava said that this party, they have asked the governor Anandi Ben Patel to convene a special session of the assembly to discuss important issues and test the congress government's strength. He said in a quote that I am writing a letter to the governor for convening a special session of the MP assembly shortly. We have been in a discussion about important issues such as the farm loan waiver and the test of the government's strength. In Madhya Pradesh, which has about 29 seats, the News 24 Today's Chanakya survey gave the BJP 27 seats and the Congress 2 seats with a margin of error of 2 seats. The India Today Access My India survey gave 24 to 26 seats to the BJP and 1 to 3 seats to the Congress. The ABP News Nilsson said that the BJP may win 24 seats and the Congress can only get 5. In 2014, if we were to understand the results, the BJP had won 27 seats but the Congress rested power from it after 15 years in December's assembly election this year, winning a slim majority in the 230 member assembly. In the assembly polls, the Congress had won about 114 seats out of the 230 seats while the BJP came very close managing to bag about 109 seats. For our third story of the day, we'd be taking you towards Kashmir where clashes in Kashmir's tropion have led to serious problems where Asif Ahmad Pareh, a 13-year-old boy, he has also been left severely damaged because of his, because of the firing of the pellet guns. His eyes have been severely damaged in South Kashmir's tropion region. The pellets have gone deep into his eyes and have ruptured his eye as well. And doctors and other authorities on the grounds are suggesting that his chances of regaining sight are extremely thin. Looking at the severity of the damage, he can also completely lose his eyesight. So we're taking you to our ground report which is sent by our correspondent Kamran Yusuf. Take a look at this report. I'm from Bihakhabri, I'm from Tansado, Hr.M.G. I'm from Saitbay, I'm from Saitbay. I'm from Saitbay, I'm from Ishpand, I'm from Islambal, I'm from Islambal, I'm from Islambal. We saw him getting so much blood that we didn't even recognize him. Later when our little brother, he said that he's our brother, he recognized him with his hair and he took out his phone from his pocket. So he was our brother. I'm from Pahipatati, I'm from Tunuz. I'm from Tushni, I'm from Ubar. But we say that we're so unfortunate, his father is now tied to a police station a month ago, because he has no sin, he has no fault, so he came here at 12 o'clock or 2 o'clock in the night, so he picked him up and said that you've done a sitting pattern. He's a 60 year old man. Now you have to imagine where a 70 year old man can do a sitting pattern, he can do a stone pattern. What else can we do if he's not a criminal? Now we go to the police station and they tell us to go somewhere else. When we go to meet the police, they don't even let us meet them. So what are we going to do now? See how much damage has been done, how much dirt has been applied, what will he do now? He had only one son who used to earn, he used to go to work, he used to earn 500-200, his mother is now a heart patient, he's a younger brother, and he has a big sister who has just got married. I am from this village, we were sitting at the school, when we left the school, the encounter was over at that time. Then when we left the school, he said that he would go to his aunt's house in Angan. When we left the school in Angan, his eyes started shaking, he fell there. I went a little far away, I was scared, I went a little far away, then I came back, then I picked him up. We took him to Zainapora Hospital in Somu, that is our nearest hospital, there they referred him to Islamabad. From Islamabad, when they treated him a little, then from Islamabad, he was referred to here, as a matrix. Sir, his father is a poor man, his sister-in-law is under custody, so we brought him here, now he is educated, educated on the bed. In our international section, Colombian ex-Rebel Jesus Santrich is critical after his release and a dramatic re-arrest by the state forces. The peace process in Colombia has reached a new low point. The release and the immediate re-arrest of the political prisoner Jesus Santrich is a clear sign that the Colombian government has sacrificed its duties to defend people in order to follow the dictax of US imperialism. Santrich was a prominent leader of the now demobilized revolutionary armed forces of Colombia. He was also part of the peace negotiation team for the group and now is a member of the legal political party Common Alternative Revolutionary Force. Jesus Santrich has been in captivity for about 13 months since his arrest on April 9th, 2018. He is accused of trafficking cocaine to the US despite there being no evidence against him. A US court had demanded his extradition as well. On May 15th, the special peace jurisdiction released a ruling barring the extradition of Jesus Santrich and demanding that he be released immediately. They also stated that his case would be dealt with the JEP itself and not through the ordinary justice system. The reasoning was that the attorney general and the US court had ordered for his arrest had not provided sufficient evidence to show that his supposed involvement in the crime had been committed after the signing of the peace agreements which would have excluded him from being possessed through the JEP. Santrich was re-arrested on May 17th and Santrich's release and illegal recapture was met with anger and sadness by the Colombian activists and human rights defenders from across the world. That's all that we have for you today on this episode of The Daily Roundup. 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