 This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network It is time to talk about the Niners week 13 is fully in the books and week week 13 was basically defined by the 49ers with their win over the Eagles so today we're gonna dive into the futures market and take a look at both the Niners to win the Super Bowl and Brock Purdy MVP everyone's favorite topic that has never made anybody Matt ever we're talking about both those for today with Ryan Williams getting his read on the futures market as it stands right now entry week 14 Then I'll dig into the week 14 spreads money lines and totals and let you know where my models show value over at Fandall sports book This is covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network and Fandall research. My name is Jim Sonnis I am a managing editor of digital media for Fandall research joined here as I'm every Tuesday by Ryan Williams check him out on Twitter At Ryan Alexander underscore W and Ryan had you on the show yesterday and you made nine recommendations Seven of them wound up hitting the the two of those were plus 210 and plus 270 So I feel like I don't want to speak for you, but you gotta be feeling pretty good entering this Tuesday Sorry Jim. Yeah, I Talked to the bets that we had last night and what what a fun way to Spend a Monday when both of us are get reeling in on a bingles bingles bets when You know Joe Burrell's not out there. You know, we talked what we talked about it. I mean Chase gets bed Just in prime fashion as you were hitting the alt markets and thank you for bringing that up So that we could you know reap the benefits as such and and hopefully our fans and listeners could could do the same thing Yeah, it's just the name of Jacksonville all all year long That's kind of why I have not been on them at all this year every week It feels like I'm sour on them and I thought this was one time where you know, oh money lined We were always talking about that. We'll just go with the spread, but no over time Browning and shout out to Jake Brown to you know, stood in the wings there In in able to kind of handle business while playoff playoff hopes are still alive So definitely a fun Monday night for us last night. Yeah, it definitely was that plus 370 money line was a fun sweat Enjoyed that wish it hadn't come at the expense of Trevor Lawrence, but it sounds like he'll be okay long term So I think that will be that's a positive whether he'll play week 14 more up for debate We'll talk about that Jags and Brown's game later on today. I will in taking a look at week 14 We'll talk about all that later on but first a quick reminder to make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast We are here every weekday breaking down NFL and college football betting markets tomorrow talking some NBA NHL with Tom Vecchio Getting his read on what he sees over there as we get set for more rounds of the NBA in season tournament and a beefy NHL Wednesday slate to get that as it is posted Make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast You can also find us on the Fandall YouTube page and Fandall TV plus Let's begin things Ryan by talking about those 49ers because after their big win over the Eagles on Sunday They're not the favorites to win Super Bowl 53 or 58. I actually don't know how Roman numerals work Anyway, there's another favorite to win this year whatever number it may be They are plus 380 at Fandall sportsbook Eagles are second at plus 480 followed by the Chiefs at five to one So let's talk about the Niners here, Ryan. Do you think they should be the favorites to win at all this year? Yeah, I uh, I definitely think that the 49ers deserve to be the favorite When you're looking at the way that they handle business against the Eagles who have pretty much been the favorite On the Fandall sportsbook all season long You love that Debo's able to back up back up the talk there and score three touchdowns not one not two but three To be able to handle business and this is kind of the The name of the game that has been under the Kyle Shanahan era and you know, it is kind of just I think we talked about this maybe in like week two or three at the beginning of the season Maybe it was after that when they were kind of reeling and it was like would it surprise us that the 49ers are You know back in the mix again, um, just because they had they had a rough stretch and teams go through that all the time and I think this is just one of those merits where You know, we kind of talk about it every week, Jim. We're you're kind of taking The markets when we know that We know how teams are, you know, if teams are good and if they have, you know If if they have that backing and to jump on them because you know, you could have got the 49ers You know early on this season at a way favorable number and be feeling really good About your chances right now for them to compete in the Super Bowl And especially with the way that the playoff structure is set up to get that first round by Like that win was was everything for San Fran as they were really obviously the Philadelphia Eagles Like their end of the season schedule was absolutely outrageous. Like looking at future win totals and I was like Do you it's really good? Yeah, it's twice and