 The following is a presentation of TFNN The power trading hour with your host David White Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618 now David White and welcome another excellent edition of the power trading hour it doesn't matter where you're at as long as I'm here and it's this time it takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. hopefully you ever that came through and didn't sound right let's take a look here okay so what do we have going on today well we're up 75 points on the s&p cash and it is one of those things you know you just have to say they continue to drumbeat in the media to scare everybody to death and five minutes later it's like what happened and did anything happen and everybody just ignores it but you know this is kind of where we were looking at on Friday before all the drumbeat really started I didn't why I wasn't very surprised to see us right back here pretty much everybody I know is just going along with their life no matter how bad the news tries to make the end of the world apocalyptic Christmas time seeing and you know for the most part everybody's pretty happy but they're doing that at the expense of turning off any kind of news whatsoever so you know can you get the people that are really focused on this to to flip over fairly quickly you can but I wasn't expecting it last very long the news actually other than the drumbeat from the media was actually fairly good medium and long term in the market not spending four or five trillion dollars is going to make a huge difference to the economy the government really doesn't multiply that cash anywhere they spend it kind of just goes into a black hole when an economy gets it it's not always spent the right way but you'll get a few companies like Microsoft that'll end up with a hundred thousand employees and those people will start companies of their own and so on and so on so you got to kind of look at I think the bigger picture I thought a lot of people probably after they calmed down after yesterday probably thought the same thing and that is that there isn't a whole lot you can do about it one way or the other it's good or bad or exaggerated just very interesting to see maybe it's sea change about leadership on that whole front and I don't I think it's been probably six months since I had CNBC on for anything other than the five minutes after FOMC meeting and I just had it on this morning it was kind of interesting to see Kramer saying it's time to give a lot of these guys that are running the COVID show the boot many other people probably are many other people on the same show we're kind of agreeing so I think we've you know it at any point you you get to the level where it just you're pushing on a string good bad or indifferent for us in the on the markets it's about higher and lower and you know what government's not sucking up all the money is always a higher for the market and yes like I said I just the whole weekend drum beat this seemed to be hyperbole to at least a certain part so yeah that's what I am I'm talking about the markets and that does have and the news does have an effect for a very short amount of time and then we go back to the rest so I'm not I'm not thinking that there's a whole lot left in the tank for that I think it's all about the economy I got some emails are ready today okay I got a whole bunch of emails let me see if I can go through them real quick here okay stuff I can't say 2 p.m drop today no polar uh polar pullback yeah I don't think so okay anyway as we look at this uh the first question comes in is on uh Micron uh Dave I saw you talking or I saw you talking about uh Micron on Friday saying that it would be one of the few companies that you held through uh earnings and uh kind of asking why I think I said it back then and that is one um they're the last company that are going to go up uh belly up uh out here and two they're the ball bearing company um but you know this thing really looked for a long time like it was headed higher uh back in the 70s I missed it should have held on a little bit longer I know a couple of subscribers to the tech insider did uh but yeah um probably stumbles up to 100 I think now after this gap uh maybe problematic but you know you got everybody from Nvidia to AMD buying this video memory it's great margins for them a lot of the new stuff coming out uh one of the reasons I put in the tech insider that I thought Micron would do well is uh the new ddr uh five memory for pcs and you know that's a whole business uh at the very beginning they make a ton of money on that stuff so it it's just very tough for me to see any reason why at least Micron is going to have a hard time as long as people keep buying video cards uh and computers uh their business is going to be good and as uh they said which is probably a reason that they bounce so much today is that the supply problem is actually getting better which is something uh we've been talking about on the show and in the newsletters uh and that is that they had said um both Micron and AMD uh and in fact AMAD and the last report uh earnings report did talk about how things are getting better in the supply line the big risk out here of course is going to be china and what they do with taiwan uh but uh during the two or three weeks where there's not a new moon and I'm assuming that china will do what everybody else does which is invade on a new moon uh I think I think uh you can probably just be long the equities for a little while and more than likely I'll probably switch to uh options uh for riskier times we'll be back in a minute are you grinding in the market but seeing little to no return or are you a successful trader simply looking to make your job a little easier learn to take the path of leased resistance with david white's powerful trading newsletter david white is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades support and resistance define the ranges in which stocks trade by understanding these trading ranges david white is able to