 The AFC Championship will be between the Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs. This is a rematch of their matchup a few months ago where the Chiefs won 26 to 17. The Bills make their first AFC Championship appearance in almost 30 years, while the Chiefs will be playing in this game for the third straight season. The Bills have looked impressive in the playoffs. They defeated the Colts. They defeated the Ravens, but if you watch that game, each game all the way through. With the Buffalo Bills facing the Colts and the Ravens. You could argue that maybe it was just two, three, four, five plays that determined the outcome of that game. It was very close. The Colts seemed like that they were in position to win that game if it weren't for some mishaps on the coaching side of the ball with Frank Reich, who admitted his mistakes. If they didn't go for it on fourth or down and instead settle for a field goal, they may have tied the game and the Buffalo Bills would have been in danger of losing that game. And then again, with the Baltimore Ravens, you may look at that score and say, okay, 17-3, yeah, the Bills beat them by more than one position. What's the big deal with that? That's not close at all. But you watch that game and you see that there were two or three plays that really determined the outcome of that game. I mean, two missed field goals in that windy environment and Buffalo, which is no excuse. You have to adapt to your environment, but it came down to a few plays. Two missed field goals by Justin Tucker, one of the most accurate kickers, the accurate kicker, the most accurate kicker in the NFL. And then also when Huntley came in and replaced with Lamar Jackson, who was under a concussion protocol, he threw an overthrown pass on fourth or down, which would have been a touchdown and would have made it 10 to 17 at least, overshot Marquis Brown by just a bit. Also Lamar Jackson getting hurt as well, that determined the outcome as well. So the Bills, yeah, impressive, good victories against the Colts and the Ravens. But the fact that they were just so close and was determined by just a few plays and makes you wonder, they're impressive, but they look beatable. Against a stellar team in the Kansas City Chiefs, it's hard to say if the Bills are a lock to win this game. It's going to be competitive and they definitely have a good shot. But let's see what happens between the Bills and the Chiefs. Talking about the Chiefs and their side of the ball, they survived without patching my homes with some heroic play by Chad Henney, a veteran that's been bounced around from team to team, came in with a Miami Dolphins, replaced Chad Pennington, that was going around to multiple teams, had a stint with the Jacksonville Jaguars as well, came into Kansas City and that is now their backup, had probably one of the better plays of his whole entire career. Just on fourth down, throwing that pass to Tyree Kill and converting to lock up that game, also running for the ball on third and 12 and getting close and making it a fourth and one. Chad Henney, the Chiefs were able to survive with Chad Henney. But that game was kind of out of hand if you were just looking at the first half and the score there, 19-3. All of a sudden in the second half all you do is just score a field goal and you let the Browns continue to come back to make this game even more close than it should be. Obviously the Chiefs won 22-17 and it's a good job by them, but if you want to talk about the Bills, you want to talk about the Chiefs and how all of these games that they had in the playoffs so far were determined by just two, three, four plays, it could be anyone's game this Sunday. Any of these teams it's proven in the playoffs so far, they're beatable. So it just comes down to which team is better statistically and let's go ahead and break that down by looking at the rankings for each team for the 2020 season. Talking about team rankings, let's start off with pass offense, the Bills. Third in the NFL for the Chiefs, first. Both pass-heavy teams. Compare that to the Rush offense, 20th in the NFL for the Bills, 16th for the Chiefs. Points per game, third in the NFL for the Bills, fifth for Kansas City. Both high-scoring teams. Pass defense if you want to talk about their defense. The Bills, 13th, the Chiefs, 14th right around the same area as far as Rush defense, kind of sort of right around the same as well. 17th and Rush defense for the Bills, and then Chiefs, 21st as well. What we can gather from this and the information that we can get is that both of these teams are very, very similar as far as statistics go and the rankings go. Pass-heavy offenses and the Rush offense does not matter that much and defense right around the same rankings as well. Defensively very, very similar as far as the pass defense and the Rush defense as well. This could be a model that most NFL teams could follow in the future if you want your team to get far into the final four. Find a good quarterback, make it a pass-heavy offense, have great receivers as well and it doesn't really matter what your run game may look