you know I know they'll Dallas but some of the other games they have is just hilarious. So But yeah, definitely like San Fran out of the nfc. I still think that there's merit You know and the book is rightfully saying so in kansas city. Like it's just so tough I I get it, you know tough game against the green bay packers who are out of it and all of a sudden They're now back in the mix of things But you know, they'll they'll figure out a way to get it together and once you're in the dance Like then you got, you know, especially if people need to travel to arrowhead Like you still got to be able to handle your business against the reigning champ. So i'm still on kansas city That's where we can but it does make it a lot more interesting race in the afc Yeah, kansas city five to one right now in fangirl sports book I think the most enticing team to me outside of the 49ers is the cowboys plus 950 You mentioned the eagle schedule I think that plays a big part in this because it does increase the odds that the eagles Wind up winning the nfc And it's pretty tough to come back as a wild card to win it all but They're a really good football team. They do get the eagles at home this week I've got them as a value at minus three and a half right now as well. So it's a good spot for dallas I think that they'll likely be shorter than plus 950 once we're talking here next week I agree the niner should be the favorites. I think that is fully justified. I think that is the correct call And I can't push back on that but if i'm looking for like value right now I think the cowboys plus 950 pretty intriguing at least uh from my perspective now making the nine as a favorites Is not controversial ryan What is controversial potentially is brock purdy being the co-favorite for mvp alongside dak presscott Both those guys are three to one right now at fan dual sports But followed by jillen herd said plus 350 those three Have kind of pulled away from the pack. So ryan I want to get your take on this market, you know, what's your read on where things stand right now in the mvp market Yeah, so for me right now and you know, hopefully i'm coming through okay, joe I think this is the the clearest so we're good But uh, but yes, the the what's fun for me right now is just looking at you know The the others i'll i'll call them outside of the mix It's it's too funny to me that we've talked so much about the afc all season long And now as we sit going into week 14 the three favorites uh to win the mvp all live within the nfc Which which makes that a ton of fun for that But for me it it starts with two And the reason being is because when you look at him from a statistical standpoint like first of all Tyree kill is set to Like every offensive player of the year award here and that directly correlates to twoa And I don't understand why twoa's coming in at plus 800 like he's been higher than this When they were kind of reeling and now all of a sudden they want to put them back down to eight to one Close to 10 to one. I'm totally fine with that. Let's take advantage. Um third in passing guards. He's second in passing touch Down right into year schedule from a competition standpoint and that's where it comes down for me Is like he's going to have to play against teams that are playoff contenders and if the dolphins are able to handle business the whole near And so now we they have an opportunity at the end of the year At the end of season to be able to win some of these tough games And that's what really excites me about getting twoa futures here They're tied with baltimore for the best record. Um, and he has the second best odds to Be the leader in passing touchdowns. And so with all those things combined It really doesn't make sense that we're getting an eight to one number for me Yeah to twoa right now is eight to one a fangirl sports book Tyree kill is 16 to one Want to pick your brain quick on one guy ryan and that one guy is josh allen 30 to one right now at fangirl sports book You and i've talked a lot about bill's futures throughout this year potentially buying into them and part of the reason we've been hesitant to do so is because the bill's standing in the a sc was Pretty rough But now you had the losses on sunday for both the steelers and the browns which does increase the odds that the bills can Make the playoffs I show value on the bill's money line to win this week against the chiefs Plus 118 so they could win that game They get the cowboys in the following week that game is at home That which does help the bills for sure and then it's chargers patriots dolphins and the dolphins one is tougher But it's week 18. We don't know what motivation will be and I think If the bills scratch and claw their way to the playoffs I think that josh allen will be in the discussion I think that josh allen should be in the discussion if that happens So I think just an allen at 30 to one But ryan is that a bit too far fetched are there too many dominos that to follow our way to get that to happen Or do you think that allen is intriguing at that number? Yeah, listen, nobody's been put investing more in the buffalo bills this year than uh than this guy So um, it's always intriguing to me to see if we can get buffalo bets I think what