find a path of leased resistance david white's trading newsletter the path of leased resistance is delivered daily before the markets open to make every trading day an easy win visit tfnn.com today and subscribe to david white's ultimate trading newsletter for $119 a month and try all of our newsletters risk-free with our 30-day money back guarantee take the path of leased resistance at tfnn educating investors what's separating you from the most successful men and women on wall street that's right information having all the information gives us the perspective we need to place the right trades at the right time the task profile scanner is the premier market profile based scanner powered by its acclaimed task proprietary algorithms this feature rich scanner instantly filters over 2,500 plus global financial markets such as stocks ETFs 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taking calls and questions live from around the world from the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds tiger tv has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's youtube channel and become the investor you were born to be tfnn educating investors call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618 I a little talk at the end about what would happen to slow down in the economy nvidia would only sell twice what they have if they could actually make it the there is one big fear that would hit nvidia amd and micron all together and that would be a crash of the cryptocurrencies because just like before when the crash happened there was a flood of video cards that hit the market but right now it's about I don't know $10,000 worth of electricity and video cards and stuff and then mortization to get 40 grand if you're lucky enough to get a bitcoin or 45 or whatever it is today so for me it is very tough to think that it drops below the cost of production anytime soon you know if you can spend 10 grand and get 40 it's probably better than trading there's a little more to it but there are a ton of folks those guys have been paying up for those video cards a card that should sell for 700 bucks sells for 1400 bucks and everybody all along the line from people that work at new egg or best buy will buy one at retail and flip it for double and from what I hear both the people at new egg and some people that have some swing at best buy locations have been buying new cars beyond the the level of what you would think so the whole gray market black market part is out there but it is tough to see a market where there just wasn't any appetite to buy the video cards that is an excess of at least twice every time the best buy around here gets any video cards that they're going to sell at retail a lot of companies like new eggs shove them in PCs that are horrible and make you buy that with the video card so they're actually making another three or 400 bucks because that PC would probably be unsellable any other way so people just buy it to get the video card so I have a feeling people really just don't understand or believe just how tough it is to get a video card for a PC it's easier to get PC stuff still tough but doable next to impossible anyway when the last couple of times that the local best buy there were a hundred people for five video cards that tells you just a little bit about how tough they're get to get anyway 877-927-6648 yeah I was gone yesterday I had the electrician here for I don't know five hours in another touch of irony the system that I have that standby power supply broke and that's what caused the problem and so I didn't have any ability to run my computers most of yesterday but I got everything back online now today will be my last day of the year I'll be back the 5th of January newsletters will continue I think there's going to be some fairly decent action I think today is the first part of that the second part will be a lot of people that have gotten short the last couple of days are going to sit on their hands thinking the market falls back over I think all it does is squeeze them into January 1st and I have bought a trade or I'm in a trade from this morning five six percent up today that I think will continue on I don't want to be anything probably on the first day of the year a lot of people are thinking there's going to be a lot of selling into that part but tough to say I don't think that higher taxes are on the way I think all that stuff is probably on hold until the elections now so I don't know again the the big problem that we don't know like looking at a still lake is just how much left is there to sell for the insurance companies to pay for the big tornadoes and destructions over the last week that's part of it the other thing is when we look at the TLT what is that telling us right now it's telling us they've been back to selling bonds and buying stocks we are back at support volume is really kind of pulled back down but this area 14650 has pretty much been the level that you want to put a mark on because below that the market has sold off at this level the market's kind of like in it but we shall see question first email of the day is looking at gld again he had a nice pop a lot of that was on the thought that we were going to have a lot worse inflation than we had already I think we put a pin in that again for this year but it's going to take a couple of things most of the inflation at least in my opinion is based on a very tough energy policy that flows into literally everything we buy sell or think about buying or selling or using or doing that probably doesn't go away very easily and at least gas prices probably going to hold up for a while in fact most of the stocks that I saw on my scans last night including some of the Gartley patterns were about that I can't remember which ones they were right now we'll pull them up PBF energy there were some other ones they just didn't look as good as these but there were some others PBF energy nice move off that one this morning MTN what was this fail resorts nice pop in that Gartley pattern