 The following is a presentation of TFNN. Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-445-1044. Now, David White. And welcome all to another exciting edition of the Power Trading Hour with me, your humble, lovable and squeezibly soft host. Once more, do we go into the breach here of France? The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. Oh, so what do we have going on today? Well, Mark, it's kind of hanging in there. 2881 on the S&B cash, the Dow 30, up 74, the Nasdaq up 36, the Russell up 2000. Volume is just okay. 4.3 billion shares. Dollar index is off of about 32 cents, 9660 on the June 19 contract. When we go back to commodities and look at gold, basically flat down 20 cents, crude off about 40 cents. And the market just kind of looks again rather tired, although not horribly. I talked about a trade that we had over the last week and I said I'd talk more about it when we concluded it. I sold it around a little bit before one and that was the IYT. We'll look at the chart on it. But I suspect that this is kind of the end of fund buying and why I'm not ready to pull the ripcord and say you should short. It just looks rather tired. We have a lot of stocks that just aren't getting volume as they break new highs. So no signs of strength, but at the same time we're not closing it. A lot of these are not closing below. Some kind of signal that would say it was time to pull the ripcord just that they're kind of getting quiet. So I'll look at rebuying the IYT, but we bought it at about 180 and change. And so we got a nice almost 12 point and about a 12 point run in the IYT. We'll talk about why I picked that particular ETF. Also add a stock that did absolutely nothing we got out of that. But sometimes that's all you need. And of course as soon as we got out of it yesterday, it bounced today, but kind of just bounced back one or two percent. That's about it. Anyway, we'll talk about a lot of these stocks, but starting to get a little bit of out over the tips of our skis. And I think far too many people. Yeah, there it is. Hopefully that goes it. And we're only up five. Did that just reset or was did we just get a hiccup? I'm just showing the S&P up by five now. 2872, maybe that was correct all the time. Anyway, we'll look at some of the other stocks that pushed to higher highs today and took a look at it. We'll do a little history and then we'll get into a lot of charts. I want to start looking at the NASDAQ and see what's going on in it. But kind of a quiet day yesterday. And although we had kind of a bounce today, it didn't seem like we got a lot of inaction on it. Volume starting to pick up, starting to see at least the stocks I was looking at selling into every move higher. And that was a pretty good indication. So we shall return with some history. And it's all just a little bit of history repeating. On this day in history in 1996 and a small wilderness cabin, which I'm thinking about moving into near Lincoln, Montana. Theodore John Kaczynski is arrested by FBI agents and accused of being the unabomber, the elusive terrorist, blamed for 16 male bombs that killed three people and injured 23 during an 18-year period. Of course, he was kind of a very interesting dude, but the mentally ill tend to go to Berkeley, California. He always had the nickname of Berserkley. And of course, he had a handful of these malcontent nitwits. They would all go and congregate there, all thinking they had some kind of better and higher wisdom than all other people on the planet. He, of course, railed against planes flying over or any kind of technology. He was sure it was getting in his brain, not sure that he wasn't mentally ill. But at the same time, sometimes you just need people to tell you you got stupid ideas. And I think today one of the problems we had is that we had a lot of John Kaczynski's and we just haven't said, you know what, you got some really stupid ideas, you need to change them before you go down the rabbit hole. Anyway, of course, he said that he would kill a lot more people in 1995 if the newspapers didn't put his manifesto. I always wanted to have a manifesto. I don't actually even know where you go to have a manifesto. Where do you start? Don't even know that. I don't think I got that much to say. If they wouldn't actually put the manifesto in the, what was it, New York Times? I think it was, that he'd continue killing. So they posted it. His brother saw it and instantly knew it was the same nitwit stuff that he was putting out in Berkeley back in the late 60s. Probably did a little bit too much acid. But, well, they showed up. He had all his bomb-making material, his typewriter that he typed all the letters on. And of course, he would go down into town from being out in the middle of nowhere and shaking his fist as airplanes would fly over as neighbors would say. But that was about it. He was just kind of a nut. But don't get me started. This people with bad ideas should be told before they get too far down the line. Anyway, what else do we have going on? Well, let's go ahead and look at some charts and get started on that. Again, we'll take a look at some. When we look at the S&P 500, we're just getting back up into this level. But what I wanted to show