we're looking at right now jim is just you know, we're kind of it's bull Well, I think about you know game Just think about rps and cues right now and that relates to the buffalo bills making the playoffs I think there's merit to taking those odds there as they're still plus money They're gonna have you know, they have a tough road ahead of them and I think At this point in them The lost Cincinnati lost to jacksonville who's kind of reeling like they have some tough losses on their resume That makes it tough to be able to buy into josh allen Especially with him in the turnover market where he's coming in, you know the fumbles and the interceptions And again, they're gonna have to play against kansas city in arrowhead They're gonna play dalis at home and they get a little bit favorable But I think he could still struggle in those games they could still find ways to win But he might have done enough earlier on this season to already keep him outside the play out or Not play out picture outside the mvp discussion. So that's what makes it tough I mean again the number is so enticing and I think you know Jim if what what we talked about a couple weeks ago was like if buffalo gets in that's where i'm excited Get futures on them like yeah, don't take a shot on mvp because it's such a narrative driven You know award type of thing, you know, that's people vote on it. So let's not talk about that Let's talk about how they're you know 35 to 1 to win the super bowl And like if they get in would that surprise anybody because they've kind of been in the mix We've seen them in shootouts with kansas city Even if this team has to go on to the road like they still have you know, they still have the pieces at play This is the same thing with the 49ers like Would it would it surprise us like probably but then we'd be like well They have josh allen and stuff on digs and they've shirt up the defense So like what's surprising about that and you know taken on the kansas city team Oh, we saw them, you know really struggle all season long. This shouldn't be surprising That's where I think a buffalo bills bets can be made Yeah, 35 to 1 is a pretty good call on super wads for the bills again They got to get there but if they do get there they've got upside I think that is uh a reason why We can still be intrigued by the upside of this team Okay, let's look beyond just the niners ryan talk about teams that they've gotten a boost up or down for you across week 13 when you look back on this past week, which teams to you got the biggest boost up or down across the futures market Yeah, I think when we're looking at it and you know, I've talked about this for for quite some time I think the shan watson being out for the browns It is really tough to kind of buy into any stock for the brown I mean they've been a great story in the sense of like losing nick chubb earlier this season being able to battle back with the Revolving door of quarterbacks that they've kind of put into the mix this season and the way the defense has been playing I mean if they if they do happen to make the playoffs gem It will be straight on the laurels of the defense. I'm fully convinced But I still think from an offensive standpoint you got to you got to get something going there and they just haven't been able To hit that stride and so I feel bad about talking about them from a stockdown perspective But I do feel like there there is some merit there We keep talking about the Tampa Bay Buccaneers being in the mix the saints losing to the lions at home is In stock Talking about time as we see the the NFC south kind of playing out The the way that we've expected so the falcons right now in there if the playoffs were today the falcons will be in but there's still so many Inter-divisional matchups that have to be played out Tampa Bay kind of leapfrogs the Saints there So I do still think that that division is a fun one to get bets on Even if you feel like the Saints are still in the mix like they have the longest odds right now So take a take a shot on them But I've really been buying into Tampa Bay and and like what they're doing from an offensive standpoint at this at this current juncture in time And then you know, obviously with the Houston Texans. I think there is Some merit there to still be buying into their stock. I mean, it's it's just incredible what they're doing You know, I don't think I don't think there's any shot for CJ Stroud to win MVP I just he hasn't done enough And losing Tengdell is going to be a huge loss for them But just it's just fun to talk about the Houston Texans every week that we can for those of us who have plus 850 CJ Stroud offensive rookie of the year cards that we're holding on to and now he is minus 9 000 I believe on the fangirls fourth book last I checked So fun fun stuff going on there Uh, yeah, let's check out the uh, the offensive rookie of the year odds minus 9 000 like he said and well deserved Honestly with that he does get a downgrade no tank down but uh, Ryan the streak of now 12 13 consecutive gains showing value in the Texans money line Is in tax. I do show value in them once again this week against the Jets. They are minus 300 so like, you know, you're paying empty amount But like it's still a value