IXC nice one on that one too these were all nice but this was the IXC global energy ETF there were some other ones that didn't look quite as good these were structured a little bit better but certainly you got the first bounce you right into resistance and in fact as we look resistance does come in today right at about 4650 on the S&P cash and so I think that there's a great deal of resistance for the indexes above but like I said I think a lot of the stocks that have been shorted heavily Nvidia AMD Apple which we haven't looked at quite yet also problematic let's look at some of these other Gartley patterns out here today they all seem to work very well Carter's CRI AVNT Avnet and ARR sealed there American industrial I know another good one they all seem to work well today we'll be back in a minute having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas become an apex predator in the trading markets and join the tiger's den trading room only at tfnn.com the tiger's den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas join the den and surround yourself with these sharpest minds in the trading world subscribers to the tiger's den are also the first to have their questions answered live on air and can privately chat with our tfnn hosts live during their shows interact with other tigers and tigers is as they share trading ideas news analysis and discuss the market action all trading day subscribe to the tiger's den risk-free with our 30-day money back guarantee and become part of the tfnn trading community tfnn educating investors you could be making money off the stock market 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information just click the think or swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com as we return we've got a question to look at gdxj and you know i don't think that there's a lot more in the way of the of the downside in a lot of these but uh yeah probably the action is going to have to be at the very beginning of the year unless something you know really comes out of the woodwork that we aren't expecting i don't see a lot going on in that i'm looking for stocks that have super high short interest that people are shorting on a daily basis and those are probably going to go up into the first of the year although i'll probably be out of them i'm not going to wait for the last 10 or 15 percent of the trade i'll be out fairly easily um xle from jake and see yeah i mean you just went down retested the gap higher gap higher at 40 million shares you would have liked to see friday i mean yeah you would have liked to see now monday have a little lighter volume it was lighter 36 million shares but i think there was a lot going on there and the bounce today not enough energy uh you're probably going to go out and consolidate a little bit but my guess is that's going to be another big year for energy trades going on but you may need some consolidation into the first of the year another question about workday wda y and you got through resistance this is really what i like i'll have to look at the short interest tonight but um yeah i wouldn't be surprised this goes back up to about 290 over the next week or so that's actually fairly nice looking uh okay we haven't talked about uranium in a little while a question about ccj you know you did test yesterday uh the 11 million share low on september 24th that at 19 dollars 19 at 91 cents um you bounce back up and above the uh the resistance level um which is this uh level on the way down um probably a nice setup but you're in a trading range that probably goes to 26 to 28 bucks now but again a lot of this stuff may be just quiet until the first of the year uh question is are any chance that uh sp ce doesn't go bankrupt in your opinion and yeah um sp did i put it in there there we go um well i would have said amc was going bankrupt uh but uh you know weird things can happen i don't see anything other than that and that is uh everybody running the shorts out here and then selling more shares into it for them but no this is a company really doesn't have any business uh kind of like game stop a little bit like amc there's just not a real core business that can survive underneath it at least in my opinion uh if it does it's vastly smaller uh than what's out there today but even musk is going to have a problem with space x probably the only uh silver lining on a black cloud for virgin galactic is if uh he gets in trouble with the way that the bookkeeping is uh on both tesla and on space x in fact let's take a look at tesla um you never you didn't get back over today um this is kind of the original blow-off top double repo pattern you didn't get as much as you'd like on these big down days but it did accumulate um yeah you could probably bounce back up to a thousand and then we probably be looking uh at that long-term level that we were talking about which comes down just under 600 bucks um but uh a lot of these people were just nutty when they were yelling and screaming at the 1200 uh dollar highs um it doesn't take long to come back to earth give me call 877-927-6648 uh crm really didn't do anything this year uh says uh paul the 252 35 right now um he had you bounce you came back with a lot more energy than you did um not going out of business but uh it continues to be problematic for even companies as big as sales force uh to go up against uh companies uh like microsoft uh google and amazon for web services and uh no i don't think it gets any better than this maybe they hang around for a while but he needed to make a vastly uh um a larger uh change in the company for my opinion to to change and i just don't see it uh even the last earnings that big candle down kind of tells it a great deal uh to to to what else do we have out here uh look at you in g on my comments on energy um yeah i risk reward i don't think it's any better you're still holding above the three by three uh you tested the previous low of almost 14 million shares on december 6 on december 17th with less than half the