you is that is the energy on the way down continues to be just a hair, not horrible, but on the S&P 500, much more significant. And it's been one of these things where it's been rare. The question is, are you wanting to bet that it goes to 2941 at September 21st high or that we have to pull back a bit and recharge before we get back up there? What I don't like was the last three days of declining volume that we really, as we've gapped up, haven't had a real sign of strength since some turnarounds. And I think we get to these levels and we just kind of whiff. And I think that's what we're doing now. No sign goes short. But at the same time, thinking that we probably have a couple of days now that the fund buying is over, that could be weak. We'll be back in a minute. The Taz Profile Scanner is the most revolutionary piece of trading software that you will ever try. Wouldn't you like to approach the markets with confidence? As you begin your trading day, it's likely that you'll be faced with lots of decisions. In order to make the best decision, the first thing you'll need is a strategy that will help you minimize your risks. Whether we're in a bull or bear market, a good strategy is to have the tools needed to help you scan and analyze the markets before you trade. 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Details on the Tiger's Den are on the front page of TFNN.com TFNN.com Educating Investors Toll Free at 1-877-927-6648 Internationally at 727-873-7618 And got our first request to take a look at that, the NASDAQ, now that we looked at the S&P. Same kind of thing, but even worse, NASDAQ has had even lighter volume back off the December 24th low as we go back up in these. Now you got what is developing to be a doji over a couple of fairly decent sized gaps. I'm just thinking you could pull back, it's not going to be horrible, you could pull back 100 points, maybe 140 points, maybe back to 7800 on the NASDAQ deposit. When we look at what we were talking about in the first segment and why we bought the IYT, which is the transports, was that it was the most oversold. And of course we've talked about this for a while, but it is the, let's do this, let's do a little shorter term one so you can see it a little bit better. There it is, let's do there. This is the IYT, but we bought it off the bottom as the sector oscillators that I developed. Thanks again to Basil for keeping a close eye on these as I continue to develop it. It's probably the absolute best signal I've ever found for buying lows. Stocks seem to be able to be overbought for a very long time, but at the same time, fear pretty much puts a low in fairly quickly. Now what they will tell you is when every single stock is above its nine day moving average or medium term moving average or long term moving average. And I've got all three that I have set up here, but generally what you want to do is buy when all three are at the rock bottom and sell when all three are at the absolute top. And getting a little bit of a pullback on the top. So I went ahead and took the cash today. It was also the biggest screamer for all the stocks in the well in the 26 sectors that I look at. But what can you say? It's just one of the things that I look at. And of course, this is just if you it's kind of a wisdom of crowd things, which is if you wanted to see how many stocks were above or below the nine day moving average or three by three moving average or in this case, a nine day moving average, a five by five by seven displaced moving average and a 25 by five displaced moving average, which is taking the average of generally the last five days and putting them like seven days ahead or taking the last three days and putting them three days ahead. And that gives you kind of a slow to figure out whether ballistic slope to see whether or not the trend is continuing. It's kind of way kind of like putting a line on it, but I like it a lot better. I'm not a big fan of drawing lines on charts because there's too much of a Rorschach test in it. I violently try to not put lines on charts that are drawn by anything other than a calculation that I can test over time. But that's kind of it now. This was from last night, but my guess is that we're going to see at least a pullback to the resistance level, which just went through right like butter. But these big bars here tend to be the support levels on the way back down in a market in the resistance levels in a market that are trending higher and lower. But when you get to these tops, you're pretty close to getting some kind of blow off top. And when you're down at the bottom, you get the exhaustion move. I've been talking about gold and whether or not you want to be looking at that sector. And I'm not ready to pull the trigger on it. But I do think that when you look at the GDX in these, as I'm showing now, that you are getting it fairly close to these. What I would love to see is just a little bit more destruction in this. Let's zoom in here a little bit so you can see you got these close. But the long term and medium and short terms all didn't go hit the lows quite yet. Generally, when they all hit the lows, you've got about three or four days. And then you're going to come off the bottom like