based on what my numbers say so we are continue to ride the Texans any other futures You're digging into entering week 14, Ryan Yeah, so, you know, definitely looking at when when totals and playoffs now that we're getting into That we're getting into that point in time, you know, I we kind of touched on that me briefly just kind of looking into this market and You know the the eagles win total like I thought there could be some merit there To to taking them under the number, which I believe is 13 and a half. Yeah, 13 and a half wins But the schedule is just be too favorable for them when you look at their outlook Look, it's it's really tough to see them losing you Games against the giant games against the seattle, uh, you know, they're gonna play LS but They were gonna be favored in that game. So, uh, this will be a market that I stay pretty close to as the season goes along But let's talk about some players So, uh, I'm loving that you brought up Dallas. Sorry Dallas insurers Let's start thinking about that now that the eagles have lost to San Fran and what kind of their destiny holds And I talked about two or I talked about two of mvp the So, right the caveat is that tyrie kill winning all these offensive player of the year awards He's the favorite right now to be offensive player of the year and I think it's minus 260 is where tyrie kill is coming in About right now on the season award there. Uh, I know you're pulling it up here for us minus 200. Okay, so So I don't I don't see rock purdy and christian mccafrey bringing home hardware So it leads me to cd lamb cd lamb is 25 to 1 to win offensive player of the year And they're gonna get a matchup on christmas eve the cowboys and uh, the dolphins that is and if cd lamb is So if he keeps on the trim that he has which I think we have 100 yards or a touchdown in eight out of the nine Past games since october 1st. So cd lamb has been doing it He's been carrying the the boat for dak prescott who is now one of the favorites to win mvp Let's talk about narratives there cd lamb goes out and performs on christmas eve with tyrie kill on the same field as him we can uh We can make sure that this works works out in our favor So 25 to 1 just is such a long shot that I love getting action on cd lamb there as it currently stands I think you know, we're just talking about things to have fun with That that's one of them that i'm gonna be on the other We really talk about defense of So i'm really excited to talk about this one. Uh, let's go to the sack market and talk about Lil mac, you know, it's that he was a household name at At one point we've been in a couple trades And he's on this defense for the chargers that has been like reeling but he's been kind of the lone bright spot Right, you're looking at two sacks For callil mac in each of the past three games. He's plus 650 on this market now. I will say, you know We're looking at the outlook here tj watt who's the favorite at plus 250 like they're gonna get some really favorable matchups for pittsburgh starting on thursday night Yeah, we're patriots for him to be able to rack up But right now as it stands callil mac is a sack ahead of tj watt to be leading the market with 15 six If we remember back to the raiders earlier Came against the raiders six sacks and one game They still have the raiders to play on their schedule because of the divisional matchup Can he get six again? Who knows? Maybe maybe not but if he gets another multi sack game in there, you know, you just like He has that a lead against tj watt. I do find it interesting for callil mac is that front line for So for him to be If there's merit Yeah, uh plus 650 for callil mac lead league in sacks. Uh, you've got josh allen Yeah, the the jags josh allen is plus 650 as well The deal hunter plus 470 miles gear plus 380 and tj watt plus 250 I love ryan you brought the market because I never think about it So i'm glad that at least someone here on this show does that is ryan williams Make sure you check him out on twitter at ryan alexander underscore w ryan Have a fantastic rest of your week We'll talk to you once again on monday for a doubleheader on monday net football That's right jim i'm happy you brought that up a monday night doubleheader Or so so much action for us to get in on but yes, thanks for having me I can't wait to chat chat it up with you next week and have a good one Alrighty again fine ryan on twitter ryan alexander underscore w will have him back with us once again next week Both monday and tuesday we're gonna dive into week 14 and lay out where my models Show value for this week at fandall sportsbook in a just one second but first score early this nfl season with fandall america's number one sportsbook right now new customers get 150 bucks in bonus bets with any winning five dollar moneyline bet That's 150 bucks if your team wins if you've been thinking about joining fandall There is no better time to get in on the action the app is so easy to use There is a wide range of betting options including spreads player props totals and more So visit fandall and kick off the nfl season fandall official partner of the nfl must be 21 plus in present and select states Fandall is offering online sports wagering in kansas under an agreement