like. Speaking of quarterbacks, let's take a look at the quarterback position and the comparison between these two very good probable quarterbacks this season, Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes. Talking about passing yards right around the same, 4500 yards for Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, 4700 yards passing. Listen, all these stats for Mahomes, by the way, this is through 15 games. He sat out week 16 or week 17, the 16th game of the season, Chad Hennie started to give Patrick Mahomes some rest. Pass touchdowns right around the same as well at 37 for Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes 38. Interceptions, Allen has been a little bit more turnover friendly if you want to call it that, but I mean 10 of the receptions is not that bad at all. Patrick Mahomes a little bit more careful with the ball six and receptions. Completion percentage, this is what's been the greatest asset for Josh Allen and his growth going into his third year in the NFL. Josh Allen has completed 69 nice percent of his passes as far as Patrick Mahomes 66.3 and then rating right around the same as well 107.2 and then 108.2. Two teams that are statistically very similar as far as how they run their offense and their defense and very similar as far as their quarterbacks go statistically. They have to hone in on certain keys to victory. Let's start off with the Buffalo Bills. What are the keys to victory if they want a victory over the Kansas City Chiefs? The first key to victory, pressure them to score. I know it sounds crazy, why would you want to pressure the Kansas City Chiefs to just keep on scoring? Here's the thing, Josh Allen is capable of scoring. We already know that the Bills offense has a better chance versus the Chiefs defense of excelling than the Chiefs offense has versus the Bills defense. Even though defensively they may look similar, I'd give the edge to the Bills defense just because of the talent that they have and just because how they've looked all season long in comparison to the Chiefs defense. I like the odds much better in favor of the Bills offense than the Chiefs offense. The second key to victory, trust the talent in your secondary. Levi Wallace, Jordan Poyer at safety, Tredavius White, we all know how good of a corner he is. Listen, you have some pretty tough, wide receivers and receiving options to face. If you want to talk about Tyree Kill and Travis Kelsey and the speed that they have on that offense with Miko Hardman on top of that. But you have to look at the secondary and how talented they are in each individual player. Trust the secondary, let them work their own matchup. Don't let Tyree Kill break free. That secondary for the Bills needs to step up and have a big game against that Chiefs offense. For the Chiefs, their keys to victory, number one, pressure Josh Allen up the middle. What does that mean? Josh Allen's runs are up the middle and dependent on his size. So whether it be goal line carries, whether it be fourth and ones and most of the time he runs with a ball up the middle. If you could put pressure in the middle of that defensive line and pressure that offensive line, meaning the center and the guards, then you can eliminate the center or the middle of the field for Josh Allen to scramble in case no receivers are open and you force him to run outside of the pocket towards the sidelines and that's going to be less yards gained than a bigger run up the middle for Josh Allen. The number two, the key to victory, play more man coverage than zone. This is very important because what the Bills offense, if you've watched them all season long, what they like to do is expose zone coverage. They do it all the time. They get a man like Cole Beasley playing a decoy or John Brown playing a decoy and that's how Stefan Diggs gets open almost all the time because the players just shift and if you just stick with man coverage and you stick with your own man, you're going to avoid a lot of that and you can limit Stefan Diggs getting open as much as he has all season long. But those are your keys to victory for the Bills and the Chiefs. To wrap up this preview, what we did is we took a poll on Instagram. We asked the time of football fans who they thought was going to win this game between the Bills and the Chiefs and here are the results. Oh, wow. Hold on. That does not sound... That is very, very lopsided. The Bills 72% of fans believe that the Bills are going to beat the Chiefs. Listen, I'm not questioning whether the Bills are going to be the Chiefs. I understand that, but 72%, that's lopsided. I understand that. Maybe this is just what people want to see. They want to see the Bills advance to the Super Bowl and have some success, given that the lack of success that they've had. Leave your thoughts and your opinions. Who do you think is going to win? Do you believe this poll to be accurate as far as, yeah, the Bills are the heavy favorites to win this game? Or do you think the Chiefs are actually going to pull this off against the Buffalo Bills? Leave your comments down below and let us know your thoughts.