you did in the IYT. When you actually look at this and go back, the one you really want to look at, back we'll pull it back here, is this one in January when the gold miners hit the low. That's really when you start seeing, when all of these kind of get down here to these lows, 25 day never did on this in the long term. But once you start seeing all these crosses, you pretty much are at the point where the market, at least in that sector, is washed out. So kind of a kind of an MRI in sectors. We're going to look at some more charts. I think I already have an email. Oh, Basil's got a webinar tonight at five two, so make sure and hang on to that. Boeing, hi, Danny in Sarasota. Boeing, when to buy? Well, I think you had to buy back at 370. I don't know if there is a buy in here. As I said, I'd probably be looking at selling. I think we said that yesterday. If it could get 400 or 405, you may get a bounce in this thing. But my guess is it's going to go sideways for a while. Somewhere between, it's actually fairly large trading range for about 365 back up to about 400. I think it's going to need to consolidate for a while. So I'm not a big fan of going the whole hog back into Boeing. Now, if we get a trade deal, this thing's probably going to spike, but that may actually sell the that may be the point where you would actually want to go short this thing. I suspect that we're going to get that trade deal and that is where that the market probably within a few days is probably going to hit some kind of unattainable high and then pull back. March 25th, I don't know what you have. What else do we have? Let's go ahead and start looking. Not a fan of buying Boeing here. I mean, I think the trade was to buy it when everybody was screaming and crying. In fact, the old hog traders in the Kansas City pits used to have a saying and that was sell them while they're yelling buy them while they're crying. Well, I think you can only buy Boeing when everybody's crying, but probably going to trade sideways for a while now. I think there are much better fish in the sea than Boeing, although it will probably spike if we get some kind of trade deal. Let's go ahead and start looking at the NASDAQ today. I don't have a lot of stocks I want to actually show, but we'll go through an American Airlines group. Again, these things are kind of running out of time. Some of these airlines kind of getting into a triangle pattern that's getting tighter and tighter with lower highs and higher highs. Get back in. And with intraday afternoon updates when warranted. Don't miss out on this great chance to get a 30-day free trial to David's daily newsletter, The Path of Lease Resistance, with no obligation to pay anything. 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And that is a close back below either a nine-day moving average or a three-by-three displaced moving average. But that is probably where you're going to see at least some mild destruction. Right now the only thing we have is some very weak moves into higher volume. So we could go higher. Like I said, I don't see that signal quite yet. What I do continue to see, though, are stocks like Adobe Systems. And you just have almost nothing out here. Three million shares on the first 1.9 million shares yesterday. Today you got about 1.3 million shares. I mean, these things just are talking about whiffing like an old man that's gone up several flights of stairs just out of breath. These things are just, there's just not a whole lot to them, which is the issue. Analog devices, which is ADI. What else do we have? Let's get in here. Analog devices testing. It's a March 21st high that had 4.6 million shares. With what do we have? 1.6 million shares so far. So again, just back up into these things, but again, no reversals yet, but you want to be nervous on these. Automatic data processing ADP, hanging out the last three days, the last two days, Zippo for volume. Autodesk, another one kind of bouncing around at the highs. I don't think you can make a great deal out of it. Align technologies. Come on. Just to slow move up, but the last seven days in a row have been each day's been lighter volume than the last. That's not a generally a good sign in the markets for that. Let's go ahead to ALX, which is an election pharmaceuticals retesting its September 28th high. That was 140, 77. They had 3 million shares yesterday at 1.5 million shares today. You got good to get 600,000 applied materials finally back and above the $40 level that we've seen for a while. What do we have? Your last big spike was on the 21st and applied materials. That was 13.2 million shares today, 9.6 million shares so far. Those are the SMHs. Just take a quick view on those. We go through these. You've got the semiconductors going above the 21st that had 9.3 million shares. That's 6.5 million shares. Certainly it's going to be higher, but no sign of strength. That's where you get slapped around a lot of times. AMGEN back up to its resistance level. It has been a resistance level since the 29th of January. You came down on that day with 8 million shares up today with just 1.1 million shares so far. Amazon has been beating against this 1,784, 1,788, December 3 eyes of last year. We're kind of into