with kansas star casino llc first online real money wager only Five dollar pregame moneyline wager acquired ten dollar first deposit acquired bonus issued as nominal drawable bonus bets That expires in seven days after receipt see terms at sportsbook.fandall.com gambling problem call gambler or visit fandall.com slash rg in colorado iowa michigan new jersey ohio pennsylvania illinois kentucky tennessee and virginia Call 1-800 next step or text accept to 53342 in arizona 1-888-789-7777 Or visit ccpg.org slash chat connecticut 1-809 with it in indiana 1-805-22-4700 for the ks gambling help.com in kansas 1-877-770 stop in louisiana visit md gambling help.org in maryland or 1-800 or 1-800 gambler net in west virginia 1-805-22-4700 in wyoming hope is here visit gambling helpline ma.org or call 800 327 50 50 for 24 7 support in massachusetts or call 1-877 and hope and why Or text open why in new york Alrighty now we're going to take a look at the week 14 spreads money lines and totals and see Where are my models show value for this week? I will say before we start that it's kind of an odd week for me Where my models are showing a lot of value in heavy favorites they want to lay the points in a lot of different spots and They also do show value in the money lines there so I do think you could at least consider some spots where you parlay together different money lines and I always get nervous talking about this because this is something people will do As a bad practice as a way to extend the odds on and make things Longer odds for no reason they're not confirming that each individual bet is a value So It can be a bad practice in a lot of ways and not one that I want to recommend For me personally these actually are all values based on what my model is showing and when that's a case I don't mind parlaying them together to give myself Access to all these money lines where I do show value at longer odds So the ones specifically that I'd be looking to potentially tie together are the Steelers minus 255 on Thursnet taking on the Patriots I don't see a big difference between Mitchell Trebisky and Kenny pick it honestly So that's part of why I'd be okay going there mentioned with Ryan I had the Texans as a value of minus 300 taking on the Jets low total in that game and first game for the Texans with no tank del And second even though Larry Tunsel so downgrade for them there I do still think they should be able to win that game though So do show value in the Texans minus 300. I got value in the 49ers and minus 560 taking on the Seahawks That game they're at home. It is a repeat divisional matchup Which we'll talk about here in just one second as well, but they're just a very good football team I've got them like 14 point favorites. So I'm okay with that one. The final one is on Monday night Dolphins taking on the Titans That is minus 900 the implied odds and minus 900 for the dolphins are Uh 90 percent so We're getting up there quite a bit for sure It's showing value there for the dolphins, but my model does show value in each of these spots So I would be okay pairing those four together If you do that the the odds of fangirl sports book are plus 143. So again This is not a practice you should do in order to enhance the odds Like just just to you know lump together bad bets in order to enhance the odds of them Do not do that. It is bad practice and I could never recommend doing something like that But in this specific instance where it is four spots where my model is showing value on each four legs individually You're kind of just bundling them together to increase the overall expected odds or expected value of each individual bet So again, those those ones where the stealers minus 255 Texans minus 300 49ers minus side 60 the dolphins minus 900. I do show value in all those so If you agree feel free to do so But again, I want to recommend stress again Not a practice I would do unless you show value and all the bets individually because That can lead you to overconfidence lead you down bad paths where you are Pairing together bets that are not plus EV and just getting a even worse bet as a parlay. So Not typically going to go that route, but I do think it is viable for week number 14 Let's take a look some other spots where I'm showing some value Individually on some games and the first one is one we alluded to earlier on that is the bills Their money line is plus 118 taking on the cheese and I do show value on the bills in this game The spread is plus two and a half at minus 105 So you could go that route as well But I do like the money line here the implied odds the bills money line are 45.9 percent And my model is there when odds at 49.8 percent Now you can hear 49.8 percent and know that the bills are on the road and be like well That implies that the bills are the better team in my model and that is true And I want to lay out why that's the case because it surprises me sometimes when I look at it honestly And I would not be surprised if you were shocked by that as well But bill's offense does grade out as better than the chiefs based on number fire schedule adjusted metrics so far this year That's the first thing and offense is good Second the chiefs defense did get a downgrade for me as a result