volume so yeah i don't know if the weather's coming in uh poorly i haven't watched uh but uh yeah i think if you're looking for things that maybe get you out of the volatility of the regular market if you're still worried about it um this is not a bad looking chart i don't know if you get a lot in the next week but my guess is when everybody comes back they're going to look at this as a safe haven play for next year uh to to to okay btu okay davie will you comment on the 3d printing companies uh all supply chain issues for my understanding still um don't know if it's getting that much better uh the motors the stepper motors a lot of the industrial kind of products that go along with these continue to be a problem of getting them in china from china um you know you had some nice boots but they're like 50 percent swings stratuses dgp but uh yeah i think they do okay but it's all about supply chain for them and uh all their stuff sitting on docks back in them are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the bay area including the surrounding st petersburg tampa and clear water markets tiger real estate llc is a firm that has extensive experience in the tampa bay area whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value or you're in the market for a second home or investment property tiger realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the tampa bay area to help buyers and sellers make the most informed decisions across all price levels from the price you should be paying per square foot in certain up and coming areas to the type of cash 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designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors distributor four-side fund services llc don't forget you can listen to tfnn live on your mobile device 24 hours per day go to tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv that's tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv and we're back got a question about the planet here it finally well didn't quite test 1706 you might still get that but man you gotta like the low volume out here 200 million back on a may 11th 44 million on the 17th you're just kind of going sideways out here again a lot of these stocks that have been on a downturn and back to springtime lows it may not do a whole lot before the beginning of the year but if you add the only thing I dislike is a little bit heavier volume those big kind of days that kind of get you up there about 23 24 and a half up to 25 where the everybody it came back down but you know good business but you're not going to hear a lot about it one of the problems I always have is this is kind of a good stock to sit in if you're not wanting to get news one way or the other if you get news it's probably good or if it's bad news it's probably earnings day I don't think they're going to say a lot but this is a black box company kind of like Hamilton booze or booze Hamilton booze Hamilton and that's it so yeah I like it there's just a lot of these stocks if they don't have a lot of short interest probably just kind of auger around to the beginning of the year I don't see a lot of risk in them but yeah up five percent on the day back up above the three by three we're things have happened but I'm thinking that it's probably got a little while to go but there's a lot of stocks that are set up like this that if you're going to buy I think they may a lot of sense not to buy right now although they're not bad they just make a lot of sense in the first second a couple of days of the year as we will probably see a lot of sector rotation and that is out of the stocks that had done well last year and into the stocks that are going to do well next year so we want to keep our ear to the ground and really look very closely but on a volume basis I like to chart dislike the energy on the way down that generally says that you're going to have a little bit longer guns more consolidation than you did on the way back higher um okay uh alcoa well you know I would have said that this is probably a stock that would have gone lower today and yesterday but uh yeah back up to previous highs volumes not all that bad uh lunar is always a good business I don't know if it's going to break out before the end of the year I see absolutely nothing that says you want to sell it certainly there's no risk to reward here to buy it at these levels but looks good freeport mac moran a little bit more ambiguous you're up on fairly light volume this one's a little bit more problematic at least to me up back into a 18 million share high that was on let me see here December 7th the day that will live in infamy 18 million shares 8.7 million shares you about halfway into that now so let's say you end up with 10 million shares or 11 million shares it's telling you that there's probably some fairly decent resistance although I think that these companies will probably do a little better next year than they probably would already as people kind of look for stocks that maybe are a little less instantly volatile than some of the bigger stocks a question about apple yeah I think this one is one that probably just continues to melt up into the end of the year sales I guess have been fairly good the questions are in the bad days have been at least according to apple on news that probably isn't true apple could be lying but and I don't think they are I would say the preponderance of the way was shoddy journalism anyway huge down day you got a day up but not a lot of volume out here today but my guess is that they do have a very good quarter it's the next quarter that I think is problematic so I'm not expecting them to whiff or do something bad they continue to sell those earbuds at an amazing rate and those things are like printing money they're almost like software so I continue to think that apple you can say that it's overpriced or other stuff like that but it's hard to think that it's going to be a surprise in earnings that blows these guys up I think they're going to do okay I'm trying