that. You've got about 2.9 million shares so far today in Amazon. That's why I'm thinking maybe we're ready to pull back a little bit. Just a lot of the volume very light. Let's see what else we have. ATVI, Activision Blizzard is going sideways. Avago Technologies. Again, just the last three days out here, actually since it's a nice gap higher on the 15th of March, this thing has just struggled to get any kind of volume. A couple of days ago, 2.6 million shares yesterday, 2.3 million shares so far, 1.3 million shares. Again, just a lot of nothing, very light and variable and would set up kind of one of those moves where you go, okay. We had the fund buying. We had the IPO. Now we're probably a little bit ahead of the game. Baidu. He hasn't had a lot but been bouncing around the 175 level. You're back into that. Got to 176.93 today. That one's got 2.7 million shares. Actually one of the better looking ones but running into candles on the way down from December that had 4 million plus shares. Of course, BIIB, which is biodec, had that problem with its drug getting recalled. Not a whole lot going on other than made at 2.1612 low that probably is going to get retested. That's the March 25th low. So you got to kind of watch that. Bookings.com actually blew up on earnings last time. It's trying to get back in here. Ideally, 1825 is the ticket for reshorting this on the bounce. I don't know if you're going to get that if we do start pulling back now. What is BMRN? Biomarine Pharmaceuticals. Not a lot in that one. Let's see what else we have. Citigroup. Now, not a lot of energy. You were down on the 20th of March with 17.5 million shares. Yesterday you had 9.9 million shares. Today you're still under 8 million shares. What are we going to say? An hour and a half left to go. So you're certainly not going to walk into these things with vastly higher volumes. I want to see what we have here. Cadence Design System, which has been a little rocket back since $40.31, has given no signal. This one just really hasn't stopped, still hasn't stopped, still hasn't given a signal that it's ready to sell off. Although that one would have a fairly decent pullback to about $53. Cell Gene and another one that's banging at previous highs. This one's going up against the $95.30 high of August 31st of last year. We've gotten up here, wanted about 5 million shares, about 5 million shares. He gapped up, couldn't hold it. He got a ton of volume sitting in Cell Gene at CELG. We'll be back in a minute. If you're in the CD market and looking for a secure investment, the Tiger First mortgage program may work for you. The security for these first mortgages are building lots in the community zone in St. Petersburg, Florida. The Tax Act of 2018 set up tax-free zones across the country where you can build and hold for 10 years and pay no tax on the profits, which makes these lots valuable. The investment is anywhere from $30,000 to $75,000. The interest paid is 7% yearly paid on a monthly basis. According to bankrate.com, the best rate for a four-year CD in the country as of February 20th is 3.1%. A $50,000 investment at a normal four-year CD rate of 3.1% would give you income of $1,550 per year or $6,200 over the four-year period. 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Again, contracting triangle there, and again, you generally bust out of that with some level of movement that you can't tell what's going on. Let's see. What else do we have? Okay. Charter communications. Certainly looks like this wants to come back and fill about half the gap. That would take you back to about 300 bucks, and I'm not exactly sure why that would be, but if you just look at the chart, you really need to, you just so many times, come back and hit at least halfway into that gap before you go higher. You'd want to look at that. Oh, okay. Balls are holding by one finger now. Costco wholesale, banging against the highs. This had a 2.8 million share, high September 11th, $244.59. Got to $244.41 a couple of days ago, but with just 2 million shares, so about a million shares light. Cisco has been doing fairly well mostly that US companies can't buy anything, but without being complicit in Chinese collusion, but zero sign on this one other than a light volume and a doji setting up today. CSX tested its previous high. That's the August 28th high, $76 and 2 cents with 3.6 million shares as we go past the last three days. He had 4.4 million shares, 3.6 million shares as you went above the 77.15 and then today pulled right back in. And that's why I'm saying you're not really getting signals that say short, you're getting signals that say top. And that means that maybe you can buy them on the retrace. Maybe there's some out here that are screaming shorts, for the most part, fairly tough. Again, you need some kind of signal and the one I like the best for these stocks that have trended higher is a close below the nine day moving average close back above it. And then the next close back below it normally is where the damage comes. I don't see much in centos other than this gap down with a lot of energy on the CTAS on this 22nd of last month, 1.5 million shares on the way down last three days has been $500,000, $400,000 today just $231,000 