of the injuries They suffered in week number 13 that packers game They had guys going down left and right now It's a better setup to have a full week to prepare for those absences versus losing them in game But it's still not an ideal situation. So those injuries downgrade what has been a very good defense so far this year I still think the chiefs defense is better than the bills because they've been pretty bad But does downgrade the chiefs there finally the bills are coming off a buy and that does boost them inside my model so It may feel weird to have this is basically a toss-up given that it is in canthas city And the chiefs is a much better record than the bills do but again better offense at least based on my numbers for the bills Uh defensive injuries for the chiefs and a buy week for the bills all add up to make this effectively a toss-up for me So a plus 118 good enough value for me to go there So I will take the bills plus 118 to win in that big match up with the chiefs which does play into the thoughts around the upside markets for the bills to make the playoffs and other stuff we discussed with ryan other Market where i'm showing value as far as spreads and money lines go Is a bit of a tenuous one because we don't really know what the situation is right now That is for the browns taking on the jaguars and I do show value in the browns minus one and a half right now At minus 115 we've seen some movement towards the browns this morning. They were minus 110 and minus 115 earlier on They're now minus 115 their money line has gone to minus 122 Or to minus 126 from minus 122 and obviously the big reason why we've seen movement here Is because of the trevor lorence ankle injury that he suffered last night and The look ahead line here the jags were favored by two and a half I believe prior to the mundanet football game So we have seen movements for lorence's injury But I think the market is kind of viewing him as being half in half out and he could still play I don't really know. I've not seen his ankle. I can't diagnose whether or not lorence will play But I think that it's okay to bet the browns even taking that risk that lorence is okay to go by the time we get to sunday and Part of that is because lorence is not the only injury to the jags right now Uh cam robinson the left tackles on ir christian kirk left last night's game with a groin injury as well So they've got a couple downgrades in there as well. They also lost some defensive guys to injury during that game So that's one thing to think about with the jags. Other thing is if I put lorence is being in I don't have this as being a good bet, but it's also not a hideous bet I would have the browns there by point three points in one model and by two point eight points in a different model So it's not as if the browns are some putrid team that would stand no chance if if lorence were to play And he probably wouldn't be a hundred percent Even if he is able to go So that's part of why I feel okay with going with the browns here if I were to rule lorence out I'd have the browns here by three point four. So Kind of taking the odd city plays. I think they're probably around like 30 odd city plays Uh, you blend the three and a half three point four if he sits Uh with some of the other numbers I laid out before I think there's a big enough gap here to lay The one and a half of the browns I do not think that joe flacco is a great option for the browns and I have him as being a Pretty poor player in my model as a result of that and even with flacco being viewed as Pretty skeptic or pretty skeptically in the model. It does still show this is being of value So it is risky I would understand if you didn't want to go here because of the way the lorence injury sets up We have seen some movement towards the browns even this morning As the news of lorence getting a favorable mri or a favorable x-ray have come out So I am okay Laying the one and a half of the browns. I feel fine with that It is risky. So I understand if you don't want to go here personally, but for me, I am okay with this I will bet the browns minus one and a half minus 115 Taking on the jaguars first total for the week of me actually also Pertains to last night's game between the bangles and the browns on the bangles side they are at home taking on the colts next week and The total in this game is 42 and a half and That's gone up two points from what we saw. I believe two points from what we saw on monday night With jake brownie looking really really good. I think it's gone a bit too far and it's not because I'm low on Jake browning You know, I get why this this number is where it is because the colts tend to play in like chaotic games Their defense is not very good. The bangles defense is not very good either. So I understand why this total is high but We got to consider wind speeds and wind speed projections right now in Cincinnati are 18 miles per hour It's a really big dent in the scoring environment here Neither offense is hyper higher for efficient on the ground So if they're forced to run the ball a bit more that would accelerate the pace and also Or slow down the pace and Also prevent them from getting chunk plays. I think it's a big thing for this market too If these