to remember when their next earnings call is but I do not remember anyway thanks for the email me me me excuse me to to to yes I am I am tired what else do we have out here here got Tesla question about the SMH is this all about micron or is there anything else going on here like I said it's tough to get bad words out of Taiwan and that's really ground ground zero for semiconductors even though the adjunct slightly northwest in Seoul Korea is the second one but you know overall it you know the SMH is a fairly large index and there are a lot of haves and have nots and I think that's the biggest problem with it you went right up to resistance you don't have a lot of volume I think the rest of the companies are much more likely to see movement but it's going to be a tale of two cities and I've said it for the last year and that is if you're making stuff for automakers not going to do you any good if you're making high margin products like AMD and Nvidia and Apple the world's your oyster and there's probably about 20% of the markets that's invested in selling those high margin things there's about 80% that are always getting beat up because they've got a product that's identical to somebody else they've got a chip or a camera and there's not really that much difference so there's a lot of price pressure but that 20% in AMD and video to the lesser extent Microsoft some of the other manufacturers if you got a hot product you can you know you can make 60 70% margins and in the case of Apple maybe 150 percent or 200 percent margins depending on who you listen to for the earbuds so I am not really bearish going into the first year in that the wheels fall off the wagon so much as we have some fairly large sector rotation from the have and have nots in technology will be back like a bad rash for the last segment of the year sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument you have to practice sure but you also need excellent instruction from experts at TFNN you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis and it's not just dry tedious text either TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV live every market day from 8 30 a.m. to 4 p.m. Eastern for free each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world from the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be TFNN educating investors you might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market you're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future right like any endeavor in life before you decide it's impossible get some advice from the experts you might find that it's not so impossible after all for daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices selective stocks and commodities subscribe to the opening call newsletter at TFNN.com the opening call newsletter is written by Basil Chapman creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman wave the Chapman wave up down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns finding the peaks and valleys and stock prices get the opening call newsletter by Basil Chapman and your inbox every day first time subscribers also get a 30-day money back guarantee if you're not satisfied let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up TFNN.com educating investors are you looking for a secured investment which pays you on a monthly basis the target first mortgage program may be the program for you the best rate on a five-year cd in the country right now according to bankrate.com is paying 1 per year or $1,000 per 100,000 invested the target first mortgage program pays 7 per year paid monthly on secured high value billable properties in st. 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Petersburg Florida your investment can be anywhere from 100,000 to 500,000 you want to make 1,000 per year on 100,000 invested or 7,000 per year on a secured target first mortgage the target first mortgage program may be just the program for you the target first mortgage program pays 7 per year paid monthly for more information you can call 877-518-9190 877-518-9190 catch Tom O'Brien professional trader and educator founder of TFNN also a special guest on CNBC Tom will bisect and dissect the markets the Tom O'Brien show next on TFNN as we come back to the last segment of the year up 75 on the S&P cash 530 on the Dow Nasdaq up 340 the Russell up 56 crude up $2 and 60 cents gold down six bucks silver up 24 cents 10-year bond up six cents almost seven cents so we've got tiger dollars you can buy them today I have been working on something for several years uh hopefully I'll have that all done when I return the 5th of January but I think I think you probably want to be doing that because I'm going to have a lot more for you in the coming year if I can get it all done in the next two weeks I'll have a lot more time to actually implement what I've been working on but I think it's going to be some of the best work I've ever done and some of the best trades probably going to come out of it but we've had a couple of good ones here yeah had a nice we got a good one this morning they had a hundred percent gainer in the options last week or a week before last yeah so we've had some good trades even with some really volatile markets but my guess is they're going to settle down a little bit we're going to get back to what we're doing and I've got some tools and some new software that's going to help us all out a great deal more anyway just think about that I don't know what you're going to do tonight but you're going to wash your hands and feel the water's cold or maybe it's hot and you're going to flip a light switch on and you're going to know it's time to sit down and buy some tiger dollars and subscribe to either the path of least resistance the tech insider or the art of timing the trade charts so you can get those guardleys and other things literally all the good stuff anyway you all have a great and wonderful new year see you and when I return like uh the car so when you can not when you have to good bye