as you can and you finish closing that gap. That one may be the best looking so far of the bunch. If you're thinking it's going to go back and retest the 191, 91, March 25th low. But again, kind of tough. CTRIP, the Chinese company, again, no sign that anything is going to roll over. You would love for this to come back to where this double gap is at about 37 bucks. The big thing is this is the last two or three days with no volume as you've pushed higher, which is a good sign that you're least going to get some level of retrace. What else do we have out here? Okay. Dish networks. What do we have? Certainly going to get back into this November 7th high and also the gap down from October 22nd that the gap down had 2.6 million shares. You spiked it November 7th with 5.5 million shares. You came back into it again in the 4th of March with 4.4 million shares. Today you got 1.2 million shares as you went back into 33.74. Just telling you that you don't really have any signals to say it's all over, but you do have a lot of signals out here that are saying that, man, it's going to be tough to see a lot more. Electronic arts. Again, lower highs, higher lows so far. eBay. What do we have in that? Well, you've pulled back up into this spike, which was the March 1st spike, 17 million shares. Last three days, 6.6 million shares. Yesterday, 7.4 million shares, but today 4.2 million shares and we've got, what, an hour and 12 minutes left. So certainly not going to see any kind of signs of strength there. Let's take a quick look at Expedia. I didn't see much in that. Let's see if we got anything in it here. Turn the gap down. Gaps are all closed. It looks like a little gappy, a little sucker, but again, these things are all making triangles in that. Fast, just fast and all. Let's see about this. Again, no sign now. This is actually a good sign for industry because they make and sell nuts and bolts to just about everywhere all over the place. And certainly no sign there other than the fact the last couple of days, no more juice and a little bit of a reversal signal starting now. And if I'm actually looking correctly here, we're at 4 now on the S&P cash, Dow's up 11, NASDAQ's up 39, and Russell's up 8 actually. And kind of the strongest one of the day, a little stronger than the NASDAQ, which always makes you think that maybe there's a hint that that trade deal isn't moving along as fast as most people are looking for. Question about micron and what's going on in it. Let's go back to a little smaller one on the thing. Well, you started back down. Let's go a little bit farther back here. This $41 area had been resistance. You kind of went through it with lighter volume on February 21, 25th, pulled all the way back down to $36.57, spiked it on earnings, and then instantly gave it up back on the 21st. Pulled back, and now you've gapped above it today with 32 million shares, but you may not be able to hold that high at $44 yet again. I think it's telling you we're resistance and the supply line actually come in off that $65 high micron. We'll be back in a minute. I'm certain you are or strive to be one of the best of the best at everything you do in life. It's the most common trade that we tigers and tigers share. If you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money, let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done, which is how to time the markets. 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Also a special guest on CNBC. Tom will bisect and dissect the markets. The Tom O'Brien Show, next on TFNN. And we're back. Micron, as we said, was up there. And it's got, you know, better volume than yesterday, but you've got three gaps. Now, and the question is whether or not you get into a three-gap play, which would take you right back down to about 39 bucks. So you got to keep a look at that. I haven't looked at Google on the show for a while. So let's take a quick look at that one. Again, these are the ones where you start looking and saying, okay, any close below that three-by-three or nine-day moving average would be interesting. Man, these big Google and Facebook stocks have just got me worried to know in because of, especially the Europeans, catching them with their hands in the cookie jar just far too many times. Hasbro, again, the same kind of thing. You actually did have a slightly lower low on light volume on February 28th. So you could have seen the buy, but generally these toy companies aren't great buys until the end of the summer. What else do we have here? HSIC, IDA, IDEX, Illumina. Again, just been in the trading range out here, busting around this 322 level for a second time. You had 1.1 million shares last time. That was the March 1st high. Got into it with 414,000 shares. So again, sometimes volume is just a little bit light. Sometimes it's a whole lot light, and that's what you've got now, plus Illumina, just not much energy off that March 8th low. Back up to retest this top one more. And maybe, yeah, you got a triple top out here at around 320. Always sell when you can, not when you have to. We will see you here tomorrow. Same bat channel, same bat time. Yeah, time for a breather, I think, in the market. We'll be back in a, oh, we'll be back tomorrow.