offenses were a bit more feisty, especially on the ground I could see the total being 42 and a half Especially with how good browning and the bangles looked on monday night But we got two backup quarterbacks starting Really rough weather here. I think there is good value in the under 42 and a half That's minus 114 right now fandals sportsbook. I do think we should go that direction Again, I know the colts play in very weird chaotic high scoring games But to me with the wind speed where it is right now, I do want to go Towards the under for the colts and the bangles Final recommendation for this week is also another total out west that is for the seahawks and the 49ers And this is the repeat of the thanksgiving matchup between these two teams the thursday night games They did just see each other in that game. We had the over at 42 and a half I believed it finished with 44 total points. So barely got over there It's 46 and a half now, but once again, I am going right back to the over in this one Despite the fact that it is a repeat divisional matchup The reason why I show value in the over here is in large part because my model is mentioned We were talking about the the money lines views of 49ers as heavy heavy favorites Enough so where there is value in betting them at minus 10 and a half a larger spread corresponds with a higher total so There is A tie between those two thought processes here as we get to the over of 46 and a half We saw the seahawks offense last week on thursday against the cowboys look really really good and Gino smith moved the football very effectively. They got some chunk gains. They played really well And now they got extra rest coming in now that doesn't impact my View of the spread here because I still think the 49ers are a very very good team And that game is accounted for in the model as well But it does give me more confidence that the seahawks can Uphold their end of the bargain when trying to get some points here So that's a good thing for uh, this this This total you got the 49ers is big favorites got the seahawks offense looking a lot better than it was before And finally unlike on the east coast wind speeds here not that bad seven miles per hour right now in santa clara the projection for sunday So when you add it all up, I've actually got this total north of 50 So To get it at 46 and a half 47 is a pretty key number I will take the over there at minus 110 at fan dual sports book I do worry a bit about it being a refeed digital matchup because efficiency does tend to go down in those spots But I think there's still enough here to take the over at 46 and a half at fan dual sports book So to recap you can consider tying those money lines together on the steelers texans 49ers and dolphins if you so choose but also Other spots like this week, uh, seahawks niners over 46 and a half minus 110 I've got the bangles and colts under 42 and a half minus 114 The browns minus one and a half minus 115 with the caveat that lorence could play in this game So proceeded caution there and the bill's money line at plus 118 as they take on the cheese Before we wrap up for today Do you got to go back through recommendations here from this past week on the show and recap how things went for our Analyst and myself here on the program must begin things by talking about dr Ed fang you can find him on twitter at the power rank and check out his work at the power rank dot com Ed had a prop for the college football games this past week. That was ollie gordon under 103 and a half rushing yards um For their matchup against texas and gordon finished with 34 yards because texas blasted Oklahoma state texas gets their way into the college football playoff gordon goes well under so if you had ultimate Under's there kudos to you but easy win there for ed Ed did like organ minus nine and a half taking on washington obviously washington got the job done one that came out Right organ had chances just couldn't quite Get it done kudos to washington big bounce back for them from that lull in the mid season And a good win for them to catapult themselves to the playoff Ed had a lean towards alabama plus six and a half against georgia and obviously they won that game outright so Great call by ed there and leaning towards alabama now alabama advanced to the playoff as well Well, they'll take on michigan in these semifinals Other ones from ed he had louisville plus two and a half taking on florida state That was with tape rhoda maker projected in at that time and rhoda maker obviously Status got worse as the week went along so dig it closing line value here But not a win as florida state won that game 16 to 6 offense did not do much But but their defense lived up to its reputation. So no win there but Did get moving in a saver with louisville plus two and a half for the nfl side of things Ed had two bets first one's eagles plus two and a half taken on the niners and Niners played really well here. We talked about the eagles a lot and it's hard to get a firm grip on them if that includes in that game so Drop that one there and then also he had dak press got to throw a pick on thursday night at minus 114 Taking on the seahawks and dak was awesome in that game. So was geno smith a really fun game overall So we'll talk to ed once again thursday this week. No college football this week We'll have him back on thursday to break down nfl week number 14 We had jj zach a recent on talks and player props on friday friday jj on twitter at late round qb Find his work at late round com and the late round fantasy football podcast We went in depth on that eagles versus niners game JJ had two bets there first one was brock purdy over one half passing touchdowns at minus 130 and purdy went over Two or hit two passing touchdowns pretty quick in that game. It's easy win there for jj other one was Deandre swift over 17 and a half receiving yards at minus 114 Swift got banged up late. He had two catches for seven yards probably didn't impact this market. He did get hurt on a On a target. So maybe you could have gotten over there But couldn't quite get there with two catches for seven yards On sunday jj had josh downs over 48 and a half receiving yards at minus 114 Downs three receptions for 14 yards out pierce popped up in this game for the colts Which he had not done previously. So that took away from downs a bit there JJ had kyle pits over 29 and a half receiving yards at minus 114 pits had four receptions for 51 yards So I win there for jj with pits. He had kenny pickett throw two plus passing touchdowns That was plus 162 and picket got hurt in this game obviously pretty early. So I couldn't get the job done there But that's kind of how things go when you're betting overs injury risk is always there I thought it was a good bet from jj, but The injury risk is always there and then we had to deal with them betting overs Finally, uh, jj had antonio gibson plus 4 30 for any time touchdown for the commanders and gibson was involved Even before brian robinson got banged up 10 carries and five targets, but no touchdowns here for for gibson. So Couldn't quite get that one a plus 4 30 would have been a fun one Could he have gotten that one? But uh, we'll get jj back on the show actually not this week He's off this week then back with us the following week on friday Talk about this already that ryan williams had a fantastic night last night with his recommendations Uh, he had the bangles plus nine and a half and obviously they won that game out, right? He had under 39 and a half which was a loss there And then the other loss was calvin ridley over 56 and a half receiving yards and minus 112 ridley I think at 26 because he got he had a loss late in that game So two losses there, but everything else was a winner for ryan Heaven ingram plus 270 anytime touchdown first touchdown this year frangrum that hit he had Travis etn Over 15 and a half receiving yards and minus 113 etn. I think was around 34 30 34 somewhere in there He had jamar chase for anytime touchdown at plus 210 chase had a big one as he always does So good hit by ryan there He had chased over five and a half receptions at minus 106. Uh, he had 11 We talked about the alt market there So hopefully you had some exposure to the alt market too to get some plus money on that one He had Tyler boyd over 30 and a half receiving yards boyd had 37 And finally he had the bangles over six and a half first half points at minus 130 another win there So seven and two overall for ryan. He had wins a plus 270 and plus 210 So good calls by ryan across the board excited to get him back on the show once again next week on monday Good week for me as well. I went three and one for the week overall The one loss was a buck in years minus five and a half minus 108 this one moved badly against me It was bucks minus three by sunday And that's where i finished uh was uh the bucks winning by three So they got the win not the cover though mark moved against me So bad read by me. I like the undervalued the returning defensive players for the panthers in that game I think that's probably why i whipped on that one. So bad call there on my behalf other ones The packers plus six and a half against the chief said minus 104. They won that game outright So hopefully had some on the money line as well. I had the jags bangles last night over 38 and a half Talked about that on tuesday at minus 110 and that was a winner and of course on monday We talked about the bangles money or the jags bangles money line at plus 370 Didn't have that one on the tuesday show because it wasn't a value at that time for me It had to lengthen throughout the week eventually to get there Plus 370 i had a 24 to win and the implied odds were around 21 percent. So Got that one as well. So good week overall Good monday specifically with the the bangles money line and the total and then all ryan stuff as well So hopefully a winning week for you In your bets That is all that we have here for today on covering the spread want to give a big thank you once again To ryan williams check him out on twitter at ryan alexander underscore w you can find me on twitter at jim saunas You can find me on threads at jim dot saunas. You can find fan dual research on twitter at fan dual research Want to thank you all for tuning in forward today. Good luck to you with your bets across tuesday We'll talk to you once again wednesday talks mendia and hl with tom becchio This has been covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network